We are in the 1-2 of an Elliott Impulse Wave on ETHBTC(*EDIT* The purple band is a bit fiddly to get right. PLEASE - adjust the scale on the right-hand side until the ALL THREE of the "3-4" lines are across it. THANK YOU!**)
ETH travels a channel over time from relative weakness to strength and back again against BTC.
On a log scale you can see the market cycle beginning a third very predictable ramp right now.
My predictions for where the 3-4 points are placed is based on the purple band that goes through this resistance phase in the last two cycles.
My prediction is top of the channel by June just under .5 BTC per ETH - both the historical significance of this resistance level and the significant numerical strength of exactly 1/2 the value of BTC will likely make this the top.
Time will tell... =)
Marketcycle
BTS BEAUTIFUL FRACTALI've tried to make this chart look as least intimidating as possible, because that always makes for a good chart!
The market cycle playing out is a fractal (elliot waves). Entry is at the 50DEMA. Time-fibs have been spot on in the previous cycle so they're worth considering in this fractal. Also, the fib-extension from the last cycle is relevant to this cycle.
I will be going margin long on this on poloniex :)
Thanks, Caleb
The People vs. The BanksWelcome back traders, I hope you had a wonderful Christmas and New Year!
We're now getting back into the charts it's a brand new year, new opportunities and what a start it has been :) cryptocurrencies are through the roof!
Today I'm breaking down two assets which are breaking records and funnily enough one of cryptos most well known rivalries, ripple vs. stellar.
As you will know by now, both of these cryptocurrencies have been making headlines for the past month, their growth has been tremendous and to those who took my advice at the beginning of 2017 on both of these assets will have a very nice portfolio, I've received many kind messages with people sharing their results and that's what I love most about this business!
However, as good as all this sounds it's at times like this when investors are blinded by 10x and 20x returns, and I come along to bring them back to reality, markets move in cycles and I hate to see traders buy a market top or hold through a 95% correction.
XRP current price = $3.68
1 month ago = $0.25
STR current price = $0.86
1 month ago = $0.09
Just take a look at those figures for a second, that's in one month alone. Similar to the moves we experienced in April/May 2017.
First, let's take a look at Ripple on the left (XRP/BTC)
As we can see from the chart the average increase is 1494% including the present price increase but not accounting for the 5412% total increase in 2017 as this was broken up by a 69% correction.
Since the beginning of December 2017 price has increased by 1890% as XRP makes headlines all over the world, it is now the second largest cryptocurrency by marketcap.
Let's take a look at the downside of these moves.
As you can see these impulsive moves are followed by a correction greater than 69% and actually two of them resulting in a 95% decline.
The average correction is 86%.
Now, picking out a market top is not simple although I have done this in the past.
If we experience a correction from the current level you can expect a correction of at least 50% before the move up continues.
A lot of individuals claim XRP will hit $10 and for their satisfaction I have included a target level for this (this price level is based on the current BTC price) which is the exact same percentage increase as we seen in 2017... The total move = 5412% from low to high.
If we do see price achieve $10 the correction to follow will be of significance, I expect XRP to lose more than 70% of its value at this price level.
Now, we have Stellar on the right (STR/BTC)
The average price increase is 2487% including the present price increase.
Since September 2017 price has increased by 2794% bringing it back into the top 10 on coinmarketcap.com.
We can see that both corrections for Stellar resulted in a 96% decline which is extremely similar to XRP.
Again, I see a correction of at least 50% for Stellar very shortly.
Taking all of this analysis into account, these charts need to be compared to the asset quoted in USD, I will update this post in the future with the comparison.
I will also be updating the idea on a shorter timeframe to pinpoint where the correction will occur.
Feel free to check out my previous posts on market cycles.
Bitcoin:
Altcoins:
I wish you all the utmost success in 2018.
Ethereum Yearly Market Cycles vs. BitcoinThe CryptoCurrency $ETH appears to have a regular yearly bottom vs. $BTC right around mid-December, following which we have seen a long-term uptrend lasting until mid-May.
$ETH is currently trading around the 0.056 level in the $BTCETH pair and, assuming it will move upward and break above the 0.06 level, I believe we are bound to see a repeat of this yearly market cycle.
Emotional Market CycleZCL and the emotional market cycle. The resemblance to the classical pattern of boom and bust is uncanny. wallstreetjackass.typepad.com
The boom manifests itself in 5 wave impulse move. Checkout Elliot Wave Theory. www.babypips.com
The bust culminates in a 3 wave correction down to the vicinity of where it all started.
If you can identify these patterns in the markets and learn how to trade them, your future is going to be golden. Never stop learning and most importantly: do not blow up your account! You will makes mistakes along the way, so make sure you can make enough mistakes to master the game. Mistakes are essential, because that is your only way to learn.
STRAT/USDsame idea as with DOGE/USD and DOGE/BTC
hoping for a STRAT/BTC upward breakout from the channel as STRAT/USD breakes and goes past ATH's
good luck
Another day, another ATHSome fractals + an elliott wave cycle in the making in a big ol' wedge. With the bull market we are in these setups keep showing themselves
My strategy is to take some profits slowly on the way up and set buy orders to catch the dip, I like to watch the tape as ATH is passed to keep a pulse on the momentum. This strategy helps build a hedge with fiat and avoids being greedy in these volatile markets.
Will BTC obey the Elliot Wave market cycle?Will BTC market follow the Elliot Wave cycle which governs the financial market? It has completed the first 5 wave as expected (My last post) and we're seeing the price is stalling at the 1.270 extension (5th wave completions)..
I am eager to see if BTC will obey the Elliot Wave rules. If the structure holds, we're likely to see BTC drop down to $3,000.