Lowe’s (NYSE: NYSE:LOW ), the second-largest home improvement retailer in the U.S., reported its fiscal second-quarter earnings, highlighting a challenging environment marked by weaker-than-expected DIY sales and broader economic pressures. While the company managed to beat earnings expectations, it missed on revenue and subsequently cut its full-year outlook,...
Restoration Hardware on the weekly chart rose from COVID and then retraced for almost two years. It appears now ready to experience some investor and trader interest once again. It is rising from the POC line of its long term volume profile. The trend strength indicator just inflected and curled upward. I like to catch trends early to get as much of a move as...
The Australian dollar took a hit after Australian inflation was lower than expected. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6493, down 0.78%. Australia’s inflation rate remained steady in January at 3.4% y/y, unchanged from December and below the market estimate of 3.6%. This matched the lowest rate of annual inflation since November 2021. The...
Over the last 1 year, LOW has beaten estimates 100% of the time and has beaten revenue estimates 75% of the time. Retailers might see their demand softening as consumers could tighten their purse strings as economists expect a slowdown ahead in the backdrop of higher-for-longer interest rates. The market is growing too negative about the housing DIY market, and...
The Australian dollar has started the week with slight gains. In Monday's European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6464, up 0.21%. The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to hold interest rates at 4.10% when it meets on Tuesday and a rate hike would be a huge surprise. The central bank has paused for two straight meetings and the odds of a third pause stand at...
The Australian dollar continues to swing wildly this week. In Tuesday's European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6630, down 1.30%. On Monday, AUD/USD jumped 1% higher. There were no surprises from the Reserve Bank of Australia, which paused for a second straight month and maintained the cast rate at 4.10%. The money markets had priced in a pause but the...
The Australian dollar has started the week in negative territory. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6816, down 0.32%. The Aussie is coming off a banner week, with gains of 2.18% against the US dollar. The Reserve Bank of Australia releases the minutes of the July 4th meeting on Tuesday. At that meeting, the RBA took a pause and maintained the cash...
The Australian dollar continues to sizzle and has climbed 1.04% on Thursday, after rising 1.56% a day earlier. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6857, close to a 3-week high. Inflation remains the Reserve Bank of Australia's number one priority and Thursday's inflation expectations release vindicated the RBA's concern that inflation expectations...
The Australian dollar has bounced back on Thursday after losing ground on Wednesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6681, up 0.42% on the day. The Australian dollar touched a high of 0.6690 on Wednesday, its highest level in a month. The RBA surprised the markets with a rate hike on Wednesday, noting that inflation had unexpectedly risen in April and GDP in the first...
The Australian dollar has extended its losses on Wednesday. In North American trade, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6824, down 0.47%. Australian wage growth was short of the forecast, with a gain of 0.8% q/q in Q4 2020. This was down from 1.1% in Q3 and below the forecast of 1.0%. Annual wage growth rose to 3.3%, up from 3.2% but below the estimate of 3.5%. This will be...
It has been a disastrous session for AUD/USD, which has plunged 1.26% and is trading at 0.6899. RBA Governor Philip Lowe faced a grilling from Australian lawmakers earlier. Higher rates and high inflation have caused a cost-of-living crisis and the RBA has been heavily criticised for the sharp rate-tightening cycle. Lowe confirmed that more rate hikes were on...
The Australian dollar is in negative territory today. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6739. down 0.43%. US unemployment claims fell to a 3-month low, another indication that the US job market remains robust. Initial unemployment claims fell to 222 thousand, down from 228 thousand and well below the estimate of 240 thousand. This is the...
Lowe recently showed a breakout from bull flag pattern. It is ready to move up. Also its brothers like home depot is moving up. Sector is hot hope you are enjoying my analysis, ideas here are for entertainment and education these are not trading advice
📌 AUD for the Yearly Close It seems a good choice of the moment to also progress with the Commodity Currencies next, the characteristic of the next macro themes are going to be coming from shortages on supply side and we can dissect how to configure that into currencies and in accordance with the previous diagrams. AUD has freed some space above for the...
📍 RBNZ formula So what are we trading here? In this position it would be an obvious mistake to not acknowledge risk sentiment worsening over the weekend as cases continue to escalate, clearly the market is exposed to the storm (that is to say the series of localised lockdowns are a done-deal, the only question remains whether it becomes more widespread). On...
On the macro chart we are still chopping around the same lows that will mark the ending of a currency cycle alongside a turn in commodities. The coronavirus expectation and impact legs are short-circuiting the reflationary trade that markets were so eager to jump on board with towards the back-end of 2019. Sadly numbers outside of China keep growing and...
A superb time to update the AUDNZD chart after a fresh technical breakup yesterday. The Q4 prints from antipodeans is very positive and actually triggering a slightly hawkish tilt by the RBA. Despite the brutal domestic story in Australia with bushfires and coronavirus spillovers, Scott Morrison has done the heavy lifting via housing policies. There is a lot of...
Highlights overnight going to AUD with overshoots in the U-rate as expected. This number is going to trigger the RBA surprise hold that we have been tracking in this diagram: Large hands spotted on the AUD bid last ear and will continue to do so as a lot more unwinding of positions needs to take place from those betting on FURTHER rate cuts. Tracking 0.692x...