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EURUSD 30 Jan 2024 W5 - Intraday Analysis - EU GDP / US JobsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 30 Jan 2024 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bearish In Swing Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS. This Bullish iBOS failed to continue Bullish and we changed to Bearish INT Structure which means that the Swing Pullback Phase is not over. We are also within the 4H Swing Demand/Discount so keep in mind that at anytime the Swing Continuation could start. More price development needed with the current PA. 3. As the INT Structure turned Bearish, we resumed again the Swing Pullback which in my opinion going to target the Swing Low. After iBOS we expect a Pullback, CHoCH is the first sign that the INT Structure Pullback is starting. Will be waiting for 15m to align with the 4H request to start a pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Swing turned Bearish again after mitigating a HTF Supply. After a BOS we expect a pullback, INT structure turned Bullish to facilitate the Swing Pullback where we reached the EQ. Expectation that we are going to target the 15m Weak Swing Low but be mindful that we are currently in Bullish INT Structure. 3. We are currently in Pullback Phase of the Bullish INT Structure. But after the 4H Bearish iBOS the momentum is to the down side. Shorts are the preferred option until the 15m Swing turns Bullish to facilitate the 4H INT Bearish Structure Pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 29 Jan 2024 W5 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 29 Jan 2024 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H demand zones and ranged. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS. This Bullish iBOS indicates that the 4H Swing Pullback had finished and we are starting the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation Phase to target the Weak 4H Swing High. 3. Bullish INT Structure after mitigating the 4H/Daily demand Zones. As we are starting the Swing Continuation Phase, this INT Structure Low is the last structure point to hold for the 4H Swing Continuation Phase. If it failed, there is a high probability that we will target the 4H Swing Low. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Swing turned Bearish after failing at HTF Supply. After a BOS we expect a pullback, INT structure turned Bullish to facilitate the Swing Pullback where we reached the EQ and mitigated the 4H Supply. Expectation that we are going to target the 15m Weak Swing Low but be mindful that we are currently in Bullish INT Structure and the 4H Demand formed after sweeping the LIQ below the 4H Strong INT Low. Wouldn't be much convinced to Short in a 4H Demand Zone. So waiting for more price development. 3. We are currently in Pullback Phase of the Bullish INT Structure and mitigating the 4H Demand Zone. With Swing is Bearish and INT Bullish and we are in Swing Discount, it makes it tough for me to prefer a trade. I'd prefer a new structure after the BOS down or iBOS up.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 26 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - US PCEThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H demand zones and ranged. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS. This Bullish iBOS indicates that the 4H Swing Pullback had finished and we are starting the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation Phase to target the Weak 4H Swing High. 3. Bullish INT Structure after mitigating the 4H/Daily demand Zones. As we are starting the Swing Continuation Phase, this INT Structure Low is the last structure point to hold for the 4H Swing Continuation Phase. If it failed, there is a high probability that we will target the 4H Swing Low. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish INT INT Bearish At Swing Extreme 2. Swing turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H/Daily Demand zones as expected yesterday. After the BOS we expect a 15m Swing pullback which we are already in this phase after the Bearish CHoCH. INT Structure turned bearish to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback. 3. Price currently at the Extreme Swing low and there is a high probability that we are going to take the 15m Strong Swing Low according to the Bearish PA.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 25 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - EU Rate / US GDPThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 25 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H demand zones and ranged. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS. This Bullish iBOS indicates that the 4H Swing Pullback had finished and we are starting the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation Phase to target the Weak 4H Swing High. 3. Bullish INT Structure after mitigating the 4H/Daily demand Zones. As we are starting the Swing Continuation Phase, this INT Structure Low is the last structure point to hold for the 4H Swing Continuation Phase. If it failed, there is a high probability that we will target the 4H Swing Low. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish INT INT Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H/Daily Demand zones as expected yesterday. After the BOS we expect a 15m Swing pullback which we are already in this phase after the Bearish CHoCH. Currently price reached the EQ and 15m/4H demand zones for potential continuation of the Bullish Swing and targeting the Weak Swing High. The 4H Demand is big so be cautious of a deeper pullback within the Swing. My expectations that we will continue Bullish as long we don't close below the 15m Swing Low. 3. Extreme 15m Swing Demand.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 24 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - EU PMI / US PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H demand zones and ranged. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range. Still the OF is bearish and if the 4H Bullish swing is going to continue Bullish we need to see bullish reaction at least a bullish CHoCH. On the flip side, if these demand zones failed to hold, there is a high probability that the Bearish Daily/Weekly structures are in play and we are in a HTF Bearish move. Let's see the LTF development to have a clear guide. 3. Price reached the Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside. As OF is bearish we need to see the formation of demand at least with a Bullish CHoCH and that demand to hold. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continued Bearish with the recent BOS. After the Swing BOS we expect a Pullback to start, which is currently reacting from the 4H/Daily Demand zones. As per the structure, expectations that the Swing will continue bearish and there is a potential short plays from the 15m/4H Supply within the Swing. (This will solidify the point that the 4H Swing low is the target) But be mindful that we had mitigated a HTF POIs (4H/Daily Demands) in a Bullish 4H Swing so there is also high expectations that the current 15m Swing High could be taken out and turn bullish to confirm the 4H Swing Pullback is over and we are in the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation. Following the structure is the optimum way and we have now 2 scenarios with HTF narratives. Lets wait for price to guide us. 3. Price had tapped into 4H/Daily demand zones and initiated the 15m Swing Pullback. After the ChoCH we will have a confirmed Swing Low.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 23 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - EU Cons. ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m Note: Nothing changed much since yesterday and yesterday analysis still the same. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Pullback Phase 2. INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase. Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone. Just to note that we didn't mitigate any HTF POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase. 3. INT structure continuing Bullish again with Bullish iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. No HP demand zones except the one presented which is also not positioned well within the new INT Structure. Waiting for more price development with expectations for price to continue bullish respecting the INT Low. 4. Weak Swing low is still holding which means that the Swing pullback still active and we will have a deeper swing pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 22 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Pullback Phase 2. INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase. Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone. Just to note that we didn't mitigate any HTF POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase. 3. INT structure continuing Bullish again with Bullish iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. No HP demand zones except the one presented which is also not positioned well within the new INT Structure. Waiting for more price development with expectations for price to continue bullish respecting the INT Low. 4. Weak Swing low is still holding which means that the Swing pullback still active and we will have a deeper swing pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 19 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - EU Con ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Pullback Phase 2. INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase. Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone. Just to note that we didn't mitigate any POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase. 3. Currently the new INT structure is Bullish and we had reached the extreme and price respected the INT Low and continued up. Expectation that we are going to target the INT High as long we respect the Swing Low. Also there is a high probability that we may break the Swing low as we didn't mitigate any HP POI to initiate a pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
XAU/USD 18 Jan 2024 Intraday Analysis-> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal Bearish. -> Has reached EQ. After the swing BOS price aggressively moved to the upside. First structural sign of pullback initiation was the bearish iBOS. Price pulled back to beyond EQ where we saw reaction at POI's. Price printed double bullish iBOS to confirm swing pullback phase is complete. Currently internal structure is bearish. After iBOS we expect pullback which is underway. CHoCH and H4 supply POI where price is anticipated to react, however, it is to be approached with caution as POI is positioned in discount. Price did as anticipated with weak internal low being targeted priced at 2013.390.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD 17 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - US Retail/ EU CPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bearish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase signaling that we still looking for deeper pullback to the next Daily/4H Demand zones. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish 2. Finally we are out of the range where the Swing turned bearish signaling the expectation that if the Swing turned bearish then the 4H is having a deep pullback phase within the 4H Bullish Swing. After a BOS we expect a pullback phase to initiate and we will be looking for Bullish iBOS to confirm Swing Low and the initiation of the Swing pullback. I'll be cautious that after range we were in the momentum will be aggressive and pullback may not happen directly and following the current INT structure will be the safe option. 3. INT structure is continuing bearish and i would expect the continuation bearish till we reach the Daily/4H Demand zone as current targets. No HP supply zone within the current INT structure as all are mitigated. I'll be waiting for the next INT structure for Shorts if we didn't reach the Daily/4H Demand zones first.
by Amr-Sadek
XAU/USD H4 ANALYSIS-> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal Bearish. -> Has reached EQ. After the swing BOS price aggressively moved to the upside. First structural sign of pullback initiation was the bearish iBOS. Price pulled back to beyond EQ where we saw reaction at POI's. Price printed double bullish iBOS to confirm swing pullback phase is complete. Currently internal structure is bearish. After iBOS we expect pullback which is underway Price reached internal EQ and reacted at a POI. Expectation is for price to target weak internal low.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD 16 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - German CPI/ZEWThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 16 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Still price is ranging and i'm waiting for a break out of that range. Order flow on 4H is currently bearish within the INT Structure so my expectation is to stay bearish and may target the 15m Swing Low. A formation of Bearish Structure will indicate that the 4H Swing pullback is not yet done and we may have a deep pullback within the 4H Swing. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bearish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging. 3. It's clear now that after NFP and CPI the market is in indecision phase and needs a catalyst to get out of the range. For me price still Bullish until we have a Bearish Swing (Solid close below Swing Low) I'll be waiting for more price development outside the range we are currently in.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 15 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - US HolidayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : No much development in price since NFP (2 Weeks). Can't see suitable option within that range knowing that it's a big range. But best is always wait for the setups that you are trained on and not to force a setup in current market behavior. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging. 3. It's clear now that after NFP and CPI the market is in indecision phase and needs a catalyst to get out of the range. For me price still Bullish until we have a Bearish Swing (Solid close below Swing Low) I'll be waiting for more price development outside the range we are currently in.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 12 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - US PPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Nothing changed much also yesterday even with CPI news. a whole ranging week and i wish we get out of that range today so we can have better opportunities next week. Wishing everyone a good weekend. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now we are currently ranging. For me it's clear now that market is waiting for CPI news today which will will provide us a clear view for next week. 3. After CPI news yesterday, we pushed above range high (NFP High) which enabled me after to mark INT Structure high as we did a CHoCH. Currently we still ranging inside the INT Structure. My Bias still Bullish till we see bearish Structures.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 11 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - US CPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Nothing changed since yesterday too, price still ranging since last Friday NFP and market waiting US CPI Today. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging. For me it's clear now that market is waiting for CPI news today which will will provide us a clear view for next week.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 10 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysishis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 10 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Nothing changed since yesterday too, price still ranging since last Friday NFP and market waiting US CPI on Thursday 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging. For me it's clear now that market is waiting for CPI news tomorrow which will will provide us a clear view for next week.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 9 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - US Trade BalanceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 9 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Nothing changed since yesterday, price still ranging since last Friday NFP and market waiting US CPI on Thursday 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. After the recent Bullish BOS price started a series of Bearish INT Structures to facilitate the Swing Pull Back. 3. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a fresh 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is the last demand zone in order for the 15m Swing to stay bullish. If failed, then we will have a deeper push down and the 4H will have the second view for deep Swing Pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 8 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - EUR Retail Sales This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. After the recent Bullish BOS price started a series of Bearish INT Structures to facilitate the Swing Pull Back. 3. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a fresh 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is the last demand zone in order for the 15m Swing to stay bullish. If failed, then we will have a deeper push down and the 4H will have the second view for deep Swing Pullback. 4. Potential demand zone within the Swing extreme.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 22 Dec 2023 Intraday Analysis - US PCE / Last Post 2023This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ/Extreme 2. INT structure turned bullish as expected and we are currently in 4H Swing continuation targeting the Weak Swing High and maybe more above. After the iBOS we would expect a pullback but be mindful with the current solid bullish momentum and that we are currently Pro Swing and Pro Internal, pullbacks will not be deep so be patient and cautious and utilize LTF to guide you. 3. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 4. Price had mitigated the Daily/4H Supply zones and currently close to the Weak Swing High. Price reacted as expected from the 4H demand zone and we are currently in the same momentum to target the 4H Weak Swing High. In my POV the current reaction from the 4H/Daily Supply zones is not yet reflecting as a rejection as the reaction didn't achieve anything significant even no Fractal CHoCH. So as long we stay bullish and demand holding we are still solidly bullish. Also as we are approaching the end of the year, moves will not be in momentum so i recommend to better observe the market and prepare yourself to the next year runs. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. We created a BOS as expected and we are in the Swing continuation to target the 4H Weak Swing High. After a BOS we expect a pullback and first sign will be a Bearish CHoCH to confirm the INT High. But be mindful that we are in 4H Swing Continuation to i don't expect much pullback before we take out the 4H Weak Swing High. A note from yesterday that the Internal to Internal Structure (Was mapped in Green) became now the Internal Structure.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 21 Dec 2023 Intraday Analysis - US GDPThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE Nothing changed much. Price still ranging without any clear momentum. It's the end of the year and with thin liquidity we will have such behaviors. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ/Extreme 2. INT structure turned bullish as expected and we are currently in 4H Swing continuation targeting the Weak Swing High and maybe more above. After the iBOS we would expect a pullback but be mindful with the current solid bullish momentum and that we are currently Pro Swing and Pro Internal, pullbacks will not be deep so be patient and cautious and utilize LTF to guide you. 3. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 4. Price had mitigated the Daily/4H Supply zones and currently close to the Weak Swing High. Price reacted as expected from the 4H demand zone and we are currently in the same momentum to target the 4H Weak Swing High. In my POV the current reaction from the 4H/Daily Supply zones is not yet reflecting as a rejection as the reaction didn't achieve anything significant even no Fractal CHoCH. So as long we stay bullish and demand holding we are still solidly bullish. Also as we are approaching the end of the year, moves will not be in momentum so i recommend to better observe the market and prepare yourself to the next year runs. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish INT INT Bullish 2. After the Swing BOS price is currently in a Pullback Phase. INT structure turned bearish to facilitate the Swing Pullback. Price currently is ranging due to the Pullback Phase and the Bullish Continuation. Still our expectations is that price going to target the 15m / 4H Weak Swing High. This view will be invalidated temporarily if we created a bearish iBOS (Break of INT Low) which will lead to a deep pullback. As i'm expecting price will not be clear as we are close to year end and liquidity becoming thin. Observation and working on personal improvements is the best practice currently.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 20 Dec 2023 Intraday Analysis - EU/US Consumer ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 20 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ/Extreme 2. INT structure turned bullish as expected and we are currently in 4H Swing continuation targeting the Weak Swing High and maybe more above. After the iBOS we would expect a pullback but be mindful with the current solid bullish momentum and that we are currently Pro Swing and Pro Internal, pullbacks will not be deep so be patient and cautious and utilize LTF to guide you. 3. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 4. Price had mitigated the Daily/4H Supply zones and currently close to the Weak Swing High. Price reacted as expected from the 4H demand zone and we are currently in the same momentum to target the 4H Weak Swing High. In my POV the current reaction from the 4H/Daily Supply zones is not yet reflecting as a rejection as the reaction didn't achieve anything significant even no Fractal CHoCH. So as long we stay bullish and demand holding we are still solidly bullish. Also as we are approaching the end of the year, moves will not be in momentum so i recommend to better observe the market and prepare yourself to the next year runs. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish INT INT Bullish 2. Price created a bearish iBOS which confirms a Swing High. We are currently in the Swing pullback phase which means we are in a short term bearish momentum to facilitate the Swing pullback. We have some potential supply zones for Shorts to play the Swing Pullback as long we didn't reach the Swing EQ/Discount. We had mitigated the extreme supply withing the INT structure but the INT INT Structure is Still Solid Bullish. We need an iiBOS to confirm that the INT pullback is over and we can look for Shorts to play the 15m Swing Pullback. But be mindful that we are in the 4H Bullish Continuation Phase and we are targeting the Weak Swing High on 4H and also on 15m, so Shorts are risky that's why we need a solid structure breaks to confirm the bearish move.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 19 Dec 2023 Intraday Analysis - EUR CPI This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE: Nothing changed since yesterday, price is ranging within a tide range and maybe with CPI today we can see some movement. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ/Extreme 2. INT structure turned bullish as expected and we are currently in 4H Swing continuation targeting the Weak Swing High and maybe more above. After the iBOS we would expect a pullback but be mindful with the current solid bullish momentum and that we are currently Pro Swing and Pro Internal, pullbacks will not be deep so be patient and cautious and utilize LTF to guide you. 3. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 4. Price is currently at the Daily/4H Supply zones and Weak Swing High. Price had mitigated the Daily/4H Supply zones formed when we started the Swing Pullback. Currently price at a 4H Demand zone and the Zone low is the current Liq which price could sweep and continue up again targeting the Weak Swing High. As we are approaching the end of the year, better to observe the market and prepare yourself to the next year runs. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. Price created a bearish iBOS which confirms a Swing High. We are currently in the Swing pullback phase which means we are in a short term bearish momentum to facilitate the Swing pullback. We have some potential supply zones for Shorts to play the Swing Pullback as long we didn't reach the Swing EQ/Discount. I prefer the upper 2 zones as they are positioned in the Premium and they can potentially categorized as FLIP zones. For Swing bullish continuation, I'm looking on the 4H/15m Demand zone to look for reaction from for Longs as long the Strong Swing Low will Hold.
by Amr-Sadek