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M-oscillator

AUD/JPY looks set to bounce from OS levelsAUD/JPY fell nearly -4.5% since the MTD high to today’s low. And as AU employment has raised the takes for another RBA hike – even if only very slightly – we suspect further upside over the near term. Besides, assuming the MOF did intervene on the yen on Wednesday, it seems unlikely to be followed up with more action today. And that could allow the yen to drift lower and provide a slight tailwind for AUD/JPY. The daily RSI (2) reached oversold on Wednesday. Today we have seen prices open above the April high, dip beneath it and back again. This could suggest we have already seen the daily low. The 4-hour RSI (14) is well within its oversold zone, and two very negative delta volumes (bids – asks) suggests some bears got greedy on the way down. Besides, volumes were also relatively thin in the recent leg lower looking at the volume profile, hence the bias for a corrective bounce towards 106. Bulls could seek dips within the prior 4-hour bullish pinbar with a stop below.
Long
by CityIndex
OverstrechedMeta is strong - to strong. It has been rising for 2 years without a major correction. There was a correction of this year's rise at least and now we are trying to retest this year's high again. I expect this test to fail despite there is still some momentum. The correction is required to get the market clean of the "weak hands" which hamper the finding of a fair value of the stock. This correction may be long sideward movement. But with a change of the overall market sentiment a certain Fibonacci retracement may be expected. Meanwhile the April decline has been retracedit may be the right time of another fall to begin.
NASDAQ:METAShort
by motleifaul
Oil's Descent: Triangles, Elliott, Reversion, & BackwardationIn this analysis, we will delve into the oil market’s current state and explain why a significant reversal is imminent. Contracting Triangle Oil has been forming a contracting triangle since the beginning of May. The lead-up to the triangle was bearish, so statistically, the breakout should also be bearish. The upper extreme of the triangle is at $84.45, but prices could advance up to $87.67 before invalidating the bearish breakout. Wave C of E of X According to Elliott Wave analysis, contracting triangles form five waves (i.e., A, B, C, D, E). Typically, each of those five waves subdivides into a zigzag (i.e., A, B, C). We can clearly count five waves of the triangle and three waves of the final zigzag, indicating that the reversal should occur at any moment. Mean Reversion On the daily timeframe, oil has approached the overbought level on three different mean reversion indicators. It has been overbought since June 17, according to the Stochastic Oscillator, and it will be overbought according to RSI and Bollinger Bands at $85.09. Backwardation Backwardation, where forward contracts are traded below the expected spot value at maturity, often signifies a bullish outlook for crude oil. However, it can also indicate short-term market stress caused by buyers' panic over excess demand or insufficient supply. This scenario often results from an overreaction, and as future supply and demand expectations come into balance, the oil market tends to experience a selloff towards more rational pricing. Given the current strong state of backwardation in oil futures, this dynamic could unfold, contributing to the next market downturn. Executing the Bearish Strategy As this is a countertrend trade, risk should be tight, and one’s stop loss should be adhered to religiously. While unlikely, if prices were to continue their ascent, and you have a wide or flexible stop loss, you could experience a substantial loss. I believe the best place for a stop loss would be just beyond the end of intermediate wave C at $87.68. If prices move beyond this level, it would invalidate the Elliott analysis and offer a strong indication of a bullish breakout from the triangle. As long as prices hold below this level, the outlook would remain bearish, unless a strong consolidation pattern forms near these highs. If the analysis is correct and we do see a bearish breakout, prices could easily decline to $65, possibly lower. This would be a reasonably conservative target, but I am planning a discretionary exit as price action develops. As for entry, this is a personal decision. I see three possible options: Wait for prices to climb a little higher (less risk at entry if successful, with a chance of entering lower with more risk if unsuccessful). Wait for prices to decline a bit to confirm the analysis (higher probability of a winning trade, with greater initial risk at entry). Enter now (somewhere in between options 1 and 2). Good luck, everyone!
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by epistemophiliac
EURNZD to continue in the upward move?EURNZD - 24h expiry Our short term bias remains positive. Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low. We look to buy dips. 20 4hour EMA is at 1.7921. There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. We look to Buy at 1.7928 (stop at 1.7878) Our profit targets will be 1.8048 and 1.8068 Resistance: 1.7978 / 1.8061 / 1.8100 Support: 1.7925 / 1.7900 / 1.7870 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
KAS - the gift that keeps on givingI've been playing KAS for the better part of 2 years and for the life of me, I'm not sure why more people are not taking advantage of it. Over time, it has followed a nice logarithmic growth pattern (around 180 days), technical indicators show we are out of peak fear after the last impulse up, heading to peak greed. KAS continues to consolidate higher, now in the 0.18 range. I tagged-in at 0.10 and 0.11 recently so plan to sell above 0.20 cents with a stop loss around 0.16383 just to protect my current profits.
