Marathon Digital: Strong!We expect the MARA price to continue to rally during the blue wave (x). Only when the high is placed a little closer to the resistance at $31.30 should there be a sell-off into our magenta Target Zone (between $16.35 and $9.86), which completes the same-colored wave (ii) correction. Within this range, investors can open long positions, whereby stops could be placed around 1% below the lower edge. Once the low is set, the price should rise above the resistance at $31.30. Only our 33% probable alternative scenario calls for a more bearish development: it still places the stock in the green wave alt. (2)
MARATHON
MARA Potential Bounce Off Bullish Ascending Triangle MARA has tested the lower bounds of the ascending triangle before, so a bounce next week has potential. If one occurs a test of the upward bound of the triangle is likely, with a breakout also in speculation as the upward bound has been tested many times already. But, if a bounce occurs and then immediately retraces and breaks through the lower bound, I think MARA will continue on the downtrend.
Marathon Digital (MARA) Bucks Production Dip with 23% SurgeMarathon Digital Holdings Inc ( NASDAQ:MARA ) has defied expectations with a remarkable 23% surge in its stock value, despite a notable 42% decline in Bitcoin production for the month of January. The company's resilience in the face of adversity has captured the attention of investors, highlighting the enduring allure of the cryptocurrency market.
The surge in Marathon's ( NASDAQ:MARA ) shares comes as Bitcoin, the bellwether of the digital asset space, inches closer to the $47,000 mark. This upward trajectory has catalyzed a broader rally in U.S. stock market crypto-related companies, underlining the symbiotic relationship between Bitcoin's price movements and the performance of associated entities.
January's production figures for Marathon tell a tale of challenges and perseverance. Despite encountering weather-related disruptions and equipment failures leading to site outages, the company managed to mine 1,084 BTC. While this represents a substantial decline from December 2023 figures, the market's response underscores investor confidence in Marathon's ability to navigate adversity and capitalize on favorable market conditions.
The positive momentum observed in Marathon's stock is reflective of broader trends within the crypto industry. Canaan Technology ( NASDAQ:CAN ), Bitdeer (BTDR), Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ), and MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) have all witnessed significant gains, buoyed by Bitcoin's ascent. This collective surge underscores the growing mainstream acceptance and adoption of digital assets as viable investment vehicles.
Notably, the enthusiasm surrounding Bitcoin's price surge has been further bolstered by substantial trading volumes observed in spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), exceeding $1 billion. Institutions such as BlackRock and Fidelity have emerged as key players in this arena, signaling a maturing market ecosystem and institutional confidence in the long-term viability of cryptocurrencies.
Moreover, comments from Federal Reserve officials hinting at potential rate cuts later in the year have added fuel to the market's bullish sentiment. The prospect of looser monetary policy has enhanced the attractiveness of cryptocurrencies as a hedge against inflationary pressures, further driving investor interest in the digital asset space.
In conclusion, Marathon Digital's ( NASDAQ:MARA ) resilience in the face of production challenges serves as a testament to the dynamism of the cryptocurrency market. Against a backdrop of macroeconomic uncertainties and operational hurdles, the company's ability to capitalize on Bitcoin's rally underscores the enduring appeal of digital assets as a lucrative investment avenue. As the landscape continues to evolve, Marathon's ( NASDAQ:MARA ) trajectory serves as a compelling case study in adaptability and opportunity within the burgeoning crypto ecosystem.
Marathon Digital Mining Stock Head and Shoulders pattern
Simple Head and Shoulder pattern playing out before the BTC halving. Prior to last ATH for MARA there was a Head and Shoulders that played into the ATH. You can see around $20 MARA would break the neckline and then there is a bit of resistance before hitting ATH.
MARA heading to $20NASDAQ:MARA is in a steady uptrend and the price is sitting above the 200 and 50 moving averages. With the ~300% spike in Bitcoin transaction fees due to the BRC20 tokens many of the miners should do really well in May and possibly the next few months. Looking for the price to hit $15 and then head to $20 range where the next area of resistance is.
