EURJPY - W patternHello guys! EURJPY seems to create a strong impulse downwards, completing to the neckline the W that was formed on the daily timeframe. We can see that the MACD is below 0 and EMAs are crossed, showing us a bearish environment. From here, there is a high probability of reaching the neckline of the daily W, going to at least at 140.8.
FX:EURJPY OANDA:EURJPY
Macdcross
GBPJPY -bearish impulseHello everyone! Here you can see an interesting formation of a downward impulse on GBPJPY, after the correction that was created last days. The entry point was already triggered and the position is live. The environment is bullish, EMAs are cut for short, MACD is above 0 and the moving averages also show confluence.
Stochastic + RSI + MACD zero cross strategy from backtest on SPYStrategy
1. Stochastic cross at 50 level
2. RSI cross at 50 level
3. MACD cross at 0 level
4. Engulfing Candlestick?
5. Level 2 Tape sentiment balance (Optional)
Technical Analysis
It's a simple technical analysis setup strategy for bullish or bearish trading setup in both bullish and bearish sentiment scenarios. All levels in the indicators are at standard default settings.
Step One:
Look at the Stochastic indicator cross at 50 level and a cross over the signal line. This will be the first check and we want the cross to occur at the 50 level.
Step Two:
Check the RSI and need a cross at 50 level. This is the second confirmation.
Step Three:
Check the MACD cross and it's best to wait for the cross to happen at the zero line. This has a lower instances from occurring but it helps to avoid fake-outs that MACD is prone to showing.
Step Four:
Look for an engulfing candlestick pattern in the chart for a final confirmation.
Step Five (Optional):
If you have access to Level II quotes and the Time&Sales, watch for a momentum into the Ask side for a bullish sentiment or the Bid side for a bearish sentiment. Also you'll need to be familiar with tape reading on the volume and speed for better entry or exit.
EURAUD - another bullish impulseHello traders! EURAUD has just created a slow correction after its last impulse, now printing a green and aggressive candle which can indicate another strong impulse to the upside. For the last weeks, the pair moved on a range, and now it finally managed to break it. EMAs are cut for long, and so does MACD, indicating a bullish environment, and the technical indicators are also suggesting a strong buy.
BAC short - Looks like a RetracementSeveral indicators point to a retracement:
-Divergence in histogram (yellow line)
-RSI touched overbought zone and crossed downwards
-ADX tightens and has plenty of space
-MACD deathcross
For retracement i inserted fibonacci. But use your own strategy to get out. (f.e. partial TP or shifting of SL downwards on the way down could be good because the move downwards could become powerful these insecure times).
The Impact of Economic Factors on the Stock MarketHi there! So, I heard that the economy is in a bit of a rough patch because the FED is raising rates, there's some quantitively tightening happening, and there's a potential recession on the horizon due to a supply shock from the Russia-Ukraine war and China's pandemic restrictions.
It looks like we might be heading into a recession, which is sooo not good news. The stock market will definitely be feeling the effects if the index falls below its moving average of 200 days. It's not looking great, I have to say. But don't worry, there are still ways to protect your investments. Some technical indicators you might want to keep an eye on include the relative strength index (RSI), the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator, and the Bollinger bands. These can help you evaluate the strength of the current trend and potentially identify opportunities to buy or sell.
Also, outside the SPX index there are still ways to further protect your investments. For example, you might want to consider reducing your exposure to risky assets and increasing your holdings of safe-haven assets like government bonds. Just remember to stay positive and keep an eye on the market!
GBPCAD weekly breakdownHello hello! After a bearish year for GBPCAD , it finally shifts on a weekly perspective, breaking the Moving Averages & EMAs finally crossed. For the past 3 weeks we saw a strong impulse on this pair, now waiting for a slow correction that can be followed by another strong impulse upwards. Moreover, the Commitment Of Traders data shows confluence on this analysis, GBP becoming stronger while CAD weakening.
We now have to wait in order to see a correction, and only after that we can be looking for an entrance!
Double bottom 6h The NQ momentum looks to be slowing to the down side. I don't have a crystal ball so take it with a grain of salt. With the Money flow being really low on the 6h chart, the macd making a cross to the upside, I'm calling a long here or a lil lower after today's session to see where it lands. Small size maybe even micro. Stop is pretty obvious with prior low. If prior low breaks we go lower. If it holds we are bouncing. Double bottom here could be a bigger bounce. I know a lot of bears will try to claw me to pieces but it's oversold. Sure it can go lower so I'm looking for confirmation on the long before I take it. Would like to see some big 30min bull bars and some fast action to the upside to confirm it. Just watching to see what it does. If the low breaks I'm joining the bears to ride it as low as it wants to go. Thanks for reading just an idea. Let's see what happens. Happy trading and good luck.
ADSK Elliot Wave 5 in progress Auto Desk (ADSK) wave 5 in progress and trying to reach the target price of $238 - $240. This is on a daily chart. Wave 3 showed some extension so wave 5 might not complete its full course. Another confluence is that RSI Crossed 50. Also, the MACD Line crossed the signal line.
