Macdcross
INDIABULLS HOUSING FINANCE - Looks ExplosiveCMP 219
There were 2 failed attempts at the breakout around 250.
A tilted inverse Head and Shoulder pattern is formed.
With today's candle , the top points are also in sync forming a trend line and the price seems to be breaking out tomorrow (28/08/2020). Watch out!
MACD also looks supportive of the move.
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Evolution of MACDMoving Average Convergence Divergence – MACD
The most popular indicator used in technical analysis, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD), created by Gerald Appel. MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator, designed to reveal changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a financial instrument’s price
Historical evolution of MACD,
- Gerald Appel created the MACD line,
- Thomas Aspray added the histogram feature to MACD
- Giorgos E. Siligardos created a leader of MACD
MACD employs two Moving Averages of varying lengths (which are lagging indicators) to identify trend direction and duration. Then, MACD takes the difference in values between those two Moving Averages (MACD Line) and an EMA of those Moving Averages (Signal Line) and plots that difference between the two lines as a histogram which oscillates above and below a center Zero Line. The histogram is used as a good indication of a security's momentum.
Mathematically expressed as;
macd = ma(source, fast_length) – ma(source, slow_length)
signal = ma(macd, signal_length)
histogram = macd – signal
where exponential moving average (ema) is in common use as a moving average (ma)
fast_length = 12
slow_length = 26
signal_length = 9
The MACD indicator is typically good for identifying three types of basic signals;
Signal Line Crossovers
A Signal Line Crossover is the most common signal produced by the MACD. On the occasions where the MACD Line crosses above or below the Signal Line, that can signify a potentially strong move. The standard interpretation of such an event is a recommendation to buy if the MACD line crosses up through the Signal Line (a "bullish" crossover), or to sell if it crosses down through the Signal Line (a "bearish" crossover). These events are taken as indications that the trend in the financial instrument is about to accelerate in the direction of the crossover.
Zero Line Crossovers
Zero Line Crossovers occur when the MACD Line crossed the Zero Line and either becomes positive (above 0) or negative (below 0). A change from positive to negative MACD is interpreted as "bearish", and from negative to positive as "bullish". Zero crossovers provide evidence of a change in the direction of a trend but less confirmation of its momentum than a signal line crossover
Divergence
Divergence is another signal created by the MACD. Simply, divergence occurs when the MACD and actual price are not in agreement. A "positive divergence" or "bullish divergence" occurs when the price makes a new low but the MACD does not confirm with a new low of its own. A "negative divergence" or "bearish divergence" occurs when the price makes a new high but the MACD does not confirm with a new high of its own. A divergence with respect to price may occur on the MACD line and/or the MACD Histogram
Moving Average Crossovers , another hidden signal that MACD Indicator identifies
Many traders will watch for a short-term moving average to cross above a longer-term moving average and use this to signal increasing upward momentum. This bullish crossover suggests that the price has recently been rising at a faster rate than it has in the past, so it is a common technical buy sign. Conversely, a short-term moving average crossing below a longer-term average is used to illustrate that the asset's price has been moving downward at a faster rate and that it may be a good time to sell.
Moving Average Crossovers in reality is Zero Line Crossovers, the value of the MACD indicator is equal to zero each time the two moving averages cross over each other. For easy interpretation by trades, Zero Line Crossovers are simply described as positive or negative MACD
False signals
Like any forecasting algorithm, the MACD can generate false signals. A false positive, for example, would be a bullish crossover followed by a sudden decline in a financial instrument. A false negative would be a situation where there is bearish crossover, yet the financial instrument accelerated suddenly upwards
What is “MACD-X” and Why it is “More Than MACD”
In its simples form, MACD-X implements variety of different calculation techniques applied to obtain MACD Line, ability to use of variety of different sources, including Volume related sources, and can be plotted along with MACD in the same window and all those features are available and presented within a single indicator, MACD-X
Different calculation techniques lead to different values for MACD Line, as will further discuss below, and as a consequence the signal line and the histogram values will differentiate accordingly. Mathematical calculation of both signal line and the histogram remain the same.
Main features of MACD-X ;
1- Introduces different proven techniques applied on MACD calculation, such as MACD-Histogram, MACD-Leader and MACD-Source, besides the traditional MACD (MACD-TRADITIONAL)
• MACD-Traditional, by Gerald Appel
It is the MACD that we know, stated as traditional just to avoid confusion with other techniques used with this study
• MACD-Histogram, by Thomas Aspray
The MACD-Histogram measures the distance between MACD and its signal line (the 9-day EMA of MACD). Aspray developed the MACD-Histogram to anticipate signal line crossovers in MACD. Because MACD uses moving averages and moving averages lag price, signal line crossovers can come late and affect the reward-to-risk ratio of a trade. Bullish or bearish divergences in the MACD-Histogram can alert chartists to an imminent signal line crossover in MACD
The MACD-Histogram represents the difference between MACD and its 9-day EMA, the signal line. Mathematically,
macdx = macd - ma(macd, signal_length)
Aspray's contribution served as a way to anticipate (and therefore cut down on lag) possible MACD crossovers which are a fundamental part of the indicator.
Here come a question, what if repeat the same calculations once more (macdh2 = macdh - ma(macdh, signal_length), will it be even better, this question will remain to be tested
• MACD-Leader, by Giorgos E. Siligardos, PhD
MACD Leader has the ability to lead MACD at critical situations. Almost all smoothing methods encounter in technical analysis are based on a relative-weighted sum of past prices, and the Leader is no exception. The concealed weights of MACD Leader are such that more relative weight is used in the more recent prices than the respective weights used by the components of MACD. In effect, the Leader expresses more changes in average price dynamics for the recent price movement than MACD, thus eventually leading MACD, especially when significant trend changes are about to take place.
Siligardos creates two less-laggard moving averages indicators in its formula using the same periods as follows
Indicator1 = ma(source, fast_length) + ma(source - ma(source, fast_length), fast_length)
Indicator2 = ma(source, slow_length) + ma(source - ma(source, slow_length), slow_length)
and then take the difference:
Indicator1 - Indicator2
The result is a new MACD Leader indicator
macdx = macd + ma(source - fast_ma, fast_length) - ma(source - slow_ma, slow_length)
• MACD-Source, a custom experimental interpretation of mine,
MACD Source, presents an application of MACD that evaluates Source/MA Ratio, relatively with less lag, as a basis for MACD Line, also can be expressed as source convergence/divergence to its moving average. Among the various techniques for removing the lag between price and moving average (MA) of the price, one in particular stands out: the addition to the moving average of a portion of the difference between the price and MA. MACD Source, is based on signal length mean of the difference between Source and average value of shot length and long length moving average of the source (Source/MA Ratio), where the source is actual value and hence no lag and relatively less lag with the average value of moving average of the source . Mathematically expressed as,
macdx = ma(source - avg( ma(source, fast_length), ma(source, slow_length) ), signal_length)
MACD Source provides relatively early crossovers comparing to MACD and better momentum direction indications, assuming the lengths are set to same values
For further details, you are invited to check the following two studies, where the first seeds were sown of the MACD-Source idea
Price Distance to its Moving Averages study, adapts the idea of “Prices high above the moving average (MA) or low below it are likely to be remedied in the future by a reverse price movement", presented in an article by Denis Alajbeg, Zoran Bubas and Dina Vasic published in International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management
First MACD like interpretation comes with the second study named as “P-MACD”, where P stands for price, P-MACD study attempts to display relationship between Price and its 20 and 200-period moving average. Calculations with P-MACD were based on price distance (convergence/divergence) to its 200-period moving average, and moving average convergence/divergence of 20-period moving average to 200-period moving average of price.
Now as explained above, MACD Source is a one adapted with traditional MACD, where Source stands for Price, Volume Indicator etc, any source applicable with MACD concept
2- Allows usage of variety of different sources, including Volume related indicators
The most common usage of Source for MACD calculation is close value of the financial instruments price. As an experimental approach, this study will allow source to be selected as one of the following series;
• Current Close Price (close)
• Average of High, Low, and Close Price (hlc3)
• On Balance Volume (obv)
• Accumulation Distribution (accdist)
• Price Volume Trend (pvt)
Where,
-Current Close Price and Average of High, Low, and Close Price are price actions of the financial instrument
-Accumulation Distribution is a volume based indicator designed to measure underlying supply and demand
-On Balance Volume (OBV), is a momentum indicator that measures positive and negative volume flow
-Price Volume Trend (PVT) is a momentum based indicator used to measure money flow
3- Can be plotted along with MACD in the same window using the same scaling
Default setting of MACD-X will display MACD-Source with Current Close Price as a source and traditional MACD can be plotted eighter as a companion of MACD-X or can be selected to be plotted alone.
