BTC to 25k or 30k I have my support lv in to see what direction BTC will go, will we dip to 25k or pump to 30k 35k? Time will tell and it looks like it's heading down, but this could be a fake move. Smart money waist for it and yet scared money can't make profits sitting stable. I am going to wait to see what support holds or fails. God speed.
Marketmaker
US30 DJIA RechargeBullish sentiment sees DJIA shifting into the higher 33000s. The overall market sentiment for the top 30, is exceptionally bullish.
Market Makers will drive prices down fuelled by stops and relatively quickly at that.
Looking deeper, we find that lower timeframes suggest a move to the upside, however, the larger timeframes point to a retest of early 32000s.
Will the herd win, or will the wolves?
Let's See.
📊Liquidity GrabSmall and big players tend to acquire larger positions in the market than they can afford, in an attempt to benefit from the leverage. This is where the concept of liquidity grab comes into play. Large trades and institutional investors need to locate liquidity areas in the market to complete their trades. Stops and stop-loss orders are critical for survival in a leveraged market. Stop hunting is a common practice in Forex trading, where traders are forced to leave their positions by triggering their stop-loss orders. This can create unique opportunities for some investors, which is called a liquidity grab. Stop hunting is a trading action where the price and volume action threatens to trigger stops on either side of support and resistance. When a large number of stops are triggered, the price experiences higher volatility on more orders hitting the market. Such volatility in price generates opportunities for participants to enter a trade in a favourable environment or protect their position. The fact that too many stop losses triggered at once result in sharp moves in the price action is the reason behind the practice of liquidity grab.
📍 What is liquidity sweep?
In trading, a liquidity sweep is the process of filling an order by taking advantage of all available liquidity at multiple price levels. Traders use this method to ensure their orders are filled at the best possible price by breaking up their order into smaller sub-orders and spreading them across multiple price levels. Institutional traders and high-frequency trading firms commonly use liquidity sweeps for efficient and quick execution of large trade volumes.
📍 Liquidity Zones
Big players in trading aim for the best prices but face challenges finding sufficient counter-forces to fill their large orders. Entering the market at low liquidity areas creates more volatile markets, negatively impacting the average price. Conversely, entering at high liquidity areas results in less volatile markets, ensuring a better average price for the position. These liquidity zones are where stop-loss orders are placed, and the concept of "liquidity grab" comes from the need for big players to enter the market in these zones to take large positions. Traders use swing lows and swing highs to create these liquidity zones and place stops as reference points, resulting in either a reversal to the mean or a breakout of the level.
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📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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XAUUSD : Gold Mafia in it's own worldOANDA:XAUUSD
hi , trader's , we started selling Gold from 2000 , and we closed sell at 1940
since 1940 we bought gold twice , now as per price action gold is trading near major resistance of 1985
If price failed to close 4hr candle above 1985 than fair chance that Gold will go down to 1950 area
Price can do fakeout at current level
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This Is How GBPUSD Will Likely Move In Coming Months | Be Ready!I have published this idea to give you a general view of how to look at GBPUSD in the meantime ..
Please do consider that this is an estimation of how price might move, given the current conditions and market outlook and that may change and it's not stable..
A confirmation must occur before determining every leg of the moves shown on chart, and confirmations of lower timeframes is obligatory..
This is the general view of what we might expect price to do.. make sure to hit a FOLLOW to get updates and confirmations right away💥
What's your view on this pair and DXY in general?
WAVES/USD Main trend. Accumulation and distribution zones. Logarithm. Main trend. Time frame 1 month.
Are you scared in the market right now? If yes, then rejoice and change your fear into a positive. After all, if you're scared, then other market participants are similarly scared, and this is an understanding of the surrender zone.
Linear schedule . 1 month.
Accumulation and distribution. The average price of recruitment and resetting.
In this trading idea, I will describe how a big player works and manipulates the price of an asset. You need to understand the mechanism of market play according to cycles and the psychology of people's behavior in the market in different phases of the cycle.
