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The FVG above isn’t the target. It’s the bait.This is a classic Smart Money sequence. Most are watching the imbalance at 106.5k–108.7k and expecting immediate delivery. But that’s not how this game works. The setup: Price broke down violently, then reversed with momentum — stopping right beneath the daily FVG block. That alone tells me it’s not ready. It’s gathering. Below? Multiple fib levels that haven’t been tested — 104.4k (0.236), 102.6k (0.0), and a volume-backed rejection wick that still holds weight. The market is likely to dip again — pull into deeper discount, reset the low timeframe narrative — and only then attack the FVG and upper sweep zones. What I expect: Sweep of 102.6k (final liquidity run) Reaction → reclaim 104.4k Push into the FVG toward 106.5k (0.5) and possibly 107.4k (0.618) No emotional reaction to the red candles — this is structure playing out, not weakness unfolding. Plan: Ideal Entry: 102.8k–103.2k range SL: Below 102.6k TP1: 105.6k TP2: 107.4k Final: 108.7k clean inefficiency fill Let it dip. Let it breathe. That’s where conviction is built. Final thought: “The real move starts when they convince you it’s done.”
by SmartFlowst
Everyone saw the drop. I saw the gapPrice nuked — but it didn’t break structure. It filled imbalance, paused, and now it's reloading beneath a stack of untouched FVGs. This isn't capitulation. It's orchestration. The setup: We’ve got layered 60-minute FVGs stacked from 0.61 to 0.66. That’s the destination — not the mystery. What matters is the origin. The rejection block around 0.58–0.59 has held clean, and we now have two bullish rejection wicks off that base. Volume surged during the sweep — and fell on the retrace. That’s not distribution. That’s Smart Money filling. Two entries — one outcome: Entry 1: Tap into the red demand zone, wick the 0.58–0.579 region Entry 2: Break and retest above minor FVG (0.60 reclaim confirmation) Either way, the draw is the inefficiency stack above. Execution Map: Long from 0.579–0.583 SL: Below the base at 0.574 TP1: 0.615 (lower FVG) TP2: 0.645 (full sweep) Final: 0.660 liquidity run Don’t fear the compression. That’s where the trap is set. Final thought: “Most traders fear price going sideways. I see it as silence before the algorithm speaks.”
by SmartFlowst
When the range compresses, the breakout doesn’t ask — it takesThis isn’t a chop. It’s a setup. AVAX just printed the kind of consolidation Smart Money wants to see before delivery. The setup: After the impulsive drop, price carved out a micro-range with well-defined boundaries — compression structure nested inside inefficiency. The FVG above (marked in purple) hasn’t been mitigated, and price is now pressing upward into that void with rising volume. But that’s not where the trade is. The real trade is in the retracement. I’m watching for one of two entries: Either we drive into the FVG first, then sweep back into the range floor to trap late longs Or we sweep range low one more time, then rip straight into the imbalance Either way, the invalidation is clean — below the swing low, under 18.66. Execution plan: Entry: 18.70–18.90 zone (post-sweep or reaction) TP1: 19.80 fill (FVG midpoint) TP2: 20.54 clean inefficiency clearance Nothing about this is forced. Price is telling the story. I’m just listening. Final thought: “The range isn’t random. It’s the disguise Smart Money uses before they move size.”
by SmartFlowst
This isn’t a dump. It’s a delivery systemBNB sold off fast — but not irrationally. Look closer, and you’ll see the system at work: rejection from inefficiency, compression, and now a retest of where the last real buyers were found. The structure: Price swept short-term demand and wicked below local range lows with a high-volume rejection. That low was engineered — not failed. Above us? A neatly layered series of 60-minute FVGs from 646.5 to 652.0. Every candle into that zone is a test. But the true objective is to reload short once that imbalance is filled. Playbook: We’re in a reactive zone now. Here’s what I’m watching: Price pushes into the FVG cluster (646–650) Volume dries → rejection wick → return to discounted re-entry Aggressive scalpers might long the bounce into the FVG, but the higher-probability play is fading the inefficiency once it’s filled. Execution: Scalp long (optional): 643.5 → TP into 648–650 Main setup: short entry from 647.4–650.5 SL above 652.2 TP1: 640.5 TP2: 634.8 Final draw: 630.0 if structure accelerates Patience is what separates the move from the moment. Final thought: “This move didn’t break structure. It exposed the next one.”
