The U.S. Markets are likely to have one last push before....The U.S. markets have been inflated to the point of near exhaustion, propped up by nothing more than a money printer that goes brrr... brrrr... brrrrrrrrrrr. However, this seemingly never-ending run is coming to an end.
Trump will most likely be elected president again. His first term (45) and his second term (47) will likely mark the greatest market crash of all time—the end of the everything bubble! 4 + 5 = 9; 4 + 7 = 11; 9 + 11 = 20. They will likely prop the market up until his administration takes power, then...
Shorting these markets will be the opportunity of a lifetime!
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
Marketbubble
Vanguard Real Estate ETFPeople say how do you short the Housing Market Bubble?
I say look at this VG Real Estate ETF.
Head and Shoulders Target hit on the DTF.
I can see a pattern on the WTF and MTF that could play out and cause a massive market crash.
History repeats itself and we have a system that is built on debt and getting worse.
Can you see the patterns on the HTF?
Safe Trading.
could there be bull towards all time highit's been long time after SP500 stock reached its all time high. Based on last couple of weeks chart there is might be hidden bearish after hit resistance beginning of the November.
Scenario 1. 'market bubble, down trend' due to conflict between China's offensive toward Taiwan could escalate downwards trend. This could continue until mid February. (China and Taiwan tensions, Evergrande house market bubble)
Scenario 2. Head and Shoulder; after market reaches all time it forms head if you see it on my analysis, which market will correct its price towards right shoulder. further trend up and down until political activity comes up
scenario 3. Up trend until it hit something... such as fed coin,
Don’t take this as financial advice
The 2022 Tech Bubble Fractals and Sentiment AnalysisIntroduction
I was inspired by CryptoKaleo's post (original post below) on the "Next Tech Bubble", where he predicted a tech bubble to take place in the coming years based on the fractals of the 1998-2002 Dot com bubble market price action.
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. I am not responsible for the profits or loss generated from your investments. Trade and invest at your own risk.
Analysis
I myself have been also thinking about the probability of another 2000-esque bull rally for the Nasdaq index for a while now.
You can check out my analysis on the comparison between the market in 2020 and the Dot com bubble, which I posted last year:
My goal for this post was to not only compare the price action of the two periods through fractals, but also to research the headlines of financial news from the past, in order to more accurately research the sentiment that was reflected on the media. The quotes in red are direct quotes from 1998-2002, and the quotes in black are recent news that reflect the current market sentiment.
We can see a clear shift in sentiment; optimism > euphoria > fear > surrender.
The most notable parts of the cycle is the euphoria at the absolute top of the market, and sense of despair at the bottom of the market.
This figure will further help you understand the structure of a market bubble, and the market sentiment according to the price action of the market.
What's extremely interesting is that the Dot com bubble demonstrated a textbook pattern of a market bubble structure.
Conclusion
There may be multiple news that could potentially trigger the next market bubble. If one were to occur, it's highly likely that we see it happen in the tech/bio sector this time, where insane multiples are given based not on the current financials of the company, but the prospect of it. While there is also a probable case where we don't see a bubble at all, if it we were to see the market make parabolic moves up to overbought levels, referring to fractals of the past, and comparing the market sentiment of the past, could provide a guideline for us to refer to.
If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
AHTI see a bottom here
--> high volume in weekly for 2020 and 2021
--> higher lows
I will buy when a pullback happens and react with BIG volume making us another higher low.
I have another option:
as the volume seems to get bigger and bigger, and we may reach higher than the previous top with the pump in 2020, I might get in if we get a good response from the price there.
consider, if you want to do so, that the STOP LOSS will be close to the entry price, and if the price will fall in the triangle again, you will HAVE to close your position (and buy back as it makes a higher low as we said in the first place)
What is the best hedge against stock market during Crash?In this chart you see TVC:SPX to TVC:GOLD ratio.
It is crystal clear during the stock market bubble burst, Gold is the best place to store the value!
In the past 2 Bubbles, the market corrected between 50-57%:
According to the Warren Buffet indicator, this bubble is even bigger than the previous ones!
on the other hand in the last 7 weeks we see a bullish trend in gold with a +11% gain and today it breaks above its bearish trend after 9 months.
I think this presentation provides enough information to make a good decision..!
how you handle it, depends on your art and technique of investment..!
S&P RSI Bear DivergenceThe current situation on S&P500 graph reminds the Dot-Com Bubble
RSI maximums going down, while the price maximums going up.
Taking into account the current situation with coronacrisis, mass defaults in the US in the next few months, relatively high unemployment in the next few years, growing savings among households, and low CAPEX among companies, the rise of S&P seems like a big bubble.