LUV
Southwest Airlines; Are the Bulls Ready to LUV this Stock?✨ We provide charts every day ✨
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Hey gang! Let's take a look at Southwest Airlines to see if it can pull out of this tailspin. The LUV chart looks like hot trash on a southwest sidewalk right now, but we are slamming up against some major support, which might give this dead cat wings.
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1. Fractal Trend is showing a downtrend (Red background color) for LUV on the daily chart.
2. With this setup, we want to take short positions when Fractal Trend signals a downtrend AND then Breakaway Scalper signals a short entry in the downtrend by showing a Red bar color.
3. You see from the above logic that LUV has been a great short during COVID. That said, it seems unlikely this stock will just go down forever, so we want to look for support and a reason to shed our short bias.
4. The first level to watch is the bullish orderblock at S1. S1 support is one of the last major supports before we hit the 2010 - 2013 range at S3. So it is one of those situations where it's "either we bounce here, or it's a long way down).
5. If this short signal does let up, and if the uptrend can continue at some point, we will be looking for a reaction at the bearish order blocks at R1 and R2 resistance.
LUV Daily Tightening RangeLUV is clearly tightening on the daily timeframe with a series of lower highs and higher lows, forming an equilibrium pattern, triangle, whatever you want to call it. The point is that the break is imminent and it’s direction will likely be dictated by the stock price’s reaction to earnings next week.
The most important levels right now are 29.73 support (and 29.15, the dump low, which is so close to 29.73 that if we break 29.73 we are also likely to break 29.15) and 37.31 resistance, then 43.56 resistance. Bulls are going to have a harder time than the bears on a bull break of 37.31 simply because the next resistance is so far away whereas bears can slice through both supports at once if we break down from here.
From here I would fully expect another higher low to be set in a few days in order for the range to continue to tighten. Look for a trend change on the hourly from lower highs and lower lows to higher lows and higher highs to signal that the daily higher low is set.
About the break: the bears have the weekly and monthly down trends in their favor. However, for monthly chart, this the first time since 2012 that RSI is around 30 (oversold levels) so I would expect a monthly oversold bounce to take place before we can continue to lower lows. Whether that monthly bounce comes on a bull break of this daily equilibrium or a rally from the lows after this equilibrium breaks bearish I can’t say.
We are closer to breaking support than we are to resistance right now, but I am expecting a daily higher low to form and a bounce to potentially form a daily lower high after that.
Compared to other airlines (UAL, DAL, AAL) LUV stood out during the dump as the most resilient. On the one hand, I might expect LUV to be a lead bull if this equilibrium breaks bullish due to how well relatively it fared vs other airlines but on the other hand, there is a huge zone of previous support now resistance at ~$45 level. Compare this to other airlines which barely formed any support on the way down and will therefore have much less resistance on the way up if we do break bullish from here.
Thanks for reading. Hope this makes sense.
Different airlines, different leverges."The Senate's bailout package, which deals with the economic crisis caused by the coronavirus, will give airlines $25 billion in direct grants as long as they agree not to place any employees on involuntary furloughs or discontinue service at any airports they now serve until at least the end of September. Another $25 billion is available for loan guarantees."-- CNN
Four popular American Aviation industry leaders are under fire sale.. but which will hold till the end and outperform in your portfolio?
I made a fundamental comparison of these companies. mainly focusing on debt/bankruptcy risk.
American Airlines AAL ready to bounce yet?I've never traded airline stocks. I like AAL here though-seeing a potential broadening formation. I might consider a small position and set a target for that unfilled gap. Longer term, airline stocks appear cheap right now although I'm not ready to turn bullish on them yet. I'm just not that familiar with them.. but this looks like it has good potential.
LUV hit MA200 on 1D chartLUV hit moving average 200 yesterday. This moving average is many times good indicator for support and resistance. In past we can see that it few times respected this moving average.
Tommorow we will know earnings for last quarter of 2019 and this most of the times move the price by 2% and more between closing and opening price.
My setup will be take profit on 55,38. Opening price could be even higher than 55,38, so it will close my trade on opening price. Stop-loss on 53,12. Of course when it will open in -4,5%, I will be in loss - 4,5%, but it can save me if opening price will be similar to closing and then it will fall.
We will see what will happen. This trade is very risky and these are just my thoughts, so don’t take this as a financial advice.
BUY AAL (+0.5X) and LUV (+0.5X), sell DAL (-1.0X)As 737 MAXs can fly soon, perhaps the airlines that have many 737 MAXs may start to earn more money.
Buy Americal Airlines NASDAQ:AAL and Southwest Airlines NYSE:LUV and at the same time sell Delta Airlines NYSE:DAL , which is not dependent on 737 MAXs.
Is Southwest Airlines a Hidden Gem?This is my first TradingView video, hope you guys enjoy! Be sure to leave a like, follow, and comment!
Southwest Airlines is a potential gem in this market as trade wars with China escalate. As Boeing ramps up production of their Max jets, Southwest also ramps up their flights as they are a primary user of the Boeing Max jets. Southwest did beat their earnings, however fell a little short on revenue, but if this is any indication towards Q3 earnings, I would feel bullish as these Boeing jets become more available. Southwest is also increasing their Hawaiian travel routes so this is great fundamental news for the airline!
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Airlines price targets - non-MAX operators BULL** Credit Suisse says non-MAX operators such as Delta Air Lines, Spirit Airlines, JetBlue Airways and Alaska Air Group to benefit most from reduced supply levels in the form of higher load factors and fares
** LUV and AAL combined have the highest exposure to MAX fleet in U.S.
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Price targets / analysts:
CS downgrades American Airlines Group Inc to "underperform" form "neutral", cuts PT to $30 from $32, citing extended grounding's of MAX jets and ongoing mechanics labor dispute
Cuts PT for Southwest Airlines Co to $51 from $53, while also lowering 2019 EPS estimate to $4.07 from $4.45 due to the airline's inability to capitalize on market demand
Upgrades JBLU to "neutral" from "underperform", raises PT to $19 from $16 due to strong seasonal leisure demand and continued execution of cost and revenue initiatives
Raises PT for United Airlines Holdings Inc to $113 from $111 despite its smaller MAX exposure compared to LUV and AAL
Southwest Airlines a Paradise?Southwest recently started flying to Hawaii, and the stock price had a roaring January! Southwest continues to grow and the Megalodon is giving the buy sign on the technical side!
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A (LUVLY) Head & Shoulders formationA well-defined Head & Shoulders formation has been created since January of 2017 (this is a two-year-bearish formation). Long story short, the price is expected to be testing the formation's neckline (around the $50.00). An ideal initiation of the short-idea would be a confirmed (bearish-reversal) candlestick on the weekly chart. The candlestick should be somewhere below the peak of the right shoulder, preferably near the neckline.
*Always remember: this is an opinion, not a recommendation*
May the trend be with you