USD/CAD (Loonie Pair) Mid-Week Potential Trend Reversal For my 50th tradingview idea I've decided to make a special analysis on an old pair of mine and one of my old favs.
USD/CAD has been in a long and strong downtrend after Oil news has been positive but the largest impact was made due to a interest rate hike for the first time in awhile. Now that the trend has lost some momentum and hit a major support zone that has been previously rejected. We can expect prices to rise if we breakout of this downward channel (could see a slight retrace). However if we reject this zone and stay in the channel I expect price to move down to the major support zone and then rise. It looks like some double bottom patterns are forming.
Loonie
CAD/HKD 1H Chart: Channel UpCAD/HKD 1H Chart: Channel Up
The Canadian Dollar is trading against the Hong Kong Dollar in a two week long ascending channel that started to form after the currency rate left a preceding ascending channel.
This pattern is not usual, as it consists of many reaction highs and only one reaction low.
The reason behind such distinctiveness is attributed to a strength exercised by the 55- and 100-hour SMAs or a combination of them both.
To put differently, five day in a row these technical indicators do not let the pair to slip to the bottom.
This means the exchange rate is going to soar at least until the weekly R1 at 6.2592, which might force the pair make a rebound.
However, as long as the above SMAs are moving together, it is doubtful that the pair will manage to cross them.
cadjpy short Ascending Triangle
This type of triangle chart pattern occurs when there is a resistance level and a slope of higher lows.
What happens during this time is that there is a certain level that the buyers cannot seem to exceed. However, they are gradually starting to push the price up as evident by the higher lows.It seems cadjpy is making a compression sell . its a good thing to wait until the price goes up around the supply area to enter short.
sell limit order around 87.652
Stop loss : 88.070
USD/CAD down 1.09%Daily outlook - USD/CAD down 1.09%
The USD/CAD currency exchange rate had a quite turbulent Wednesday, as the Greenback depreciated against the Loonie by 1.09% and, in the result, broke through the southern boundaries of a medium-term and short-term channels.
To a large extent the downfall was caused by disappointing news coming from both the White House and Census Bureau.
After finding support below the weekly S1 at 1.2625, the currency pair started a gradual recovery.
Most likely, today traders will try to push the price back to the 1.2711 mark that represents a point, from which the drop has initially started.
On the one hand, market sentiment has not practically changed since yesterday and remains 71% bullish.
On the other hand, a summary of technical indicators for the 5H and 1D timeframes send clear sell signals.
GBP/CAD 1H Chart: Channel DownGBP/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Down
The British Pound is losing value against the Canadian Dollar in a two day long descending channel.
The pattern was shaped by a reaction on release of information on the UK CPI and Average Earnings Index.
At the moment, the currency pair struggles to pass through the support level set up by the weekly S3 at 1.6268.
Generally, the rate is expected make a rebound and surge to the top for some short period of time.
Firstly, because in the end of the previous trading session the pair made a second fully-fledged rebound from the bottom trend-line of the channel.
Secondly, because a number of technical indicators point out that the currency rate is oversold.
However, there is a need to take into account that release of data on the UK Retail Sales at 8:30 GMT, depending on the result, will either help the Pound to reach the pattern’s upper boundary for the third time, or it will accelerate the fall towards the monthly S1 at 1.6187.
CAD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel UpCAD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Up
The Canadian Dollar is recovering against the Japanese Yen in a short-term ascending channel that formed in the result of a change of the one month long downtrend.
At the moment, the pattern consists from two reaction lows and only one reaction high.
Since there will be no significant macroeconomic data releases in the upcoming two days, the currency pair has a potential to surge to the weekly R1 located at the 87.43 level .
On the other hand, the fact the pair has, practically, stuck for a day at the 200-hour SMA near 86.77 suggests that the channel might not sustain for long .
This assumption is supported by the general market sentiment, which is 55% bearish .
But in the meantime, a summary of various technical indicators continue to send a strong buy signal.
USD/CAD finds support at 1.2674Daily outlook - USD/CAD finds support at 1.2674
In accordance with one of the scenarios expressed on Friday, the USD/CAD currency pair found support at the 1.2674 level.
After spending some in a limbo between this support and a resistance set up by the updated weekly PP at 1.2689, it made an expected breakout to the top.
