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Bitcoin: Identifying Fractal FormationGreetings, dear friends, traders and enthusiasts! Today, let's dive into a chart analysis that uncovers a phenomenon – the formation of a fractal pattern. As we explore the intricacies of this market movement, we'll navigate through key trends and potential shifts that offer valuable insights for our trading journey. On the chart, we can observe the formation of a fractal pattern. The downtrend formation began within July, characterized by a prolonged sideways movement with periodic false upward breakouts, continuing until mid-August. Confirmation of the continuation of the descending trend was marked by a sharp price drop from 29 to 25 thousand. Currently, the price is following a very similar path (fractal) as before. We are now in a sideways phase, having already experienced one false breakout. Ahead of us lies a few days of sideways movement, with price oscillating within the range of 25,900 to 26,000. By the end of August or so, another false breakout might emerge. In the final days of summer, a price decrease can be anticipated, potentially even a significant one. I've attached my chart with a larger timeframe for a broader perspective👇 Thanks for Your attention.♥️ I hope this analysis was engaging and informative. Yours sincerely, Kateryna 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RocketBomb
2
The Journey of a Successful Trader: From Beginner to Pro Embarking on a journey to become a successful trader is not for the faint-hearted. It requires dedication, perseverance, and a deep understanding of market dynamics. In this article, we'll explore the fascinating journey of a trader, from their humble beginnings to reaching the pinnacle of success in the financial world. 1. The Awakening: The first step on this journey is often triggered by a profound realization that trading offers an opportunity for financial independence and freedom. It could be sparked by an inspiring story or personal circumstances that necessitate a change in career path. 2. The Learning Phase: Becoming a trader requires a solid education in finance, economics, and market analysis. Traders spend countless hours researching, reading books, attending courses, and practicing trading strategies. 3. The Emotional Rollercoaster: The emotional aspect of trading can be overwhelming. Successful traders learn to manage their emotions, overcome fear and greed, and develop disciplined trading habits. They understand that psychology plays a vital role in decision-making and work on cultivating mental resilience. 4. The Trading Plan: A trader's journey is incomplete without a well-defined trading plan. They learn to set realistic goals, identify their risk tolerance, and map out a strategy tailored to their trading style. 5. The Market Battle: Trading is not all smooth sailing. Traders face countless challenges, including market volatility, unexpected news events, and trading psychology hurdles. Successful traders adapt to changing market conditions, constantly refine their strategies, and learn from both their successes and failures. 6. Achieving Consistency: Consistency is the key to success in trading. Traders need to develop a refined skill set, adapt to new market trends, and maintain a disciplined approach to their trading plan. 7. Becoming a Mentor: Many successful traders reach a point where they become mentors, sharing their knowledge and experience with others. Mentoring not only allows them to give back to the trading community but also reinforces their own expertise and helps them stay up-to-date with market developments. The journey of a successful trader is a lifelong pursuit of knowledge, discipline, and continuous self-improvement. It requires dedication, resilience, and the ability to learn from both successes and failures. By mastering market dynamics, emotional control, and developing a trading plan, traders can move closer to their ultimate goal of consistently profitable trading. Please, like this post and subscribe to our tradingview page!👍
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by EliteTradingSignals
5
Where There is Smoke, There is Fire | CSX Short 🚂Classic short setup for CSX railroad here. It just so happens other railroads are also showing bearish formations with imminent resolution - most likely to the downside - ahead. Remember: we are at 3.6% unemployment - a rate that has remained historically unsustainable, and elusive if not unattainable - for the last 75 years. Combining the "large-time-frame" bearish formation of CSX and the current status of the long-run labor market, I think we have a strong case for a weak aggregate demand. Not to mention, oil has been selling off for a year, despite higher unemployment. So... what gives?