CRYPTO:KASUSDLong
by DClayton
2
$SPY July 16, 2024XETR:AMEX : SPY July 16, 2024 15 Minutes. XETR:AMEX : SPY made 3 HH pattern. So, if we take 555.83 as low, we can expect 566-567.5 levels as target for now provided it holds around 557 levels At the moment it took support at 61.8% of the fall as support. For the fall 564.83 to 559.62 it needs to cross 563.8 levels to resume uptrend. So, for the day Buy above 564 to 566-567 as target and sell below 556.5. If this level is broken, I expect a 4 to 5 $ fall. Remember 556 is 9 MA support in daily.
AMEX:SPY
by RiderTrader
EUR/USD Hesitating at 1.09The world's most widely-traded currency pair has seen a big bullish run over the last 2+ weeks, but today's price action shows some hesitation around the 4-month highs at 1.0900. The combination of a daily doji candle (in progress) and relatively stretched RSI and MACD oscillators hints at a pullback if tomorrow's US Retail Sales report can beat expectations. To the downside, the next logical level to watch would be at the convergence of the 50- and 200-day moving averages near 1.0800. -MW
by FOREXcom
GBP/USD Fade Potential Off Key 1.30 LevelCable has rallied in 10 of the last 12 days, taking the pair up to its highest level in nearly a full year. For this week, the key level to watch will be psychological resistance at 1.3000: If that level, which also represents the late July 2023 high, is convincingly broken, GBP/USD could make a run at its 2+ year high near 1.3150 next. Meanwhile, given the pound’s 17-year high in net speculative long positioning and the overbought RSI, a profit-taking dip off this resistance level would be logical, especially if this week’s UK data disappoints. In that scenario, previous-resistance turned-support near 1.2900 will be the key level to watch. -MW
by FOREXcom
Akropolis (AKRO)On the above 4-day chart price action has corrected over 90% since the sell signal in February 2021 (not shown). Now is a good opportunity to go long. Why? 1) A strong buy signal prints. (not shown). 2) Price action resistance breakout. 3) Strong positive divergence between price action and multiple oscillators. Just as was with the Highstreet idea, 10 oscillators print bullish divergence with price action. This divergence occurs over a 80 day period. Is it possible price action could fall further? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Type: trade Risk: <=6% of portfolio Timeframe: Don’t know. Return: Don’t know.
Long
by without_worries
42
ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC*safe investment opportunity - low risk* Each candle on the above chart represents 6-months of price action. You can be sure not many people are studying this time frame. A new candle was printed at the close of 2020 following an astonishing 80% correction since mid-2014. We can see previous price action resistance from dot.com bubble is now winning strong support during the ‘everything bubble’ resulting in the printing of a Dragonfly DOJI candle. Cleary buyers were keen to get exposure to this oversold stock. An ‘incredible buy’ opportunity is now indicated on the 10-day chart below following an oversold condition (orange column). Price action currently finds support in the bullish half of the Bollinger Band as volume increases. A buy from 66-100p is amazing if you can get it.
LSE:RR.Long
by without_worries
36
Is Bitcoin dominance on the verge of collapse?For anyone interested in crypto tokens that are not Bitcoin or Ethereum, you’ll want to give this post your full attention! The above 10 day chart is very important for anyone speculating on alt tokens. The highlights: 1) Bitcoin dominance support and RSI support have broken market structure. That’s not my opinion, it is a fact of the chart. 2) Significant bearish divergence has printed at the breakout. Look left. (little red/green shapes). The number of oscillators printing divergence is shown. The higher the number the more significant the divergence. The divergence is measured over a period of weeks. 3) Support was held for 2.5 years (930/950 days) before the break of market structure. This is exactly the same length of time during dominance support from 2017 until 2019. Coincidence? 4) Given point 1 through 3, what happened to the alt token market from the period of November 2019 until May 1st 2021? Significant gains. See chart below. 5) This is all good news for alt tokens, right? Yes and no. In the “Alt token market to 10x” idea (link below) it was written “Not all tokens will enjoy gains in this bull run”. That remains the situation, legacy tokens such as ADA, DASH, EOS, LTC, MATIC, etc.. they continue to show no signs of supporting market structure on either USD or BTC pairs . Maybe that changes in time, but for now, no. Ww Alt token market November 2019 until May 1st 2021
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by without_worries
9