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Magnificent7

Can the MAGNIFICENT 7 outperform once more?We have seen the Magnificent 7 (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvdia, Meta, Tesla) underperform historically but since the start of the year this hasn't been as strong as previously (roughly +35% for M7 against + 25% for Nasdaq). The former can be seen on the left chart while the latter on the right. This goes so far against the aggressive nature of the Magnificent 7 (M7), which have outperformed Nasdaq on all previous rallied by around +50%. In fact the M7's first major rally (2016 - 2018) rose by +140% while NDX's by +97%. The second major rally (2019 - 2021) registered +315% for MA7 and 'just' +185% for NDX. If there is any progression between them, we can argue that the current rallies will be even stronger. Of course the sample isn't big enough for solid conclusions and multi-year rallies can't keep getting stronger on each Cycle for ever. What is reasonable to count on however, is that as the Fed stepped in recently and gave the market the first Rate Cut in years, a new Cycle of cheap money to invest with has started and we can expect rallies of equal strength with the previous ones. For M7 (+315%) that's $440, so around +60% from the current levels, while for Nasdaq (+185%) that's 30000, so around +47% from the current levels. Not an incredible difference considering the risk that highly volatile stocks like the M7 bear. This could be a sign that the market is shifting to other stocks during this Cycle and the M7 potential may be fading. In any event, do you think the Magnificent 7 will start to outperform Nasdaq again and if so is this worth the risk than investing your capital on the 100 companies of the index? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TradingShot
MAGS (Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF)... Time to BUY? YES!!The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF offers equal weight exposure to the “Magnificent Seven” stocks – Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. MAGS is the first-ever ETF to track the Magnificent Seven. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NASDAQ:MAGSLong
by RT_Money
MAGS (Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF)... Time to BUY? MAGS (Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF) Weekly TF shows price has pulled back into the +FVG after displacing above the intermediate swing high, completing an External to Internal move. That high intersects the +FVG nicely as confluence of support. Daily TF shows a Daily +FVG nested within the Weekly +FVG, serving as more confluence of support. The idea here is if the +FVG holds, price will seek the buy side liquidity highlighted. This would be an Internal to External liquidity movement. The local high at **48.00** is nice round number to draw price. **50.00** is the longer term draw on liquidity. *The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF offers equal weight exposure to the “Magnificent Seven” stocks – Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. MAGS is the first-ever ETF to track the Magnificent Seven.
NASDAQ:MAGSLong
by RT_Money
AMZN's Cup and Handle forecasts bullish continuation LONGMZN on a daily chart is in the continuation phase of a cup and handle patter which started In August 2022. Of the Magnificent 7, it has performed better than the rest with the exception of NVDA. The cup and handle pattern suggests continuation to the price level of $ 200 which is similar to the all-time high with 5- 8% added for inflation ( July and November 2021 in the range of 187 ). On the reliability of a cup and handle pattern and that of a daily chart compared with a lower time frame I will take long positions in AMZN in both AMZU EFT shares and long dated call options for AMZN more or less ITM at $ 175.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by AwesomeAvani
AAPL to verse to upside trending ? LONGAAPL on the 60 minute chart is compared on the superimposed indicator on its own scale the RSI for a similar time frame. The chart shows that AAPL has sunk to its price level in the pre-earnings period two weeks ago. At present, price and RSI are running in parallel and RSI is a litle higher than price while on its own scale. Price is currently near to the running SMA 200. When I see either price or relative strenth move higher. I will be a buyer. I am looking for some green on the relative volume indicator to tip me off. I will be watching on a lower time frame of 15-30 minutes to get a clean entry pay off the spread and get into profits ASAP.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by AwesomeAvani