NASDAQ:CSXShort
by ChiefMacro
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 1/08US and European markets saw a relatively tame session to end the month. Major indexes remain buoyant and edge higher even as the USD gains and US Bond yields hold around long term highs. While traders focus on the end of a global interest rate rising cycle, share markets remain risk on. For me, the technical view remains positive for now with focus today on the RBA rate statement today in our local market and then it will shift to the US Key employment data at the end of the week. Expecting a stronger open in Asia with the ASX200 to open up 25 pts, the Nikkei to open flat and Hang Seng to open up 210 pts. Traders will be keeping an eye on coming employment data and rate Statements from the RBA today and BOE later in the week, for an updated outlook for Global interest rates and inflation. Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 28/07US markets moved lower on prospects of higher interest rates. Bond yields in the US spiked as to did the USD which pressured dollar denominated assets like Gold, Silver and Copper. The major US indexes moved lower on news that Japan is going to let longer term bond yields move higher which in turn pressured US bonds lower and detracted from the attractiveness of stocks. I expect that there was a lot of profit taken which may continue into the coming US session. I expect Europe will open weaker, especially the DAX, as it plays catchup with the US led selloff. Expecting a weak open in Asia with the ASX200 to open up 40 pts, the Nikkei to open down 380 pts and Hang Seng to open down 320 pts. Traders will be keeping an eye on coming economic data and the BOJ press conference today for some direction on Bond yields and in turn share markets. Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper ** If you like the content then take a look at my WEBSITE in the profile to get more daily ideas and learning material ** ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. **
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Unveiling the Advantages of Trading a Single Currency Pair Introduction: In the world of foreign exchange (forex) trading, traders have an array of currency pairs to choose from. Among the various strategies employed by forex traders, a popular approach is to focus on trading a single currency pair. While some may argue that diversification across multiple currencies is more beneficial, trading one currency pair comes with its own set of advantages. In this article, we will explore these benefits and shed light on why concentrating on a single currency pair can maximize your trading potential. 1. Increased Specialization: By focusing on a single currency pair, traders gain the boon of deep specialization. They can dedicate their time, energy, and resources to thoroughly studying and understanding the dynamics, trends, and drivers specific to that particular currency pair. In-depth knowledge allows traders to make more informed decisions, leading to higher chances of profitability. 2. Clarity in Market Analysis: Trading a single currency pair enables traders to develop a comprehensive understanding of the factors driving that particular pair's movement. They can delve into technical analysis, monitor news releases, and study relevant economic indicators with greater precision and efficiency. This clarity in market analysis helps traders identify patterns and make accurate predictions, consequently enhancing their trading strategies. 3. Enhanced Risk Management: Concentrating on one currency pair enables traders to manage risk more effectively. They can closely track and analyze historical data, volatility patterns, and overall market behavior. 4. Time Management Advantage: Trading a single currency pair allows traders to manage their time more efficiently. Instead of spreading their attention across multiple pairs, which require continuous monitoring and analysis, traders can focus on one pair and streamline their research efforts. This time management advantage permits traders to conduct thorough analyses, develop effective trading strategies, and implement risk management techniques without being overwhelmed by the sheer volume of currency pairs. 5. Optimized Trade Execution: Trading a single currency pair empowers traders to execute trades with greater precision and speed. Being highly specialized in a particular pair enables traders to spot opportunities promptly and take advantage of favorable trade setups. Conclusion: While diversification has its merits, trading a single currency pair offers unique advantages that can significantly impact a trader's success. Increased specialization, clarity in market analysis, enhanced risk management, time management advantage, optimized trade execution, and the potential for becoming an expert are some of the key benefits that traders can enjoy by focusing on one currency pair. As with any trading strategy, it is essential to conduct thorough research and practice disciplined risk management to realize the full potential of your trading endeavors Please, like this post and subscribe to our tradingview page!👍
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by EliteTradingSignals
12
Daily Market Analysis - WEDNESDAY JUNE 28, 2023US Stocks Rebound As A Result Of Positive Economic Data Key News: USA – Fed Chair Powell Speaks USA – Crude Oil Inventories Tuesday witnessed a notable recovery in US stock indices, signaling a turnaround from a recent string of losses. The resurgence was spurred by positive economic data, easing investor concerns regarding a potential recession triggered by the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, comprising esteemed blue-chip stocks, halted its six-day losing streak on Tuesday. Simultaneously, the Nasdaq Composite, predominantly representing technology-related firms, appeared poised to achieve its strongest first-half performance in forty years. Furthermore, the S&P 500 rebounded after enduring declines in five out of the past six trading sessions. DJI indice daily chart NASDAQ indice daily chart SPX indice daily chart In a surprising turn, recent reports unveiled unforeseen growth in new orders for crucial US-manufactured capital goods in May. Furthermore, the month witnessed a substantial surge in sales of new single-family homes, alongside a nearly 1-1/2 year high in US consumer confidence in June. These encouraging economic indicators provided investors with a compelling incentive to reengage in the stock market, following a significant correction in previous sessions. Mark Luschini, the chief investment strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott in Philadelphia, described the recent correction as a "pretty vicious" one. EUR/USD daily chart Yesterday, the euro demonstrated a robust performance in response to the hawkish stance adopted by European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde and several other members of the ECB governing council regarding future interest rate increases. This indicates that the central bank has now made a commitment to implement another rate hike in