Bitcoin, Expected Price-Recognition, Next Level Going To Proof!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update-analysis about bitcoin price-action and what we can expect further, currently the price bounced at the main lower range support exactly as predicted in my previous analysis, it shows one more time that technical analysis is a science that can work well when applied right. In the prior two analyses about bitcoins price-action in the locally 4-hour time-frame, I exactly forecasted the price-action we have seen now, as I mentioned we need to take out the resistance at 8800 before it is in the possible spectrum that we can go and test the falling red trend-line. Furthermore, there was the pull-back from the trend-line awaited which happened now, and as awaited we bounced from the lower range support now. If you did not see this analysis, I highly recommend that you watch them to have a full-depth-overview.
Forecast Break Of Resistance And Test Of Falling:
Pulling Back Awaited:
At the moment we are still trading below the important falling red trend-line which I already mentioned and is significant in the current structure. The price is building a small consolidation here between the falling red trend-line and the 50-EMA you can see in orange at my chart, this overall smaller consolidation can be mentioned as a triangle which will break to the up or downside, the overall fact that bitcoin is still in an up-trend here makes it clearer that the possibility is higher that we will break to the upside because we have good a good support-level at the 50-EMA and the lower range support you can see in my chart overall this has to be confirmed with a clear break of the falling red trend-line when this does happen we can await the price to test the higher resistance level at 9950 as you can see it in my chart.
When we look at the structure as it is we can examine that bitcoin is building a smaller consolidational range within the bigger consolidational range here. In fact, these ranges are known that they will either break to the up or downside, at the moment I see a higher possibility for a break to the upside because the price is sticking in the range here but it can also turn to the downside because the 10.000 USD is such a significantly important level for bitcoin that it is possible that we will see a third pull-back to the downside similarly as we saw it in the past months at the 10.000 USD, therefore, it is important that we hold the overall range here to form a possible break to the upside with targets ahead. Remember that this scenario has to be confirmed as always the possibility for the proper direction increases with the confirmation.
I know many people have a too high speculative approach in the markets and want to trade setups or predict the market of information which is basically not given at the proper moment, this is the biggest mistake a wise trader can do because it cant be the bottom line to trade what one thinks not what is confirmed based on the price action. Therefore we should always adapt to what the market gives us and the changing circumstances that mean to trade the highest possible scenarios and not trade a setup which will 100% fullfill for sure because that is factly impossible, all market situations are based on possibilities with higher or lower grade and we must increase to the higher grade to make the survival in markets possible in this case we need to adapt and be prepared for possible counter-scenarios and take appropriate action when they happen.
In this manner thanks for watching, support for more insights, and good rest of the weekend everybody!
The past, like the future, is indefinite and exists only as a spectrum of possibilities.
Information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Market
Litecoin, Close To Strong Support-Level, Here Are Next Steps!Hello, Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis about the current formation and price action forming in litecoin, there are some significant signs I detected on the daily time-frame. At the moment litecoin is whether confirmed bullish nor confirmed bearish this is why we are still in an indecisive-phase here and the next time will show how litecoin will proceed but litecoin has some good support levels below which can indicate a reversal to the upside when these levels confirm properly otherwise it can still fail and fall to the downside when confirmed below the major support in the structure.
What we need to keep in mind in the actual situation is that litecoin is still trading below the predominant EMAs you can see in my chart marked in blue with the 20 and 50-EMA already don't cross bearish or bullish this is why the current structure has to be confirmed in the proper direction as you can see it in the past months we had this EMA-confirmation litecoin confirmed either bearish or bullish, this signal is can come the next time when litecoin decides to take the upright direction before we do not see this EMA-confirmation-crossover litecoin is still in an inconclusive market.
When considering the bullish scenario we have an important support-level which is the key 61.8 % Fibonacci-support, it is marked in grey in my chart, when we touch this level it is within the high likelihood spectrum that we will get a bounce there because that level at 37.6 also matches with other support/resistance price levels litecoin formed in the past. It is a main task for litecoin to hold that level when bounced there otherwise when we fall below it there is a probability given that litecoin continues bearish to the downside because when the 37 level is crossed down there will be much berarish pressure below that level.
