How The Tr8dingN3rd Got SlappedIn my intraday-trading, I'm pretty good to make money on a regular basis.
It's a long time since I got out of control.
But yesterday, I messed up twice.
I was going short in a level, where I knew it was the bottom. The S&P500 intraday Chart showed clear support. And if the S&P goes north, the NQ will too in most cases.
Then I did not follow my (any) plan and did everything wrong.
How could that happen?
Well, I was distracted. I was DIS-Tracted - Off my track!
This lead to Stress, which killed my Focus, and that was the perfect mix to mess up my trade completely.
Not only that I made a loss, but I also missed out the HUGE move....
So, how to fix it?
Go back to the roots. Pull out the "Flight Plan" and check every step in the process.
It humbled me, and its GOOD.
No super Trader...No Trading Hero...Just a Human with a talent that gets slapped from time to time.
Happy Trading Y'all §8-)
Loss
HOW TO START BUILDING A STRATEGY?As it is said, A strategy is a reflection of a trader’s character . Whatever sentiments/emotions you have, reflect in your trading decisions. At first, people think that, ‘I will use xyz indicator and buy here and sell there’, thinking it’s easy to have a method that is simple. But when reality hits, all the simplicity runs out of the window with your money. Trading is not for those who take it lightly. You have to respect the market before coming up with a strategy that suits your personality/mindset/character.
One might ask, what does personality have to do with trading? And that’s where all the secrets are. Newbie traders often run after YouTube channels, Twitter handles of some high MTM traders and try to copy them. They keep hopping from one setup to another. Because in the beginning, traders do not have the knowledge of risk management, importance of back testing etc. You should test your strategy for at least 100 trades before scrapping it. And that’s where they lack. But in my experience, you may learn the method from another trader but you cannot learn the mindset . You have to develop that on your own. There are certain ways of self-assessment when it comes to finding the right approach towards trading. Just because some day trader is making a killing in the market every day, doesn’t mean you can replicate the same performance too. You might be well suited for positional/swing trading. Just like that if someone is better in swing trading, you may be crafted for long term investing if not that even for scalping. There is a vast array of segments to choose from. From intraday to swing and scalping to options writing.
You can decide any segment as per your patience level. The only goal should be to make money. You are not here to be right or wrong. You are here to make a living.
Choosing a trading style is completely based on your patience level. If you are a patient trader then you can go for short to long term trading. Find the good setups, take the trade and sit tight. Your actions should be either target or stop loss. You can manage the trade as per your style e.g. , pyramiding or averaging.
If you are an adrenaline junkie, then intraday, scalping & F&O trading is your cup of tea. But remember that the lesser the trade duration, more the chances of losses . Because these segments are much more risky than those of others. You need the skill of a sniper & the eye of an eagle to execute such trades and come out of it profitably.
Now the question is how to decide? There are some ways you can shorten the learning curve, some of them are as follow…
1.Mentor👨🏫:
Mentor is the person who is willing to share his experience to those who seek to shorten the learning curve. Warren Buffet had Benjamin Graham, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala had Radhakishan Damani . Everyone needs a mentor, be it in the form of books or a person . Learning what not to do is more important than learning what to do? And that is the biggest lesson I’ve learned from my mentors . A mentor teaches you that in the most practical ways by showing some real-life examples. He will also tell you when to trade and when not to. Because compulsive trading is one of the major reasons why traders lose big. So, finding a good mentor should be your priority.
2.Self-Learning🎓✍️:
There are some successful self-made traders who learned from trial and error. But you need to check the time they took to be successful. It’s not impossible but it’s time consuming. Also, you need to have lots of patience and money as well. Because self-learning is like flying a plane by reading manuals. You have to do all the work from developing a strategy to back testing it and it's too lengthy process to start with. You can self-learn trading, but be ready to give it time.
3.Books📚:
Aahh books… the first love of any trader. For me it still is. I read as much as possible. The very foundation of my trading journey is based on reading. I read many books in my initial days. Some of them still help me today. But textbook knowledge is not sufficient in real time trading . You can learn patterns such as triangle, channel, cup and handle and head and shoulders. But textbook patterns are so rare that it’s exhausting to spot them on charts let alone trade them, unless you have a knack for them. It’s a good start but not the best process.