by SmartFlowst
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 13, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 13, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🚨 Israel Strikes Iran — U.S. Markets Sell Off Israel launched airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear and military facilities, triggering a sharp risk-off move in global markets. U.S. stock futures slid over 1%, driven by a drop in equities and a surge in safe-haven assets 🛢️ Oil Prices Surge 7–8% on Supply Fears Brent crude jumped over 7%, reaching ~$74.65/barrel, while WTI rose nearly 8%—the strongest move since early May. The sudden energy-price spike reflects heightened fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East 💱 Dollar & Safe Havens Climb True to form, the U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, gold, and Treasuries rallied as investors moved to the safety of low-risk assets amid escalating geopolitical uncertainty 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 13 (No scheduled U.S. economic data) Data flow will take a backseat as markets digest geopolitical developments and await the weekend. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #geopolitics #oil #safety #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 12, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 12, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 💱 Dollar Slides on Trade Truce Hopes & Fed Outlook The U.S. dollar dropped 0.4%—its lowest level since April 22—after President Trump signaled flexibility on a July 8 trade deadline and U.S.–China talks showed renewed progress, boosting expectations for Fed rate cuts 📊 S&P Shiller CAPE Hints at Overvaluation Risk Stocks and bonds rallied following rebound, but valuation metrics flash caution: the S&P 500 now sits in the 94th percentile of Shiller CAPE, and equity risk premium has dropped to zero. Analysts warn these levels often precede corrections 🛢️ Oil Holds at Seven-Week Highs Oil prices remain near seven-week highs (~$66–67/barrel), supported by gradual OPEC+ output increases and hopes that easing trade tensions will aid demand 📈 CPI Cools Again, Bonds Climb U.S. consumer inflation rose just 0.1% in May (2.4% YoY), easing expectations for tighter Fed policy. Consequently, Treasury yields softened and bond markets outperformed equities 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, June 12: 8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (May) An early gauge of inflation at the wholesale level—may reinforce the cooling trend seen in CPI. 8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims Weekly updates on unemployment filings. Key to monitor for labor-market tightening or softening. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This report is for educational and informational purposes only—it does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 11, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 11, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🤝 Cautious Optimism on U.S.–China Trade Progress Markets responded positively to fresh developments in ongoing U.S.–China trade talks, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing ~0.6% higher — the third straight day of gains — on hopes of easing trade barriers 📉 Treasury Yields Climb as Auction Approaches Bond investors grew cautious ahead of a key Treasury debt auction and incoming U.S. inflation data. The 10-year yield stayed elevated, weighing modestly on equities . 💹 Global Markets Showing Resilience Asian and European markets tracked U.S. gains midweek, driven by trade-talk optimism, despite lingering concerns over slower global growth and debt levels . 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, June 11: (No major U.S. releases — focus remains on market reactions to trade talks and Treasury auctions.) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 10, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 10, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📱 Apple Disappoints at WWDC Keynote Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) faced criticism after a lackluster WWDC keynote. Major AI and Siri upgrades were delayed, prompting a 1–1.5% drop in Apple shares—the weakest move during today's presentation 🎮 GameStop to Report Q1, Crypto Pivot in Focus GameStop ( NYSE:GME ) is scheduled to announce Q1 earnings after market close. Investors will be watching for updates on its $500M Bitcoin allocation and potential crypto-related strategies 📈 Small-Business Optimism Rises The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for May came in at 95.9—above the 94.9 consensus—showing modest improvement in sentiment among small firms 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Tuesday, June 10: 6:00 AM ET – NFIB Small Business Optimism (May): A reading above expectations could boost risk market sentiment by showing stronger Main Street confidence. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational/informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
AUDJPY Market Forecast – Level 3 Completion & Potential ResetThis chart illustrates a classic Market Maker 3-Level Rise Pattern: Level 1: Initiated after a consolidation phase, marked by a clear shift in structure. Level 2: Continued bullish expansion with stronger impulsive candles. Level 3: Price reaches an overextended zone with signs of slowing momentum, indicating a potential distribution or retracement phase. Key Forecast: A retracement is expected toward the 93.297 zone, which aligns with: Possible reaccumulating point before continuation This move may serve as a manipulation trap to grab liquidity below recent lows before pushing higher. If price reacts strongly at 93.297 with bullish structure, a long setup targeting new highs (~94.40+) is favored.