SPY Weekly calling for a push to 530ish on the Fib EXTIf we gauge the last major moves on SPY with Covid being the last in 2020 we can see the same pattern coming to and end on the current weekly SPY, using the fib ext paired with the RSI and MACD we can clearly see a jump to 530 on the weekly in SPY's Future. Also note that the relative strength index just crossed up over 50 and the MACD just crossed up as well. All indicators on the weekly are calling for a rally and could last up till DEC
Bouncing on POCAVGO has returned to its post-March 2020 point of control.
Stepping down a time frame to the daily chart, we can see a cluster of Dojis. Combined with volume falling under the 50day average, MACD crossing its signal, and Stoch recovering from oversold shows hesitation in the selloff.
An aggressive trade would be to enter now, while a more conservative entry would be above the support or resistance zone just north of the 21EMA.
Combining 1D & 2D MACD Cross to find reliable positionsDASHED LINES:
When the 12 EMA crosses above the 26 EMA on the 1D MACD we get a reliable signal that the price will rise (will be higher by the next alert).
SOLID LINES:
When the same occurs on the 2D MACD we get confirmation.
And vice versa when the 12 EMAs cross below the 26 EMAs, the price will fall (will be lower by the next alert).
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As you can see, this has proven to be consistently reliable, with only one failed signal going as far back as the chart shows.
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To trade conservatively, close any short or long positions when alerted by the 1D MACD.
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The current open position is short as per the solid Red Line yesterday.
Going off the pattern length, candles should at least remain red for the next six days on the 3D.
Disclaimer: Don’t take my advice.
This chart was made as auxiliary support for BTCUSD falling.
SHIBUSD | Wave Analysis Mapping - Primary Wave 2 Target RangePrice action and chart pattern trading
> Falling Channel pattern with target downtrend wave 5 within the range of 0650 - 1300 based on 1.236 - 1.618 wave 4 retracement
> Long Entry @ local downtrend line breakout
> Medium-term Target @ upper channel resistance near SMA200 zone / volume profile resistance zone
> Indicator: MACD crossover signal line below the base.
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss.
HOW TO SWING TRADE USING BB - MACD!Today im going to show you how to use Bolinger Bands and MACD together to understand where the price is going.
So you can swing trade easily.
By the way swing trade is holding assets for profit for more than a day.
So this strategy is suitable for novice investors. But you will need practice before applying this to your trading strategy!
First of all i do not recommend betting against the market.
Do follow the trend when using this strategy. If the trend is upwards do not short the asset.
But there can be breakout from the existing trend.
Therefore we can also use trendlines to have better understanding of the market.
Lets identify indicators that we are going to use then i will explain how to use them to swing trade.
MACD measure specific EMAs and their relations. EMAs are mainly 12 period EMA and 26 period EMA.
There are 2 lines and 1 histogram on MACD. They are called, MACD line, Signal line, Histogram.
MACD line = 12 EMA - 26 EMA
Signal line = 9 EMA of MACD line
Histogram = Difference between MACD line and Signal line
We use MACD to identify trends so we can trade accordingly.
If the MACD line is above 0, we are in a uptrend.
If the MACD line is below 0, we are in a downtrend.
If the MACD line is above or crosses above signal line it is a buy signal.
If the MACD line is below or crosses below signal line it is a sell signal.
Longer histograms and being too far away from zero line means momentum of the trend is high.
These are the basic of MACD.
Bolinger Band is easier to grasp than MACD.
There is an upper channel and lower channel calculated with volatility and 2 Standard Deviations from 20 Simple of MA line.
Generally if the price is closer to the upper band, market is considered overbought and vice versa.
If the market is highly volatile bands widen and if volatility is low bands contract.
The most important thing about BB is 20MA. Generally price will test 20MA line after it hits the upper or lower band.
If price breakout or rejceted from it, trend is established.
So how can we combine both of them to swing trade successfully?
1- We have to identify the market trend. We can simply draw a trendline on the chart to identify it.
2- Use 20 MA as entry-exit
3- Look MACD histogram for momentum
4- Use lower - higher band as SL-TP
Example;
Look at the chart on the left!
Feb 04 19, uptrend started and MACD signal buy.
But there is no momentum.
MACD far away from zero line and price far away from 20MA.
Wait until price breakout from 20MA.
1- is the confirmation of trend with momentum rising and price breakout above 20MA line. BB start to widen meaning high volatility.
You can enter long trade here since price and momentum rising with volatility.
2- is the upper band of BB. This is take profit levels.
If you are seasoned enough you can open short position here with 20MA area TP.
3- Test of 20MA. You can enter short or long here with lower BB being SL - TP.
But with MACD signaling sell and losing positive momentum in histogram, short seems to be the RIGHT CHOICE .
4-Price cant hold 20MA. Drop to the lower band. SL-TP zone.
If you are seasoned enough, potential entry zone for long trade. TP being with 20 MA zone.
Lets take a look at the chart on the right.
Same chart, after a couple of weeks from chart 1.
There is a clear uptrend that started 09 March 20.
1- At 20 April MACD signal buy but there is no momentum and price was still below MA20.
It is logical to wait for confirmation which is the breakout of MA20.
2-Price breakout MA20 after a week.