Applying both will add ability to compare, or use as a confirmation of one other
In case, traditional MACD Is plotted along with MACD-X to avoid misinterpreting, the lines plotted, the area between MACD-X Line and Signal-X Line is highlighted automatically, even if the highlight option not selected. Otherwise highlight will be applied only if that option selected
4- 4C Histogram
Histogram is plotted with four colors to emphasize the momentum and direction
5- Customizable
Additional to ability of selecting Calculation Method, Source, plotting along with MACD, there are few other option that allows users to customize the MACD-X indicator
Lengths are configurable, default values are set as 12, 26, 9 respectively for fast, slow and smoothing length. Setting lengths to 8,21,5 respectively Is worth checking, slower length moving averages will lead to less lag and earlier reaction to price actions but yet requires a caution and back testing before applying
Highlight the area between MACD-X Line and Signal-X Line, with colors emphasising the direction
Label can be added to display Calculation Method, Source and Length settings, the aim of this label is to server only as a reminder to trades to be aware of settings while they are occupied with charts, analysis etc.
Here comes another question, which is of more importance having the reminder or having the indicators with multi timeframe feature? Build-in Multi Time Frame features of Pine is not supported when labels and lines introduced in the script, there are other methods but brings complexity. To be studied further, this version will be with labels for time being.
EPILOGUE
MACD-X is an alternative variant of MACD, the insight/signals provided by MACD are also applicable to MACD-X with early and clear warnings for the changes in the trend.
If MACD is essential to your analysis, then it is my guess that after using the MACD-X for a while and familiarizing yourself with its unique character and personality, you will make it an inseparable companion to other indicators in your charts.
The various signals generated by MACD/MACD-X are easily interpreted and very few indicators in technical analysis have proved to be more reliable than the MACD, and this relatively simple indicator can quickly be incorporated into any short-term trading strategy
ORCL TIKTOK Rumors may push for a break out of falling wedge ORCL has been consolidating lately but new fundamentals elements may push the price to break out of the falling wedge that it is currently consolidating in.
Technicals:
RSI looks healthy, MACD making golden cross.
Consolidation inside of falling wedge(near breakout)
Fundamentals:
TIKTOK acquisition rumor
Note:
Wait for confirmation of breakout to be safe.
Bitcoin update 08.09.2020I'm not a financial advisor, Don't buy or sell bass on what I'm saying... I do own some Bitcoin and I think it has a great future, this future may or may not be that great so PLEASE DO YOUR OWN HOMEWORK. THIS POST IS JUST FOR INFO ONLY...
I'm happy to see that Bitcoin is going up now... It was testing some support lines in blue-green... and at the same time it was under my indicator that is in the yellow and if you want to get it, just look for the name "Hello VWAP"... But this is just on the 1H chart... Let's see out on the 4H chart...
I like how the MACD is crossing over soon, and the volume is above the 200 average... With all that it's a big move to the upside, I'm thinking there is more like this to come over the next little bit...
Now, this is the 12H chart, just like the 4H the MACD is looking good... But the cross is going to not happen for the next couple of days at least, but that is cool with me, I hope it doesn't make a big move to the upside too fast... I don't want to see it outside of the Bollinger Bands on the upside... Do you?
Now out to the 1D chart, my gut is telling me that we are going to see a pullback soon... Just look at the MACD, it has been slowing down for the last week or so... But that being said, today may be a point where it will move up and hit the $12800 USD zone... Then I hope it's a fast move up to the zone that starts at $13500 USD ends at $1400 USD...
Please let me know what you think about this or my indicator...
Thanks for reading...
Chainlink Update once again Looking at the RSI Updated from my ealier 2 post we are officially in the sell region on the 1h chart now you can either wait it out a little longer or sell the choice is yours although note the MACD is indicating uptrend still so i personally will hold till the RSI is 60 or higher however if you boughht in my earlier buy signal you should have made a decent trade.
