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EVERY Possible Scenario for ETH in 2024As we can all observe, ETH is doing pretty bad against BTC. And I mean neck-deep-up-sh*t-creek-with-its-mouth-wide-open kinda bad LOL. People are starting to worry and get flashbacks of the December 2020 dip of ETH against BTC. The current situation is the price retesting a historic golden FIBONACCI level (61.8%) that's about 3 years old. This level is crucial because it's formed by the last cycle's bull-run surge. Let's explore the possible and impossible, or rather unlikely, scenarios. FIRST SCENARIO: Ethereum ETFs get approved. This obviously is what we all wish for, not only ETH investors and fans, but everyone who cares about the Alt-coins market. I expect a huge surge from our golden FIBO level if this scenario occurs. SECOND SCENARIO: Ethereum ETFs get disapproved. In this case, it would be reasonable for the price to decline and retest the bottom of an even more historic symmetrical triangle structure that's as old as ETH. The price should bounce from there as Ethereum recovers from the bad news and retry surpassing the golden FIBO level. THIRD SCENARIO: Ethereum is doomed. This is a very unlikely scenario , but let's humor it anyway. What if ETH fails to retest the bottom of the symmetrical triangle structure that's been containing its price action since millennia? Well, I don't expect this to happen unless ETH fails to recover from the bad news and turns out to be a huge SCAM coin. The biggest scam coin in the history of crypto. Sorry if this was too intrusive and scary. I just think it's reasonable to always consider the worst as we consider the best outcome possible. The GREAT news is all of the speculations are pointing to the approval of the Ethereum ETFs , I personally expect the approval next week, so I'm ruling out anything but the BEST possible scenario for ETH this cycle! Note: This was an exploration of a potential scenario based on the current context and state of the market, not financial advice.
by OmarsMess
2
Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 28-May-24 to 31-May-24Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 28-May-24 to 31-May-24 Nifty closed at 22932 (22466) and touched low & high of 22409 & 23022 RSI and stochastics levels was up from last week (66 % & 86% Respectively). Stochastic in over bought levels (>90%) on 26-May-24 and started reducing on 27-May-24 Anticipation in Political results lifted the market as exit poll started coming. As mentioned in the past 1.5 month, Post govt budget, current govt proposed 100 days plan will lead the market in coming days. Investment decision is mixed as market will be highly volatile due to the above factors. Hence those people have high risk can sell partial stocks and book profit, those have more money to invest can wait for small dips to invest. As far as my opinion, if market touching 24000 can book partial profit and can wait for market to correct as there is a strong resistance in that zone. Nifty 22932- Short & medium term (Neutral ) nifty reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance target) again and crossed resistance decisively. Nifty at PE 21.5 below the Historical Average of 22.5 Short term support 22300-22400 Short Term Resistance : 23150 ( Trend Line as shown in chart) Medium term Support - 22160 ( Trend Line) and 20830 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 24000 ( Trend Line Resistance till Jun 2024) & Support at 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). All Companies so far posted results are average other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance, Ultratech posted good growth. Other manufacturing, capital goods companies results are awaited in coming weeks. Nifty bank 49456 (48199) - As proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 7%. Investment decision in Nifty bank, bank stocks helped in portfolio. Still can continue to invest whenever dip in bank and other nbfc stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bank of Maharasthra ( Buy on Dips) ,Canara bank( Buy on Dips) can be accumulated slowly as well. Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Apollo tyres, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quantities till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32919. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend.ifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 13-May-24 to 17-May-24 every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)As mentioned in the past 1.5 month, nifty reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance target) again and crossed the resistance decisively and touched 23000. Nifty at PE 21.8 below the 3 year Historical Average of 22.5.. Short term support 22312 (MA 50)- Nifty last week had a pause between 2220-22300/ 22050 ( Trend Line Support as shown) /21800 Medium term Support - 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 24000 ( Trend Line Resistance till Jun 2024) & Support at 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). All Companies so far posted results are average other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance, Ultratech posted good growth. Other manufacturing, capital goods companies results are awaited in coming weeks. Nifty bank 48199(47421) - Nifty bank tested trend line support 47000 last week and later part of the week. Many bank & Finance stocks are buyable zone. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bank of Maharasthra ( Buy on Dips) ,Canara bank( Buy on Dips) can be accumulated slowly as well. Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Apollo tyres, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quantities till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32919. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend.ifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 13-May-24 to 17-May-24 every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
