Hard fork and death wishes for LunaLFG has announced that a hard fork will happen and this hard fork my cause the price to pump up as people assume the volatility and the price would continue go upwards. This is a trap and the this price move to the upside will be followed by a mass sell off from investors taking profits.
This may further harm investors.
Luna has massive inflation and zero belief which has caused the legal team of Luna to remove themselves from the project. This further means that the project cannot double its market cap and continue to the upside as the believe only causes massive sell off and with the inflation makes it next to impossible for the market cap to double.
Another problem is the illiquidity of the recourses in LFG recourses as they used their most liquid recourses to keep the stablecoin UST alive where as other recourses as staked in for example AVAX. LFG therefore does not have enough recourses to keep the sinking ship a float.
In the next coming days would the airdrop of the new Luna cause a short increased belief on both coins followed by the same price movement as showed in case 1 and 2 in the chart.
In the regulatory future may also the SEC increase regulations on stablecoins which further gives people less of an incentive to invest in Terra/Luna.
LUNAUST
LUNA UST - Shark Harmonic PatternHello Trader, It's been a terrible week for crypto traders as bitcoin and other crypto pairs has been dropping...
Alot of traders lost so much and its been a terrible week...
the question is? will it go up? when will it go up?
From technical perspective, the pair is printing a shark harmonic pattern and soon to enter the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)
Luna: is there still a chance?First of all, I was saddened by what happened: a lot of people lost money and the savings of a lifetime.
So it is important that 'never put all the eggs in the same basket'.
This is a super complex area, and that involves above all, fear, greed, anger, complacency, ignorance...
That's why I leave my condolence here to my colleagues who lost everything.
I hope it all comes back.
I have particularly used the Blockchain of Terra Luna once in the past.
I also heard the opinion of several people, saying that blockchain is not scam.
She was simply the victim of a vulnerability, which was exploited at the worst possible time.
It would be like an earthquake, tsunami, hurricane and atomic bomb all at the same time.
Perhaps the only good news in this chaos is that perhaps the mistake will not be repeated anymore.
Our greatest learning is with our mistakes, not with our successes.
Speaking of graphical analysis, the game only ends when it's over.
There's no way the price is negative. Zero's already been hit.
At least we can still speculate.
If there is still buyer demand, no one else to sell, and inflation snares, theoretically the bleeding will end, and we will have a bullish reversal.
Here on the 15-minute chart, we can see absurd volatility.
A 7000% change from the fund to the current price.
In a matter of hours, a volatility of 100%, 200%, 300% or more.
Using a proper risk control and exposing yourself little, there may be a window of opportunity.
Risk asymmetry can be reversed: the maximum loss can be 100%, reaching zero, but the maximum profit can be infinite.
100$☑️ LUNA BUY ZONES - WAVE 5 TARGETSIn our last Luna analysis we predicted the rise up to $100 as our target using the first wave extension theory as the foundation of our ide as seen below
Today we will be talking about our buy zones inorder to be ready to ride the 5th wave.
As you can see from our fib retracement tool, We are currently trading above the 0.236 region drawn from the end of wave 2 to end of wave 3, however trading below support.
Next area of interest will be the next available support @$38 region, touted as our last line of defense for continuation in the case of volatility in our original analysis. 0.382 Region is now our last line of defense, I personally don't see it going below the 0.382 region as it aligns with the bottom of our rising wedge pattern which looks scary btw. You can try your luck with orders at the 0.5 region but i don't see that happening.
Take profit zone is at the $150-157 region, with our main target withing the Red Zone to complete wave 5.
If you agree, pls leave a like and share your thoughts in the comments.
Make sure to manage your risks.
I JUST BOUGHT ALOT OF $LUNA HERE, SEE YOU NEXT YEARS ¡LUNATICS!I cannot believe what happened to TERRA, this will be EPIC.
I just put a few $$$ into $LUNA, just for fun but I am so sad for those $UST and $LUNA investors/hodlers!!
I will wait a few years and see what happen next, sad history of course.
LUNA $100 TARGETJust like the previous SUSHI post, LUNA is on course for a First Wave Extension impulse wave
Target is $97-$121 to complete the third wave, after which a slight retracement to the $54 levels ($38 if volatility is high)
and back up to $150 to complete wave 5.