The next time we can expect that litecoin will test the 61.8% Fibonacci-support when it succeeds and forms support there we can contemplate more upside for litecoin and at least testing the higher levels in the overall structure, in this scenario it is also important that we take out the falling grey trend-line you can see in my chart. After that there are the 50 and 58 levels remaining to test for litecoin in the structure. To confirm bullish here we need to see at least the bullish EMA-confirmation because that was a high successful indicator for litecoin in the past it can confirm the further uptrend here.
Recall that it is highly important for litecoin to hold the 61.8% Fibonacci-support here otherwise when crossed to the downside the whole picture turns more to the bearish side. In the current situation, litecoin has to decide if it is strong enough to hold the proper support, therefore, it is important to wait and see how it develops which wise traders should almost always do. With opening a long-position it is important to wait on the confirmation before placing it which is the best idea in such a structure, we cant trade what we think we need to see the right confirmation before taking advantage of the opportunity, this gets highly important with the current layout in litecoin.
Thanks for watching, support for more market insight and good weekend everybody! ;)
Trading effectively is about assessing probabilities, not certainties.
In this manner: FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Bitcoin, Approaching 10000 Again, Outcome Will Determine Target!Hello, Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis about bitcoins actual price-structure, there are some important and meaningful mechanisms currently in play which will determine bitcoin further outcome the next hours and days, we are looking on the daily time-frame and there are some significant observations I made in the current bitcoin structure. The last time we saw bitcoin approaching the fundamental resistance level at 10.000 and falling back to form a bearish pull-back, this level has such an importance in the structure because we bounced several times to the downside there and now approaching it a third time. At the moment bitcoin is coming back to test the major 10.000 USD resistance again but as the past shown to us, this level can cause a heavy bearish breakdown to the downside.
When looking at my chart you can see that bitcoin is trading in this huge huge uptrend channel which formed from the low in 2018 and the high in 2019, this is the actual predominant channel we are trading in and it had an unnormal corona-virus breakdown to the downside which you can see marked in my chart due to the corona-virus fears infecting all major global markets together and showing especially in bitcoin volatility never seen before. Last week the bitcoin price recovered from this unnatural and highly volatile breakdown back into the channel where we are trading now and approaching this huge resistance. As we saw the last days the price already confirmed bearish to the downside at the resistance and is now approaching it again.
What we can examine now is that bitcoin is building a possible range here, which will break either to the up or downside. When we are looking at the past breakdowns in the psychological 10.000 USD level we can see that as consolidation-range formed before the second key breakdown. Therefore we need to keep in mind that this can also happen in the range we are building now when bitcoin does not succeed to travel above the 10.000 and especially the 10.500 level. When considering the bearish scenario a definite break of the 8100 levels to the downside will cause more bearish pressure at least to the 7400 and this case the fact that we will trade again in the bearish corona-channel will increase the probability for a continuation to lower levels.
In determining the bullish scenario it is important that we need to take out the overall 10500 levels sustainable to the upside with good volatility and volume otherwise it can still be a bull-trap catapulting bitcoin back in the range. The overall neutrality level which you see in my chart will be in play after this scenario and bitcoin has definitely more room to move higher in the structure when it confirmed. This can cause a new potential bull-market which will be in play and building a coherent set up with the overall structure but this needs to be confirmed with a clean break to the upside, the full confirmation will be in play when we exceed 2019 high you can see in the structure, I see many people calling for the moon but this is an illogical approach because we did not see a supportable confirmation and before that happens we cant call bitcoin for the moon.
At the moment we need to see if bulls are strong enough to take the 10500 levels out or fall back again. Both scenarios can be traded properly and as I always say it is preeminent to wait for the proper confirmation in the markets to place the best possible trade. In this case the confirmation will be realized on the bullish side when crossing above the 10500 levels, this can be traded with an aggressive entry after the breakout or a conservative entry wait on confirming the level with a pull-back and the needed volatility. The bearish breakdown can be traded with an immediate entry or an entry after confirmation, in this scenario, it is also possible to wait for more downside and potentially add to the position because we will see definitely more downside when the 8100 level is broken.
