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Stop Management using trend linesFirst I determine the gradient most important in the currency. I then look for parallels to this. I will enter when I get two touches on the line . I wait for the close price, to make sure that price does not spike down through the sloping line. (No Entry) Depending upon market activity I adjust my stop when price moves up to the next parallel. The closer the stop the more likely you are to get stopped out. Before I entered the trade above I must decide a number of things Is it better to hold BTC or another currency? Should I choose EOS or BCD? Note BCD outperformed EOS by a large margin Does it have a pattern that I can use to trade? Is my risk to reward greater than 5.? Will the entry happen when I am not at my computer? Can I actively manage the trade or will I be unavailable for a few hours? You can see why I exited this trade. The price is stair- stepping down along these ascending parallels. If is gains clear support I would once again consider an entry When traders have lost money in a currency, they often try to regain money in that currency. They then wait and wait for price to go back up. Then they say that there is a great team behind the currency and they are doing a big deal in two weeks that will change everything. Then they become a HODLer . They have changed the original intent of their purchase. On the other hand if you bought (with the PLAN of holding) ETH December 7 then in under 40 days you have 3.5X your value in USD I think that it is usually better to take a break for a few days. Then enter a different currency.
by a1Keith
The markets are there to make you feel stupid or brilliantMany a trader will have made their best analysis based on information at the time and then taken an entry position, only to find that the market does something unexpected. Price may move violently in the wrong direction i.e. not the favoured direction and comes close to a stop loss or actually stopping out the position for a loss. Now with hindsight a trader feels or thinks, " How stupid - I should have seen it coming. I shouldn't have done that. " This happens enough times to new traders. Seasoned traders live with it and have less such self-talk. I think it's important to acknowledge those feelings. These are partly thinking processes and emotional processes. New traders often feel demoralised after 10 or so failures in a row. " Am I doing something wrong? " - they may think. This is a reasonable question. It could be that something is wrong. However, nothing may be found wrong with one's methodology or application of one's personal rules - after a careful reassessment. It's good to check. The BTCUSD chart shows what is some sort of 'head and shoulders' pattern. It's not the best picture of it in the world but something is there. Wherever one takes a position in BTCUSD, it could be wrong. Why? The markets respect no one person. A proportion of traders will have taken a position in this and made some real profits. They will punch the air and with joy go, " YESSSS!! " From my long experience I've learned that 'feelings' of being right or wrong, actually bends the mind a trader. I'm speaking for myself quite clearly. Others may have similar experience. A feeling of being good after a string of wins, often creates a subconscious sense of confidence. Imperceptibly this can creep into future trades and then one realises some major losses. My own strategy is to try at best to reduce trading frequency and exert even greater diligence in entering trades after a series of wins. I aim to expect the unexpected. It's always a tad difficult when I get stopped out for a loss. But I repeat to myself that the stoploss is there to protect against the 'unexpected' - so it's not actually unexpected. It is a limit. It is the expected limit of price moving not in a favoured direction. There is no single path to 'a promised land' in trading. Traders can adopt different methods, different rules, and be consistently profitable. The largest obstacle which is difficult to train out a trader, is their own personal psychology . By this I mean things like attention to detail, biases, emotions, discipline etc. So in many ways feeling stupid or brilliant can affect our future decision-making in imperceptible ways. Traders can lose discipline after losses or big gains. Mark Douglas spoke about these sorts of things. The BTCUSD chart is not intended to attract thoughts on whether to go long or go short. I'm not really interested in whether the H&S is there at all or correctly drawn. I'm taking it beyond that. What happens next to traders who come out of this period - some bruised, some overjoyed? Trading is not about winning one trade or a small handful. It's about the long road ahead. I'm delighted if others can share their experiences.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Captain_Walker
MONERO (XMR/ USD) FUTURE PRICE PREDICTIONS (KRAKEN) HEY GUYS I'VE DECIDED TO SHARE COINS THAT I'M CURRENTLY INTERESTED AND/ OR INVESTED IN. PLEASE LET ME KNOW WHAT YOU WANT TOO. ANYWAY, BLUE LINES ARE MACRO RESIST/ SUPPORT LINES. PURPLE LINES ARE MICRO RESIST/ SUPPORT LINES. BLUE RESIST 1 WILL BE TESTED AT ~$370. IF PRICE ISN'T REJECTED UPTREND WILL CONTINUE AND TEST BLUE RESIST 2 AT ~$415. IF PRICE ISN'T REJECTED BLUE RESIST 3 WILL BE TESTED AT ~$440. ANY REJECTION WILL RESULT IN DIPS (BUY OPPORTUNITIES) BUT I DON'T KNOW THE DEPTH OF THESE DIPS. HAPPY HUNTING MY FRIENDS! ;>
KRAKEN:XMRUSDShort
by BladeCatcher2049
Smart Execution, intelligently use stops to maximize profitThis post is for all those who are asking about the progress of the holy grail project. There are many ideas that are being poured into the project that are making it more and more effective, but this is proving to be one of the more interesting ones. The idea of an adaptive stop loss is nothing new, trailing stops are super common, and many low latency methods employ some linear envelopes in the core of their stop loss methods. What the Holy Grail project is employing and may be somewhat new to the trading world is the idea of a stop loss function whose functional dependencies are dynamic in nature and rely on non-linear combinations. This is naturally accomplishable with the help of exponential smoothing. The Holy grail project had a problem that it would have too many neutral entries and exits, but now these can even lock in profits as they go. The next step will be to look at functional behavior that would warrant reentries, or some sort of stationary stochastic selection process of when to exit trades. Take a look at the plot above. The red line is the reference line, crossovers represent when to enter and exit a trade. The lime and teal lines are the Smart Execution Traces (SETs) and suggest when to exit. Exciting times!