Expect price to return back to Wave 2 correction in the case of a bear market.
The above statement could result in a larger Wave Degree being formed.
Is it possible to see $LUNA dropping to $50 ¿? YES, BUY THE DIP!TERRA $LUNA is an amazing project and they are buying the dips with BTC... WHY DON'T INVEST IN $LUNA??
Price now is cheap, it could drop more so will be great for long term investors!
Also, $LUNA has a nice Staking % and a lot of HODLers with them, we never sell only buy more and more :)
I cannot wait for see $LUNA at $200+ next years.
#DYOR & NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
$LUNA 4HR 75-100 RangeAfter hitting those ATHs, $LUNA has been chilling in the 75-100 range, albeit more the 88-100 range.
This 88-89 level is acting the like the Great Wall of Buyers right now, and IMO, we lose that and we could see the flush to 76. Not pictures, but the 4HR 200MA is at 88.4629 and is acting as the major support from what I can see.
Of course if we hold 88, 92 would be looking like the level to take next before testing the near-100s.
Nothing too crazy on RSI, basing my TA more of price action and using indicators as backups.
LUNA back in bullish trading channelHere we look at a possible 3 week trading range for LUNA.
Trading the short term can be very tricky because we have Kujira’s buyback function for liq bLUNA always ready, major cascadations are usually due to leveraged borrowers being wiped on Anchor protocol, and UST minting causing reduction of LUNA supply. In the long term, my bias for LUNA is always bullish.
Currently, LUNA has just broken out of an Ascending Triangle price pattern (to find out more on this pattern you can use the following link learn.bybit.com), and went on to retest it. It then got rejected from the supply zone and is trading at the price of 55.8 at the time of writing.
Trading plan - 3 scenarios
Very bullish - 25%
You would want to buy at current prices in hopes of a cup and handle forming, which would send the price between 61-66, coinciding with the upper resistance of the old trading channel, as well as a old accumulation level. Any rejection from 61, you would be looking to catch LUNA near the old resistance line (~$53.8) which presents LUNA at a 10-15% discount. If LUNA breaks through to 67, you may choose to reaccumulate some at the old supply zone at 58-60 for a higher move upwards at the supply zone of 78-83. Why I see this as a possible scenario is the fact that we have been having decreasing volume over time, and decreased selling volume. This means any spike in volume could send LUNA surging upwards towards overhead targets (expecting this from major announcements in Terra ecosystem MARS and {redacted}). TLDR: overhead targets from current price are $61, 66, 78, then near ATHs at 98-102, buy in at old support lines or on retest of old supply zones
Conservative bullish - 50%
We have very nervous markets which react quickly to BTC and possibly NASDAQ/SPX futures. Am expecting a downwards move towards 49.74 where many bids (round number 50) would be filled, then expecting a bounce between supply zone and bottom of the old trading channel which may become active in supporting prices again. Once the price breaks through the old supply zone, we can retest the upper resistance of the trading channel it is in (~$67) as well as the old supply zone to see if it holds as support now. TLDR: Buy any failed retest of support of old trading channel (~$49-52) with a target of $61, 67, then 78
Bearish - 25%
Still a scenario which might be played out as retail interest is not fully manifested yet or institutions which did their DD on SOLUNAVAX are not yet able to fully fill their order books. LUNA could be shorted downwards to 50, have a relief rally towards old R/S line $53.8, before it gets rejected again. We can then rely on the bearish trendline to short the touches. Lower targets are the recent support of $44 and then $38 upon lost of psychological support at $40
Hope this helps everyone in their trading thesis for LUNA. Hopefully just like other CEXes, www.bybit.com will have UST pairs soon for those who prefer trading with UST
LUNA/TERRA/USD my analysisAs per last time, I pre-predicted that it will go for a massive collection.
now it is in the range of C, and the collection might already be completed (not confirmed, confirmed when it makes a clean hit thru the dashed line).
In my mind right now is "Isn't it a great move to gambling at this time for long/mid-term holders?".
because it is still very close to the C range. If it is really unfortunate and it goes back down
for whatever collection reason, I think it is not most likely to drop more from the C area (not likely to drop hard).
But I will not forget to stop loss. my stop loss line in my opinion is 38$ for long-term holders and mid-term holder is 43$
What are your thoughts about this? Now or Nah. Feel free to comment below, I love to hear it.
Luna retracement but still parabolicWe hit 10b, next stop 100b UST mcap tq DoKwon. Fundamentals intact, OZONE out. Mars Nebula in sight. Near year new targets, we await Fed fud to subside + web 2 onboard + injection of funds into outperformers + potential rotation back into Luna within 3 weeks
I think many people think I was nuts to point out range retracement because "up only". Remember I only present where I think are good adds, the chart is not your ordinary chart either because 1) Luna is extraordinary and 2) charting parabolic movement accurately captures the essence of Luna's valuation (albeit 'overvalued')
If doomsday plays out and we nuke, expected a fallout from the entire channel to retest older less bullish channel, which would prove good accumulation for whales/institutions better on Terra Defi and LT hodlers.
Ideal place to hold strength and reset indicators to oversold or bullish divergence. This confirms Terra and UST's parabolic adoption. A retest of the bottom of 2nd Standard Deviation Range would be ideal for your trade
Targets:
any bullish reconfirmation and reclaim of 2nd channel = trend towards mid range (fair parabolic price)
good to play the chop here and see retest if we can break through this supposed old support turned resistance. Readding on retest of this zone after it shoots out on volume to 85-90 range would be ideal
Trade safe moon fam.
LUNA/USD - $65 support under pressure. If it falls $50 is next!Luna found some good support on the $65 for a half decent bounce which was overdue considering Luna fell in price for 7 consecutive days.
Now the market is again going into deep red so this key support level will be retested soon.
Likely Luna will fall one last time (probably under $60) to complete a five waves correction pattern before any pause in the downtrend can be had.
Stay vigilant.
Like and follow if you liked my idea!
Luna Fair Parabolic PriceHello everyone,
Beautiful isn't it. This chart was done somewhere during July to August and has been just used to chart the nice parabolic action ever since. There are no words needed, we trade the chart, the prices tell us what to do. This is LUNA, an apex asset like never before, UST minting and adoption, together with Luna burning, buying and staking, is what is leading it to its current price. Like I mentioned before, I used the chart mainly to track parabolic growth, and LUNA is finally in gear and shape.
Right now we are in the 2nd Standard Deviation Channel of the parabolic movement. Technically the red center line would represent fair price of LUNA (in my opinion), and for now we are at the upper range/resistance of the 2nd SD channel. It would be good to see LUNA breakout to the 3rd SD channel and then you could buy on a retest.
Targets
84 as a retest play of the 2nd SD range channel with a target of ATH or 100
78-83 as an add zone (Retest of old ATH, resistance to support)
68-70 as a buying off the rebound of the 1st SD range which is a strong support (albeit broken in the choppiness in the past month)
I would see 68-70 as the most opportune buy, probably due to market condition and fear and capitulation due to an expected closure of positions on 29th-30th December by portfolios big and small to restart the new year fresh + it is also in line with the astrology signs (I'm not a believer, I attribute the PA to institutional positioning that happens on the same day and its for you all who follow and believe)
Upside
UST pairing just listed on Huobi and Binance with Astroport going live + Mars going live end Jan. Cosmos and Evmos, MIM along with Rune mainnet launch are 2 networks which could get UST minter to print. This might trigger the rouge white swan and send it to 120-150 depending on the burn amount.
Twitter matching Eth 2017 and Luna 2021 action puts LUNA end TP at 350-500 for this cycle.
Hope this helps your trading plan especially for the month ahead in DCA-ing, and the longer term vision. Merry Christmas!
Luna's pathEcosystem in LUNA have been failing, looks like only master builder Do Kwon can single handedly save LUNA with busan and korea gaming.
Looking to claim the channel's range high at 56 once we breakout of a known fib here
To reclaim the exponential momentum we had, we need to consolidate above 63
Discount buying at 39-41 still available if those are just wicks.
Its alt season, may all bags pump ;)