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ZEC 📌 pump and dump macro analysis ⏰BINANCE:ZECUSDT will complete it's bottom next year 🤣 #DYOR This analysis ⏰ only for struck PPL 📌 not for new investors there better projects avilable skip it 👉 I am expecting old dino coin end of bull run the liquid 💰 will move 🙌 on garbage 🗑️ coins or dead ☠️ coins then it will get move 🙌 👉 2024/25 i will enter into this trade so with profit liquid 💰 I can catch easy 5-10X on this 🪙 Expecting crash get completed 📌 2024-dec to APR 2025 below 📍 Buy :: $5.6 - $10 ( 60% + 40% ) split liquid 💰 { follow article when near to buy i will update } Sell :: $50 - $90 ( 40% + 60% ) exit plan 😉 { boosting 🚀 gives me support 📌 } So what would ur theory tell me in comments 😁 if u interested in COINBASE:ZECUSD then follow article/idea 💡 when I updated 📌 chart 📉📈 under here as thread 🧵 u get notified and updated 📌 Be happy 😊 try to understand market 📌 don't buy blindly that index & Crypto 🔮 giving accumulation phase 📍 everything is different 📌
CRYPTO:ZECUSDLong
by raj5_7_5
5
DEGO |:-:| DEGO FINANCE ~ Launchpad 🪙Hello 👋 it's me your RAJ 🙂 professional trader ✨ This idea 💡 is completely my own analysis to explain situation _&_ market conditions of CRYPTO:DEGOUSD 🪙 How this coin valid for long term 📌 explained clearly BASED on history 🤪 & #TA 📌 #DYOR Note 👉 coin 🪙 have potential High risk 🔥 $0 to hero 😂 😆 Present circulation supply was 14.3M by the end of 2025 , it will be 20M Only #CZ & binance holding 60% supply 😆 less supply easily manipulated 👀 I recommend PPL to go with unwanted liquid 💰 CRYPTOBETTING 👀 Don't try to use all liquid 💰 or 20% of ur long term liquid bag 💰 just give 5% below priority ::-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:-:: BUY || accumulation phase 📍 ⚡ $0.45 - $2.2 ( below / above just stop 🛑 ) + || 👉 Sell :|: distribution phase 👈 || 🎯 :: $10-13 🎯 :: $30-50 🎯 :: $138-187 🎯 :: $580-752 ++++++ 🗝️ Try get ur liquid 💰 back at $10.5 above I used to call as " principal trade " 🗝️ Close 20% bag at $12-13 🗝️ Close 60% bag at $30-50 I am not expecting more than $300 but based on #TA with #FA provided No technical data history to explain about technical analysis ⏰ I have done 👍 my research 🔎 on LAUNCHPAD projects based on funding i review this 👀 __________________________________________________________________________________________ 🪩 disclaimer : ▶️ TQ u for supporting 💚 follow idea 💡 get updates everytime ⏰ when I updated 📌 Note 👀 👉 keeping comments , reacting with emojis , pointing us is very easy to some people They think 💬 what they see 📌 that was knowledge 📌 We need to learn market in many ways and should get adopted with experience, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS won't help understanding market structure and understanding bull 🐂 and bear 🐻 is more important Economical conditions Fundamentals Technical News Sentiments Checking macro to micro having good plan and build it is very important ☺️ Some Times market easily turn suddenly bear // bull 🤣 even we need to catch 🫴 those movements is also very important ☺️ 💛 I hope i cleared my view 🙂 if any points if I miss I will add in update 📌 post Try to understand, try to learn - try to move with flexibility with market is important Have good day 😊
Long
by raj5_7_5
6
CELR 📌 macro analysis ⏰COINBASE:CELRUSD :: long term 📌 analysis ⏰ #DYOR #NFA layer1&2 coin ⛓️ Nothing to explain previous bull run it done 👍 excellent performance 🙂 this bull run expecting decent performance 👍 this coin should need every time chart update #ta i will update here so follow the article and give boosting 🚀 binance launchpad project Support 📌 $0.01-0.013 ( 60% 💰 ) < #BUY >📌 $0.004-0.004 ( 40% 💰 ) Note 👉Losing demand zone 📌 recent low 🔅 will reach 2nd phase 🎯 $0.17-0.16 🎯 $0.61-1.16 $0.03-0.05 key 🗝️ resistance 📌 BINANCE:CELRUSDT Strong 💪 month should close above 😒 ( important ) #imo bull may get completed $0.19 below 80% chance Any doubt 🧐 comment below or DM private box 80% CHANCE coin won't cross $0.19 🤞 in my opinion #imo If candle 1month strong close above $0.2 then new high 💰 chance so fix minimum target 🎯
Long
by raj5_7_5
