BITF - Undervalued to peers, based on BTC minedBitfarms Ltd. is a canadian bitcoin mining company. Resistance at $6.45, as that is highest close and tested that level twice already. The chart basically follows bitcoin, so I am going to write about bitcoin mined compared to RIOT and MARA. BTC mined for BITF in may 2021 = 262, RIOT = 227, MARA = 227. June 2021 = 265, RIOT = 243, MARA = 266. MC of BITF is 5x less than MARA and RIOT. Earnings is Aug 16th, so if there's a pullback . It would be good time for entry.
MARA
After Big Push Up and Earnings Inflation, Time to Sell RIOT?In institutionalized markets, we often see patterns of up and down, up and down, verses more free markets, in which we see large bull trends followed by disastrous bear trends for some. The more popular the asset, the more swings we often see, as people play a tug of war to win Bull or Bear.
As you can see in this long-term Daily Chart, RIOT has had two weeks of a solid uptrend, followed by slight sell-off, and consolidation near the top. The bottom lies around the golden figure of $22 USD.
In the shorter-term to medium-term charts, I see little room to move up on the top, with Bitcoin once again reaching resistance at $41,000, and massive downside potential. For the monthly chart, we are at a monthly high. Warren Buffet would recommend to sell the overbought monthly high for a weekly profit.
Technical indicators show we are overbought, and due for a slight-to-moderate correction. For the yearly, we are still in a downtrend for both RIOT and BTC, with highs far, far away.
The push up in RIOT is likely due to its earnings coming out in two days. Days before earnings arrive, the stock anticipates positive or negative earnings, and rises unexpectedly. Most of the price action commonly occurs before, not after earnings come out.
Don't buy the hype. Markets feel ebullient, with SPY at all time highs, making a 38% gain in 1 year, but much of the country is truthfully in a depression. Banks just lowered interest rates again, making savings accounts useless. Many other modern countries having savings with a rate of 8%, more than the typical gain per stock market year. US will have a harder and harder time existing on trillions of debt and even Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies can't save the monster of debt US is lugging around behind its warguns.
For myself, I'd rather sell resistance, and buy major support.
Ask yourself, too: what is a bit of coin? What is a bit of money to you? A bit of coin to Bank of America is $10 for quarters. That is the maximum amount of coin they will give you.
Now think about a billionaire's motive: what is a bit of coin to him? This man has never had to live paycheck to paycheck, does not know the real value of money. To a billionaire, a bit of coin is $100,000. To a multi-millionaire, they often spend $50,000/month on housing and other expenses. At least, that's what I've seen with my own eyes, with real people millionaires.
If Bitcoin continues to go up, its ultimate DARK SIDE comes out. It will have the capacity to inflate all assets. In my city, food prices have doubled in many restaurants since BTC reached 60k. Apartment prices have gone up at least 10%. Many people want higher Bitcoin, but it may destroy USA. USA is known for little inflation and fair prices to be united. You have to be a citizen first, and Gordon Gecko of greed second.
Reminder: Always do your own analysis.
RIOT - Bullish flag pattern on 4 hrBullish flag pattern on 4 hr chart. With BTC and ETH up 1 -2 % over the weekend, look for Crypto stocks to get a little pump on monday. Open interest for Aug 20 expiry - 3100 $35 Aug 20 calls, 4600 $40 calls. MARA MSTR BTBT are other bitcoin related names to watch.
BTC MARA StraddleWe have a three day weekend coming up since the markets will be closed on 05 Jul. This presents an options trade opportunity because the options and CME futures will be closed for three whole days AND BTC could make a big decision at some point during the weekend.
I plan on entering a trade on Friday, 02 Jul at 2pm EST using options on MARA, a Bitcoin mining stock that is more volatile than Bitcoin itself. I may have a bias for direction and use an unbalanced straddle (ratio other than 1:1 for put-call). I will use options with an expiry of 09 Jul and post the entry here. I will use an options calculator to determine the strikes and ratio for the trade. At the moment, I like optionsprofitcalculator.com despite the 1990's web design.
This straddle will result in a loss if MARA does not move enough over the weekend. "Enough" depends on the put-call ratio and strikes used.
My current bias is down. If I were to enter the trade at this moment, I would use a 3:2 put-call ratio, which results in higher returns on downward price movements. My bias could change between now and then. I may be neutral and just bet on volatility with an even 1:1 put-call ratio.
Bitcoin to 100K? Reversals happen when everyone least expects it. I keep hearing "back to 20k", "bull run is over", "bulltrap".. well, crypto charts truly are harder to predict nowadays.. but something about this generation makes me believe this crypto run isn't over just yet. Times change and chart analysis changes with it. History does not always repeat itself so let this bull run continue!
RIOT could roll up past All time High by End Of YearRIOT could roll up past All time High by End Of Year
Not Financial advice just a computer drawing - I should be painting right now.
If the story on these miners can turn to green energy and efficient tech the stock price will rise just on the speculation of a new good idea.
RIOT Swing Trade 5/27/2021Look at day chart and week chart, consolidation on the 200 SMA for the day chart and major break out above 9 SMA. Bearish doji and morning star on week chart, also a break in the 27.50 resistance. Price is going to be heavily based on the price of BTC. BTC broke 9 SMA on the daily and nearing break on the 200 SMA, with a MACD flip and a RSI coming back from 30. Double bottom on BTC with higher lows, broke 40k resistance. Great trade! This is not financial advice, I am not advocating the buying or selling of RIOT stock.
$MARA looks like we have more down possibleUsing ichimoku, and the fact of the recent BTCUSD downward movement, we have more room to go down, and looks like we could probably touch $14 range before something happens. Volatility is always a big deal with MARA, and though I have a long position in MARA, I won't do anything until it touches $14 area and confirms a bounce back. This is just my own analysis and in no way financial advise. Short term short, before highlighted is met.
Will MARA be a buy at $13-14? I've been watching RIOT and MARA fall epically down the last month from their amazing highs.
We've had a small bounce on Friday after a series of lower lows, but with BTC continuing its descent to 48k, MARA will most likely continue to slide in May as well, unless something major changes.
I'm planning for a buy-in around $13-14, where there is some support.
Otherwise, shorter term, there may be a small rally this week as it's currently oversold, to the Fibonacci 50% level of $25.43
Ideally, one could buy MARA around $5, and hold til $15 or so. I'm not sure if that low is in the cards this year. Bitcoin would have to fall much further I would think. We shall see.
SPY has also been hitting some bear signals, and we've seen it fall in the last two weeks as well.