Between 27 April - 05 Oct, there are more than couple times that market offers good entry zones.
Between this time, MACD momentum and lines are rising to the positive-buy zone.
3- Price is around upper band for a long time. Could be a TP zone.
Price also lost %25 value 2 in weeks. Some people use here as TP zone.
But MACD lines and histogram were positive.
Price didnt test the 20MA.
Also BB is still widening. Meaning high volatility in a bull market.
Opening short is not logical here.
4- Last time price touched the upper band.
Histogram started to lose momentum.
Potential TP zone and short entry.
To be honest this seems to be a good point for short trade but didnt work out.
Price went up (2. ATH) couple of weeks later with MACD momentum nearly finished.
Therefore always put SL-TP with your orders.
5- MACD signaling sell.
Low negative momentum.
If open short here, it could be like NO.3 on the chart.
Wait for confirmation.
6- Price test MA20.
After couple of weeks we broke down MA20. Bear confirmed.
Momentum rapidly increase to the negative zone.
Potential short entry.
7-Price cant hold MA20.
Lower BB reached.
Possible SL-TP area.
So sign from MACD to enter a long trade just yet.
8- Possible long entry with MA20 breakout above.
MACD signal buy with low momentum. Therefore wait for confirmation is logical.
After a week momentum rises.
Long entry seems logical.
New ATH for BTC.
So in short,
Identify a trend!
Check MACD for momentum and trend strength.
Enter when price breakout MA20.
Confirm the breakout before enter!
TP-SL at the MA20 and Band limits.
$BTC - is it time for #bitcoin to breakout?!BTC has been forming a falling wedge lately, which I have shared in my ideas several times
yesterday's dip confirmed its support line and brought the price up by a few % putting it back into the falling wedge asap
I want to share this signal the MACD printed in the last days: a slight bullish divergence formed, and the macd line looks ready to cross the signal line, which, being it below the 0 level, would mean a big uptrend incoming if we also manage to break out of the falling wedge with it
drop a like and follow if you enjoyed, and please let me know what you think about this in the comments!
ishares Trust iShares U.S. Transportation ETF (IYT)-Bullishishares Trust iShares U.S. Transportation ETF AMEX:IYT
I am bullish on IYT because I've identified a Bullish Harami pattern on the daily chart. Furthermore, we have several confluences on the MacD, RSI and volume indicators.
-The signal is crossing up like A.I. (Allen Iverson) on the MacD indicator
- The RSI indicator is pointing up
-The OBV indicator is displaying increasing volume
Peace & Prosperity,
Al
*******This is not financial advice**************This is not financial advice**************This is not financial advice*******
MACD CrossoverMACD looks like it will crossover very soon. Trading price is also below the 200 day moving average. Strong indicators there is likely to be a reversal soon. Combined with the other two recent analysis done, all three have strong indications for an upcoming reversal.
Additionally at the current price of around $875, Other various strong indicators suggest a $1350 price target fairly soon. Entering now with a stop loss at $757 and a profit goal of $1350 would yield a 1:4 risk reward ratio. Which is a fairly healthy stop loss in the situation, as it is rooted in the secondary support level.
Now we have an Andrews pitchfork analysis predicting a reversal
A Bullish Pennant predicting a reversal
And now a MACD crossover seeming to predict a reversal.
This is not investment advice, make your own assessments and measure the risk involved. Manage your money well and good luck to you all!
I am going long.
Tesla to $1700? Hey Traders,
As you can see on the Daily Line Chart of Tesla (TSLA). The price action has formed a Descending Broadening Megaphone/ Wedge which is a Bullish Pattern. Now in fundamental terms, I think this is impossible at the moment because Tesla already has such a big market cap but in technical terms, this looks like it could happen. Tesla is a company mainly based on fundamental terms, so that's why various short sellers pick it unaware it defies bearish technical analysis. However, on the Bearish side, the MACD on the weekly looks like it will revert to red bearish histograms, foreshadowing maybe a correction.
But, I highly doubt it will hit $1700 in 3 years.
Safe Trading,
-Pulkanator
$NTR Above the 9 SMA and 200 SMAAbove the 9 SMA and 200 SMA, MACD is switching over, and RSI has Go Go Juice
Nutrien ($NTR) the world’s largest corporate potash producer is increasing production by 10% to 15 million metric tons for 2022. The stock’s share price is up +20% this year.
Disclaimer: Stratford Research newsletters reflect the research and opinions of only the authors who are associated persons of Stratford Consulting Ltd. The newsletters are for informational purposes only and are not a recommendation of an investment strategy or recommendation to buy or sell any security or digital asset (cryptocurrency, etc.) in any account. The information provided within the newsletters is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. Any third-party information provided therein does not reflect the views of Stratford Consulting Ltd. or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates. All investments involve risk including the loss of principal and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Bullish Divergence The Bitcoin price has created a lower low but the RSI hasn't followed hence creating a higher low which shows us there is a bullish divergence expected. Crossover on the MACD further confirms this momentum switch. I'd expect us to potentially push price back towards the $45300 level before we see any further price movement downwards. We also could break this resistance and confirm the bullish scenario again back towards $50k.