Macro
USD Overview (05 January 2022)Yesterday, USD weakened against most major currencies except EUR and JPY.
The U.S. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change data (Forecast: 405K, Previous: 534K) will be released later at 2115 (GMT+8).
The Federal Reserve will be releasing the minutes for the previous monetary policy meeting tomorrow at 0300 (GMT+8). Pay attention to any mentioning of the timeline of interest rate hikes in the statement.
GBP/JPY Outlook (04 January 2022)Overall, GBP/JPY is trending upwards. Recently, GBP/JPY rejected the resistance zone of 156.000.
The UK Final Manufacturing PMI data (Forecast: 57.6, Previous: 57.6) will be released later at 1730 (GMT+8).
GBP/JPY’s next support zone is at 153.800 and the next resistance zone is at 156.000.
Look for short-term buying opportunities of GBP/JPY.
GBP/USD Outlook (04 January 2022)Overall, GBP/USD is trending upwards. Recently, GBP/USD broke below the key level of 1.35.
The UK Final Manufacturing PMI data (Forecast: 57.6, Previous: 57.6) will be released later at 1730 (GMT+8).
GBP/USD’s next support zone is at 1.33800 and the next resistance zone is at 1.36000.
Look for buying opportunities of GBP/USD only when it trades above the key level of 1.35.
EUR/JPY Outlook (04 January 2022)Overall, EUR/JPY is trending upwards. Recently, EUR/JPY traded into the support zone of 130.000.
The eurozone final manufacturing PMI data (Actual: 58.0, Forecast: 58.0, Previous: 58.0) released yesterday indicated no change in the final release of the manufacturing PMI for December.
Currently, EUR/JPY is bouncing off the support zone of 130.000 and its next resistance zone is at 131.500.
Look for short-term buying opportunities of EUR/JPY.
EUR/USD Outlook (04 January 2022)Overall, EUR/USD is ranging across. Recently, EUR/USD rejected the resistance zone of 1.13800 and broke below the key level of 1.13.
The eurozone final manufacturing PMI data (Actual: 58.0, Forecast: 58.0, Previous: 58.0) released yesterday indicated no change in the final release of the manufacturing PMI for December.
Currently, EUR/USD is testing to break above the key level of 1.13. Its next support zone is at 1.12000 and resistance zone of 1.13800.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of EUR/USD if it bounces down from the key level of 1.13.
NZD/USD Outlook (04 January 2022)Overall, NZD/USD is ranging across. Recently, NZD/USD rejected the resistance zone of 0.68400 and traded below the key level of 0.68.
New Zealand banks will be closed today in observance of Second New Year’s Day.
Expect lower trading volume and volatility during the usual New Zealand market hours.
Currently, NZD/USD is trading up toward the key level of 0.68. Its next support zone is at 0.67100 and the next resistance zone of 0.68400.
Look for selling opportunities of NZD/USD if it bounces down from the key level of 0.68.
AUD/USD Outlook (04 January 2022)Overall, AUD/USD is trending upwards.
Australian banks will be closed today in observance of New Year’s Day. Expect lower trading volume and volatility during the usual Australian market hours.
AUD/USD’s next support zone is at 0.71000 and the next resistance zone is at 0.73000.
Look for short-term selling opportunities of AUD/USD.
USD/CAD Outlook (04 January 2022)Overall, USD/CAD is ranging across. Recently, USD/CAD broke above the key level of 1.27.
The Canadian Manufacturing PMI data (Forecast: NA, Previous: 57.2) will be released later at 2230 (GMT+8).
The OPEC+ will be holding their meetings today. Pay attention to whether the organization will make any changes to its planned oil production hike of 400,000 barrels-per-day.
USD/CAD’s next support zone is at 1.26100 and its next resistance zone is at 1.29000.
Look for short-term buying opportunities of USD/CAD.
USD/JPY Outlook (04 January 2022)Overall, USD/JPY is trending upwards. Recently, USD/JPY trended into the resistance zone of 115.300.
Currently, USD/JPY is testing the resistance zone of 115.300 the next support zone is at 112.800.
Look for buying opportunities of USD/JPY if it breaks the resistance zone of 115.300.
USD Overview (04 January 2022)Yesterday, USD strengthened against all major currencies.
The Final Manufacturing PMI data (Actual: 57.7, Forecast: 57.7, Previous: 57.8) released yesterday indicated little change in the final release of the PMI data for December.
The ISM Manufacturing PMI data (Forecast: 60.4, Previous: 61.1) will be released later at 2300 (GMT+8).
GBP/JPY Outlook (03 January 2022)Overall, GBP/JPY is trending upwards. Recently, GBP/JPY trended into the resistance zone of 156.000.
UK banks will be closed today in observance of New Year’s Day. Expect lower trading volume and volatility during the usual UK market hours.
Currently, GBP/JPY is testing the resistance zone of 156.000 and the next support zone is at 151.800.
Look for buying opportunities of GBP/JPY if it breaks the resistance zone of 156.000.
GBP/USD Outlook (03 January 2022)Overall, GBP/USD is trending upwards. Recently, GBP/USD broke above the key level of 1.35.
UK banks will be closed today in observance of New Year’s Day. Expect lower trading volume and volatility during the usual UK market hours.
GBP/USD’s next support zone is at 1.33800 and the next resistance zone is at 1.36000.
Look for buying opportunities of GBP/USD.
EUR/JPY Outlook (03 January 2022)Overall, EUR/JPY is trending upwards. Recently, EUR/JPY traded up to the key level of 130.
The eurozone final manufacturing PMI data (Forecast: 58.0, Previous: 58.0) will be released later at 1700 (GMT+8).
Currently, EUR/JPY is testing to break above the key level of 131. Its next support zone is at 130.000 and its next resistance zone is at 131.500.
Look for buying opportunities of EUR/JPY if it breaks above the key level of 131.
EUR/USD Outlook (03 January 2022)Overall, EUR/USD is ranging across. Recently, EUR/USD trended into the resistance zone of 1.13800.
The eurozone final manufacturing PMI data (Forecast: 58.0, Previous: 58.0) will be released later at 1700 (GMT+8).
Currently, EUR/USD is testing resistance zone of 1.13800 and the next support zone is at 1.12000.
Look for buying opportunities of EUR/USD if it breaks the resistance zone of 1.13800.
NZD/USD Outlook (03 January 2022)Overall, NZD/USD is ranging across. Recently, NZD/USD traded into the resistance zone of 0.68400.
New Zealand banks will be closed today in observance of New Year’s Day.
Also, New Zealand banks will be closed tomorrow in observance of Second New Year’s Day.
Expect lower trading volume and volatility during the usual New Zealand market hours.
Currently, NZD/USD is testing the resistance zone of 0.68400 and its next support zone is at 0.67100.
Look for buying opportunities of NZD/USD if it breaks the resistance zone of 0.68400.
AUD/USD Outlook (03 January 2022)Overall, AUD/USD is trending upwards.
Australian banks will be closed today in observance of New Year’s Day. Expect lower trading volume and volatility during the usual Australian market hours.
AUD/USD’s next support zone is at 0.71000 and the next resistance zone is at 0.73000.
Look for short-term buying opportunities of AUD/USD.
USD/CAD Outlook (03 January 2022)Overall, USD/CAD is ranging across. Recently, USD/CAD bounced off the support zone of 1.26100.
Canadian banks will be closed today in observance of New Year’s Day. Expect lower trading volume and volatility during the usual Canadian market hours.
USD/CAD’s next support zone is at 1.26100 and its next resistance zone is at 1.29000.
Look for short-term buying opportunities of USD/CAD.
USD/JPY Outlook (03 January 2022)Overall, USD/JPY is trending upwards.
Japanese banks will be closed today in observance of the 4-day Bank Holiday. Expect lower trading volume and volatility during the usual Japanese market session.
Currently, USD/JPY is trading towards the resistance zone of 115.300 the next support zone is at 112.800.
Look for buying opportunities of USD/JPY if it breaks the resistance zone of 115.300.
USD Overview (03 January 2022)Last Friday, USD weakened against most major currencies except JPY.
The Final Manufacturing PMI data (Forecast: 57.7, Previous: 57.8) will be released later at 2300 (GMT+8).
U.S. banks will be closed today in observance of New Year’s Day. Expect lower trading volume and volatility during the usual U.S. market hours.
BTC Next overbought situation happening by latest May-Jun 2022?By extended cycles and diminished returns, an interesting question is when we will get the next overbought situation.
It may happen by May-June 2022 or if the cycle gets really long, it may happen later.
What will be the catalyst is the interesting question?
ETH Ethereum looking for bounce off 200MA and Bullish TrendlineMarket sentiment is very mixed at the moment as bulls and bears try to pinpoint exactly where the market is going. In short, nobody has a single clue. There are inflation fears, monetary tightening fears, Omicron fears, supply fears, and even macro trend fears. A recent study suggested that 55% of Bitcoin investors expect BTC to be lower than 60k. While this is not an indicator by any means but simply put, historically an investor never wants to be on the side of the majority.
If we take a look at the chart, ETH has broken down from its local Bullish Trendline and is looking to retest the long-term Bullish Trendline and the 200MA. With these levels combined and in confluence, this suggests there will be strong support around the $3600 level. It is important to understand while this is a crucial level, if ETH loses this to the downside then this highly suggests a stronger move to the downside.
If we also take a look at the weekly RSI we can see that it currently is very close to a 3 year-long trend which suggests a strong bounce around this area as it has done 4 times prior.
At the moment all bullish trends are intact:
~Above Bullish Trendline
~Above 200MA
~Above Weekly RSI Trendline
The target could be a retest of broken local trendline around $5500-$6000. If Long-Term Bullish Trendline breaks to the downside, analysis is invalidated.
btc in an ABC correctionthe move down from the 69k top is a clear zigzag (purple circled abc) correction and the first part of an even bigger correction.
this means that this abc is wave A of an ABC of a higher degree (red circled abc)
my assumption is that the choppy move in the rectangle still belongs to the first part of the correction and will end at approx. 44.8k, before another move to 56k starts, which is B of the macro ABC
From B we will see another leg down, equal to A in length, which will become the C wave and the end of the correction.
note: it is possible that A is already done and wave B started at point B (lilac ABC) in the rectangle at 45390. i keep that in mind too.
i hope you enjoy the content. pls feel free to like and comment below.
best,
waverunner