Thumbs up comment opinions
Follow the RSI on on 1h Chainlink Update on last Post, For everyone checking out my charts if you caught the buy signal i last posted on LINK this new update is when to sell. Any where in this area of the RSI will be a good sell signal no bearish divergence for chainlink dont sleep on it. the goal is to buy low sell high this bull run has officially started profit as much as you can.
Also if we look at the MACD Chainlink is about to have a Golden Cross for a short term uptrend from the buy signal i posted earlier
for long term holders in Chainlink keep stacking it will shoot to the moon as well in my opinion do your own research though, i get it LINK has been performing terribly the past week almost 2 weeks now
if you like my charts hit the thumbs up been trading for months now had to learn a lot now i will be posting ideas i will update on BTC and also ETH later tonight possibly
Interesting buy opportunity for LTCUSDT, 1hThere is pretty strong support on S1 for LTCUSDT. Price tried to break it for 4 days and no luck.
Now it can be an interesting buying opportunity at bullish MACD cross.
1st target - 44
2nd target - 45.5
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as good as in historical backtesting.
This post and/or the script don’t provide any financial advice.
Selling opportunity for EURGBP, 4hEURGBP has a pretty strong resistance on the R2 level, the price failed to break it for some time.
RSI also is pretty overbought now, close to 70.
It seems like on MACD cross it can be a pretty good short trade.
1st target: 0.90
2nd target: 0.89
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as good as in historical backtesting.
This post and/or the script don’t provide any financial advice.
Selling opportunity for USDCHF, 1hUSDCHF failed again to break the S1 Fibonacci level so we have a pretty strong resistance at this level. Now we have MACD bearish cross so it might be a pretty good short trade.
1st target level - S2 ~ 0.938
2nd target level - S3 ~ 0.934
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as good as in historical backtesting.
This post and/or the script don’t provide any financial advice.
Short opportunity for LTCBTC, 1hIt seems like we have resistance at R3 Fib Pivot Points for LTCBTC at 1h chart.
We also have a bearish cross on MACD. So I expect the price to decline to R2 or R1 level.
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as good as in historical backtesting.
This post and/or the script don’t provide any financial advice.
$TMBR looking great for a quick breakout!AMEX:TMBR
Looking like a great setup to break out after Earnings!
hitting the 0.382 fib level
signal crossing on the MACD
we've hit a few solid waves of trending down for a little over a month
I'm not thinking this breakout will be a longstanding rally, but definitely opened a few positions to try and take advantage of the possible pump & dump.
Happy Trading!
MACD Indicator strategy to Increase Winnings(Beginners Friendly)Hi friends, today I bring you an educational video on how to us the MACD secret strategy to catch and filter trend signals.
Thanks for constantly supporting use with your likes and follows
QUICK RECAP OF THE STRATEGIES:
MACD HISTOGRAM:
*How to find and anticipate the MACD Signal cross before they happen,
*How to use the histogram to predict Strong trend reversals
*How to calculate the MACD
*EASILY Confirm consolidation breakouts
THE LAST ASPECT OF THE VIDEO
please note:
The last aspect of the video is how to use the TREND FILTER for BUY & SELL Signals
to do this you will need to use the Higher timeframe for your entry.
Using these two important criterial:
1, If higher timeframes MACD line crosses ABOVE the Signal line this shows that buyers are in control =BUY/ LONG Bias
2, If higher timeframes crosses BELOW the Signal Line , this means the Bears has taken power over the market = SELL/SHORT Bias
so in other words,
*if you trade 1Day Chart Timeframe, you will use the WEEKLy chart Timeframe to find MACD Cross for your entry.
*If you trade 4Hours Chart Timeframe, You will use the DAILY chart Timeframe to find MACD cross for your entry
*if you use 1Hr chart Timeframe, you will use the 4HOURS chart timeframe to find MACD cross for your entry
Thanks for liking and your support. You can join the MFT house to improve and polish your trading skills for free.
SPCE to ~$20, then $24+Price is currently in a upwards trending channel with a Doji candle off support and 21MA on the daily chart with volume after a downtrend period
There is also a nice Bullish engulfing off support on 4H (current chart) which tests the 8MA (green line). Zooming a bit further in, there is a Bullish harami candlestick pattern off the 50MA (purple line) on the 3H chart!!
MACD also crossed up on the 1H while 8MA is still hovering below the 21MA, which in my experience signals a reversal in the direction of the MACD cross; in this case a reversal to the upside.
All signs point to a run up.