Marketmaker
Bitcoin Update !!The BTC/USDT chart shows that Bitcoin has returned to its all-time high range, approaching a crucial resistance area around $72,000 – $73,000.
Bitcoin has reached the historical resistance level, marked by the orange line. This area has triggered retracements, indicating that BTC may face selling pressure.
The red arrow indicates a potential pullback scenario if BTC fails to break and hold above this resistance. In this case, BTC could retrace towards the $64,000 level or lower support areas within the descending channel.
If BTC successfully breaks this resistance with strong volumes, it could confirm a bullish continuation toward new highs. Rejection could signal consolidation or a downward correction.
Monitor any breakout or rejection signals around this resistance area to anticipate BTC’s next move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Options: Why the Odds Are Stacked Against YouThe Hidden Challenges of Options Trading:
Options trading may seem like an exciting way to profit from market movements, but beneath the surface lies a trading environment that is heavily biased against individual traders. Many retail investors jump into options trading unaware of the many disadvantages they face, making it more of a gamble than a calculated investment. In this post, we’ll explore the major challenges that make options trading so difficult for individual traders and why you need more than luck to succeed.
1. The Odds Are Biased: Complex Algorithms Unlevel the Playing Field
The first thing to understand is that the playing field is not even. Professional traders and market makers use complex algorithms that evaluate a wide range of factors—volatility, market conditions, historical data, time decay, news and more—before they even think about entering a trade. These systems are designed to assess risks, manage exposure, and execute trades with a precision that most individual traders simply can’t match.
For an individual trader, manually analyzing these factors or using basic tools available online is nearly impossible. By the time you’ve analyzed one factor, the market may have already shifted. The reality is that unless you have access to these advanced algorithmic systems, you're trading with a massive handicap.
2. Market Makers Hold the Upper Hand: Your Trades Are Their Game
Market makers play a critical role in options trading by providing liquidity. However, they also hold an unbeatable advantage. They see both sides of the trade, control the bid-ask spreads, and use their position to ensure they’re on the winning side more often than not. For them, it’s not about making speculative bets; it’s about managing risk and profiting from the flow of orders they receive.
When you trade options, you're often trading against these market makers, and their strategies are designed to maximize their advantage while minimizing their risk. This means your trades are, in essence, a bad gamble from the start. The house always wins, and in this case, the house is the market maker.
3. They Will Fool You Every Time: Bid-Ask Spreads and the Math You Don’t See
One of the most overlooked challenges in options trading is understanding the bid-ask spread. This spread represents the difference between the price you can buy an option (ask) and the price you can sell it (bid). While this may seem straightforward, it’s an area where professionals easily outsmart retail traders.
Advanced traders and market makers use complex mathematical models to manage and manipulate these spreads to their advantage. If you don’t have the mathematical skills to properly evaluate whether the spread is fair or skewed, you’re setting yourself up to overpay for options, leading to unnecessary losses.
4. Information and Tools: A Professional-Only Advantage
Another critical challenge is the vast difference in information and tools available to retail traders versus professionals. Institutional traders have access to data streams, proprietary tools, and execution platforms that the average trader can only dream of. They can monitor market sentiment, analyze volatility in real-time, and execute trades at lightning speed, often milliseconds faster than any retail investor.
These tools give professionals an enormous edge in identifying trends, hedging positions, and managing risk. Without them, individual traders are flying blind, trying to compete in an arena where the best information is reserved for the pros.
5. Volatility and Time Decay: The Ultimate Account Killers
Two of the most critical factors in options trading are volatility and time decay (known as theta). These are the silent killers of options accounts, and pros use them to their advantage.
Volatility: When volatility increases, option prices go up, which might sound great. However, volatility is unpredictable, and when it swings in the wrong direction, it can destroy your position’s value almost overnight. Professionals have sophisticated strategies to manage and hedge against volatility; most individual traders don’t.
Time Decay: Time is constantly working against you in options trading. Every day that passes, the value of an option slowly erodes, and as expiration approaches, this decay accelerates. For most retail traders, this is a ticking time bomb. Pros, on the other hand, know how to structure trades to profit from time decay, leaving amateurs at a disadvantage.
Conclusion: Trading Options Is No Easy Game
The challenges of options trading are real and significant. Between the advanced algorithms, the market makers’ advantages, the mathematical complexities of bid-ask spreads, and the tools and information reserved for professionals, the odds are stacked against you. Add to that the constant threat of volatility and time decay, and it’s clear that options trading is a difficult and often losing game for individual traders.
