The Ultimate Bitcoin Market Cycle Cheat SheetIn this post, I'll be providing an explanation on market cycles referring to specific time periods and fibonacci support and resistance for key lows and highs.
This post is not financial advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only.
This post was inspired by @CryptoCon_ on twitter.
Time Periods Explained
- The chart may appear extremely messy, but let's break everything down one by one.
- I first marked all November 28ths of every year on the chart, starting from 2012.
- We can divide each cycle into a span of four years:
- The first cycle lasting from Nov. 2012 to Nov. 2016,
- The second cycle lasting from Nov. 2016 to Nov. 2020,
- The third cycle lasting from Nov. 2020 to Nov. 2024,
- and the fourth cycle beginning in Nov. 2024, ending in Nov. 2028.
Again, keep in mind that this is an extremely speculative approach, based on the premise that what happened in the past, will continue to happen in the future in a similar manner.
We can divide each of the cycles into 4 different phases.
Phase 1: New All Time Highs
- The first phase is the phase of a new all time high.
- At the end of the first phase, Bitcoin marks its new all time highs.
- Such was the case in 2013, 2017, 2021, and I expect it to be the case in 2025 as well.
Phase 2: Bear Market
- The second phase is the bear market phase.
- After we see new all time highs, we start to see a decline.
- In 2014, Bitcoin corrected 78% from its all time highs,
- 85% from its all time highs in 2018, and 75% in 2022.
Phase 3: Accumulation
- This is a phase of accumulation.
- However, this is not to say that we will only see sideways action.
- From 2014 to 2015, we saw a classic price action of accumulation,
- and from 2018 to 2019, we saw a textbook accumulation pattern, followed by an echo bubble.
- However, it is imiportant to note that this echo bubble (or more specifically, its burst) is what set up the foundation for a massive bull rally that led to new all time highs.
- According to this cycle, we are currently seeing Phase 3, where I expect a similar echo bubble to take place. I’ll elaborate more on the current status later.
Phase 4: Recovery
- This is the phase of recovery. This is where we know that the price has bottomed out already, and that we set off to rally towards new all time highs.
- Interestingly enough, all Bitcoin halving events took place in the 4th phase of this cycle classification.
Estimates for Cycle 4
- For the current cycle (cycle 4), I believe that the echo bubble thesis is in play.
- The Fed cannot taper forever, and there is still enough liquidity to be injected into risky assets.
- Despite Bitcoin moving from $16k to $23k in a matter of days, the interest from the general public is nonexistent.
- I believe that a move to 30k is highly likely, and that depending on market situations, we may even see a move up to $45k in the end.
Comparison of Past Echo Bubble
- Let’s compare the current situation to that of the echo bubble in 2018-2019.
- In 2018-2019, we saw Bitcoin rally 268% in an echo bubble. A move from $16k to $45k, today’s echo bubble, would account for a 211% move.
- As for the degree of correction, in 2018-2019, we saw the price slash in half once again - a 56% downward move.
- Taking that into account, and applying the same figure in today’s market situation, that would mean a correction from $45k to $23k.
- If we trace fibonaccin lines based on this speculation, this gives us a target price of $105k per Bitcoin by 2025.
- As for the bear market that will follow, we can expect a bottom to form around $36k, although it’s likely that prices will almost definitely hover below this level.
Statistics
- Let’s take a look at some patterns we can spot in terms of statistics:
- In the first cycle, Bitcoin dropped 77.99% from its all time highs
- In the second cycle, Bitcoin dropped 83.64% from its all time highs
- In the third cycle, Bitcoin dropped 76.64% from tis all time highs
- Assuming that Bitcoin drops 75-85% during the bear market after peaking at new all time highs, anticipating a 65% drop in 2026-2027 would be a conservative, yet realistic estimate.
- As for the returns Bitcoin provided every cycle;
- In the first cycle, Bitcoin delivered 43,236% returns from the lows to highs.
- In the second cycle, it delivered 9,134%, which is a 78% reduced figure compared to the previous cycle.
- In the third cycle, it delievered 2,102%, a 77% reduced figure compared to the previous cycle.
- In the fourth cycle, the current cycle, if it reaches $105k all time highs, it would be delivering a 524% return from its lows, which is a 75% reduced figure compared to the third cycle.