The big player in the asset accumulation zone "makes volatility," allowing you to earn locally (he buys into you). On pamp, you sell coins with a profit of +50%, +100% +200% is not particularly important.
After all, the point is for you to sell coins at a profit or a loss. The less liquid the instrument, the wider the range, and vice versa. Then the same coin is sold to you or others like you in the next cycle, but at a profit of +10,000% or more.
For a major player, the % monopoly on coins of the total market turnover is important. A large percentage of the total turnover gives an opportunity to influence the price in its favor, in other words, to control the price of the cryptocurrency.
As a rule, most do not buy in accumulation, they are afraid. They wait for those who are supposed to sell to them to say, "Fools, it's time to buy in triple-dollars."
Accumulation.
You make a lot of money not on the pump but in the growth of the price in a strong trend. It takes time, sometimes a very long time, to accumulate a position in a certain range. On some liquid U.S. stocks, it takes a year or more to gain a position. On cryptocurrencies, this process is much faster, but sometimes this stage of the process is time-consuming.
Most market participants, who are doomed to lose all the time, do the opposite. Projecting into trading what they are in real life. Anything that has to do with money reinforces this effect. Buy expensive (aimed at buying), sell cheap (aimed at selling). Do not inherit this tendency.
Distribution of coins (sale of coins).
Similarly, it takes a long time to reset a large position in an acceptable price range as well. This example of working on this cryptocurrency illustrates this creative process well. It is a creative process because it is work according to the plan, but from the situation that develops, you need to inspire the mice to willingly crawl into the mousetrap with a smile on their face.
We need to keep the price (price level range) and let them earn +30%, +100% +200% is necessary to get everyone used to super-highs. Make a substitution in the concept of “super highs” and “bottom”. And simultaneously, you gradually unloaded your position. Believing hamsters will willingly buy "from the bottom" thereby you will not burn a lot of money to keep the “faith level”. You have to understand the mindset of the majority and their desires.
Most people can't think for themselves, they pass off other people's insinuating thoughts as their own. Such is the psychology of the lower classes. Destructive desires, low intelligence and ideological significance. They do their thing. Intelligence in the crowd evaporates, herd cloning thinking is turned on. It's contagious...
After about 60-70% of the position is sold out in an acceptable range, the dumping of the rest of the asset begins. By moving the price down to the desired new set of positions, you gradually "kill the faith" of the lazy hamster in a bright future. As a rule, the crowd is drained at the very bottom, when it was told to sell, or correctly said, instilled with the idea to get rid of the “unpromising”.
You must know in advance where and at what % of the allocated sum you will fill the position and under what conditions. There should be discipline in everything, and you should determine in advance your future actions according to your trading algorithm, rather than an emotional component.
Closer to the main position set zone-another price increase (optional) to unload another 10-20% of the position. In this coin this was done in the last cycle. Often you can see that this is done differently. Imitation of the accumulation channel, when the remaining extra part of the position is unloaded (not all of it). This method allows deceiving not completely stupid people, namely traders who analyze only price charts and understand the internal processes.
People see an imitation of accumulation. This, by the way, is difficult to understand. After all, skillful work always hides "traces of the crime" in the buying/selling lane. And only experience allows you to determine that. For example, I once got into such a situation due to my inattention, but a timely exit upon confirmation of a breakdown of channel support partially leveled the situation. Unsuccessful experience is also extremely important, you need to make the right conclusions and continue to develop in this area as a player or even as an operator.
In the next cycle of accumulation-pumping-dumping-accumulation, the process naturally repeats itself, if the organizers have enough rationality to support the project. A fool is not a mammoth, he will not go extinct. That's why this market makes super profits. It's very simple.
I copied the entire text from my educational article 2020 , on the same coin.
Profit over +500% since publication.
Maximums as shown +12,300% or $60.66
WAVES/USD Main Trend. What "fuel" doesn't see. Process .
Now there are problems with the USDN Stablecoin near the surrender zone
Importantly, you have to understand that this is DEX WAVES Stablecoin, which is the point of "untethering." Amazingly, I haven't come across anywhere in the comments disgruntled and understanding why this is being done. Is the market to blame, as in LUNA-UST? All accidents of this magnitude are not. On the Internet, in the comments of victims encountered only negative (gave up, anger at losing money, “killed faith”) or conversely positive (the desire to save your money). Any trader understands the essence of cheating.
Any stabelcoin is an altcoin whose stability depends on people's belief in its stability, and the willingness of its creators to maintain that belief in stability.
WAVES/USD Secondary trend. Wedge. Capitulation. Locally. Time frame 1 day.
Locally. Time frame 1 day.
GBPCAD | Elliott Wave Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
The way I told you, you have to trade like this and you will have more profit always and you will not be a loss.
Aspects to Market Maker Modeling from a Retail Perspective 3Market makers' provision of liquidity is a complex system that involves managing an aggregate of securities
and derivatives that are readily available to be cashed on spot.
Market makers use different market approaches to manage their inventory, such as bid-ask spread, order flow, and algorithmic trading strategies.
These approaches allow market makers to make a profit by providing liquidity to the market, while also mitigating risk
and ensuring that they have enough inventory to meet the demand of market participants.
Market making is a highly competitive business, market makers need to be able to generate a profit in order to remain in the market.
They also need to be able to anticipate and respond to changes in market conditions, economic conditions,
and regulations in order to remain profitable in the long term.
Market makers can create inventory artificially by using a variety of strategies.
One common strategy is to use algorithmic trading systems
to generate large numbers of buy and sell orders in the market.
These orders can create the appearance of increased demand for a particular security,
which can push prices higher.
Another strategy is to use derivatives such as options or futures contracts to create synthetic positions in a security.
This allows market makers to take a position in a security without actually owning the underlying asset,
creating the appearance of increased demand and driving prices higher.
It's worth noting that creating inventory artificially is not illegal, but it is heavily regulated by the financial authorities,
and market makers are subject to strict rules and regulations to ensure that these practices do not harm the market or its participants.
In summary, market makers can create inventory artificially by using algorithmic
trading systems to generate large numbers of buy and sell orders in the market,
or by using derivatives such as options or futures contracts to create synthetic positions in a security,
this allows market makers to take a position in a security without actually owning the underlying asset,
creating the appearance of increased demand and driving prices higher, but it is heavily regulated by the financial authorities,
and market makers are subject to strict rules and regulations
to ensure that these practices do not harm the market or its participants.
USDCAD appears bullishThe USDCAD market has exhibited bullish order flow starting from January 30th at a price level of 1.32998, reaching a peak of 1.34709 on January 31st. However, a pullback was observed subsequent to the upward move, as price retraced to the H4 and M15 demand zones. The potential for a rally to the upside exists if these double demand zones hold. It should be noted that as the end of January approaches, there is also a possibility of price moving away from these zones in pursuit of raiding liquidity below in the form of an irregular W pattern.
From a market maker perspective, the 13EMA has demonstrated a clear divergence from both the 50EMA and the 200EMA, suggesting the potential for the recent pullback to reach a point of exhaustion. To mitigate risk and maximize potential returns, it is recommended to carefully observe the market for indications of price rejection of these demand zones, or for market makers to "crab" liquidity below these levels, prior to entering a long position.
Considering the present wide spread during this trading session, it may be prudent to wait for further price consolidation until the London session open before making a decision. In this scenario, a short-term target of 1.3350 (with 200EMA acting as possible resistance), and a medium-term target of 1.34000 have been identified as potential long trade targets.
GOLD: Bullish outlookThe XAUUSD currency pair, representing the exchange rate between gold and the US dollar, is currently facing rejection at the 1900 and 1896 support zone. This follows a significant drop of over 200 pips attributed to robust selling activity from the 200EMA, which is functioning as dynamic resistance. The current scenario suggests an oversold condition of the pair.