Can the MAGNIFICENT 7 outperform once more?We have seen the Magnificent 7 (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvdia, Meta, Tesla) underperform on this rally since the October Low relative to the rest of the Nasdaq index (NDX). The former can be seen on the left chart while the latter on the right. This goes so far against the aggressive nature of the Magnificent 7 (M7), which have outperformed Nasdaq on all previous rallied by at least +50%. In fact the M7's first major rally (2016 - 2018) rose by +150% while NDX's by +95%. The second major rally (2019 - 2021) registered +363% for MA7 and 'just' +185% for NDX. If there is any progression between them, we can argue that on M7 the rallies increase by a constant of (0.41) while on NDX by (0.51). Of course the sample isn't big enough for solid conclusions. But there is a Higher Lows trend-line on both that is driving this logarithmic growth. Especially for M7, it has been touched on all corrections. As a result, a modest target estimate for both could be the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which for M7 is 600.00, while for NDX 27500. Indeed those seem remarkable from the levels we stand currently but the projections can get even more inflated if we follow the 0.41 and 0.51 progressions respectively, which indicate that M7 could rise up to +511% (767) from the recent market bottom, while Nasdaq up to +279% (39700). In any event, do you think the Magnificent 7 will start to outperform Nasdaq again after November - December's pause? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
3
SPX - Santa Ralliers: You Better Keep Your Eyes On The ClockIn previous threads looking at SPY: SPY - Did We Bottom, Or Is Manipulation Coming? Nasdaq Nasdaq Futes - You Wanted a Dip For That 'Santa Rally,' Aye? And ES SPX ES - Welcome To The Fourth Quarter Rodeo We've noted that both the extreme bear and extreme bull cases are dubious. After the five day 8% rally to start the month, we warned that manipulation may be coming. Instead, we got a flat week where the October high was taken on a Friday afternoon. The important thing for Santa rally believers, who are expecting the all time highs to be taken out, is that we're on what amounts to a pretty tight deadline, with the final day of the December candle being the deadline. The reason for this is because the indexes went up in a straight line starting the first day of 2023, and this is not likely to repeat itself. And so, what I believe we're in store for, is not a real Santa rally, but a fairly big 150-200 point retrace starting next week, that culminates in a rally that takes out 4,650 by year end, but goes no further. That will mean that 2024 is a very unpleasant year for everyone, U.S. election or not. Perhaps what will stop the Santa Rally from taking the all time highs on the indexes is the looming problems posed to the world by mankind's continued cooperation with and support of the Chinese Communist Party. The Chinese Communist Party, under former Chairman Jiang Zemin in 1999, launched a full scale organ harvesting genocide and persecution against the 100 million practitioners of Falun Dafa meditation. Those sins are more eternal and boundless than what Nero and the Romans did to Jesus and his Disciples 2,500 years ago by an infinite degree, for the scale is so much larger, the importance of this moment in history is so much more significant, and Falun Gong's students being true spiritual practitioners. Xi Jinping, because he has made himself the head of the Party and has continued to hold onto Marxism and Leninism with a deathgrip, has painted himself into a corner that he only has one way out of. That way is to coup d'etat the CCP and get rid of it like Gorbachev and friends got rid of the USSR. But the clock is ticking. He has to do it before the Wuhan Lung Flame breaches the Emperor's bedroom. And former Premier Li Keqiang was killed by a heart attack just a few weeks ago, and only in his 60s. Either way, the CCP is dust in the wind, and so are all the clowns on Wall Street, governments, big corporations, and Antifa/BLM-style scum of society revolutionary groups who have been either providing blood to or taking blood from the Evil Party all these years. And this means that markets will go up in preparation for the falling guillotine. Because it's ultimately just humans gambling against Gods. So here's the trade. I expect next week, and perhaps also the week after, will bring a ~4-5% retrace that sets up a month end rally into a December rally that takes out 4,600. We won't go sideways, I suspect, but it'll chop up and down and back and forth before finally getting to the point, and so it will probably suck to trade levered ETFs and options. Still, there's a chance to go long coming up ahead with a target above the July highs to end the year, and that is about as good as she gets, I gander. Good luck. I hope you heed the caution about "China" and do your part to social distance and wash your hands from communism and all its related scams.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by LordWrymouth
2
Apple - Sick Fundamentals Mean a New All Time HighI have recent calls on the SPX SPX ES - Welcome To The Fourth Quarter Rodeo The Nasdaq Nasdaq Futes - You Wanted a Dip For That 'Santa Rally,' Aye? SPY SPY - Did We Bottom, Or Is Manipulation Coming? And Tesla Tesla - Remember, The Ponzi Always Continues Which generally have a bullish-into-year-end thesis accompanying them, but caution that an October bottom for the second year in a row and a mega three day rally to start November may be something of a trap. When it comes to Apple, we have reservations that we topped under $200, for really obvious reasons, especially considering that on the monthly, the last three months of bearish price action haven't been that bearish. Yet, because the weekly shows us that there are two bars under $150 and $140 from last year that never printed a low, that those areas