Conclusion
In this post, I take a very rudimentary, speculative, yet simple and direct approach in analyzing Bitcoin’s cycle through this specific framework. This analysis aims to provide a general understanding of when things happen, and to what degree they take place. Based on this framework, I believe that we could see an echo bubble take place in 2023, with Bitcoin reaching $45k, before it corrects down to $23k. Around the end of 2023 to 2024, we would see a phase of recovery in which Bitcoin slowly crawls back up, until it reaches new all time highs of $105k in 2025 before correcting down below $36k in 2027.
If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content!
If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
Marketcycle
The "So-Called" Psychology of a Market Cycle!Greetings Dear Investors and Traders, today CryptoQueens, an educational post regarding the so-called Psychology of a Market Cycle.
When making investment decisions, investors have a wide variety of tools at their disposal. While these tools can form the basis of a sound investment thesis, their effectiveness is limited by one’s emotions. Allowing emotions to dictate decisions is a common mistake made by many investors, yet they may not even realize it. People experience different emotions during these market cycles ranging from fear to greed. Below we will analyze, as well as you will find attached in the chart image the different emotions experienced by investors during market cycles which overwhelms the majority of the traders:
Disbelief:
This phase happens after the bottom has been hit. There is a sense of disbelief among investors about the rally. They believe just like it happened in the past few months, the markets will fall again. Their fear of making another mistake causes them to miss the optimal window to re-enter the market.
Optimism:
During this phase, the realization dawns on most of the investors that the rally is real. Investing during this phase if stocks are chosen well can give good returns.
Enthusiasm:
This is the time when the majority of investors are convinced about the market rally, therefore market demand rise. They believe that now is the time to be fully invested. Some naysayers still don’t believe in the market rally and advise caution.
Euphoria:
This is the phase where there is irrational exuberance in the markets. Investors share a collective dopamine as they think that they are genius because they made a fortune. It is advisable to stay cautious during this phase.
Overconfidence/Greed:
Investors continue to increase their positions despite high volatility.
If you buy during this phase, you are sure to lose money, whatever you buy.
Anxiety:
Fear sets in, as losses begin to mount.
Investors believe that the dip is taking more time than expected. This is the the moment when people are notified with margin calls due to the recent market fall. Anxiety kicks in.
Denial:
The herd ignores the market signs as market demand weakens. They believe that since their investments are in great companies, they will bounce back.
Panic:
Herd mentality takes over and market participants rushes to sell leading to widespread selling even at losses. This is a good time to buy extremely selectively for the long term as it may be very difficult to know even for well-informed investors whether we are in the denial phase, panic phase or capitulation phase.
Capitulation:
Market Participants accepts their losses and completely exit the market. They are selling close to the bottom of the cycle.
Agony/Anger:
Steep losses take a psychological factor in many investors and they start to blame the government, or anything correlated, perceiving it as market manipulation.
Depression:
This is the period when investors believe that their retirement savings are gone and their financial security is affected. They even start blaming themselves for investing. However, markets inevitably starts to recover.
Conclusion:
As an investor, you need to recognize these signals and never lose sight of the bigger picture. It is like Warren Buffett once mentioned. Be scared when others are greedy and greedy when others are afraid. Therefore, keep an eye on the fundamentals and behavioral factors that influence the market and always remain ahead of the game. Make sure you include this in your trading plan before to take action on it.
If you liked it, make sure to support with a like, follow and a comment!
Best Regards, CryptoQueens.
The Psychology Of A Market CycleThe psychology of a market cycle refers to the emotional and psychological states that investors and traders go through as they react to market conditions. Here is a short summary of each stage of the market cycle:
🔵 Disbelief:
At this stage, market participants are skeptical about the potential for a market rally or recovery.
They may be hesitant to invest or trade, as they do not believe that the market has the potential to improve.
🔵 Hope:
As market conditions begin to improve, investors and traders may start to feel more hopeful about the future.
They may start to see opportunities for profit and become more willing to take risks.
🔵 Belief:
At this stage, market participants start to believe that the market will continue to improve.
They may become more confident in their investment decisions and become more willing to hold onto their positions for longer periods of time.
🔵 Euphoria:
As the market continues to rise, investors and traders may become overly optimistic and start to believe that the market will continue to rise indefinitely.
This can lead to excessive risk-taking and overconfidence.
🔵 Anxiety:
As market conditions start to deteriorate, investors and traders may become anxious about the potential for losses.
They may start to question their investment decisions and become more hesitant to take risks.
🔵 Denial:
As market conditions continue to worsen, some investors and traders may start to deny that the market is in a downturn.
They may continue to hold onto their positions in the hope that the market will recover.
🔵 Panic:
At this stage, market participants may become panicked about the potential for further losses.
They may start to sell their positions in a rush to get out of the market.
