Lucid
Lucid Stock Dips Under $3 Ahead of Big Milestone—Should You Buy?Lucid Motors, the Saudi-backed luxury EV startup, is approaching its make-or-break moment. After the company exceeded its production target and delivered a record number of Air sedans, its first and only model, Lucid is getting ready to release its SUV, the Lucid Gravity. Game changer? Or more like... game on? Let’s find out.
Lucid stock LCID slipped under the $3 handle on Wednesday after it had advanced all the way to $3.60 on the upbeat news that it delivered a record number of luxury EV sedans in the fourth quarter.
Lucid, which is backed by Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, delivered a record 3,099 Air sedans in the three months to December, up from 2,781 units in the prior three-month stretch.
What’s more, Lucid exceeded its own production guidance for 2024 — 9,029 slick-looking wheels rolled off the assembly line, surpassing the 9,000 projected. Deliveries for the full 2024 came in at 10,241.
Now, the next milestone looms. The commercial launch of its sports utility vehicle (SUV) — Lucid Gravity is nearly here. The bad boy is already available for purchase and it’s getting ready to hit the roads in the coming weeks. The company kicked off production on time, as promised, before the end of 2024 and opened the hotline for orders .
The Gravity SUV is charged up to the teeth, able to drive farther than any Tesla TSLA . A unit of the higher-spec grade will run you about $95,000 and flexes 450 miles (roughly 720 kilometers) on a single charge, compared to Tesla’s max range of about 350 miles (560 kilometers). As a bonus, it boasts ultrafast charging times.
“We have achieved this with an impressively small battery pack compared to competitors. This is critical to preserving earth’s precious resources,” CEO Peter Rawlinson said in a statement on Monday.
Now let’s talk share price. The soft launch of the Lucid Gravity, followed by the record Q4 delivery figure fueled a wave of buying. In December alone, Lucid shares added more than 40% to their valuation, going from $2 to around $3.
But that’s 70% lower than the stock’s price tag on the first day it floated shares back in 2021 via a SPAC reverse merger. In all fairness, it’s excruciatingly difficult to navigate the challenging EV market , not to mention the vast universe of auto makers . And Rawlinson already knows it — he is the former Tesla Model S chief engineer.
Investors are ramping up hopes that the commercial release of the Lucid Gravity will help lift up the languishing share price. The company, however, is expected to continue burning cash (i.e. no profits any time soon) for the sake of expanding its production and maintaining sales growth. For the third quarter of last year, the net loss was $992.5 million, up from $630.9 million in the year-ago quarter.
Now everything hinges on the new SUV and its appeal to customers. The next step is to get it inside more than 50 showrooms for test drives, marketing and sales.
“Once we have produced those vehicles, we’ll start delivering to a broader group of customers. This is just the beginning,” Rawlinson wrote in a post on LinkedIn last week, promising a “remarkable 2025.”
So should you buy the shares? Here’s what Lucid got going for it.
🚀 The bullish case:
Affordable share price — retail traders can scoop up in boatloads
Tiny market cap of $10 billion — lots of room for potential growth
Backed by the Saudi monarchy — lots of cash to support the biz
Advanced EV battery technology — company can cut edge and innovate
Advanced, luxury EV niche — premium, high-performance models
Range above anything the EV market can offer — Tesla is in the dust
Scalable product line — Lucid plans to roll out sub-$50,000 models in 2026
💥 The bearish case:
High capital expenditures — low-hanging fruit here, Lucid spends a lot
Hasn’t been around for very long — making cars since 2016
Lacks the Lindy effect — uncertain likelihood of continued cash flow
Limited customer base — it’s a high-end product in a tough market
Pricing wars — competitors with more affordable EVs could limit Lucid’s market share
Concentration risk — Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) owns roughly 60% of Lucid and may decide to stop or reduce its cash injections
Prone to speculation — tiny market cap makes the stock vulnerable to swings (is that really bad, though?)
So is Lucid a gem for the diamond-handed, a rocket to the moon or a bag-holding investment? What’s your take? Share your thoughts below!
$LCID - Off to the races!! 150%+ Upside🏎️ THE H5 TRADE IS NASDAQ:LCID 🏎️
It could be a very bumpy ride but, it's there if you want it!
- H5 is GREEN
- WCB forming
- Launching off Volume Shelf
- Volume GAP and Price GAPs
- Saudi Money Backing
-Downtrend breakout
-Falling wedge breakout! Could see retest before continuation higher as 60-70% of breakouts retest
Entry: $3.51
S/L: $2.34
Risk/Reward Ratio: 3
🎯$7 📏$9.75
Not financial advice
2024 REVIEW MARKET STOCKS !! AND 2025 PROYECTIONS Why Stock Prices Tend to Rise Over Time
It's easy to get caught up in the ups and downs of the stock market, but zoom out, and you'll see a clear trend: stock prices generally increase over the long term. Here's why:
Economic Growth: As economies grow, so do corporate earnings. Companies expand, innovate, and become more profitable, which naturally pushes stock prices up.
