Gold Daily Losing Embedded Status - Retracement Coming!Gold: Daily, Fib & Indicators . . . We hit the high a week ago, corresponding to our objective from the Daily Fib Long in October 23. Now, we are lining up for a daily retracement of that move from October 23 to our highs. We could spend the next2-3 months heading down to the bull fibs, between 1968.76 and 2066.42. The daily chart, even with the Asian breakout to highs, has lost it's slow stochastic "embedded" status, meaning that further weakness, especially a close below 2155, would bring Bollinger Band support at 2131 into play. Losing that level would mean a trip to the lower Bollinger Band, currently within our Fib area at 2017. I will lean towards selling spikes, so long as we don't break into new highs. And, on weakness, I would lean against the 2155, 2130 levels as breaking those would mean a deeper correction.
M-oscillator
SILVERIt is evident that the indicators have indeed continued to travel in the overbought area as anticipated. Now, it is crucial to exercise caution since both the slow and fast trend indicators are coming down from the overbought regions. This situation presents two possibilities yet again.
Firstly, there is a chance of the trend continuing upward for a while longer. Alternatively, there is the possibility of a reversal occurring in the upcoming week. Examining different time frames, there is increasing evidence supporting the latter scenario.
Given this evolving scenario, it is important to stay alert. The early signs of the end of the current trend and the start of a new one require careful attention until they are confirmed.
~52.7%Hi.
I have to admit that there is an increasing likelihood
of dominance falling off the ascending diagonal at last.
The 1 day and 2 day charts show the corresponding signs.
But things are happening very slowly.
We have to wait for behavior around ~52.7% .
But signals are very interesting.
9 seasons showed a bearish plot again.
LaRSI reversed on 2 days.
One Last Crypto PurgeCrypto has been on a general down-trend the last couple of days. In the last hour or two we've seen a temporary increase in the cryptos I've looked at but I'm not seeing volume to support the uptrend. In particular, I've been following UNFI in particular (main chart) and it looks like there's some buy/sell algorithms oscillating generally between the hour chart Bollinger bands. In it's last rise from 5.8 to 6.2 there have only been a couple hundred shares sold. I'm monitoring trades on this but I think conservatively it'll go down to 5.1 and possibly ~4.6 once the algorithm triggers a sell off.
One final point to justify my bearish position on UNFI: On March 19th at 0:00 UTC, the last time we were at the current price, 10k shares sold off (I'm guessing someone that decided to get out before it fell more). The last 2 full hours saw 484 and 87 shares change hands respectively. No one wants to buy this at 6.2. I think we are seeing an active bull trap as institutions try to offload shares before one final sell-off and reversal. Like I said earlier, I think computer algorithms are keeping these prices from tanking, but once they realize no one is buying, crypto will do one last fall.
For reference I've also put BRICK on the chart, which is one of the few cryptos I've found that's been particularly bullish over the last few days. Even if it might go up to where it was a few days ago, I wouldn't personally touch this one with a 9 foot pole for potential downside risk. Most of the cryptos I've looked at have pretty similar charts with increasing price in the last hour but no volume to support the move (SBR, SGB, POLIS, MULTI, etc). EWT had some bigger volume amounts and might also be worth researching.
HOW-TO: Accumulation Strategy 2024What if instead of buying a stock, crypto, currency only once and holding until we are in profit, we split our strategy capital and buy several times, until the total is in profit ? Yes, that is DCA you’d say. Ok, but what if instead of buying at predetermined intervals, we bought at oversold RSI, or on a double bottom, for example ? That’s the idea behind the Accumulation Strategy, which I’m going to explain in detail in this article.
█ Simple Example
The strategy comes with several features, and the easiest way to explain them is through examples.
The Max Active Deals input allows to limit how many times the strategy can trigger a buy in a trade, just like the pyramiding setting. It can go up to 100.
In this example, the strategy has 10 max active deals. and is using the RSI feature to buy when RSI crosses below a configurable threshold, here 25.
Note: to get stronger signals, the RSI time frame has been set to 1 hour, since the chart is in a 30 min time frame.
In this trade, the strategy bought 8 times (yellow arrows) before selling at take profit, but it could have bought twice more.
█ Take Profit Feature
Customisable in the input tab, this feature allows you to set one or multiple take profit(s). You can set the value in either %, pips, or Auto mode.
To create multiple targets, increase the Number of take profit and set the Step between each TP.
In our previous example, instead of just one, I set 3 TPs with 1% value and a step of 1. The strategy will sell progressively at a quantity split even at each take profit, until the last TP is hit.
Note: Using multiple take profit is often used to improve risk management in trading.
█ Built-in Entry Options
The strategy comes with several built-in indicators, such as the RSI that we’ve seen, but here’s the list:
MTF RSI cross, RSI divergences
MTF Stochastic cross
MTF Bollinger Bands cross
Top & Bottoms
Double Top & bottoms
Higher/Lower Lows/Highs
Custom External Entries
If you want to use ANY external indicator from the TradingView library and use it as an entry signal, you can!
For example, let’s use the Squeeze Momentum Indicator by Lazybear. After adding it to the chart, we select the first plot which is the histogram. Then we select the condition “crossover” and “0”. It will create a buy when the histogram turns green.
█ Trend Filters
In trading, we try to avoid going against the global trend.
The strategy comes with several built-in trendlines, MTF, or you can use ANY external trendline from the TV library.
The strategy offers other built-in filters such as volume, overbought in range/trending market, or flat market entry filters.
█ Stop Loss
The stop loss can be turned on/off. You can set the value in either %, pips, ATR or Auto mode.
Note: When to use a Stop Loss? Using a stop kind of defeats the purpose of the strategy, but it can be useful if you plan to trade highly volatile and risky coins (remember LUNA ?) That is why the option is there.
█ How to use the strategy
The indicator access is unlocked by subscribing on my website. See the links below this article.
█ Setting up a strategy
You can set up a strategy on your own chart in just one click using the preconfigured charts I will share below, or you can simply add the indicator yourself and play with the settings.
Backtesting
Backtesting is automatically done in the Strategy Tester Tab.
Creating Alerts
Once you have your strategy setup on the chart:
1 - Set the alert message in the indicator inputs (scroll to the bottom, you will find an “alert’ section)
2 - Save your chart and do not touch it anymore unless you want to update your alert (optional but recommended)
3 - Create an alert on Cyatophilum Accumulation Strategy, using the option “alert() function calls only” (this is really important!)
Only one alert is needed to handle all the strategy events! (entry, take profit, stop loss, etc.) Even a free TradingView user can create a strategy!
Automation
The subscription that I offer also comes with Automation bots using the Binance spot trading API .
Important: if you wish to automate your strategies, make sure your TradingView account has access to alert webhook notifications .
That’s it for this tutorial!
Pretty easy right? No, I know it can get complicated at first. 😣
That is why I make preconfigured charts. Once you have access, click on the chart link, then click “copy”, then “save” your “layout” to get your own chart that you can use and edit. Enjoy!
█ Preconfigured charts
BTC/USDT
Chart: www.tradingview.com
ETH/USDT
Chart: www.tradingview.com
BNB/USDT
Chart: www.tradingview.com
MATIC/USDT
Chart: www.tradingview.com
EGLD/USDT
Chart: www.tradingview.com
BTCUSDT - Bullish momentum to continue!We saw BINANCE:BTCUSDT break all time highs followed by a retracement. Currently, price has broken a bearish parallel channel and found support at a long term support trend line. Bullish divergence is also present at this level!
I am expecting the bullish momentum to continue on BINANCE:BTCUSDT !
AMZN Oversold - Initial LongCouple points to consider
1) RSI
2) Bullish divergence as drawn
3) Price below BB (In general price tends to print inside Bollinger Bands, usually a move below/above them will almost immediately result in the opposite move)
4) 5 oscillators flashing bullish on 3D chart
For me an easy 20-30% profit long trade. Too bad I can't be arsed to open a trading account on a broker.
Trend Trading Strategy for the Heiken Ashi Algo v6Knowing when the RSI and price are in a ranging phase even in the short term can be a difficult process.
You are either #Ranging #bullish or #bearish. At least in the Algo v6 you can get a clear vision of exactly whats happening.
In this video im going to give you a VERY simple strategy on:
1. How to know if the RSI and price are ranging
2. When do i break away from Ranges
3. Am I trending
4. Im trending but whats my confluence to take a long or short
5. Is my range getting bigger or smaller
Enjoy this quick vid and ask questions below.
Thanks everyone.
BTCUSDTHi guys
For Bitcoin, if the short-term uptrend line remains intact, the possibility of a continuation of the uptrend is strengthened.
Due to the issued negative divergence and price compression in the upward trend, the weight of a downward-corrective trend is currently high.
What do you think?
$IBIT March 21, 2024NASDAQ:IBIT March 21, 2024
15 Minutes.
For the rise from 28 to 41.99 levels NASDAQ:IBIT retraced 50%.
The LL at 35.41 made on Wednesday had oscillator divergence.
We have 39.4 levels as 200 averages. That should provide resistance for the current move.
That level is also 61.8 % retracement for the fall from 41.99 to 35.41.
For the day the rise from 35.41 to 37.69, 36-365 levels must hold for the uptrend target 39 - 39.5 levels.
$SPY March 21, 2024AMEX:SPY March 21, 2024
15 Minutes.
Wednesday. Once more made money.
Onc 518.5 was taken out AMEX:SPY made ATH.
Consider the rise from 515.08 to 520.62.
Holding 517 uptrend will continue.
Also if we take two other rises from 514.36 to 520.62 and from 511.1 to 520.62 We find 515-516 very important levels to hold to continue the uptrend.
For the move 508.36 to 515.47 to 511.13 I have 522 - 523 as target.
xMoney (UTK) formally uTrust - 100x opportunity?That last time an idea was published for this token a 100x move followed (see below). Can that happen again? All you need do is hold it for a year to find out.
On the above weekly chart history appears to be repeating, it all begins with volume.
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Price action prints on past resistance. Look left.
3) Regular bullish divergence as measured over 3 months. Eight oscillators print positive divergence with price action.
4) Volume breakout. Money Flow Index turns positive. I.e. buyers outnumber sellers.
5) There’s a special candlestick pattern printing on the higher time frame, do you know what it is?
Is it possible for price action to correct further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
type: trade
Risk:<=6%
Timeframe for long: This month
Return: 10x to start, support on past resistance will confirm 100x
Previous 100x on uTrust or xMoney
RSI as a Trend ToolMost people use the RSI as a momentum indicator,
trying to find Overbought/Oversold (OBOS) conditions,
and/or divergences.
However there is also a way to use it as a Trend Tool.
There is a mathematical relationship that connects the RSI and EMA's.
The formula is RSI(x) cross-over 50-line = Close cross-over EMA(2x)
i.e. RSI(14) cross-over 50 line = Close cross-over EMA(28)
This one of the properties of the RSI,
which I discovered when taking a more indept look into momentum indicators,
which ultimately led to the discovery of the MACD-v in 2014/2015
The MACD-v was then publicly disclosed in 2022,
in the form of a a paper called
"MACD-v: Volatility Normalised Momentum",
which was awarded:
It has won 2 International Awards:
1. The “Founders Award” (2022),
for advances in Active Investment Management
from the National Association of Active Investment Managars (NAAIM)
2. The “Charles H. Dow Award” (2022)
for outstanding research in Technical Analysis,
from the Chartered Market Technicians Association (CMTA)
SoFi's Surge: Unveiling 2023 and What Lies Ahead in 2024Technical Analysis Overview
Current Price : $10.34, a 3.77% increase.
Weekly Trend : Showing a positive trend with a 5.35% increase over the last five days.
1-Month Trend : A significant increase of 51.96%, indicating strong bullish sentiment.
6-Month and Yearly Trends : A 17.04% increase over the last six months and a 124.51% increase year to date, highlighting a robust bullish trend.
Advanced Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI) : 70.41 - Indicating that SOFI is nearing overbought territory, which could lead to a potential reversal or consolidation in the short term.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) : 0.63 - Suggesting bullish momentum, indicating a strong buying trend.
Other Indicators : STOCH (83.28), STOCHRSI (84.02), ADX (37.09), Williams %R (-8.57), CCI (104.63), ATR (0.46), Ultimate Oscillator (54.76), and ROC (24.66) all contribute to a picture of current bullish momentum but with potential for short-term volatility or pullback.
Market Sentiment and External Factors
Market Capitalization : $9.904B USD.
Trading Volume Analysis : A high trading volume of 35,199,288, suggesting active market participation and interest in the stock.
Recent News Coverage Impacting SOFI
Bullish Outlook for 2024 : Analysts predict SOFI stock could continue its rally in the new year, benefiting from expected interest-rate cuts. A notable analyst has set a high price target of $14 for SOFI stock, implying significant upside potential ( InvestorPlace ).
Focus on Non-Lending Businesses : Analysts appreciate SoFi's shift towards non-lending businesses, improving earnings quality despite a higher-for-longer interest-rate policy.
Central Bank Policy Changes : Potential interest rate cuts in 2024 could benefit SoFi's lending business, as lower rates tend to spur borrowing and lending activity.
Conclusion
SOFI's stock shows strong bullish signs in the medium to long term, but the current overbought condition warrants caution for short-term traders.
The recent news and analyst predictions provide a positive outlook for 2024, making SOFI an interesting stock for both traders and long-term investors.
#DAX, #GER30 is ready to fall.-----------DAX DOWNSIDE MOVE IS ABOUT TO HAPPEN-----------
DAX index shows a few signs that it is ready to deep dive. The course is at all time high. Economic indicators like GDP, interes rate, emloyment don't support that optimistic behaviour. Weekly RSI is at overbought territory. And daily RSI shows divergence. I think it is time to re-consider the long positions at least or rather start to build a short position on German stock index.
KAS back in Buy ZoneMeasuring from the wick down on 3 Jan up to the recent ATH, KAS has now retraced to the 0.618 Fib level, with the 0.786 at at the 10 cent mark, which is also current 200 daily EMA level. Daily RSI back at levels not seen since last June, signalling a potential buy opportunity, though whether or not the bearish divergences formed from mid Nov to mid Feb have played out remains to be seen.
Exploring Cycles and Sine WavesEUR/NOK 4H Chart Analysis: Exploring Cycles and Sine Waves
In this EUR/NOK 4-hour chart, we've delved into the fascinating world of market cycles and sine waves to hypothesize future price movements. By closely examining the rhythmic patterns of the market and applying cycle analysis tools, we aim to capture the essence of the currency pair's fluctuations.
The chart showcases key sell signals where we hypothesized cycle peaks, complemented by a robust indicator at the bottom which merges cycle theory with classic technical analysis. The color transitions in the oscillator provide additional insight, potentially indicating momentum shifts.
Please note that this is a speculative approach based on pattern recognition and cyclical behavior of the market, not a definitive prediction. As always, trade with caution and consider integrating other forms of analysis for a comprehensive strategy.