Where bitcoin goes MARA follows - Current Macro developmentsHi guys! As usually i keep my eye open for macro changes or signals that may lead to major moves. Of which Marathon (MARA) has been on my radar.
This analysis is done on the 1 week timeframe.
We are currently attempting to get Above our Major level/ area around $18-20.
This area also coincides with the 21 EMA.
Which we are also ABOVE as we speak.
However, remember it has not yet confirmed that we managed to get Support from 21 EMA.
Also note that we recently tested Support on 50 SMA and have maintained it 6 weeks in a row. This fact makes me think, we will continue UP -> At the very least to the Upper range of the consolidation orange rectangle at $28.00
We have not yet printed a death cross which is a good sign indicating probabilities pointing towards continuation of Uptrend.
Pay attention to next weeks candle close for more clues.
Ive also highlighted our current price action to be part of a Consolidation range, from $15.00 to $28.00
I think it makes sense for us to be consolidating as we are making our way out of the bottom of the market for MARA. (around the 3.50 area) Since then we've already climbed roughly 1000% to our top around $34.
21 EMA and 50 SMA flattening out also supports the Consolidation occuring.
Consolidation is basically when an asset tries to digest rallies, trying to catch its breath.
And now we have to assess whether theres further momentum left to continue our Bull market or make our way back down.
If Bull market continues, we can make our way back to this Major Resistance lvl labeled. We have touched this line 3 times in history previously and it marks Blow off tops of Bull markets for MARA.
If we get rejected from this Major level, we can make our way back to the sloping Support trendline labeled below.
So to find a sense of whether or not MARA will continue or come down to test the lows, we look to 2 indicators that i love using to assess "momentum".
Notice the STOCH RSI.
Everytime we come down to the 20 lvl, we stay Below for extended periods ranging from 57 days to as much as 126 days.
When we cross Bullish and move UP Above 20 lvl, we tend to have Rallies UP.
1 pattern though, with STOCH is its relationship with Moving Averages 21 EMA and 50 SMA.
When Purple (21 EMA) crosses Below Green (50 SMA) Moving Average and there is a STOCH Bull cross, sometimes it doesn't impact big rallies.
BUT When Purple is on top of the Green Moving Average and STOCH crosses BUllish Above 20 lvl. This is a pattern seen in relation to big rallies UP
So if we can get a STOCH Bullish CROSS Above 20 level, while our 21 EMA is Above our 50 SMA, we can expect to see a continuation rally. Watch also for a break Up and confirmation out of the consolidation zone.
The MACD is currently ABOVE the 0 level, with waning or decreasing Bearish sentiment. This is seen from the print of the lighter red bar of the histogram. The Blue/Orange lines are also attempting to Curve Up and try to Cross Bullish.
If we continue to print smaller lighter Red bars, and then see a Green bar print, it is likely momentum has turned Bullish.
Bullish Crosses ABOVE 0 level, tend to rally Upwards.
A MACD and STOCH CROSS together would be even better sign of uptrend to be PROBABLE.
ANd if we Breakout of the consolidation rectangle we are currently in -> its likely we test "Major Resistance" at around $60.
Keep observing and paying attention.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on MARA in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