However, now, when the markets a sleepy, the pair has stuck again between the 55-hour SMA from the top and the 100-hour SMA from the bottom.
Market sentiment remains 72% bullish, an aggregate technical indicator also send a strong buy signal for the upcoming day.
Such clues allow assuming that the pair will try to surge to the 1.2748 level that not only represents a point, from which the Friday downfall has started, but also the weekly R1.
In case the pair will suddenly choose the opposite direction, the drop should be neutralized by the approaching 200-hour SMA.
USDCAD LOOK FOR BEARISH CONTINUATIONHi everyone:
My previous pullback long trade on USDCAD has given me 5:1 risk/reward ratio profit, and I exited the trade around 1.2720. Now the price action has pullback to 68.20%, and the bearish continuation can be happening this week. I am looking for some bearish price action to form, a bearish flag, or double tops to confirm the entry. Looking to target 1.2500 or the recent lows. I will be closely monitor the price action at the recent lows, as I believe USDCAD's high time frames are all bearish, and could really push down the price to a lower point of 1.2240 since June 2015.
Thank you for your support and feedback.
JoJo
GBP/CAD 1H Chart: Channel UpGBP/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Up
The British Pound is trading against the Canadian Dollar in a short-term ascending channel that formed in the result of a 78-pips appreciation of the Loonie three days ago.
At the moment, it consists of two reaction highs and two reaction lows and, thus, might cease to exist already in the first half of the next week.
After reaching the 1.6561 level, the currency rate made an expected rebound and started to slip towards a combined support level set up by the 55- and 100-hour SMAs, channel’s bottom trend-line and the weekly PP at 1.6519.
Even though the pair proved to be relatively indifferent towards the above technical indicators, a rebound is still expected to happen.
By the way, the pair might bounce off even earlier from the 200-hour SMA near 1.6533.
USD/CAD Daily Update (11/8/17) (* Still Bullish)This pair has moved on the way that we expected.
Nice run up we have. We are still bullish on the pair on the medium term.
Currently, it is at the decent ranging zone. The pairs may retrace or is going side way, but overall it will still end up higher.
Trade Safe,
s0nic
Disclaimer :
This analysis not include personal feeling/opinion, and pure base on technical analysis
Trading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
please inform me with post a comment if it reach some critical point/break pattern, reach target/reach stop level.
or if there is any question about this analysis/need new update.
Because im not monitoring this chart all time.
USD/CAD trades around 1.2676Daily outlook - USD/CAD trades around 1.2676
Tuesday’s evening the currency exchange rate spent in an expected horizontal movement along the 55-hour SMA towards the bottom trend-line of an active ascending channel.
At some moment, the pair has entered into a four hour downfall and has practically sneaked from the pattern.
However, a combination of the above support line and moving average should be enough to force the pair to change direction.
As 70% of traders continue to hold long positions, in the short run the Greenback is expected to continue to appreciate against the Loonie towards the weekly R1 at 1.2238.
The summary of technical indicators supports this scenario by sending clear buy signal.
But even if the pair oversteps the pattern’s boundary, the drop should not go below the monthly PP at 1.2636 and the 100-hour SMA.
CADCHF - END OF A BULL RUN OR FURTHER UPSIDE?We can see that the pair has broken through a previous Major level of Structure, yet it was not able to close above it. Instead it came back down and closed beneath which makes me believe that a decent correction is in the making and that the bulls have lost some momentum.
TRADE SAFE AND DO YOUR DUE DILIGENCE BEFORE ENTERING A TRADE.
NZD/CAD 1H Chart: Channel DownNZD/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Down
The New Zealand Dollar is losing value against the Canadian Dollar in a short-term descending channel, which started to form after the Kiwi appreciated by 0.9% just in one trading session.
In the beginning, the currency rate was moving quite sharply amid macroeconomic data releases and, for this reason, stayed indifferent towards barriers set up by various technical indicators.
Monday’s trading session did not bring any notable changes, as the pair has easily slipped through the weekly PP and S1 as well as the 55-, 100- and 200-hour SMAs.
Since the rate does not have any other barriers on its way, it might reach the bottom edge of the channel already by the end of this trading day.
