Apollo Tyres, Bearish Reversal with Divergences & Evening StarStock : Apollo Tyres
CMP : 499
Timeframe : Monthly
Pattern : Bearish Reversal with Divergences & Evening Star
Trade Type : Short
Price Action & Technical Analysis
- Bearish Divergence
- MACD Down
- Price is below 5 Moving Average
Target 1 - Rs. 436
Target 2 - Rs. 366
Stoploss - Rs. 520
Disclaimer : "The information provided in this content is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred as a result of applying the information contained in this material."
Macddivergence
Bitcoin MACD and RSI show su strength nowSometimes, its a good idea to look away from the PA and to take a look at the other info presented to us as people Buy and Sell #Bitcoin
Two Major indicators for me are the MACD and the RSI.
The image here is the DAILY #BTC chart for those, since December 2022
At a quick glance you can see that Both MACD and RSI have reset a long way. This gives PA room to move higher.
The line that the Histogram changes colour on is Zero or Neutral and MACD has spent very little time below that line.
The MACD line ( Yellow) has dropped below, heading towards oversold) but still could drop further before reaching strong support.
The Signal line ( red) has yet to get there.
However, the Histogram shows usa a lot of info and that change maybe beginning..
Green bars above the 'Zero line' indicate positive momentum. Red bars below the 'Zero line' indicate negative momentum.
Note in this chart how the Histogram is beginning to show a reduced negative trend. It is rising while the MACD is dropping. that could be seen as Strong BULLISH divergence.
The RSI ( Blue) is possibly THE one to watch. Note how it has reached overbought ( high shaded ) 3 times and then got rejected. But, when RSI drops, PA does not always follow. This also creates Divergences.
Currently, RSI is at the same level it was at when BTC began the push up in Jan 2023. This does not mean it is about to begin rising again because, as you can see, it could drop a lot further.
But we are certainly entering an area that I call "Potential" - The Potential for reversal now exists and we have the strength to continue that reversal when it happens.
Other factors need to be taken into account but this certainly has got me searching for more liquidity.
Does anyone want to buy my house in South East France ?
$SPY 3/15/24 Continued Bearish MACD divergence continuing to play out with a breakdown of wedge trend line. We saw the 508 target get hit today and still face layers of resistance overhead (512ish-515ish-518ATH) ....AND there is a gap still to be filled below (501ish-497ish). If we're going to make another respectable run at ATH then we need to fill the gap and let this MACD divergence play out. If you push up now, you still face the bearish MACD divergence on the daily (and longer hourly charts) with an unfilled gap below 500. We know SPY loves whole numbers and we've seen how it's reacted and responded to the 500 price level in the past. I expect it to have the same magnetism now as it did before.
As always, assume nothing and remove your bias. Let the chart lead the way.
For now, this is what I'm seeing.
HCP runs to earnings on March 4th LONGHCP is a computer infrastructure company. The December earnings were a 160% beat. Given the
quicky evolving AI supertrend, the earnings might be expected to be another big beat. However,
that could be baked into the price. However, the explosive volatility of the last trading session
say otherwise. I will take a long trade here and chase this stock. I see it as pulling out of a
pullback and continuing on higher time frames.
MSFT to $395Overview
Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) appears to be within an ascending channel and has reached the resistance line that coincides with the peak of an impulse wave (Wave 3). Utilizing the impulse waves within the channel, a price target of $395 seems probable and may provide a decent Puts trade. If the ascending channel provides textbook formation then a low of $365 is also possible, however, volume and selling pressure should be carefully watched around the $395 price level as steeper declines will require more validation.
The following technical indicators give me confidence that significant selling pressure will soon occur:
Volume -- except for a single outlier in December -- has been steadily decreasing since the channel developed.
On-Balance Volume appears to have reached a ceiling that will need to be carefully watched in the event of a breakout.
Relative Strength Index shows an RSI (green) retreating from the overbought zone. While it is experiencing a slight uptick back to the MA (red), there is still plenty of room until the indicators approach oversold or for the RSI to cross from beneath.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has just crossed its signal line (red) from above and is nosediving downward. In addition, it is showing a divergence as the peaks of the MACD are inverted from the peaks of MSFT's share price.
EUR/USD Potential Bullish MoveA few qualifications for this trade are...
•Falling Wedge Pattern
•“Hidden” Divergence on the MACD.
If we start trading back above 1.0900 and the pivot zone, a target of 1.1150 (Median level) wouldn’t be unreasonable.
I'm going to keep an eye on long positions and see if we can begin trading higher.
KO Buy the Bad News LongKO which as been in an uptrend corrected today due to the news of a 2,000 case recall for
a Salmonella infection scare. This is a gram-negative bacteria which causes bloody diarrhea
and can lead to sepsis shock and death ( for any with a medical background) The sell off of
about 1.5 % was abrupt with high volumes. I see this as a buying opportunity, Moreover on
the rebound reversal, those who sold short will be buying to cover to cash out for the
end of the week. Others like me will look to add to their existing positions. Overall, a short
squeeze could get underway and a momentum pump occur. I see a quick return to the previous
price over a week or less. I will add to my significant call option position in KO at a discount.
