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Second Chance Shorting Opportunity on EURUSDIf you’re looking for a second chance to short EURUSD, there’s a promising setup involving a Type 2 Bearish Shark Pattern with RSI Divergence. Let’s break it down. Current Overview: - Type 2 Bearish Shark Pattern: - What It Means: The first target has already been achieved. This provides clarity on the first target but might reduce participation since the initial group of traders who profited may not re-engage. - RSI Divergence: - Signal: This divergence adds another layer of confirmation, especially for traders who rely on resistance and RSI divergence as their entry signals. Strategy: - Second Chance Entry: This setup offers a second opportunity to short EURUSD, with the RSI divergence potentially attracting a new wave of traders. - Profit Factor: The strong profit factor in this trade is what drew me in, despite the potential for reduced participation from the initial group of sellers. Final Thoughts: While there might be fewer sellers this time around, the RSI divergence could bring in new participants, making this a solid second chance trade. Always keep an eye on your signals and manage your risk effectively. What’s your take on this setup? Are you planning to jump in, or do you see other opportunities? Share your thoughts and strategies below! Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
Short
by RaynLim
AUDCAD - Retracement for Bullish ContinuationFX:AUDCAD is moving upwards, creating higher highs and higher lows after breaking above the descending trend line supported by a previous resistance-turned-support level suggesting that the sellers may be losing control and buyers are gaining momentum! Current price action poses a potential buying opportunity after a pullback into the “Buy Zone". The strategy is to enter a long position within this zone, with a stop loss placed below the defined support, aiming for a continuation of the newly established uptrend.
Long
by Tempo_Trades
BTC Ramped Move to $96KWith wars raging in the middle and eastern Europe, Governments are constantly devaluing their civilians' purchasing power. The King of Crypto, with gold, seems to be a place of refuge from the increasing inflation. We have seen a sideways acclamation over the past 144 days, with a stop run below 52,500 handle to shake out the weak hands. Price rejected these prices and moved strongly back into the range. I believe this to be a wave 4 move, with wave about the develop. The RSI holding above 40 which is the bottom of a bullish trend. 144 days is significant timing for those Gann traders. My target is 96K calculated using fib extension and confirmed by Gann square of nine. The CBIdx indicator is holding above 40 with a small bullish divergence appearing. We Should see ramped movement to the upside in the coming week.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TRADER-RI
Rakon NZ long term buying level approachingRakon Monthly chart I'm currently looking at long term investments to hold for years, and noticed this one Current price is $0.80, but I think it could easily fall to $0.41c Downside $0.42c Dividend ~ ~5% at that price level Potential capital gain, 300% gain is pretty easy to get to $1.20, the all time high was $5.80 Could easily hold for a couple of years sell half and make 100%+ on your original money and still own some shares The upside with volatile stocks like this is that there are very few real support or resistance levels on the chart i.e. big bars... these can easily get blown through both ways as there are no major order pools there that take time to fill See what happens but its on my watchlist with price alerts set
NZX:RAKLong
by dionvuletich
Important close for USD/JPY as bullish signals emerge Friday’s close looms as particularly important for USD/JPY with a break back above the Jan 2023 uptrend setting the platform for potential further upside next week. As things stand, another leg higher will fulfill the criteria to meet a morning star pattern on the weekly timeframe, adding to the case for setting longs with bearish momentum also starting to ebb. A close around these levels would create a decent bullish setup, allowing for traders to buy the break with a stop below the former trendline for protection. As for topside targets, 150.90 and 151.95 loom as viable options. From a fundamental perspective, USD/JPY has a rolling daily correlation with US two-year bond yields of 0.97 over the past month, implying the two variables are basically moving in lockstep. With little US data on the calendar next week to shift sentiment on the economy, that provides room for recent moves to extend further in the days ahead. The biggest risk to the setup would be a major escalation in tensions in the Middle East or unlikely extreme dovish shift from Fed policymakers at the Jackson Hole economic symposium next week. DS
Long
by FOREXcom
1
SMH rallies to new highs with room to goSMH rallied to new highs today and into higher trading area which originally appeared to be very overbought 1 hour interval shows both 10 and 20 RSI levels in overbought territory 2 hour interval shows 20 RSI having more room to grow. initially exited riskiest positions figuring on this new high being way outside the bounds of normal This is now looking to have some more room left in it. expect a small pullback or pullback in time over the next day or two.