Inflation: Over time, inflation erodes the value of money, but stocks can act as a hedge. As the price level increases, so do the nominal values of stocks.
Dividend Reinvestment: Many companies pay dividends, and when these dividends are reinvested into more shares, it compounds growth. This reinvestment can significantly boost the value of an investment over decades.
Market Sentiment: Optimism about the future can drive stock prices higher. When investors believe companies will do well, they're willing to pay more for stocks today.
Low Interest Rates: In recent decades, low interest rates have made borrowing cheaper for companies, fueling growth, and also made stocks more attractive than low-yield bonds or savings accounts.
Technological Advancements: Innovation leads to new industries and improves efficiency in existing ones, driving up stock values through increased productivity and new market opportunities.
APPLE 270 - 300 - 320 TP BY 2025 Apple's potential to reach a stock price of $320 by 2025 is significantly bolstered by its strategic shift towards artificial intelligence (AI). Here are key reasons why this could happen:
AI-Driven iPhone Upgrades: Apple is poised to enter what analysts describe as a "multi-year AI-driven iPhone upgrade cycle." This cycle is expected to drive significant hardware sales as consumers upgrade to newer models equipped with advanced AI capabilities. The introduction of Apple Intelligence, a suite of AI features, is anticipated to make the iPhone more compelling, encouraging upgrades even from users with relatively new devices.📷📷📷
Expansion in Services Revenue: With AI, Apple aims not just at hardware but also at enhancing its services ecosystem. Features like Apple Intelligence are expected to spawn new AI-driven apps and services, creating new revenue streams. This could lead to a multi-billion-dollar increase in services revenue, which traditionally accounts for a substantial portion of Apple's income.📷
Market Sentiment and Analyst Predictions: Recent analyst upgrades reflect a strong bullish sentiment on Apple's stock due to its AI strategy. For instance, Wedbush has raised the price target to $325, suggesting Wall Street might be underestimating Apple's growth potential in the
AI space. This optimism could drive investor confidence and stock value upwards.📷📷📷
Innovation and Market Positioning: Apple's focus on on-device AI, privacy, and security differentiates it from competitors. By integrating AI into its core products like Siri, Photos, and even the new iPhone SE expected in 2025, Apple can maintain or even increase its market share in both developed and emerging markets. This is particularly relevant as AI becomes more integral to everyday device usage.📷📷
Regulatory Adaptation: Despite facing regulatory challenges, Apple's ability to adapt and navigate these issues while continuing to innovate in AI could further solidify its market position. Compliance with new laws while maintaining innovation could be seen as a testament to Apple's strategic foresight, potentially boosting investor confidence.
TESLA 300 AFTER EARNINGS ? 3 STRONG REASONS !!
Strong EV Market Position:
Tesla’s electric vehicles (EVs) remain popular, with the Model Y and Model 3 ranking among the top-selling vehicles in the U.S. in 2023. Even as legacy automakers enter the market, Tesla’s success suggests continued consumer preference for its vehicles.
Cybertruck:
Tesla’s long-awaited Cybertruck could be a game-changer. Pickup trucks have high gross profit margins, and if Tesla prices the Cybertruck right, it could boost their overall profitability1.
Regulatory Credits and Rebates: As Europe tightens regulations on internal combustion engine (ICE) cars, Tesla may receive more regulatory credits (from competitors like Fiat) going forward.
Full Self-Driving (FSD) Technology: Analysts estimate that Tesla’s FSD technology could potentially raise earnings per share by $1-$2 annually through the end of the decade.
LONG TERM INVESTMENTS FOR BIG COMPANIES !! LONG TERM !TRADING CAN CHANGE YOUR LIFE !!
META - APPLE - AMAZON - SPX - SPY - TESLA - NVIDIA - JP MORGAN - RIVIAN - LUCID
AVGO - HOOD - ROCKETLAB - AFFIRM - GOOGLE - SOFI - MICROSOFT - META -TSM - CRM - AMD
QCOM - BAC - AMEX - DISCOVER FOREX EURUSD - GBPUSD - USDJPY BTC
Key Considerations for Trading Forex, BTC, and Stocks
Trading in financial markets, whether it's Forex, Bitcoin (BTC), or stocks, involves a unique set of challenges and opportunities. Here are crucial points to keep in mind before diving into these markets:
For Forex Trading:
Leverage: Forex markets offer high leverage, which can amplify both gains and losses. Understand your risk tolerance and use leverage cautiously.
Market Hours: Forex markets are open 24/5, which means opportunities and risks are constant. Consider when you trade in relation to major market sessions (London, New York, Tokyo).