Thanks for watching, support for more market insight and all the best!
Knowledge is the most important commodity in today's markets.
In this manner: FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Bitcoin, Move As Expected, Testing The Higher Levels! Hello, Traders Investors And Community and welcome to this update-analysis about the current events happening in BTCUSD, we are looking at the locally 4-hour time-frame and at the moment BTCUSD is testing the falling red trend-line as expected and mentioned in the recent analysis if you did not already saw this analysis I highly recommend you to watch it to have a full-depth-insight, I pointed out there that when BTCUSD manages to take out the resistance at 8780 to 8850 there is a high probability that BTCUSD will test remaining higher resistance-zones and exactly this scenario happened now.
Now, when looking at my chart you can see that bitcoin is just at the current moment testing the falling red trend-line with a lowe momentum spike, that can indicate that BTCUSD will fall back to the support which you see in my chart marked with the orange box before moving higher above the falling red trend-line. Remember that this orange support has to be confirmed properly when we see low volatility here and no concrete reversal signs the support can be invalidated and the price can turn down after several weak bounces.
The other possibility is that the BTCUSD price is that much strong that we increase in price here and establish to move above the falling red trend-line this will be a highly bullish move which can bring the price to the 10260 to 10440 level which you can see marked in my chart with the blue box, from there we will definitely have a high resistance cluster where a pull-back is in the possible spectrum. But at the moment I see the first scenario more possible because the price begins to weaken at resistance currently.
Overall we can contemplate that BTCUSD is building an range in the level here and that it will be highly interesting where this range is going to breakout. When we establish solid support here it is possible for bitcoin to move above the range and confirm in the bullish zone but this has to be confirmed rightfully without the proper confirmation BTCUSD will still hang in a sideway-market where the breakout in either the bullish or bearish direction has to play out and confirm further so we can take advantage of it and trade the highest possible scenario.
Thanks for watching, support for more market insight and all the best!
Trading effectively is about assessing probabilities, not certainties.
In this manner: FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
This Is What We Need To Know About Bitcoins Current Structure! Hello, Traders Investors And Community, and welcome to this analysis about bitcoin current structure and what we can expect from the next hours and days. There are some important signs which I figured out and made clear to me that bitcoin will decide the next time where it is going with the overall price structure. We are looking at the locally 4-hour time-frame if you want to have a bigger view on the picture I recommend that you go to my account and look at the middle-to-long-term analysis published about bitcoin.
When looking at my chart you can see that bitcoin is currently trading at the black resistance level I marked for you it shows also up in the volume profile as the important resistance level in the overall structure, at the moment we are testing it and a possible scenario is that when we break it to the upside we have a higher likelihood given that bitcoin will test higher levels in the structure, at least move to the 9600 levels to test the falling red trend-line.
On the other side, we have the bearish scenario which will be fulfilled when we cross the rising blue trend-line you can see in my chart to the downside because there is a high probability given that we get more selling pressure when we cross it down we can assume bitcoin to visit the POINT OF CONTROL level you see in my chart marked in orange, this will be the target for the overall scenario to the downside, remember that we need to confirm it properly with a definite break of the blue up-trend-line and close below it.
What is a good sign and important to acknowledge about the structure is that both scenarios can be traded properly, the bullish, as well as the bearish scenario but each scenario has to be confirmed rightly before looking for a good trade entry. In the bullish case, this will be when we break the current resistance and confirm it as solid support and with the bearish scenario when we break the rising blue trend-line to the downside as already mentioned.
Many people calling for the complete bearish breakdown now, it is possible of course but this breakdown has to be confirmed appropriately as mentioned and before that we can't say 100% for sure that the bearish breakdown scenario will play out definitely, at the moment bitcoin is still consolidating on the short-term and therefore will decide where it is going to the next time, when the confirmation has come we can examine the next steps and way for bitcoin to enter.
Thanks for watching, support for more market insight, and a good weekend, everybody! ;)
Astonishment is the basis of reverence.
In this manner: FAREWELL
Information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Litecoin, Major Up-Trend-Channel Broken, Testing Higher Levels!Hello, Traders Investors And Community and welcome to this analysis about the price-structure we are facing in Litecoin at the moment, there are some heavily significant signs which I detected in the chart, we saw high volatility the last time catapulting Litecoin more than 18 % to the downside in just one day after Litecoin formed a fake bull-flag. This shows one more time that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and therefore this volatility shouldn't be underestimated. I also made an analysis of Litecoin with a more middle-to-long-term perspective which I recommend you to see when going at my account and look at the analysis regarding this to have a full overview of the price-action we are looking at. This is an analysis of the locally 4-hour time-frame so let's go.
When looking at my chart you can see that Litecoin held a major uptrend-channel with its belonging up-trend, there were however several signs that the reversal was possible as I already mentioned in the previous analysis. Litecoin where one cryptocurrency with a relatively weak uptrend compared to bitcoin and ethereum and therefore it was in the possible spectrum that we got the bearish move to the downside we faced now. As you can see also in the chart Litecoin traded in a fake or false bull-flag, this is a formation which is suspected to be a bullish breakout pattern but actually breaks to the downside, there is however not a big percentage of probability that it turns out to be a fake one but in this current case, it happened.
In the next hours and days, we can anticipate that litecoin will test its remaining higher levels in the structure as the market is slightly oversold in the short-term basis and probably confirming the fake bull-flag you can see in the chart. Presently we can contemplate that litecoin has overall more potential to the downside as we saw these important bearish move indicating the further bearish continuation. The fact that we had this major high volume and bearish volatility is more bearish than bullish and it was not seen in the overall weak uptrend before. Therefore the likelihood is high that we will continue after litecoin tested the higher resistance areas.
The situation right now is a situation where litecoin has a high possibility to form the setup for the next leg down, this is currently the most likely scenario and has to keep in mind but that does not mean litecoin will continue bearish till it gets to zero like many people predicting now and that the bullish phase is over there are still some support levels at the way and therefore we will see if we can stabilize there and how the further possibilities will play out. Many people calling for the complete bottom now, this is a mere speculative tendency and we should keep a cool and rational head to assess the market as best, therefore, we need to see if the bearish signals increase or if we can stabilize on the way down and don't fall for the mere speculative tendency we see so many times these days.
Thanks for watching, support for more market insight and all the best!
The market-conditions are often the real source of truth.
In this manner: FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Ripple, Important Breakdown, Weighty Fractal Still Contributing!Hello, Traders Investors And Community And welcome to this update-analysis about the current scenario happening to ripple, as we saw the last days some cryptocurrencies made good gains while others struggling to form new highs on the way up, one of it is ripple where I already mentioned in the past analysis that there is still a meaningful historical fractal in play and that we are trading at the 50 % and 200-EMA resistance in ripple which we confirmed already in the past fractals in the first period of the overall fractal structure. I highly recommend to you that you have a look at this analysis to have a full-depth-overview and see in which period we currently trading in the fractal structure!
What we have seen now is the third significant fundamental 200-EMA confirmation of the fractal structure as I mentioned, according to the fractals, there is a further decline awaited finally going to the lower boundary of the overall channel. As you can see it already marked in the past analysis and in the current analysis I mentioned that when we cross the 0.1723 level to the downside we have a high probability that the third fractal play out exactly like the two seen before with a touch of the lower boundary and after that the move to the higher boundary. As you can see it in my chart we have a bearish breakdown zone below the 0.1723 where there is a high likelihood given for heavy supply entering the market pushing the price down at least to test the lower boundary.
The next time I am expecting a test of the strong resistance line you can see in my chart at the 0.21073 level in red which will serve as an important resistance now and in the future, if we confirm it we have a high possibility in the schedule to test at least the support at the 0.18035 level which you can see in my chart marked in grey. This is heavily important for ripple to hold if considering at least a range building or possible reversal here! Otherwise, when we fall below this level the high likelihood is given that we fall heavily to the downside. Currently, we have to see how this plays out, there is still the small possibility given that we stabilize in this range and move high but this is currently the not highest possible scenario as we broke bearish to the downside with heavy volatility and volume.