Above information should give you some perspective on how to approach the market and build your strategy. Strategy doesn’t just mean a trading setup (Entry & Exit). It includes everything from trade setup to your mindset. Find the best possible way, stick to it and follow the path. Eventually you will reach the destination.
Keep learning, keep growing…!! 💗✨
Support TradingView✌️
🌸HOW YOUR BELIEFS SHAPE YOUR TRADING🌸
🌺Trading is not just about making money. it's also about understanding yourself and your beliefs. Your beliefs can shape the way you approach trading and ultimately impact your success. It's important to identify what we believe and how these thoughts influence our decision-making.
🌼The role of beliefs in trading is often underappreciated. A trader's beliefs can influence their perception of risk, their ability to handle losses, and their willingness to accept new information. Beliefs can also impact their emotional state and motivation, affecting their overall approach to trading.
💐Beliefs can be positive or negative, and they all play a crucial role in shaping our trading behavior. For instance, it is commonly believed that trading requires an intuitive sense, and that success comes from the "gut feeling." While this intuition is essential, it's also vital to think logically and systematically. As a trader, you should evaluate your methods and actions based on logic and data.
🌻Another belief that may impact trading is the 'fear of loss.' This belief comes from a reaction to the thought of losing our hard-earned money. Traders who may be influenced by this belief may avoid loss by being too cautious and missing promising opportunities in trading. Additionally, they may move too quickly and sell out too soon, taking small losses instead of giving trades a chance to earn enough to cover their expenses.
🍀Moreover, some traders believe they can't make money consistently. However, such a belief is likely to result in a failure mindset and a lack of effort to learn and develop skills. Failing to learn about risk management and technical analysis may lead to bigger losses, which will, in turn, affirm the belief that consistent profits are impossible.
🌸To turn negative beliefs around and transform them to suit favorable outcomes, a trader may need to replace negative thoughts with positive ones. Additionally, it may help to find influences that align with your trading goals, whether that's finding a mentor or joining a relevant trading community. Working with like-minded people helps keep your focus on your goals and learn from others' experiences and mistakes. It can boost your confidence and reinforce the belief that consistent profits are attainable, which can impact positively in your trading.
🌵In conclusion, a trader's beliefs heavily impact their trading. It's essential to examine and understand the positive and negative beliefs that influence one's trading behavior. By identifying negative beliefs, traders can have better control of their emotional state and approach to trading. Replacing erroneous beliefs with positive behaviors and working with like-minded traders can provide a path to a positive and successful trading journey.
🌺Hope u like my article. Please let me know what you think💋
Love, Anabel❤️
Please, support my work with like and comment!
Love you, my dear followers!👩💻🌸
How To Win, By Learning How To Lose Hey there, so today I would like to introduce the first episode in what I would like start calling Mindset Mondays. So in this session we going to:
- Learn how to overcome the fear of losing so you can trade with confidence and fearlessness
- Discover how to leverage your losses and maximise your returns resulting in consistent and sustainable equity growth
- Learn how to use your emotions as a signal to identify shortfalls and weaknesses in your overall trading approach which means refining your understanding about the markets and yourself, ultimately allowing you to trade with a carefree state of mind.
So, be sure to watch all the way through if you want to learn how to win by learning how to lose.
Why do most traders end up losing moneyThis question is quite scary, but if you are a novice and see this question, congratulations, you are on the right path of trading.
The most important lesson to learn before entering the financial markets is risk expectation.
You can ask yourself, how much money do you want to make from trading? Is your goal asset appreciation, or a small fortune?
If a trade loses money, will it affect your own life?
Is your own character able to stop losses in time, or do you have no self-control?
After asking these questions, we decide whether to enter the financial market.
So why do the vast majority of traders lose money?
1. Because of the particularity of the financial market.
I believe that many friends have heard of the 28 rule. For example, in the distribution of wealth in our society, 20% of people control 80% of social wealth; 20% of people will persist in encountering difficulties, and 80% of people will give up when encountering difficulties.