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by ratchet-mint
US small cap bounce unconvincing despite risk revival The recovery in US small caps has been unconvincing over the past fortnight, struggling for upside unlike mega-cap rivals. Russell 2000 futures have been capped below the 50-day moving average for much of this period, running into sellers constantly above this level. Wednesday’s rejection above 2132.6 warns of building reversal risk, putting a potential break of uptrend support on the cards should US slowdown fears return. If the price were to break the uptrend, traders could enter shorts with a tight stop either above the level or the 50-day moving average for protection, depending on your target. On that subject, the 200-day moving average or 1920 are levels to consider. If the price were to hold the uptrend, a close above the 50-day moving average would negate the bearish setup. MACD and RSI continue to generate bearish signals on momentum, making selling rallies the preferred strategy near-term. Good luck! DS
CME_MINI:RTY1!Short
by FOREXcom
NZD/USD looking bullish before RBNZ rate decisionNZD/USD has reversed the downside break sparked by US recession fears, smashing through the downtrend it had been trading in since early June on Tuesday. With RSI and MACD providing bullish signals on momentum, risks are skewing towards further gains ahead of today’s RBNZ interest rate decision. While economists are evenly split on whether the bank will cut rates by 25 basis point, I’m with market pricing that marginally favours a reduction in the cash rate to 5.25%. If that eventuates, we could see the Kiwi pull back initially. However, it will be the rate track path from the RBNZ that will likely drive direction beyond the actual decision, providing clues as to how fast and much the RBNZ expects it will have to cut rates this cycle. Whatever that indicates, NZD/USD finds itself back at the 50-day moving average, a level it has often respected over the course of this year. That creates a great setup opportunity depending on how the Kiwi performs post RBNZ. Buy a break above the level with a stop below for protection, targeting a push towards .6150. Alternatively, if the price can’t break or hold above the 50DMA, sell below the level with a stop above for protection. .6050 would be one target with .5985 after that. Good luck! DS
by FOREXcom
S&P 500 Attempt to Test Previous HighThe Monthly S&P is overbought and at a 9 TD Sequential Sell signal, that is why the market pulled back. The Daily after the pullback has found buyers at previous breakout resistance turned support (Change of Polarity). The Weekly has relieved the overbought condition and I believe this is the point where bulls will see if they can continue the bull market. On the Daily chart I show something like a 5-8% profit potential to the next Falling Window resistance area and high. The Daily TD Sequential has a green 2>1 allowing for a new long position. This is happening on a breakout of the Falling Window resistance. The 39 minute chart (10 Daily candles on U.S. stock market) shows a close above EMA 200 followed by the previous candle closing above the Window resistance. You can use this to open a new long position with a stop loss below the low of the window.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by zerocashcool
VIX: Lower High to complete Equity CorrectionYes. Volatility spiked HUGELY! Check this out. I bet we have one more spike, but not as high, while Equities bottom, FOR NOW. Vix is interesting, because it goes crazy on the middle of the down moves in equities, but when they eventually bottom, as traders realize everything is fine, it doesn't go as high, hence my Primary ((C)) label off high. Maybe, Monday week after next, Aug 19. Meaning, "Rally Friday" might have been a great time to buy some Vixy, Uvxy, or UVIX, OR SQQQ if you can hold for 10 days...Could be double money. The signal to sell will be a spike in MACD, as shown in the picture below. Price goes not as high on MORE strength...that is hidden bearish divergence, and it should sell off quick, as soon as that oscillator surpasses its last high, assuming Vix price stays in the 35-45 region and not higher than 65. I will be targeting about 38. It could push to 40, but 35 is average in high volatility, 15 under low volatility.