July, with the possibility of a further increase in September. Lagarde has also dismissed the likelihood of a rapid decrease in rates, although her previous reversals on such matters have not been forgotten. A notable example was her statement at the end of 2021, when she declared a low probability of rate hikes in 2022. GBP/USD daily chart The pound has shown a gradual increase in value as traders intensify their expectations for a potential rate hike by the Bank of England. Speculation is mounting that the central bank may consider raising interest rates to a level above 6%, which has sparked renewed interest and confidence in the currency. The market sentiment surrounding the pound has shifted in favor of a more hawkish stance, driven by factors such as improving economic indicators and a belief that the Bank of England may take a proactive approach to control inflationary pressures. As a result, traders are adjusting their positions and positioning themselves to take advantage of a potential rate hike, leading to increased demand for the pound. However, it's important to note that these expectations are based on market speculation, and the actual decision by the Bank of England remains uncertain. USD/JPY daily chart The Japanese yen continues to face significant downward pressure, resulting in a decline against the US dollar, with the exchange rate reaching 144.00. Additionally, the yen has reached an 8-year low against the pound, reflecting the persistent weakness in the currency. The yen's depreciation can be attributed to a combination of factors, including the diverging monetary policies between the Bank of Japan and other major central banks, as well as a general risk-on sentiment in the markets, which has led to increased demand for higher-yielding assets. In contrast, the Canadian dollar (CAD) has displayed remarkable strength among G10 currencies over the past month, and it has managed to maintain most of its gains leading up to the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data today. During the overnight session, the USD/CAD pair reached its lowest level since September 2022, indicating the Canadian dollar's resilience. Although there has been a slight upward correction during European trading, the overall downward trend observed in June remains intact. Market participants are now eagerly awaiting the release of May CPI data in Canada, as it will provide further insights into the country's inflationary pressures. Positive CPI figures could potentially bolster the Canadian dollar further, reaffirming its strength in the forex market. Conversely, weaker-than-expected CPI data may dampen the currency's recent performance. Overall, the Japanese yen faces continued downward pressure, while the Canadian dollar remains strong and closely monitored ahead of the CPI data release, which could have a significant impact on its future trajectory. USD/CAD daily chart According to HSBC economists, there is an expectation of a 0.5% month-on-month increase in price pressures, surpassing the consensus estimate of 0.4%. This anticipated rise in inflation is driven by persistent upward pressure on mortgage interest costs and a seasonal uptick in food prices. If the actual price pressures exceed expectations on the upside, it could reinforce the likelihood of a quarter-point interest rate hike at the Bank of Canada's July meeting. Such a move would further bolster the strength of the Canadian dollar due to the impact of higher interest rates. Currently, swap markets are pricing in a 15-basis point increase in rates. However, it is important to note that the year-on-year inflation rates for both headline and core measures are projected to slow down compared to the levels seen in April. This deceleration is attributed to the increasing influence of base effects, where the comparison is made against higher inflation rates from the previous year. In addition to the upcoming inflation data, market participants are also anticipating other economic indicators and events this week. Of particular importance is a crucial inflation indicator, which will provide further insights into the state of inflationary pressures. Furthermore, a speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the European Central Bank Forum in Sintra, Portugal, is expected to shed light on the future direction of interest rates and the monetary policy outlook. These upcoming events and data releases are likely to play a significant role in shaping market expectations regarding interest rates and could have implications for currency movements, including the Canadian dollar. Traders and investors will closely analyze the outcomes and statements to make informed decisions in response to the evolving economic landscape.
by FOREXN1
11
Mastering Pro Forex and Gold Trading As a professional forex and gold trader, it's essential to understand the anatomy of successful trading. From market analysis to risk management, there are specific body parts, or components, that make up a successful trader. Here's a breakdown of each component and its role in pro trading. 👁 Eyes - Market Analysis Successful traders know that the markets are dynamic, and they must keep a keen eye on market trends and data. By scanning the markets, using technical analysis, and fundamentals-based analysis, traders can make informed trading decisions. 🧠 Brain - Discipline and Strategy Traders must have the discipline to stick to their trading strategy and be ready to pivot when necessary. Having a clear trading plan and risk management strategy is essential, and traders must keep a cool head in the face of market volatility. ❤️ Heart - Risk Management In trading, you need to know when to hold 'em and when to fold 'em. Successful traders must have a heart for risk management and know how to manage their trading capital effectively. 🙌 Hands - Execution To execute good trades, you must have nimble hands that can take swift action when the opportunity presents itself. Traders must know how to enter and exit trades quickly and efficiently to maximize profits and minimize losses. 👂 Ears - Listening to the Market Experienced traders know that the market can be unpredictable, so it's essential to actively listen and take in information from various sources to stay on top of trends and changes in market sentiment. 🦵 Feet - Adaptability Successful traders must be able to pivot and adapt to sudden changes in the markets. Whether it's political unrest, natural disasters, or unexpected market moves, traders must be able to react quickly and adjust their trading strategy accordingly. 👄 Mouth - Community and Networking Experienced traders know that trading is not a solitary endeavor and that community and networking are essential to successful trading. Sharing knowledge, joining trading communities, and networking with fellow traders can provide valuable insights and support when trading. By understanding the anatomy of pro forex and gold trading, traders can develop the mindset and skills necessary to succeed in trading. From market analysis to risk management, each component plays a critical role in successful trading. Physical attributes like hands and feet can be developed with practice, but the heart and the brain are equally important, and they require discipline, strategy, and adaptability to thrive in the ever-changing world of trading. Please, like this post and subscribe to our tradingview page!👍