If you’re thinking about jumping into options trading, it’s crucial to understand the risks involved and recognize that the deck is stacked. To succeed, you need more than just a basic understanding—you need tools, strategy, and a deep awareness of how the pros operate. Without that, you're gambling, not trading.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(21/10/2024)Today will be flat opening in banknifty. After opening if banknifty sustain above 52050 level then expected upside rally upto 52450 level. Below 51950 level expected strong downside upto 51550 level and this can be extend for further 400-500 points in case banknifty starts trading below 51450 level.
BITCOIN - the road map !We will explain the market situation and what is happening in the currencies in this post
And why you should not sell even at 80k or 120k
This is the most important post I will write and share with you. I will return to it in the future to prove to you the truth of what I am saying.
As you know, 67-71k have accumulated very heavily and all the bears have gathered there and formed massive supply areas
Therefore, market makers are emptying this area and absorbing the existing supply, so you see the currencies falling or not moving because the whales are withdrawing liquidity from the currencies and directing it to buy Bitcoin
Also, professional traders and smart money will not enter at resistances and supply areas. They are waiting for a breakout of 73k and confirmation to move
Therefore, you see this great stagnation in the market and on all alternative currencies
Of course, there is something called floating supply, meaning that Bitcoin will rise to 80-90-100 thousand, and there are still bears selling strongly.
After breaking 100 thousand, selling will stop, bears will surrender, and Bitcoin's Dominance will stop rising completely. It is expected to stop at 60-61%.
After that, we will see levels of 130k -140k, and a correction of approximately 20-28% will occur for Bitcoin, but not for currencies, because a violent collapse will begin to acquire Bitcoin's dominance and transfer liquidity from Bitcoin to currencies. After that, Bitcoin will begin to rebound and currencies will begin to explode.
It is normal to see every week double and double and explosions everywhere, and currencies within a few months will hit 10x-20x-30x-50x-100x for each currency and its performance and strength. Here we are in the end of the bull market and at the end of the ALT season.
And you must know intuitively that this is what happens now is positive behavior.
Because we know that explosions don't happen in currencies, madness, FOMO, and memes explosions except when Bitcoin is close to achieving a peak and we all saw the March peak...
in march peak Currencies in some sectors such as AI and memes rose from 3x to 50x so Imagine the if new ATH IN BTC then
BEST regards Ceciliones🎯
ETH/USDT Analysis Update!Ethereum shows signs of resistance near the upper trendline within a descending channel, indicating a potential pullback in the near term.
Ethereum is currently testing the resistance level at the channel's upper boundary. Previous attempts to break the above have resulted in pullbacks, which could happen again if buying pressure does not increase.
The highlighted yellow area is a crucial support area, where buying activity has provided consistent upside in the past.
The recent price action indicates a potential bearish divergence, indicating potential downward movement if confirmed.
Consider a short position if the price fails to break the resistance level.
A stop-loss can be placed slightly above the resistance line to manage risk.
Target the lower support area around $2,270 to $2,210 as a potential area for profit-taking.
Continuous monitoring of Ethereum’s price action around the resistance level will be crucial to anticipate the next significant move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
BTC/USDT Long Update
Bitcoin's price action continues to develop within the descending broadening wedge pattern, highlighting a potential bearish trend as it faces resistance at the upper levels. As indicated in the chart, the repeated rejections suggest that the price might move downward toward the support levels.
Bitcoin has faced multiple rejections at the top of the wedge, each time leading to a significant downward move.
The large red arrows in the chart indicate the potential risk of further downward pressure if the price fails to break above the resistance levels.
If the price fails to break out to the upside, a drop towards the lower trendline of the wedge could be expected.
Waiting for a confirmed breakout above the descending wedge is crucial to enter a long position.
Implement a stop-loss below the lower boundary of the wedge to manage risk.
If a breakout happens, monitor the key resistance zones around the $66,000 to $70,000 range for possible profit-taking.
Monitoring Bitcoin's movement around these critical levels will provide insights into the potential bullish or bearish breakout. Let me know if you need a more detailed analysis!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other altcoin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
DXY SELL TO BUY XXXUSD Hey Traders,
lets get ready to see the dollar index (DXY) take some step down
simple what are we waiting for on the XXXUSD we are anticipating a BUY from the bottom
price fixing below
EMA's
Conversion line
200ema
is a good sign to sell this and BUY ALL XXXUSD at a right point
thanks for reading,if you want more content like this drop a comment below thanks once again!!!!!!!!!!!!
Bitcoin is holding the EMA50 on the 1D - This is bullishBitcoin is holding the $60k level pretty well. It's also the lowest region of the EMA50. We are currently in a big mean reversion in my opinion. Check out my other Bull Market Idea why a Mean reversion to the EMA50 on the 1D is 1/3 dips you will get during a bullrun.
1D CHART BITCOIN BULLRUN GUIDEThe Idea is simple. We will have 3 hits to the EMA50 on the 1D timeframe on Bitcoin. We saw this price action during the 2021 Bullrun aswell. Check the 1D chart back then. We flushed the many longs positions out of the market yesterday. It was crystal clear imo that we flush on the 1st day of uptober. We can also say that 3 is a psychological number - google it. So 3 hits to the 1D chart EMA50 seems possilbe. Time will tell. Trade SAFE!
The UNFI/USDT Long Trade Setup chart shows a falling wedge !The UNFI/USDT Long Trade Setup chart shows a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish technical indicator that suggests a potential reversal if it breaks upwards. Here is a detailed description of the setup:
The price is currently trading within a falling wedge, which is often seen as a signal for a bullish reversal.
A breakout above the wedge could signal an upward move, targeting higher resistance levels, as marked by the green box.
The chart shows the price bouncing off the lower trendline of the wedge (acting as support), with the upper trendline of the wedge acting as resistance.
The green box on the right side of the chart indicates potential profit-taking levels following the breakout.
If UNFI breaks above the wedge, the potential target is in the range of $14 to $16, as indicated by the upper part of the green box. This provides an adequate reward-to-risk ratio for long traders.
The stop-loss zone is located below the support level, around $2.00, indicating where traders can cut losses if the price moves against the setup.
This setup suggests a potential bullish breakout for UNFI/USDT. However, it is important to keep an eye on a decisive breakout above the wedge to confirm the bullish trend, while managing risk via stop-losses below key support. Would you like any additional details or adjustments to this analysis?
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other altcoin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
4hr Bitcoin mean reversionIt looks like Bitcoin is doing a mean reversion on the 4 hour time frame at the moment. We dumped in the opening of the Asian session tonight. Liquidations are also seen above the current high that we could take out. Let's wait and see what the London and New York session brings and how price reacts. We should be watching closely for a break through the EMA50 on the 1 hour time frame to confirm a continuation of the trend.
Bitcoin Sideways Action - Long scenarioBitcoin is consolidating. This means that we are preparing for something. I expect a scenario with the opportunity to enter long positions. Right now, it looks like we will not break the recent lows and continue to form small higher lows. This to me is an indication that we could see a strong move until the consolidation is complete. That could start this Thursday with jobless claims and Fed Chair Powell's speech or next week when all the data is released and the market will react to things like JOLTS Job Openings and Non-Farm Employment Change.
We can also make a bearish move. I would expect a move to the FWB:65K region to take out the last high from August and then move down to reverse.
EUR/JPY Trade Setup – 4-Hour TimeframeEUR/JPY is moving along a descending trendline on the 4-hour timeframe, and the price is currently touching this trendline for the third time, forming a resistance level.
We will be looking for sell entries from this level. To get our entry, let’s scale down to the lower timeframes to identify chart patterns and candlestick confirmations.
How beautiful 😍
EURNZD to find sellers at market price?EURNZD - 24h expiry
Short term bias has turned negative.
50 4hour EMA is at 1.7919.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Daily signals are mildly bearish.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
We look to Sell at 1.7915 (stop at 1.7960)
Our profit targets will be 1.7795 and 1.7775
Resistance: 1.7900 / 1.7941 / 1.7970
Support: 1.7850 / 1.7823 / 1.7800
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Consolidation before the BOJ Policy Rate DecisionWe probably won't see much price action today even though rates were cut to 5% yesterday. Many market participants are bullish, but this feeling can quickly disappear if the Bank of Japan (BOJ) decides to raise rates again, creating a situation like the one on August 5th. We got some clusters of liquidation around ~$63k but we have alot more at <$58k to liquidate.
The only Range you need for BitcoinTake the high and take the low. We are about to approach the red line. The middle of the range, which I think will serve as resistance. We could move to $61.4k by Wednesday, but the FOMC will shake the markets a bit then. On Friday, it will also be interesting to see if the Bank of Japan decides to raise rates.