Technicals Made Easy: Technical Dissection of Nifty Hourly ChartIn The above chart you can see how Nifty follows various Technical aspects of the chart. First of all we can see a Parallel channel in which Nifty is travelling. The channel has 3 parts.
1) Channel Top.
2) Channel Bottom.
3) Mid Channel.
Channel top will always work as a resistance and Channel bottom will always will work as support. Channel Mid or Mid channel will act as support or resistance depending on where the candles are. If the candles are below the mid-line, the line will act as resistance. If the candles are above the mid-line, the line will act as support.
Similarly the 50 and 200 EMA (Mother and Father lines) have similar characteristics. If the candles are below respective Mother and father line, the lines will act as resistance. If the candles are above the EMAs the EMAs will act as supports.
In the chart we also see negative MACD crossover at one particular point and candles behaving bearishly after the same. Similarly after a positive MACD crossover the candles might behave bullishly.
Technical analysis is simple process by which you try to study the combined psychology of overall investors and how they behave at particular levels. Technical analysis in other words is graphical representation of behavioural patterns of investors, keeping historical data at the core of decision making. It is also science and not some wizardry or magic. In case you want to learn more about Technical or Techno-Funda analysis you can leave a comment below.
M-oscillator
Long-Term SBUX long after some stabilizationWith last poor earnings, Starbucks NASDAQ:SBUX generates my favorite long-term signal for potential long-term buying (Bollinger Bands torn & RSI oversold on weekly basis)
If the company gets its problems under control, there could be a reversal soon
After such negative earnings, however, the price still needs to stabilize somewhat
The stabilization of NASDAQ:META in the second picture took a week (picture 2) and of NASDAQ:NFLX a few weeks longer (picture 3) until the bottom was found after poor earnings
I will take a closer look at the earnings and the reasons for the strong sell-off of NASDAQ:SBUX and will probably buy a larger position in the next few trading days
The ideal price would be between $65 (resistance from 2015 and 2017) and $68.39 (low from May 2022)
$SPY May 3, 2024AMEX:SPY May 3, 2024
15 Minutes.
Last 2 days AMEX:SPY managed to sort out the moving averages issues due to sudden up and down movement on May 1, 2024.
Now all moving averages have converged, 50 averages are around 502.5 levels.
So, for the day if I consider the last rise from 501.34 to 505.88, holding 503 levels I will have a target of 506 - 506.5 to 510 levels.
My SL will be 500.
If I consider the rise from 493.86 to 510.75, we can see that 61.8% retracement has managed to hold twice around 499.5 levels. Thus, I expect a move 510 levels only.
BTC major weekly support Hit - All levels on chartBTC hits major weekly support.
We might face a deeper correction up to the 38k levels.
Watch for weekly closing wicks
On the daily SMA 200 is pointing 48k levels. If you take a look ok the weekly we can see it pointing to deeper levels around 36-38 levels.
We can start DCA from the 57k support.
BTC can try to sweep lower buy order and bulls should breach -69k levels before any bullish continuation.
More downside for XPTUSD (Platinum)XTPUSD has been rallying ever since it broke out of its two week sell off a couple days ago but there are now signs showing that the upward momentum could be coming to a end.
Technical : The 3 EMA is crossing over the 10 EMA to the downside while at the same time the Stochastic is crossing the 50% mark to the downside as well. These Bearish confluences are happening while we are nearing the bottom Trendline, making a breakdown higher probability. Target a 1-1.5% move down from your entry/break
Fed Day and market priced inToday we woke up with a SP Futures Market down on Fed day. The previous days the market was trading in a narrow range, yesterday we saw it crashing down anticipating the Fed day today, and this morning it took another dent until the level reached what we can see in the chart, a touch over the 100 ma support. Keep in mind that after hitting the ATH recently, it went down to this support. The market reacted well and recovered around 50% of the move. Today it´s going down again to the same point, which is interpreted as a test of the support levels. My forecast here is that the market has shaken the tree and is looking for another trip to the ATH levels.
We have a positive momentum divergence, Support Line at a strong moving average. It is normal to see a lot of volatility on days like today, so buckle up and enjoy the roller coaster.
TAP ( Coors Molson Miller ) Ready for Bullish Continuation?On the daily chart, TAP was on a good trend up heading into earnings which were favorable.
It is consolidated since just after earnings in a " high tight bull flag pattern" Volume has been
healthy with many buyers and seller trading shares in a tight range channel. The stochastic
RSI is now at about 20% indicating TAP is in the oversold / undervalued area. The optimized
artificial intelligence moving average indicator shows parallel rises in both the short and long
MAs ( neither divergence nor convergence just consistent ). This is a minor healthy pullback
and a good entry point.
Fundamentally, the summer beer- drinking season will soon arrive. TAP may be benefitting
from the BUD backlash over the Bud Lite endorsement controversy.
My call options have been appreciated 50% in the past 2 1/2 weeks ( 4% per trading day ).
I will roll them into the call options expiring 9/15/23. I consider TAP to be a steady
consistent gainer and likely more or less recession-proof.
Seen this exact setup at previous major tops I have analyzed the SPX using 2 common indicators; i.e. RSI and breadth above 200d SMA. A very similar setup was seen just before the 2018 correction and the 2020 crash. This recent rally of past 5 months is bigger and more irrational than the previous two rallies. Thus, we should expect a bigger move down over the long-term.
Price action correction to 31.5k** Swing trade opportunity **
On the above daily chart price action has enjoyed a 40% move despite the calls from camp bear. A number of reasons now exist to be short, including:
1) A sell signal prints (not shown).
2) Regular bearish divergence.
3) Failed MFI support.
4) Stochastic RSI crosses down 80. Look left for what happens next (blue circles)
Lastly, RSI is overbought. Now it is true to say the overbought condition can remain so for an extended period of time. IF the pervious overbought condition is to be repeated then a correction will not be seen until around mid-November. 36k is expected to be strong resistance (see 10k idea).
Is it possible price action continues up like a lot of tradingivew.com ideas are suggesting? Sure.
Is it probable. 17% probability according to analysis.
Ww
PS: Before asking, no the alt-token market will not get destroyed. Some alts are overbought and others will do well from the Bitcoin correction. Which is which…
Type: Short. 36k entry.
Risk: 6%
Timeframe for short: Between now and mid-November
Return: That’s up to you.
SPX500 slips on higher labour costsThe SPX500 has lost momentum since yesterday. If the hourly RSI remains below 50, we may see lower prices in the short-term.
Keep an eye on the daily RSI because if that slips it will affect the higher time frame's momentum.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
$SPY April 30, 2024AMEX:SPY April 30, 2024
15 Minutes
AMEX:SPY opened gap up around 510 levels.
But the expected retracement happened only near end of day.
It is on sideways between 508-510 levels.
If we consider the rise from 493.86 to 507.37 4SPY retraced to 497.5 levels. This is more than 61.8 retracement for the rise.
Hence 508-510 sideways going on for consolidation.
I have first target as 514 levels once 511 is crossed and close near top of bar.
At the moment uptrend intact in 15 minutes as long as 507 +- 0.5 is held.
I am supported by AMEX:SPY above 50,100 and 200 moving averages.
9,21 and 50 have converged.
Since Elliott oscillator is red and CCI red i expect a small retrace to 506-507 levels before crossing 511.
In the event we have a gap up today above 511 I will wait for retracement to 509- 510 levels and take a position only if close of bar is good when it crosses again 511.
SPX500 Maintaining Short-Term Bullish MomentumThe daily chart has been bouncing since moving oversold around the 19th of April. The daily RSI has now moved to the positive side of the indicator.
The SPX500 hourly chart still shows signs of positivity. Its stochasstic indicates a bullish momentum, with no short-term oversold signals.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
ETHUSDT - Cup & Handle - Bullish ContinuationBINANCE:ETHUSDT is currently forming a cup & handle pattern, which is a bullish continuation pattern. Bullish divergence was also formed on the chart and price has already broken the last lower high. Expecting price to reach projected cup & handle breakout projection!
GOEV -Canoo reverses while TSLA slumps into earnings LONGGOEV was in the $ 4.50 to $5.50 range 1-2 months ago and on the 60 minute chart appears to
be in a round bottom or doble bottom reversal concurrently with TSLA continuing to fall on
the expectation of an earnings miss. GOEV's last earnings was a beat. It burned about half the
cash that the analysts forecasted. The relative trend index indicator suggests a trend up is
developing. A red flag is that volume is at or below the running mean. My plan is to watch
GOEV for a rise in trading volumes before entertaining a long trade here. The Price Volume
product Trend is helpful in that regard. While it currently has a positive slope it is minimal.
I will watch for something a bit steeper. I am expecting the Price Momentum Oscillator will
soon cross the horizontal zero and provide another entry signal.
Civic (CVC)On the above 4-day chart price action has corrected 90% since the sell signal in February 2021. A number of reasons now exist to be long, including:
1) You know why..
2) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
3) Strong positive oscillator divergence with price action. Multiple oscillators currently print bullish divergence with price action over 136 days.
4) Point (3) prints on the golden ratio, which is also past support. Look left.
Is it possible price action corrects further? Sure.
Is it probable? no.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: 6%
Timeframe: 1-2 weeks to open
Return: will say somewhere else
DAX building a short-term momentumThe DAX hourly RSI is above 50 and its stochastic is in its upper quartile. These suggests a short-term positive momentum. Core PCE out later is likely to influence risk sentiment. In that regard keep an eye on the hourly stochastic - if it starts to slip, the short-term momentum will be waning. If it holds, the sentiment will be biased towards risk-on.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
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Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Why I Think USDCAD Will Sell This Week...Technical Analysis Hey Rich Friends,
Happy Tuesday! Here is my technical analysis for USDCAD. Always check the news and cross-reference the indicators on your chart before entering any trades. I think that there are opportunities to sell and here is what I am looking at:
- The market has already rejected a previous supply zone on the weekly time frame
- There is an evening star pattern that has formed, which is a bearish reversal confirmation
- The fast line (blue) of the STOCH has crossed below the 80 line, and is facing down and the slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue), which confirms the bearish trend for me
Signals to wait for before entering at market execution:
- Wait for the slow line (orange) on the STOCH to also cross below the 80 line
- Wait for the 3 EMA (blue) to cross above the 10 EMA (purple)
I have entered this trade at market execution but I also have pending sell limit orders for this trade. My SL will be above a previous high and my TPs will target previous lows.
Great luck if you get into this trade and happy trading!
Peace and Profits,
Cha
$SPY April 26, 2024AMEX:SPY April 26, 2024
15 Minutes.
The expected long was nullified by gap down.
But AMEX:SPY managed to close near 502 levels.
Now we have all moving averages consolidated together.
I have Elliott oscillator green, CCI green and stochastics above 75 with no black bar on top.
Now for the rise from 493.86 to 507.37 AMEX:SPY retraced more than 61.8%.
Also, we have multiple resistance around 506 levels in chart as it can be seen.
For the fall from 515.30 to 493.86 we have 61.8% retracement around 507 levels.
I expect AMEX:SPY to be in the range 507 to 510 on upside today, provided it holds 502 levels.
If that happens then we can assume AMEX:SPY managed to hold 100 days in daily and 21 in weekly, there by setting up a buy above 515 levels for next week.
I will go long only above 514 - 515 levels.
For the day as moving averages have converged, if AMEX:SPY opened gap up I will wait for first 15 minutes, and if close of bar is near low I will short for 503-504 as targets provided the gap open is around 507 to 510 levels with SL high of bar or 511.
The reason is for the fall 524 to 493, 512 is approximately 61.8% of retracement for the fall.
Hence I have a buy only above 514 levels.
Gold holding at support, short-term positivityGold has found support and may be charting a swing low. The shorter-term traders look to be positioning for a positive swing.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.