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by EliteTradingSignals
9
APTOS: Bullish Flag Pattern Detected Continuation to $20!Hello, Traders! Today, I want to share an exciting technical analysis finding on Aptos (APTOS). A bullish flag pattern has been identified, indicating the potential for a continuation of the previous uptrend, with a target of $20. Let's dive into the details! 📈 Ticker: APTOS 📅 Timeframe: Daily Chart 📊 Pattern: Bullish Flag 📉 Understanding the Bullish Flag Pattern: A bullish flag pattern is a continuation pattern that typically forms after a strong upward price movement. It consists of a flagpole (the initial sharp rise) followed by a consolidation phase in the form of a rectangular flag. This pattern suggests that the market is taking a brief pause before resuming the upward momentum. 🔍 Identifying the Bullish Flag on APTOS: Upon analyzing the daily chart of APTOS, the following observations come to light: 1️⃣ Strong Uptrend: APTOS has experienced a notable upward price movement. 2️⃣ Rectangular Flag: A consolidation phase formed with parallel trendlines, resembling a flag, following the initial rally. 3️⃣ Decreasing Volume: The trading volume during the consolidation phase has declined, indicating a potential temporary lull in market activity. 📈 Price Targets and Trading Strategy: If the bullish flag pattern on APTOS plays out as expected, it suggests a potential continuation of the previous uptrend. Consider the following revised price targets: 1️⃣ Target 1: Resistance level near $15.00 2️⃣ Target 2: Potential breakout towards the next resistance level near $18.00 3️⃣ Target 3: Extended move towards the top of the bull flag near $20.00 🛡️ Risk Management: Managing risk is crucial for successful trading. Implement the following risk management techniques: 1️⃣ Set a stop-loss order below the lower boundary of the flag pattern to protect against unexpected price reversals. 2️⃣ Adjust position size based on your risk tolerance and overall portfolio management strategy. 🔔 Conclusion: Keep a close eye on Aptos (APTOS) as it exhibits a bullish flag pattern, indicating the potential for a continuation of the previous uptrend. The revised price targets suggest potential resistance levels at $15.00, $18.00, and an extended move towards the top of the bull flag at $20.00. However, please note that technical analysis is not infallible, and market conditions can change rapidly. Combine this analysis with other relevant factors and fundamental research before making any trading decisions. Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions. Happy Trading! 📈💰 #tradingview #technicalanalysis #bullishflagpattern #APTOS #continuationpattern #tradingstrategies #investing #finance #marketanalysis
Long
by STP_MrNodeItAll
1
$TOTALDEFI Identifying a Rectangle Bottom PatternHello, Traders! Today, I want to share an exciting technical analysis finding on the cryptocurrency Total DeFi ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI ). A rectangle bottom pattern has been identified, indicating the potential for a bullish move in the near future. Let's delve into the details! 📈 Ticker: CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI 📅 Timeframe: Daily Chart 📊 Pattern: Rectangle Bottom 📉 Understanding the Rectangle Bottom Pattern: A rectangle bottom is a bullish chart pattern characterized by a horizontal price consolidation range. It signifies a period of consolidation before a potential bullish breakout. This pattern indicates the possibility of an upward price movement. 🔍 Identifying the Rectangle Bottom on CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI : Upon analyzing the daily chart of CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI , the following observations come to light: 1️⃣ Price consolidation range: CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI has been trading within a horizontal range, with relatively equal highs and lows. 2️⃣ Multiple touches: The price has tested the upper and lower boundaries of the range multiple times, confirming the validity of the pattern. 3️⃣ Volume analysis: Observe increasing trading volume during the breakout phase to confirm the pattern's reliability. 📈 Price Targets and Trading Strategy: If the rectangle bottom pattern on CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI plays out as anticipated, a potential bullish breakout above the upper boundary may occur, indicating a potential price appreciation. Consider the following price targets: 1️⃣ Target 1: Resistance level near $60 billion 2️⃣ Target 2: Psychological resistance near $80 billion 🛡️ Risk Management: Managing risk is crucial for successful trading. Implement the following risk management techniques: 1️⃣ Set a stop-loss order below the lower boundary to protect against unexpected price reversals. 2️⃣ Adjust position size based on your risk tolerance and overall portfolio management strategy. 🔔 Conclusion: Keep a close eye on Total DeFi ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFI ) as it continues to develop this rectangle bottom pattern. The pattern suggests the potential for a bullish breakout and subsequent price increase. However, please remember that technical analysis is not foolproof, and market conditions can change. Consider incorporating additional analysis and fundamental factors before making any trading decisions. Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Happy Trading! 📈💰 #tradingview #technicalanalysis #rectanglebottom #bullishpotential #TOTALDEFI #cryptocurrency #chartpatterns #tradingstrategies #investing #finance #marketanalysis
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFILong
by STP_MrNodeItAll
1
Promising Falling Wedge Pattern on $RIVNGreetings, Traders! Today, I'm excited to share a compelling technical analysis finding on the stock of Rivian Automotive ( NASDAQ:RIVN ). A falling wedge pattern has been identified, suggesting the potential for a bullish reversal in the near future. Let's delve into the details! 📈 Ticker: NASDAQ:RIVN 📅 Timeframe: Daily Chart 📊 Pattern: Falling Wedge 📉 Understanding the Falling Wedge Pattern: A falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern characterized by converging trendlines that slope downward. Typically formed during a downtrend, it indicates diminishing selling pressure and the potential for a reversal. This pattern suggests the possibility of an upward price movement. 🔍 Identifying the Falling Wedge on NASDAQ:RIVN : Upon analyzing the daily chart of NASDAQ:RIVN , the following observations come to light: 1️⃣ Recent downtrend: NASDAQ:RIVN has experienced a decline in price over the past weeks. 2️⃣ Converging trendlines: The upper trendline connects the lower highs, while the lower trendline connects the lower lows. 3️⃣ Decreasing trading volume: As the falling wedge pattern forms, the trading volume has been declining, indicating a potential reduction in selling pressure. 