TrueFI (TRU) - 350% returnOn the above 4-day chart price action has corrected 75% since March. A number of reasons now exist to be long, including:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Significant bullish divergence. Multiple oscillators print positive divergence with price action.
3) Bull flag break out with 350% target projection.
Is it possible price action prints lower highs? Sure.
Is it probable? no.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6%
Time to act: days
Return: 350%
M-oscillator
This Bitcoin signal has a 71% winrate.This signal purely based on RSI happened only 7 times on the daily chart history of BTCUSD.
The formula is the following:
RSI is at the 50 days lowest and is rising for 3 bars, and is lower than the 160 days RSI with 5 (as RSI value) added and RSI is below 37.5
Signal history:
3 April 2014: 46% move up
18 August 2014: fail
16 June 2018: 30% move up
27 November 2018: +200% move up
22 May 2021: 80% move up
13 December 2021: fail
26 August 2023: 173% move up
Total Winners * 100 / Total Trades = 5 * 100 / 7 = 71.4% Winrate
Average winning trade: +105.8%
Important Note: The rarity of the signal (only 7 times) induces that a small amount of backtest data, and should not be used as sole indicator in your trading.
Why I think GBPUSD Will Sell...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
Here is my technical analysis for GBPUSD on the 4-Hour timeframe. Remember to cross reference your own chart/indicators and check the news for additional confirmations. I think GBPUSD and other USD majors will sell and here is what I am looking at:
- The candles have already rejected the previous supply zone
- Tweezer top candle pattern formed. This is a bearish confirmation for me
- The Stochastic is facing down, the slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue) and both lines have crossed below 80. These are 3 bearish confirmations on the stochastic for me
For additional confirmation:
- Wait for the current candle to cross and close below the 10 EMA (purple)
- Wait for the slow line (orange) to cross below 70
- Wait for the 10 EMA (purple) to cross above the 3 EMA (blue)
I entered at market execution and set sell limits in the highlighted areas. My SL will be at a previous high and I will target previous lows for my TPs.
Great luck if you take those trade and let me know if you have any questions.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
Is Celestia poised for a further upswing?Before it emerged as the highest gainer today, Celestia reached its lowest price since November 2023 on July 5. The price as of then was $4.78, meaning it was 80% down from its ATH.
According to the daily TIA/USDT chart, the extended decline led to a descending channel formation.
This pattern is bearish as it shows lower highs and lower lows during the period marred by a downturn and consolidation in between.
From the chart above, bulls seem to have taken advantage of the decline by creating a good level of demand between $5.06 and $6.09.
If sustained, Celestia may continue to experience a breakout to the upside.
Another look at the daily chart shows that TIA has risen above the 20-day EMA (blue). EMA stands for Exponential Moving Average, and it measures trend direction over a period of time.
If the price is below the EMA, the trend is bearish. But when it is above it, the trend is bullish. Therefore, as long as TIA stays above the threshold, the price can continue to increase.
Furthermore, the token is on the brink of breaking above the 50-day EMA (yellow) at $7.51. If bulls successfully breach this region, the next target for the token will be $8.07.
In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 51. The RSI measures momentum by measuring the speed and size of price changes.
Thus, since TIA’s RSI has surpassed the midpoint, momentum is bullish. If the RSI continues to rise, the value of the token may also follow in the same direction, with short-term targets between $8.07 and $9.16.
ABCDE weekly EURJPY - with manual Fibonacci projectionI used trend based Fibonacci extension to draw from high of wave A to low of wave A, then placed the 100% level at end of wave E. I'm thinking the 0% target may be reached and then I'm going to short - but I figure this will top out in a couple of weeks at 189.259 (0% level or technically 100% or sooner - RSI is right at 70). Thoughts? Especially on how I could've done this better?
WTI Crude Oil Falls for the 4th Straight DayWTI Crude Oil has been trending consistently lower dating back to Friday reverting to the $80 "magnet" that has continually attracted prices since Q4 2022.
In a rangebound market like this, traders may consider selling rallies meaningfully above $80 and buying dips toward $70, using oscillators like RSI to identify overbought and oversold markets.
-MW
Historically Warm Weather to Support Natural Gas PricesAfter the second quarter relief rally and the five-month peak, Natural Gas registered a four-week decline. This has shifted bias to the downside again, creating scope for further losses towards 1.940. However, a look at the daily chart shows that NGAS tries to react at the lower border of the Ichimoku Cloud. Furthermore, a Golden Cross (EMA50 crossing above the EMA200) has been formed, which is often viewed as a precursor of sustained growth.
