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MARKETS week ahead: November 4 - 10Last week in the news During the previous week a mixed US macro data and disappointing NFP data shaped the market sentiment. The US Dollar gained in strength as of the end of the week, pushing the price of gold toward the level of $2.735, after it reached the fresh new ATH supported by geopolitical tensions. The US Treasury yields continue to test higher grounds in a wake of the FOMC meeting in a week ahead, where 4,3% for 10Y US benchmark has been tested. The S&P 500 reverted a bit to the downside, closing the week at the level of 5.728. The weekly best performer was BTC, which was testing the level of $ 73K during the week. The US Non-farm payrolls of 12K in October were the surprise of the week for the markets. Such a weak performance and a significant drop, analysts are contributing to the hurricane and syndicate strikes in the US during October. Still, the question is pending how this figure will affect the FOMC rate decision, scheduled for November 7th. At this moment, markets continue to expect a further 25 bps rate cut. The final FOMC perception of the macro developments will be known after the FOMC meeting on Thursday. CNBC is reporting that the most famous investor, Warren Buffet continues to stockpile cash, which is currently estimated to be $325 billion. This was an increase in Q3, from $276 billion in Q2. The news is reporting that Berkshire Hathaway continues to sell stocks, first place Apple and Bank of America. There are also no buybacks of sold stocks, which might be repurchased when Buffet “believes that the repurchase price is below Berkshire's intrinsic value, conservatively determined.”. News are reporting that the New York Stock Exchange announced plans to extend equities trading on Arca to 22 hours per day, five days a week. The NYSE came to this proposal considering a “growing demand for our listed securities around the world”. It is still under question whether this proposal will be adopted by NYSE. NVIDIA will replace Intel stock in the Dow Jones Industrial Average index on November 8th. Nvidia shares surged by 170% during 2024, while the company surpassed $3,3 trillion in the market cap. In its research, JPMorgan analysts noted that BTC daily mining revenue dropped in October for a fourth consecutive month. Analysts noted that BTC miners earned on average $41.800 per exahash per second of hashrate, which was 1% lower than in September. On a positive side is that transaction fees spiked to 60%. Crypto market cap Although BTC had its rally toward the higher grounds, overall the crypto market had a pretty mixed week. The forthcoming Presidential elections pushed the major coins to higher grounds, however, other altcoins did not perform in the expected manner. Total crypto market capitalization ended the week 2% higher from the week before, where a total $ 46B has been added to the crypto market cap. Daily trading volumes were increased to the level of $140B on a daily basis, from $99B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $641B, which represents a 39% surge from the beginning of this year. BTC was the major coin which was driving the market to higher grounds. From a total market cap increase of $ 46B w/w, BTC added to its market cap a total $48B. This indicates that some other coins were driving the market cap to lower grounds. ETH was also traded with a positive weekly sentiment, adding to its cap almost $ 3B, increasing it by 1%. DOGE was another coin traded in a positive territory, increasing cap by $3.2B or 16.2%. From other altcoins Maker had solid performance, where the coin was traded higher by 11.7% w/w. Interestingly, Solana was traded with a negative sentiment, where $4.2B has been erased from its market cap, which decreased by 5.1%. BNB had a negative week, where its market cap dropped by $2.9B or 3.4%. Other altcoin lost somewhere between 1% and 5%. There has been significantly increased activity with coins in circulation. BNB decreased the number of coins on the market by 1.3%. On the opposite side were Polygon, with an increase of circulating coins by 0.8% w/w, OMG Network increased the number of coins by 0.6%, while Filecoin and Maker added 0.4% new coins to the market. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market ended the week at a positive territory for both BTC and ETH. BTC short term futures were traded higher by 3.5%, while longer term ones were up by 3.6%. BTC futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $70.195, and those maturing a year later closed the week at $76.850. It should be noted that March 2026 was last traded at $78.490 which was its highest price in history. ETH futures were traded around 1.6% higher for all maturities. Futures maturing in December closed the week at $2.554, and those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $2.744. March 2026 closed the week at $2.794. This shows that investors are still not perceiving ETHs price above the $3K target.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: October 30 – November 3Last week in the news Previous week was a relatively calmer one on financial markets. A strong sentiment for US inflation data was the one which pushed the US 10Y yields to the higher grounds, at 4,25%. The US Dollar continued to gain, while ongoing geopolitical issues impacted the price of gold to also end the week at historically highest levels, at $2.746. The US equity markets had a modestly mixed week, with the S&P 500 ending the week at the level of 5.808. The crypto market modestly pulled back, with BTC still holding around the $ 67K level. A week after the ECB cut interest rates, as expected, the markets are reconciling what could be the next move of this Central bank. There has not been much information provided in an after the meeting speech of President Lagarde, except that “disinflation is on the track”. However, analysts are commenting that more has to be done in order to support the weakening EU economy. There has also been discussion that the decreased interest rates made an impact on modestly increased bank lending to corporates and the retail segment in September. Still, the increase of 0,7% for the year, analysts see as relatively low. Tesla (TSLA) shares surged by a significant 22% during the single week, after the company posted better than expected Q3 results. This was the best weekly performance of the company for the last 16 years. TSLA posted a revenue of $25,18 billion, an increase of 8% on a yearly basis. Also, the company posted earnings per share of 78 cents, beating the analysts estimate of 58 cents. News is reporting that the price of BTC was strongly impacted during the previous week by the story published by Wall Street Journal over a DOJ probe on Tether. As per report, the US officials are currently investigating the stablecoin issuer Tether, for its potential involvement in violation of anti money laundering laws and sanction rules. However, Tether Chief technology officer shortly commented on the news on platform X, noting that WSJ is “regurgitating old noise”. In the wake of the US elections, market analysts were investigating the topic of potential impact of US tariffs on Chinese goods to China's economy. Analysts from the CITI Research commented that an introduction of tariffs of 60% might impact a severe drop in China's exports to the US, which now accounts for 14,8% of China's total exports, which would further impact a potential drop in the GDP of China by 2,4%. However, this was only a case study of researchers, while potential increases in tariffs are still only at the level of discussion among some US political figures. Crypto market cap The crypto market relaxed a bit during the previous week, after the week of significant move to the upside. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 3% on a weekly basis, with a drop in market cap of $58B. Daily trading volumes were also modestly decreased to the level of $99B on a daily basis, from $112B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $595B which represents a 36% surge from the beginning of this year. Majority of crypto coins were traded within a negative territory during the week, with only a few who finished the week in green. BTC slowed down during the week, ending it by 1.6% lower, decreasing its market cap by $22B. ETH followed the sentiment, with a decrease in value of 6.6% or $21B. BNB was also traded toward the downside, where the coin lost $2.2B in value, decreasing it by 2.5%. In relative terms, the few coins which lost the most were NEO, Theta and Maker, with a drop of more than 10%, Polygon was traded down by 14%. Interestingly, this week Solana was in the spotlight of the market, where the coin managed to end a week by 11.5% higher from the week before, adding $8.5B to its market cap. Tron was also among weekly gainers, with an increase in the market cap of 5.3%. There have also been interesting developments with circulating coins. This week Polygon decreased the number of its coins in circulation by 2.2%. Maker also had a withdrawal of coins by 0.2% w/w. On the opposite side were Filecoin, Polkadot, Tether and XRP, which added 0.2% new coins to the market, each. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market reflected the developments from the spot market during the previous week. In this sense, BTC short term futures were traded lower by some 2% on average, while the longer term ones were holding below the 1%, almost flat on a weekly basis. BTC futures maturing in December this year were closed at $67.790, and those maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $74.135. March 2026 ended the week at $75.715. This was a positive signal from the futures market that investors still see the value in BTC in the long run. ETH both short and long term futures were traded down by more than 5% for all maturities. December 2024 ended the week at the level of $2.517, while December 2025 was closed at $2.703. At the same time, futures maturing in March 2026 were last traded at $2.752, moving away from the $3K target.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: October 14 – 20Last week in the news The US inflation data were in the spotlight of the markets during the previous week. A modest increase in September was another indicator for markets that the Fed might continue to cut in the coming period. The US equity markets reacted positively, bringing the S&P 500 to the freshly new all time highest level. The index is ending the week at the level of 5.815. The US Dollar gained during the week, while the price of gold managed to break from the $2,6K level, reaching new highs at $2.657. The 10 US Treasury yields spent the week testing the levels modestly above the 4,0%, easing a bit at the weekend. The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner, still, BTC managed to reach the $63K short term resistance as of the Fridays trading session. The US inflation data for September was published during the previous week. The data shows that the inflation is cooling down toward the Feds targeted 2%. The inflation was higher by 0,2% for the month, bringing the total yearly inflation to the level of 2,4%. Core inflation continues to be elevated, adding 0,3% in September to the total yearly score of 3,3%. The majority of market participants are positive when it comes to expectations that the Fed might continue to cut interest rates at their November meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Still, Atlanta Fed President Bostic, noted in an interview that he might be against a rate cut in November in order to get better insight if inflation is certainly moving toward the 2% target. The ECB meeting is scheduled for October 17th, where its members will discuss the potential rate cut. As