📈 Price Targets and Trading Strategy: If the falling wedge pattern on NASDAQ:RIVN plays out as anticipated, a potential bullish breakout above the upper trendline might occur, triggering a reversal and potential price appreciation. Consider the following price targets: 1️⃣ Target 1: Resistance level near $100.00 2️⃣ Target 2: Psychological resistance near $120.00 🛡️ Risk Management: Proper risk management is essential for successful trading. Implement the following risk management techniques: 1️⃣ Set a stop-loss order below the lower trendline to protect against unexpected price fluctuations. 2️⃣ Adjust position size based on your risk tolerance and overall portfolio management strategy. 🔔 Conclusion: Stay vigilant as Rivian Automotive ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) continues to develop this falling wedge pattern. The formation suggests the potential for a bullish reversal in the near future. However, remember that technical analysis is not foolproof, and market conditions can change rapidly. Consider integrating this analysis with other relevant factors before making trading decisions. Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Happy Trading! 📈💰 #tradingview #technicalanalysis #fallingwedge #bullishreversal #RIVN #stockanalysis #chartpatterns #tradingstrategies #investing #finance #marketanalysis
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by STP_MrNodeItAll
Daily Market Analysis - Thursday June 15, 2023Market Analysis: Global shares decline, dollar recovers as Fed pauses rate hikes; ECB and BOJ meetings awaited. Key events on the economic calendar include: New Zealand GDP (QoQ) for the first quarter. Eurozone Deposit Facility Rate announcement for June. Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision for June. US Core Retail Sales (MoM) data for May. US Initial Jobless Claims report. US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for June. US Retail Sales (MoM) data for May. Eurozone ECB Press Conference. On Wednesday, global stock markets saw a decline, while the US dollar managed to regain some of its losses. This came after the US Federal Reserve, as expected, announced a pause in its interest rate hikes. However, the central bank also hinted at the possibility of raising rates by an additional 0.5% before the end of the year. During its recent two-day meeting, the Federal Reserve presented new economic projections that indicated a potential 0.5% increase in borrowing costs by the end of 2023. This projection was based on a stronger-than-expected economy and a slower decline in inflation. US Fed funds rate The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), responsible for determining interest rates, unanimously stated in its policy statement that maintaining the current target interest rate range during this meeting would allow the committee to assess additional information and its implications for monetary policy. While it was widely anticipated that the US Federal Reserve would pause its rate hikes, the focus shifted to the communication surrounding potential future increases. In a surprising twist, the participants of the FOMC adopted a more hawkish stance. The median forecast for the end of 2023 regarding the Federal Funds rate was revised upward by 50 basis points, now ranging from 5.50% to 5.75%. SPX NASDAQ and DJI indices daily chart Following the announcement, the closing results of the stock market exhibited a mixed picture. The Dow Jones index concluded the day with a decline of over 230 points, while the S&P 500 index managed to secure a modest gain of 0.1%. The Nasdaq index, on the other hand, experienced a more significant increase of 0.4%. Notably, the Nasdaq Composite index was primarily driven by the positive performance of AI-related stocks, including Nvidia and AMD. In addition to the stock market movements, Wednesday started with Bitcoin surpassing the $26,000 milestone. However, it retraced shortly afterward and reached a 24-hour low of $25,791. Analysts are speculating that it may potentially drop further to $25,000. These sentiments are influenced by ongoing discussions on cryptocurrency regulation, which have been dominating the news recently. BTC/USD daily chart On the flip side, gold prices initially saw an uptick, reaching $1,959 per ounce during the session. However, as Asian traders kickstart their day, the price of gold has resumed its downward trajectory, edging closer to the $1,930 level. This downward movement can be attributed to the hawkish stance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which has bolstered the United States Dollar (USD). The prevailing market sentiment currently favors the USD, consequently exerting downward pressure on the price of gold. XAU/USD daily chart The US dollar has demonstrated a decline against multiple currencies, resulting in a 0.32% drop in the DXY index. Among the currencies, the New Zealand dollar (NZD) experienced the most notable movement, surging by over one percent and reaching a three-week high at $0.6211. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) and the British Pound (GBP) registered more modest gains, each recording an increase of 0.39%. NZD/USD daily chart Despite the release of favorable exports and machinery orders data, the Japanese yen encountered a 0.9% decline, emerging as the primary loser in the Asian markets. Investor focus was predominantly directed towards the upcoming Bank of Japan (BOJ) meeting scheduled for Friday. It is widely expected that the central bank will maintain its accommodative monetary policy stance to bolster domestic economic growth. This anticipated approach is anticipated to have a favorable influence on Japanese stocks. USD/JPY daily chart Nevertheless, the Japanese yen is expected to encounter further selling pressure as interest rates rise in other regions, diminishing its appeal. Bank of Japan (BOJ) officials, including the newly appointed Governor Kazuo Ueda, have expressed their intention to maintain the bank's yield curve control policy to provide support to the domestic economy. Furthermore, the diminished anticipation of Japanese government intervention in stabilizing currency markets has contributed to the yen's weakening. While officials have issued verbal warnings, no concrete actions have been taken thus far. Currently, traders are closely watching the upcoming monetary policy announcements from the European Central Bank (ECB), scheduled for later in the day at 12:15 GMT. It is widely anticipated that the ECB will implement a 25 basis points increase in key rates. However, the Staff Economic Projections and the subsequent press conference by President Christine Lagarde will play a crucial role in shaping future policy direction. Market expectations indicate that interest rates will likely reach their peak in July, with speculation of an additional rate hike following June's increase, followed by a potential pause in September. If the ECB adopts a more hawkish stance by implementing a rate hike, it is expected to exert additional selling pressure on the price of gold.
