QQQ continues to test major resistanceQQQ rallied up its resistance and tests with false breakout
Volume increases over day before yesterday as resistance is tested again
RSI trends downward and stays below SMA
QQQ has been trending downward since August and now trying to break through its major resistance. Generally September and October are not great months for the market so extra caution must be taken during this time
M-oscillator
$SPY September 18, 2024AMEX:SPY September 18, 2024
15 Minutes
AMEX:SPY managed to make an ATH at 566.57.
Now for the rise 539.95 to 566.57 it is important to hold 560.
Below that weakness can be seen for a target 554 +-1 levels. So shorting is not worth.
If AMEX:SPY manages to hold 563-566 levels, we can see 574 +- as a target for the longs.
A retracement is on cards due to oscillator divergence. or a sideways moment between 560-566 levels.
On a daily level, if AMEX:SPY consolidated between 556-566 levels i expect 574 as initial target.
Again. Not the time for shorts for me.
$BTC Massive Move In Anticipation of 50 Bps Rate Cut!Massive 6% move up today for Bitcoin in anticipation for a 50 bps rate cut tomorrow.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC smashed through the 50D MA and back into the BMSB.
However don’t be fooled; we are still very much in a downtrend as you see the 50MA is well below the 200MA.
We could see price break through the BMSB and reject from the 200MA in the next 48 hours.
There’s still a lot of liquidity <$50k that needs to be claimed for the next leg up.
Either way, I would not be trading leverage here.
Expect massive volatility.
SMH fails to break through resistanceSMH rallied to key resistance and failed to break through. Gapped down next trading day. Looking to make another attempt at the resistance.
SMH gapped down with volume after failing to break through
started to recover as smart money took over in later day trading
RSI is now below its SMA smoothing line
If this pattern holds trying to break through we may not see selling off with volume until we reach trend support
FPH Fisher and Paykel Monthly Possible Butterfly ZonesNo action, but FYI only
Bit early, but possible butterfly levels on FPH on Monthly chart
Indicator is climbing up into the overbought zone, but that does not mean much right now
likely to keep climbing in short to medium term, but parabolic moves are also quickly reversed as there are no real levels of support on large bars
Levels to watch...
$SPY September 17, 2024AMEX:SPY September 17, 2024
15 Minutes.
AMEX:SPY held on to 560 levels yesterday,
Now in 563 range.
SO, for the rise 559.9 to 563.11 must hold 561 today.
Tomorrow is D day.
No trade day today.
At the moment 554 - 557 is very strong support on downside.
They are 100 average supports in 15- and 60-minutes time frame
USD/JPY may squeeze if Fed delivers dovish disappointmentUSD/JPY looms as a prime squeeze candidate should the Fed disappoint on extremely dovish market pricing, not only likely to benefit from the probable uplift in US bond yields but also recent shifts in market positioning.
USD/JPY staged a decent reversal on Monday after slicing through the Dec 28 low of 140.273, printing a hammer candle on the daily. With RSI (14) nearing oversold territory and breaking the downtrend it’s been in since the start of September, directional risks may be shifting.
I’m not rushing into a long trade just yet, but I am keen to see whether the price holds above 140.273 today. If it does, longs could be established with a stop around 139.60 for protection. Make sure you keep positioning front of mind given how volatile the pair has been recently.
143.63 looms as a suitable trade target with only minor resistance at 141.73 located in between.
Good luck!
DS
Not chasing silver higher given Fed may disappoint Silver looks bullish, breaking through downtrend resistance last Friday with ease as traders ramped up Fed rate cuts bets. However, with over 120 basis points priced in 2024, that leaves silver vulnerable to a reversal should the Fed not deliver on those expectations. Therefore, rather than buy the break, I’d rather see what the Fed does before entering a trade.
Should the price move back towards support between 30.157 and former downtrend, it will provide a decent level to build setups around.
If the zone were to hold, you could buy with a stop below the downtrend targeting $31.754 or multi-year high of $32.50 set in May. Alternatively, if it were to reverse through the zone, you could sell with a stop above the downtrend for protection. Potential targets include the 50DMA or $27.71.
Momentum remains higher with RSI (14) and MACD generating bullish signals. However, from a fundamental perspective, if US yields push higher before or after the Fed, it may lead to a stronger dollar and renewed headwinds for silver.
Good luck!
DS
SOL Analysis — Potential for Further Downside?Solana (SOL) is showing several signals of a further correction. After SOL bounced from its core support level at $125, the price was rejected at the EMA 200.
Currently, SOL is trading below all significant exponential moving averages (EMA). Typically, this is an explicit confirmation of a downtrend. Even worse, the Stochastic RSI is in overbought territory. Plus, the K-line has crossed below the D-line—a typical signal for a potential downside move.
The Facts Summarized:
EMA 200 rejection: SOL attempted to break above the EMA 200 but was swiftly rejected.
Overbought Stochastic RSI: The overbought conditions suggest the momentum might be cooling off.
Downtrend: SOL continues to trade below its EMAs, confirming the bearish structure.
However, even in case of a move to the downside, the 125-level should serve as an essential support.