CBOE:VIXLong
by CuzDelux
5
SPY - RSI Failure Swing and Gold New ATH BreakoutThis trade idea is already a missed opportunity but the analysis of what transpired may be useful for future reference. This was a -8.38% move from a close that constituted a sell signal according to RSI failure swing theory on the daily chart. The drawdown would have been .46% if a short trade was entered at the close of Wed July 17th when the signal was given. That sell level was also successfully defended 4 days later. It coincided with the 9-day SMA at that time. Also worth noting: Gold broke out to a new ATH the day prior, which in hindsight, amongst the backdrop of great, unretraced gains in gold over the past 5 months, was a bellwether for increasing risk asset fear. SPY put in a new ATH that same day, but not with the same level of conviction. It had a smaller % gain, and it wasn't a breakout but a continuation of a series of new ATH days. Main takeaway: Watch the daily RSI for failure swings in overbought territory to spot trend changes before they happen.
AMEX:SPY
by Skipper86
SMH breaks through key resistanceSMH breaks through key resistance giving a hint that downward trend could be coming to a close for the near term. RSI continues to rise during recent rally which is a bullish sign Flash crash we experienced on Fri-Mon tends to cause rallies which we have experienced thus far potential breakout we are currently seeing could just be false breakout before retreating back into downward trend. We should wait for pullback to resistance line and bounce upward to help confirm if this breakout will continue Any trades made now should be done cautiously and in small amounts, the market could go in either direction. Trades made now, should not be added onto until we have more confidence of the overall direction.
NASDAQ:SMH
by ratchet-mint
GBP/USD Key Points Tuesday’s UK Construction PMI came in above expectations at 55.3, the highest reading in more than two years Time will tell whether traders are overly optimistic that the BOE will be able to cut rates relatively slower than its major rivals or whether more rate cuts still need to be discounted GBP/USD’s bias remains to the downside and traders may look to sell this rally as long as rates remain below 1.2760 and the RSI holds below the 50 level. In an eerily quiet week for UK economic data, GBP/USD has been taking its signal from developments elsewhere and general risk trends. The only notable data release this week was Tuesday’s Construction PMI, which came in above expectations at 55.3, the highest reading in more than two years. Despite the strong reading (admittedly on a second- if not third-tier economic indicator), sterling has struggled to get into gear this week. Outside of the Swiss franc, the British pound is the weakest major currency since Sunday’s open. This weakness has emerged despite the BOE being one of the least dovish major central banks looking forward. According to Bloomberg data, OIS traders are pricing in just 44bps of interest rate cuts from the Bank of England this year, or a bit below two 25bps rate cuts, compared to roughly 100bps (four 25bps rate cuts) and 68bps (almost three 25bps rate cuts) for the Fed and ECB respectively. Time will tell whether traders are overly optimistic that the BOE will be able to cut rates relatively slower than its major rivals or whether more rate cuts still need to be discounted, potentially keeping GBP/USD under pressure. British Pound Technical Analysis – GBP/USD 4-Hour Chart Turning our attention to the chart, GBP/USD remains in its 4-week bearish channel, despite the big rally during the first half of today’s US session. One tool that traders can use to help handicap when a trend may break is the RSI indicator. In this case, the 14-period RSI on GBP/USD’s 4-hour chart has been stuck in a well-defined range between 30-50 since shortly after the bearish channel formed, signaling consistent, but not excessive, bearish momentum. Accordingly, bulls may want to watch to see if the RSI can break above the 50 level to either foreshadow or confirm a breakout in the exchange rate itself. For now though, the bias remains to the downside and traders may look to sell this rally as long as rates remain below 1.2760 and the RSI holds below the 50 level. -- Written by Matt Weller
Short
by WHSelfInvest
Long Term Silver Stacking Zone $20 to $15These line up with probable liquidity hunting zones on the monthly chart to fill in low volume notches on the volume profile and using fork extensions to estimate timing. The bottom end of the zone is less likely around $15 because the point of control is at $16.5 and would probably tend to soak up price tests through it. But the trade idea is still valid even if the POC doesn't provide support. The volume profile has a double distribution meaning disagreement among traders on this time frame. An exit point might be at $23 which is the next developing POC but if I stack some silver below $20 I will probably hold it for something more like $40 since silver has a tendency to produce short squeezes and shoot to the moon for a short burst and then collapse. Also holding physical silver (probably 10 oz bars) is a nice way to get a warm and fuzzy feeling of financial security so having a bit on hand is not a bad idea.
COMEX:SI1!
by mljones