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Marketmakermethod

EUR USD IdeaAs our grand Bullback and Continuation Theory from yesterday could still be in play, there is a critical observation to consider: our daily candle wick 1.10089 closed only over the previous range high. From years of trading experience, this is not a bullish move warranting full risk on the bullback. To think like a professional trader, if the market maker didn’t push these highs, what's the reasoning behind it? Did they just grab liquidity and go short, or are we still on the path to continuation? The answer is elusive. Therefore, my swing trade idea here will be scaled down in terms of risk. Here’s my warning if you have a similar trading plan: Be patient. Market makers are extremely tricky, and there's no need to let them hit our stops. Wait for a 4-hour shift before making a trade. We will keep our ideas posted, so stay tuned and let's navigate the market smartly!
Long
by themarketknight
Market Makers in Crypto: Who Controls the Cryptocurrency Market?Functions of Market Makers Market makers perform several essential functions in the cryptocurrency market, including: Providing Liquidity: They ensure there is enough liquidity between buyers and sellers to maintain active market participation. Providing Quotes: They offer bid and ask prices at any given time, facilitating trades between market participants. Risk Management: Market makers manage trading risks and maintain a balanced risk-return ratio to protect their interests and those of their clients. Providing Advice: They supply market information and analysis to assist clients in making informed trading decisions. Improving Market Efficiency: By reducing the spread between buyers and sellers, market makers enhance overall market efficiency. Market makers in the crypto industry operate similarly to traditional market makers. They provide market liquidity, execute buy and sell orders instantly, and earn profits from the spreads between these orders. However, due to the relatively unregulated nature of the cryptocurrency market, there is no stringent code of conduct for market makers, and the technical demands for ensuring transaction security are higher. Market makers follow a simple principle: "buy low, sell high." This approach requires handling large volumes of transactions, sometimes up to tens of thousands per second. They use advanced algorithmic programs to monitor numerous parameters and recalculate forecast prices multiple times per second, thus providing market liquidity without incurring losses. Despite this, even sophisticated trading algorithms can falter due to rapid trade speeds or incorrect price predictions. During periods of high volatility, market makers might incur losses while trying to stabilize the market. Therefore, a stable or slightly fluctuating market is ideal for them, while days with significant price movements can lead to substantial losses. In essence, while regular market participants react to past events, market makers anticipate future market movements to set optimal buy and sell prices and determine order volumes. Cryptocurrency exchanges and market makers often collaborate closely. Some exchanges maintain their own market-making teams, while others partner with third-party market makers. This cooperation can take two forms: Direct Cooperation with Crypto Exchanges: Exchanges offer special programs for market makers, providing personalized trading terminals. Through APIs, exchanges share order book information and market depth with market makers, facilitating pricing and matchmaking. Indirect Cooperation with Crypto Exchanges: Market makers provide over-the-counter (OTC) market-making services through intermediaries or platforms. Market makers are crucial but not mandatory for liquidity provision on crypto exchanges. They must negotiate terms such as commission distribution and trading volumes with exchanges to ensure profitable and smooth cooperation. Additionally, they must adhere to exchange rules and external regulations to ensure legal compliance. From a trading mechanism perspective, market makers with internal exchange connections play a significant role in price determination, which can help prevent price manipulation to some extent. Their presence enhances exchange liquidity, improving user experience and loyalty, and making the exchange more profitable. Consequently, exchanges often offer discounts to market makers for their activities. ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Crypto4light
Long BTC/USDTP - Potential MM's Weekend TrapLooks like a 5-wave Elliott wave move up, with waves 3 and 5 hopefully hitting over the weekend. Wave 0 starting during the NYC session/reversal, potentially offering-up a nice “market maker weekend trap”, topping-out at wave 5. If true, price should also retrace back down for the “midweek reversal” next week. Invalidation (stop loss) would be price closing below wave 0 (red S1 line on the CPR). Shout out to Tino @TradersReality Craig Percoco, @TradeTravelChill and Anup's magical CPR.
