EURUSD to continue to make new lowsEURUSD has experienced bullish price action of late to lift it up off of the lows. The downward channel is still in place and we are looking for a test of 1.10150 before a return to the lower channel in the 1.0800s. We await a test and price action confirmation before entering.
Majors
Point of control CAD/JPY After nice move up is accumulated lot of contracts about price level 81.2.
And i thing that buyers which iniciated this strong buying activity were building around this area lot of contracts and will be defend
there position around POC ( Point of control )
When the price makes pullback to this level again i thing that guys will be aggressive and push the price up from this level again.
Happy trading
Dale
AUDNZD strong up trend Daily chart is strong daily up trend.
There is nice significant Volume cluster around 1.0691 where buyers were pushing the price upwards.
For me this is heavy volume zone so when the price makes it back to this level again.
I will be waiting here for my long position.
Happy trading
Dale
GBPUSD: End of A Suggests B,C For Structure CompletionI have been bearish on GBPUSD since prices broke below the psychological $1.30 barrier.
The current minute structure suggests that corrective wave b is underway since minuette wave (v) ended. b minute could be either an a,b,c or a w,x,y, however likely to pullback down to 1.2121/2171 Fibonacci zone.
The upside potential could be limited to 1.2644, which is the 161.8% Fibonacci expansion of the 1.1960-1.2383 corrective minute wave a. Unless if the base low was the end of minor wave 5 and now GBPUSD reverses. that would turn the potential a,b,c into an 5-wave move.
Should bears take over once again minor 5 will be underway!
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
AUDUSD volume clustersHere is the most significant Volume cluster from the last week.
I expect on both of them short reaction.
Short_1 level is the strongest level from the week, after consolidation followed move down around 30 pips.
The last week was ended so bad for AUDUSD ... The week candle is closed at the bottom. What mean the market is in short trend.
For that reason i want to trade on short side.
Happy trading
Dale
ORBEX GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD Under Pressure! But For How Long?In today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #fxmajors #audusd, #gbpusd and #eurusd.
They are all under pressure for different reasons:
EURUSD
- ECB's Lane dovish on ECB's inflation target
- Italian CPI weakening
GBPUSD
- BoJo goes to Brussels empty-handed
- Brussels not sure if extension will help
AUDUSD
- RBA reveals plans to cut more if necessary
- Bank could cut twice more in 2019 to support inflation and employment goals
Meanwhile, everyone stresses out about #FOMC!
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
Markets Positive on ECB, BrexitIn today’s #marketinsights video recording I analyse EURUSD, GBPUSD, and USDJPY as FX majors seem supported not only by politics but also by economic data and fresh policy sentiment.
Economic data:
- German Exports delivered a positive balance (0.7% vs -0.1%)
- UK's GDP reported better than expected numbers (0.3% vs 0% m/m)
- US Consumer Borrowing in the US rose unexpectedly (23.3B vs 16.2B)
Politics:
- UK PM fails yet again to call on a snap election
Monetary Policy:
- Markets expect ECB to be less dovish
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
GBPUSD SHORT Previous Forecast Still IntactHello traders,
We just corrected the last down move that happened in the beginning of August, nothing major.
No reversals as of yet, look for and SELL the break of the red flag down.
If you would like me to forecast a specific pair that I have not covered, feel free to comment it down below!
Please don’t forget to follow, I will be posting forecasts & trade setups daily.
Thank you,
Good luck
GOLD uptrend and where is good enter fo long? Od the Daily chart how you can see on daily candles there is strong buying activity.
So in this case like that i am looking for the trend setup.
Trend setup bassically means that you are looking significant volume cluster. Like right now on Gold market around price level 1416. This is very strong
volume cluster created in rotation.
I expect that when market come back, strong buyers will be defending their buying position and their push the price up.
Happy trading
Dale
CADJPY POC of the YearWhen you select all area of the year 2019 and use Volume Profile ... So you can find POC ( Point of control ) of the whole year on the price level 82.49.
This is exactly at the perfect price level for short .. Because on same price level is nice to see how strong sellers push price lower and lower...
1. POC of the year
2. Initiation of strong sellers
3. Strong sell of from this level
Happy trading
Dale
EURUSD Consolidation After 5 days of long consolidation EURUSD made a downward movement...
For that reason i use Volume Profile for finding Point of control (POC) for the market.. Where i see fair price.
POC - The price level for the time period with the highest traded volume.
