WATCHING $LULU for 388WATCHING $LULU for 388
I you’re buying this high up - good for you. I wish you the best… but for me it makes no sense to be long this high up.
I have target 1 as 388, but because of the volatility at the moment that is a little too close so I am currently selling puts at 360 (14 days out). I don’t think that I’d be comfortable being long any higher than 360
GL, and let me know your thoughts!!
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I usually trade both ways, but lately I’ve been focusing more to the downside because of how high the market is. It makes more sense to sell puts right now, and I’m usually at Target 2.
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I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence.
I am not a bull. I am not a bear. I just see what I see in the charts and I don’t pay too much attention to the noise in the news.
Very often you have to look at my charts from the perspective of where I’m looking to sell puts. But I also do open positions still once in a while.
If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can.
Have fun, y’all!!
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LULU
Are Markets Overvaluing These 3 Stocks? LULU, NFLX, SQTwo recent stock events have called into question how markets are pricing stocks. The first event is the OG meme stock, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), hitting a one trillion-dollar market cap. And the second event is EV newcomer Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ: RIVN), surpassing the valuation of Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) after listing on the NASDAQ.
One way to gauge how overvalued a stock may be is to find its multiple (aka, Price-To-Earnings ratio). In the case of Tesla, it’s multiple, as of writing, is ~350. In the case of Rivian, it doesn’t have any sales to speak of, so a multiple for this Company is not discernible (as reported by Bloomberg; “Rivian is now the biggest US company with no sales”). Investors can be concerned about high multiples if the Company in question is unlikely to grow its profitability to a level that better reflects the stock’s current price. Tesla and Rivian are just two companies that analysts (incl. Tesla’s CEO Elon Musk) commonly point out as overvalued.
Keep reading to learn what other 3 stocks market analysts commonly categorise as overvalued.
Are Markets Overvaluing These 3 Stocks? LULU, NFLX, SQ
Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ: LULU)
Several outlets, including Forbes, noted the athleisure wear company to be overvalued in the first half of 2021. Yet, difficult to discourage, investors have continued to support the Company and further bumped up the stock’s price. LULU is currently trading at an 15% premium above its first-half peak price (US $404 vs US $465). Its current valuation places its multiple at ~74x earnings.
The momentum behind the stock is driven by its consistent earnings report beats and ambitious sales targets set by management, which are being hit or surpassed with surprising frequency. The Company’s outlook is buoyed by a growing (and incredibly loyal) customer base and higher margins. In this way, Lululemon stock may well be within a fair valuation if it continues to ride the growth momentum in which it is currently swept up.
Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX)
Numerous Analysts were calling Netflix overvalued in 2020, even as the streaming giant reported subscriber growth beats during quarantine lockdowns and beyond. Bearish comments would call attention to the cash-burn needed by Netflix for the foreseeable future to maintain its industry leadership and satisfy its growing user base.
Bullish sentiment could counter this argument by pointing to the Company improving operating margins (e.g., Netflix has improved its operating margin from 16% to 23.5% YTD). However, Netflix does not include content generation spending as an operating cost. Instead, it is considered a fixed cost for the business. Yet, suppose Netflix is going to be burning cash producing content for the foreseeable future. In that case, the improving operating margin might be considered no more an accounting trick than a meaningful metric.
As of writing, Netflix shares are trading at US ~$690, indicating a multiple of approximately ~62 earnings.
Square (NYSE: SQ)
The digital payment provider Square appears to be firmly in the camp of overvalued tech stock. At least, according to Morningstar analysts, SQ is trading at more than double its “fair value estimate” (US ~$230 vs. $112) with a Price-To-Earnings value of ~240. SQ shares have not traded at US $112.00 or below since July 13, 2020.
While SQ does deliver on growth, it still has a very long way to go to justify its ~240x multiple. Square’s dubious long-term outlook is compounded by the increasingly tense competition from PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) and Fiserv’s (NASDAQ: FISV) Clover application. While younger than Square’s payment solution, the latter is already processing more payments across the US, and importantly, growing at a faster pace.