This technical formation compliments the favorable fundamentals, as demand is set to increase this year, while key drillers lower their activity. Although the world shifts to renewables, Natural Gas is seen a bridge fuel facilitating this transition. Furthermore, it is heavily used in electricity generation, being the top source in the US and No2 globally. June was the thirteenth straight month of record high temperatures according to Copernicus, which can provide another tailwind for energy demand during the summer months. This in turn can increase Natural gas consumption and support prices.
As a result, NGAS can reclaim the EMA200 that would give control to the bulls and the ability to push for the June peak (3.164). The upside contains multiple technical roadblocks though and there are risks to the upbeat supply-demand dynamics.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Polkastarter (POLS)On the above 3-day chart price action has corrected over 90% since the sell signal in October 2021 (not shown). Now is a good opportunity to go long. Why?
1) A strong buy signal prints. (not shown).
2) Price action resistance breakout.
3) Strong positive divergence between price action and multiple oscillators. This divergence occurs over a 90 day period. The idea is a mirror copy of the LCX idea 48hrs ago.
Is it possible price action could fall further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: Don’t know.
Return: Don’t know.
BarnBridge (BOND) - Bullish divergence** warning - tiny market cap **
On the above 3-day chart price action has corrected 90% since June of last year. Astonishingly sellers have returned price action back to support. Is now a good time to go long?
1) Oscillators prints bullish divergence with price action. As a matter of fact more oscillators print positive divergence than the previous time price action moved from 2 dollars to 20 dollars in less than a month.
2) Price action has returned to support. Astonishing, did every buyer of the last move sell back at a lower price?
3) Some other reasons..
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: Trade
Risk: <= 1%
Timeframe: act now
Return: As before, around 600-700%
MDEX (MDX)On the above daily chart price action has corrected 70%. A number of reasons now exist to be long, including:
1) You know why..
2) Multiple oscillators print positive divergence over an extended time frame. Look left.
3) RSI resistance breakouts on both USD and BTC pairs.
4) The last time those conditions printed a significant move followed in the days ahead.
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? no.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6%
Timeframe: Now, don’t hang around.
Return: 250%
The current conditions entail significant risk for placing orderStrategy: Neutral Risk for placing orders: Significant High
Summary
Long-term and short-term trends: Prices are moving near the lower band of the trend channels, indicating a possible reversal towards the main trend.
Fibonacci Retracement: Critical support levels. The currency pair may move downward to the level of 1.34322 without changing the main trend.
Fibonacci Expansion: Resistance levels that determine the upward movement at points 1.3763, 1.3860, and 1.4000.
Technical Indicators: The use of moving averages and the MACD shows a high risk for trades. The technical indicators do not align with the main trend, emphasizing caution in decision-making.
Trend Determination
The prevailing main trend on the exchange rate price chart is upward. The secondary short-term trend currently on the exchange rate price chart is downward.
Within the main upward trend channel, exchange rate prices are moving downward within the lower band. In the secondary downward trend channel, exchange rate prices are moving downward within the lower band.
The movement of the price near the lower band of the secondary trend channel could indicate an imminent reversal of the short-term trend towards the main trend direction. The lower band of the trend channel is considered a support level. However, this scenario requires further investigation and is currently a mere hypothesis. The price movement within the created channels carries medium risk for placing trades.
Support-Resistance Levels – Fibonacci
Fibonacci Retracement:
Using the Fibonacci Retracement tool will help identify critical support levels and points within which there is increased risk for placing trades.
The Fibonacci Retracement tool will be applied to the upward course of the exchange rate. This way, the levels to which the exchange rate can move downward without being considered a trend reversal can be determined. Specifically, according to the current conditions in the exchange rate, this point is around 1.34322.
The possibility of breaking this support point and continuing the price movement below 1.34322 requires great caution as it could signal a trend reversal and significant losses.
From the study of the Fibonacci sequence in this currency pair, two important levels emerge, which are necessary to mention. Placing trades at any point within these two levels carries increased risk due to the accumulation of pressure. This range is defined by the levels of 1.34322 and 1.35831. The risk decreases above the 1.36764 limit for the possibility of placing a buy order.
Fibonacci Expansion:
The purpose of using the Fibonacci Expansion tool is to identify resistance levels. Consequently, these levels can be used to estimate the range of the possible upward movement.
The current movement of the exchange rate is considered significant and quite clear. This significantly helps in applying the Fibonacci Expansion tool and identifying the resistance levels for this upward movement.
The resistance levels that appear to exist and their distance from the current price, which is considered noteworthy, are as follows:
1.3763 – 133 pips
1.3860 – 230 pips
1.4000 – 370 pips
The application of a second Fibonacci Expansion was deemed necessary, initially because the movement was quite strong and secondly, the identification of intermediate levels will better define the price movement range.
Technical Indicator Analysis
To smooth prices, determine trend dynamics, and strength, a system of three moving averages will be used. To evaluate trend momentum and identify divergences which may indicate trend reversal, the MACD will be used.
