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Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA)

BTC/USD - 1hr chartQuick and dirty BTC/USD 1hr chart update. BTC has found support from its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1hr timeframe. Note that we have expansion of the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands and this expansion is for Positive Momentum. BTC is also back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1h timeframe. A close above the LSMA is considered a Buy Signal for this indicator but if BTC drops then we need a successful re-test as strong support to be sure. Note that BTC is back above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. I have added various support and resistance areas as indicated by the Horizontal Blue Lines with Yellow Shading and various Support and Resistance Lines as indicated by the Blue Lines. As you can see, BTC is also in an Ascending Triangle Pattern on this 1hr timeframe. As you can see, the top of the ascending triangle pattern is a major resistance area. BTC has strong resistance from its resistance area located around $39,489 to $39,738. A successful close above this resistance area and successful re-test as support will eventually send BTC to resistance area located around $40,809 to $40,993. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we need to keep an eye on the MACD Line (Blue Line). If the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) then that will be a Buy Signal for this indicator on this 1hr timeframe. Failure to close a 1hr candle above the resistance area located around $39,489 to $39,738 and successful re-test as support will result in either continued sideways ranging within a range or a drop back to around $38,532 and possibly lower. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
BTC/USDBTC update. Here is a closer look at this 1 day BTC/USD Bitstamp Chart. BTC is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands have started to expand outwards and this expansion is for negative momentum. BTC is also still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1 day timeframe. I have added various support and resistance line as well as various support area on this 1 day timeframe. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crosses below its Signal Line (Orange Line) and dropped below the 0.0 Base Line into the Negative Zone. Note that this is the first drop back into the Negative Zone since 19th Nov 2021 on this 1 day timeframe. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has increased with the -DI (Red Line) rising to 28.86 and Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) at 19.78. Note that the Trend Strength has increased with the ADX (Blue Line) turning slightly sideways at 21.92. Note that the ADX (Blue Line) is still below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 25.21. If BTC closes a daily candle below its $37,780 - $37,168 support zone and that support zone becomes strong resistance then crucial area for BTC is the support area located at around $31,100 to around $28,646. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
VTHO/USDVTHO update and a quick look to the future opportunities that may arise, not just VTHO but all crypto assets, because downtrends don’t last forever. Here is a closer look at this VTHO 1 day chart. At the moment VTHO is below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 day timeframe. A daily close below the LSMA is considered a sell signal. At the moment, VTHO is fighting to stay above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 day timeframe. If VTHO closes below the BB Basis and re-test it as resistance then we should expect VTHO to drop to its BB Lower Band level. VTHO is below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) fro the fixed range of 5x daily candles that i have selected. Zoomed out on this 1 day VTHO chart, the Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) is around $0.001480. For your viewing pleasure i have added various support and resistance areas as highlighted by the Horizontal Black Lines with Yellow shading. I have also added 2 descending support lines (Blue Lines on chart). If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI), we can see that Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 24.29 but Negative Momentum has also dropped with the -DI (Red Lien dropping to 19.04. The Trend Strength is weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 19.19 and still under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) and now under the 20 Threshold. We need the +DI (Green Line) to stay above the -DI (Red Line) on this 1 day timeframe, if not then further downwards momentum will continue. If we look at the STOCHASTIC Indicator (STOCH) we can see that momentum is slightly upwards but i would say sideways within a range at the moment with the %K Line (Blue Line) still under its %D (Orange Line) which is a further sign of upwards strength weakness. Not that the %K Line (Blue Line) still has room to drop before becoming Oversold on this 1 day timeframe. Be on the lookout for when the %K Line (Blue Line) strongly crosses back above the %D (Orange Line) on strong volume. At the moment, like most other cryptos, VTHO is under the influence of BTC. With this mid to potentially long term downtrend, a lot of opportunities will soon arise because downtrends don’t last forever. Previous Volume POCs will potentially become new POCs and become area of strong volume control, be tested again as support and if it holds, it can again offer opportunities to allow you to acquire your crypto of choice at an unbelievable discount. From the 9th Feb 2021 to 16th April 2021, VTHO did a massive rise from its POC starting around $0.00145 and eventually rising to $0.02738………. That is around a 1794% move up! You want to buy near the BOTTOM of that 1794% and sell near the TOP of the 1794% This is just my opinion but a lot of people seem to get caught up in the hype of BTC and ETH and foolishly ignore the low cap coins that can potentually offer much higher returns and i believe that cryptos like VTHO and a few others can offer that once again, especially after this downtrend is over, even if that downtrend takes a year or 2 because we have to factor in what is happening to the economy at the moment, because like it or not, when the stock market crashes……. BTC and most other cryptos will follow. Diversification is key. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
by entertheroach
VET/USDVeChain Update VeChain had broke out of its previous Falling Wedge Pattern but is still in a downwards channel. VeChain failed 4x to close above its sideways Pitchfork Median Line (A,B,C). VeChain has closed below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that a close below the LSMA is considered a sell signal. At the moment, VeChain has found support from its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. A close below the BB Basis and re-test as resistance will be further confirmation of continued downwards momentum on this 1 day timeframe. Note that VeChain is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 10x daily candles that i have selected. Note that VeChain is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) fro this charts visible range. Volume is still low on this Binance chart and the last 4x daily Volume Bars have closed below its Volume 20 Period MA. I have added some areas of potential support as highlighted by the horizontal Black Lines with Yellow Shading. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has overtaken Positive Momentum on this 1 day timeframe because the -DI (Red Line) has crossed back above the +DI (Green Line). The -DI (Red Line) has risen to 22.81 and the +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 18.72. The trend strength is weakening with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping to 24.14 an it is still below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 28.46 and is a further sign of weakening trend strength. Looking at the Elders Force Index (EFI) we can see that the bulls have lost a lot of strength but is sideways at the moment, note that the EFI Line (Red Line) is still above the 0 Base Line. Note that the EFI Line (Red Line) has dropped below its 9 Period EMA (Cyan Line) which is a further sign of weakening bull strength. If the EFI (Red Line) crosses below the 0 Base Line then that means that the Bears have taken full control on this 1 day timeframe. Looking at the STOCHASIC indicator (STOCH) we can see that momentum is downwards at the moment and note that the %K Line (Blue Line) is still below its %D Line (Orange Line). Note that the %K Line (Blue Line) is indicating that VeChain still has room to drop before becoming Oversold on this 1d timeframe. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is point downwards and is still under the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone. The MACD Line (Blue LIne) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) so we need to keep an eye on this as if the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back below the Signal Line (Orange Line), as this will be a sell signal for this indicator on this 1 day timeframe. There are a few things to look out for if you are uncertain if or when to go long, be on the lookout for a successful daily close above the LSMA, the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis and The Pitchfork Median Line as well as keeping an eye out for any successful retest of those levels as support. With any rise, you need to also keep an eye on the volume as ideally you want any sustainable rise to be supported by increasing volume strength. Also be on the lookout for if/when VeChain crosses back above the upper descending trend-line of the descending channel as well as any successful retest of that previous resistance as support. So at the moment, it looks like there will be some really good opportunities coming up to acquire more VeChain or your crypto of choice at a much cheaper price. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
MATIC/USDHere is a closer look at this MATIC 1d Binance chart. MATIC is in a massive Ascending Triangle Pattern on the 1 day chart. An Ascending Triangle Pattern is potentially a Bullish Continuation Pattern. The APEX of this Triangle Pattern is around July 2022. For your viewing pleasure, I have added various support and resistance lines within this Ascending Triangle. At the moment, MATIC is ABOVE its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 day timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands are converging inwards indicating volatility has slowed at the moment. Note that MATIC is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1 day timeframe. MATIC is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 11x daily candle that i have selected. Note that MATIC is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. Note that Volume is still low on this Binance chart and note that the last 8x Volume Bars have been BELOW its Volume 20 Period MA. Looking at the Average Direction Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is still strong but has lost some strength with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping slightly to 27.562 below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 27.585. Note that Negative Momentum has dropped sharply with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 26.771. Positive Mmentum has also dropped slightly but not as sharply with the +DI (Green Line) at 18.693. For sustainable upwards momentum to continue, we need the +DI (Green Line) to CROSS back ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) on this 1 day timeframe. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that momentum is upwards at the moment and the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still ABOVE its Signal Line (Orange Line) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been above the 0.0 Base Line in the Positive Zone since 7th Jan 2022 on this 1 day timeframe. Be on the lookout for when the MACD Line crosses back above the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone. Taking a quick look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that momentum at the moment is slightly downwards. Not that the RSI (Purple Line) is still ABOVE its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of upwards momentum strength at the moment. Be on the lookout just incase the RSI (Purple Line) drops more and crosses back below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line). MATIC needs to stay above the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and the LSMA indicator for any longterm upwards momentum to be sustainable. If BTC takes another nose dive and causes MATIC to drop downwards out of the Ascending Triangle Pattern then MATIC may drop to its VPVR POC around $0.83 so we need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing as BTC still controls the market direction. If the Ascending Triangle Pattern stays valid, then MATIC may be in for a big move up to possibly well above $10 if it successfully breaks back above the Ascending Triangle Resistance line. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
M
by entertheroach
1
ADA/USDHere is a closer look at this ADA 1 day Binance chart. As you can see, ADA is in a massive Descending Triangle Pattern. A Descending Triangle Pattern is potentially a Bearish Continuation Pattern. Note that ADA is still ABOVE its Longterm Pitchfork Median Line on this 1 day timeframe. ADA is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 day timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands are starting to contract and pinch inwards. At the moment ADA is above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 day timeframe. Volume is still low on this Binance daily chart and note that the last 13x daily Volume Bars have been below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. At the moment ADA is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 12x daily candles that i have selected. If we zoom in on the chart, at the moment ADA is below its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is very weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 16.185 and dropping below the 20 Threshold and under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 18.559. Positive Momentum has increased with the +DI (Green Line) dropping slightly to 21.931. Negative Momentum has decreased with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 20.268. We need the +DI (Green line) to stay above the -DI (Red Line) and move further apart. Taking a quick look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is upwards at the moment and it is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) but note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still under the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been above the 0.0 Base Line in the Positive Zone since 20th Jan 2022 on this 1 day timeframe. Taking a quick look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that momentum is downwards art the moment and note that the RSI (Purple Line) is still above its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) but because momentum is downwards we need to keep an eye on the RSI (Purple Line) the close it gets to its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line). At the moment i still think it's Sideways at best or Downwards at worst for ADA. For any longterm recovery to become sustainable for ADA, we need ADA to make a higher high and CLOSE a daily candle ABOVE the $1.63 blue highlighted area. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by entertheroach
4