Thanks for watching, support for more market insight, and all the best!
We have to invoke with our eyes on the market, not on the difficulties.
In this manner: FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
THIS Is What I Wanted TO See For USDBTC To Confirm Bullish!Hello, Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update-analysis about bitcoins short-term price action, bitcoin made exactly these things I wanted to see to confirm bullish on the short-time-frame and we have seen the awaited volatility and momentum, in my past analysis about this subject, I described it if you did not see this analysis I highly recommend that you go to my account and look at it to have a full-depth-overview about the mechanism I mentioned.
Now as I said already we have to confirm the bullish uptrend two times, once it is the move about the resistance line in the neutral zone which you can see in my chart marked with the orange line, this move above the resistance gave bitcoin a bullish shape while still remain neutral. The next confirmation was the touch after the breakout of the falling grey trend-line you see in my chart it confirmed exactly on that point. After these confirmations where done bitcoin had the ability to become fully bullish as you see it in the bull-zone and move higher with heavy momentum.
In the next hours and days, we can anticipate bitcoin to have a smaller correction to the support/resistance level which you see in my chart marked with the blue box before moving higher. At that level, I expect some good support for the USDBTC and a set of new trading orders. Also, this current trend can be traded on the long side. The aggressive entry was after the second confirmation above the orange support-line and on the falling grey trend-line you see in my chart and the moderate entry is now to wait on the correction and then set the long-position there.
The current perspective is a short-term perspective meaning that bitcoin confirmed bullish in the short-term when we look at the middle-to-long-term-perspective we can spot different signs which playing a big role and have to take into consideration in determining bitcoins future outcome. As for now, we have a good bullish shape in the short-term we can expect bitcoin to move higher at least to the 38.2 % Fibonacci-resistance which you see in my chart. From that standpoint, we have to take a new picture of the underlying trend and elevate if bitcoin manages to continue higher.
Friends it should always be the goal to look at the market with a clear head to determine further trends, I see many people calling bitcoin for the moon in two weeks that is an unrealistic approach. We need to look at the market as it is and trade what we see not what we think or believe therefore please keep it in mind that the markets every time sending different signals and these signals have to be interpreted right to trade the market properly within the given circumstances.
Therefore thanks for watching, feel free to support and have a good day.
"The best qualification of a prophet is to have a good memory. "
FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Aegis logistics limited ( Aegis chemical)Aegis logistics looks good on a chart for a momentum upside swing trade
Risky traders may enter at current market price or below the price
And safe swing traders can enter above 411
Sl at 360
Tgt 428 446 490
Ask your financial advisor before buying only for educational purposes
CRYPTOMARKETCAP-What to expect from the next months?!______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hello traders, investors and community! There is an interesting and exciting pattern which i want discuss with you.
The cryptocurrency market is in a rise right now but what can we expect from the next months/year?!
We are looking on the daily chart of the Crypto total marketcap,
i have taken the wick and last volume line from the chart to have a better view on things happening in the chart and the formation in progress.
As i told already in later analysis there is an correction expected coming up the next weeks.
After retest of the 368 billion level i am expecting a pull-back from that level.
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
In my chart you can see an huge inverted head and shoulder formation forming marked with grey arrows and light greene curves.
There is a high potential for the right shoulder to form in the next months with the expected correction, you can see the support level between
200 - 230 billion marked with green trendlines, this is an important level because we had several bounces at this level in the past! Be aware,
when we cant hold this level and confirm it as support there is a scenario in which the cryptomarket can turn to the downside.
So it is an important level to watch at, when we cant hold the 175 to 200 billion range i see not mutch support below!
But however, this is not the scenario i am expecting.
After the correction to 200 - 230 billion i am expecting a consolidation in this area and an new uptrend forming from there you can see it in my chart
marked with the light green curve. When this scenario kicks in and we can move above the blue trend line marking the neckline of the head and shoulder formation
i see 1.2 to 1.3 TRILLION in the future! BUT this must be with good volume and a bullish candle or an bullish candlestick formation with good momentum friends.
There is a target in my chart which is then expected and to look at!
