Quick overview of banking results: JPM, Citigroup, WFCThe last week brought earnings from three major U.S. banks, including Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase & Co., and Wells Fargo. Overall, the results for the first quarter of 2023 were mixed, with indicators pointing to positive and negative trends. All three banks showed solid growth in revenue and non-interest income. However, declining deposits and loans paint a worrisome picture for the industry (together with rising provisions for credit losses). As a result, we believe the theme of banking earnings will be “big capitalized banks that can make money even in the current environment versus small, less resilient banks facing obstacles ahead.”
Citigroup
Citigroup Inc. reported a net income of $4.6 billion (up 7% YoY but down 19% YoY when excluding divesture-related impacts) for the first quarter of 2023, compared to $4.3 billion for the same period in 2022. The bank’s revenues grew 12% YoY (or 6% YoY excluding divestiture-related impacts) and 19% QoQ. Operating expenses rose by 1% YoY and 2% QoQ. Citigroup's end-of-period loans were $652 billion at quarter end, down 1% YoY. Deposits remained unchanged versus the prior year, standing at $1.3 trillion.
JP Morgan Chase & Co.
For the first quarter of 2023, JPMorgan Chase & Co reported $12.6 billion in net income (up 52% YoY and 15% QoQ) and record managed revenue of $39.3 billion (up 25% YoY and 11% QoQ). Its noninterest expenses rose to $20.1 billion (by 5% YoY and 6% QoQ). The Consumer & Community Banking division had an ROE of 40%, with average deposits down 4% YoY and client investment assets down 1% YoY. The Commercial Banking division saw its average loans grow 13% YoY and 1% QoQ. However, it experienced a decline in average deposits of 16% YoY and 5% QoQ. Meanwhile, the Asset Wealth Management division saw average loans drop by 1% YoY and 1% QoQ, with average deposits declining as much as 22% YoY. The bank’s total deposits dropped by 7% YoY and average deposits by 14% YoY and 3% QoQ.
Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo reported $4.9 billion (up 32% YoY and 52% QoQ) in net income and $20.7 billion in total revenue (up 17% YoY and 3% QoQ) for the first quarter 2023. Net interest income rose by 45% YoY, while noninterest income dropped 13% YoY. Period-end deposits decreased by 8% YoY and 2% QoQ. Furthermore, period-end assets fell by 3% YoY.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Market
Bitcoin market cycles leading into 2025Here it is crypto fam. Here we have the market cycles for Bitcoin and in color. We begin with the year of the bull run then we have the bearmarket year then the year that no one likes which is the year of Pain. After pain we have the famous and most anticipated Bitcoin halving year then the most exciting time in crypto is the Bullrun year. We have had three of these cycles already and the fourth is coming upon us soon. Before we have fun though we will be going through the year of Pain this year because even though Bitcoin is climbimg beautifully now we are expecting another test to the bottom which we call Pain. The year of the halving in 2024 will be a great time to buy up your favorite projects and then when 2025 comes we have a beautiful Christmas.
EURUSDMarket in uptrend on daily and 1 hour time frame
Monthly resistance did not hold
waiting on pullback to support zones marked on chart
once market reaches support I will wait for wick rejection before entering bullish
Retail sentiment is bullish on USD, as we know most retail traders lose money this is therefore bearish for USD
Fundamentals still in favour of USD, however with lower than expected CPI numbers yesterday we
can expect FEDS to pause or slow down on interest rate hikes
Stop loss will go below structure
Take profit 3x risk
Crypto Market and Newton's Laws of MotionI tried to draw comparisons between the crypto market and Newton's laws of motion:
First law: In the crypto market, a cryptocurrency's price may remain stable or continue to move in a certain direction unless acted upon by an external force, such as a major announcement or market disruption. This is similar to Newton's first law, which states that an object at rest will stay at rest, and an object in motion will stay in motion with the same velocity unless acted upon by an external force.
Second law: The rate of change in a cryptocurrency's price may be affected by the amount of investment or trading volume, as well as the size of the cryptocurrency's market capitalization. This is similar to Newton's second law, which states that the acceleration of an object is directly proportional to the force applied to it and inversely proportional to its mass.
Third law: In the crypto market, the price movements of one cryptocurrency could be influenced by the actions of another cryptocurrency or external market factors. This is similar to Newton's third law, which states that for every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction.
Overall, while there are some interesting comparisons that can be drawn between the crypto market and Newton's laws of motion, it's important to remember that these are complex and unpredictable systems, and there is no guarantee that the laws of physics will accurately predict the behavior of the market.
XAUUSDMarket in up channel
hit resistance, expected to move to support
daily fib target at 2053
Trade idea:
market broke horizontal support on 1Hour timeframe, wait on retest
after wick rejection enter bullish
second bullish entry , wait for market to pullback on trendline support
wait for structure
after rejection enter bullish
stop loss below structure
take profit 3x risk
AUDUSDblue trendlines on chart are counter trend breaks
when market breaks counter trendline market moves bearish
We are at trendline resistance area
market beginning to break counter trend bearish
Retail traders are heavily bullish on USD dollar
this is a sign on dollar weakness as large institution are shifting away from the dollar
Fundamentals still in favour on the dollar, until further notice the dollar could still be in a short term bear market and long term bullish market whilst the current market conditions are mere pullbacks for the long term effect
Opportunity to go short
on break of counter trendline, enter bearish
Stop loss above structure (above blue resistance)
Take profit = 3x risk
XAUUSD Technical Analysis 11.04.2023 1h chart– Previous Daily candle closed Bearish at 1991.100 respecting Daily Resistance formed on Thursday 6th April 2023.
– Buys on close above 1994.400 targeting 1h Resistance at 2002.000, Leaving Runners to the next 1h Resistance at 2007.900.
– Sells on close below 1987.200 targeting 1h Support at 1981.900 which is also the wick fill of the previous Daily Low, Leaving Runners to the 1h Strong Support formed at 1978.000.
– FOMC Member Harker due to speak about the economic outlook at an event hosted by Wharton Business School in Philadelphia.
GBPJPY Technical Analysis 11.04.2023 1h chart– Previous Daily candle closed strong Bullish at 165.350 breaking above the Daily Resistance formed on Wednesday 5th April 2023.
– Buys on close above 165.500 targeting 4h Resistance at 165.810, Leaving Runners to the 1h Resistance at 166.210.
– Sells on close below 165.180 targeting 1h previous Resistance formed at 164.910, Leaving Runners to the 1h Support formed at 164.670.
– Ideally is to wait for price to pullback to form Support on the lower timeframe allowing the new Daily candle to form a bottom wick before breaking the previous Daily High for more potential Buys.
BTC Weekly Update | Will we wait for a good climb ? (LONG)After many struggles, BINANCE:BTCUSDT (Bitcoin) was able to start a green jump with very good candles.
Goals ahead :
** First - 25,000 is a strong resistance.
** Second - If 25,000 is broken and stabilized, it will have the ability to reach 30,000 .
Simple is better than complicated
Maybe This Way ...
USDJPYFundamentals in favour of USD with the exception of dollar crash
Retail sentiment currently bullish (most retail traders lose money)
since sentiment is bullish this will likely lead USDJPY to continue bearish
Trade idea:
scenario 1 wait for market to break counter trend bearish,
after break wait for retest of resistance and wick rejection then
enter short
scenario 3 wait for market to break above down-trendline
after break wait for low and retest of support,
after wick rejection enter bullish
Stop loss will go below structure
Take profit 3x risk
🥇 GOLD A wedge is formed. Resistance breakthrough Gold closes inside the wedge format range. In an uptrend, whales could potentially be set to break wedge resistance
TA on a high timeframe:
1) Trend bullish. Lower right chart: gold is consolidating above the February 1960 high - price is in the green zone
2) Left lower chart: trend demonstration
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A wedge is forming. The price makes a false breakout of the wedge and heads towards support.
2) Breakout of the interest zone 1965-1962 can send the price down to 1957.
3) The medium-term potential is on the side of the buyers
4) I think the price will rebound from the uptrend support line and go towards the resistance figure
5) In the medium term there is a high probability of a breakthrough of the wedge resistance and growth of the price to 1980 and 2000
BTC - Different Perspectives 🏹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📌 on Daily: Left Chart
BTC is currently bullish trading inside the red rising broadening wedge pattern.
Here is why the 30,000 is a strong rejection:
1- Round number => 30,000
2- Classic Support Zone Turned Resistance from Weekly timeframe
3- Supply zone marked on the chart
4- Intersecting with the upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance
📉 Hence, as BTC approaches the 30k - 32k zone, we will be expecting the bears to take over for a medium-term correction.
📌 on H4: Right Chart
For now, we will remain bullish as long as BTC doesn't break a previous major low.
The current last major low is highlighted in gray around 26,700
📉 If we break below 26,700 expect a bearish correction to start till around 25,000 support / demand.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen first? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Will Bitcoin Touch The Sky ? (Read The Description)Hey Traders , Bitcoin has been leading the charge, with dominance over the rest of crypto increasing over the past week. Bitcoin climbed to hover around $27,000 Friday morning as cryptocurrencies in general continued to rally. Traditional markets were trading lower. Bitcoin on his bullish mode while bank crisis keeps falling , so he just breaks a new resistance then he's too close for the next resistance , so bulls are running don't miss the shot ;)
S&P Market crash (spy)Will keep it short and sweet, Ive posted in the previous a parabolic curve break of SPY. Notice a harmonic patter forming after a failed retracement (Point C) of the .236. Until that breaks (can ultimately run to $460 and still perform this bearish outcome) Point D can bring SPY to $240. Also meeting the .886 Retracement.. to the dot.
Stock- MON: HSI Trend Status w/ 21 yrs backtesting, week11
2023, week 11
HSI: at 19,161
According to the latest market update, the Hang Seng Index ( HSI ) is still not in a upward trend, with a current long close at 19,161 points.
Use backtesting to evaluate and make objective trading decisions. - PresentTrading
#HSI