Long
by dimuthj
Exploring the S&P500: Decoding the Market Maker-Here's my quad chart analysis of ES1!, the S&P500 futures index, displaying striking accuracy with Fibonacci retracements. -The top two boxes present micro charts on daily tf's, showing recent Fibonacci-based peaks and troughs. The bottom two are weekly schematics on 3 Day tf's, revealing longer-term trends obediently following Fib levels. -KEEP IN MIND THE BOTTOM TWO "WEEKLY" ARE ACTUALLY 3 DAY CHARTS MAPPING A WEEKLY SCHEMATIC -This alignment suggests the Market Maker's playful maneuvers before an anticipated significant move. Based on the patterns, I hypothesize a considerable downtrend on the horizon for the S&P Futures Index (ES1!). -Remember, market predictions aren't set in stone and require vigilance. However... dump city here we come.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by MichaelBsul
The true thinking process of the banks - Forex Master Pattern Hello there traders, in this article I have compressed information which will be useful for every trader. There is this trading methodology which very little know of (Even though its public information) that revolves around a market cycle which consist of an contraction, expansion, and trend. This article will just open the doors to your understanding of these principles, and will just go over the basics, to master it you must practice it a lot and identify many different zones in the markets. Practice Makes Perfect __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ What will be gone over in this article? This article will explain what exactly are contraction phases, expansions, and trends and how to identify these different market phases. Get a basic understanding of what institutional traders look for and how they operate vs Retail. What exactly is the value line and how it acts like the "center of gravity". __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ What is the Forex Master Pattern? The “Forex Master Pattern”, is a alternative type of Technical Analysis which shows the true psychological patterns of the Financial Markets. This pattern has 3 Phases, which is known as the Contraction, Expansion, and the Trend Phase, which will complete one market cycle in this term. This pattern also creates a concept known as the “value line,” which is the fair value zone or the neutral belief zone where buyers and sellers agree is the fair value. Consider it in terms of the center of gravity. This pattern is present on every timeframe and in every market with enough liquidity and volume, and shows the behavior, psychology and activity of retail, professional traders, institutional traders and investors and market makers. __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ The Contraction Phase The contraction phase is the setup and it indicates a period that the market is in consolidation, with a tight and narrow range. During the contraction phase there is going to be low institutional volume and they are avoiding positions and trades. It is best to avoid trade entries in this phase and wait for a clear trend after the expansion. The Expansion Phase The expansion phase is the play and its when the institutional traders begin to accumulate positions. There are many things that institutional traders would do in this phase. If the institutional trader or "market maker", main goal is to buy the asset, they will drive the price lower with their money to draw in retail traders to place shorts and sell their positions which will generate liquidity for "smart money" to buy cheaper. and vice versa. If the institutional trader or "market maker", main goal is to sell then they will make the price go up a little with their own money to lure in traders who will buy their bags so that "smart money", can sell in a profit and overvalued. The Trend Phase The trend phase is the final phase that completes this market cycle. Once the institutional traders feel like it is time for them to start taking profits, will commence the distribution cycle which causes price to move down. All this profit taking from "smart money", will eventually lead retail traders to understanding that they were in the wrong side of the trade and the panic, liquidations, and stops start. Eventually they panic and start buying back in, and this generates liquidity for institutional investors and traders to take profits, leaving retail with overvalued bags, for the cycle to repeat itself again. For the short scenario it'll be a vice versa too, they will move price up with their own money, cause retail to believe the price is going up so that they get into wrong trades (Retail buys, Smart Money Shorts), they start accumulating short positions or selling their bag and with the trend drive price back to value or even below, and at this point retail again begin the panic, liquidations, and get stopped, and ultimately sell their bags to institutional traders who buy at a discount. This pattern is also similar to the accumulation and distribution cycle and are basically the same theories with different executions. __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ What is the value line? Previously in this article I have explained how contraction zones create fair value lines. Value lines can be described as the average price and the neutral belief zone for price. It sorta acts like an center of gravity. Knowing the HTF value lines can be your key to success since you will understand the general direction of the market. Value lines help you visually understand what territory the market is in, like if its consolidating at value you should avoid entering any trade at all cost and wait for the expansion and perhaps the trend. These value lines and contractions can also be used to find certain broadening wedge ranges and the longer price stays in a proper broadening wedge the more volatile it will get. The broadening wedge starting from the origin of the contraction is rare to find but can create some pretty good scalping environments and conditions. Conclusion: Well I hope this was educational, and it gives you another way of understanding the markets. This article was pretty basic in understanding this pattern and methodology but hopefully now you have more awareness. The best way to start understanding these principles is to practice in the charts and learn to identify the three phases. This isn't a strategy but more like a theory or a concept which explains the behavior of the market. With proper understanding you can create many different strategies since this is extremely versatile and works on any market and timeframe if the liquidity is there. So go on the charts and try to identify the three phases and see how you can improve your trading game!.
