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US dollar rally faces hurdle as rates unwind stalls at key levelWhether it reflects US economic exceptionalism reducing the need for large-scale rate cuts from the Federal Reserve or improved prospects for Donald Trump winning the US Presidential election, or a combination of both, it’s obvious the US interest rate outlook is dictating direction across FX markets. Higher US yields are sucking capital from other parts of the world, helping to fuel US dollar strength. With short-dated Treasury futures teetering above a key technical level, what happens next could be highly influential in determining the path for currencies and global borrowing costs as we move towards year-end.
TVC:DXYEducation
by FOREXcom
2
Bitcoin’s bullish break opens door for run to record highsBitcoin’s break of downtrend resistance has opened the door for a run towards the record highs set in March, especially with the price action today suggesting the break will stick. Even though RSI (14) is nearing overbought territory, both it and MACD continue to offer bullish signals on momentum. One look at historic price patterns also tells you overbought conditions are no impediment for further gains in the near-term. Rather than buy around these levels, I’m waiting for a potential pullback/retest of the former downtrend before establishing longs, allowing for a tight stop to be placed below for protection. $70000 would be the initial trade target with $71931.60 and record high the next after that. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDLong
by FOREXcom
Is Bitcoin's Breakout from Accumulation Channel a Sign of FurtheBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently surged past the $68,000 mark, setting a new local high and confirming its bullish uptrend. This significant breakout has ignited excitement among analysts and investors, who are closely monitoring the cryptocurrency's next moves. As Bitcoin continues its ascent, many are speculating about the potential for further gains and the factors driving this momentum. One of the key factors contributing to Bitcoin's recent price surge is its breakout from a long-term accumulation channel. This technical pattern, which has persisted for over seven months, indicates a period of consolidation and accumulation before a potential price increase. By breaking out of this channel, Bitcoin has signaled a shift in market sentiment and a renewed bullish momentum. Analysts and experts are closely examining various indicators to gauge the strength of Bitcoin's uptrend and identify potential resistance levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator, is currently hovering near overbought levels, suggesting that a short-term pullback may be necessary to consolidate gains before further upward movement. However, the overall trend remains bullish, and a break above the previous all-time high of $69,000 could signal a more extended rally. In addition to technical analysis, fundamental factors are also playing a role in Bitcoin's price appreciation. The growing adoption of cryptocurrencies by institutional investors and corporations is driving demand for Bitcoin as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. Moreover, the increasing use of Bitcoin for payments and remittances is contributing to its mainstream acceptance. However, it is essential to approach the current Bitcoin rally with caution. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can experience significant fluctuations. While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, short-term corrections are a common occurrence. Investors should be prepared for potential pullbacks and have a well-defined risk management strategy in place. As Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory, several key factors will likely influence its future price movement. The regulatory landscape, particularly in the United States, will play a crucial role. Favorable regulatory developments could further fuel Bitcoin's adoption and price appreciation. Additionally, the macroeconomic environment, including interest rates and inflation, will also impact investor sentiment towards risk assets like Bitcoin. Furthermore, the competition from other cryptocurrencies cannot be overlooked. While Bitcoin currently dominates the market, the emergence of new and innovative projects could potentially challenge its position. The development of scalable blockchain solutions and the introduction of new use cases for cryptocurrencies could impact Bitcoin's market share. In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent breakout from a long-term accumulation channel has ignited excitement and speculation about its potential for further gains. While the overall trend remains bullish, investors should approach the current rally with caution and be mindful of potential risks. By carefully considering technical analysis, fundamental factors, and the competitive landscape, investors can make informed decisions about their Bitcoin investments.
CME:BTC1!Long
by bryandowningqln
Steel Dynamics: Trendline BrokenSteel Dynamics slid in recent quarters, but now it may be going the other way. The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs between April and September. The steelmaker began October by pushing above that falling trendline, which may suggest its intermediate-term decline has ceased. The rebound also returned STLD back above its 200-day simple moving average. That may be consistent with a longer-term uptrend. The shares next proceeded to consolidate between roughly $126 and $131. Strong earnings pushed them above that range on Thursday. Will potential buyers look for retests near the top of the recent price zone? Finally, MACD has remained positive and started expanding again. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:STLD
by TradeStation
GBPJPY bearish for 150 pipsIn a bearish trade setup on GBP/JPY with a 150-pip profit target and a 50-pip stop loss, you’re aiming for a reward-to-risk ratio of 3:1. This means that for every 50 pips you risk, you’re potentially gaining 150 pips, which is a favorable setup. Here’s a detailed breakdown of this trade idea: 1. Setting the Profit Target (150 Pips) A 150-pip profit target is quite common in GBP/JPY due to its volatility. This target should be set near a significant support level or other technical factors such as: A previous major swing low. A Fibonacci extension level (like the 127.2% or 161.8%). A psychological level or round number (e.g., 180.00, 179.50). GBP/JPY often moves in wide ranges, so a 150-pip move in a single trading day or session is realistic, especially if the market is trending strongly. 2. Defining the Stop Loss (50 Pips) A 50-pip stop loss should ideally be placed above a significant resistance level: A recent swing high. Above a key moving average (such as the 50 or 100 MA on the 1H or 4H chart). Above a Fibonacci retracement level (such as the 38.2% or 50% retracement of the latest downtrend). You want to make sure the stop isn’t too tight, giving the trade some room to breathe, but also protecting you in case of a reversal.
Short
by LORDOFTHETRADERS
AUDUSD - Buy StopThe dollar index is bullish and the australian dollar index is bearish which suggests that there should be bullish momemtum of AUDUSD pair. The bullish divergence is also formed and the current price action is at 78% FIB retracement which further strengthens our idea. We'll go with two trades, first with TP1 and other we'll trail. It is also likely that trade may not trigger and price forms another lower high which will also be a good sign to buy because of the strong support.
Long
by Alee_Kolachi
USD/CAD generates sell signal after massive winning streak The USD/CAD epic winning streak is over, delivering an obvious topping signal on Tuesday. There’s a couple of options available to traders: the first would be to sell now with a stop either above 1.3792 or Monday’s high of 1.3806. Possible targets include 1.3700 or 1.3647, depending on the risk-reward ratio you’re looking for. The other would be to wait for a potential push towards 1.3792, allowing for a stop to be placed above Monday’s high or 1.3839 for protection. Targets would be identical to option one. Momentum indicators have yet to confirm the price signal, but may encourage more traders to join the move if they too are triggered. With no major data set for release in the US or Canada or Wednesday, traders may begin looking towards the US jobless claims, retail sales and industrial production reports on Thursday. As I’ve discussed in the note attached, it would not surprise to see another ugly jobless claims report given disruptions caused by Hurricane Helene and Milton on the US Gulf states, creating downside risks for US bond yields and dollar. Good luck! DS
Short
by FOREXcom