Long CADJPY: Crab + Bat + AB=CD + Fan + Pivots + SR + DivergenceCADJPY has entered the PRZ of a series of bullish harmonic patterns in an area of strong support. The PRZ, which is formed by the combined reversal zones of a bullish bat and crab, may also be tested near the .5 Fibonacci speed fan line for an added level of time-based support. On a larger TF, a bullish AB=CD pattern is complete in the center of the PRZ. There is also a weekly .618 Fibonacci retracement level from structure low to structure high in this area. Five missed weekly pivots and one missed monthly pivot sit above price to add to the bullish bias. In addition to all of these factors, bullish divergence is printed on both the MACD and RSI oscillators. Entry is placed at the .618 retracement level with a stop loss below the S/R zone. Target is placed at .382CD (AB=CD pattern) which coincides precisely with the nearest missed weekly pivot and significant structure highs. This setup yields a R/R of about 3:1.
Confluence in the PRZ:
Bullish AB=CD pattern completion
Bullish bat pattern completion
Bullish crab pattern completion
2.5BC projection (bat + crab)
2.5AB=CD (bat + crab)
.5 Fibonacci speed fan support
Strong S/R Zone
.618 weekly fib retracement level
5 missed weekly pivots above price
Missed July, 2015 pivot above price
Bullish RSI divergence
Bullish MACD divergence
Thanks for your continued support and don't forget to follow for future updates and more trade ideas!
Macdivergence
Short EURUSD: Bat + S/R + Divergence + Overbought + Weekly PivotEURUSD is nearing the PRZ of a bearish bat in a significant area of S/R. MACD is also printing divergence in addition to RSI being overbought. A missed weekly pivot sits below price and is confluent with a larger .5 retracement. Entry is placed at the bottom of the PRZ with a SL above 1.13XA and targets at .618CD and the missed weekly pivot.
Confluence in the PRZ:
Bearish bat pattern completion
2.5AB=CD
2.618BC projection
S/R Zone
RSI Overbought
Bearish MACD Divergence
Missed weekly pivot below price
Valeant Pharma: Moving back downVRX may, at first glance, look like the bloodshed is over and is moving to recovery. Not just yet. The daily MACD and StochRSI are inching toward sell indicators (see screenshot) and despite the markets upward movements today (Mon 12/14), VRX's recovery was pretty modest as more shareholders exit as they see the fall incoming.
Bottom line: Put options are a possability for short-term holding if you have the risk appetite. If you don't, then definitely wait to buy (back) in if you have been considering it. If you're holding this in hopes of shaving some of your losses or bought thinking it was recovery time, sell. Sometimes the most profitable thing you can do is take a loss.
VRX's financials aren't bad by any means, but they're product pipeline is pretty weak. Consider Addyi, the "female viagra": in the first month on the market only 224 rx's for it were sold. The market is very narrow since it is only considered safe in post-menopausal women who don't drink and think its pretty dramatic side-effect profile is worth the risk. VRX has even hired on a crisis-management firm in response to antipicated F.T.C action in regard to their pricing practices.
Valeant should have never reached as high as it did and now the correction is coming. VRX has been around a while but thier $31bln market cap is absurd. They have a price to earnings of 54(!), an earning per share <$2, and still have a fairly high debt-to-assets ratio. Compare those stats to Shire who is $38bln but have an earning per share of $15, and a price-to-earnings of only $12.21.
Long EURUSD: 1H Bat Complete in 4H Gartley PRZEURUSD has completed a bullish bat pattern inside of the PRZ of a larger TF bullish Garltey. Moving into the bat PRZ, RSI and MACD have printed bullish divergence. To add to the bullish bias, an unhit pivot cluster sits above price and coincides with .382 retracement of the Gartley CD leg. Targets are placed at .382 and .618 retracements of CD. SL is placed below Gartley point X and outside of the PRZ of a potential bullish crab pattern.