$MARA next move = higher $10-12Even though the chart looks like it's forming a H&S top, I think the next move is likely to be higher before we see a breakdown.
I could see $MARA bouncing somewhere between here and $6.80-6.60, then putting in one more move higher to the two resistances above.
Let's see if it plays out this week.
Marathon Digital is the futuretotally kidding but thats besides the point, all these blockchain companies should have some support lower once btc finally turns around so they can show profits again, most of them are mining behind the scenes so once they lose all this value therye a decent punt depending on how you look at things. would keep an eye out and start accumulating this sub $1, good lukc traders
"Cryptocurrency Turmoil: The Ups and Downs of Coinbase and Other"Cryptocurrency Turmoil: The Ups and Downs of Coinbase and Other Digital Asset Companies"
Coinbase is a company that helps people buy and sell digital coins called cryptocurrencies. It became a public company in April 2021 and was worth a lot of money at the time. But lately, the value of cryptocurrencies has been changing a lot and it's made it hard for Coinbase to make as much money as it used to. Another company that helps people trade cryptocurrencies, called FTX, had to close down because it was having financial problems. This made people worried about investing in cryptocurrencies and caused the value to go up and down more than usual. Some people try to make money by betting that the value of a company's stock will go down, and they're called short sellers. They've been trying to make money by betting that Coinbase's stock will go down, and they've had some success because the stock has gone down a lot this year. Other companies that are related to cryptocurrencies have also seen their stock go down and have had more short sellers trying to make money off of them. There is a tool that helps people see how much demand there is for borrowing a company's stock to sell it, and it's called "utilization." Utilization for Coinbase has gone up recently because more people are trying to borrow its stock to sell it. Short sellers have to pay a fee to borrow the stock, and this fee has gone up a lot for Coinbase recently. There are also other companies, like MicroStrategy and Marathon Digital Holdings, that have seen their stock go down and have had more short sellers trying to make money off of them. The fees to borrow their stock have also gone up.
Graphic and fundamental analysis of Marathon (MARA)1. Graphical Analysis
Since the all-time high, the price has dropped 99% on March 16, 2020 in the pandemic crisis.
It then rose 23000% reaching the peak on November 15, 2021, exactly one year ago.
However, it was insufficient to recover the historic maximum.
It is now in a definition region.
It needs to break the psychological resistance of $10 and after $20 to re-up in a macro trend.
2. Fundamental Analysis
2.1. Earns per Share
"EPS stands for earnings per share. Investors use EPS to measure how much money a company makes for every outstanding share the company has. Diluted EPS is slightly different in that it measures the earnings per share for a company if all convertible securities (such as preferred stocks, convertible debt instruments, stock options and warrants) were used to calculate the metric.
Diluted earnings per share provides a picture of the true shareholder base and how the company's earnings are distributed. Diluted EPS is an important metric for shareholders because it determines the profit shareholders will receive in a scenario that includes all securities from preferred stocks to stock options and warrants."
The fundamental indicator remains stable below zero, only reiterating the absence of profit most of the time.
2.2. Net Income
"Net Income shows how much money a company earns after expenses. Net Income represents the amount of money a company earns after all operating expenses, interest, taxes and dividends on preferred shares have been paid for. If Net Income is negative, it means that a company spent more money than it earned In other words, they lost money.
Net income shows investors if a company is profitable or not. When a company can earn more money than it spends, it’s net income is positive. These profits can potentially be distributed to shareholders through dividends, buybacks, or investment back into the company. However, it's important to remember that companies use different methods to determine Net Income depending on their location and earnings report."
The good news is that the damage is reduced.
2.3. Net Debt
"Net Debt represents the amount of debt that would remain after a company had paid off as much debt as possible with its liquid assets. This financial metric shows how well the company can handle its current obligations and if it has the ability to take on more debt in the future.