GOLD next 2 years analysis ⏰ macro Hello 👋 it's me your RAJ 🙂 professional trader ✨ This idea 💡 is completely my own analysis on GOLD TVC:XAU 🪙 How this comodity valid for long term 📌 explained as per technical clearly 📌 #DYOR Note 👉 I am analyst and trader on cryptocurrency BITSTAMP:BTCUSD & stocks I don't know about comodity market much , but my friend asked to do analysis 📌 based technical analysis ⏰ so I am providing here 🙂 :: in cryptocurrency to analyse any coin we check ✅ volatility , fundamental and some points In GOLD i Don't know what to check and how follow and depth fundamental also so PPL 📌 who knows well ❤️‍🩹 keep in comments box 📍 i learn and i improve my work on commodity market Present i am submitting technical analysis #TA based on my view 👀 I am bearish 📍 🐻 in next 1yr and expecting new high 2025 end 📌 2026 mid year Invalid 📌 When weekend close below $1600 Best area to fill bag 💰 BUY 📌 $1680 - $1780 is best accumulate zone 📌 ( 1680/1780 ) My target 🎯 was $2200 - $2400 🔥 1680/1780 >> 2200/2400 || stop 🛑 weekend below 1600 👍 This is what I am expecting on GOLD based on technical analysis 📌 what point i have considere as per fundamental and what news 🗞️ I have to cover pls let me know 🙂 🪩 disclaimer : ▶️ TQ u for supporting 💚 follow idea 💡 get updates everytime ⏰ when I updated 📌 Note 👀 👉 keeping comments , reacting with emojis , pointing us is very easy to some people They think 💬 what they see 📌 that was knowledge 📌 We need to learn market in many ways and should get adopted with experience, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS won't help understanding market structure and understanding bull 🐂 and bear 🐻 is more important Economical conditions Fundamentals Technical News Sentiments Checking macro to micro having good plan and build it is very important ☺️ Some Times market easily turn suddenly bear // bull 🤣 even we need to catch 🫴 those movements is also very important ☺️ 💛 I hope i cleared my view 🙂 if any points if I miss I will add in update 📌 post Try to understand, try to learn - try to move with flexibility with market is important Have good day 😊 🧵👉
COMEX:GC1!Long
by raj5_7_5
Nike Monumental Macro TA FindingsHi guys! This is a look into Monumental MACRO developments occuring in Nike stock market structure, some of which are happening for the 1st time in history. For this reason and in my opinion, its a very important time to keep eyes on Price action. The aim is to briefly go over what those developments are and what it may mean for NIKE's Current market trend. Hopefully providing insights for investors. For this analysis, we are looking at Hieken Ashi candles on the 6 month timeframe. Note that: Our current candle will close in January 2024. So it has alot of room to change by the time the candle closes. Ive chosen Hieken Ashi candles to provide clarity in patterns of trend that occured in Nike's History. Our major development is that we have broken down BELOW and confirmed resistance against our MAJOR MAJOR Historical Support Trendline for all of Nike's Market History. This is the 1st time we have ever done this. It warrents caution as this signifies Major Trend Change, perhaps even macro trend reversal. While we were above the Spport line, we knew that everytime we came down we would atleast test that line. Now that we are BELOW it, we need price to find the next support. Currently ive highlighted by a Black Support Trendline, that very support area. We've maintained support since January 2020. This line coincides with another black line that marks Resistance. When combining these 2 black lines, we have ourselves a Symmetrical Triangle. That is very likely to play out sooner or later. If we are able to break above it, it may be probable for us to get back ABOVE the MAJOR SUPPORT Orange line, continuing our Uptrend. If we break below, further declines will occur. Further supporting the idea of a Major Trend Reversal. We are also currently at 4 Red candles in a row. If you notice previous history, 4 in a row has happened only 1 other time. July 83 to Jan 85. And also notice that the 3rd candle of the sequence indicated market bottom with the 4th candle printing a higher low. Can that be the case for us now? Maybe but things in the past don't have to repeat. Being inside of the symmetrical triangle, 4 red candles in a row would warrant me to NOT take any investment positions. In my opinion, if we break out on the upside of the symmetrical triangle and preferably get back above "Orange support line", would i consider taking positions. I think as of now however, we are at best more likely to either move in a range/ sideways or see further declines as the worst case. Why i think this, is because of the STOCH RSI. Notice how we are below the 20 level with a bearish cross/signal. The last time we did this, we were in here for multiple years which led to moving in a range for many years before continuing to make all time highs. Within range our, price dropped from the top about 67% to bottom of the range. If we continue the previous pattern, the same is likely. Hypothetically, we can also drop 60% to $70.00 level, which is a support area. For that to not happen we would need a BULLISH cross ABOVE the 20 level. Also notice the RSI, we are currently at the lowest level in all of NIKE history. We are also in an RSI range that coincides with sideways or range bound action. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on ETSY in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:NKE