Moving Averages:
The exchange rate prices are currently below the moving averages. The distance of the current price from the moving averages is not significant. Visualizing the results of the moving averages shows that the price trend, at the present time, does not evolve according to the main trend.
MACD:
The MACD is moving negatively in a downward trajectory, and its momentum is not satisfactory. Visualizing the MACD results does not show divergences between the MACD trajectory and the price trend. The existence of divergences could mean a potential reversal of the current price trend. The MACD results show that the price trend, at the present time, does not evolve in conjunction with the main trend.
The moving averages and MACD indicate that the possibility of placing a trade, at the current moment according to market conditions, carries high risk. This is concluded from the fact that the technical indicators, on the one hand, do not provide results that are in harmony with the prevailing price trend. On the other hand, they do not adequately describe the current market conditions.
GBP/USD stages bullish break, March peak in sight?In the absence of an unexpected reacceleration in US inflationary pressures or unlikely hawkish pivot from Jerome Powell when he appears before lawmakers on Capitol Hill on Tuesday, whether the US dollar can reverse the bearish move seen last week is questionable. With Fed rate cut expectations growing as US data continues to soften, the path of least resistance looks lower in the near-term for the DXY.
Having broken above 1.2800 and closed there Friday, and successfully back tested the level again in early Asian trade today following the French election results, GBP/USD is one pair that may be able to capitalise on the buck’s bearish reversal in the days ahead.
Buying near these levels targeting the May high of 1.2894 is one potential setup, allowing for a stop loss order to be placed at 1.2790 for protection. You’re risking around 17 pips to make 87 pips. Resistance may be encountered around 1.2860, the high struck in June. Should GBP/USD fail to clear that level, consider taking profits on the trade.
While GBP/USD has not had a great track record above 1.2800, this bullish break comes with the USD on the backfoot and follows a successful break of downtrend resistance that thwarted other bullish moves earlier in the year. With it out of the way and momentum indicators like MACD and RSI providing bullish signals, upside looks easier than downside in the near-term.
DS
Shiba Inu SHIBA lot of folks asking about Shiba Inu at the moment. At this time on the above 2-day chart price action has broken from resistance that began in October 2021.
The question most want answered: Will Shiba (Bro..) pump 1000% like in 2021 from late September until late October? No idea. Anything is possible.
Is it probable? No. Why do I say that?
Let’s look left. Back 2021 there were certain conditions that printed specially on the 2-day chart. Those conditions were:
1) The BTC pair of the token
2) A strong buy signal
3) Strong bullish divergence. Huge.
4) Stochastic RSI was 50+ at the time of the above conditions.
Do all those conditions exist today? No.
Do those conditions exist on other tokens today? Yes.
Yes indeed. As a matter of fact there are 16 tokens currently listed on Binance printing those exact conditions. Two of them have already ‘popped’, GALA and SOL.
What are the other 14? Get this post to 500 likes and I’ll share them below!
Ww
Remember:
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio per position.
Timeframe: don’t know
Return: don't know
Centrica - bullish divergence*investment opportunity*
A 90% correction since 2014 and following oversold condition there now exists an excellent opportunity to buy this stock.
The 10-day chart above confirms a regular bullish divergence between price action and the oscillators + higher low in price action. This is the start of a trend reversal. Price action is now in the bullish half of the Bollinger band as the mouth is constricting, which suggests a big move is coming.
On the fundamentals Centrica engages in the provision of energy and supply services. There is no end of ‘bad news’ stories on the business. Pay no attention. The only news you need is the headlines in the charts, and they look amazing.
A buy above 42 is good. 1st target 115
2-month chart - broken RSI resistance following oversold condition:
3-month chart - bullish morning star + confirmation
ETH Poised for Post-ETF Approval Pullback: Short to 3.2k ZoneEthereum surged over 30% in anticipation of its much-awaited ETF approval, but the excitement may be short-lived. As traders who missed the initial rally eye the $2.9k to $3.2k support zone, a pullback seems likely. With ETH currently trading around $3.8k, a short trade to this support area presents an attractive opportunity.
Technical Analysis:
Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP): The VRVP indicates a significant volume zone at $3k, suggesting strong support at this level.
Average Directional Index (ADX): The ADX, a momentum indicator, is losing strength, signaling a weakening trend.
Proposed Short Trade:
Entry Price: 3.8k zone USDT
Take Profit: 3k zone USDT
Stop Loss: 4.110 USDT
Rationale:
The post-ETF approval euphoria is likely to fade, leading to a price correction.
The $2.9k to $3.2k zone represents a strong support area, as evidenced by the VRVP.
The weakening ADX suggests a loss of momentum in the uptrend.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
The potential risk-to-reward ratio for this trade is approximately 3:1, implying a potential 3% profit for every 1% risk.