are probably protected until Apple starts to seriously deflate and enter an end-of-life cycle bear market. If Apple is going to enter an end of life cycle bear market, the MMs will 100% take out the $200 range and sell everything there first. So, fundamentally, why would Apple be at the end of its life? The answer is simple: the company, all these years, wed itself to the Chinese Communist Party, which is the scourge of humanity, The Beast, and the benefactor to Babylon (Shanghai). There's lots of really horrific data involving Apple numbers and the Chinese market right now, and the CCP under Xi Jinping is also rushing to replace other phone companies with domestic product, like the notorious Huawei. The elephant in the room when it comes to cellular and computer purchases in China is that they're down because there are less people in China as a result of the enormous damage the novel pneumonia pandemic that originated in Wuhan City has caused. SARS 1 in 2003 was covered up by the Party. The CCP made it seem like only a few thousand people died, when in reality, some accounts have stated that several million people died. Today, the Party still claims that less than 122,000 people died from COVID-19, despite China being the epicentre of the disease. You don't need an expert, or even a calculator, to figure out what's really going on and why the Chinese economy is in trouble. What's at stake for Xi and his faction is the 24-year-long organ harvesting genocide and persecution against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners. Although Xi has not participated in the persecution, and has, to the contrary, been killing via his Anti-corruption Campaign the Jiang Zemin faction who started and maintained the persecution all these years, the problem is that Xi is the head of the Party. When you kill a dragon, you decapitate it. But first, you start with its tail. And it's telling that former Premier Li Keqiang died a few weeks ago, merely in his 60s, at the hands of "an heart attack." So the fundamentals on Apple are bad because of China. So, with great faith in the principle of reversed logic, we actually look for longs with the chance to sell over $200. But the charts, as they stand, are not giving us a long signal. Everything, including Apple, bounced so hard in the first three days of November, and for Apple this came on the back of an earnings report, that we have to view the situation with major reservations, expecting that the candle painting of the low for the monthly bar has not yet been completed. Last October, Apple pretended to bottom, pretended to double bottom in November, and then gave it all back and set the low of the year at the end of 2022, and all of this happened while the indexes had properly bottomed in October. There was none of that "Magnificent 7" talk back then. So, how to trade this? I think it's wiser to go long on a breakout over $183 in a size that allows you to take partials at $198, $205, and $215 than it is to have bought in the last three days. And if we do dump, where we're looking for reversal patterns is at or below the April of 2022 low at $159.80~. But if we're about to moon for manipulation, we're actually likely to see a sweep just below the current November low of $167.90. So long as you can buy there without getting expired worthless on some short dated options, you'll have the best chance to ride the manipulation wave. But be careful. When it's time for the CCP to fall, all the bigger dominoes go with it, because they're all really lesser dominoes. Gap down overnight because of the time difference between Beijing and Manhattan means margin calls that scale in brutality, because Wall Street won't be in the mood to go risk on anything ever again. Nor will it have the money or the breath to.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by LordWrymouth
As NVIDIA faces more risks, questions remain unansweredNASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:INTC NASDAQ:AMD As the common market motion is embracing a recession, one of Bloomberg's Magnificent 7 fights hard to keep a stiff upper lip. But not only as the signs of the times currently stand, but also by their own decisions, NVIDIA will get in turmoil. Background In my view (working in IT for 15 years), the chip designer is overreaching its capacity with the following two factors. Planning not a new GPU, but a whole GPU architecture, for every year to release While GPUs became an essential part of many cutting edge technologies aside graphics, an architecture means to write drivers (computer software working as interpreter between devices) for the variety of operating systems currently at the market, which are, in this order, Linux, Android and Windows. Linux already despises the closed-source proprietary licensing model of drivers by NVIDIA, which can neither be changed nor get improved nor adapted to compatibility to Linux. An annual release of new architectures without more vertical integration of software development will result in a lack of support by the industry ecosystem, as the industry tends to adapt only to products which grow in relevance. Pick SQL, the database language. Every other year, a new complete ISO standard of SQL is released to implement, but as buying a whole single set of standard documents comes with high costs, 