by SafofAllTrades
A look into Shake Shack's Macro Trend, Bullish or Bearish? Hi guys! This is a Macro analysis into Shake Shack (SHAK). We will assess various developments occuring in the charts, shedding some light into whether we are in a bullish or bearish overall trend. The analysis is done on the 1 Week timeframe. When looking at the Price action of Shake Shack. We have recently been REJECTED from a Major Resistance Trendline (RED line). This line has been acting as resistance since Feb. 2021. NOTE: This trendline indicates our current TREND. That is we are in a downtrend until proven otherwise. That proof is breaking ABOVE and CONFIRMING Support on this RED line. Also NOTE: This is our 2nd touch point of this RED line. In trendline theory it states that atleast 3 or more touches are required on trendlines for them to weaken enough for a break to the opposite side. So it makes sense that It has pushed us into another downtrend that has recently broken down below the 21 EMA (Purple moving average). We are now rapidly approaching a SUPPORT test on the 50 SMA (Green Moving Average). It is crucial we find SUPPORT on the 50 SMA and Horizontal Black Support line. If we can't we risk falling to the "Major Support Trendline". Which also risks another DEATHCROSS. Notice the slight downward curve on the 21 EMA. Having a DEATHCROSS occur can bring in momentum to even push Prices below the "Major Support Trendline". Our MACD indicator has also CROSSED Bearish with signficiantly increasing RED histogram bars. This signifies an increase in bearish momentum. To maintain Bullish trend, we need to stay ABOVE the 0 level on MACD and have a BULL cross with the print of GREEN histogram bars. We also MUST maintain Support on the 50 SMA, eventually CONFIRMING Support ABOVE 21 EMA. Notice also the GOLDEN CROSS between 21 EMA and 50 SMA, as long as we maintain SUPPORT Above 50 SMA, this has the momentum to maintain an UPTREND. It can also help us breakout through the Major Resistance Trendline. Also take a look for reference at our previous REJECTION of this Major Resistance Trendline. (Orange arrow) Notice how we ended up testing Support on Green 50 SMA, bounced upwards but ended up coming back down and breaking down, printing the death cross and falling 72%. There is nothing saying that we cant do a similar move but theres also no way of knowing that it will play out exactly as past history. Thats why we need to be level headed and take it 1 step at a time. So in the coming weaks our current direction of price action is to TEST SUPPORT on the 50 SMA and the Black line Support CONFLUENCE first. This area is CRUCIAL area that will determine whether we go back to RE-TEST either: 1. RED Major Resistance Trendline above. 2. BLACK Major Support Trendline below. If we re-test the REDline that will make 3 touch points, and we will need to observe whether or not we break through. If we re-test the Black Major Support trendline, we risk breaking down which may cause further price declines. But note its a Major Historical Trendline so it can make monumental buying opportunity provided we get back down there. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on SHAK in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:SHAK
by SafofAllTrades
Recession Timeframe Horizon Macro Monday (2) Potential Recession Time Horizon Below you will find a breakdown of how many months pass before a confirmed Economic Recession (shaded grey areas) after the yield curves first definitive turn back up towards the 0% level: 1) 13 Months (Dec 1978 – Jan 1980) 2) 9 Months (Nov 1980 – July 1981) 3) 16 Months (Mar 1989 – Jul 1990) 4) 12 Months (Mar 2000 – Mar 2001) 5) 22 Months (Feb 2006 – Dec 2007) 6) 6 Months (Aug 2019 – Mar 2020) 7) 4 Months so far (Mar 2023 - ????) Average Time frame: 13 months (reasonable time horizon would be 6 – 18 months). I consider the first definitive turn up towards the 0% level as no. 7 on the chart (March 2023). Since this date we have rolled over below the -1% level (see additional