by mcbw_
Selling Position - NZD/USDNZD/USD has rallied by more then 4/5% since May without a pullback. The signs I see is that a divergence has formed on the RSI and the stochastic indicating that its overbought on the weekly (You can see whenever the stochastic hits overbought levels there is a drop) and lastly it has broken through the more then 1 month old trend line and also struggled to breakthrough the resistance trend line which whenever it got tested it has dropped which you can see that a bearish candle has formed when it couldn't breakthrough. With all of these signs I feel that its a SELL .
Short
by Jamal92
Selling Position - CAD/JPYThe CAD/JPY pair has increased by more then 7/8% in a month. The RSI and Stochastic are indicating to me that its seriously overbought and its hitting a very strong resistance that has been around since 2015 so a correction will in order in with all these indication I feel that this is defiantly a sell. Keep in mind that the bank of Canada will more likely increase the interest rates on Wednesday which could cause a mild upside. The reason for me saying this is that this pair has increased 8% in about a month so the price could be already priced in.
Short
by Jamal92
Adobe Trend Reversal or Buy Opportunity? Adobe (ADBE) exploded upwards on Friday, March 16th after reporting their earnings. At the same time, a huge reversal bar formed on the daily chart with the close at $126.94.  The following trading day’s bar closed just below the low confirming a possible reversal of a pretty massive uptrend the stock has been under over the last months. Not to mention, Adobe and Microsoft (MSFT) have announced a joint venture in customer engagement and marketing, as well as an Adobe announcements of new cloud services.  The cloud services could become a new commercial source of revenue, especially with Adobe’s niche in the creative marketplace as opposed to cloud service providers like Amazon’s (AMZN) AWS. But is it time to go short and sell? Well, for now, yes, or with less capital risk, fade the reversal.  Fundamentals for the company are strong, with growth showing in the long term. But our strategy is a swing strategy to take advantage of lower risk opportunities.  This trade with a stop loss above the high of the reversal bar at $130.30 is definitely not the lowest risk of them all, but a credit spread might suffice before a high potential for bullish continuation in the long run. If you’re an options player like myself or a straight underlying trader, then here’s a few sets of trades depending on your investment style. 1)      Short the stock Entry: any price today Stop: $130.31 on market close Trail it after two more days of closing bars until breakeven. If the trend has started in the downward direction, trail it to our middle moving average and follow it until the bulls take over 2)      Credit Spread Sell X Call, 21 Apr 17 Exp, 130 Strike Buy X Call, 21 Apr 17 Exp, 135 Strike Max Profit: ~13% Return on Risk/Investment 3)      Stay on the sidelines, and wait for a buy signal fractal for medium/longer term trade Buy X Amount of Calls, 20 Oct 17 Exp, 115 Strike Again, from a technical standpoint, we currently rate Adobe (ADBE) a Sell in the short term, but the bullish uptrend has a high likelihood of continuing in the medium to longer term due to the fundamental outlook and growth opportunities for the company. Until our next article.
NASDAQ:ADBE
by EdgeAnalytics
Buying Position - AUDCADThe support line has been tested 3 times and the RSI is indicating that this pair is oversold , You can clearly see that whenever the RSI hits those levels of oversold it shot up. I will set this pair for a buy and will hold unto this till around the 1.01600/1.06700 levels. P:S Fundamentals is also saying that there is a lucrative deal occurring for Australia in increasing there Iron ore output to countries like india which will strengthen the Australian currency.