by FOREXN1
1
Enhance Your Trading Strategy with MACD and RSI ConvergenceIntroduction: Welcome, fellow traders! Today, I'm excited to present a step-by-step tutorial on how to enhance your trading strategy using a combination of two powerful technical indicators: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) . Section 1: Understanding MACD and RSI - Exploring the Components MACD: The MACD consists of three components: MACD line : Represents the difference between two moving averages, typically the 12-day and 26-day exponential moving averages. Signal line : A 9-day exponential moving average of the MACD line. Histogram : Displays the difference between the MACD line and the signal line, providing visual cues about the momentum of the price movement. RSI: The RSI is an oscillator that measures the strength and speed of price movements on a scale from 0 to 100. Readings above 70 indicate overbought conditions, suggesting a potential price reversal. Readings below 30 indicate oversold conditions, suggesting a potential price bounce. Divergence between price and RSI can be a signal of a trend reversal. Section 2: The Idea Behind the Strategy - Combining MACD and RSI By aligning the signals of MACD and RSI , we aim to increase the reliability of our trading decisions. When both indicators provide signals in the same direction, it enhances the probability of a successful trade. The convergence of MACD and RSI helps filter out false signals and focus on high-probability trade setups. Section 3: Implementing the Strategy - Identifying Bullish and Bearish Signals Look for a bullish crossover: MACD line crossing above the signal line , indicating upward momentum. Confirm the bullish signal: Ensure the RSI reading is above a specific threshold, such as 50, indicating strength in the upward move. Consider additional confirming indicators, such as positive divergence or breakouts from key resistance levels. Identifying Bearish Signals: Identify a bearish crossover: MACD line crossing below the signal line , indicating downward momentum. Confirm the bearish signal: Ensure the RSI reading is below a specific threshold, such as 50, indicating weakness in the downward move. Consider additional confirming indicators, such as negative divergence or breakdowns from key support levels. Section 4: Backtesting and Refinement - Improving Performance and Accuracy The Importance of Backtesting: Gather historical price data for the desired trading instrument and timeframe. Apply the MACD and RSI convergence strategy to the historical data. Analyze the performance of the strategy, considering factors such as win rate, average gain/loss, and maximum drawdown. Adjust the threshold levels, timeframe, or other parameters to improve the strategy's performance. Refining the Strategy: Consider incorporating additional technical indicators, such as trend lines, Fibonacci levels, or volume analysis, to further confirm trade signals. Evaluate the strategy's performance across different timeframes and trading instruments to identify its strengths and weaknesses. Continuously monitor and adapt the strategy to changing market conditions and refine it based on your trading style and preferences. Section 5: Risk Management and Trade Execution Effective Risk Management: Determine appropriate position sizes based on your risk tolerance and account balance. Set stop-loss orders to limit potential losses if the trade goes against you. Establish profit targets to secure gains and exit the trade when the desired level is reached. Regularly review and adjust risk management parameters as needed. Conclusion: Congratulations! You've completed the tutorial on leveraging MACD and RSI convergence to enhance your trading strategy. By combining these powerful indicators, you now have a valuable tool in your trading arsenal. Remember to practice in a demo environment (aka. Paper Trading) before applying the strategy with real funds, and always adapt it to the evolving market conditions. Feel free to share your progress, ask questions, and discuss your experiences in the comments section. Let's learn from each other and continue refining this strategy together. Best of luck on your trading journey! Note: Trading involves risks, and this tutorial is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, seek professional advice, and practice responsible risk management.
BEducation
by LuminoAlgo
6
NASDAQ Futures NQM: Bullish Rally Encounters Potential ReversalToday's market action on NASDAQ Futures (NQM) provided quite a spectacle, as we witnessed an impressive pump that led to a new Higher High at 13683. With limited levels of resistance left in the upper echelons at 13817 and 13995, it appears we're running out of targets on the upside. Additionally, the VIX index is down, pointing to a relatively calm market environment. However, it's crucial to note the emergence of several potential reversal signals. While the market has been propelling upwards, the MACD recently crossed below the signal line, displaying a bearish divergence as it forms a downtrend. This bearish divergence could potentially be signaling a weakening of the bullish momentum. Moreover, the STOCHRSI reached a high of 97 before starting to turn around earlier today (5/18/23) at 7:30 and continuing downwards at the market open. This, too, could be signaling a possible cooling down of the overheated bullish trend. In the scenario of a downturn, the key support levels to watch are 13610, 14554, 13505, and 13475. Given these observations, today's trading strategy should be approached with caution. Although the bullish trend remains dominant, the emerging bearish signals suggest potential for a reversal. Therefore, vigilant monitoring of these critical technical indicators and support levels will be crucial. In conclusion, although the NASDAQ Futures NQM continues to push higher, we are now observing significant signs of potential bearish divergence. This calls for heightened attention and careful navigation of trading strategies. As always, keep a close watch on market trends and adjust your strategy as necessary. This analysis was also posted to my Blog! -The Latin Trader
CME_MINI:NQM2023Long
by Pablo_The_Latin_Trader
Market Reversal Fueled by Biden's Positive Remarks on US - NQM In today's trading scenario, we witnessed a fascinating turn of events. The market initially opened with a downward wick, touching the previous day's closing level and the London session's support. However, the tide swiftly turned, largely attributed to President Biden expressing positive sentiments about the avoidance of the US debt ceiling. This optimism sparked a notable shift in market sentiment. The levels I outlined at the open were as follows: Downside: 13505, 13483, 13460, 13430 Upside: 13540, 13575, 13600, potentially reaching as high as 13660. These levels served as significant benchmarks for today's trading. The upside, though, ventures into somewhat uncharted territory as we have not tested these areas since the highs of August 2022. As we tread these waters, it's crucial to remain vigilant and adaptable to the market's responses to macroeconomic news and global sentiment. Stay tuned as we continue to track the market's reaction to these crucial levels, and navigate our trading strategies accordingly.
CME_MINI:NQM2023Long
by Pablo_The_Latin_Trader
BTC setting buyers territoryBTCUSD could be setting itself up for a buyers territory below with matching fib level. A recent higher high allows buyers to target previous resistance that could turn to support if rejected. - Higher high - Lower low pending - Previous resistance turned support if rejected - Matching fib level at the 50% mark with potential - With positive outcomes for BTC in the economic data could send higher PLAN - Hold for buy zone around 24-25k price - Look for double bottom higher high lower low
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Youza
NQM Technical Analysis: Treading into Uncharted TerritoryToday's premarket moves for NQM have presented an intriguing scenario. News induced volatility sent us for a wild ride, with a sharp drop back to yesterday's support near 13430. Expecting a bounce and a wick fill, the surprising strength of the subsequent upward push—smashing through the main resistance—has taken us into relatively unexplored territory. With the only historical data point being a peak from August 2022, we're stepping into the unknown, but there are a few key levels I'm keeping a keen eye on: Given the overall 4h trend, I think long plays will be going with the main trend. Long / Resistance Levels: 13470, 13500, 13550, and potentially 13575 if the bulls take the reins. Short / Support Levels: 13445, 13425, 13400, and potentially as low as 13360 if the bears seize control, a fall that far would disrupt the structural pattern we've been monitoring. In such uncharted terrain, it's crucial to remain adaptable and responsive to changing market conditions. Let's see how NQM navigates this new ground. Stay tuned for updates." As always, remember to trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively. -The Latin Trader
CME_MINI:NQM2023Long
by Pablo_The_Latin_Trader
Alert🚨H&S, Double Tops + BTC Resistance & What It Means For youMy insights on the current crypto market, highlighting potential double tops and BTC's struggle at a historic resistance level. Understand how to manoeuvre through uncertainty, set a stop loss, and be prepared for other possible outcomes like falling wedges and continuation patterns. Don't miss this essential guidance for trend followers during this bull run! 📚💪🌟 Check out my new indicator and tell me what you guys think!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by mammamia2
1
Do Todays Participants & Pundits Understand Todays Stock Market?I’ll get right to the point. NO Now granted, as the reader, you’re immediately drawing your own conclusions about that opening statement. You're probably thinking... The author of this post is obviously bearish and therefore has an agenda. Ok, that’s fair. Then indulge me as I explain, in detail , why I believe todays market participants and financial news pundits do not understand Todays Stock Market. My only request of you, the reader, is to continue reading with an open mind till the end and then judge for yourself. I practice a form of technical analysis called Elliott Wave Theory. Whether one would consider it theoretical after 90 years since it’s introduction, or not, is a discussion for another time. This post is not some diatribe debating, nor defending the Principles of Elliott Wave. However, I’ll sum up Elliott Wave for the uninitiated in a simple explanation for sole purpose of understanding this post. Elliott Wave Brief Explanation: Elliott Wave means to forecast crowd behavior specifically as it pertains to price action within a given market. As a long-time practitioner of this form of analysis I am still amazed to this day, to see price follow through on my forecasts with a high degree of both accuracy, and reliability. I’m never bored. But in truth, this form of analysis has little merit in markets in which there are no LARGE CROWDS. Price action in thinly traded penny stocks, fly by night crypto currencies, and so forth. You simply cannot forecast what the crowd will do, in the absence of a true crowd. However, in LARGE CROWDS, the basic premise of Elliott Wave is prices tend to move in 5 distinct “Waves” within a given trend. During the course of that 5-wave trend, price will correct, consolidate or digest gains or losses in 3 distinct “waves” prior to that trend completing. To examine those waves within a trend, an analyst should be able to drill down into smaller and smaller time frames and see the same principles playing out as these price action patterns are fractal in nature. They are self-similar. Ok, that is an overly simplified explanation of Elliott Wave. Nonetheless, its one in which I think is enough where I can guide you through my broader reasoning. Let me start out with my long-term SPX analysis. Elliott Wave Analysis on the SP500: In the above chart you'll find the 4-hour fractal of the below larger monthly fractal. I have posted these charts many times before, so long-term followers of my work will recognize them. But I start this broader explanation with the below monthly chart. Displayed in the chart below you see a series of labels in green ( I ), ( II ), and ( III ). Those green labels are what Elliott Wave deems a super-cycle price action analysis…or count. Its referred to as a “count”, because practitioners of Elliott Wave Theory are simply counting waves. So if Elliott Wave is based on a series of 5-wave trend patterns, and 3-wave counter trend patterns that are FRACTAL in nature (my earlier over-simplified explanation), then after completing a wave ( III ), we obviously need a wave ( IV ). Now in all fairness to you the reader, has the monthly price action confirmed we’re in a super-cycle