🔵 Capitulation:
As market conditions reach their lowest point, investors and traders may give up hope and sell their positions, even at a loss.
This is known as capitulation.
🔵 Anger:
After the market has bottomed out, some investors and traders may feel angry about their losses and the perceived market manipulation
or wrongdoing that they believe caused the market crash.
🔵 Depression:
After experiencing significant losses, some investors and traders may feel depressed
and lose motivation to engage in further investment or trading activities.
🔵 Disbelief:
As market conditions begin to improve again, some investors and traders may return to a state of disbelief
and skepticism about the potential for a sustained market rally.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate our work , Please like, comment and follow ❤️
Trading Series – The ManagementMost of us will spend about 90% of our time thinking of what to buy and at what price we should get in. In fact, that is only 10% of work done.
Focus on this scenario instead - “After getting into a position, how are we going to manage it with either a calculated loss when market go against us or how should we take profits when market perform better than our expectation?
As usual we will do a few case studies on how I manage my positions for this year.
Today’s content:
1. 90% of us – Spending too much time on “Getting in”
2. Steps to manage our trades after an entry?
If you have been following, today’s is the 7th tutorial in our Trading Series:
1. “The buy strategy”
2. “The sell strategy”
3. “Developing long & short-term view”
4. “Choosing between the time frame”
5. “The entry”
6. “The exit”
7. “The management”
Example 1
Micro E-Mini Nasdaq Futures
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 point = $0.50
1 point = $2
10 points = $20
100 points = $200
1,000 points = $2,000
Example 2
E-Mini Nasdaq Futures
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 point = $5
1 point = $20
10 points = $200
100 points = $2,000
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Great Example of a Market Cycle with FX pair AUD/USD 4 HourIf you want to know and learn about market structure then you all must learn the market cycles. Once you master the cycles in the markets you can effectivley learn the directions of the markets. This applies to any market and i've marked the different phases in which the market cycle occurs. AUDUSD and basically all the other FX pairs are great examples of this!
These structures also apply to smaller time frames and if you zoom out your charts and you have a good eye, you can spot it and take advantage of this!
Here's a link to the Investopedia Market Cycle page
www.investopedia.com
FOOLS RALLY! $doge down!DOGE has had its peak! it will have a fools rally and then drop! I AGREE WITH BUY THE DIP; but buy the right dip! NO one wants expired CHIP DIP!
The market cycle psychology chart tells me that this is entering to a fools rally next then a downtrend that is harsh! AFTER IT PLUMMETS to below 0.133USDT I will not be buying the dip! THE DIP IS IN THE 0.12-0.133 range . I will be gradually accumulating my position and keep in mind the coins that are tied to the trends, such as $ELON and $DC. $DC might be able to separate from this trend. BUT $ELON I don't think will run independently on its on momentum. DOGECHAIN will be interesting to see what hype is generated from releases on the chain. Its going to be a great year! 2023! Happy trading and don't get greedy or panic!
*This is my personal thought and not financial advice! I am not endorsing cryptocurrency and there are risks with investing. Always do you own research! #DYOR*
-Cryptonightowl
AMD might visit earth and witness deathThere are two scenarios I am considering in AMD
1. Bull Case:- They come up with good er then it might push upto 68ish area and complete the w4-5
2. Bear case:- Er is bad then bear flag might get triggered and flush upto 48 area.
Regardless of ER, I think one more fresh low will be made in AMD.
Bitcoin BTC Possible Bullish Triangle Bitcoin BTC Crypto is forming a possible bullish triangle with a +9% increase. We have broken out of the July 2021 triangle indicating the bottom at $17,600. We should be starting to stabilize above $17,600 over the next month. We are now in the Psychology of a Market Cycle called "Disbelief". This will be confirmed over the next month now.
possible scenarios for goldIf gold is still in a downtrend and has really ended the wave on 1614, we are now in a b c correction. Wave a went to small market cycle wave iv (1730 as we were expecting 2 weeks ago), and if we really ended wave b, on 0.76 fib of wave a length, i told you 1657 and 1640 are IMPORTANT levels, it rejected yesterday from it. If we see a daily closing candle above the 1660’s market structure, we can correct until the downtrend again, or until previous high a wave, or, if we see more strength signals for gold, till the bigger market cycle wave v (1800) before resuming the bigger downtrend. If not, gold will stay in the bearish channel to retest the last low at least ( reasonable with us dollar power lately ).
Goodluck,
Joe.
Deeper Network DPR Crypto Greed & FearDeeper Network DPR Crypto Psychology of a Market Cycle Greed & Fear Index Chart
Good & Bad News: "All Genesis nodes will have one rewards halving event on Dec. 1st, 2022. Genesis will continue until Aug. 28th, 2023, then enter into EZ Mining directly." What this means is a Ter8 was getting 90% reward but it will be reduced to 43% for a Genesis. So they are forcing all those people who originally staked in at a Ter7 or Ter8 to unstake there one device on Dec. 21, 2022 and either sell there DPR or to purchase additional miners an start EZMining instead with a 60% reward at a Ter8 level. By Dec 1st the price of DPR could be around .0045 on a low end, which means you may need to purchase 1 or 2 extra miner from Deeper to get a higher reward amount above a Genesis. All those who staked in from a Ter6 Level or lower are getting a great rewards for a little bit longer. (I am not sure if they are changing this again)
News: There will likely be a similar crash to the 1990's Dot Com bubble crash coming very soon, with the Alt Coin Bubble that is going on now. Only the strongest Alt Coins will survive. Will Deeper Network get there act together to maintain there support thru out there community or will they continue to twist there words around forcing there supporters to look to only Bitcoin or Ethereum . So far Deeper Network on its own initiatives, is pushing itself farther away from the top ranking alto coins.
Bearish News: Deeper Network is not a Decentralized Platform but a Centralized Platform, They currently use the Polkadot Blockchain Governance Platform which if working 100% is not technically decentralized as per it's maker Gavin Woods. But Deeper Network has a hidden backdown open to bypass all approvals for programing which would other wise need to be approved by who ever holds the most DPR basically at the end of the day as a Council Member by voting yourself in on the Governance Website Page made by Polkadot . At any point in time the Council Members or Deeper Network with there back door open can take you DPR out of your wallet if they want thru programing codes directly by Deepers DEVs or voting as a Council Member as a Motion. Since Deeper has the most DPR it will be controlled internally in a scenes making it centralized at the end of the day.
Bearish News: Aug. 5 & 6, 2022 Deeper Network has turned down an invitation to showcase at Sir Richard Branson’s Block Chain Summit on Necker Island at the Neckerverse Showcase for a chance to pitch to the Virgin Impact team and other global heavyweight investors. The reason from Deeper Network "Cheryl, Russell and I ( Eric ) seriously considered attending the gathering but decided it was best to focus on exchange listings, research & development, and new product deadlines instead." This is the worst mistake they could of made during this bearish time period.
Bearish News: Possible Token Crash Starting around September 6, 2022 thru the next 6 months, investors getting Deeper ERC-20 DPR returned to them who bought in at .006cents to .02cents. There was 2Billion token allocated to sell but they only advertise 1Billion being sold. DPR given out already to the investors that crashed the coin the first time (estimated 40% investment returned already), there is an estimated amount of 2 to 4 Million DPR being released each day to their investors for the next 6 months starting in September 2022 thru March 2023. I foresee another massive upset that Deeper Network will hush the investors by kicking people out of there Deeper Network community social groups when people complain and get upset like what happened when they lock up the investors DPR the first time without paying them back as was promised in their smart contract that had a hidden back door in the smart contract to reprogram it and to lock back up again. This is a lack of trust that I don’t think Deeper Network will every out live. This is the finial contract agreement after being changed multiple times with out permission from the investors.
Bearish News: the Seed Investors who bought in at .003cents were told this "Your DPR is locked until tier 1 CEX listing, then unlocked 1 year after tier 1 CEX listing. Linear distribution over 1 year. If DPR is not listed on tier 1 CEX within 2 years of Jan 1, 2023, unlock starts on Jan 1, 2025 then linear distribution over a year. You will definitely get your DPR however, you'll need to wait a little longer for the benefit of the whole. Deeper Network appreciates your understanding and apologizes for any inconvenience this may have caused." This was confirmed by a Volunteer Mod.
-Crypto Whale Information: See the Whale news on my channel for their Wallet address & Location, as you can track for yourself who is a true supporter and who is a dumper…… (AMA said Whales are allowed in the project now)
- Deeper Chain Community Governance - Currently being controlled directly by Deeper Network, not by the Community but thru a back door in the program (Verified on AMA) I don't foresee them giving the governance to the community within the next year or so because they like to be able to have fully control without have to wait for voting approvals, because the programing is far from being perfect..............