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you everybody for watching traders, i hope you enjoyed, i will update later, follow for more insight information!
May all the happines and luck come to you! Peace.
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NEARUSDT OPEN NEW CYCLE PEROID DEPENDING ON THIS STUDY $12Thanks for reading this update.
NEARUSDT seems to open a new cycle trend, this cycle trend can give NEARUSDT an unexpected break. we see that some positions are confirmed for the trend.
We did expect before in the same way the Cylc increase of BTC.
know that Cycles entering with building positions, and we did scan some of them.
Let's see how this will affect the price action soon.
For the day trading time frames, we checking NEARUSDT for 18%+ trend
Soon more updates.
This will stay a prediction depending on our data, and not trading advice.
This is our view, which means not that you should follow it. trade only depending on your plan.
here will be soon updates, the same as BTC did get updates to 48K.
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-12-Feb-24 to 16-Feb-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-12-Feb-24 to 16-Feb-24
Nifty closed at 21782.5 ( Prev Close 21853 ) and touched low & high of 21629 & 22053
RSI and stochastics levels reduced this week( 54.5% & 65% Respectively).
Market is in indecisive state, could not take any direction as it could not surpass the previous all time high 22117 decisively. Earlier 30% profit booking was suggested (except Bank & IT stocks). Mid & Small cap Index fell buy 2.5-3% on 09-Feb-24. Partial Booking can be considered for further 5-10% in Mid & Small Cap (Stocks/ Mutual Funds) wherever valuation are high. There is no worry on Good Valued Stocks which can be kept for Long Term.
Interim budget announced was a status quo budget, no relief for income tax payers, no change in corporate tax, as expected Capex for infra (Railways & Road) increased. Infra Stocks, undervalued bluechip stocks can be considered based on the valuation.
Nifty IT 37699 (Last week 37323 ) -To continue hold. Nifty IT touched new high of 38368 in this week and then came below to 37699. Major support at 34918 /34000.
Nifty bank 45634 (Prev Close 45970) -To continue hold. Nifty Bank touched 44908 and then moved and settled 45634 Low last week. support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips.
Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last 1.5 months, Cash is useful to pick the right stocks currently to pick the right stock. Purchased Nifty Bank at Jan 1st & 2nd week when it was low using that cash.
Refer to detailed comments in the bottom.
Nifty 21782- Short Term ( Neutral - Bearish Continued)-
All time high 22136 will be a key resistance. Market could not surpass it decisively. Hence bearish sideways movement expected for some more weeks.
Resistances are at 22000, 22117, 22136 ( All time high),22150
Support - 21430 (Fib Support & MA 50 Support), 20877 Fib Support and trend line support as shown in the chart.
Nifty Medium Term & long Term (Neutral)- Can buy at 20800 -21000 level in case of dip.
Target Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22500 as shown in chart. nifty will move to next target 22308 (Fib Resistance)/22521.
Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance)
Long Term
Market expected range bound between 22500 to 18800 expected till mid of 2024.
Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance).
Comments (11-Feb-24) :
Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Last two weeks IT was little down but comparatively lesser than Nifty Index and nifty Bank. Nifty IT touched new high on 08-Feb-24.
Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term.
As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
USDJPY:READY FOR THE BULL TO CONTINUE?!UJ has some amazing bullish momentum behind it- and I am looking to continue to ride this trend and long it!
I am waiting for:
1) At least a 50% retracement and price coming into the daily fair value gap
2) A Liquidity sweep of previous days low
3) Market structure shift on the hourly and attack
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
DMART one more Upward Impulse Wave about to form.
According tenth Elliott Wave Theory Price forms a 5 Wave Sequence structure before the major Correction, here we see that we have Wave 1, 2, 3(strongest upmove), Wave 4(correction), are complete.
Currently Price has formed a Quarterly Demand which has its LegOut closed above the EMa which indicates a Strong Buying and Price hasn't violated any Supply which signifies there was a temporary correction which is over and now Price is ready to Shoot above the end point of Wave 3, hence Target derived is Rs. 6000.00
This is a Trade where the reward is amazing against the minimum risk defined.