chart in comments). March 2023 appears similar to the bounce in Dec 1978 (No. 1 in the chart), it also rolled over to the lower sub -1% level. If we assumed a similar 13 month timeframe to recession commencement as in Dec 1978 of 13 months, which also aligns with our 13 month average above, we would be looking at April 2024 for a recession to commence. Interestingly 1978 - 1980 was a similar peak inflationary period known as the Great Inflation, a defining macroeconomic period of high inflation. You might be wondering, has a recession ever occurred in the month of April before? I personally thought this was a strange month but it has occurred in the past. In April 1960 a recession commenced and lasted 10 months to February 1961. The 1960 recession was mainly a result of an over-tight monetary policy whereby the Federal Reserve raised interest rates from 1.75% in mid-1958 to 4% by the end of 1959 and maintained them at that level until June 1960. The Federal Reserves motive for raising interest rates and maintaining them was fear of high inflation (as in early 1951 inflation soared to +9.5%). Is it just me or is this all starting to sound a little too familiar? If we wanted to cater for all time scenarios in the chart and noted above (no. 1 - 6) we could argue that the start of a recession is possible at the earliest within 6 months (Sept 2023) and at the latest 22 months (Jan 2025). Also, the month of April 2024 has some eerie similarities to two prior recessions, the 1978 and 1960 Recessions. Lucky 13 Since World War 2 bear markets have on average taken about 13 months to reach their bottom and a further 26 months to recover their losses. Our average time before a recession would start is 13 months. It’s worth remembering that it could take an additional 13 months before a bottom is established and then 2 years or 26 months (2 x 13) of price action below the pre-recession price highs. Over 3 years is a long time to wait to recover losses. It would be pertinent to start deleveraging or increasing your hedge from the 6 month mark (Sept 2023 in this case) as subsequently the likelihood of a 3 year period below the Sept 2023 price levels increase as each month passes. For reference the S&P 500 index has fallen an average of 33% during bear markets over the avg. timeframe of 13 months to the bottom. I actually find it very hard to accept that a recession is possible in the near term (within 6 - 12 months) and I would in fact argue against it, however I cannot explain away the data in the chart which speaks for itself and warrants at least some consideration & caution. Nothing is a guarantee and maybe this time it will be different, especially factoring in the amount of unprecedented liquidity added to the market in recent years, sticky inflation and financial supports provided to systemically important banks. All the chart really indicates is a probable window for a recession to start some time between Sept 2023 – Jan 2025 and no guarantees. The rule of 13 is worth remembering, simply from a timing perspective (before and during a recession) as it may help your timing. Based on two similar periods in history, the 1978 and 1960 recessions suggest the month of April 2024 may be a key date. Again, no guarantees. It is also worth noting that for the last six recessions, on average, the announcement of when a recession started was up to 8 months after the fact…meaning we will have no direct indication when a recession starts, however the un-inversion of the yield curve (back above the 0% level) and a rise in unemployment will be the early tells, so these are worth paying attention too. We will keep you posted on any sudden changes in these metrics. I hope the chart is helpful, provides one perspective of which there are many, and can help time and frame the situation we currently find ourselves in. NO GAURANTEES, just probable timeframes that may be worth paying attention too. PUKA List of Recessions: 1. COVID-19 Recession (February - April 2020) 2. The Great Recession of 2008 (December 2007 - June 2009) 3. The September 11 Recession (March - November 2001) 4. The Gulf War Recession (July 1990 - March 1991) 5. The Iran/Energy Crisis Recession (July 1981 - November 1982) 6. The Energy Crisis Recession (January - July 1980) 7. The Nixon Recession (December 1969 - November 1970) 8. The “Rolling Adjustment” Recession (April 1960 - February 1961) 9. The Eisenhower Recession (August 1957 - April 1958) 10. The Post-Korean War Recession (July 1953 - May 1954)
FRED:T10Y2Y
by PukaCharts
5
MACRO WYCKOFF/ HALVENING OBSERVATIONI just wanna share some of the things I worked on it's still incomplete, and still adding some of my analysis I used Wyckoff theory, pattern recognition(This cannot predict the future but it can help us define what can are the possible moves that btc will do) Observation : -Every 1st month of the day of 365 days before halvening, btc tends to show sos sign of strength.. then it starts showing SOW (SIGNS OF WEAKENESS) OR spring /st ("Springs or Shakeouts usually occur late within the trading range and allow the market and its dominant players to make a definitive test of available supply before a markup campaign will unfold. If the amount of supply that surfaces on a break of support is very light (low volume ), it will be an indication that the way is clear for asustained advance. Heavy supply here will usually mean a renewed decline. Moderate volume here may mean more testing of support and to proceed with caution. The spring or shakeout also serves the purpose of providing dominant interests with additional supply from weak holders at low prices.")similar to smc obj -Another thing is that every havening, the bull run tends to cut the percentage to half each halvening using measurement from bottom to top of the uptrend bull(2000++% 1st havening)2nd reaccumulation (1000++%) (500++%) 2nd halvening) (250++% 3rd halvening) if by any chance it will half again I'm expecting a 125%++ percentage which will hit to 150Kvalue. -Are we still going to have a spring? then we reaccumulate like what happened to the 3rd halvening? or other schematics of accumulation trading range phases? - Every distribution schematic it always level out before the break out (before PSY "Preliminary Supply"(distribution side) or the end (retest of PHASE E) of accumulation side) -Spring/ stb level always has the same level of a previous spread out before the phase of preliminary support -Like the 2nd or 3rd halvening or re accumulkation if it doesn't hit the top or the UTAD level of distribution it tends to create re accumulation. Thank you. DYOR 1st halvening - 2nd halvening - 3rd halvening - 1hr distribution -
INDEX:BTCUSD
by markdemesa99
Smells Like HopiumI don't post much; mostly I just watch and observe. But at this point in time, I cannot help my self. I'm seeing way too much joy and optimism in markets over the last few weeks. The smell of strong hopium in the air is pungent, especially in crypto. Lots of traders I follow are posting 10-12x posts a day talking about bullish action...lots of screams of "333% PUSH!", "555% EASY!", etc. etc. You know who you are. Time for some real talk--crypto autumn is over and winter is just about to begin. Let's do the math...using "King Crypto" BTC as a guide. Here we see the 2W chart and the story is clear. I like the 2W time frame as a starting point because if levels out all the BS and allows for clear headedness in lieu of what is obvious hysteria. What are we seeing? 1. Heikin Ashi still points almostly perfectly bearish since the Nov 21 double top. This is a negative. 2. Current price action and all candles are below every channel there is, including KC and Bollinger Band Std Dev 1 and 2. This is super very negative. 3. 2W 50 per EMA is about to death cross 100 per EMA. That's EMA, folks...not simple MA. It will be very hard to see how the next 3 months won't have this cross, but we will wait and see. This is negative. 4. Stochastic has tried 4 times since Nov 21 to break favorable and has failed every time. Short term momentum still under longer term momentum, at the very bottom of the range. This is negative. 5. MACD, while approaching zero on the bars, is persistently below long-term trendlines. This is a negative. 6. On Balance Volume (the ultimate tell) is not even close to breaking favorable. This is negative. Technical analysis, sorting out for all the short-term noise, is all pointing in one direction...downward. From a macro-market analysis, we are just beginning to see the shakeout of the crypto hysteria. Some points: A. Regulation, the "all clear sign" for big money, seems stuck in the muck across numerous geos, because... B. Crypto firms continue to go bust at a rapid pace. Hard to know where to regulate when firms are dying every month. FTX is now "old news", but as yet nobody knows how far the contagion goes. BlockFi this week, likely another before the end of the month. And the "Binance Rescue Fund" (outside of a tweet) is a pipe dream. C. The idea of BTC (or any crypto) as an inflation hedge or safe haven is fully disproven. D. Crypto is now, minus higher variance, inexplicably tied to Tech. Yet even the media hyped, MOMO pushed, fake-out rally in QQQ didn't get to BTC over the last month. E. Recession looms, corporate multiples are still insane, leverage is still too high (in markets, and especially crypto), and fundamental economic dynamics globally are not favorable. All risk assets are still very far away from bottoms, crypto especially. Smoke the hopium all you want, but don't hit that "Buy" button. Long way to go before we are out of the woods. "Roll it up, light it up, smoke it up...Inhale, exhale" - Cyprus Hill.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Imdmagic1
2
The Return of the Golden BullThe Return of the Golden Bull Technical Analysis - Gold has been in a 2 year consolidation, after a 7 year uptrend of over 90% from 2018 to 2020. - Price Action is contracting on a monthly basis, within a bullish pennant. - After an intermediate bear trend of 3 months, Gold is at a massive horizontal support, coming from the 2011 High. - Gold is also right above the rising trendline from the march 2021 low and above the falling trendline from the august 2020 high. - This might be a multi year buying opportunity for Gold, it is hard to put a price target on it, but I would assume around 4000$ could be achieved, if everything goes as expected. Fundamental Analysis - There is also a point to be made for gold, fundamentally. - We are at record inflation, tightening into slowing economic conditions. - Bonds are loosing massively, as are equities and Bitcoin. - Gold has been holding up rather well, despite the US10Y and the DXY rising relentlessly. - In my opinion this is an indicator, that Gold is still the true safe hafen asset to investors, in case of monetary debasement and simultaneously worsening economic conditions. Enter the trade - I am waiting for a short term trend change, as we are currently below the 5, 10, 20, and 50 day moving averages. - I want to see Gold above a rising 5dma, crossing the 10dma. - I am also looking for a weekly close above 1877$. - Gold has been awfully hard to trade in the past months, due to extremely choppy action, often giving daily buy and sell signals on the RSC Trend Trading Indicator, right after each other, so I will be cautious. This is not financial advice, I wish you good luck trading. Cheers Tom
TVC:GOLDLong
by Cyranus
2
T-AT&T- THE CYCLE OF BULL TO BEAR OVER THE DECADES! SHORT!Find out the latest details on AT&T NYSE:T . Have the bulls completely lost their momentum? In this video I go through the macro view on AT&T and discuss their debt and cash flows and there future. Is this a good stock to buy and hold for your portfolio? Find out here! Disclaimer I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
NYSE:TShort
by CryptoBuzzAnalyst
Macro view Siacoin30 cents is a reasonable price range for Siacoin to reach this coming cycle. We had an approximately 85% correction from the high in April. We saw the same type of correction from June to November 2017. Next rally up will probably be around 1500% from where we are right now. There are lots of people saying this is some super cycle and the rising won't stop, it's reminiscent to what i've experienced in 2017.. But once Bitcoin tops (which it will between 150 and 300k probably) everything will go into a multi year bear market again. So get out when you've realized your profits. And get back in when correction levels are around 80% again.
KRAKEN:SCUSDLong
by Bittimmer
4
EURNZD - Macroeconomic, Global Macro...EUR is the most inflationary currency, whereas NZD is the most deflationary. Based on Micro Bias, Global Macro Bias, and other factors... My strognerst number was never assigned to this pair.... Consequently, I will maintain my short position in the EURNZD, and based on current information, we might continue in this manner for another week... Someone among you who has been following the previous three transactions on the EURNZD, Continue reading and don't shut your browser! :)
Short
by Idealadvantage
NZD-USD Fundemental and Macro AnalysisThis weekend's market is expected to be relatively quiet. They will not produce large effects or move, and they will most likely not affect all pairings. We should proceed with caution, but the New Zealand dollar and the United States dollar have a very high possibility of gaining ground because of recent performance and statistics that I have obtained. After that, I'm going to stick with this currency pair for the weekend. Everyone should use caution, even if they have high expectations.
Long
by Idealadvantage
BTCUSD Big PictureBTCUSD price started for as low as $0.00008, while it was initially released on the 9th of January, 2009. Just like the Evolution of the Earth, it moved gradually pip by pip until there was a major outburst from August 2017. December 2017, BTCUSD price crashed from $20,000 to estimately $3,000 by January, 2019 through March 2020. The Demand for Bitcoin really increased which pushed the price to $67,000 last month, making it the All time high and ever since then it is in the $60,000 range. Looking forward to see BTCUSD at $1,000,000 comes next decade.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by OceanMan1000
Thoughts on macro conditions for European banksIt is no secret that in the Basel III era, the core profitability of European banks has not been satisfactory. While European banks' return on equity is not even close to the pre-07 levels and falls short on their cost of capital, US banks enjoy double-digit ROE and significantly higher valuations. This mismatch made me wonder whether the current macroeconomic landscape gives EU banking some hope for a rebound and closing the US-EU profitability gap. At the first sight, forward-looking macro indicators seem to be favourable for EU banks. GDP growth rapidly accelerated after the 2020 slump, inflation is remarkably high and the central bank will have to increase interest rates sooner than later. But still, return on equity and consequently, valuations of European banks still look quite modest when compared to their US equivalents. The underlying problem behind the profitability underperformance of European banks is overcapacity. Competitive pressure is high and additionally, banks have to deal with the increasing fintech sector. The problem could be targeted by the supervisors (higher capital requirements for new entrants, lack of “credible integration plans'' etc) but market forces are necessary to successfully combat low concentration. Historically, the years following implementation of more strict regulation (Basel III) should result in decreased profitability of banks (no surprise) and consequently more movement towards higher market concentration. However, last year M&A volume in European banking was far from impressive. According to the KPMG European Banking Consolidation report, the volume of mergers and acquisitions involving European banks in 2020 reached its lowest level since the 07-08 crisis. To be clear, a strong downtrend in the M&A volume has been observed since 2010 so the COVID-19 outbreak in 2020 was not a direct cause. The current financial landscape seems to be favourable for mergers and acquisitions volume increase. Low interest rates, relatively cheap bank equity, loosening of M&A regulation and need for restructuring in response to digital transformation. Thus, forecasts for the M&A volume in banking are relatively generous. The exogenous determinants I described are only a fraction of the whole banking landscape. Bank-specific factors and digital transformation are equally valid components. Nevertheless, bearing in mind the historical tendency of banks to concentrate more in response to new regulations and promising M&A volume outlook, I am optimistic.
XETR:CXPBLong
by UnknownUnicorn27189777
Macro analysis of the Crypto market in relation to equities/DXYIn order to go long: I want to see COINBASE:BTCUSD push through the .5 fib convincingly as well as test that incoming pitchfork after yesterday's doji candle. You can see that I have overlayed BTC shorts on the same chart. They were inching up earlier, but have resumed the floor it's been testing. The AMEX:SPY seems confused going into the weekend (won't let me tag ES). Holding 4093 which was a major support this week, along with 4085, even though the waters were tested this AM in the futures market. The Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements on the bottom show that the Treasury is not done and supporting this market heavily still. If equities can hold off from dumping, we may see the Crypto Total Market Cap test it's Spring highs this upcoming Winter. Right now that CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL is meeting resistance around 1.5T. The DXY has rallied slightly off COMC news on Wednesday that inflation is still transitory, despite missing projections. If we can see the dollar lose some strength here we would see the S&P rally like we saw from Nov-Feb as well as in April, which would be fantastic. We can see the BTC.D is rising and it is yet to be seen if BTC.D will bounce off of 50%. If BTC.D can rage along with the Total Crypto Market Cap, I expect alts to be okay and BTC fomo to take place. Idiots that are holding too many alts and bought all the alt dips after purchasing the top will probably get burnt and I wouldn't be surprised to see something similar to what we saw around Thanksgiving 2020 when the Crypto market sold off prior to it's massive growth in late 2020 into early 2021. Lastly, pending the EIP1559 upgrade on Aug 4th, I projected a price of 2500 a week or so ago on COINBASE:ETHUSD (not on here, but I don't really give a damn - that's still my target). I expect volatility that day and for many traders to take this upgrade as a "sell the news" opportunity. However, if BTC breaks through the pitchfork as I alluded to in the first sentence, this 2500 target may be smashed through and CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D might give BTC.D a run for it's money if the news really picks up on it. I would love to see 1559 force ETH to challenge previous ATHs, but we will have to wait on the market to open Sunday, in addition to what Crypto has in store for us over the weekend. For awhile, the only thing certain was a crypto sell-off during the weekend, but last week the market really recovered into what we have at the moment.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Abstractions