The subtle MACD cross under on the zero lag indicator is a tip off here. For those who like to
wait the flip of volatility from selling to buying and then over the moving average line is a
secondary reassurane albeit a little late.
December E-Mini Russell 2000 Index Futures Weekly Chart: 12/7/23Last week we saw the December E-mini Russell 2000 Index futures continues its bullish run with its third consecutive green candle closing into the Ichimoku cloud and above its 52-week moving average. With this move up, the MACD showed a bullish cross indication by crossing its signal line. RSI is trending up along with price. A continuation of this uptrend might find resistance at the top of the Ichimoku cloud (~1,906) and at the 200-week moving average (~1,930). A reversal to the downside might find support at the recent lows at the end of October (~1,640).
Please Note:
Commentary and charts reflect data at the original time of analysis (12/01/23). Market conditions are subject to change and may not reflect all market activity.
SPOT TECH pivoting up LONGTrade idea on the the 2H chart. This is a confirmed reversal with a5 POC line
and 50% retracement in confluence for one target and the pivot high for
the second. I will play this with stock and also a put option for insurance.
90% of the money position in the stock and 10% in the put contract 10DTE.
DISH a TV penny before earnings LONGDISH has earnings on 8/2. On the 2H, price just bounced off the support of the longest of the
three EMAs (35/70/280) and tested the POC line of the volume profile again showing buyer
support at a high trading volume and volatility area. the MACD indicator shows a bullish
line crossover and negative to positive on the histogram where convergence ended and
divergence took over. The dual RSI indicator shows the lower time frame green line in a
dip for a few days and then a rise above the 50 level and the higher time frame black line.
DISH has volume voids above the current price and the near-term pivot high is above. If that
cracks, price momentum could accelerate.
DISH is suitably set up for a long trade as traders anticipate the earnings. I will take it.
I may trade a sizeable trade of stocks or alternatively options striking $8 for 8/11.
OPEN OpenDoor a Penny Real Estate LONGOPEN has earnings upcoming on 8/3. An analysis of the 4H chart with overlays shows
bullish momentum in the set of zero lag EMA lines as well as upgoing anchored VWAP
landlines. Price crossed over the mean VWAP ( thin black) and the POC line of the
volume profile one month ago. The MACD shows bullish momentum since July 24th.
The dual RSI indicator shows the low time frame green line rising and then crossing the
steady higher black time frame line the past trading day and both being at the 60
level.
OPEN is a long trade setup with earnings around the corner. I will take it.
DE traders buy on favorable earningsDeere Company had favorable earnings in May reporting quarterly earnings of about 3.5 % on
their share's market price. DE is a blue-chip industrial sector stock comparable to CAT. It not
a fast mover but very suitable for options trading or investment. On the 4H chart DE had been
trending down through earnings in a descending parallel channel and relying on a lower VWAP
for support. At the middle of this past week, DE made its reversal move into a trend up. This
was accompanied by a change in the volume to predominantly buying volumes relatively high
compared with the period before the earnings. This surge of volume of sorts is the fuel for
upward price action. The zero-lag MACD indicator shows moving average divergence Price is
breaking out of the channel moving towards the mean VWAP and POC line of the volume profile.
demonstrating bullish momentum. Accordingly, I see DE as well setup for a long trade.
( SL $345 pivot low TP1 $400 ( 1 std above mean VWAP ) TP2 $420 ( 2 std above mean VWAP)
Mastering Oscillators In TradingOscillator indicators are technical analysis tools that show the rate at which a particular asset's price or other aspect is changing. Oscillators help traders identify potential trend reversals, trend continuations, and overbought or oversold conditions. These are general strategies that can apply to most oscillators. We would like to cover these in detail so you can ensure that you are using your oscillators to the fullest of their potential.
There are literally thousands of oscillators to choose from on TradingView. All of them probably have a solid use case, but there are a handful of oscillators that have stood the test of time. Those titans of the oscillator category would include the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Stochastic Oscillator.
1. Trading with Oscillators: Identifying Entry and Exit Points
To use oscillators for trading, traders can look for signals to enter or exit trades. For example, a bullish signal could occur when the indicator crosses above its centerline, indicating that the trend is shifting from bearish to bullish. A bearish signal could occur when the indicator crosses below its centerline, indicating that the trend is shifting from bullish to bearish. Depending on if you are currently in a trade or considering a trade these bullish/bearish signals can be used as either an entry or exit signal.
Traders can also use the momentum of oscillator indicators to identify overbought or oversold conditions. An asset is considered overbought when the oscillator is above a certain threshold, such as 70. Conversely, an asset is considered oversold when an oscillator is below a certain threshold, such as 30. Traders can use these thresholds to identify potential reversal points. Highly overbought can be power areas to look for entry or exit signals.
2. Oscillator Divergences: Confirming Trend Reversals and Continuations
One of the most popular ways oscillators are used is by looking for divergences between the indicator and the price of the asset being analyzed.
For example, a bullish divergence could occur when the price of an asset is making lower lows, but the oscillator is making higher lows. This could be an indication that the trend is about to reverse from bearish to bullish.