Education
by Traders_Endeavors
2
BTCUSDT H1 Hi if price backtests demand zone and appears bullish signal, could be bullish engulfing, morning star, hammer...so on entry - demand zone when signal appears SL - lower edge of demand zone which is given on chart can set a bit more space for preventing fake move TP - 20798 It's supposed to be an uptrend parallels channel but faces a bit of selling pressure, so TP at the point which meets the resistance line which is given on chart as well all are just personal opinions, not investment advice! any suggestions and feedback are welocme!
Long
by Aki_0123
4
GBPUSD H1 potential short positionHi As chart If price breaks out of the below supply zone (red block below) Uptrend has momentum to continue rising But it has possibilities to meet selling pressure since there is a resistance zone that hasn't been successfully broken since 9/22 decline. When price hits the upper supply zone and there is a "clear bearish singal" could be bearish engulfing, evening star... so on I'll consider placing short position for short term After all, it has gone up for a while RR 1:2 but depending on the situation DXY drops and there is a new UK minister, unsure what policy he will do on currency. UK also took office as a new prime minister, and he doesn't know what policy he will have on the currency. All are personal opinions, not investment advice, all suggestions and feedback are welcome!
Short
by Aki_0123
Market Maker Pattern with Multiple Long / Short TradesIf this Market Maker pattern plays out in symmetry to the left side, which is more visible even on the 5m chart, then there will be several long opportunities and several short opportunities with opportunity to either reverse positions right into the next drop or retrace. There is also a large red candle on the left side, seen on linked chart of 30m timeframe, that was only partially recovered and these red candles typically always get recovered by a corresponding green candle to the right side of the chart. Thatt gives additional strength to the idea that price will return to previous high of the structure to reclain the red candle. And each of these drop and recoveries is a significant percentage move, ranging from 9% to 30% and with 20x leverage that could make for a fairly safe and profitable series of plays. Of course, these patterns don't always play out completely symmetrical, but even if it fulfills a few of the moves or does so in smaller proportion to the moves on the left side, it's still a solid opportunity due to likelihood of move to upside to reclaim red candle and then likelihood of fulfillment of at least approximate fulfillment of the markdown / drop phase of the pattern.
K
by bitcalib
1
BTCUSD H1 Potential short positionpersonally tend to place short position at the higher supply zone (is given on chart) The finance market's volatility also impacts cryptocurrencies e.g., DXY So place orders only if apparent signal appears when price hit supply zone and appears bearish signal then try short position (could be bearish engulfing, evening star...so on) All data are given on chart Just personal sharing, not investment advice. Any suggestions and feedback are welcome!
Short
by Aki_0123
9
EURJPY H4 potential short positionAfter retracement, price goes upside and is close to previous H(9/22) but the upward momentum has slowed down and it is close to HTF supply zone( is given on chart) which is also 8 years high If the price goes up to supply zone and bearish signal appears, consider entering the short position SL: 145.8 TP1: 143.03 TP2: 142.60 TP3: upper edge of the demand zone which is141.1 (short is still against the current trend, please evaluate carefully) all are personal opinions, not investment advice. any suggestions and feedback are welcome!
by Aki_0123
BTC D short-term ideaHi this is my idea about BTC for few days since the August CPI announcement, the percentage of downtrend after important data releases (at least for now) has been getting littler (9/13→August CPI) (9/22→FED Interest rate releasing) (10/7→FED Non-farm Payrolls) ***but the Sep CPI announcement on the coming Thursday should impact prices (just a matter of how big)*** BTC price has been in an uptrend tunnel since 9/21 continue to make HL, even NFP impacted, the price stopped falling once it hit demand zone (is given on chart) if uptrend tunnel is still valid after CPI announcemt (10/13), I will consider finding a bullish entry point that should be found in LTF and match demand zone is better (LTF & HTF''s demand zone) TP set at the lower edge of supply zone (is given on chart as well) that's is just personal opinion, not investment advice any suggestion and feedback are welcome!
Long
by Aki_0123
1
ETHUSDT H1Hello, this is my thought about ETHUSDT H1 for now overall price looks to be in a triangle pattern (direction isn't clear) since the slumped w high volume on 9/22 touch EQH price will drop, and touch EQL price will go up (at least for now)→ except for sudden news impacts its short-term direction demand & supply zone is given on chart ps: Non-Farm Payroll data will announce soon within few days All are personal opinions, not investment advice. Any suggestions and feedback are welcome!
by Aki_0123