2.500 USD for paper, the market adoption of new and newest issues of the SQL standards are rare, even in enterprise software. Open source database software tends to implement whatever is available for either no or low cost, so they naturally would not implement the latest standard. The same dynamic will go on a new GPU architecture release every year, and NVIDIA, given the management is sane, will scrap that strategy after the first three or four cycles. Planning to challenge Intel, other CPU makers The most common processors, natural CPU chips built in every computing device, are coming from Intel or an Intel architecture, or ARM's RISCy architecture. Every successful processor ever made in the market had to either be made for a closed ecosystem of devices of their own (like the Zilog Z80 for Nintendo's Game Boy or any home computer of the 80's really, or any of Apple's devices) or it had to be compatible with Intel and its architecture and instruction set. Any other processor sold for general application in the past has failed to penetrate the market. And as Intel, as well as Intel-compatible processors from manufacturers like AMD, are widely common and available, NVIDIA faces the challenge to generate Unique Selling Points for its own CPU ambitions. What could that be? Lower prices? If NVIDIA thinks they could create the generations of CPUs to come in a much cheaper way, they would offer discounted hardware on the NVIDIA label, without holding to the promises everyone assumes with the brand: top-edge graphical calculation or AI. The margin would also challenge the stress-test of the ever-altering architecture leadership of Intel, giving Intel itself the opportunity to disrupt NVIDIA's development cycle by letting NVIDIA face the same challenges like Linux developers do when integrating NVIDIA's driver sets, with the additional risk that not every newly released architecture will sell. Additional features, AI? AI calculations are power-exhaustive, and delivering them on a CPU will add to the power consumption, and thereby energy costs, as much as overclocking already does. Heat development (and thereby fast aging) is a problem among the CPU industry of which sufficient and endurable solutions are rare. AI software runs in a cloud, preferrably, as the cloud would consist of multiple GPU cards which are cooled with means like heatpipes with chilled water or nitrogen, as well as a general A/C for the room. Describing all this already lets you picture any larger datacenter with its own powerplant, and if you can picture that, you know there is no consumer application for these kind of chips. AI-enhanced CPUs will eventually serve only a niche market, as datacenters would already have (matured and cheaper) GPUs to go for, which would by the way release annually and raise the cost, and as power grids worldwide are not ready to transport this kind of energy for a broad consumer approach. If any of that is true, what still goes for NVIDIA? NVIDIA will remain the most important infrastructure provider for datacenters, and by that extent, cloud providers. Neither Microsoft nor Google nor Amazon will be able to turn to other manufacturers, except they'd be successful in running ARM-driven datacenters , making the CPU strategy of NVIDIA even harder. Eventually datacenters will heterogenize in their inner structure to provide cost-effectively for different applications, from a homogenous set of almost equal hardware to a ring-like system for different classes of chips and applications. Many datacenters already either specialize for a certain kind of application or allow a general approach by heterogenizing their hardware, and this trend will continue and create more variety and diversification with coming hardware generations. NVIDIA, as a key infrastructure provider with a heavy foot in the AI field, will remain to be able to supply and influence the business of almost every other cloud-providing technology company, if NVIDIA only would reflect on its virtues, cap their endeavours and emphasize even more on its current strengths.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Johnny_TV
1
FNGD retrace to $8.50 before target of $10.51, coil/fakeout/pumpFNGD to go back down to $8.50 before target of $10.51 Nxt I'm expecting a little retracement back to $8.51 with buy limits set from 8.88 down to 8.51 Take Profits at $10.17 and $10.51 Expect to retrace again and coil up. People will be talking about bears taking over, but the Santa rally will cheer bulls up and give them hope... meanwhile we are playing both sides. Into 2024: Due to everything going on and how much this market has tripped everyone up and out, I expect a double fakey to occur. FNGD will appear to be pumping (bears winning on FNGU and S&P) then the bulls will appear to take control and the descending triangle on the S&P will appear to have a breakout to the upside only to fail. People will say its due to a news event, but the Operator/Fed is planning this. Equities will retreat to safety of Bonds. S&P will Fall, and lay off employees, people will beg for the Fed to cut rates and when they do Bonds will explode then Gold then after Equities and Crypto Capitulation we will rebuild on the scorched earth. BUY BUY BUY WHEN THERE IS BLOOD IN THE STREETS IN MARCH/APRIL 2024!
AMEX:FNGDLong
by itsmrpizzatoyou