Volatility: Currency pairs can be highly volatile, especially around economic news releases or geopolitical events. Stay updated with economic calendars.
Interest Rates: Central bank policies can significantly affect currency values. Monitor interest rate decisions and monetary policy statements.
Pair Correlation: Understand how currency pairs correlate with each other to manage your portfolio risk better.
For Bitcoin (BTC) Trading:
High Volatility: Cryptocurrency, especially Bitcoin, is known for extreme price movements. Prepare for significant price swings.
Regulatory Environment: Keep an eye on global crypto regulations which can influence market sentiment and price.
Market Sentiment: Bitcoin's price can be heavily influenced by news, tweets from influencers, and market sentiment. Tools like sentiment analysis can be beneficial.
Security: Since BTC is digital, security of your wallet and trading platform is paramount. Use hardware wallets for long-term storage.
Liquidity: Ensure you're trading on platforms with good liquidity to avoid slippage, especially during volatile times.
For Stock Trading:
Company Fundamentals: Unlike Forex or BTC, stocks are tied to company performance. Analyze earnings, financial statements, and growth prospects.
Dividends: Some stocks offer dividends, providing an income stream which can be reinvested or taken as cash.
Market Trends: Stocks are influenced by broader market trends, sector performance, and macroeconomic indicators. Diversification across sectors can mitigate risk.
Brokerage and Fees: Stock trading can involve various fees like transaction fees, management fees, etc. Choose your broker wisely based on cost and services.
Long vs. Short Term: Decide if you're in for long-term investment or short-term trading. Each strategy requires different approaches to analysis and risk management.
General Tips for All Markets:
Education: Continuous learning about markets, new tools, and strategies is essential.
Risk Management: Never risk more than you can afford to lose. Use stop-loss orders, diversify, and only invest money you don't need for living expenses.
Psychology: Trading can be emotionally taxing. Manage stress, fear, and greed to make rational decisions.
Technology: Utilize trading platforms, analysis tools, and keep abreast of technological advancements that can impact your trading, like blockchain for crypto.
Regulation: Understand the regulatory environment of each market you're trading in to avoid legal pitfalls.
Community and Mentorship: Engage with trading communities or find a mentor. Learning from seasoned traders can provide shortcuts and insights.
Remember, every market has its nuances, and what works in one might not work in another. Tailor your strategies to each asset class while maintaining a cohesive risk management framework across all your trading activities. Good luck trading!
BULLISH Gartley on $LCID? Price movement to the upside. Chinese stocks like NYSE:BABA have printed bullish gartley’s lately and reacted well.
Chinese EV stocks in general are beaten down well one to the -80% to -90% range. Good indication for longs. Bullish forecast for the EV sector as the global warming narrative continues to drive all factors.
NASDAQ:LCID will be making headlines in the coming days. Bullish gatleys are the strongest harmonic, marking a major shift in the market.
NIO - Wave 5 In Wave 1 Or ANIO stock has completed the first 5 waves of the current corrective wave and is currently trading in wave 5 of wave 1, confirming the strength of the medium-term trend. However, we believe it is approaching a corrective wave in the short term, so caution is advised regarding the levels mentioned in the report for traders. As for long- and medium-term investors, there is still an opportunity to continue the upward waves after completing the internal structure of the expected corrective wave following the completion of the first wave.
PSNY - Adjusting the short-term vision onlyThe stock closed last week with a clear reversal candle, showing weakness in the technical indicators after achieving 95% of the target for the current first wave. We expect the stock to aim for a deep correction in wave 2 or a , and if it holds above the 61% Fibonacci level around the 1.10 - 1.00 area, it will continue its bullish wave in the medium term. In the short term, there is a shift towards a bearish outlook, while positivity remains on the medium-term horizon,
Hence, we see the current rebound as an opportunity to close speculative positions, while maintaining investment positions unchanged.
Lucid Motors' shares surge 37% following major investmentLucid Motors has seen a remarkable 37% increase in stock value following a significant 1.5 billion USD investment from the Saudi Arabian Public Investment Fund, a principal shareholder. This influx of capital is pivotal as it supports the launch and development of Lucid's new electric vehicle, the Lucid Gravity. The investment enhances Lucid Motors' financial stability and liquidity, which are crucial for the continued innovation and production of their next model and building on the success of Lucid Air.
Lucid Gravity targets the burgeoning market for electric SUVs, combining premium quality with an electric powertrain – a rapidly growing consumer preference. With this strategic financial backing, Lucid is well-positioned to capture a significant market share in this segment.
Technical analysis of Lucid Group Inc (NASDAQ: LCID)
Analysing the potential trading opportunities based on the technical indicators of Lucid's stock:
Timeframe : Daily (D1)
Current trend : The stock has shown a strong upward movement, breaking past the resistance at 3.60 USD, which now serves as a new support level
Short-term target : The immediate upside target lies at the resistance level of 4.25 USD
Medium-term target : Should the stock surpass the 4.25 USD resistance, the next significant target could be at 5.00 USD
Key support level : 2.90 USD, which the stock recently rebounded from significantly
Growth scenario cancellation : If the stock breaks below the key support at 2.90 USD, it could negate the bullish scenario and potentially lead to a decline toward 2.50 USD
Given that Lucid's shares have previously reached as high as 60 USD in 2021, the current price levels suggest a substantial growth potential if the company can capitalise on its recent investments and market trends favourably. The recent rebound from the 2.90 USD support could begin a long-term uptrend for Lucid Group shares, especially as the company continues expanding its electric vehicle offerings.
—
Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65.68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NIO 8 AFTER EARNINGS !! NYSE:NIO
Record Delivery Expectations: NIO shares soared over 9%, hitting $5.40 on record delivery expectations. Analysts foresee surpassing last year's high due to discounts. This indicates a positive market response to NIO's potential performance, which could lead to a higher stock price.
Market Sentiment: The market's response to NIO's earnings reports has generally been positive, with the stock price rising after strong earnings reports. This suggests that if NIO continues to report strong earnings, the market could respond positively, potentially pushing the stock price towards $8.
Strong Quarterly Earnings: NIO has shown strong financial performance in the recent past, with its stock price rising after reporting strong earnings. This indicates a positive market response to its financial performance, which could lead to a higher stock price in the future.
Increased Price Targets by Analysts: Analysts have increased their price targets for NIO, with some predicting a potential rise to $8. These optimistic forecasts suggest that the market and analysts have confidence in the company's future growth and performance.
Positive Industry Outlook: The electric vehicle industry is expected to continue growing, driven by the increasing need for sustainable transportation solutions. As a leading player in this space, NIO is well-positioned to benefit from this industry growth, which could lead to a higher stock price.
Innovative Product Line: NIO is poised to add two sedans to its offerings this year. This expansion of its product line could drive sales and revenue growth, potentially leading to a higher stock price.
Lucid Motors' Q1 2024 performance and strategic outlookLucid Motors' Q1 2024 earnings report showed promising revenue growth, surpassing analyst expectations with $172.7 million in revenue and 1,967 vehicle deliveries. However, the company faced a larger-than-expected net loss of $680 million, impacting stock prices due to concerns about profitability.
Despite this, Lucid maintains a strong liquidity position with $4.62 billion in cash and ongoing production plans for its Gravity SUV, set for launch in late 2024. Strategic funding, including a $1 billion investment from Ayar Third Investment Company, supports Lucid's growth initiatives.
Investor considerations include the need for profitability, especially with significant capital expenditure on the Gravity SUV production. Recent leadership transitions, like the departure of Mike Bell, introduce additional uncertainties.
Looking ahead, Lucid is optimistic about the Gravity SUV's potential to drive sales and achieve economies of scale. However, its ability to demonstrate consistent profitability, manage margins amid recent price cuts, and address leadership changes will determine its long-term viability in the competitive EV market.
LCID Lucid Group Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold LCID before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LCID Lucid Group prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 2.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.16.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NKLA - Watch at or below 50 centsNKLA - Nikola is approaching the 50 Cents mark. A brief opportunity in a period of price weakness? Growth and loss become exponential at this point. A move from .50 to 1.00 would be a 100% increase in price. A move from .50 to .25 would be a 50% loss. Are prices below .50 optimal prices for scalpers or swing traders? Or, is it time to build a less expensive position trade?
LUCID the stock that no one likeLUCID is highly undervalued here in the 3$ zone
Most top funds hold a large % in their portfolio, wonder why? no brainer why, super undervalued, sentiment negative, in a great demand zone. Once the down-trend channel shifts, a nuke candle will come to zone $15 - 17
Then re-accumulation phase happens with taking profit and then the next run-up starts with price discovery breaking ATH probably by 2025.
In summary, 2024 bounces levels for stocks/crypto while 2025 is the real bull-run and price discovery start but people won't see these low prices after Q2 of 2024.
Remember financial markets are highly volatile, bear in mind the risk of trading.
It reminds me of Tesla early beginningsLucid has been majority-owned by Public Investment Fund, the sovereign wealth fund of Saudi Arabia.
PIF, which owns more than 60% of the company, has agreed to buy 265.7 million shares in a private placement for about $1.8 billion, Lucid said.
Though it burned through around $3.6 billion over the past 12 months, Lucid still has almost $5 billion of cash and similar investments.
Don't Talk To Me About... LUCID UNTIL..I only want to hear about LCID once it breaks this trenline... this company keeps getting MILKED and anyone who invested ever after IPO is under water... what a shame. Once this trendline break then I will consider a long and yes 100% with a stop-loss.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.