UK100 FTSE100 - ABC Correction Uderway?Hello Guys,
The yearly Candle is slightly Bullish - but we did not see a break on a closing base of the crucial 7900 area -> ATH.
A Retest of this area would constitute a Bullish setup - which I would be happy to be part of after the last rallye.
Q2 Close - Doji -> might see a consolidation phase from here with a sideways to down mentality - considering the recent gains the bulls had.
The monthly Bias is Bearish. A Bearish Engulfing Pattern (Although a small one) has been formed. The Stochastic confirms a Bearish Bias - not totally contradicting the higher Timeframes! So Bulls be prepared for some drop… Just an idea from my side. A Double Top at 8400 would be a strong sign of Bears being back.
-> For the bulls 7900 has to hold - for the bears 8400.
Thats all for now…
Thanks for reading
LSE
JET2 PLC ORD GBP 4H LSE AVIATION SECTORJET2 PERFORMING WELL OVERALL SINCE THE COVID CRASH, STRUGGLED TO BREAK PAST THE 3 YEAR RESISTANCE OF APPROX 1403 ON A NUMBER OF OCCASSIONS, RISING WEDGES TEND TO BREAK TO THE DOWNSIDE 68% OF THE TIME,
FUNDAMENTALS ARE BRILLIANT ON THIS ONE. NEW TRAINING CENTRE AND AIRCRAFTS PURCHASES.
Jet2 Plc Market Data
TIDM JET2
Ticker Code JET2.L
ISIN GB00B1722W11
Currency GBX
Issue Country GB
Sector Ticker NMX2770
Year End 31-Mar-2022
Shares in Issue 215m
Market Cap. £2,802m
Market Size 2,000
PE Ratio -8.878
Earnings -147.00
Dividend 3.00
Yield 0.230%
# of Trades 700
Vol Sold 219,018
Vol Bought 96,967
52 Week High 1,394.50
52 Week High Date 08-Mar-2023
52 Week Low 637.40
52 Week Low Date 13-Oct-2022
JET2 Fundamentals
Standard IFRS IFRS IFRS IFRS IFRS
Millions Millions Millions Millions Millions
Income Statement 30 Mar '22 31 Mar '21 30 Mar '21 31 Mar '20 30 Mar '20
Revenue 1,231.70 395.40 395.40 3,584.70 3,584.70
Operating Profit / Loss (323.90) (336.10) (336.10) 184.60 184.60
Net Interest (66.00) (34.60) (34.60) (37.60) (37.60)
Pre Tax Profit (388.80) (369.90) (369.90) 147.70 147.70
Post Tax Profit (315.40) (299.50) (299.50) 111.60 111.60
Profit for the Period (315.40) (271.20) (271.20) 116.00 116.00
Equity Holders of Parent Company (315.40) (271.20) (271.20) 116.00 116.00
Minority Interests n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Continuing EPS
Earnings per Share (Basic) (147.00p) (151.20p) (166.90p) 77.90p 77.90p
Earnings per Share (Diluted) (147.00p) (166.90p) (166.90p) 74.80p 74.80p
Earnings per Share (Adjusted) (147.00p) (166.90p) (166.90p) 75.00p 75.00p
Continuing and Discontinued EPS
Earnings per Share (Basic) (147.00p) (151.20p) (166.90p) 77.90p 77.90p
Earnings per Share (Diluted) (147.00p) (151.20p) (166.90p) 77.80p 77.80p
Earnings per Share (Adjusted) (147.00p) (151.20p) (166.90p) 77.90p 77.90p
Dividend per Share n/a n/a n/a 3.00p 3.00p
Millions Millions Millions Millions Millions
Balance Sheet 30 Mar '22 31 Mar '21 30 Mar '21 31 Mar '20 30 Mar '20
angus energy plc 1D LSE update on fundamentalsLSE:ANGS
Although price has been down last week, in general angs share price has been performing well, and the current drillings has been successfull. as we can see in the chart we are in a uptrend, rising wedge. i see a slow and steady rise this year. A good stock to sit back and let it work for you. JT LSE:ANGS
The calorific value fluctuates within a very narrow but very significant range,
From 01.10.2022 to the Present:
Min 40.33 on 07.10.2022 and Max 41.52 on 26/02/2023 and Mean 41.2170 so the gas quality is of a very good quality look at the Calorific Value Metrics since 03.04.2023 when the Drill for the sidetrack was successfully completed and a gas find confirmed,
During the clean up phase there fluctuations in Calorific Value closely resembled the clusters in early Q3 2022 i.e.Sept 2022 when the Saltfleetby gas supply from the first two wells was being cleaned and tested and consistent supply confirmed,
Now look at how the Calorific value has transitioned since 03.04.2023 and during the past week has steadied and moved closer and closer to the mean value, so normality in supply being restored have the kill fluids being with drawn form the gas supply,
Whilst the wells are distant the supply is being drawn from the same reservoir and because Gas is the least viscous state of matter there effects of working on one well would technically affect the Overall Calorific Value being drawn from the Gas Reservoir so either The Technical Expert at Angus Energy refutes my hypothesis or I believe in the teachings of my Chemistry & Physics masters at school regarding this subject matter,