Net Debt can be calculated as Total Debt minus Cash & Short Term Investments".
The remaining debt got worse.
2.4. Free Cash Flow
"Free Cash Flow (FCF) represents the cash that a company generates as a result of its activities, excluding on expenses assets. Free Cash Flow is sometimes considered the hardest financial metric to fake because of its calculation and for that reason, it's a popular financial metric in the investor community.
Free Cash Flow signals a company's ability to pay debts and dividends, repurchase shares and contribute to business growth."
The value fluctuated from 20 million to 2 million, but at least it remains positive.
2.5. Total Equity
"Total Equity is what's left after subtracting total liabilities from total assets. It represents the amount that belongs to the joint-stock company. It includes Shareholders' Equity and Minority Interest.
Total Equity is important because it represents the value of the investor's share in the securities or company. Investors who own shares in a company are usually interested in the equity of the company represented by their shares."
The value did not undergo a small downward swing.
2.6. P/E Ratio
"The Price to earnings ratio measures the market price of a stock relative to its earnings per share. This metric shows how much profits are willing to pay for the company the company generates.
A high price to earnings ratio and a low price to earnings ratio can mean different things. Some investors believe that a high price to earnings ratio means a company is becoming expensive and possibly overvalued. A low price to earnings ratio may mean that a company is undervalued or cheap. Of course, this is not always true as sometimes a company has a high price to earnings ratio because it is growing fast and expected to grow into its high price to earnings ratio."
The value did not suffer major fluctuations. It remains stable below zero, reflecting the absence of profit.
2.7. P/CF Ratio
"Price to operating cash flow is the ratio of the share price to operating cash flow. Essentially, Price to operating cash flow measures how much money a company generates relative to its share price.
Price to cash flow is considered to be a more indicative investment measurement metric than Price to earnings per share because cash flows cannot be manipulated as easily as incomes. Some companies seem unprofitable due to large non-cash expenses, even if they have positive cash flows."
The value has remained relatively stable and positive since March 2021.
Marathon Reaches IntermissionWith an overlapping wave structure since its inception, Marathon has seemingly finished Wave 3 of its apparent diagonal wave. With Wave 3 being longer than Wave 1, it should also be expected for Wave 4 to be longer in price length than Wave 2. This makes it very probable for share price to see a 50% shave over the next couple-few years. A drop below the yellow line is nearly mandated currently (unless a new all-time high is secured). Holders should look for the most suitable exit in order to avoid more losses than necessary.
(Wave analysis has been redacted from this marking however, wave-by-wave analysis will be tracked via link in bio).
Blockchain Companies: Expectation vs RealityCryptocurrency bubble?
When analyzing the financial data of companies in the blockchain/cryptoassets area, more specifically the EPS (Earnings per Share), we can see a huge discrepancy between expectation and reality.
It should be noted that some of these companies have never made a profit during their entire existence, and have negative cash flow.
The question is: to what extent has the market already priced in these negative results?
Would there be more room to fall?
Below is the concept of EPS, and shortly after a snapshot of the current EPS versus expected EPS, from the main companies in the cryptocurrency and blockchain area.
I'm not optimistic about this data, unless there's something that only I didn't see.
What is basic EPS?
Earnings per Share is the amount of earnings per share of issued, ordinary shares. When companies report financial results, earnings per share is one of the most commonly measured metrics.
(TradingView)
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Companies analyzed:
Marathon
Riot Blockchain
Hut 8 Mining
Coinbase
Bitfarms
BitNile
CleanSpark
Core Scientific
Argo Blockchain
Canaan
Hive Blockchain
Digital Bit
Galaxy Digital
BIT Mining
Valour
Ebang
Greenidge
Iren
The Blockchain Group
TeraWulf
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ETFs analyzed:
Proshares Bitcoin Strategy
Grayscale Ethereum Trust
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust