LULU
LULU Lululemon Athletica Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LULU Lululemon Athletical prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 390usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $25.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$LULU - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹 Breakout a short-term resistance level, signaling a positive trend for the short-term trading range.
🔹In case of a NEGATIVE reaction, it has support at approximately 385.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern:
◦ DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
◦ DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
◦ HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
◦ REC - Rectangle | 🔵
◦ iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Lululemon to breakdown from a wedge?Lulumelon Athletica - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 355.85 (stop at 367.85)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
We have a Gap open at 29/3 from 320.31 to 366.25.
Trading within the Wedge formation.
The bias is to break to the downside.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
A higher correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 325.85 and 320.85
Resistance: 374.06 / 380.00 / 386.70
Support: 370.00 / 356.50 / 345.00
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LULU - Broken Failing Trend Channel- LULU has broken the ceiling of the falling trend in the medium long term, which indicates a slower initial falling rate.
- The price has risen strongly since the positive signal from the double bottom formation at the break through resistance at 325.
- Between support at 352 and resistance at 385.
- RSI is above 70 after a good price increase the past weeks.
- The stock has strong positive momentum and further increase is indicated.
However, particularly for big stocks, high RSI may be a sign that the stock is overbought and that there is a chance of a reaction downwards.
- The RSI curve shows a rising trend, which could be an early signal of the start of a rising trend for the price as well.
- Overall assessed as technically slightly positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
4/3 Watchlist + NotesInitial Notes: Didn't trade on Friday, new month begins, SPY confirmed breakout on weekly, and light economic news coming this week.
SPY - (FRIDAY) Unfortunately, my SPY prediction for Friday was off. I underestimated the short term strength of the markets as evident by Friday's big green trend day. I'm not afraid to admit I was wrong on my analysis, because nobody can always perfectly predict the markets, and because ultimately, the markets surprise us once in a while. A good trader knows when they are right, but an even better trader knows when they are wrong. I choose to believe that I was missing info and/or not seeing the bigger picture for Friday's session. Going forward I would like to try to shoot for at least 80% accuracy with my SPY predictions, trades, and general analysis of setups that show up on the scanner. I will document all stats per usual at the bottom of my lists.
(MONDAY) Going into Monday, we have a few things to consider. We broke out of the upper trendline on the weekly chart, which is extremely bullish in my opinion. We also had a really strong and big green day friday with little to no upside wick. This tells me that we are looking very bullish just based on the weekly chart breakout, and the strength of the most recent daily candle. My guess is that we will see a push higher than Friday's high, but I am unsure of how much higher SPY can/will go. We are still at risk of short term exhaustion, and therefore, I am skeptical to see if we will see strong continuation or just consolidation/pullback before making the next real move. The most reasonable expectation for tomorrow in my opinion, is a day where we can be green or red, but regardless see a push higher while staying within a 1% range's movement on the day. Id love to create an inside day tomorrow but I sort of doubt we will be that lucky. Weekly targets are set at 415 and 402 respectively. More analysis to come as the week goes on(Apologies for the super long analysis, just had a lot to say with Friday's fail)
Watchlist + Bias:
SQ - 2-1 Daily and 3-1 Weekly: Slightly Bearish
BABA - 2-1 Daily : Bullish
LULU - 2-1 Daily : Neutral
MMM - 3-1 Weekly: Bullish
DOCU - 3-1-1 Weekly: Bullish
Main Watch:
SQ - Great setup on this one. 3-1 Weekly is the main catalyst I am watching. Would love to play downside on this and get a good entry on a break to the downside tomorrow with the 2-1 setup we have on the daily. My main concern is the bullish strength of the markets currently because another day of bullish movement could invalidate our short entry. I am open to playing both sides, but I would definitely prefer downside as there is better R/R.
Main Watch From Previous Watchlist:
DOCU: (Status:) Loser (Personally Trade?) No
DOCU had a solid setup, but even the best setups can be ruined when the overall markets are incredibly strong in the opposite way as your bias. This was the case for DOCU on friday. What is interesting is that we are now bullish on the daily with DOCU, but still remain in an inside setup on the weekly. Im keeping this on the watchlist for now as I think the weekly breakout could hold a bigger move because DOCU has a pretty large average daily range.
FDX - this wasnt a main watch but was something I watched throughout the whole week, Study the weekly and daily chart because although I missed the move, it played out exactly as we had hoped for. Cons if swung from daily entry went from about 3.5 to 5.85.
Last Week's Watchlist Stats:
3/5 SPY predictions
3/6 Main Watch Winners
Top Winner: NVDA 75%+
Personal Stats:
5/7 on the week (71.4% win rate)
Overall: Green week. Happy with the results, but I know we can do way better than that. Green week is a green week though. Lets do it again.
Best of luck tomorrow everyone !
LULU Lululemon Athletica Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the LULU Lululemon Athletica options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $310 strike price Puts with
2023-4-21 expiration date for about
$14.65 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Bye Bye Lulu (Just in the near term not forever)A break back below $295 spells trouble for my favorite pair of leggings.
Good risk/reward set up as we are consolidating below structure in a bearish way.
H&S topping pattern in the making after a long term (TCT) Thrust, Consolidation, Thrust has played out on the monthly.
Lulu has over-produced based upon last earnings call with inventory rising 85% and if we are nearing a recession then more downside is to come for this beloved brand.
In addition, Viori has emerged as possible competition for LULU by taking some market share, especially amongst middle to upper aged men. (I know this isn't the target market for Lulu but more and more women I know are giving it a try.)
On the weekly:
I've got an alert set up for a break below the solid turquoise line
LULU - Short OpportunityTechnical Analysis:
A bearish head and shoulder pattern has emerged and a short signal appeared. A break below 273.6 would be a clear confirmation of long term downtrend.
Fundamental Catalyst:
LULU inventories increased 85% in Q3 2022 compared to Q3 2021. With over 60% of their revenue coming from retail, LULU will continue to face immense competition from e-commerce sellers of athleisure wear that offer equally good quality apparels but at more affordable prices. The recession will likely hit the company hard. LULU has been underperforming in the retail sector index.
Will observe the price action for the next few days / weeks and update when there is an entry opportunity.
NASDAQ:LULU
9/1 - Lulu Pre-Earnings Analysis Higher probability of downside move with Lulu earnings scheduled evening of 09/01:
1. Multi-month head and shoulders was cleanly pierced and then retested with downward pressure from its base.
2. Multi-week down trend off of 200 SMA.
3. Multi-day weakness leading to today, with overall rounding of price to the downside.
4. Multi-year support would occur around 245.
5. General market weakness and downward revisions from retailers.
Conclusion: Earnings volatility on 09/02 could see test of $245.
LULU inside weekInside week on LULU and also forming a triangle pattern. Top of the trendline and 50DMA are pretty close to each other. Most of the names had inside weeks last week and we have FED on Jul 27th. The only thing i am thinking about is if market moves past its range this coming week or the week after when FED makes an announcement but nonetheless these setups can be played either way.
If LULU breaks out, JUL 22 295C can work. There is a gap to fill 293.39 and then another gap 297.50 - 302.13 which can be targets
If it gets rejected from 50DMA or top trend line can try 280P for a trade down to the opposite side of triangle.