Regarding Completion of the monthly Hedge it is simple at come stage during the Month of April 2023 there shall be an uplift in Gas being supplied to the grid which is being supplied to the National Grid,
The RNS of 03.04.2023 mentioned the supply was intended to be connected to the Grid during the Week of 07.04.2023 so I have used a simple weighted average calculation of number of days at approx 57,000 Therms and the Number of Days at 98,500 Therms
57,129.36 98,677.99 1.3636 *Current Co-efficient
15 15 30
856,940.40 1,480,170 2,337,110
The longer we go at approx 57,000 Therms the fewer days available at 98,677.99 and hence the lower the monthly mean supply hence there is approximately a financial cost of approximately GB£42,500 differential in supplying at the lower value and the higher per day ,
Hence I now strongly believe an official confirmation regarding connectivity it imminent and no doubt Shell are privy to the metrics during the clean up phase as they must be satisfied regarding purity of supply to the grid and that leads me to infer that Shell may be interested in Buying ANGUS Energy using the Gas and also using their expertise to optimalise the Storage Facilities before transitioning Saltfleetby to a Holding Facility for Carbon capture is is also being commented upon, source lse uk chat
Breakout for a 2,200%-plus return?This is Carclo, an industrial share listed on the London Stock Exchange’s Alternative Investment Market. It looks like it is breaking out from a 68-month decline that, if the past is any guide, could return huge multiples on any investment at this stage.
Some of this company’s subsidiaries have been trading almost 100 years, but this century it has been a hugely volatile share. It began with the general market decline after the dotcom bubble at the turn of the millennium. A major slide in price was triggered in June 2000, bringing it down almost 90% from peak to trough across 33 months.
It took 26 months for the share to rebound to the 50% Fib (this share loves a Fibonacci level) and, after hitting resistance there, retraced to the .382 Fib where it bobbled along for the best part of a year. By August 2007 it had risen 650% from the bottom.
But then came a double top and another major decline, hitting resistance at the 50% Fib in September 2008 and setting eight months’ worth of relative equal highs from there. (A very nice trading range, that.)
Price reversed again at the .236 Fib and this was where the fun started. Across the next four years, Carclo rose 1,000%, trough to peak.
Since that January 2013 peak, another double top almost 10 years ago to the day, Carclo has been in seemingly terminal decline. There can’t be many bulls left to sell and you get the sense capitulation is around the corner.
Although there was a slight recovery in price from November 2014 to June 2017 (31 months), it met resistance at the .236 Fib and rolled over again. The peak-to-trough decline, at the nadir of the Covid lockdowns in 2020, was 99.19%.
But this is no junk share. It has had its problems with its pension liabilities and with debt but it has arranged new banking facilities with its lenders that give it good headroom. Net assets are almost £30m against a market cap of <£10m.
But the key thing is how *every single time* this share has opened on the monthly above the trendline after a multi-month decline, it has sparked a tremendous rally in price over the medium term. It opened above again yesterday. I’m eyeing as my first TP the 50% Fib on the most recent decline, where there are five months of relative equal highs to mitigate.
From there, a return to the .618 Fib on the broader, 67-month downtrend would also draw price to the monthly swing low and ICT fair-value gap from June 2013, which also remains unmitigated. And if you believe in cups and handles and head-and-shoulders patterns, there’s every reason to believe a C&H and inverse H&S could form very soon.
Hitting the .618 Fib at 317p would constitute a near 2,200% return for anyone investing today. Better still, given the current zeitgeist of war and ageing populations, Carclo’s specialisms (e.g. heavy-duty cabling for the aviation industry and technical plastics for the medical sector) could create a new era of enormous value for the business. Who’s to say it wouldn’t rocket beyond old support-and-resistance levels to make new ATHs?