EBON PLTR BLU CPNG LUL ASML GVP REDU SMH Cloud Poppingwww.tradingview.com
This is my Watch List for all the stocks in my 200 list that are popping the cloud. Red Flag means already has a green Candle and either ready to go or watiing for a solid green candle with no wick to signal your in. No flag means red or in the cloud and waiting for Green Candle No Wick to close outside of the cloud to signal. These are all good for a 1:1 or 2:1 Position based off the last node or if you cant find that...the bottom of the cloud as a stop loss. Some of these will follow a 45 degree angle up over a week or more time frame....If you want to take out profits and leave runners on these that would be a good way to make sure you dont leave anything on the table. I would also look at other stocks in the sector of whatever one you take interest in. if you see it doing the same move and going up in a 45 degree angle then this stock most likely might be following suit.
I am not a financial advisor do not blindly jump in on any of my trades without doing your own DD. This method is using a cloud I custom set the parameters to and piggy backing that off Wyckoff Method as this would be the last dip into liquidity or the first push after the spring (Accumulation or Absorption of the float) Also the Curve which would be (the spring or Launch) and the Key algo which is the path drawn in white.
by iCantw84it
10.23.2021
$LULU EASY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE PLAY !-Big support on $LULU bounced 3 times off this support level if we see a little green on Monday this is going to be a solid swing
- Now if we break down below support we are looking at a very nice pull back down to $355
-we have our 2 scenarios here set and done now we wait to see which follows through
LULU looking nice in those hot pants...KeyCode UpdateI made a key code of the price action then found an exact match to this move in the past.... one that matched at lease 95% or better. That way if the move is that close to the same shape we have now it must mean the sentiment of the market was the same at that time. Therefore, the outcome should be the same coming out of the move. I then used PTP which is Past Trend Prediction by tracing the trend it made after this move in the past and projecting it forward on to the current move.
Then I took the same move on the Daily which is a different Time frame then the first..and found the same move with out a key and traced its path and projected it forward as well.
Sometimes I use about 5 other Price Action tricks I have have developed over the last 10 months or chart out the Curve and what Stage it is in. The Curve is my own brain child and I compare that to Wycoff method. Taking all of these into account You have several different approaches to confirming direction and intent of the institutional buyers and where Retail resides during this move.
If you would like to have more information or videos on Any of the ways I chart pls comment below. Like, follow, Subscribe...share.
Thank you,
iCantw84it
06.08.2021
Lulu long Trade setups for LULU Long:
Swing trade:
Stoploss by 323$, 200 SMA (very important support zone)
Take profit min: 357 $
Take profit mid: 367 $
take profit max: 388 $
Option play:
Bull put spread (long strategy, expect moderate rise in underlying asset)
Long leg: 320 $
Short leg: 300 $
Expiry time: two weaks (best case close 12 th February)
LULU Bullish Ascending TriangleReally nice bullish ascending triangle has formed on LULU. We just has a strong bounce off bottom support line and I believe the price will climb back up to 385 from here and then will attempt to breakout of the triangle. Price may hit resistance at this level however, If a breakout does occur I am confident LULU will hit new all time highs---$400+.
LULU -- waiting for pullback to enter longI like LULU, and so does all the gym goers and yoga goers especially if COVID restrictions start to loosen up over the next month or two approaching spring and summer.
Long term I like LULU long, but for now, I'm going to be patient and wait for a slight pullback to a better demand buying level. If we can get a pullback A B C pattern back to the 350's, I'll look to enter long a month or two out with some call debit spreads. If the pullback comes, I'll watch for the trend support line to hold, adding to any positions if it holds and some consolidation builds, strengthening corrective A B C count as valid.
Game plan: let (hope) for a slight pull back here. Long term, I think LULU can have a nice stretch up to the $480 price range if a full impulse wave plays out through wave v. My first targets up will be 386 and 407. I'll be bullish above 355. Invalidation / potential corrective pattern fully playing out if price goes below 345.
LULU Bullish Ascending TriangleReally nice bullish ascending triangle has formed on LULU. I believe the price will easily climb back up to 385 from here and then I will be watching for a breakout of the triangle. Price may hit resistance at this level however, If a breakout does occur I am confident LULU will hit new all time highs. Also, a nice bullish pennant has formed on the 15 min chart which further supports upwards price action in the short-term.