Confluence in the PRZ:
Bullish Gartley pattern completion
1.272BC (Gartley)
AB=CD pattern completion (Gartley)
Bullish bat pattern completion
2BC (bat)
1.618AB=CD (bat)
Unhit weekly pivot above price
Unhit monthly pivot above price
Bullish RSI divergence
Bullish MACD divergence
CADJPY Short: Gartley + Pitchfork + Wolfe Wave to PivotsCADJPY is nearing the completion of a bearish Gartley pattern. The Gartley PRZ is confluent with pitchfork support. A completed bearish Wolfe Wave adds to the bearish bias. RSI and MACD are showing bearish divergence moving into the PRZ. SL is placed above point X of the Gartley pattern and a cluster of pivots lies below price, providing a nice target.
Confluence in the PRZ:
Bearish Gartley pattern completion
1.272BC projection
AB=CD pattern completion
Pitchfork resistance
Bearish RSI divergence
Bearish MACD divergence
Unhit weekly and monthly pivot clustered below price
Bearish Wolfe Wave complete
Pitchfork Resistance (D1 TF):
Thanks for your support and don't forget to click the thumbs up button and follow for future updates and more trade ideas!
GBP/JPY DOUBLE TOP FORMING ON 1HR TIME FRAME?GBP/JPY IS APPROACHING SIGNIFICANT RESISTANCE AT 194.59, OFFERING A LOW RISK SHORT TRADE AS A DOUBLE TOP MAY POTENTIALLY FORM.
PRICE ACTION PREVIOUSLY SUGGESTED THE 194.59 LEVEL WAS PROTECTED BY SELLERS, A REJECTION OF R1 AGAIN EXPOSES THE DOWNSIDE OF 190.97 (S1) - A BREAK OF THE SHORT TERM TRENDLINE THAT HAS FORMED WOULD ADD EXTRA CONFIRMATION OF FURTHER SELLING.
S1 OFFERS A GOOD PROFIT TAKING AREA AS IT IS THE 0.382 RETRACE OF THE ORIGINAL 185.00 (S3) SWING LOW AND THE 194.50 SWING HIGH (R1), A BREAK OF THIS LEVEL WOULD EXPOSE 189.20's.
THE 150 DAY MA HAS BEEN ACTING AS SHORT TERM SUPPORT FOR THE PAIR, A BREAK OF THE 150 MA, AND A CROSSOVER OF THE MA'S WOULD ADD FURTHER CONFIRMATION OF SHORT TERM SELLING. CURRENTLY THE SHORT TERM 16 DAY MA IS POINTING TO THE DOWNSIDE.
ORDERS ARE BEST PLACED JUST BELOW R1 AT 194.41, IF PRICE REVERSES PRIOR TO THIS LEVEL ENTRIES CAN BE MOVED TO THE AREA OF THE TRENDLINE BREAK - STOPS CAN REMAIN ABOVE R1.
SAFE TRADING.
Using an old method on daily BTCUSDI graphed the trend-line of the histogram for the MACD/Signal Line. There's a characteristic double peak (triple if you count lull in change of price movement after the big peak) that shows a trend reversal. This says to me a downward trend for the next few weeks at least. On the up side, the daily is still above a green (though thin) ichimoku cloud. This says to me we probably will see a fall in price, but a major crash would require a breach of the main support for this upwards trend.
Baidu Bounce to $240Short term bounce setting up. RSI and stochastics are almost oversold and there is some bullish divergence when looking at the MACD. Also 200 EMA is just below the current price along with support that has been in play for a while. Currently trading right on the 0.382 fib retracement. Anything could happen but it looks like BIDU is setting up
EURGBP h1 short after bull trapfinally a h1 setup has taken shape after price decided to test the big channel top. on lower time frame , a multi day bull trap has been formed and there is a channel within channel confluence already completed , with macd divergence to support. Since I already have prior entries few days back, I will continue to hold and add on shorts within the orange zone.
On day chart price is trending, so aiming for 7800 level is realistic. however, do take partial tp along the way to lock in profits.