A Sign Of Hope — BTC!
While the signals for SOL are mainly bearish, it’s essential to keep an eye on Bitcoin (unsurprisingly).
If BTC continues its upward momentum early next week, this could invalidate the bearish setup for SOL and spark a new push upward. The next few days will be crucial to watch.
SMH now testing outer boundariesSMH experienced a significant rally and now showing signs of weakness and a potential reversal coming.
experienced a short lived false breakout back in Aug 22
We are now back in breakout zone again this time with more candles indicating more bulls coming in than last breakout
RSI is now trending flat as price continues to rise, signs of rsi divergence signaling reversal maybe coming
Overall SMH looks to be showing weakness in the rally and most likely turning around to sell off soon.
PLTR trades on the high end of its rangePLTR shows the recent rally could be reversing soon
Currently trades high within its range
If stock breaks above its upward trend that would be a great time to get out
Volume consistently decreases as price increases, this create disagreement in the trend
RSI also shows divergence by declining as the price increases
We should expect PLTR to sell back down to lower point staying within its trading range to the low $30 range.
SPELL Did 50X in 3 Month in 2021, Can It Repeat This Move?In 2021 the token started trading in the final phase of the bull cycle so it's unlikely to be that fast, but who knows?
Anyway, it's a pretty good token to hold in the following months and the picture is very similar to my FIDA post. Price action holding support on an important level, stable weekly RSI moving sideways.
SPELL/BTC ratio is in a falling wedge and looks ready for a reversal (breakout not confirmed yet):
Max target: $0.029.
$SPY 14, September 2024AMEX:SPY 14, September 2024
Weekend views.
Uptrend confirmed.
I will be worried only if 510 is broken as of now.
On daily my target is 580 levels initially.
This is derived from 1.5 times extension for the move 348 to 459 to 409 levels.
On Monday if AMEX:SPY is able to cross 564-565 levels and hold for at least one hour we can see a big move towards 580 in few days.
Now holding 555-557 is crucial for next uptrend.
In 15 minutes for the last rise 556.53 to 563.03 it is important to hold 559-560 levels.
If 559 is broken, then we will have another multiple tops around 563 and hence can expect some sideways between 554 to 560 to converge the moving averages.
Not the time to short in any time frame. As of now.
STARKNET long setup - BINANCE:STRKUSDT
COINBASE:STRKUSD
Hello Traders
💥Long position on STARKNET
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
👾The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.402
0.405
0.410
0.413
0.419
🔴SL:
0.382
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes below the trigger zone, the setup will be cancelled.
Solana Name Service (FIDA) — a 45x opportunityNote that the project was previously known as Bonfida but renamed to Solana Name Service.
Price action has been building some structure on an important support level since July.
Weekly RSI has stabilized at 40 and is moving sideways.
Falling wedge breakout against Bitcoin:
Max target is at $10 which gives up to 4500% potential.
Also, since it's a Solana ecosystem project, it gives indirect exposure to Solana which is a great thing considering all the hype around it.
Like the idea? Boost it!
Have an opinion? Leave a comment!
$SPY September 13, 2024AMEX:SPY September 13, 2024
30 Minutes
We achieved near 560 levels as expected.
Now for the rise 539.95 to 559.38 holding 554-555; levels we have a target 564-566 levels.
I am expecting good moves next week, if today at close moving averages line up nicely.
I still expect 563-566 levels to provide strong resistance. We have multiple tops in that ara in all time frames.
AUD/USD set to make assault on downtrend resistance AUD/USD looks set to make an assault on downtrend resistance dating back to August 29, building momentum after Wednesday’s bullish engulfing candle sent the pair careening above the important 50-day moving average. However, while RSI (14) has broken its downtrend the bullish signal has yet to be confirmed by MACD, suggesting now is decent time to let the price action tell you what to do. The bias is higher but the risk-reward is not compelling on the daily timeframe.
If the price manages to break and close above the downtrend, it will allow traders to establish longs with a stop below the level for protection. The price has done a lot of work either side of .6750 recently, making that an important level to overcome to open the door for a push towards the recent highs at .6825.
Alternatively, if the price is rejected at the downtrend, you could sell with a stop above for protection. Possible targets include .66857, the 50DMA and Wednesday’s low (and the 200DMA) around .6620.
Good luck!
DS
How I Use Multi Timeframe Analysis to Capture LARGE Price SwingsDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. Trading involves real risk. Do your own due diligence.
TUTORIAL:
Today, I demonstrate the thought process and mechanical steps I take when trading my Multi-Timeframe strategy. We take a look at US Treasuries, which have offers a classic lesson in how to apply this approach.
As you will see, throughout the year, this approach took some losses prior to getting involved in the "real" move which we anticipated. No strategy is perfect, and I do not purport this to be perfect. It is a rules based and effective way to read price. This strategy is great for people who don't have a lot of time to spend at the charts. I would classify this more as an "investing" strategy when utilizing the 12M-2W-12H timeframe.
If you have questions about anything in this video, feel free to shoot me a message.
I hope you have all had a great week so far.
Good Luck & Good Trading.