BTC/USDToday could be a very crucial daily candle close for BTC. Note that if this daily candle closes ABOVE the Descending Trend-line, it will also close ABOVE the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 day timeframe. Note that if/when BTC closes a daily candle ABOVE the BB Middle Band Basis, it will be the first time it has done so since the 27th December 2021. If/when BTC closes a daily candle ABOVE the Descending Trend-line then a successful re-test as support will be crucial for continued upwards momentum and proof that the bottom has now been and gone. Failure to close a daily candle ABOVE the Descending Trend-line will result in more downside momentum.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
5
BTC/USD - Ascending TriangleHere is a quick BTC 4hr Chart update. At the moment, BTC is in an Ascending Triangle Pattern on this 4hr timeframe. An Ascending Triangle Pattern is a potential Bullish Continuation Pattern. At the moment, BTC is above its Bollinger Bands Middle Bands Basis 20 period SMA on this 4hr timeframe. At the moment, BTC is above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 4hr timeframe. At the moment, BTC is back in the Bullish Zone of the Ichhimoku Cloud back above its Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) resistance Level on this 4hr timeframe. At the moment, BTC is back above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 11x 4hr candles that i have selected. At the moment, the MACD Line is still above the 0.0 Base Line in the Positive Zone and is also still above its Signal Line on this 4hr timeframe. For the upside, be on the lookout for a successful break ABOVE the Horizontal Resistance Line of the Ascending Triangle and any successful re-test as support. For the downside, be on the lookout for a break BELOW the Ascending Support Line of the Ascending Triangle and any successful re-test as resistance. It should be an interesting couple of hours.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
2
VET/USD - Potential Bullish DivergenceWe have a potential Bullish Divergence with the Price on the VET Chart and the MACD Line on the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator as indicated by the Converging Blue Lines. Note that the MACD RED Histograms have also shrunk in size, confirmation will be if the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) is showing that VET has plenty of room to move up before entering the Overbought Zone on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the %K (Blue Line) is still above the %D (Orange Line). At the moment of typing this, VET is fighting stay above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1d timeframe. A successful daily candle CLOSE above the LSMA on this 1 day timeframe will be considered a Buy Signal for this indicator. At the moment VET is back above its Bollinger Bands Lower Band but note that VET is still well below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 day timeframe. For any recovery to become sustainable longterm, we need the Price to CLOSE above the BB Middle Band Basis with a successful re-test as support on this 1 day timeframe. VET is also in a Falling Wedge Pattern on this 1 day timeframe. A Falling Wedge Pattern is a potential Reversal Pattern. Note that the APEX of the Falling Wedge Pattern is at $0.026 which is around 22nd March 2022. At the moment of typing this, VET is back above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 6x daily candles that i have selected. Obviously VET is still under the influence of BTC so we have to keep an eye on what BTC is doing as a drop with BTC will drag all alts down with it. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
2
BTC/USD updateLet’s have a look at BTC/USD using as many indicators as i can. The purpose of my post as always is not price predication but more education on what these various indicators and squiggly lines are indicating. As you can see on this Bitstamp 1d chart, BTC is in a Descending Triangle Pattern ‘potentially a Bearish Continuation’ as well as a Falling Wedge Pattern ‘potentially a Bullish Reversal’ on this 1d timeframe. If we look at the Schiff Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C) we can see that BTC is still below the Schiff Pitchfork Median Line. BTC is still above its Lower Yellow Schiff Pitchfork Support Line, a close below this level will possibly result in BTC revisiting its previous low of around $39,580, a close below that will take BTC down to its 50% Trend-Based Fib Extension level at around $38,536. At the moment BTC is fighting to get back above its 38.2% Trend-Based Fib Extension Level. BTC is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Note that the Middle, Upper and Lower Bands are all sloping downwards and we have slight expansion of the Lower Band. BTC is getting really close to to testing its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) as support on this 1d timeframe. If BTC closes a daily candle below the LSMA then that is potentially a sell signal. Looking at the Ichimoku Cloud with the 20,60,120,30 settings: The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid Point of the Short-Term momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid Point of the Mid-Term momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that the momentum at the moment is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the price from 30 Periods ago, this is not good a good sign. BTC is still well within the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud, note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) resistance level is pointing downwards further confirming nagative momentum. We should expect even more of a drop if the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) starts to point downwards in parallel with the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A). Let’s take a look at 4 different Momentum Indicators and see what each are telling us on this 1d timeframe. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is pointing slightly downwards at the moment indicating slight Negative Momentum. The MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) but it is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line and note that the Green Histograms are getting lighter and decreasing in size. If the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back under the Signal Line (Orange Line) then that will be a sell signal on this 1d timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since 18th Nov 2021. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum is still strong with the -DI (Red Line) at 27.83 and it is still above its +DI (Green Line) which has dropped to 12.05. Note that the Trend Strength is increasing with the ADX (Orange Line) rising to 36.88 and it is still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 36.55. Note that the +DI (Green Line) has not been above the -DI (Red Line) since 15th Nov 2021. Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) we can see that accumulation has actually increased with the CMF (Green Line) rising up from -0.24 on the 5h Jan to 0.01 just above the 0.0 Base Line. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is still above its 9 Period EMA (Cyan Line) indicating accumulation strength on this 1d timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) has popped out of the Negative Zone at the moment, note that the CMF has not closed in the Accumulation Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since 24th Dec 2021. Look for a successful daily close above the 0.0 Base Line If we look at the Elder Force Index (EFI) we can clearly see that the Bears are still in control because the EFI Line (Red Line) is still under the 0 Base Line indicating a Negative Elder Force. Note that the EFI Line (Red Line) is also starting to point downwards. If the EFI Line (Red Line) crosses back below its 9 Period EMA (Cyan Line) then that may see continued and faster negative momentum for BTC on this 1d timeframe. Note that the EFI Line (Red Line) has not produced a strong Positive Elder Force signal since 15th Nov 2021. Here is a closer look at this Bitstamp 1d BTC chart: So what does all this tell me for the medium to longterm, it tells me that for the medium to longterm unless BTC starts CLOSING daily candles ABOVE key levels like the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis and the Schiff Pitchfork Median Line on this 1d timeframe then we will see continued downwards momentum at worst or sideways momentum within a range at best. The LSMA is a key indicator to watch on this 1d timeframe, just trace back on the chart to see what may happen when the price successfully closes ABOVE or BELOW the LSMA indicator. I hope this post helpful with your understanding of what the above indictors are indicating and i hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
8
VET/USD - updateVET an in-depth 1day chart analysis: If you look at my previous 3 VET charts and press play, you can see that VET has dropped out of its Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the 1d timeframe. VET is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Not that the Middle Band is moving downwards and so is the Upper and Lower Bands. VET is testing its Descending Pitchfork Pattern Median Line, if VET drops below this line the we can expect VET to drop to $0.068 again. Note that VET is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) level at the moment. The LSMA Level is near the Pitchfork Median Line so if VET drops below the Pitchfork Median Line then it may also drop below the LSMA as this area is a crucial support. Note that if VET CLOSES a daily candle BELOW the LSMA then that will be considered a sell signal on this 1d timeframe for this indicator. Note that VET is also in a Descending Triangle Pattern on this 1d timeframe. Note that a Descending triangle Pattern is a potentially a Bearish Pattern. For your viewing pleasure i have added various Support and Resistance Lines as well as a few Support and Resistance Areas. Volume is still very low on this Binance 1d chart and note that VET has not closed a daily Volume Bar above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average since the 10th Jan and note that that Volume Bar closed n the red. VET is fighting to stay above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for the Fixed Range of 8x daily candle s that i have selected. VET is also under its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has increased with the -D (Red Line) rising to 17.64 and Positive Momentum has decreased with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 13.96. Not that the Trend Strength is very weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 15.21 and still under its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 17.73. Note that the ADX (Orange Line) is still under the 20 Threshold. If we look at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that Momentum is downwards at the moment and note that the %K (Blue Line) is still below its %D (Orange Line) on this 1d timeframe. If VET drops below its Pitchfork Median Line and LSMA then we will see the %K (Blue Line) enter back into the Oversold Zone agin on this 1d timeframe. If we look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is sideways for this indicator and note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line). Note that Upwards momentum has weakened because today’s MACD Histogram Bar has decreased in size and has lightened. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Lien) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line and has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since the 21st Nov 2021. If we look at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) we can see that the CMF (Green Line) is still under the 0.0 Base Line in the Distribution Zone. However the CMF (Green Line) is pointing upwards indicating that Accumulation is increasing and this is confirmed by the CMF (Green Line) being above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Cyan Line) which is a sign of accumulation strength. For accumulation strength to be sustainable, we need the CMF (Green Line) to eventually cross back above the 0.0 Base Line back into the Accumulation Zone on this 1d timeframe. At the moment VET is fully under the control of BTC and in what direction BTC goes in. As you can clearly see from this Binance daily chart, Volume is still very VERY LOW for VET as well as for the overall crypto market in general. As we can see, the Market Makers are focusing on other select cryptos at the moment like ADA, but that rise is also being slowed because of BTC’s drop and control of the market. Overall there seems to be a lack of Market Maker Liquidity being traded at the moment. There is a lot of talk about VET rising BUT any rise NEEDS to be backed up by INCREASING LARGE VOLUME to remain sustainable for the longterm. I would not get excited until Volume Increased and VET crosses above and more importantly CLOSES a daily candle ABOVE the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and successfully ret-test it as support on this 1d timeframe. So overall there may be some more really good opportunities to acquire more VET at a much cheaper price. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ng. NOTES: LSMA = Yellow Squiggly Line on chart Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on Chart VPFR POC = Short Horizontal White Dashed Line on Chart VPVR POC = Long Horizontal White Dashed Line on Chart Support and Resistance Areas = Parallel White Lines with Yellow Shading on Chart Volume Bars = Red and Green Bars bottom on Chart Volume MA = Orange Line going through Volume Bars on Chart Pitchfork Median Line = Long Descending Thin White Dashed Line on Chart
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
2
ADA/USD - updateWe have seen a very nice rise with ADAUSD since the 11th Jan with increasing Volume on this Binance 1d chart. The only issue at the moment is that BTC is dragging everything down with it so ADA is having trouble maintaining its rise at the moment. ADA is above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and note that we have expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands and this expansion is for positive momentum. Not that ADA is above its Bollinger Bands Upper band so a retracement back under the Upper Band shouldn’t come as a surprise. Note that ADA is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe. ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud but note that ADA has risen and is now getting close to the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) resistance Level. Note that ADA is still above its Longterm Pitchfork Median Line on this 1d timeframe. ADA is still above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 8x daily candles that i have selected. ADA is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. Note that Volume has increased and yesterday’s Volume Bar closed above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average and today’s Volume Bar will also close above it. If we look at the Moving Average Convergence Diveragnce (MACD), we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crossed back over the Signal Line (Orange Line) generating a Buy Signal on the 13th-14th Jan and note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is very close to crossing back over the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone of the MACD indicator. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since the 17th Sept 2021 so this will be an important move. If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the +DI (Green Line) is at 25.30 and has crossed back over the -DI (Red Line) which is at 14.28. this means that Positive Momentum is stronger then Negative Momentum on this 1d timeframe. Note that the Trend Strength is slightly weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 18.94 under it s 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 19.85 and under the 20 Threshold. Note that the ADX (Orange Line) is pointing upwards so we may see another massive increased positive rise if the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (White Line) and the 20 Threshold level. If we look at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that the %K (Blue Line) is in the Overbought Zone of this indicator. The %K (Blue Line) is pointing downwards but it is still above its %D (Orange Line). Be on the lookout for if the %K (Blue Line) stays above the %D (Orange Line) or crosses back below it. Note that because the %K (Blue Line) is in the Overbought Zone that doesn't see that it will drop out of it because the %K (Blue Line) can range sideways in the Overbought Zone for a prolonged period of time. Here is a wider look at this 1d chart. With such a rise it is not uncommon for the price to drop back under its Upper Bollinger Band before continuing upwards. If Upwards Momentum continues being strong then we may see ADA walk up along its Upper Band for a few days. As usual with BTC dropping, BTC is dragging everything down with it and slowing ADA’s rise, so we have to keep an eye on what BTC is doing because if BTC drops under $40K, then that will continue to drag ADA and all other alts down with it. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by entertheroach
1
BTC/USD updateI have added a Schiff Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C) to this 1d timeframe. As you can clearly see, BTC tested the Schiff Pitchfork Median Line 7x as support and then that support failed on the 8th time and BTC has closed well below its Schiff Pitchfork Median Line. At the moment, BTC has found some support from its support area highlighted with White Dotted Lines with Yellow Shading. Note that BTC bounced off this support yesterday and today. BTC is below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Note that we have expansion of the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands and this expansion is for negative momentum. BTC is below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe. A successful close below the LSMA indicator is considered a sell signal on this indicator and a close above is a buy signal. Note that BTC has not closed a daily candle above its LSMA since the 27th Dec 2021. At the moment of typing this, BTC is trying to stay above the Neckline of the Head and Shoulders Pattern that it is in. Expect further downwards momentum if BTC closes a daily candle below the H&S Neckline. Note that Volume has increased and that the last 2 Daily Volume Bars have closed above its Volume 20 Period MA and today’s volume bar will also close above it. I have added a Trend-Based Fib Extension, you can see that BTC is broken way below its 23.60% level so if the Support Zone fails the next level will be the 38.20% level. Note that a 100% retracement would take BTC to $24,947. If we look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that we have had a SELL SIGNAL on this 1d chart as you can clearly see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crossed back under the Signal Line (Orange Line). The MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is still downwards on this 1d timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line on this 1d timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since 18th Nov 2021 on this 1d timeframe. If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has dramatically increased with the -DI (Red Line) dropping slightly to 30.47. Positive Momentum has dramatically decreased with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 10.93. Note that the Trend Strength has increased in strength with the ADX (Orange Line) at 32.60 and is back above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 31.31. Note that the +DI (Green Line) has not been above the -DI (Red Line) since the 15th Nov 2021 on this 1d timeframe. If we look at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) we can see that the CMF Line (Green Line) is under the 0 Base Line and in the Distribution Zone. Note that the CMF (Green Line) has not been in the Accumulation Zone above the 0 Base Line since the 24th December 2021. Note that the CMF (Green Line) has risen but is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Cyan Line) which is a sign of positive weakness on this 1d timeframe. Be on the lookout for when the CMF (Green Line) successfully crosses above the LSMA (Cyan Line) on this 1d timeframe. If we take a look at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that the %K (Blue Line) is still in the Oversold Zone and has crossed back back above the %D (Orange Line). The STOCH is indicating that momentum at the moment is downwards and note that the %K (Blue Line) is starting to look like it may cross back under the %D (Orange Line) on this 1d timeframe. Here is a closer Look at this BTC 1d chart. So what does all this mean to me? If i was waiting to go LONG then i would not get excited until i start to see the MACD Line (Blue Line) move upwards back towards the Signal Line (Orange Line) indicating a potential Buy Signal might be happening. For the LONGTERM, be on the lookout for if/when the +DI (Green Line) crosses back above the -DI (Red Line) on the ADX DI, as well as the CMF (Green line) crossing back above the 0 Base Line into the Accumulation Zone of the CMF indicator on this 1d timeframe. We need BTC to eventually cross above and more importantly CLOSE a daily candle above the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and the LSMA on this 1d timeframe. If this happens, be on the lookout for any successful re-test of any previous resistance levels as support. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hold-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
5
VeChain 1d chart - still on Low VolumeVeChain Update: VeChain is still in its massive Symmetrical Triangle Pattern as indicated by the converging ascending and descending dotted trend-lines. At the moment, VeChain is trying to stay above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. VeChain need to close this daily candle above the BB Basis. Note that Lower Band is moving upwards and the Upper band is moving sideways. VeChain is still below its least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe. If you are waiting to go long using this indicator then wait until a daily candle closes back above the LSMA level. Note that VeChain is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. At the moment, VeChain is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 6x daily candles that i have selected. At the moment, VeChain is below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. Note Volume is still very ow on this Binance 1d chart, and note that the last 6x daily Volume Bars have been way below its Volume 20 period MA. We need to see rises on increasing volume for any upwards momentum to be sustained. I have added some key support and resistance areas indicated by the Black Horizontal Parallel Lines with Orange Shading. I have also added some key support and resistance lines and indicated by the various dashed, solid and dotted lines. If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 19.45. Positive Momentum has also dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 16.09. Note that the Trend Strength has weakened with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping to 25.24 and is still below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 30.19. For any upwards momentum to be sustained, we need the ADX (Orange Line) to stay above the 20 Threshold (Black Dashed Line) and we 100% need the +DI (Green Line) to cross back above the -DI (Red Line) on this 1d timeframe. If we take a look at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the %K (Blue Line) is fighting to stay above its %D (Orange Line). The %K (Blue Line) needs to stay above the %D (Orange Line) for continued upwards momentum. If the %K (Blue Line) drops and stays below the %D (Orange Line) then we will see further drops on this 1d timeframe. Here is a wider look at this 1d chart, you can clearly see the difference in Volume that VeChain has now compared to what VeChain has experienced in the past. At the moment Volume is very, very low. So what does all this mean to me? I would be very suspicious of any rise happening on really low volume. For me, I wouldn’t get excited by any rise unless its on increasing Volume. As always, we need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing as Bitcoin is still in a H&S Pattern. Be on the lookout for a successful break above the LSMA indicator level and any successful re-test as support as well as the +DI (Green Line) crossing back above the -DI (Red Line) on the ADX DI indicator on this 1d timeframe. I hope you’ve found it helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