After all, this share has made big, big moves before.
BUT DYOR. GLA.
Breakout about to happen on London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG)Price movement is primarily trapped inside the triangle formation, however if we examine under the bonnet, the most recent lows are high lows, that being said, the corresponding highs are a mixed bag.
The bias for the direction of possible break out is, therefore, slightly tilted towards the upside.
JET2 PLC LSE STOCK MARKET , at support, Long ?LSE:JET2
Jet2 like the rest of the aviation market had a terrible time performance wise due to covid and lock downs, price now at a long term support, i expect it to be respected and bounce from here, perfect place for a buy, fundamentals for Jet are great as well as the technicals which i have indicated in my TA.
JET2 1HOUR LSE UK chart looking ok for swing trades, support and resistance lines drawn. apply stop losses to your trades, good risk management.
jet 2 is great long term stock to hold, but if your want to trade it, they're is plenty opportunities to make money, with good trade setups.
Previous Close 882. 40
Open 895.80
Bid 880.20 x N/A
Ask 883.80 x N/A
Day's Range 874.60 - 910.00
52 Week Range 739.55 - 1,434.19
Volume 101,634
Avg . Volume 663,853
Jet2 has a market capitalization of UK£1.96b,
March 2022, Jet2 had UK £991.7m of debt, up from UK £756.2m a year ago.
balance sheet data, we can see that Jet2 had liabilities of UK£1.68b due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£1.42b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£2.23b and UK£185.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling UK£682.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Jet2 Chart LSE 1D LSE:JET2
chart looking ok for swing trades, support and resistance lines drawn. apply stop losses to your trades, good risk management.
jet 2 is great long term stock to hold, but if your want to trade it, they're is plenty opportunities to make money, with good trade setups.
long at 865.5, stop loss at 846.4 ,take profit at 998.6
Previous Close 882.40
Open 895.80
Bid 880.20 x N/A
Ask 883.80 x N/A
Day's Range 874.60 - 910.00
52 Week Range 739.55 - 1,434.19
Volume 101,634
Avg. Volume 663,853
Jet2 has a market capitalization of UK£1.96b,
March 2022, Jet2 had UK £991.7m of debt, up from UK £756.2m a year ago.
balance sheet data, we can see that Jet2 had liabilities of UK£1.68b due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£1.42b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£2.23b and UK£185.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling UK£682.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
wizz air 4hr for the aviation industry im bullish, making a good pandemic recovery, The aviation market is anticipated to register a CAGR of over 5% during the forecast period (2022 - 2027). it is expected to take 2-3 years to recover completely. However, the return of the Boeing 737MAX into service and the recovery in domestic demand helped the OEMs in obtaining more orders and increasing aircraft deliveries in 2021.
AVACTA Update - Don't sell too earlyThis is a friendly note, just to say, don't sell too early. I don't want you sitting at the dinner table at christmas, with a frown on your face.
Purely from what this chart is saying; forget about all the positive fundamentals going on in the background.
(1) We had an impulse move from the lows down @ ~40p, up back inside the previous range and on to 130p. From which we have seen a healthy correction, and the lows of the previous range held well. Drawing a fibonacci retracement of that move we can see that 0.5 held well (will post image below).
Following this correction we have seen price now break out from previous diagonal resistance.
(2) And now we have the price action and the lagging strand nicely clear of one another and the cloud, across multiple time frames; a bullish scenario. This can be especially said for the last time it broke out on the 4 hour chart. (This is pointed out on the chart).
Now i dont think this break out, combined with the fact that we are above the cloud will be any different from the last break and impulse move.
(3) Now I'm no Elliott wave theory specialist, but having a rudimentary count, means that we are for wave through of the overall 5 wave move, which has a tendency to be the longer extended wave move.
Drawing a fibonacci expansion from the first move, the overhead targets for this 3rd wave are (0.618) ~ 159 ; (1.00) ~ 197 ; (1.6) ~ 260. Don't forget that these 3 waves tend to be constructed of a 5 wave move themselves.
Notice how these numbers line up quite nicely with some historical price action.
Please don't take this as financial advice. These are my own ideas, and putting them here for illustrative purposes.
I wish you all the best as always in your journey.
Train about to leave - Last CallSomething tells me this is your last chance to get on the AVACTA train.
Fundamentals
- We are awaiting the results of phase 1 trials, and all things are pointing for it to be very positive.
- A great pipeline of drug development
- Possible Take-over bids incoming
- With a little research, the list goes on and on to be honest for Avacta.
Charts
- Higher time frame, we have formed this bull flag from the previous impulse move.
- Price action has consolidated and we now have decent accumulation/consolidation under the upper resistance of the flag pattern.
- On to this, price action and lagging span is about to be trading above the ichimoku cloud on pretty much all important time frames. 15 minute through to 1 day. When you get this confluence across time frames it can be very exciting.
Price predictions for me are.
- 140p within 2 weeks
- 200p+ end of September.
GGP Deep DiveHere's a macro macro (1 week chart) deep dive on GGP:
- No fundamentals here, just looking at the chart zoomed way out.
- Price bounced from the 0.786 fibonacci retracement (1 week chart). A good place for an entry, but only in hindsight now.
- Looking for this level to hold ~ 9.44, and on the lower time frames it looks as though price action is trying to form a swing higher low ~10.00.
- One might want to take an entry here in the hope that this higher low plays out and we get a reversal. But we need to go to lower time frames though as to whether or not here would be good for an entry.
- There is an overhead diagonal resistance also, blue line, which is something to keep an eye on.
- Also there is clear resistance, dead centre on the RSI, which makes sense as that price action has been bearish and therefore RSI oscillating below ~50. It would be interesting to see that resistance broken down and for price action to break above the 50 line.
1 hour and 4 hour:
- The price action and ichimoku cloud indicator shows that price action is bearish. On the 1 hour there is even a bear flag forming.
If i was in a position here:
- I would feel that I might have weathered most of the down move, and a relief rally to the upside was on the cards.
If i was taking a position here, 2 options:
(1) take an entry here, and hope the higher low plays out. A stop-loss would sit below, 9.44 (and as such, your price target should reflect this in its risk/reward ratio.
(2) wait for confirmation of an entry on the lower time frames. This might look like a bullish divergence on the 4 hour, or price action unfolding long enough sideways, that you get price action and the lagging span (ichimoku) both above the cloud on the 1 hour (and for a better quality trade) the 4 hour.
Price targets
- On a quick glance, the most immediate price target for me would be 12.82, then 15.32 after that.
BP: Oil on a slippery slope?BP. (BP.) - Short Term - We look to Sell at 382.20 (stop at 404.10)
A bearish Head and Shoulders is forming. An overnight negative theme in Equities has led to a lower open this morning. A break of 365.30 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum. Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 382.20, resulting in improved risk/reward. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 289.00 and 263.30
Resistance: 408.30 / 419.35 / 456.00
Support: 365.30 / 338.05 / 323.70
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
ANTO Short IdeaTypical head and shoulders pattern. Looking to sell once the neckline is broken and closed below. Confirmation on the following day when low of breakdown bar is broken. Profit 1 10.35 and move stop loss to break even. Profit 2 8.75.
If overall market continues to fall it may be worth holding a small position to see if profit target 3 can be hit.
LSEG looking leggy - SELLREASONS TO BE BEARISH
Recently lost the 100 week SMA and just re-tested it for resistance
Fell out of the exponential green top zone in March 2021
As far as the RSI is concerned, broke into the bear zone (below 40) and confirmed it for resistance failing to reclaim 60s
Target of 2,700p would coincide with the 0.618 fib retrace of the entire move from March 2009
This would take us back to Jan 2017 levels
Only saviour for the bulls would be to reclaim the 100 week SMA, given we are still in the upper-half of the exponential channel
That said, with only air below, I don't see the mid-point of the channel (at 6,400p) holding in the months ahead...
Not a terrible risk/reward entry for a short from these highs....
Cineworld: A sad ending to this film Cineworld Group
Short Term - We look to Sell a break of 25.37 (stop at 28.52)
Trades with a bearish descending triangle formation. A move through 25.50 will confirm the bearish momentum. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Trading has been mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 17.68 and 15.10
Resistance: 26.00 / 27.00 / 40.00
Support: 20.00 / 15.00 / 10.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
S4 heading 4 lower prices? S4 Capital
Short Term - We look to Sell at 292 (stop at 314)
We look to sell rallies. Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. The medium term bias remains bearish. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited.
Our profit targets will be 223 and 210
Resistance: 290 / 350 / 500
Support: 250 / 200 / 150
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.