My analysis predicts that the pair will reach the levels of 1908 and 1913 in the near term, with 1908 serving as the short-term target and 1913 as the medium-term target. In the event of a deeper correction, I have set 1918 as the extended medium-term target.
GBPUSD: BEARISH OUTLOOKThe psychological support and resistance levels for GBPUSD for the current week have been established at 1.24044 - 1.23774. The technical analysis of the 4-hour and daily time frames indicate a bearish trend, with the daily time frame currently situated within a contraction zone. Based on the 4-hour trend and weekly PSR, it is expected that the bearish sentiment for GBPUSD will persist. This bearish trend may be further strengthened if the daily time frame exits the contraction zone with bearish momentum.
From a market maker's perspective, two key scenarios to monitor are:
1) price rejection at the 50 exponential moving average (EMA) with TDI divergence and
2) price rejection at the 200 exponential moving average (EMA) with a shark fin pattern on TDI.
My short-term target for this market scenario is 1.23130, while the medium-term target is 1.2285.
PCC & QQQ: PUT TO CALL RATIO / MARKET BOTTOM NEARING???DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have included an overlapping analysis of PCC which is a PUT TO CALL RATIO INDICATOR & QQQ a LEADING INDEX in the OVERALL MARKET.
POINTS:
1. A PUT TO CALL RATIO LEVEL OF 2:1 HAS ALWAYS BEEN INDICATIVE THAT A MARKET BOTTOM IS NEARING OR IN.
2. MACD is has officially shown a complete flip in buying to selling pressure by touching +0.1 and falling closer to -0.05.
3. RSI is showing a distinct decline seen in past market bottoms.
IMO: With an overabundance of overall bearish market sentiment and spikes being seen in PUT TO CALL RATIO INDICATORS FOR EQUITIES & INDICES it should be safe to bet that market bottoms occur when the majority of retail investors are buying PUTS as MARKET MAKERS would not allow their CONTRACTS to EXPIRE IN THE MONEY.
SCENARIO: Continuous spikes to 2 POINTS for PCC and above is most certainly a sign that a MARKET BOTTOM is in the making already.
FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com
USI:PCC
NASDAQ:QQQ
BTCUSDT - Who is next to liquidate? Guess or Chess? Hallo to all. Here, we present something we wanted to share publicly, since we started the development of the Liquidations Levels indicator, 1.5 year ago.
We think it is useful, because It has to do with the accuracy of the result and the indicator.
We compare what you might think it happened (when using the indicator) with the reality, what really really happened in the charts.
To be honest: The accuracy of the results was always a question inside our mind. If we couldn't validate the calculations in reality, then the indicator is useless or it might lead to misunderstanding or, worse, misinterpretation.
Some things first:
The indicator is trying to calculate the other traders large over-leveraged positions at the time they opened, plot them in the chart exactly when they opened and to track the pair Price Action (recaction) for these.
The Market Maker, is always, hunting these positions and is trying to create Max Pain for these type of positions, by hitting them, usually in bunches/groups of them, with wicks or aggressive moves.
Liq Levels calculations: In order to do the correct calculations, we were forced to make (like on every algorithm) some mini-assumptions about the calculations.
It's like the Fast Fourier Transform sampling (FTT) coming from the Signal Processing Theory, we have learned in Communications on University, many years ago.
The sampling , the interval , the period are extremely important parameters. Especially here, for each parameter, even a change of 0.01 percent will lead to different results. So we must be accurate.
So... The 1 million dollars question: Does the indicator shows real liquidations? Is the MM actually liquidate trades positions in the indicators levels we have calculate?
Can we trust the indicator in the Trading View?
The answer is YES. It is a 100% validation.
After a long time, we have finally managed to plot all the real time liquidations that happened in Binance Futures pairs, directly in the chart. These data are collected by the official feed from the Binance API.