Long
by Jamal92
Buying Position - AUDUSDThe daily candlestic k closed on a strong support which was around since the 18th of January 2017. I have left an order for a buy and will hold to this pair till around the 0.76000 levels . The RSI is also nearing the oversold mark which is another indication that a buy is in order P:S Fundamentals is also saying that there is a lucrative deal occurring for Australia in increasing there Iron ore output to countries like india which will strengthen the Australian currency.
Long
by Jamal92
We Think $SIRI Has Some Sirius PotentialHonestly, I didn't even know Sirius XM was a publicly traded company until 6 months ago. Mainly because it's under $5, and I generally tend to avoid such stocks after getting burned in the penny stock world so many years ago. But SIRI is an interesting ticker, and one we recently acquired quite a sum of shares in for the long run, and by long run, I mean retirement. We bought for multiple reasons, none of which revolve around Warren Buffet's company Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A/B) increased stake in the company; although that can be a nice boost. First, the company declared a quarterly dividend of $.01/share (.04/share/year). Granted, this is not a lucrative dividend amount by a long-shot, but it is one indicator of a fundamental shift in the company's long-term outlook to their business success. In essence, I like to see a company project confidence in their model by thereby rewarding their shareholders, even if it's a little. Oh, and that doesn't mean it won't grow in the future either. Second it's maintained a nice technical uptrend, so we're at least going to ride it for a bit of the long haul.  We've had two entries hit since the stock really started running. Third, we don't like to speculate on the future of a company's capabilities or markets, but due to our knowledge of satellites, I find it interesting that SIRI is named as a potential contender in the "Connected Car". The possibilities of Sirius's S-band downlink being used as a secondary or tertiary backup link, or a data stream to the cars' ability to predict traffic and best routes possibly could be a market entry when the self-driving car technology gains a foothold. This would allow for contractual growth and a steadily grown curve of revenue. For just a minute though, let's get a little crazier and speculate a little bit. Another interesting concept is Sirius' versatility and the company's placement's potential for scale. In reality, Sirius is a Satellite communications provider; it's just a one-way transmission to your car radio. But here's food for thought: satellite phone communications. At the moment, most sat phones are not even worth the average consumer buying due to the high cost of operation ($6/minute) and the infeasibility of carrying a brief case that holds the equipment. But when we looked at SIRI, we look at how other companies might be looking to scale, and how SIRI might do the same. We personally think that there's only so many cell towers one can build, and they only provide coverage in a certain area. Furthermore, the current satellite phone providers such as Iridium, Globalstar, and INMARSAT have a huge cost, and rightly so due to the amount of satellites they've put in orbit to maintain their service provision. But I think Sirius is a well-known consumer brand. Seriously. Ask any person on the street what it is and they'll likely tell you it's a satellite radio. Now tell that same person that Sirius is providing phone services to their iPhone/Android/Pixel. They probably wouldn't be very surprised would they? But how would SIRI do it? Possibly through a joint venture with a company like Google or Android since Apple is a competitor in the online music streaming business. If Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) were to come in, design a proprietary receiver/transmitter into the phone it'd be a win-win for both companies. Also, SIRI would be that service provider undercutting the competition SATCOM providers as well as terrestrial providers like Verizon (NYSE:VZ), T-Mobile (NASDAQ:TMUS) and AT&T (NYSE:T). Thus, Sirius would have then successfully expanded and would gain an insurmountable competitive advantage. The transmission architecture could possibly be supported both through uplink communications to a leased COMSAT (cheaper than building a new one) or through the joint venture to build an entire new constellation. Not to mention, Sirius already has a terrestrial repeater network for their radio services (much like cell towers), and this could have a
NASDAQ:SIRILong
by EdgeAnalytics
Selling Position - GBPUSDA hammer candle has formed on the Orange trend line (Resistance) which is big indication for it to go down but keep note that Teresa May will be talking about brexit on a Tuesday which will cause this pair to be volatile in either position but for Monday, I can clearly see it go all the way to the purple trend line (Support) if the resistance line does not get breached. * Potential for it to go up is possible but due it to it being tested twice and causing it to drop has given me the conclusion for a short
Short
by Jamal92
1
Neutral Position - GOLDThe trend line ( Purple ) has been tested twice and and the resistance ( Green ) that was formed on the the 14th of December was tested and caused a drop on the downside and nearing the trend line. If it breaks through that expect it to hit the 1137.33 levels and if it doesn't breakthrough that and respects the trend line. I will hold the position till it hits the resistance line. . Keep the SL for the buy just below trend line or below the first support level ( 1145.54 ) . Keep the SL for the buy just above the trend line ( 1150.46 )
TVC:GOLD
by Jamal92