wave ( IV ) and wave ( III ) has in fact completed? NO. What confirms the price action is in a super-cycle wave ( IV ) event is a breach of the 2020 Covid-19 low of ES Futures 2174. That price (2174) is the litmus test for continuation to higher highs in the SPX or a long slog in equities that could last decades and decimate global wealth. Now I have long told my members that... although I do not know what the catalysts are that ultimately validate the forecasted price action, those catalysts always tend to show up on time . I think in my trading room, my members would whole heartedly agree with that statement. So, as I analyze price action from the day to day to the 1-minute chart and justify my primary long-term analysis today I am in no shortage of potential catalysts that are brewing. You know them all (Debt Ceiling, Regional Banking Crisis, The Fed, Inflation, Geo-Political…etc.) I choose not to speculate on the potential event, but on history. Is there a precedent? Yes, History. There is…. somewhat. Here it is. The last time we had our wave ( II ), super cycle counter trend price action, was the stock market crash of 1929. That is easy to see on the above chart, but what were the clues, or the potential catalysts leading up to that event almost 100 years ago? Clue #1: The Panic of 1907 The Panic of 1907 was…wait for it…” A Financial Crisis”. During this time, the irresponsibility of bankers caused Bank Runs, and ultimately that translated into a 50% decline in the NYSE. That’s half…50%. This dried up any liquidity for loans. In other words, a credit crunch. Sound Familiar? Sidenote: You starting to get the sense that bankers always seem to be present at the scene of the crime so to speak? It’s perplexing. Who are these nefarious characters? Banking, in general, is terrible business model. But I digress…back to the point. Clue #2: The Spanish Flu The Spanish Flu of 1918 was a global influenza pandemic (H1N1) that decimated a third of the population on planet Earth. The Spanish Flu became a global pandemic because exiting World War 1, the war effort censors were accustomed to censoring bad news. Therefore, most of the population was ill-informed regarding the dangers of (H1N1) and disproportionately this effected the young and old members on the population. This was also a time of climate change and population migration patterns and this exacerbated the spread and effects of the flu. This starting to sound like you’ve seen this movie before? Clue #3: Massive economic bounce back The jobs market was in high deficiency mode as early as 1922 having had so many of potential workers having died in the previous pandemic prematurely. This caused a massive supply-demand dislocation of (1) human nature to get out from under the atmosphere of The Spanish Flu and (2) live and consume…and the work force to meet those needs on a global scale. This resulted in a large economic expansion that lasted almost 10 years. In the United States, we refer to this era as, “The Roaring Twenties”. These three clues culminated in the stock market crash of 1929...hence our super-cycle wave ( II ). As an analyst, as an intellectual, and as a student of history, I cannot ignore these flashing confluence of events in my time. The Irish statesman, Edmund Burke has been attributed to having said… ” Those who don’t know history are destined to repeat it.” The Spanish philosopher George Santayana is credited with the aphorism, “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” War Time British Prime Minister Winston Churchill wrote, “Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.” In summary, how does this all shake out? Well, first and foremost I’ll say that this is not your father’s stock market, it’s not even your grandfather’s market. It’s more than likely your Great Grandfathers market. That market was terrible. That market had seismic effect on both society and asset appreciation. Keep in mind, this market has had it’s bull and bear markets. However, for the last almost 100 years, we’ve been in a secular bull market. During the last 100 years, we have experienced 3 impactful cyclical bear markets within a 93 year secular bull market since our super cycle wave ( II ) event in 1929. During the last 93 years, the stock market has essentially appreciated in a solid, predictable 45-degree angle higher. Buy and hold, buying the dip, has been both the statistical and practical successful trading thesis. If this is a wave ( IV ) super-cycle event, trader sentiment must change. This takes time. Traders must now go through re-conditioning. A mourning, if you will, of the past 93 years of a secular bull market. Unfortunately, this only occurs with the loss of money, and over time. Cavemen continued to touch fire as it is visually magical. However, after a while, I’m sure they drew the conclusion this is NOT ADVISED . I keep CNBC on in the back ground of my small trading office. The incredibly smart contributors, and titans of money they feature quote metrics like typical bear market durations, what typically happens after the Fed has paused rate increases 6 months afterwards…and I’ll be the first to announce to you, the reader, THAT NO LONGER APPLIES. We are no longer in that 93 year long 45-degree angle up. Those metrics… worthless . Those typical expectations… miss-guided . THIS IS NOT YOURS, NOR IS IT YOUR FATHERS MARKET. Now granted, this is somewhat of a thought speculation on my part (as of today). However, I do wonder…if traders, market participants and financial news pundits have objectively considered if they understand TODAYS STOCK MARKET. FOOD FOR THOUGHT. CHRIS
CME_MINI:ES1!
by maikisch
10