Long
by Bunnex_Investment_Group
2
Platinum's Quiet Ascent: What Drives Its New Value?Platinum, often operating in the shadow of gold, has recently experienced a significant surge in value, reaching multi-year highs and capturing considerable investor attention. This resurgence is not arbitrary; it stems from a complex interplay of industrial demand, tightening supply, evolving geopolitical dynamics, and a notable shift in investment sentiment. Understanding these underlying forces becomes crucial for investors seeking to decipher the trajectory of this vital industrial precious metal. A primary catalyst for platinum's price rally is its strong industrial utility, particularly within the automotive sector, where it remains indispensable for catalytic converters. While the rise of battery electric vehicles presents a long-term shift, the robust growth in hybrid vehicle production continues to sustain demand. Critically, the market faces persistent physical deficits, with supply consistently falling short of demand for the past two years, a trend projected to continue into 2025. Mine output struggles due to disruptions in key producing regions, such as South Africa and Zimbabwe, and secondary supply from recycling has proven insufficient to bridge the growing gap. Geopolitics and strategic investment further amplify platinum's upward trajectory. China has emerged as a pivotal market, with a sharp rebound in demand as consumers increasingly favor platinum for both jewelry and investment amidst record gold prices. This strategic pivot by the world's largest consumer market is reshaping global platinum price discovery, supported by China's initiatives to develop new trading ecosystems and futures contracts. Concurrently, renewed investor confidence is evident in growing inflows into platinum Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and robust physical buying, with anticipated lower borrowing costs also enhancing its appeal. In essence, platinum's current rally reflects a powerful combination of tightening supply and resilient industrial demand, underscored by strategic shifts in major consumer markets and renewed investor interest. As above-ground stocks gradually deplete and the market anticipates continued deficits, platinum is poised for a sustained period of relevance, offering compelling prospects for those who recognize its multifaceted value proposition.
FX_IDC:XPTUSDLong
by UDIS_View
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 9–13, 2025 🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 9–13, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📱 Apple WWDC & Tech Momentum Apple’s annual Worldwide Developers Conference kicks off Monday with CEO Tim Cook set to discuss new products, services, and likely AI initiatives—tracks should watch include impacts on NASDAQ:AAPL and AI-related stocks 🧨 GameStop Eyed for Crypto Pivot GameStop (a meme-stock darling) reports earnings Tuesday. Markets are watching for updates on its $500M bitcoin investment and potential pivot toward crypto-driven revenue streams 🇨🇳 U.S.–China Trade Talks in London High-level trade dialogue begins Monday between U.S. and Chinese representatives in London, offering possible relief to trade tensions and providing a lift to risk assets 📉 Key Inflation Data Midweek Wednesday brings the May CPI release—crucial for assessing tariff-driven inflation trends and likely to influence Fed policy outlook ahead of next month’s meeting 💹 Oil Markets React to Trade Uncertainty Oil prices are stable to slightly up ahead of trade talks, as Brent holds around $66/barrel—reflecting balanced supply concerns and hopes for easing global tensions 🌐 G7 Summit and Global Policy Risks G7 finance ministers convene in Canada (50th anniversary), tackling trade strains, Russia–Ukraine, and inflation. Global macrospoilers could trigger renewed volatility 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Monday, June 9 Apple WWDC begins (CEO keynote) U.S.–China trade talks start in London 📅 Tuesday, June 10 GameStop Q2 earnings (+ bitcoin update) NFIB Small Business Index (6:00 AM ET) 📅 Wednesday, June 11 8:30 AM ET – Consumer Price Index (May) Watch for inflation signal from tariffs. 8:30 AM ET – Core CPI (May) Core inflation trend under scrutiny. 📅 Thursday, June 12 8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (May) Early check on wholesale inflation 8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims 📅 Friday, June 13 10:00 AM ET – University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (June, preliminary) Consumer mood and tariff impact insights ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for informational/educational purposes only. Not financial advice. See a licensed advisor before making investing decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 6, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 6, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 U.S. Labor Market in Focus Investors are closely watching the upcoming May employment report, which is expected to show a gain of 125,000 jobs, down from 177,000 in April. The unemployment rate is anticipated to remain steady at 4.2%. These figures will provide insights into the labor market's response to recent economic pressures, including tariff impacts . 🇮🇳 RBI Expected to Cut Rates Amid Low Inflation The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is anticipated to announce a 25 basis point cut in the repo rate on June 6, marking the third consecutive reduction. This move aims to support economic growth amid persistent low inflation and global uncertainties . 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 6: 8:30 AM ET – U.S. Employment Report (May): Analysts expect non-farm payrolls to increase by 125,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.2%. Average hourly earnings are projected to rise by 0.3% month-over-month. These figures will be critical in assessing the health of the labor market and potential Federal Reserve policy actions . 3:00 PM ET – U.S. Consumer Credit (April): The Federal Reserve will release data on consumer credit, with forecasts predicting an increase of $10 billion. This report will shed light on consumer borrowing trends and financial health . ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Hedge funds are unusually bearish and here's why...We have a huge dealing range to short into and still remain bullish, it's basically free money on technical retracement/correction while not ruining the market. The retailers have been buying since April but there is no institutional orderflow evidenced by no peak above average volume levels. Technicals will reign supreme here. Trump is either trolling about the rate decrease or he has no idea about chart technicals 😮‍💨. I bet he's trolling, as he has cabinets on cabinets of market advisors who know fully how correction cycles work.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by HollywooodTrades
2
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 5, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 5, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 JOLTS Job Openings Surprise to Upside U.S. job openings unexpectedly rose to 7.39 million in April—well above forecasts—indicating that labor demand remains robust despite macro headwinds and trade-policy uncertainty 🛢️ OPEC+ Greenlights July Supply Increase OPEC+ agreed to boost production by 411 K barrels per day starting in July, adding downward pressure to oil prices and weighing on energy equities 📈 Fed’s John Williams Signals Patience New York Fed President John Williams reiterated that the Fed sees no urgency to cut rates, citing mixed inflation signals and a balanced labor market—keeping investors cautious on rate-cut timing 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, June 5: 8:30 AM ET – JOLTS Job Openings (April) Measures total U.S. job vacancies, a leading indicator of labor-market strength. 10:00 AM ET – OPEC+ Press Conference (Post-Meeting) Details on production quotas for July, guiding energy market supply expectations. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 4, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 4, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🌐 Markets Rally on Chinese PMI Surprise China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly climbed to 50.8 in May, signaling expansion in smaller export-focused factories. Asian markets jumped, lifting U.S. equity futures as investors recalibrated global growth expectations . 📉 U.S. Factory Orders Remain Soft April’s U.S. Factory Orders fell 0.4%, underscoring persistent weakness in industrial demand amid elevated input costs and trade uncertainty. Declines in durable-goods orders weighed on industrial stocks . 🏦 Fed’s Bowman to Speak on Economic Outlook Fed Governor Michelle Bowman is scheduled to deliver remarks at 2:00 PM ET, likely emphasizing caution on future rate moves given mixed data. Markets will watch for any shifts in tone regarding inflation risks and labor-market resilience . 🛢️ Oil Prices Slip on Rising U.S. Inventories U.S. crude inventories rose by 3.8 million barrels last week, according to API data, pressuring oil prices lower and dragging energy shares down as supply concerns outweighed strong demand signals . 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, June 4: 2:00 PM ET – Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Speaks Remarks on economic outlook and monetary policy, watched for any hints on the Fed’s next moves. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Is C3.ai the Quiet Giant of Enterprise AI?C3.ai (AI), an enterprise artificial intelligence software provider, has operated somewhat under the radar despite its foundational role in delivering advanced AI solutions to large organizations. While the broader AI market has seen significant attention on hardware innovators, C3.ai has steadily scaled its platform usage and secured marquee contracts. The company's core strength lies in its sophisticated, patented C3 Agentic AI platform, developed through a multi-billion-dollar investment, which effectively tackles critical business challenges such as AI hallucinations, data security, and multi-format data integration. A pivotal development underscoring C3.ai's growing influence is the expanded contract with the U.S. Air Force Rapid Sustainment Office (RSO). This agreement significantly increased its ceiling to $450 million through 2029, supporting the widespread deployment of C3.ai's PANDA predictive maintenance platform across the Air Force fleet. This substantial commitment not only provides a robust, long-term revenue stream but also serves as a powerful validation of C3.ai's technology at an unprecedented scale, potentially representing the largest production AI deployment within the U.S. Department of Defense. Financially, C3.ai demonstrates compelling momentum. The company recently reported record Q4 earnings, with revenue reaching $108.7 million, a 26% year-over-year increase, driven by strong growth in both subscription and engineering services. Strategic alliances with industry giants like Baker Hughes, Microsoft Azure, and Amazon Web Services continue to accelerate new deal flow and expand market access, shortening sales cycles and enhancing overall reach. While profitability remains a near-term focus, C3.ai's solid liquidity and projected revenue growth of 15%-25% for fiscal 2026, coupled with an average analyst price target suggesting significant upside, position it for a compelling ascent in the enterprise AI landscape.
NYSE:AILong
by UDIS_View
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 3, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 3, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏭 U.S. Manufacturing Slump Persists U.S. manufacturing contracted for the third consecutive month in May, with new orders, backlogs, production, and employment all declining. Trade-war disruptions and elevated input costs continue to squeeze factory margins, setting the stage for today’s ISM Manufacturing PMI release 🌐 Global Trade Tensions Weigh on Stocks Renewed U.S.–China tariff threats sent the S&P 500 lower overnight, as investors fear higher costs for exporters and slower global growth. Futures pointed to another rough open for $SPY/ SP:SPX 📈 China Caixin PMI Exceeds Expectations China’s May Caixin Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose to 50.8, signaling stabilization in export-oriented factories despite ongoing trade uncertainty. That positive surprise may offer some support to Asian equities today 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, June 3: 8:30 AM ET – ISM Manufacturing PMI (May) Measures U.S. factory-sector health; readings below 50 indicate contraction. Today’s survey will confirm if the May downturn persists. 10:00 AM ET – Construction Spending (April) Tracks monthly change in total construction outlays—an important gauge of housing and infrastructure investment trends. 1:00 PM ET – 10-Year Treasury Note Auction Benchmark auction that influences the yield curve. Weak demand or higher yields here can pressure equities, especially growth-oriented sectors. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
XAUUSD 8H: This isn’t balance — it’s broadening distributionAt first glance, it may seem like gold is consolidating. In reality, price is unfolding inside a broadening formation — a structure where highs stretch higher, lows drop deeper, and real direction vanishes behind controlled volatility. This isn’t random noise. It’s Smart Money engineering a distribution phase under the cover of market indecision. And right now, the direction is forming clearly — downward. The key moment was the failed breakout above 3357 on May 24. Volume spiked 19% above average, but the candle body collapsed. That’s a textbook deviation — a classic liquidity grab. The next candle confirmed the failure by closing back below the level, and no bullish recovery followed. Instead, price printed a lower high around 3305–3315, failing to retest the top. And when price can’t go higher — it usually goes lower. Confirmation comes from the Anchored VWAP from May 13, which was broken cleanly and never retested. That’s a major shift in control — from buyer to seller. Now price trades below VWAP, with every bullish candle fading and every bearish reaction gaining strength. This is not trend continuation. This is exhaustion. Volume profile shows the Point of Control between 3297 and 3301 — and price sits well below it. The bulk of liquidity is now overhead. That zone between 3305–3315 is where Smart Money already sold once — and if price returns there, it becomes an ideal re-entry short zone, especially if followed by rejection candles or low-volume pushups. Targets are clean: → 3228 — first liquidity shelf. → 3164 — former impulse base. → 3084 — if breakdown accelerates. Everything lines up: deviation, failed breakout, VWAP lost, volume fading, lower highs forming. This isn’t a pause. This is a phase transition — and the market already voted.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 2–6, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 2–6, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏭 U.S. Manufacturing Slump Ahead of June PMI Markets are bracing for Tuesday’s ISM Manufacturing PMI (June 3), with economists forecasting a reading below 50.0, signaling continued factory contraction amid slowing global demand and lingering tariff uncertainty. 🛢️ OPEC+ Meeting to Determine Output Path On Thursday, OPEC+ convenes to decide production levels for July. Expectations center on a modest output cut extension to support prices, with Brent crude trading near $65/bbl ahead of the decision. 💻 Tech Stocks Eye Semiconductor Legislation Investors are monitoring Congress’s debate over the Chips Act extension. Senate committee hearings this week could accelerate funding for U.S. chip manufacturing—an upside catalyst for NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , and $MU. 🌐 China’s Caixin PMI Signals Pivot China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI (June 6) is expected to edge above 50.0, indicating a stabilization in smaller export-focused factories. A better-than-expected print could lift global risk sentiment. 🏢 Fed Officials Remain Dovish Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and New York Fed President John Williams speak this week, reiterating that rate hikes are “on pause.” Their remarks should clarify the Fed’s view on inflation cooling and potential rate cuts late 2025. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Monday, June 2: 10:00 AM ET: Factory Orders (April) Tracks dollar volume of new orders for manufactured goods—an early gauge of industrial demand. 📅 Tuesday, June 3: 8:30 AM ET: ISM Manufacturing PMI (May) Measures U.S. factory-sector health. A reading below 50 indicates contraction. 10:00 AM ET: Construction Spending (April) Reports monthly change in total construction outlays—key for housing and infrastructure trends. 1:00 PM ET: 10-Year Treasury Note Auction Benchmark auction that can shift yield curve and influence $SPY/ SP:SPX positioning. 📅 Wednesday, June 4: 10:00 AM ET: Factory Orders (April) Dollar volume of new orders for manufactured goods. (Repeat for emphasis on industrial slowdown.) 2:00 PM ET: Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Speaks Comments on inflation and monetary policy outlook. 📅 Thursday, June 5: 8:30 AM ET: JOLTS Job Openings (April) Tracks number of unfilled positions—a barometer of labor-market tightness. 10:00 AM ET: OPEC+ Press Conference (Post-Meeting) Details on production quotas—critical for energy-sector flow. 📅 Friday, June 6: 8:30 AM ET: Nonfarm Payrolls (May) Monthly change in U.S. employment—core for Fed policy outlook. 8:30 AM ET: Unemployment Rate (May) Percentage of labor force unemployed—key gauge of labor-market health. 8:30 AM ET: Average Hourly Earnings (May) Tracks wage trends—important for consumer spending and inflation. 10:00 AM ET: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (May, preliminary) Measures health of China’s smaller export-oriented factories. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 30, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 30, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🤝 Debt-Ceiling Deal Advances The U.S. House passed a bipartisan framework extending the federal borrowing limit through September, easing immediate default fears and lifting risk assets. 📉 Bond Yields Retreat After surging above 4.6% earlier this week, the 10-year Treasury yield dipped back toward 4.5%, helping equities recover from recent rate-driven pullbacks. ⛽ Oil Inventories Jump API data showed a 5.2 million-barrel build in U.S. crude stocks last week, sending oil prices lower and weighing on energy sector names. 🚗 Tesla Price Cut Spurs EV Rally Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) cut Model 3 prices by 3% in the U.S., igniting a broader EV stock rally as investors priced in renewed demand ahead of summer driving season. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, May 30: 8:30 AM ET: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for April Measures core inflation trends—Fed’s preferred gauge of consumer-price pressures. 10:00 AM ET: Pending Home Sales for April Tracks signed contracts on existing homes; a leading indicator for the housing market. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao