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M-oscillator

Is BA Boening ready ?On the daily chart BA had big trend up for November and December but then fell with news of issues the the Max model which further developed into an FAA inquiry. In the meanwhile Thailand and India based airlines contracted for more jets and an earnings report beat both lines especially earnings. It would seem forward earnings are fortified by those new contracts. The chart shows price currently sitting at the support of the bottom of the high-volume area of the volume profile and just under the nearby POC line. In confluence, it has been in consolidation at a Fibonacci level. I consider that BA has been accumulating within a narrow range and is now well situated for another leg up. The last trend up was about 50% over 2 months. I will take a long trade here anticipating a similar move sometime soon. Targets are 230 and 250 with call options for August or September also under consideration.
NYSE:BALong
by AwesomeAvani
Can INTC breakout from a trinagle ? LONGINTC on a 180 minute chart is in a flat bottom triangle since before earnings. The earnings report was a beat of 20% on earnings and 1.5 % on revenue but apparently disappointed greedy traders expecting more. Price has been mostly sideways. I saw the dip on Tuesday to Thursday as an opportunity to take a call option trade for Friday which had a great return. I see INTC ready to gain price and break out of the triangle. It has a P/E ratio much lower than some of the high flyers in its subsector making it attractive to value-seeking investors and traders who like to buy at the lows. Price is now above the long-term POC line where buying pressure should predominate. Having seen the rise on Friday, some short sellers may begin to buy to cover and close their positionons especially those with put options from which the time to realize profits is now.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by AwesomeAvani
$IBIT March 6, 2024.NASDAQ:IBIT March 6, 2024. Started to track this ETF last few days. For the move from 28.91 to 39.68, IBIT retraced yesterday 50% of the last rise. Considering the fall of 39.68 to 34.03 uptrend is only above 37.6 levels. Even crypto I found when too far away from moving averages either goes sideways or retraces. We have 33 levels as 9 moving averages in daily time frames. Holding that on a retracement target is 38-39 levels as the retrace will be more than 61.8 of the rise. I would like to watch this for a short around 37 levels SL 38 for a target of 33-34 levels.
NASDAQ:IBITShort
by RiderTrader
$SPY March 6, 2024AMEX:SPY March 6, 2024 15 Minutes. AMEX:SPY opened with a gap down. Hence 508 was broken very easily. It has retraced 50% of the larger rise 493 to 514 levels. If we consider the fall fall 514.20 to 504.92 509.5 to 510 is a good level to short. We have in 15 minutes multiple tops around 513 levels. So need to cross convincingly for an upmove. As a trending day was expected the third bar in 15 minute time frame gave conformation. It went above the opening high but closed near the low of the bar. As per the Elliott oscillator, we have a lower low in price but the oscillator has a divergence. Hence we can assume wave 5 is completed for this move. Since it is a steep fall from 514 to 505 levels I expect consolidation today with a support around 502 levels.
AMEX:SPY
by RiderTrader
2
BTCUSDT1. Bitcoin needs to cool off. RSI and Stoch are sky high on the Daily weekly. 2. Seems like a very similar fractal developing from last major dumps. So a 20-25% dump would not be surprising. 3. On chain it could be seen last week that whales had started to sell. 4. Us 52-58k as your last buying opportunity. Once Grayscale finishes it's selling the ETF inflows will have no serious sell competitor in this market. 5. This is your last and big opportunity. Take advantage of it.
Short
by PistolPeteno1
NCI NASDAQ's Cryptocurrency Index SHORTOn a 2H chart, the index has had a 125% trend up since October averaging 25% per month but accelerating. I wanted to see if there are any signs of an impeding correction given the uptrend's duration. The past week added about 10% which seems unsustainable. The RSI is not yet in high overvalued /bought territory but is on the approach. The predictive algo indicators may suggest some upside but when zooming in the trendlines are relatively flat. The candlesticks are showing prominent topping wicks. The Bollinger bands show a " upper band march" after the run up of the past week. Overall, at least for the immediate to intermediate term, I see no upside for this index. As applied to my trading, I will take no new long positions of BTC and ETH. I will consider taking partial profits at the highs of the upcoming several days at 10% each time. At some point when a reversal is more definitive I may take short positions in them.
NASDAQ:NCI
by AwesomeAvani
Fetch.ai FET - Bullish divergence On the above 4-day chart price action has corrected 70% since the sell signal in November. Now is a excellent moment to be long. Why? 1) Price action and RSI resistance breakout. 2) Regular bullish divergence. Multiple oscillators are printing positive divergence with price action. 3) Price action tests past support that first printed 3 years ago. Is it possible for price action to fall further? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Type: trade Risk: <=6% of portfolio Timeframe: Now Return: Awesome return. Will say elsewhere
Long
by without_worries
21
BA Trade Setup into Earnings by Fib Retrace / Volume ProfileBA is shown on a marked up 120 minute chart with a Volume Profile and Fibonnaci retracement levels as well as the trend angle reversal at the consolidation upon finding support at the bottom of the high-volume area of the profile. The fib levels suggest targets. Risk in the trade is after earnings reports of "beats" will drive the action higher or "misses" will cause a down trajectory. Volatility will increase as the earnings date quickly approaches. Some traders may want to close a winning trade just before earnings or take a predominant partial close leaving the the rest to move through the storm looking for blue sky. I have a risk appetite here. I will take call options for February 5th striking OTM at $240. I will cut them no later than 24 hours before earnings or when they hit 200% if that happens beforehand.