So, every green "X" you see in the following chart, is a single liquidation of a Long Position and every red "X" is the liquidation of a Short Position. On the same chart there are also plotted the Liquidation levels indicator with their lines. I think the chart speaks for it self.
Where the liquidation levels plot a line, and when the price went there finally, there exactly, the liquidations happened.
The validation of Liquidation Levels with the real liquidations:
If someone asks me, about what will be the next move, I will answer to him/her with something else:
Noone knows (except the MM), but with the use of the liquidation levels indicator, you can help yourself, and transform your trading style, from a Guess game, to a Chess game. Use your mind, evaluate the situation, and think like the MM.
What you will do next?
This will be another story to analyze.
Best regards to all,
the Mobility in Life Applications TEAM
(developers of the Liquidations Levels indicator)
ES1! RALLIES & FALLS (UPDATE)DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided an updated version of my previous chart for ES1! .
POINTS:
1. Price Action has broken previous pennant and fallen into a consolidation phase.
2. Breaking through this consolidation phase would either require breaking 3900 to the upside or 3800 to the downside.
Current Fall Percentage = -9.47%
Current Fall in Points = -1585
Average Fall Percentage = -14.63%
NOTE: *Highlighted Channel 3800 - 3900 is current price action range where DIX HAS SHOWN TO SPIKE THE MOST.
CME_MINI:ES1!
Is YOUR Broker Regulated? Find out hereHere is a list of eight of the main financial regulatory agencies that are backed with strict regulatory enforcement in other countries…
You’ll need to make sure the broker you choose is approved by one of the below.
South Africa (FSCA) - The Financial Sector Conduct Authority
USA (SEC) – Securities And Exchange Commission
Eurozone (MiFID) – Markets In Financial Instruments Directive
UK (FCA) – Financial Conduct Authority
Australia (ASIC) – Australian Securities and Investments Commission
India (SEBI) – Securities and Exchange Board of India
Japan (JSDA) – Japan Securities Dealers Association
Switzerland (FINMA) – Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority
Am I missing any? Let me know in the comments :)
Trade well, live free.
Timon
MATI Trader
Financial trader since 2003
How to Choose the Right Broker -10 pointsHere’s a list you may follow to help with your decision.
My top 10 list to choose the best broker
1. Only choose reputable brokers that are regulated and recognised by the main financial regulatory bodies. (See answer to question two for the list of financial regulated authorities).
2. Find a broker who offer a list of trading instruments that you prefer i.e. shares, CFDs, Spread trading or futures.
3. Make sure their cost fees are low and their withdrawing and depositing structure takes place within three working days.
4. Make sure they are insured and deal with the top banks in the world and don’t run their own finance firm where they can take your money and run.
5. Go onto Google or ‘Hello Peter’ and read as many reviews from REAL people to see their experiences.
6. Browse through their website and read through everything before you decide whether they are for you or not.
7. Avoid any broker who promises any too-good-to-be true returns or are very marketing orientated – most times these are scams…
8. Analyse their portfolio growth they’ve achieved for their clients over the last five years. This will help you see their consistency or even the validity of what they have to offer.
9. Choose a broker who meets your trading needs i.e. trading platform, available markets, trading indicators, economic calendars and even copy-trading plug-ins.
10. Make sure the broker you choose is able to help in terms of customer service needs, trading education, live videos and even trading events for their clients.
If you found this useful, let me know in the comments.
Trade well, live free.
Timon
MATI Trader
Financial Trader since 2003
Market stagnation before the retraceDue to low liquidity during the weekends we are going to see most likeley not much action on the Market.
We have 2 Major Liquidity Zones that should be recovered on Sunday evening latest Monday.
Expect a retrace to 16445USD
Short orders are favourable.
Another possibility is before retracing to the 16445USD zone a touch of the 800EMA before we retrace.
Wait and observe the behaviour, on Sunday latest monday we will know more about the market intentions.
Stay calm and wait for the liquidity to come into the market.
Enjoy the weekend.