XAUUSD ANALYSIS OF THE DAYXAUUSD has seen a big fall in last two days from a upper level of 2450 to 2328 almost 1220 pips and there is no rational reason for this fall instead lot of looming geopolitical us market related financial revelations are moving market. currently we see a few up trends from two layer entry level : 2329 entry level 2 : 2312 major tp and resistance points 2344 2363 2376 2383 2397 pivot 2365 trade with care ✔️✔️✔️like share follow us for more such market related trends and updates
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
Trading Psychology: How to trade economic data.As traders, one of the biggest challenges we face is deciding what factors to consider when opening a trade: should we base ourselves on charts, news, macroeconomic data? Many opt for a combination of all these elements, and although all traders go through the same stages, there are different routes to success. The problem with following the crowd is that you end up doing exactly what everyone else is doing. The solution: forge your own path, with all the challenges this entails. Most traders follow the news, analyze the data and then compare them with the charts to try to determine the best entry point. And as if that were not enough, they often seek the opinion of other online traders to confirm their decision. However, consulting the opinions of others can be counterproductive, as they can alter, for better or worse, any personal opinion about the analysis we are conducting. We always tend to think that others know more than us and that if they think differently, it must be for some reason and that we will not be the ones who are right. This is just another example of market psychology and the human tendency to always follow the crowd, regardless of whether it is right or not. I believe that in order to make a living from trading, research must start with yourself, it is essential. And this is necessary to confirm or refute the information with which the market bombards us every minute. You need very intense training and experience to make a living from trading. How many traders trade intraday based on economic calendar data? How many really make money? It’s not worth it. Aware of the multitude of traders who congregate around the platform at key times, market makers have all kinds of tricks. Their favorite; the sweep. Up, down and both sides at the same time. Is a mental stop better? In my case, no. I don’t know how mentally strong you are, but the word says it all: mental-stop. When you expose yourself to letting the mind think, you are entering dangerous psychological terrain and it is very difficult, if you are losing, to close with discipline in each and every operation. Notice that I say in each and every one, because with not respecting a single one and that the price does not return in that operation to the entry point, it will be your elimination as a trader. Therefore, anything that can cause a loss is worth discarding. Greed doesn’t let you, we know that with a data in favor of our position you can make a lot of money but if the data is contrary and also forms a gap, no one will save us. And let’s not talk about if you are leveraged. Being leveraged and having the position run against you is one of the hardest experiences a trader can have. Seeing how your capital is destroyed at forced marches, how losses increase, how you are not able to close because you expect a recovery to do so is dramatic. Realizing that first loss, which at first seemed big to you and now doesn’t seem so much. You would “kill” to lose only that. Then, once you are losing a lot you will no longer be able to close. There comes a time when you assume it and let the losses run as far as they go. You have accepted it. You risk the account in the hope of recovering. This means hours of waiting for the desired recovery. In addition, the market is very rogue. After the fall comes the rebound, usually up to half. You get the idea that it is going to recover completely and instead of closing you hold on to see if the moment comes when you no longer lose anything. The market will make you believe that this is going to happen. You may even average (add more positions) so that the recovery is faster and by the way, if the price goes beyond where you have opened the first operation, you even come out with profits. But, as I say, the market is very cruel and when you start to dream and have hope again, it turns around and falls with even more force if possible, crushing your account and destroying your morale. The result we all know. If the account does not have enough capital to withstand the bleeding, margin call will “come to see us”. And if it does, it will take you days, weeks, months or even years to recover your capital, if you do. Days, weeks, months and even years without liquidity to do what you like the most, trading. In view of this, stoploss, as well as avoiding any situation that makes you lose is more than justified.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by CryptoCoBit