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-05-Feb-24 to 09-Feb-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-05-Feb-24 to 09-Feb-24
Nifty closed at 21853 ( Prev Close 21353 ) and touched low & high of 21429 & 22126
RSI and stochastics levels ( 58% & 74 % Respectively). Stochastics is near overbought zone.
Market closed all time high and moved higher comparative to last week but is in indecisive state, could not take any direction as it could not surpass the previous all time high 22117 decisively.
Interim budget announced was a status quo budget, no relief for income tax payers, no change in corporate tax, as expected Capex for infra (Railways & Road) increased. Infra Stocks, undervalued bluechip stocks can be considered.
Nifty IT 37323 (Last week 36496) -To continue hold. On the last day (Fri) of last week it was traded upto 1100 points and moved up. major support at 34918 /34000.
Nifty bank 45970( 44866) Moved 1000 points up compared to last week. support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips.
Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last 1.5 months, Cash is useful to pick the right stocks currently to pick the right stock. Purchased Nifty Bank at Jan 1st & 2nd week when it was low using that cash.
Refer to detailed comments in the bottom.
Nifty- Short Term ( Neutral - Bearish Continued)- 21300 ( trend Line support Provided was major support last week.
Resistances are at 21439 ( Fib Resistance), 21639 ( MA 21 days) , 22000, 22117, 22155
Further below to 21300, 20800-21000 have strong Fib Support and trend line support as shown in the chart.
Nifty Medium Term & long Term ( Neutral)- Can buy at 20800 -21000 level in case of dip.
Target Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22500 as shown in chart. nifty will move to next target 22308 (Fib Resistance)/22521.
Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance)
Long Term
Market expected range bound between 22500 to 18800 expected till mid of 2024.
Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance).
Comments (04-Feb-24) :
Earlier last 2-3 months , purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Last two weeks IT was little down but comparatively lesser than Nifty Index and nifty Bank.
Simillarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last two weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy last week. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term.
As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-29-Jan-24 to 02-Feb-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-29-Jan-24 to 02-Feb-24
Nifty closed at 21352 ( Prev Close 21571 ) and touched low & high of 21136 & 21736.
RSI and stochastics levels ( 47% & 21 % Respectively). Stochastics is in oversold zone.
Market saw huge volatility in the last two week of around 1000 Points, especially fluctuated after results of HDFC bank.
Nifty IT (36496) -To hold. major support at 34918 /34000.
Nifty bank ( 44866) if further move down support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips.
Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last 1.5 months, Cash is useful to pick the right stocks currently to pick the right stock.
Refer to detailed comments in the bottom.
Nifty- Short Term ( Bearish)- 21300 ( trend Line support Provided was majr support last week.
Resistances are at 21439 ( Fib Resistance), 21639 ( MA 21 days) , 22000, 22117, 22155
Support at 21300 ( trend line Support), 20800-21000 have strong Fib Support and trend line support as shown in the chart.
Nifty Medium Term & long Term ( Neutral)- Can buy at 20800 -21000 level.
Target Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22500 as shown in chart. nifty will move to next target 22308 (Fib Resistance)/22521.
Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance)
Long Term
Market expected range bound between 22500 to 18800 expected till mid of 2024.
however if Q3 results are good, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance).
Comments (28-Jan-24) :
Earlier last 2-3 months , purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Last two weeks IT was little down but comparatively lesser than Nifty Index and nifty Bank.
Simillarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last two weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy last week. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term.
As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till Feb budget & till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
In Feb, Temporary budget most likely to favour income tax payers inorder to keep in mind of elections and to concentrate on infra (Railways & Road). Infra Stocks, undervalued bluechip stocks can be considered.
BMY - Patience is a Virtue 🧘Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Monthly: Left Chart
BMY has been hovering inside a range between the 50 support and 70 resistance.
Currently BMY is approaching the lower bound of the range, so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
On Daily: Right Chart
📈 For the bulls to take over, we need a momentum candle close above the last major high in gray at 54.
📉 Meanwhile, BMY would be bearish and can still trade lower to dive inside the 44-50 support zone before trading higher.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr