ES Market Crash 45% IncomingI will reference the 1973 crash as proof that this is what is happening today.
Similarities:
8% between the 200sma and the all time High
Daily Pennant/ Triangle Formation
Bear Market Rally breaking above the 200sma, formed a double top
45% crash in prices in 232 trading days
50% crash from all time highs
1973 went 3 full range expansions
2023 potentially go to 1.5 full range expansions
Both years ending in 3
MACD above the zero line, bearish cross and rolled over
I will ride it down to 2280 and then accumulate SPY at 230
Massive wealth will be available to those who take it
Here is the chart of November 1973 and how they are IDENTICAL to today
Market
Market Breadth shows downside singals...The chart shows the S&P500 Future, continiues contract ES1!.
Below you see the charts of the percentage of stocks which above their 50, 100, 200 SMA.
I watch this market breadth indicator closely to see the if a trend is just based on a few big stocks or is "the flow lifting all boats".
What I observe now is that we hat a similar situation in the indicators at the top in December 2022, before we had a 1 year down move...
On top I see a potential bearish divergence in the MACD.
CME_MINI:ES1!
NIO - Will Rise From Ashes 🦅Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉 NIO has been overall bearish trading inside the falling wedge pattern, and it is currently diving inside a weekly demand zone 6.5 - 10.0
The bears are still in control managing to make new lower lows. But, we can clearly see that the impulse movements are getting flat and small.
This signals an early alert that the bears are exhausted. However , it doesn't mean that bulls are in control yet.
🏹 For the bulls to take over, hence have a long-term shift in momentum, we need a break above the last major high in gray.
📊 Meanwhile, until the bulls take over, NIO can still dive till the lower bound of the demand zone around 6.5
📕 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
SPY Fake BreakoutIn January, SPY has attempted to breakout of downtrend and back into bull market territory. I don't believe this pump is sustainable because there is nothing good about the economy right now. The Feds still need to deflate the 6.5% inflation. When the MACD crosses below signal line you will begin to see the price of SPY tank.
US500 - Detailed Video Overview!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for US500 .
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bear market - cancelledThe SPX has breached the 3.5% barrier above the 200D MA that has held down every capitulation in SPX history (+/-).
Since this economy is similar to the 70's & the outlook doesn't appear much different, I'll use the 70's fractal to guide my decisions up to a 10% deviation.
Watch around the 4700 area for a small pullback, & then around the 5300 area for a larger pullback going into 2025.
Growth is likely to slow this decade, so this fractal sits well with me as I don't see this market going anywhere fast.
See '01 & '08 type beat below for more information on the 3.5% barrier / 200D MA I have been watching.
EURUSD LONG POSITION CPI INFLATIONHello guys,
For this week as the CPI comes we put a trade to expect high point for EUR, if the scenario keep as in forecast to be 6.2% in the data coming lower than the previous 6.5.
That will give less power to the dollar pushing the against currencies higher.
this is only my personal opinion and NOT financial advise.
#eurusd #cpi #inflation #forex #news #trend #livetrading #stockmarket #bulls #chiefs
DMART AT BUYING ZONEOn the results shaver Dmart down more than 17%
CMP at 3458
PROS:-
1. Forming a hammer pattern at daily support level & trend line.
2.RSI Showing divergence & cross over.
3.MACD also showing strongly cross over.
4. before candles shows some buyers strenght.
risky traders can enter now
otherwise wait for 2 nd candle to close above higher price of inverted hammer
SL will be below inverted hammer LOW
Target min 12% from here.
GO & CHECK GUYS ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PERPUSE ONLY
BTC & USDT.D - Strong Rejection Ahead!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
I always keep an eye on USDT.D to feel the overall crypto market.
📚 And today I want to show the correlation between BTC and USDT.D
📌 BTC has been stuck inside a range in the shape of a flat rising broadening wedge (in red)
BTC is currently approaching the lower bound / red trendline, so I will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes. (to be confirmed after breaking an H1 high upward)
The bears would take over IF BTC break below the lower red trendline and zone. In this case, a movement till the demand zone 21500 in green would be expected.
📌 On the other hand, USDT.D is stuck inside a range between 6.5% and 7.0% support and resistance. And we are currently approaching the upper red trendline.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
DXY - Weakening dollar could signal further bullish momentum as The recent Fed interest rate decision has sent the markets into a bullish frenzy. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75%, but despite this hike, Fed Chair Jerome Powell was overall optimistic about the state of the economy. This positive outlook has lifted investor confidence and sent the markets higher.
However, the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is at a critical point, hovering at the 100WMA (100-week moving average) and on the verge of deciding its direction. At the moment, the DXY is showing signs of weakness, and if it drops to the next support level of 98, it could lead to a significant drop in the value of the dollar. This could have a bullish effect on all markets, including stocks and crypto.
In addition to the DXY's current state, other indicators are also pointing towards bearish conditions for the dollar. The monthly MACD (moving average convergence divergence) has recently crossed below the zero line and is now showing a red histogram, a bearish signal. The stochastic indicators, which measure overbought and oversold conditions, are also bearish and have plenty of room to fall before becoming oversold on the monthly chart.
All of these factors combined paint a bullish picture for the markets, as long as the DXY continues to weaken and drops to its next support level at 98. Investors should keep an eye on the DXY and other indicators as they may provide valuable insights into market movements in the coming weeks and months
TSLA BULLISH PIERCING CANDLESTICK With the recent release of teslas quarterly reports that we’re better than expected we saw a push to test 180.00 with a slight pullback, depending on feds decision we can see push higher to 300.00. With more manufacturing and infrastructure updates in the upcoming months if positive these could help push price back to retest precious highs.
SOLUSDT Bullish uptrend| Local PA Range| Daily S/R| .618 Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – SOLUSDT- trading in a defined range where an up-thrust into resistance is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price action impulsive
- Daily S/R Support
- .618 Fibonacci Support
- MS Higher Low
SOLUSDT’s immediate price action is impulsive, it is potentially establishing a higher low that is in confluence with the .618 Fibonacci, Daily S/R and the VAL, allowing for a bullish bias.
The immediate market structure remains bullish, thus, there is a higher probability of price action testing resistance again.
Overall, in my opinion, SOLUSDT is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
If you can’t take a small loss, sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses.” – Ed Seykota
Market Update - How Traders May Play the Feds Rate Hike?Traders,
The market expects 25 basis points tomorrow. What they are unsure of is how it will look in March. While the fed may indicate yet another rate hike in March, the dollar, vix, and treasuries are telling us else wise. Let's take a spin through our lead indicators today as well as Bitcoin.
Stew