BCOUSD : LONG (TF = 2H)I also think about the expectations for crude oil for brent oil .
The average analyst forecast for Brent oil in 2019 is $ 70.
My personal opinion is that brent oil should be between $ 60- $ 65 under the current conditions.
This week's news feed could give us the jump we expected and this band's bottom may be upper than 60 dollars.
Since our time frame is small, this trade involves a lot of risks.
To mitigate these risks, I recommend:
RISK/REWARD RATIO : 1/3
POSITION SIZE : %1
STOPLOSS : 62.870
GOAL : 65.897
NOTE : A question came to me: Is the position still the same even if the bigger timeframes ?
My opinion is that the position size in each time period smaller than the weekly time period should be 1%.
Lstm
XAUUSD : LONG (TF = 3H )I thought it appropriate to share my last thought about gold as a new idea.
RISK / REWARD RATIO = 1/2.39
POSITION SIZE : %1
STOPLOSS : 1465.51
GOAL : 1493.927
In our previous analysis, the tightness of our stoploss scissors caused us trouble.
I share my current idea with a new one.
You can see my previous analysis in related ideas.
S&P500 : LONG (TF = 2H )Unfortunately, it is a trade opportunity that we see a little late.
It could be safer if we saw it after the closing.
I still want to be in the game.
I've added a short-term idea below as an extension.
But with the following parameters:
RISK/REWARD RATIO : 1/3
POSITION SIZE : %1
STOPLOSS : 3105.3
GOAL : 3155.5 - 3155.8
GOLD : LONG (TF = 1H)I think that gold prices may increase slightly.
This trade is my view only in the 1 hour period.
I usually don't believe in processing less than a week's time bars, but this position can be called to stay a bit in the game.
There are risks.
So the following parameters can make this trade more risk-free:
RISK / REWARD RATIO : 1/3
POSITION SIZE : % 1
STOPLOSS : 1463.618
GOAL : 1481.273
XRPUSD : LONG (TF = 2H )Ripple is trying to wake up from sleep.
Will it be able to enter a new parallel channel?
This trade is very risky.I share it quickly because the volatility is very high even when i'm writing them.
RISK/REWARD RATIO : 1/3
POSITION SIZE : %1 ( %1 OF CAPITAL FOR CRYPTOCURRENCY TRADING )
STOPLOSS : 0.26193
GOAL : 0.28110
WTI : LONG (TF = 1H)Will rock oil trade be banned or not?
Will the trade agreements between America and China go positively?
Personally, I think the equilibrium range of crude oil prices is $ 55-60.
Although I consider these time periods very risky, I think that the positive scenarios should be evaluated as follows to stay in the game:
(If there is a positive news flow, the stop loss may be slightly stretched.I hope we don't have to :) )
RISK/REWARD RATIO = 1/3
POSITION SIZE = %1
STOPLOSS : 57.379
GOAL : 59.334
BTCUSD : LONG (TF = 1H )Hello, this is a new analysis.
To tell you the truth, I don't believe in timeframe < 1D
I've shared an analysis I like below.
Mine is a little more medium term.
But to be in the game is very important, this analysis contains parameters as follows:
Position size:% 1
Stoploss: 8479
Goal: 8720 (Supply and Demand Resistance )
Development Log for Neural Network PrototypeThe idea, at the core:
Port a limited RNN/LSTM Neural Network model from Python with a reduced training set and dimension size for layers to demonstrate that a fully functional (even if limited) Neural Net can work in Pine.
Limited model + having the python code on hand = Able to test and verify components in Pine at every step, in theory
The model/script I'm attempting to implement a limited subset of is detailed here:
iamtrask.github.io
A dataset in binary is required, but binary does not exist in pinescript, thus:
To do this, decimal to binary and binary to decimal functions are required. This didn't exist previously - I've written a script to accomplish just that:
Originally, this was going to have a input_dim of 2, hidden_dim of 16, but I've changed the hidden_dim to 8 (binary dimensions from 8 to 5) to reduce the dataset range to max 32 while I figure out to implement working pseudo-arrays and state updates. I've looked at RicardoSantos's scripts for Markov and Pseudoarrays, and will be using them as a reference going forward.
I've verified the output of the Sigmoid function and 1st derivative of the Sigmoid function in Python for values of (-1,0,0.5,1 ). I've yet to publish the Sigmoid script pending approval from TV moderators about including python code that is commented out at the bottom to verify the results of that script.
What I'm trying to do here with training dataset generation was unsuccessful, for multiple reasons:
Lack of formal array constructs in pine
Psuedorandom Number generator limitations
Manual state weighting and updating as per RicardoSantos's Function Markov Process is required:
What's being plotted for are the first three layers, but without the full range of the input_dimensions, hidden_dimensions:
syn_0 (blue)
syn_1 (green)
syn_h (red)
While there's more than a few technical hurdles to overcome (i.e. potential pine issues from max variables to runtime/compile limits, no real arrays, functions to do state updates RichardoSantos Markov Function style, etc), I'm fairly confident a limited working model should be possible to create in Pine.