per current market sentiment, expressed in the Reuters poll, 90% of economists and professionals are of the opinion that the ECB will make a 25 bps cut in October and also 25 bps cut in December. Such a sentiment is supported by a cooling inflation in the EuroZone, which is gradually moving toward the 2,0% target. However, the core inflation is expected to stay elevated. On the other hand, it should be considered that the EuroZone is struggling to sustain economic growth. It is expected that the economy will grow modest 0.2% this quarter, reaching some 0.7% a yearly growth. Still, the economy is expected to accelerate during 2025 by 1,2%. After frenzy for China's stocks hit the market two weeks ago, the market has cooled down during the previous week, as China's Ministers did not provide in a statement the level of austerity measures as was expected by markets. News reports that China's finance minister noted in an address to journalists, that China has space to increase its debt and the deficit. The government is still not publicly disclosing the level of fiscal stimulus for the economy. Tesla shares dropped by around 9% during the week, after the announcement of a new product called robo-taxi. The investors were not at all impressed by the product, as they were commenting that the presentation was related to Elon Musk's vision of the future more than opportunities for Tesla. Crypto market cap The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. The start of the week was with a negative sentiment, but the US inflation which is nearing toward the Feds target of 2% turned market sentiment to positive one. Although the highest weekly gainers were US equity markets, still positive sentiment helped the crypto market to end a week with a small weekly gain. Total crypto market capitalization increased by modest 2%, adding $ 51B to the market cap. Almost half of it came solely from Bitcoin. Daily trading volumes were modestly decreased to the level of around $114B on a daily basis, from $126B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $514B which represents a 31% surge from the beginning of this year. The first half of the week was not positive for the majority of crypto coins, however, the majority of them managed to finish the week with a small gain. The leader of the market was BTC, which added $24B to its market cap, finishing the week at a gain of almost 2%. ETH surged by 3% on a weekly basis, adding $8.7B to its capitalization. BNB also managed to add $2.2B to its market cap, increasing it by 2.7%. The group of significant weekly gainers also includes Solana, with an increase in cap of $2.3B or 3.4%. Coins which managed to increase their market capitalization in relative terms were NEO, with a surge of 7.25%, ZCash was traded higher by even 28.1%, currently without public information on the reason. Uniswap also ended the week with a gain of 20.3% on a weekly basis, which was rare, but quite a significant increase of the market value. The majority of other coins gained somewhere from 0% up to 3%. There were also several losers during the week, like LINK, which traded down by 1.85%, OMG Network ended the week by 5% lower, Maker dropped by 6.3%. Changes in circulating coins are still relatively active on the crypto market. During the previous week Polygon decreased the number of its coins on the market by 0.8%, while Maker`s circulating coins decreased by 0.3%. On the opposite side, Algorand increased the number of coins on the market by 0.4%, while Solana, Polkadot and Filecoin increased the number of coins by 0.2%. The majority of other altcoins increased their circulating coins by 0.1% w/w. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market did not manage to catch up with an increase in value of coins which occurred on the spot market. BTC both short and long term futures were traded higher by around 0.9% on a weekly basis. BTC futures maturing in December this year reached the last price at $64.210, while those maturing a year later are still holding above the $70K level, ending the week at $70.305. ETH futures were traded higher by around 1% on a weekly basis, except those maturing in December 2024, which were last traded at $2.505 or 4.03% higher from the week before. Futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at level of $2.696, while March 2026 was traded below the $3K level, ending the week at $2.745.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: October 7 – 13Last week in the news The US non-farm payrolls for September surprised the markets during the previous week, causing investors to consider a soft landing of the US economy and a 25bps Feds cut till the end of this year. The start of the week brought a negative sentiment on the US equities markets, however the S&P 500 ended the week with a small gain, at the level of 5.751, after the release of jobs data. The US Dollar gained on the same grounds, however, the price of gold remained reluctant to follow the negative correlation, considering strong bullish sentiment which is still holding amid the ongoing Middle East tensions. In anticipation of the Feds 25 bps rate cut in the coming period, the US 10Y Treasury yields were testing the 4,0% level, ending the week modestly below this level. The crypto market was on a losing side this week, reacting to a combination of macro factors both in the US and China. BTC was testing the $60K support line, but is ending the week around the $62K levels. The US nonfarm payrolls reached the level of 254K in September, which was almost doubled from the market forecast. At the same time, the unemployment rate dropped to the level of 4,1% in September from 4,2% posted in August. The implications of such strong jobs data were evident on markets as investors adjusted their positions and sentiment toward the higher potential for a soft landing of the US economy. At the same time, some analysts were