Lululemon's Strong Holiday Season Signals Power Move in Retail
Lululemon Athletica Inc. emerges as a standout player in the retail game, defying earlier cautious sentiments and setting a tone of confidence. The sportswear giant recently revised its fourth-quarter sales and profit forecasts, surprising both investors and industry observers alike. In a move that reflects resilience amidst economic challenges, Lululemon has not only weathered the storm but is flourishing, offering a compelling narrative for potential buyers.
1. Festive Boost Exceeds Expectations:
Lululemon's decision to raise its fourth-quarter sales outlook comes on the heels of a holiday season that surpassed initial projections. Contrary to earlier concerns about consumer restraint due to inflation and interest rates, the company experienced robust demand, driven by enticing discounts and strategic deals. CFO Meghan Frank's statement underlines the success of Lululemon's balanced sales trends across channels, categories, and geographies.
2. Strategic Forecast Adjustments:
The upward revision in revenue guidance, now ranging between $3.170 billion and $3.190 billion, showcases Lululemon's confidence in its sustained performance. The revised profit-per-share projections of $4.96 to $5.00, up from the previous range, hint at the brand's financial strength and ability to navigate challenges effectively.
3. Online Sales Surge and Margin Boost:
The rise of online sales, aided by discounts and "buy now, pay later" plans, played a pivotal role in Lululemon's success. Despite a highly promotional retail environment, the company reports that shoppers are making purchases at full price, contributing to impressive gross margins. This defies the common narrative of heavy discounts eroding profitability.
Conclusion:
Lululemon's recent performance not only defies industry expectations but also signals a bullish outlook for the sportswear market. The company's ability to adapt to the evolving retail landscape, capitalize on online trends, and maintain strong margins paints a compelling picture for potential investors.
Lululemon
Lululemon Athletica ( NASDAQ: $LULU) Continuous Bullish TrendThe 50-day Moving average is above the 200-day moving average indicating the bulls are driving NASDAQ:LULU price up.
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, NASDAQ:LULU still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
The candle stick movement of NASDAQ:LULU indicates a large Bullish Harami forming.
LULU Lululemon Athletica Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LULU Lululemon Athletical prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 390usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $25.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Lululemon to breakdown from a wedge?Lulumelon Athletica - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 355.85 (stop at 367.85)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
We have a Gap open at 29/3 from 320.31 to 366.25.
Trading within the Wedge formation.
The bias is to break to the downside.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
A higher correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 325.85 and 320.85
Resistance: 374.06 / 380.00 / 386.70
Support: 370.00 / 356.50 / 345.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
LULU Lululemon Athletica Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the LULU Lululemon Athletica options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $310 strike price Puts with
2023-4-21 expiration date for about
$14.65 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Bye Bye Lulu (Just in the near term not forever)A break back below $295 spells trouble for my favorite pair of leggings.
Good risk/reward set up as we are consolidating below structure in a bearish way.
H&S topping pattern in the making after a long term (TCT) Thrust, Consolidation, Thrust has played out on the monthly.
Lulu has over-produced based upon last earnings call with inventory rising 85% and if we are nearing a recession then more downside is to come for this beloved brand.
In addition, Viori has emerged as possible competition for LULU by taking some market share, especially amongst middle to upper aged men. (I know this isn't the target market for Lulu but more and more women I know are giving it a try.)
On the weekly:
I've got an alert set up for a break below the solid turquoise line
LULU re-test and dip below $300 likely on the way very soon...USING HEIKIN-ASHI CANDLES on the DAILY CHART
- Heavy selloff after earnings on December 8, 2022 - changing short-term technical sentiment from bullish to bearish, and long-term technical sentiment from bullish to neutral.
- Broke below key trendline on December 14, 2022 with bearish signal courtesy of Lux Algo.
- Dipped and closed below Trend Regularity Adaptive Moving Average Line - a.k.a. the yellow line in the chart screenshot - with force on December 19, 2022 - changing short-term technical sentiment from bearish to very bearish, and long-term technical sentiment from neutral to bearish.
- Relative Strength Index close to convergence at 40% , which could act as additional resistance.
- Double Top rejection below the Trend Regularity Adaptive Moving Average Line , which provided a strong confirmation for short trade entry and stop loss (above TRAMA line at $321) .
Exit target for profit-taking:
- $300 (whole number general buyer reaction anticipated)
- $277.5 (current swing low)
LULU: Fade the rally!Lulumelon Athletica
Short Term - We look to Sell at 329.26 (stop at 346.16)
They reported better than expected earnings and the stock jumped up premarket. The medium term bias remains bearish. We are assessed to be in a corrective mode higher. Bespoke resistance is located at 332.00. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 284.68 and 272.00
Resistance: 332.00 / 410.00 / 478.00
Support: 283.00 / 246.00 / 129.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
9/1 - Lulu Pre-Earnings Analysis Higher probability of downside move with Lulu earnings scheduled evening of 09/01:
1. Multi-month head and shoulders was cleanly pierced and then retested with downward pressure from its base.
2. Multi-week down trend off of 200 SMA.
3. Multi-day weakness leading to today, with overall rounding of price to the downside.
4. Multi-year support would occur around 245.
5. General market weakness and downward revisions from retailers.
Conclusion: Earnings volatility on 09/02 could see test of $245.
POSSIBLE HUGE CRASH!Lulu is highly successful retailer.
It is a well know brand world-wide.
But it is obvious that stock price valuations is just too high.
A correction is imminent.
On the monthly chart, there is a text-book head and shoulder pattern.
Price action broke the neck to the downside.
If price close this month below neck area which is around 302 USD, things will accelerate in favor of bears.
There is an uptrend that started a decade ago and probably in couple of weeks price is going to test the trend line.
If price cant hold that line, 192 USD is possible in the short term.
Lulu can test 78 USD area depending on FEDs actions.
Important support areas for the long term
302
245
224
192
166
139
120
78
Follow for more ideas and charts!
$LULU Double TopLululemon ($LULU) has a double top, gap fill, and support as indicated. RSI is pointing down, MACD is starting to switch over.
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Stock may headed back toward All-Time Highs.Between March 24 and March 30, Lululemon soared 27%, which created the pole of the bull flag pattern. Since then, the stock’s daily trading range has tightened into a triangle, which has formed the flag of the pattern.
If Lululemon breaks up bullish from the upper descending trendline of the flag on higher-than-average volume, the measured move could see the stock trade up toward the $462 level, which is in range of the Nov. 16, 2021 all-time high of $485.83.
The stock is set to hit the apex of the triangle on April 12 and traders and investors can watch for a break from the triangle pattern over the next three trading days to gauge future direction.
If Lululemon breaks up from the flag formation, the stock will regain support at the 200-day simple moving average, which will indicate long-term sentiment has turned bullish.
On Thursday, Lululemon was trading on lower than average volume, which indicates consolidation is taking place, which aligns with the theory that the bull flag pattern is in play. By late afternoon, only about 872,000 shares had exchanged hands compared to the 10-day average of 2.43 million.
The consolidation within the bull flag pattern has helped to drop Lululemon’s relative strength index to about 65% from the 73% level the stock’s RSI was measuring on March 30. The drop in RSI allows for Lululemon to trade higher if the stock breaks up from the bull flag.
Lululemon has resistance above at $383 and $412 and support below at $367 and $347.
Bullish traders will want to watch for a break up from the upper descending trendline of the flag formation, on high volume, for an entry. When a stock breaks up from a bull flag pattern, the measured move higher is equal to the length of the pole and should be added to the lowest price within the flag.
A bull flag is negated when a stock closes a trading day below the lower trendline of the flag pattern or if the flag falls more than 50% down the length of the pole.