However, multiple technical indicators suggest that in the upcoming hours the pair will rather move horizontally along the above weekly S1 at 0.9326 and only then slide to the bottom.
USDCADWe've had that all important rejection of the 1.25 level. I was being a pussy so i missed out on a few pips since the rejection. I missed my opportunity on it but I'll still be trading the 4HR breakout swings. We may see some ranging on this pair. The steeper it gets, the weaker. SO, before we see a long opportunity, UC will range for a few days and consolidate the position. The soaring Loonie has come to roost - you could say. Or We're seeing the take off of the American eagle. WHO KNOWS HA
CAD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel DownCAD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Down
The British Pound is trading against the Swiss Franc in a short-term pennant formation.
The pattern represents the aftereffect of announcement of the UK Official Bank Rate and the subsequent Governor Carney’s speech last week.
By the early morning, the currency exchange rate has practically reached the breakout point from the little symmetrical triangle, which represents the pennant.
Despite the pressure exercised by the 200-hour SMA from the bottom, the pair is still expected to slide downwards.
The overall length of the flag pole should be equal to 50-70 basis points, which basically coincides with the nearest combined support level set up by the weekly S1 at 1.2619 and the monthly PP at 1.2614.
After this continuation pattern ceases to exist, the rate most likely is going to make a rebound and the Sterling will start to restore lost positions.
WEEKLY OUTLOOK SHORT ON CADCHFHi traders:
Almost 2 months ago I published my view on CADCHF long in the beginning of June that ended up having a 500 pips movement to the upside. Now, we could experiencing the downfall on CADCHF as it is currently sitting at historical key resistance area of 0.7700. On the daily chart we can see the price action broke out of the .7700, but quickly drop down afterwards, a potential false breakout. This week, we can confirm the bearish momentum on CADCHF by going to the intraday charts for a possible entry.
I will be updaing this chart for any short entry on CADCHF.
Thank you for your support and feedback.
EUR CAD Long!Hi boys Euro CAD looks like it will continue its path upwards. We see Higher Highs and lows. Broke the resistance and tested it. Above the clouds on most time frames and wave 3 was a perfect 1.618 extention. This may continue to the 61.8 mark. Kind of late so RR wont be great but i entered.
CAD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel DownCAD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Down
The Canadian Dollar is depreciating against the Japanese Yen in weekly descending channel, which started to form shortly after the currency exchange rate left the double top formation.
By the moment, the channel has two confirmation points from the top and three from the bottom.
The latest rebound happened after the currency pair slipped to the weekly S2 at 87.43. Since the channel has reached maturity, the rate might leave the formation already by the end of the day.
However, the fact that during this whole week the pair was sliding along the 55-hour SMA, which neutralized multiple attempts to break to the top, suggests that a new rebound most likely is going to follow.
Nevertheless, a release of a bunch of the Canadian macroeconomic data at 12:30 GMT might alter the above scenario and even accelerate the fall of the rate.
CAD/CHF 4H Chart: Channel UpCAD/CHF 4H Chart: Channel Up
The Canadian Dollar is appreciating against the Swiss Franc in the medium-term ascending channel.
The pattern started to form shortly after the currency exchange rate left a descending triangle pattern and started to move in a new uptrend.
For the moment, the channel is made from four confirmation points, which means that it has fully formed.
But the fact that this formation took almost a month suggests that the upcoming dissolution might also take several weeks.
In the short-run, the pair is expected to bounce off from a combined support level set up by the 55-hour SMA, the lower trend-line and the 100-hour SMA.
t should be noted that both technical indicators have been moving along the pattern’s bottom edge and more than once forced the Loonie to make a rebound.
USDCAD BUY THE PULLBACKHi everyone:
MY last USDCAD trade post did not execute due to no breakout of the wedge. Today, we are seeing another opportunity on USDCAD Long. The price action has recently found support at key support area of 1.2500. Similar like my other post on GBPCAD, we are seeing some bearish momentum in the CAD and a pullback on the daily time frames are happening this week,
On the 4 hr chart of USDCAD, a recent double bottoms and a breakout are all signaling a bullish momentum coming in. Entering at the higher low confirmation is a good idea for a daily pullback to 38.20% fib level.
Thank you for your support and feedback.