And now i expect that in this level will be reaction when the market return back.
Happy trading
Dale
USDCAD Reaction on POC OF THE 2018 ... The last week i share with you analyses on USDCAD Daily chart...
I showed to you combination of two my setups what i use... Yearly Volume profile with Daily Gartley.
POC Of the Year is so strong level, where big banks and instuticion want to trade...
Point of control ( POC ) the last year 2018 On USDCAD in Price level 1.30228 was perfect example how it works in real condition.
There was around 8 test... Where big banks and institucion accumulation or want to buy more contracts for continue trend up from the Year 2018...
Follow and Study Volume profile and have an advantage over others....
Happy trading
Dale
NZDUSD Strong rejection of lower pricesOn the end of the last week can see strong rejection of lower prices on NZDUSD..
So sharp and fast rejection of strong buyers moved aggresively price up to the 0.6837.
It look that good enter for continue this trend is on the biggest volume cluster around price level 0.6670
Happy trading
Dale
USDCAD - Point of control of the Year 2018 We can see strong uptrend on USDCAD i the whole year 2018... For that reason i expect continuation this uptrend in the Year 2019.
After correction to the 50 % fibonacci retracement moved up of the Year 2018, can be possible change trend up on USDCAD right now on price level 1.30262...
50 % moved up is so near to the Point of control of the year 2018.... So there is a lot of confirmation for the trend reversal...
1. ABCD GARTLEY
2. POC OF THE YEAR 2018 ( Volume cluster )
3. STRONG UPTREND in 2018
Happy trading
Dale
EURUSD significant levelYesterday was nice move up...
When i use Volume profile on this move up.. There is two significant volume cluster..
First one is from accumulation buying activity for long trade. ( I marked this zone number 1 )
Second one is near to high of the market... There is nice to see what i call " Rejection of higher prices" ( i marked number 2 )
Strong sellers rejected so fast this high price and left in this zone many contracts for short.... I hope so that when the price go back, this strong sellers will
be defend their selling positons..
Happy trading
Dale
Broad market analysis FX Indices Commodities Crypto. 09 May 2019I was thinking... They say "be specialized in only 1 market", but how does that work? Everything matters and there are correlations everywhere. Be specialized in 1 strategy sure, but what better way to do this than have a global view on everything?
I like it this way. People that only focus on 2 - 3 symbols can look at everything but really go in detail with their 2-3, but why not go all the way. And specialized in 1-2 strategies.
- Indices -
Moderators of the SnP & DowJones pump and dump group (Trump Powell & XiTrolliPing) have reached their target & now sent a sell signal.
Of course, they have not told anyone their target. Several people have asked Trump on twitter to just tweet his target, but he is not going to.
Investors should not panic, but I would definitely call it time to be preparing to panic.
- FX Majors -
The Yen has started rallying. Something is happening!
USDCHF rally is over. Sucker's rally. Watching for bear break then buying the bear sucker rally.
USDMXN to the MOON! Waiting a pullbacl to buy.
EURJPY bearish
- Commodities -
Gold either is consolidating or made a higher low? Nothing to do.
Oil tightening, waiting for that bear break soon, and buying at the target pattern more or less.
Soybean futures I bought that multi year low. We shall see. I am thinking it's 50/50 odds but RR is between 1.5 and 2.
Copper made a lower low. Might "capitulate" soon. Waiting on that full (bull trend) retrace.
- Crypto -
Bitcoin wow what a great transition. It has not reached resistance yet but it is close. Maybe overcut a little...
Posted an idea about scaling in early because crypto traders take profit early. Will they now overcut the overcut?
Alts... They are all consolidating (well not all thousands of them but in general). Not interested.
- FX Minors -
Nothing very interesting and there is already alot going on elsewhere.
Got stopped on GBPAUD but it is trolling me hehe. Might re-enter...
Summary: MY HEART! EVERYTHING IS MOVING AT THE SAME TIME. TRUMP PONZI STOPPED GOING UP TRADE WARS UNCERTAINTY STOPPED. SO INVESTORS ARE MOVING MONEY NOW.
To watch:
All Indices
Yen (USDJPY bearish)
USDCHF possible bear break
USDMXN TO THE MOON
EURJPY bear trend
Gold & Oil & Copper there is time.
Soybeans entered the trade, hope it bounces now :p
Bitcoin short, might as well overcut that resistance. I think 6300 is good.
GBPAUD re-buy, re get rekt.