xauusd recent update In our previous analysis quoted above we have referred 2407 area as the area of retracement as there is strong support in that zone. and as we predicted the same happened the market retraced from than zone and again hit back the zone creating a DOUBLE BOTTOM and again goin up to nearby resistance zone. support and pivot 2407-2405 if this area is not breached then market will fly back to 2445 zone. bullish targets : 2415 2421 2433 2445 bearish targets : 2401 2397 2391 2382 2376 follow us share us and like us happy trading❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
TYPES OF MARKET ANALYSIS1) Fundamental analysis. fundamental analysis focus mainly on micro and macro event that will control market situations in the present and in the future. it includes various events in economic calendar like PPI CPI NonFarm Payroll, Interest rate decisions, and geopolitical senarios like election war climate issues etc 2) Technical analysis. Technical analysis mainly focus on indicators chart analysis volume analysis, various analysis like following candle stick pattern, trading strategies based on indicators 3) Market sentiments Market sentiments focus mainly on how the crowd anticipate wheich direction will market go, like when xauusd reached at its all time top everyone believed it will have a retracement from that zone like share and follow us for more such informative contents
Education
by realmillionairefx
Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 20-May-24 to 24-May-24Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 20-May-24 to 24-May-24 Nifty closed at 22502 (22055) and touched low & high of 21836 & 22514 Nifty was up from the support level. RSI and stochastics levels was up from last week (56 % & 69% Respectively). Both are moving up towards oversold zone. Nifty 22502- Short & medium term (Neutral till it cross 22820 decisively) As mentioned in the past 1.5 month, nifty reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance target) again, formed a 'W' pattern. ( 22819 Target- which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak/23000 which need be crossed decisively. Nifty at PE 21.5 below the Historical Average of 22.5, only Political results is awaited which will give a clear direction. Short term support 22312 (MA 50)- Nifty last week had a pause between 2220-22300/ 22050 ( Trend Line Support as shown) /21800 Medium term Support - 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 24000 ( Trend Line Resistance till Jun 2024) & Support at 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). All Companies so far posted results are average other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance, Ultratech posted good growth. Other manufacturing, capital goods companies results are awaited in coming weeks. Nifty bank 48199(47421) - Nifty bank tested trend line support 47000 last week and later part of the week. Many bank & Finance stocks are buyable zone. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bank of Maharasthra ( Buy on Dips) ,Canara bank( Buy on Dips) can be accumulated slowly as well. Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Apollo tyres, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quantities till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32919. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend.ifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 13-May-24 to 17-May-24 every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Request Any Instrument - Celebrating 3k Ideas on TradingView🎉Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 🎉I am thrilled and grateful to announce that we have reached 3,000 ideas on this amazing platform. Your support, engagement, and feedback have been invaluable in making this possible. It is an honor to be part of such a talented and passionate community of traders and investors. 📌To celebrate together, feel free to request any instrument (crypto, stock, forex...) in the comment section of this post. I will analyze it as soon as possible and post it as a reply to your comment. ____________________ I want to express my heartfelt gratitude to each and every one of you who has followed my profile, liked my posts, shared your insights and ideas, and left comments. Your contributions have made TradingView a vibrant and supportive community, and I am proud to be a part of it. I look forward to continuing to share my trading insights and analysis with you, and to learn from the incredible expertise and experience that you all bring to the table. Thank you once again for your support, and here's to many more successful trades together! 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
73
The art of trading in favor of the TrendWe have a clear bias of a psychological nature that basically consists of going against everything that experiences a movement in favor. When a trend is established, it always tends to last longer than we expect: _ It’s going to turn around now!, it’s going to turn around now! but it never does. All that time you’re waiting for a market to turn is precious time you’re losing to go in favor. You’re missing multiple opportunities by waiting for just one, the turn. And what’s worse, you’re probably even entering the market against it, with its consequent “bites” to your account. When there is an established trend, the best thing you can do is wait for a retracement of it to enter in its favor. Therefore: - Every time there is a trend, for example bullish, if you go against it at every resistance you find, you are trading counter-trend. - Likewise, if you go against it at every support, in a bearish trend, you are trading counter-trend. Many times prices stop at supports and resistances, and you may get a “pinch” but by doing so you are not trading in the correct way but as the market wants you to do.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by CryptoCoBit