Conversely, a bearish divergence could occur when the price of an asset is making higher highs, Oscillator is making lower highs. This could be an indication that the trend is about to reverse from bullish to bearish.
3. Using Oscillators in Combination with Other Technical Indicators
While oscillators can be an incredibly powerful tool on their own, traders can also use them in combination with other technical indicators. For example, traders can use moving averages to confirm oscillator signals. If the oscillator generates a bullish signal and the price of the asset is above its 50-day moving average, it could be a strong indication that the trend is shifting from bearish to bullish.
We see a similar use case in a bearish scenario to follow a trend!
Traders can also use momentum in combination with other oscillators, such as the relative strength index (RSI) or the Stochastic RSI. These indicators provide additional confirmation of momentum signals and can help traders avoid false signals. This is actually one of our favorites as the Stochastic RSI is a measure of the momentum of the RSI. So their respective signals can complement very well.
Putting It All Together
Traders can put this knowledge forward to use most oscillators correctly to adjust their trading strategies and adapt to changing market conditions. We also recommend looking at information the creator of an oscillator has put out in regard to how to properly use the indicator.
Traders can use these strategies to help modify or change their positions. For example, if the chosen oscillator used for an asset is weakening, it could be an indication that the trend is about to reverse. Traders can adjust their strategies accordingly by taking profit from their long positions or entering short positions.
Similarly, if the chosen oscillator for an asset is strengthening, it could be an indication that the trend is about to continue. Traders can adjust their strategies accordingly by adding to their long and short positions or entering new long or short positions.
In conclusion, oscillators are an extremely powerful technical analysis tool that can help traders identify potential trend reversals, trend continuations, and overbought or oversold conditions. By using oscillators in combination with other technical indicators and adjusting their trading strategies to adapt to changing market conditions, traders can improve their trading performance and achieve greater success in the markets.
BTCUSDT local short (Bitcoin bearish divergence)Take a look at 2Days BTC price timeframe.
As you can see we got a bearish MACD cross after the divergency.
Also I noticed a biger ADX divergence which means that the strength of the trend is fading.
May be it could bring as to 24K next 1-2 weeks.
What do you think?
Is the EUR/USD poised for a 2023 bull run?This is a Quarterly chart of the EUR/USD and it's something I'm keeping an eye on. What appears to be a falling wedge and MACD bullish divergence developing. Could we see another Euro 1.2200 again in 2023?
Will keep watching the price action going forward on Bullish momentum. The first hurdle will be 1.1100.
DXY – TRADES | MTF ANALYSE | KW48In today's post I present relevant marks of the DXY for the next week, which could support the one or the other, in their own analysis.
= the technical analysis approaches, are shown in individual images in the post. So that an individual interpretation of the respective - standing alone - is possible.
= the title picture shows an example, of a possible trade. This is one of many possible setups because the current course isn`t able to take a clear direction.
PERSONAL ASSESSMENT
If you look at the price in the higher time frames, you can quickly see that "without" another correction, we have been in free fall.
Thus, an intermediate correction in the smaller time frames is long overdue and could possibly await us next week, with a rising USD / DXY.
This just announces itself with a MACD divergence, in the small-time units. This does not mean that the price must immediately react to it, however, over the next few days after a possible small sell-off, the whole thing can run in the opposite direction.
Why this is so, I explain to you in the following.
MARKET MAKERS MOVE THE PRICE .
The DXY has been in correction for 2-months and many market participants assume a further USD value decline.
And exactly there is the existing problem,
-> "many market participants" are on the USD short side.
If you look a little bit into the TRADING of the HEDGE funds and banks, you will quickly come to the conclusion that without their participation, the market will not move.
1. from the moment the price moves permanently in one direction, it is no longer interesting for large investors.
2. their opportunities to make money are very small, which is why they have to reverse the market direction or initiate a consolidation.
This in turn is due to the following reasons:
- The position sizes of these investors are too large to be executed in a normal market environment.
- For this reason, you can e.g. only build LONG positions if enough investors sell to you = go SHORT.
- Thus, when the market falls, they can build a LONG position piece by piece, without having a "visible" influence on the market.
Then, when you decide that their position size has been successfully filled, let the price go in the opposite direction.
- During the e.g. upward movement, profits are then taken piece by piece where liquidity is highest so that the market does not break away again after these profit-takings.
So that you are prepared for both scenarios (LONG / SHORT), I have carried out the analysis combined with the different time units (monthly, weekly, daily and INTRA-Day) and in the following with chart images.
The following methods are used and shown below:
- MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSIS
- TREND LINES + TREND CHANNELS
- SUPPLY&DEMAND ZONES
- FIBONACCI LEVEL
- MACD
MONTHLY TIME FRAME
WEEKLY WINDOW
DAY WINDOW
INNER DAY TIME WINDOW
4h + LONG
4h + SHORT
1h
4h Divergence - MACD - Intraday
> Feel free to discuss this in the comments and share our perspectives, I would be "burning" to hear your take on the whole thing.
If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive a review of it.
Thank you and happy trading!