1
VeChain - 1d chart updateVeChain is still within its Massive Symmetrical Triangle on this 1d timeframe. VeChain is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands are still pinching inwards so that means the Bollinger Bands have a lot of room to expand before becoming over extended. Note that VeChain is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe. VeChain is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud for this 1d timeframe. VeChain still has a mountain to climb before it can attempt to get back into the Equilibrium Zone and then back into the Bullish Zone. At the moment, VeChain is above its VPFR POC for the Fixed Range of 11x daily candles that i have selected. A very good sign will be if VeChain closes this daily candle above this VPFR POC. At the moment, VeChain is above its VPVR POC for this charts Visible Range. A very good sign will be if VeChain closes this daily candle above this VPVR POC. Volume is still low on this Binance Chart, but note that yesterday’s 1d Volume Bar closed above its Volume 20 Period MA. If we look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is upwards and note that it is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line). The MACD Line (Blue Line) is still under the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone, be on the lookout for when the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone on this 1d timeframe. If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength has dropped slightly with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping to 43.05 and dropping below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 44.21. Note that the -DI (Red Line) has dropped to 22.52 indicating Negative Momentum has dropped. Note that the +DI (Green Line) is slightly sideways at the moment at 13.49. Be on the lookout for when the +DI (Green Line) crosses back above the -DI (Red Line) as this will indicate that Positive Momentum has become DOMINANT over Negative Momentum on this 1d timeframe. Here is a wider look at this 1d chart: I have added 2 areas of interest on this chart indicated by the Horizontal Parallel Black Lines with Yellow Shading. The bottom area is our major support area that VeChain must keep closing above. The top area is the next major area of resistance that VeChain must break back above and more importantly CLOSE a daily candle above this area of resistance. Keep an eye out for any successful re-test a support if there is a breakout. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
2
ADA - another 1d chart updateAt the moment, ADA is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle,Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1d timeframe. ADA needs to close this daily candle above the BB Middle Band Basis. Note that it looks like the Upper and Lower Bands may start pinching inwards if a significant new high or low cannot be achieved. ADA has found some resistance from its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1d timeframe. Note that the LSMA is currently at the Horizontal Resistance Line (Dotted Line) at $1.382. Note that ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. ADA is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 8x 1d candles that i have selected. At the moment, ADA is fighting to stay above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR POC) for this charts visible Range. A daily close above this level is crucial for continued upwards momentum. Note that the last 3 Volume Bars closed above its Volume 20 Period MA. I have added some key Resistance and Support Areas indicated by the Horizontal Parallel Black Line with Yellow Shading. If we take a look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line and is indicating momentum is sideways at the moment. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) for this 1d timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since the 17th Sept 2021. Looking at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that momentum at the moment is upwards, we may see more upwards momentum on this 1d timeframe if the %K (Blue Line) successfully crosses back above the %D (Orange Line) and stays above it. If we take a look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) its looking scary as the +DI (Green Line) is at 18.301 and has crossed back under the -DI (Red Line) which is at 18.401 indicating that Negative Momentum has overtaken Positive Momentum on this 1d timeframe. We 100% need the +DI (Green Line) to cross back above the -DI (Red Line) on this 1d timeframe. Note that the Trend Strength has dropped with the ADX (Orange Line) at 24.445 and it is below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 30.164 further indicating the Trend Strength is indeed becoming weak. At the moment, from my perspective it’s looking like SIDEWAYS within a range at best or DOWNWARDS at worst for ADA. Be on the lookout for any successful close above the BB Middle Basis and successfully re-test as support on this 1d timeframe. As always, we need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing because BTC is in a H&S Pattern. If BTC drops below and more importantly CLOSES below the Neckline of the H&S Pattern then that will effect all alts including ADA in a negative way. I hope you have found this ADA analysis post helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing. Notes: LSMA = Black Squiggly line on Chart Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on Chart Resistance and Support Areas = Horizontal Parallel Black Lines with Yellow Shading on Chart Volume Bars = Bars Bottom of Chart Volume 20 MA = Orange Line going through Volume Bars on Chart Ichimoku Cloud = Red and Green Cloud on Chart VPFR POC = Short Horizontal Blue Line on Chart VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Blue Line on Chart
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by entertheroach
8
BTC - Heads Shoulders Knees and ToesBTC is still below The Median Line of its Longterm Upwards Pitchfork Pattern on this 1d timeframe. Note that BTC has not closed a daily candle below the Lower Yellow Pitchfork Support Line since the 7th Nov 2020. Note that BTC has previously found support from this Lower Yellow Pitchfork Support Line on the 20th and 21st of July 2021. BTC is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Not that the Upper and Lower Bands are still heading slightly sideways but we do have a bit of expansion so we should expect more negative expansion if the price continues to drop. BTC is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe. A close above the LSMA is a BUY signal and a close below the LSMA is a SELL signal for this indicator. The Head and Shoulders Pattern is still running its course. BTC needs to stay above the Lower Support Area i have indicated or next stop will be the H&S Neckline. BTC is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this chart’s Visible Range. BTC is below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 13x 1d candles that i have selected. Note that the last 2 Volume Bars have closed above its Volume 20 Period MA and they closed in the red. I have added a Trend-Based Fib Extension which show a few potential Fib levels that could be used for potential profit taking if you are short. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating that we may possibly see a SELL signal on this indicator because you can clearly see that the MACD (Blue Line) is very close to crossing back under the Signal Line (Orange Line), which is a sell signal for this indicator. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line. If we look at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH), we can see that the %K (Blue Line) is still under its %D (Orange Line) and is also in the Oversold Zone under the 20 Line. At the moment, if the %K (Blue Line) crosses back above the %D (Orange Line) I personally would not jump in on a long using this indicator alone, i would asses how the daily candle closed as well to check if there is any potential Divergence between the STOCH and the price. If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is strong with the ADX (Orange Line) rising to 30.55. We may see the ADX (Orange Line) cross back above its 9 Period EMA (Black line) which is at 32.39 and would be a further sign of the Trend Strength. The -DI (Red Line) is at 31.92 and way above its +DI (Green Line) which is at 16.06. This indicates that Negative Momentum is hugely dominant over Positive Momentum on this 1d timeframe. For your viewing pleasure, here is a closer look at this 1d chart. For your viewing pleasure, here is a wider look at the Longterm Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C) on this 1d chart. Looking at the previous 6d Chart i did, note that BTC is 2 days aways from closing this 6d candle which may potentially close as a BEARISH ENGULFING Candle on the 6d timeframe. But a lot can happen and change in 2 days. So what does all this mean? If the MACD produces a SELL Signal on this 1d timeframe then we will see further drops on this 1d timeframe. If BTC crosses below and more importantly CLOSES a daily candle below its CRUCIAL Lower Yellow Pitchfork Support Line then that becomes resistance and we should expect that BTC will eventually cross under the H&S neckline leading to even further drops that may be cushioned by some of the Trend-Based Fib Extension levels. In any case, a lot can happen in 2 days but at the moment it looks like there may still be some really good buying opportunities coming up for all crypto in general. I hope you have found this analysis post helpful with your trading and hodl-ing. Notes: LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on chart Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on chart Pitchfork Pattern = Follow the A,B,C VPFR POC = Short Horizontal Blue Dotted Line on chart VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Blue Dotted Line on chart Support and Resistance Areas = Black Horizontal Lines with Blue Shading on chart H&S Pattern = You know where that is ;-)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
3
BTC - needs to Invalidate the H&S Pattern on the 6d ChartBTC is potentially in a Head and Shoulders Pattern on this 6d chart, and you can also see clearly this on the weekly as well. Ideally, BTC needs to CLOSE this 6d Candle above the Dashed Resistance Line at around $53,148. If not, then the next 6d Candle will suffice. Failure to do so may validate the Right Shoulder and if BTC drops below the H&S Neckline then a potentially much bigger drop can be expected. BTC is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 6d timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands are moving sideways. Note that BTC is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 6d timeframe. Be on the lookout for a 6d Candle CLOSE above the LSMA as that will be a BUY signal for traders who use this indicator on this 6d timeframe. BTC is still above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 4x 6d Candles that i have selected. We 100% need BTC to CLOSE this 6d Candle above this level. Note that the Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range is at $56,375 so BTC is not that far away from it. We can expect some resistance around this level. Volume is still low on this Bitstamp 6d Chart and note that the last 2x 6d Volume Bars have been below its Volume 20 Period SMA. I have highlighted 2 potentially crucial Support Areas for this 6d timeframe. The first is at $40,879 - $39,511 and the next one is $31,037 - $28,622. Let’s take a look at 3 Momentum Indicators, the STOCH, MACD and the ADX DI and see what each is actually indicating: If we take a look at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH), The %K Line (Blue Line) is indicating that momentum is upwards at the moment. The %K Line (Blue Line) is still relatively low and has a lot of room to move up before breaking into the Overbought Zone above 80 on this 6d timeframe. Note that at the moment the %K Line (Blue Line) is above its %D Line (Orange Line). If we look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still under its (Signal Line). We need the MACD Line (Blue Line) to cross back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) as this will be a BUY SIGNAL for this indicator on this 6d timeframe. Not that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above the 0.0 Base Line in the Positive Zone. If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line) at 21.72 and Positive Momentum has risen with the +DI (Green Line) at 17.55. Note that the trend strength has lost a bit of strength with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping to 21.67 and it is still below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 23.61. We need the ADX (Orange Line) to stay above the 20 Threshold (Dashed Black Line) and we need the +DI (Green Line) to cross back above the -DI (Red Line) on this 6d timeframe for any LONGTERM recovery to become sustainable and real. Note that all of these indicators can be used and applied in whatever trading timeframe you are in. So what does all this mean. Simply put…. BTC needs to CLOSE above the Dashed Resistance Line. If you are waiting for full Bullish confirmation on this longterm 6d timeframe, then be on the lookout for when BTC manages to CLOSE a 6d Candle ABOVE the Dashed Resistance Line invalidating the H&S Pattern. After that, we need BTC to break back above and more importantly CLOSE above the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis and then the LSMA on this 6d timeframe. Also be on the lookout for any successful re-test of a previous resistance as support. Note that there is always a possibility that if BTC cannot break above and more importantly CLOSE above the Dashed Resistance Line, then it may still invalidate the H&S pattern by ranging sideways within a range for a prolonged period of time. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing. Notes: LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on chart Bollinger Bands = Yellow Bands on chart VPFR POC = Short Horizontal Red Dotted Line on chart VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Red Dotted Line on chart Support Areas = Black Horizontal Lines with Yellow Shading on chart H&S Pattern = You know where that is ;-)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
4
BTC - 4hr chart updateBTC is still below its Descending Trend-line. BTC needs to break back above and more importantly CLOSE back above the Descending Trend-line before any long term recovery to the upside becomes concrete. BTC is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. BTC has dropped back under its Upper Bollinger Band which is expected after a large rise and expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands, so we may see some consolidation sideways within a range before the next big move. At the moment, BTC is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 4hr timeframe. A candle close above the LSMA is considered a buy signal for this indicator. At the moment, BTC is in the Equilibrium Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud using the 20,60,120,30 settings. Note that BTC has found some support near its Ichimoku cloud Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) support level. At the moment of typing this, BTC is below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 8x 4hr candles that i have selected. BTC needs to close a 4hr candle above this level. Note that BTC is also still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. Note that the last 8x 4hr Volume Bars have been above its Volume 20 Period MA. If we look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crossed back over and above the Signal Line (Orange Line) which is a buy signal. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has also crossed back above the 0.0 Basle Line and is now in the Positive Zone for this 4hr timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is the highest it has been in the Positive Zone since the 1st Dec 2021. If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Positive Momentum has dropped slightly on this 4hr timeframe with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 25.97. Negative Momentum has also dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 13.99. Note that the Trend Strength is still slightly weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 19.65 and still under the 0.0 Threshold. Note however that the ADX (Orange Line) is above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) 18.58. The +DI (Green Line) need to stay ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) on this 4hr timeframe for any long term recovery to the upside to last. If BTC can eventually make it back above and more importantly CLOSE back above the Descending Trend-line then BTC will possibly rise to about $53,360 where it will find its next major resistance. The next major resistance after that will be the VPVR POC around $57,175. If BTC cannot close back above the Descending Trend-line then BTC will eventually make its way to its major support level between $45,820 - $45,409. If that Major Support Area fails then BTC will drop back to around $41,900. If BTC does turn downwards, then the LSMA and the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis will be crucial support levels on this 4hr timeframe. Here is a closer look at this 4hr chart. I hope this post is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing. Notes: LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on chart Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on chart Ichimoku Cloud = Green and Red Cloud pattern on chart VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Red Dotted Lines on chart VPFR POC = Short Horizontal Red Dotted Lines on chart Descending Trend-line = Descending Black Line on chart Resistance and Support Lines = Descending and Ascending Dotted Lines on chart Major Support Area = Bottom Horizontal Parallel Lines with Yellow Shading on chart Possible Next Resistance Area = Top Horizontal Parallel Lines with Yellow Shading on chart
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
4
VTHO - 1d chart updateVTHO is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands are moving sideways and have plenty of room to expand. VTHO is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe. VTHO is still above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 5x daily candles i have elected. At the moment, VTHO is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this chart’s Visible Range. Note that Volume has been increasing but the last 13x Volume Bars have closed below its Volume 20 Period MA. If we look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) and is indicating Momentum is upwards at the moment on this 1d timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) still has a long way to go before crossing back over the 0.0 Base Line back into the Positive Zone. If we look at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that the %K Line (Blue Line) is above its %D Line (Orange Line) and has now crossed into the Overbought Zone. Being in the Overbought Zone doesn’t mean the %K Line will drop as it can go slightly higher and even range sideways within a range in the Overbought Zone for a prolonged period of time. If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 21.60. Positive momentum has risen but is now slightly sloping down at 18.40. Not that the Trend Strength is still strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 25.26 but note that the ADX (Orange Line) has dropped below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 26.86 so the ADX has lost some Trend Strength but its still good because the ADX is still above the 20 Threshold. Be on the lookout for when the +DI (Green Line) crosses back ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) which will indicate that Positive Momentum is now dominant over Negative Momentum on this 1d timeframe. Here is a wider view of this VTHO 1d chart: Note that VTHO is in a Massive Symmetrical Triangle Type Pattern on this 1d timeframe. I have added a few Support and Resistance Areas of interest indicted by Horizontal Black Lines with yellow Shading. At the moment VTHO is trying to get back above its first resistance area. A successful close above this level will be a very good sign for continued upwards momentum. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing, Notes: LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on chart Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on chart VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Red Dotted Lines on chart VPFR POC = Short Horizontal Red Dotted Lines on chart Resistance and Support Area = Horizontal Parallel Lines with Yellow Shading on chart
by entertheroach
ADA - quick 1d chart updateADA is trying to close a daily candle back above its Falling Wedge Pattern. If ADA manages to close today's candle above the Falling Wedge Pattern then its next resistance will be found at around the $1.415 - $1.451 resistance area. ADA is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe and has successfully re-tested it as support. Note that the Upper and lower bands have a lot of room to expand before becoming over extended on this 1d timeframe. Note that ADA is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1d timframe. Note that ADA is still deep in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud and has a long way to go before it attempts to enter the Equilibrium Zone and then back into the Bullish Zone on this 1d timeframe. Note that ADA is above its VPFR POC for the fixed range of 7x Daily Candles that i have selected. Note that ADA still has a long way to go before it closes above its VPVR POC for this charts Visible Range. Note that Volume is still low on this Binance Chart but yesterdays Volume Bar did close slightly above its Volume 20 Period MA. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is upwards at the moment and note that it has been above the Signal Line (Orange Line) since the 15th Dec. The MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line so be on the when the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone on this 1d timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone sine 17th Sept 2021 on this 1d timeframe. Be on the lookout for any successful re-test as support of the Upper Descending Trend-line of the Falling Wedge Pattern. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by entertheroach
BTC - Descending Triangle on the 4hrBTC is in a Descending Triangle Pattern on the 4hr. A Descending Triangle is a Bearish Chart Pattern. Note that BTC has bounced off the base of the Descending Triangle 5 times as support. BTC is still under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 4hr timeframe. BTC has dropped under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) and it looks like BTC will close this 4hr Candle below the LSMA which will be a sell signal for this indicator. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has also gone negative into a sell signal. If you are waiting to go long with BTC, I would tread very carefully as there could potentially be much lower prices coming up if BTC breaks below and more importantly closes below the Descending Triangle. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach