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Marketmaker

EURJPY Comment downGeopolitical influences do not play a role in sustainably subsidizing the Yen. Yesterday the USD/JPY exchange rate once again approached the observation level of 150; Specifically, it reached 149.74, then decreased slightly back to 149.56. The Yen has recently been fluctuating around the observation threshold, currency investors in the market are still observing the actions of the Japanese Government. While many investors are still observing the market, many others determine that the Japanese Yen is in its 'weakest' stage and is 'bottom-fishing' for the Yen.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
📈📊 Detecting Liquidity: Pivot Points and Trading ReversalsGreetings, fellow traders! Today, let's delve into the fascinating world of liquidity, pivot points, and how they can be essential elements in your trading strategy. Understanding the relationship between these factors can provide you with valuable insights into potential price reversals and market sentiment. 💡📈 🤔 What is Liquidity? Liquidity refers to how easily and quickly an asset can be bought or sold without significantly affecting its price. In the context of trading, liquidity often clusters at specific price levels, creating zones where many orders are concentrated. These zones can act as critical points of interest for traders. 🔄 Pivot Points and Liquidity: Pivot points are technical indicators calculated from previous price data, typically using the high, low, and close prices. They provide potential support and resistance levels, but they also reveal where liquidity might accumulate. 🔍 Liquidity Pools: Liquidity often pools around pivot points, creating liquidity pools. These pools represent price levels where a large number of buy and sell orders are clustered. Traders pay close attention to these levels as they can signal significant price reactions. 🚀 Trading Liquidity and Reversals: Here's how you can leverage liquidity and pivot points in your trading strategy: Identify Pivot Points: Use technical analysis tools to identify pivot points on your chart. There are various pivot point calculation methods, such as Standard, Fibonacci, or Camarilla. Choose the one that aligns with your trading style. Focus on Confluence: Look for confluence between pivot points and other technical indicators, such as trendlines, moving averages, or RSI. When multiple factors align at a specific price level, it strengthens the significance of that level. Observe Liquidity Zones: Pay attention to areas where liquidity is concentrated. These zones can act as magnets for price action. When price approaches a liquidity pool, it's more likely to experience significant movement. Spotting Reversal Signals: Reversals often occur near pivot points, especially if there's a confluence of factors. Look for candlestick patterns, divergence in oscillators, or other reversal signals to confirm a potential change in trend direction. Risk Management: Always implement proper risk management strategies. Set stop-loss orders to limit potential losses if the market moves against your position. 🌐 Conclusion: Understanding liquidity and pivot points can provide you with a unique perspective on market dynamics. By identifying liquidity pools and watching for reversal signals around pivot points, you can make more informed trading decisions. However, remember that no strategy is foolproof, and risk management is paramount. Keep refining your skills and adapt to ever-changing market conditions. 🔄📈
Education
by AlexWhale
1
Advanced Analysic for GBPAUD! BUY HERE!My analysis of the GBPAUD forex pair is as follows: Market Structure: I have identified the MINOR wave structure, marked in BLUE on the chart. The corrective wave structure, labeled 0A-BC and marked in RED, is also evident. By employing additional techniques, I anticipate that the correction will conclude at the designated point C. Price Action Momentum Channel: On the chart, I've identified a bearish momentum channel. I anticipate that the price will reach the lower boundary of this channel, and this could present an opportunity for buyers to enter the market. Fibonacci Analysis: I've identified significant price reaction zones using Fibonacci analysis. In conjunction with other analytical methods, I predict that the price will react notably at two critical levels, particularly in the presence of substantial economic news. SUPPLY & DEMAND BLUE MINOR STRUCTURE: ~ Fibonacci 0.618 reversal. Other Secrect analysic. Thank you for considering this analysis.
Long
by KC_Trader77
Understanding How Forced Liquidations / Stop Hunts are DesignedIn this write up I will explain how we can extrapolate our knowledge of stop loss orders to understand the automatic execution of what are known as forced liquidations or stop hunts. We will understand the mechanics of how Bitcoin can achieve such speed of movement and how to predict these events by reading the charts with a unique perspective of pre-design of these events. Our first goal with viewing the Bitcoin chart is to remain objective and without personal bias. We should have no emotional attachment or opinion when it comes to trading and asset effectively. Due to the lack of regulations in the crypto market and our knowledge of for-profit ventures benefiting off the liquidations of traders positions, we can strive to align ourselves with these forces so long as we decide to actively trade this market. We can begin by understanding what drives Bitcoins price up and down. Unlike equities that have relational value to real world output via job creation, product sales, infrastructure, P&L reports, etc - Bitcoin is in a different class of assets lacking intrinsic value and belong to what I like to call “perceived value assets”. This means the evaluation of price is based on an agreed upon value, defined only by liquidity flowing into and out of the asset. This creates the “volatile” nature you hear about in crypto assets. Prices are very fluid and move up and down extraordinarily fast at specific times that may seem random. The executable actions that impact the price is the fulfillment of orders; buys and sells. Where things get interesting is in understanding stop loss orders and their accumulation. Stop losses are effectively limit orders that reverse the position of traders by returning liquidity into the Bitcoin market cap or by pulling it out of the market cap; depending if the stop loss is for a LONG or SHORT. While it may be hard to grasp how the futures market has a direct effect on Bitcoins price, we must understand that in futures we are simply instructing Market Makers what to do with their assets by borrowing the leverage to our margin and in effect they will sell or buy Bitcoin. The stop losses of these trades are the direct opposition and not only is it in the Market Makers interest to ensure you aren’t taking money from them, attacking the stop losses and liquidations of your trades has a factual benefit to both the exchanges and market makers who collect your position margin once liquidation level is hit. Understanding this we can look at the bitcoin chart and make sense of accumulation of stop loss orders; shown here in my boxes (green are buy orders / short stops, red are sell orders / long stops). We can gauge for ourselves the amount of stop losses accumulated and predict the speed of bitcoins movement and clear interest in setting up a two way liquidation. Now why would a two way liquidation of such magnitude occur? The answer is to do with the US Dollar just underneath a major bearish retest on the 3 month chart. An entry into a bull market is would be a key time to execute a dramatic liquidation on Bitcoins chart, as we see here there is a chain reaction ready to hit both the top and bottom level I have marked. As the stop loss orders are hit, there is accumulating power sent into the next level, which creates exponential speed of movement and this is what we like to call “stop hunts”. Hopefully this article is helpful and allows you to understand how we can decipher the chart in a way that allows us to forecast out these movements and ideally prove that these “unpredictable” movements are in fact quite predictable after all. - Dick Dandy
by DickDandy
50DMA and TBILLS indicating when bear market hitsHere's a closer look at a highly reliable cyclical bear market indicator. Over the past two decades, it has consistently proven itself as a trusted signal, often aligning with yield curve inversions. In contrast to employing trendlines and breakouts for precision, this chart relies on moving averages. These moving averages function in a similar manner to channels, as they calculate the mean, much like a channel does in various aspects. When there's a breakdown from this mean, it typically signifies a significant loss of support. From a fundamental perspective, this shift suggests that the market is heading towards a risk-off sentiment, leading investors towards products such as TLT due to their appealing pricing in comparison to stock valuations. The divergence we're witnessing appears unlike any we've encountered before. To return to the mean, it would require either a prolonged consolidation at higher levels for many months or a sudden and sharp downturn. I have my own theories on how such a downturn might occur, possibly triggered by an event akin to a cyber attack on financial systems, similar to the disruption caused by the COVID pandemic. However, that's a discussion for another day. In this scenario, our focus should be on reacting to developments rather than attempting to predict them. Currently, the most crucial level to monitor is a potential retest of the 4100 range on the SPX, coupled with how the yield curve reacts when it approaches its initial resistance. If a breakout occurs in these areas, it could signify an increasingly uncertain market environment. For a more detailed analysis, please refer to the chart below, which provides insights into the points I've discussed.
TVC:US03MY
by EdwinPus
Exploring the S&P500: Decoding the Market Maker-Here's my quad chart analysis of ES1!, the S&P500 futures index, displaying striking accuracy with Fibonacci retracements. -The top two boxes present micro charts on daily tf's, showing recent Fibonacci-based peaks and troughs. The bottom two are weekly schematics on 3 Day tf's, revealing longer-term trends obediently following Fib levels. -KEEP IN MIND THE BOTTOM TWO "WEEKLY" ARE ACTUALLY 3 DAY CHARTS MAPPING A WEEKLY SCHEMATIC -This alignment suggests the Market Maker's playful maneuvers before an anticipated significant move. Based on the patterns, I hypothesize a considerable downtrend on the horizon for the S&P Futures Index (ES1!). -Remember, market predictions aren't set in stone and require vigilance. However... dump city here we come.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by MichaelBsul
UUUU entry - sub $6Energy Fuels (UUUU) is a Uranium and Vanadium mining company that is domestically sourced low carbon renewable energy fuel (U( and steel strengthener (V2O5). * Improving earnings - nearing profitability * Domestic contract growth * By-product Vanadium is also in demand - steel recycling * Energy market can not rely on oil and LNG alone * MFI crossing 50% and consolidation and buying will increase scarcity * CCI momentum hitting bottom Entry this week after dropping below $6 with limit buys and retracing back to 238 fib level. Will watch for drop to full retrace to $4.90 (exit before) or a more likely climb to 500 retracement at $8 and watch for break through or more consolidation. Own opinions of energy market - come to own conclusions, or comments here welcomed. Like to hear what others in energy market have to say. Warm winter LNG will get us through, what stocks are you loving for 2023? @Pokethebear @rudcharts
AMEX:UUUU
by Pokethebear
2
Market Makers Buy And Sell ModelThe market Makers' Buy and Sell Model is a strategy that reveals the market maker algorithm model for price delivery. Basically, there are 3 things market makers' algorithms do with price in every trading session, day, week, and month Those 3 things are; Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution. AMD: A: Accumulation M: Manipulation D: Distribution 1. Accumulation: They accumulate liquidity through the delivery of a ranging market. The purpose of delivering a ranging market is to induce both buyers and sellers to enter the market thinking that price will go in their direction. How to Identify a Ranging Market: You know price is in a ranging market when you see obvious relative equal highs and lows price range. In a ranging market, price swing points have relatively equal highs and lows, that is, the price is neither delivering a higher high nor a higher low. 2. Manipulation: After accumulating both buy and sell orders, they then manipulate the market to further induce another set of traders which are breakout traders. But, that particular manipulation move is not their intended direction for the day. They only use it to gather liquidity, Which will then lead them to the next action which is to move and distribute prices in their real direction for the day. Usually, when price breaks out of a ranging market, the break-out is a manipulation to further induce a new set of traders to enter the market, further proving liquidity for market makers' real intended direction. 3. Distribution: After manipulating the price to a particular direction different from their plan, they then distribute the price to their original intended direction. e.g to buy, they will first sell the market and then buy at the discount price level. You know a price distribution through clean candles that left imbalances behind and then break market structure away from the previous manipulation move structure high or low to form a new structure. Example of Market Makers Buy and Sell Model as described on the chart. AMD: A: Accumulation M: Manipulation D: Distribution Accumulation: Price range for some time, accumulating liquidity on both sides of long and shorts. Manipulation: Price broke the high of the accumulation to take out Buyside liquidity and then create a new higher high and higher low. But it's a manipulation move. Distribution: Price moves away from the FVG leading to a shift in market structure, plus a short pullback, follow by a massive move to the downside to take out sell-side liquidity below. Entry: Your entry should be inside the FVG created by price before the shift in market structure, you can set a limit order inside the fvg and place your stop loss at the high of the swing high created prior to the fvg and shift in market structure. The same thing applies to a bullish market. Basically, Marker makers push prices higher so they can sell the market at a premium, while they sell the market to lower prices so they can buy that market at very discount prices This strategy can be used in any time frame and all markets including forex, crypto, stocks, future etc. Follow me for more updates. Feel free to ask me any questions in the comment.
Education
by Elijahenoch7
LTCUSD | Will halving get us through the resistance?Good morning, One month to go until Litecoin Halving. Since the beginning of the year, we have been constantly moving between the daily EMA 200 (white) and the EMA 800 (purple). At the time of this idea, we are back below the EMA 200 and all of our EMAs have flattened out. With such news events, existing resistances and old liquidity zones can usually be worked off well. I am therefore preparing for two scenarios. Scenario 1 (blue) We come in July again significantly above the EMA200 and our short EMAS, 5+13 pull along. In this I would use 50% of the capital that I want to use for this idea. The other 50% when breaking above the EMA800. Scenario 2 (orange) We get a stop hunt of our range. Everything from $71.60 would be a top price and would lead to 50% accumulation. The other 50% would come into play should we get back into the range after such a stop hunt. Price Targets : Around $110 and between $140 and $150.
COINBASE:LTCUSDLong
by Hawkeye-Charting
3