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series]Understanding Forex Market StructureHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Let's begin with our topic today! The forex market, being decentralized and over-the-counter (OTC), operates differently from traditional centralized exchanges. To navigate it effectively, traders need to comprehend its unique structure. Market structure refers to the arrangement of price action within a given market, encompassing key elements such as trends, support and resistance levels, and price behavior. 1. Trends: Trends are one of the fundamental aspects of market structure. They depict the overall direction of price movement over time. Traders often classify trends as bullish (upward), bearish (downward), or ranging (sideways). Understanding the prevailing trend helps traders align their strategies accordingly. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Support and resistance levels (or known as supply and demand levels/zones) are areas where price tends to stall, reverse, or exhibit significant buying or selling pressures. These levels/areas form the building blocks of market structure and are crucial for identifying potential entry and exit points. Support represents levels where buying interest outweighs selling pressure, preventing prices from falling further. Conversely, resistance denotes areas where selling pressure surpasses buying interest, hindering further upward movement. If you have cluster of candle's tail in a area/levels, likely it would be supply/demand liquidity pocket 3. Price Behavior: Price behavior within market structure provides valuable insights into market sentiment and participant dynamics. Patterns such as higher highs and higher lows in an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows in a downtrend, signify the strength or weakness of a trend. Additionally, the manner in which price interacts with support and resistance levels can indicate potential reversals or continuations. 4. Market Phases: Understanding different phases of the market, such as accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown, aids in deciphering market structure. Each phase reflects the behavior of market participants and their collective impact on price action. Recognizing these phases enables traders to anticipate potential shifts in market direction and adjust their strategies accordingly. Conclusion: In summary, comprehending forex market structure is essential for effective trading. By analyzing trends, identifying key support and resistance levels, observing price behavior, and recognizing market phases, traders can make informed decisions and navigate the forex market with confidence. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
DXY - Bearish => Bullish!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per our previous analysis, DXY rejected the upper bound of the red channel and traded lower. What's next? 📉 DXY is undergoing a correction phase , trading within the rising channel in red, and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand zone highlighted in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower red trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #DXY approaches the lower blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
TVC:DXY
by TheSignalyst
1
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 13-May-24 to 17-May-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 13-May-24 to 17-May-24 Nifty closed at 22055(22440) and touched low & high of 21935 & 22585 Nifty was up from the support level and was trading inside the range (22000-22800) provided last month. However broke the support and touched down 21935. RSI and stochastics levels was up from last week(41.45 % & 13% Respectively). Both are near to oversold zone. All Companies so far posted results are average other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance, Ultratech posted good growth. Other manufacturing, capital goods companies results are awaited in coming weeks. Nifty bank 47421(48896) - Nifty bank was up marginally inline with nifty last week. Many bank & Finance stocks are buyable zone. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bank of Maharasthra ( Buy on Dips) ,Canara bank( Buy on Dips) can be accumulated slowly as well. Apart from that Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities, Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Apollo tyres, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) Nifty 224055- Short & medium term (Neutral) Nifty have resistance at 22350 ( MA 50). As mentioned in the past month, nifty almost reached the near term target 22819 two weeks before (Fibonacci extended resistance target) and started falling ( 22819 Target- which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak/23000 which cant be crossed decisively. Short term support 22230 (MA 50)/22000/21800 Medium term Support - 21721 (Mar Low),21500 (Fib & Trend Line Support),21180, 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 23300 ( Trend Line Resistance till May 2024) to 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Market Awaiting for the Q4 results to take a cue. Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quanties till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT broke the Major support at 32935. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend.ifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 13-May-24 to 17-May-24 every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) Nifty 22419- Short & medium term (Neutral) As insisted in the last month, Market need to decisively close above 22800 to move up further. As expected last week for come back rally market went up.As mentioned in the past month, nifty almost reached the near term target 22819 two weeks before (Fibonacci extended resistance target) and started falling ( 22819 Target- which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak/23000 and again trying to cross it. Short term support 22230 (MA 50)/22000/21800 Medium term Support - 21721 (Mar Low),21554 (Fib Support),21300, 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 23300 ( Trend Line Resistance till May 2024) to 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Market Awaiting for the Q4 results to take a cue. Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quanties till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT broke the Major support at 34918 /34000 two weeks before and went upto 32919. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend. Nifty closed at 22055(22440) and touched low & high of 21935 & 22585 Nifty was up from the support level and was trading inside the range (22000-22800) provided last month. However broke the support and touched down 21935.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
CAN THE MARKET SURVIVE AN 80% CRASH, WHAT ABOUT ONLY 40%?So, for anyone who likes to watch certain movements. A big one is about to occur. A rejection from this break is the covid drop. about 30% and some. However, the end of the cycle, if you believe in those kind of things, would be a 100% retrace of the impulse with a little extra on the downside, which closes all gaps, I believe. That takes us down below 200. It would have to be quick. Next cycle then starts and pulls us up to $600. I tried to mark it in orange. This chart isn't an idea as in (I REALLY THINK WE'RE DROPPING 80% in less than 1 year). This is more to show that trend break from the past and the trend break showing. 518 to 530. CAREFUL ZONE!!! Market is showing a lot of crazy movements and numbers. I think something has to be "up" such as China and Taiwan considering what we're seeing with semiconductors.
AMEX:SPYShort
by nicktussing77
6
GOLD CUP & HANDLEHey there, a CUP & HANDLE is forming up, which could lead GOLD into a downtrend (since the CUP formed already). If you are new to this, feel free to check out my Videos and charts about Cup $ Handle, which are explanationary and educating. In addition to the overall fear and uncertainity in the markets, especially with an eye on corona virus, people are panicking all around. To be honest, it a bloodbath right now...and even Gold can fall pretty hard (as you can see in 2008 financial crisis, where it dumped about 40% as well) Be careful with your funds, I personnaly "average in" a little every month, sometimes I fill my bags when we drop for 10-20$ which happens these days... This is a short update on Gold, happy trading and have a nice day, your quality-trader
XETR:DAXLong
by GER-Quality-Trades
EURUSD - Long Term and Short Term Top Down AnalysisHey guys! Here is a top down analysis on the EURUSD pair. I see a great deal of bullishness currently, but i am convinced this bullishness is to take prices into the 4 hour zone sitting a few pips above the 1 hour liquidity target. If that happens, I will expect to see prices begin to u turn bearish and head in the direction of the 4 hour and daily liquidity for a start, and eventually go all the way down to the monthly and weekly liquidity point. On the whole, the market is sort bullish, up through the current 1 hour liquidity target and through to the 4 hour zone, from where we will expect to see the bears take over the market. This is the most likely perspective on direction with regards to market and price movement on this pair.
by PanzyPips
S&P 500 At Major Decision PointThe stock market is at a major decision point, with 1969 low unemployment up-trending for the better part of the last year. Low unemployment *potentially* signals the maximum productivity of an economy. This is an important area to watch and wait. If we break above and trend-line check into support it could mean a bull market similar to 1990's is starting. However if it holds as resistance we're unfortunately looking at a move back down to support much much lower than where we are right now. I'd like to think because of visiting support twice in the dot-com crash and mortgage crisis that we are much more likely to break upward. But caution should be on our minds. It's a very good idea to sit on the sidelines and wait for a clear direction to emerge. Good luck!
SP:SPX
by bwy
ETH - Massive Bullish Impulse Soon ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 ETH has been overall bullish, trading above the red trendline which is acting as a non-horizontal support. Currently, ETH is in a correction phase trading within the falling orange channel. Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand in green at $2900 - $3000. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower orange/red trendlines. 📚 As per my trading style: As #ETH approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
6