NYSE:BALong
by AwesomeAvani
7
Is BA accumulating for an another leg higher ? LONGOn this 120 minute chart of BA where price is a blue line I have superimposed a RSI from the 4H time frame. Each is on its own scale RSI is 0-100 while BA is the actual price level. This set up detects divergences to forecast near-future price action. One the chart text box comments serve to explain this a bit more. Basically if price is flat and RSI is rising divergence is there. Likewise if RSI is falling and price is sideways there is bearish divergence. It follows that when the RSI line is above price and price is rising, if the slope of RSI exceeds the slope of price, that is a bullish bias. If price is falling and is above the RSI which is falling faster that is a bearish bias. At this time, I believe that institutions are making small ( for them ) incremental buys trying not to move price until they get their quota. Price is currently below the mean VWAP anchored into the distant past. Most buying and volatity will occur at that price. I want to get in early. I will buy call options above current price near to the VWAP so striking $210. So far BA has been very good to me actually a cash cow because of the strategy used. I have two contracts at $220 for July. If things go well with this trade, I will use the profits to buy a contract for expiration in September and spread the risk over more time as a risk-off strategy. A stock share long trade is good from here for an investor but the price ranging is not enough for your average trader. Fundamentally BA has had plenty of good news and bad news. I focus on the good news. The new contracts to buy coming out of India and Thailand point to future earnings stability something that suggests the time to trade is now.
NYSE:BALong
by AwesomeAvani
Price overextension: misconceptions and common mistakesPrice overextension remains a widely misunderstood concept in trading, causing both novice and seasoned traders to make errors in their decision-making. This misinterpretation often leads to placing trades in the wrong direction or, equally detrimental, overlooking profitable opportunities. In essence, price overextension signifies that the market has undergone a rapid and excessive movement in one direction. Such movements are often perceived as unsustainable. Numerous indicators, such as Stochastic, RSI, Bollinger Bands and many other, attempt to identify such "abnormal" price movements so traders could capitalize on them. Despite variations in statistical methods and calculations, their common goal is to detect instances where price went or down too much and is likely to reverse. In this discussion, I will use Relative-Strength-Index (RSI), a popular indicator, to convey my perspective on price overextension. While some traders argue for customization, the elusive question of "how" often remains unanswered. From my experience, there are no universally perfect settings that consistently yield optimal results. I’ll draw my examples from the recent SPY bar chart (February 2024). The first misconception The first misconception is that if price is overextended it is time to immediately start looking for a trade in the opposite direction. The most important phrase here is “start looking”. Many beginners misinterpret this as an invitation to commence trading, leading to the premature initiation of short positions during perceived market "overextension" and vice versa. So, the first and foremost important advice is to never try guessing top/bottom based on one indicator or gut feeling. Simple as it seems I remember many times breaking this rule myself because the temptation was too strong. It rarely ended up well. On the graph, I've highlighted three recent instances where the RSI exceeded 70 (indicating overbought conditions). What stands out is that, following each occurrence, the price surged significantly before consolidation set in, inflicting losses upon short traders. Even experienced traders, who look for confluence of signals, may fall into this trap. In the first two examples, bearish candlestick patterns failed to prevent subsequent price increases. Most likely, those candles were “created” by weak hands traders, who tried to short market, while it was actually controlled by strong buyers. These instances could have been avoided by considering the daily graph, revealing a robust bullish context – price was in an uptrend, one-time-framing up on weekly. There were couple of moments when bears gained short term control (Tuesdays 13th and 20th) but they never could take the previous week low; bulls always confirmed their control. The second advice is to avoid trading against higher level context. While sometimes those trades might work the result is usually mediocre and most of the times you’ll simply lose. If you really wish to trade against context you need to construct a solid dossier of evidence, supporting your trade. The second misconception What is the second misconception? It is that when price overextended it is not time to go with the market. In this scenario, traders refrain from initiating long trades after RSI indicates overbought conditions, potentially causing them to miss profitable opportunities. It might not hurt your account but who likes missing good opportunities? Surprisingly, seizing these trades correctly is not much harder than any other trade. It simply requires prudence and discipline and getting rid-off cognitive biases. For example, in the second example on the graph a trader could win up to 1% if he played off gap-up open after seeing that the new price has found acceptance. Conclusion It is possible to build a profitable strategy that relies on “price overextension” concept. However, it demands more than a cursory examination of a single indicator and adherence to textbook candle patterns. Personally, I reached a point where I entirely abandoned the use of RSI and similar tools because, instead of providing clarity, they seemed to cloud my thinking. Opting for a more effective approach involves keenly observing actual market behavior, which often defies conventional expectations. Study of high-level contexts, understanding key levels, and discerning confluence in price action signals on lower timeframes consistently prove invaluable. This method helps steer clear of common pitfalls and contributes to enhancing overall trading results.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by hermes_trisme
$SPY March 4, 2024AMEX:SPY March 4, 2024 15 Minutes. As expected AMEX:SPY made a high around 513 levels once 508 was crossed. I expect a sideways couple of days as prices are away considerably from moving averages. Also, we have a bar in 15 minutes at ATH 513.29 with the close near the low of the bar. If we consider the rise from 507.17 to 513.29 as long 510 levels are held uptrend continues initially to 515 levels. That number was arrived by drawing an extension from 493.56 to 510.13 to 504.75. The 0.618 to 1.618 is in the range of 515 to 530. Hence holding 510 levels I expect 515 to 517 as a target for the week. We are supported by a black bar on the stochastics top, Elliott oscillator green, and CCI green. I am long at the moment with SL 508.4 levels with an entry also around that level. I will add more once 513.29 is crossed convincingly. All levels mentioned above are in the 15-minute time frame. On a daily time frame the levels of 490 SL, I have a target of 540 levels intact, hence uptrend is confirmed as long low is held.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RiderTrader
1