- 7 Validator Nodes on Deeper Chain, 7 have been verified to be in control of by Deeper Network DEVs, apparently they can control votes on the Governance with their locked DPR rewards- Wallet Addresses 1st 5C4vNVT5pDroqufEtXKYp3RKrNXVTHk9yqTeNNUSnJ6EbGGY ; 2nd 5CJDFR5RCMxPwVdzgH6JA9D7M625FEFKrdsJG1JnQVQdQkH2 ; 3rd 5HCG6MvAhYgLZdPoD1BVHEjgKee9n4AhMLKfq64VLiM4znuU; 4th 5Fug4ra4oJaCZQzUZ5C5vNaWBHUujKwGgu5NmZtcDwXMtsCp ; 5th 5Fe7kQ2kunvxDzd1f1AFUuLDPnd8uzqrbgQ4Q4zLHNeC82xD ; 6th 5CaViidoJL9qL22pvdVfpGkaE34kH7cH79rTemVGpUqddaaZ ; 7th 5F95SXGB5dj6TpcKzPGZRCXMsoBLcgg7nmhZxSC5sHCHdDx7 ; Deeper has said they will burn the DPR from the 7 Validators but the miners do not know if they can trust Deeper Network to keeping there word and if it will be 100% Burn or just 1% like everything else........
Founder & Head of the Society Governance Platform Wallet Address: 5GViXCfq22KUdWYK9E6bFZXYJWY7v4EVKJz3mgn6vGGPU1iT this is a Genesis Gold Ter 8 out of the United Kingdom. This wallet seems to be programed to dump coins after there mined across the bridge to sell on and exchange. We will be following this wallet, stay tuned for updates...................
-Deeper Chain DPR Crypto Burn Wallet #1: (Warning this is a subject Deeper does not like to talk about) There has not been a routine burn setup yet promised by Deeper to fight inflation . The only burning is est 21DPR perday equivalent to about .80cents per day!!! from the Validator transactions which they are calling a “Routine Burning or Every Gas Fee”. The old burning was every 7 days and burnt all the treasury wallet. Then they slowed it down to every 24 Days thru the Treasury and to burn only about 1% now. There is credit burning set up for the miners, which is false advertisement because they only burn 1% of the money paid to buy credit to increase mining rewards. The rest of the money is added to the treasury wallet for Deeper to pay their DEVs instead. Waiting for Deeper Network to provide Burn Wallet Address for all three Blockchains so the community can monitor what they are being told. Talking about this subject will get you band and removed from Deeper Network Social media accounts so be aware………… Deeper Network has responded to my concern about this saying "that 1% of the treasury wallet is burned each day" but I don't believe that's what happens, I believe that only 1% of each transaction that is transferred to the Treasury wallet is then sent into the burn wallet only during the transaction process, not that 1% of the treasury wallet total is burned. So once the funds go into the Treasury wallet once the 1% has been taken out, the remaining funds are no longer programed to be burned. (...to be determined) At the moment it is unknown how to see a total burn amount from this wallet but you can see how much DPR will be burned in the next 7 day burn period.
-Deeper Chain DPR Crypto Burn Wallet #2: Deeper Network has not provided the wallet address from the burning during the Pico sale so the community can monitor the wallet activity. (I believe they did a fake burn because they did not even realize they had an internal burn wallet nor did they know they had a Treasury Wallet, I believe they just made a random what address and sent it there. But Deeper will not provide the process they used)
- Deeper Token ECR-20 Blockchain Ethereum Burn Wallet Address - Deeper Network has not provided the wallet address from the burning during the Pico sale so the community can monitor the wallet activity.
- Deeper Token BSC Binance Smart Chain Burn Wallet Address - Deeper Network has not provided the wallet address, nothing would be in the wallet address that i would be aware of if it exist yet
- Deeper Chain Treasury Wallet Address: This is how Deeper Network makes income from internal network transactions 5EYCAe5ijiYfyeZ2JJCGq56LmPyNRAKzpG4QkoQkkQNB5e6Z (At the moment this is funded by the left over Validator Transactions & Burn DPR for Credit Score Increase, ect. 1% of Transactions going into the wallet are Burned every 24 days, this is confirmed by looking at the programing on Github Deeper-Chain; Actions; Branches; modify treasury burnning rate
- Polkadot Parachain for Deeper Chain – not yet, no future plans at the moment (Verified by Polkadot Support)
-10 Billion DPR Total: 6 Billion DPR will be mined within 25years (Verified on AMA); & 4 Billion DPR Belong to Deeper & Investors
-Location of Deeper Network servers where VPN data is stored: Unverified, Programmers working from China, ect. , Government Jurisdiction over VPN data information unknown (As per Deeper User Policy to have to agree to Logs are kept by them internally), Privacy Policy VPN info shows data is kept by Deeper Network, time period kept unknown. Do not know why Deeper Network is not Transparent with this information like other VPN providers. And or what will be there main goal with this data kept.
- Deeper Network VPN / DPN equipment concerns: They say they do not keep logs of records of your internet access BUT!!!!! When you login to the device for the first time it makes you approve there two privacy agreements first. Terms and Condition of Use agreement under point Prohibited and restricted uses point #25 say : “We shall have the right… to monitor User Content”; The second agreement you must approve is the Deeper Network Privacy Policy under Data we Collect says “We may receive access to basic personal information from your social network accounts should you register or sign onto such services using Deeper Network Products or Services” (Why in the world is Deeper trying to collect your personal information?????????, also would they not also be able to see your banking information then...), then under section Data Retention it says “We will keep records containing personal data….. as maybe required by applicable laws (So then which governments laws are you under because there are countries that require no data collected) at the end of the day Deeper Network is not a Decentralized VPN because your data is collected in Deeper Networks Servers and Deeper Does not allow the Miners with the Exit Nodes for the VPN service to erase the VPN data on there own devices, even if their country allows for no logs to be collected. Will Deeper Network change their policy’s to be in harmony with what they told their community of NO LOGS/DATA KEEP BY DEEPER and ONLY DATA COLLECTED ON EACH EXIT NODE, apparently, they changed their minds……
Pico - At the moment the Pico is only good for mining with a Staked credit score, if the Pico has its own Public IP and is connected for months without being disconnected it will currently not get 10mb of traffic each day to get an increased organic credit score as an exit node, the network currently will choose a faster path out thru a Mini instead. So the Pico at the moment is not a good mining device if that's what you bought it for organically. This has been confirmed. Update: It seems like they are trying to fix this issue. If the device to left on for an extended amount of time it will work on the block chain but will not allow for personal internet access.
-Company Info:
-Deeper Network INC of the Marshal Islands (no office location there currently) Crypto Currency company that was set up as a shell company, filed on March 8, 2019 Entity number 100333 (Legal system mixed legal system of US and English common law, customary law, and local statutes; International law organization participation accepts compulsory ICJ jurisdiction with reservations; accepts ICCt jurisdiction)
-Deeper Network Inc of Delaware USA (no office location in Delaware currently) Software Developer/ VPN / DPN , Entity 201816910575 6/14/2018, EIN Tax ID# 841835438, State ID 04799167 This is the company that controls everything.
-Location Of Head Quartiers Office (5200 Great America Pkwy, Santa Clara , California, 95054) : The main temp office rental location no longer exists that is advertised and on Entity Documents, the location is currently enmity and abandoned, supposedly working remotely from home and out of a shipping warehouse since the past two years+ or longer, unable to verify from the last trip to California. No new permanent office location currently that I am aware of that has been verified. Even from there past video of this office location you can tell it was just a temp location as if it was like one of those rent a cubical to work at temporary location.
(A lot of people have come and gone from the head ranks or moved DOWN to different positions within the company, High Turnover Rate, not sure if currently accurate)
Chief Executive Officer: Mao Liu ( aka also known as Michael Liu); China / California (Runs another Company in California Fam Capital which is not registered in the State of California to work in the State)
Chief Technology Officer: Hui Liu ( aka also known as Russell Liu); San Jose, California, USA
Chief Operations Officer: Xiaoshuai Liu ( aka also known as Cheryl Liu); Maple Ridge, British Columbia, Canada
Chief Marketing Officer: Position Open, last person quite and moved on...............
Contracts: Chao Ma
Secretary/Chief Financial Officer: Xiaoshuai Liu ( aka also known as Cheryl Liu); Maple Ridge, British Columbia, Canada
Corporate Officer: Adam Wolfe
Lei Chang; Saratoga, California
Chief Branding Officer: Yinan S.
Software Developer: Arturo Jimenez
Product manager: Kain Xu
Deeper Network if you feel any of this information is inaccurate please reach out to me and provide me proof showing something different and I will update it on my next post. Information is gathered thru the Deeper Network Community Chats.
EURUSD in the BOX !Hi dear friends;
According to the two falling equal lags that you can see in the chart left side (two-piece spike), now I think we are in the trading range of the market cycle after the descending channel.
On the other hand, we can see the price second encounter to the top of the trading range also, it seems that the double top has been forming, and the price can fall to the lowest part of the box.
I will be waiting for the confirmation of this double top in different time frames.
The news from the Federal Reserve indicates an increase in interest rates also.
I think that the Euro will lose resistance soon!
Cordial regards.
PLTR upcoming new cycle W3 if BO >12, then 16 & 20 will be next.The 2020 low of PLTR is 8.90 which it broke below to make an ABC (A=C) at near 7.21 my max pain zone.
Max risk is only at 7.21 but the upsides are 8.90, 16 & 20. VERY GOOD risk to reward ratio.
A new Elliott wave cycle may have begun if PLTR holds the green 7.21 zone.
Not trading advice
EURUSD Short to demandJust off the strength of the fact that a downswing under the slow MA (in yellow) hasn't come for over 3 days. Prices have been slowly pushing higher, but yesterday we saw a big rejection of the regression line (in blue). Please forgive all of the craziness on the chart, it's for an automated strategy I'm working on. I see price breaking through the slow MA, whether it stays down there, I don't know but that looks like where we're heading. We'll see if price can pull that green MA below it.
Aproaching the bottom of a major 40M nominal wave in BTCWe are moving closer to the expected bottom of 3rd harmonic (13M) of the major 40M wave.
Although we have seen some bounce, we seem to have already broken Valid Trend Line for a short 5W and 10W waves, the VTL of longer bands like 20W and 40W wave have not been broken yet. We will be looking forward to have both 20W and 40W Valid Trend Lines broken - the confirmation that the bottom of those two waves have passed.
That will let us assume that the major 13M/40M bottom is already behind.
Our target price is 11-13k USD coming 10th of August.
EURUSD Gann AnalysisYou might have noticed that the last month was has been the the breakout phase of the the overall market cycle. Beginning May 12th we saw the beginning of a counter trend expansion, which has conformed to a gann fan pattern for the rest of the month.
This month should be characterized by a bearish reversal, and a transition into the trend phase of the market cycle. Last Friday's NFP led to a resurgence of bearsish momentum, which will likely continue given the context of the move within the overall market cycle. Friday wasn't just a bearish move, it was a signal that we are now entering the last market cycle. Price has stopped just short of the lowest side of the gann fan, which could break later this week. I'm looking for a descending channel to form on the daily or 4hr time frame to confirm the bearish trend. Tonight or Monday, I'm looking for price to breakout to supply and fail to break resistance. I've set my demand target close to the lowest gann level.
POTENTIAL SELL ON US30Price has potential to move lower from the retest of the minute 5 timeframe sell zone, wait for bearish price action to confirm the move.
Ethereum Name ServiceEveryone's favorite Airdrop/DAO/NFT/Web3 functionality ENS has been catching a decent bid amid current market conditions.
Up about 90% from the lows while the majority of the market is back to their lows, I'd say ENS is doing pretty well.
From a point of value/ R:R, and also based on popularity, utility + sustainable future, ENS is in a great place currently at face value for a swing/mid-term hold (IMO).
Recent News
ENS 3 & 4 digit number names have become quite popular recently creating a buzz around the NFT ecosystem, most notably with BAYC/MAYC members buying the # that corresponds to their NFT #.
Adding to the above, with the new otherside deeds going live, ALL ENS numbers from 1-10k & 10.1 - 20k are taken. Quite an influx of cashflow is no doubt having an effect on the price of the underlying token as I believe a portion of the funds go towards the DAO and the community handles it from there, making for a fundamentally bullish case IMO.
I myself have been trying to snipe notable names that are expiring soon . Think of it like buying the copyright to your name - no one else can have the same name as you, and if they want to, then theyll have to pay you at your price. I believe ^this^ portion of the analysis is where the greatest value will come from; I'll leave you to connect the dots and figure out the rest.
ENS also recently broke the threshold of 1,000,000 names.
Moving along, looking at price as a whole, its evident to me that ENS has went thru a full market cycle and is in the last phase. Think of the famous Market Psychology Chart.
Many airdrop tokens & brand new low-midcap IDO tokens tend to go through this Market Psychology M as I like to call it at a much faster rate than more sustainable tokens. I believe I have a few analysis on that topic that I'll link below.
Conclusion
Looking at all the factors mentioned and from a probabilistic view:
Is it possible for ENS to make it back to $40 given there is a rise in popularity again?
YES
Is it possible due to the current market cycle phase for ENS to make it back to at least $40 without any other factors?
MAYBE
Can ENS fall back to lows where we see a fourth bottom and likely fall even further creating a much worse R:R ?
UNLIKELY (NO)
Based on current strength relative to the market, can ENS possibly continue even for a short while breaking the next resistance level?
YES
Welp, thats enough for me to look for an entry and potentially hop into the next trend. ENS names becoming hot again is definitely something I see happening; everyone already has their twitter usernames as their ENS, so what could really go wrong by buying a name you like, or even investing in the project that facilitates this?
ETH BullJust your normal bull market. Enjoy guys.
A quick bull run up to $5297 Eth
And then a retracement ( bottoming out ) to/at $2262 Eth
Take entry at your own accord. Not financial advice.
TP 1 : $4400
Enter again @ $3050-$3100
TP 2 : $5297 and wait for bearish divergence confirmation. A more aggressive TP 2/3 could be $6467
Enter again @ $4146
TP 3 : $4864
The End.
Let the market crash down from 25 August 2022 all the way to ---> 3 February 2023
As always be safe. Spend more time with your loved ones.
IS DXY AKA DOLLAR ABOUT TO COLLAPSE?Is history about to repeat itself once again.
The dollar has enjoyed a spat of Bullishness since may last year. It seems to be slowing down at present though.
Running into Monthly fibonacci levels at present the .702 is holding. I'd like to see a close below the .618 next to confirm the move to the downside, targeting D extension @ 84.6
Because the market likes round numbers, I wouldn't be surprised to see a final push up towards the .786 aka 100. Technically price can push as high as 102 and still be printing Lower Highs on the weekly and monthly timeframes. This is bearish price action, given the state of the world economy at present. Especially the USD, I can't see the DXY making an impulsive move upwards. This leads me to believe that the local top for DXY is nearly in and with it a bearish couple of months will follow.
On a macro-economic level, what we could see playing out here is essentially the collapse of the US Dollar. It has maintained dominance and world reserve status due to the petrodollar. As the US pushes for sanctions more countries are moving away from the Dollar. One significant move has been the rise of the Petroyuan. China's response to economic warfare committed by the US. Once this is fully established demand for the Dollar will not only go down, it will collapse. Not to mention the US currently has inflation at around 8% whilst China is sitting pretty at around 0.9%.
There is a clear winner here and it is not the dollar. So either a miracle happens or we are about to witness a new world order. Time will tell, either way what we're witnessing is a massive shift in the global powers. The USA is on its last legs and they seem to be digging an even bigger hole than the one they're already in.
BITCOIN ALL YOU NEED TO DO IS ZOOM OUTAfternoon frens,
Bitcoin has been side stepping since 10th Jan, so pretty much the whole of 2022 so far. Although this can be frustrating, in times of consolidation it's best to just sit on our hands and wait for the market to give us a direction.
As you can see we have been bouncing around the fib levels and weekly resistance. There are quite big wicks either side, indicating both bulls and bears are getting slaughtered in the market. Whenever indecision is present, I sit on my hands and wait. Trying to enter the market now is a guessing game and will mostly end up on the wrong side.
We did achieve a weekly close above 40K last week aka the .618 fib level. This does indicate bullishness in the market, however with all the indecision, I'm still not happy to trade here. Instead to confirm my bullish bias I would be much happier waiting for;
A close above EMA's
A close above 43.5K
I will be watching PA only lower TF for bullish market structure
A weekly close above 45.8K to fully confirm
If this happens my target will be the fib extensions @ 87K & 117K respectively
Despite the consolidation we see at the moment, I am overall bullish on Bitcoin. There seems to be a lot of uncertainty in the market right now, when that is over BTC will have its day. The DXY is also at an interesting turning point, it either carries on strengthening or it collapses. My guess would be a collapse is round the corner as this will coincide with fundamentals at the moment. I can't see the Dollar becoming any stronger than it already is.
Once the DXY collapses that is when BTC and ALTs go on their run. I'm looking forward to it.
Alternatively for the bearish perspective I will be waiting for a close below 33K next target would be 28.6K followed by 22.6K worst case which is the fib extension to complete the impulsive move down.
Have a great day, appreciate you taking the time to check out my TA. Please comments are open, lets discuss :)
Cheers,
Chartster
Sector Rotation March 2022: Stocks Winning While Market DownMy last video on Sector Rotation was almost a year ago. The signals for where the money was flowing into and out of stocks was not nearly as clear as it is now. Stocks in Consumer Staples, Healthcare, and Utilities are considered Defensive plays in a market going down. It is clear by the winners and losers across the market and in my own trade calls which stocks are strong against the bearish tide. Traders and investors can use the Sector Rotation model to position themselves in changing market conditions and have an idea of which sector is likely to lead next.