The rule of 28 is ubiquitous in life, and it also determines what kind of people will succeed and what kind of people will fail.
As for the financial market, it is crueler than real life, because there are no rules in this market, only human nature, so the financial market even surpasses the rule of 28, and less than 10% of people may make profits. In the face of money, most people want to make a big fortune with a small amount, and want to turn around by trading, so those who have stable personalities, strong self-control, low income expectations, and money in their hands are silently harvesting these people who are eager for quick success.
Some people may say that the world is inherently unfair, and those who hold funds can only survive because of the capital.
Actually no. We Xiaosan hold small funds, and we can achieve low return expectations, or we can do it slowly, but how many people are just anxious to make money? Just want to make a big difference with a small one? Just don’t regard money as money, and think it’s a big deal to take a gamble, and if it’s gone, it’s gone?
So it has nothing to do with the amount of capital, but has something to do with people. In financial markets, human nature is the rule.
2. Too many people are dominated by human nature.
As I said before, there are no rules in the financial market, and human nature is the rule.
Trading is a very anti-human thing. Human nature is greedy for comfort, averse to risk, afraid of losing, feeling that one's level is higher than others, hating giving and learning, impatient, etc., which will be infinitely magnified in trading.
There is a saying in the trading industry that trading can be profitable, mentality accounts for 70%, and technology accounts for 30%. In actual combat, it seems that it is not difficult for traders to see the market correctly, but it is very difficult to complete this wave of market and make profits. Why?
I give two examples.
For example, the problem of stop loss in trading.
Seeking advantages and avoiding disadvantages is a characteristic of human nature, unwillingness to lose, unwilling to accept losses, this is human self-protection awareness. Stopping losses in the wrong direction means losing our real money, who can bear it? So in actual combat, many people rationally know that the direction is wrong, but they just don't stop losses, and even increase their positions against the trend, floating orders, allowing the stop loss to become bigger and bigger, and finally lead to serious losses.
Another example is the profitable position in the transaction.
The market trend always fluctuates upwards, or fluctuates downwards, and profit taking in positions is often encountered. Once profits are withdrawn, we will have a sense of insecurity in our hearts, worrying about the reversal of the market and losing profits. This insecurity is also due to human nature.
Even if we rationally know that the profit target has not yet been reached, we should continue to hold positions, but the little emotion of longing for peace of mind has been tormenting us, and in the end we couldn't help but close the position, and made a lot of less money. We comfort ourselves that it is all right, at least there is no loss. But in fact, less earning = loss, because the amount you lose next time will be greater than the money you earn. In the long run, your overall loss will be.
There are many such examples, such as betting on the market, heavy trading, unwillingness to admit defeat, stop loss leading to liquidation, etc., are all caused by the aversion to loss in human nature and the fear of failure.
In fact, if we look at the trading market 100 years ago, it is basically the same as the current human nature problem. The weakness of human nature is very strong, and it is also the main reason why traders lose money.
So at the beginning, I asked everyone to ask themselves those questions, just to let everyone understand their own personality, their current situation, and their human nature, so as to help you win certain opportunities in the trading market.
Trading is like a free game. It seems that the threshold is low and no money is required, but in fact some hidden costs are contained in it, and the human nature is clearly played for you. Therefore, before making a transaction, you must have an existing risk expectation, and then think about making money.
Let's Talk About Bad Luck and Downtimes In TradingAbout bad luck and downtimes in trading.
Let's discuss the downtimes that traders may face. While everyone experiences them, some traders can maintain a calm mindset, while others may collapse under the pressure. What sets them apart?
As I mentioned in my previous articles, trading involves risks, much like gambling. If you're seeking a risk-free investment, consider options like bonds or long-term investments.
Even with a positive expected value, trading can encounter terrible consecutive losses. For instance, my index swing trading strategy has a win rate of around 40% and a profit-to-loss ratio of 5 or higher, which sounds promising. However, the reality is that consecutive wins and losses are inevitable. A 40% win rate implies the following chances:
- Around an 8% chance of experiencing five consecutive losses.
- Around a 5% chance of experiencing six consecutive losses.
- Around a 3% chance of experiencing seven consecutive losses.
- Around a 2% chance of experiencing eight consecutive losses.
How many consecutive losses can you handle? Can you keep your emotions in check? Can you survive the phase of self-doubt and questioning the strategy's correctness? These are all crucial factors. The most critical aspect is always capital management, ensuring that you retain profits and avoid being eliminated by the market.
When feeling down, it's essential to accept your emotions and not avoid them. Embrace yourself and the imperfections of your trading. Take a break and improve your mood. Only trade when you can maintain a rational mindset. Go for a walk, chat with your family and friends, enjoy good food, and appreciate the beauty of the world beyond trading.
Although it's against human nature, keeping an open mind and discussing your loss situation with others can be helpful. This helps you face yourself honestly, rather than trading for self-esteem or self-display. Trading goals should focus on making money, self-realization, improving life, and helping those in need. Always remind yourself.
Evaluate the feasibility of the strategy, the ability to withstand consecutive losses, and manage your money well. Be aware that downtimes may occur at any time, but long-term positive expected value trading will lead you in the right direction.
I hope this article can be helpful to you. I'm trader Beta, and you can also find me if you need a psychological coach.
Wish you all the best of Luck while trading.
Two methods to ensure no loss of principal
There are only two ways to avoid losing capital: one is to have a small stop-loss space (reflected in the entry position), and the other is not to bet too much at once. For example, buying one lot with $10,000 can earn $1,000, and buying ten lots with $100,000 can earn $10,000. Although the probability is the same, the more you do, the more you earn, and the less you do, the less you earn. However, controlling losses should be the top priority. As discussed earlier, if you buy too many lots this time and get stopped out, it will result in a big loss, which violates the principle of capital preservation.
Some traders become increasingly greedy after making profits and then add more positions. A typical behavior is adding positions. For example, if you bought 10 lots at first and then made a profit in the expected direction, the trader would blame himself for not buying more at the beginning. Then, he would begin to imagine that the market would continue to move in the expected direction and invest most of his capital in this product, let alone any correct practices such as taking profits in batches.
After you add more positions, it means that the cost has changed. Once the market reverses slightly, you will go from being profitable to losing money. At this point, you panic, lose your ability to think, and greed slowly turns into hope. You hope that this is only temporary, but the losses increase every moment. Perhaps you will have some luck a few times, but it won't be long before there is a risk of a big loss or liquidation.
It is important to understand that becoming rich cannot be achieved by just one market movement, so don't be obsessed with this one time. Greed makes people forget about risk, and don't always imagine that the market will move in the expected direction, ignoring the risk of the opposite trend. This is the key to keeping your capital out of danger.
Follow me, and I will share more interesting ideas that will greatly help your trading.
I Am About To Make Your Day...(I think)Hey trader, I hope you're having a profitable week. ;)
If not, maybe you'll have one with this trade. But before taking it, let me explain how it will unfold.
The price will prepare to drop for the take profit point after it has formed a bearish reversal pattern that guides the price to break and retests its neckline and 8 MA. That's it. Simple, right? Wrong. Because the daily and 4 Hour timeframes had to behave in a certain way before deciding to look for an entry signal on the 1 hour timeframe. Our entry signal can be rejected before or after taking the trade. That will happen if the price bullish breaks and closes above our stop loss key level. With that said, take the trade at your own risk. I'm just sharing my trading journey in this platform. I'm not a financial advisor nor a signal provider.
That's for today. I hope you found value in this trade idea. If you have a different concept in mind, feel free to share it in the comments section below, I'd love to know your thoughts!
Stay Blessed Baby,
Sphatrades.
USDT dominance breakout USDT.D has formed a large ascending triangle which is bullish. if we break upside, we will see huge dump in the market probably the last dump before the rally.
we have to wait for the breakout in order to take the action. whether to short or long the market.
most likely it's gonna break upside. it's bullish pattern also we are in the bear market. so, people will convert their assets into USDT stable coin.
DXY is also bullish but currently testing a major resistance. if it got rejected again then we will see good mini altcoin season after the dump.
don't panic :)
Easy Pizzy, Lemon Squezzy...Hey trader, I hope you having a profitable week. If not, try this:
But first, let me explain how these trades will be triggered. If the price bearish bounces of the 1st 4H Key Lvl and 8 MA with a bullish reversal candle pattern (1st trade) then proceeds to bullish break and retest the 4H H&S Neckline and 2nd 4H Key Lvl (2nd & 3rd trade); according to the 4 hour: the price would be in prep to rally for the H&S L1 and 200 MA; and according to the daily: the price would be bouncing off the 21/8 MA’s with a bullish candle - in prep to rally for the double bottoms neckline and 50 MA, so once that happens, then I should BUY→ E.1 - E.2 - E.3
That's it for today. I hope you found value in this article. If you have a different concept in mind, feel free to share it in the comments section (below), I'd love to know your thoughts!
Stay Blessed Baby,
Sphatrades.
SPX Loss 9-30-22 Too early SPX Loss 9-30-22 Too early
Today attempted buying and loss after jumping in too early with a tight SL. Only used about an 1/8th of my normal lot size so the loss is nothing major at all. Was looking for a move off of the 15m+FVG and it moved instead off of the 15m+OB. Wasn't being patient this morning with this setup and jumped in before the orders came through.
NAS orders didn't come in until the 9:45am candle and I entered the trade around the open ahead of the orders. A little more patience and I at least get to close at BE. So today was a missed trade on the drop and a small L. I'll take that!
Two loss today trading GBPUSD 1H London session- RealtyThe Reality of Trading..
Welcome to the last trading day of the week. Still testing the new methodology of trading An hour everyday. Its a intriguing experience so far & I'm enjoying it. We tool two loss today while trading our method and its part of the game.
Result so far!
1st week- -5r
2nd week- -2r
-4r
What not to do on OPEX daysNot a great day to trade. Perfect example of what not to do on boring slow OPEX days especially after a huge gap down. Should have avoided it or only take A+ set up trades. Got burned and ended up revenge trading in the power hour to gain some losses back, but still ended up red on the day. Anyway, HAPPY MEXICAN INDEPENDENCE DAY!!!
EURGBP Forecast: Will the price rally? EURO POUND NEWS AND ANALYSIS
Recent developments in the UK are pushing the price up. The ECB Press conference might say otherwise at 14:45.
Price is forming a bullish head and shoulder pattern on the monthly that's accompanied by a double bottom on the weekly time frame.
Fundamental Outlook
The pound has been rallying up lately. Market seems to be reacting to the appointment of the new UK's prime minister - Liz Truss, as a leader of the ruling conservative party. The campaign that was ran by Truss had a significant impact because it promised to support households through this time of soaring inflation with tax breaks cited as one of the mechanisms of easing the current cost of living crisis. In addition, Truss plans to assist in the region of 40 billion pounds to business with rising energy costs. Therefore, the promises of relief to households and businesses is likely to support the pound in the short-run.
Monthly Technical Outlook
As you can see, the current price is fully forming the head and shoulder pattern, bullish break and retesting the the 50 and 21 moving average to currently trying to do the same on the Monthly Half a Bat Neckline. If the price does that and continues to rally to break and retest the Monthly H&S Neckline together with bullish crossed short-term moving averages, that will signal an upcoming 3 level uptrend. But if the price bounces off the Monthly H&S Neckline with a bearish reversal pattern that leads the price to bearish break and retest the 50 and 8 moving average, that will signal an upcoming drop. With that said, we're looking at an either or situation.
Weekly Technical Outlook
In the weekly chart image, we have the price currently bullish running in the double bottoms 1st level. The pattern expects the 2nd and 3rd levels to be formed. That will happen if the price continues to bullish break and retest the monthly key levels that are in line with the weekly ones (as you can see). If the price bounces off the Monthly H&S Neckline, that will signal a rejection of both the monthly and weekly signal, which will likely drop the price for the monthly's bearish trend.
That's it for today. I hope you found value in this trade idea. If you have a different concept in mind, feel free to share in the comments section, I'd love to know your thoughts!
Stay Blessed,
Sphatrades.