noting a high potential for another 50 bps rate cut by the Fed in the coming FOMC meeting, however, now this assumption is revised to 25bps. Analysts are also revising the number of rate cuts during 2025, as a strong economy will make the Fed slow down with rate cuts. Another important event that was covered by news during the previous week was a rise of China's equity market by 25% within a single week. As China's Government announced heavy economic stimulus in order to support further growth of their economy, the investors' interest toward China's stocks surged accordingly, boosting it by 25% for the week. Analysts are noting that the demand for the exposure in China's market is still quite strong, which might continue to boost the equity market. Still, they are noting high risks of such a development, especially in case that the outcome of monetary measures might not be in line with current market pricing. The price of oil was another topic which was discussed in the news. As tensions in the Middle East continue, the investors were concerned that this might have a significant impact on the price of oil. News were concretely discussing the Iranian oil production which might be disrupted due to tensions. In this sense, analysts are estimating that the price of Brent crude oil might hit between $100 and $150 / barrel. In line with a drop in value of the crypto market, the US based exchange traded funds experienced the worst week since September 6th this year, with a total estimated outflow of $300 million. Bitwise announced that it plans to add Treasuries to its portfolio of BTC in order to curb high volatility, and “improve risk-adjusted returns”. Crypto market cap The crypto market was under indirect influence of both US and China's macro developments. The strong US jobs data for September returned investors positive confidence toward the US stock market, moving a part of funds from the crypto market back to the equity markets. On the other side, announced strong stimulus measures from China's Government supported market interests for Chinese equities, where China's equities rose by 25% within the single week. This again had a negative impact on the crypto market, since a portion of funds was transferred to this market. Investors continue to seek high returns, which the crypto market is not able to deliver at this moment. On a positive side is that such developments are cyclical on financial markets, and the crypto market follows the same path. Total crypto market capitalization decreased during the week by 7%, whipping out around $157B from this market. Daily trading volumes remained relatively flat on a weekly level, moving around $126B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $463B which represents a 28% surge from the beginning of this year. There has been a general sell off of crypto coins during the previous week. There are only a few which managed to end the week in green, while the vast majority of coins were traded on a downside. In nominal terms, BTC and ETH led the general drop in market capitalization. BTC lost around 6% on a weekly basis, decreasing its market cap by $77B. ETH lost less in nominal terms, but a decrease in the cap of $34B led to a decrease in value of 10.5% within a week. XRP was traded down by 15%, losing $5.3B of its value. BNB was also among higher weekly losers with a drop of $5.8B or 6.6%. Solana was down by 9.5%, losing $ 7B in value. Among higher losers in relative terms were Maker, with a drop of more than 15%, Polygon was down by 16.4%, and DOGE lost almost 17% in value. The majority of other coins closed the week in red between 9% and 13%. There has been increased activity when coins in circulation are in question. Polygon pulled out a total 6.2% of its coins from the market. Maker withdrew 0.4% of its coins, while Solanas number of coins dropped by 0.1% on a weekly basis. On the opposite side were Miota, which increased the number of circulating coins by 0.6%, Filecoin coins were higher by 0.3%, while Polkadot and Algorand increased the number of coins by 0.2% w/w, same as Tether. Crypto futures market Same as on the spot market, the negative sentiment held also on a crypto futures market during the previous week. BTC futures were last traded down by more than 5% for all maturities. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at level of $63.680, while those maturing a year later were last traded at $69.705. On a positive side is that March 2026 still holds above the $71K, ending the week at level of $71.180. Similar situation was with ETH futures, which were traded lower by more than 10% compared to the week before. The exception was December 2024, which was traded down by 12.85%, ending the week at $ 2.408. December 2025 was last traded at price $2.668, while March 2026 dropped below the $3K, closing the week at $2.717.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: September 30 – October 6Last week in the news The market optimism still strongly holds on the markets. During the previous week the support came both from US PCE data, but also news that China is preparing stronger stimulus for its economy. The price of gold reached a new fresh all time highest level, supported by both weakened US Dollar and ongoing geopolitical issues in the Middle East. Gold is ending the week at the level of $2.657. A slowdown in the US inflation data pushed 10Y US Treasury yields back to the level of 3,75%, but supported further the US equity markets, where the S&P 500 reached new highest levels, ending the week at 5.738. This week, the crypto market was also supported by the US macro prospectus, where BTC finally managed to test higher grounds, ending the week above the $ 65K levels. The released PCE data for August showed that the inflation in the US continues to slow down, bringing it close to the Feds target of 2%. The data show that the PCE index ended August at the level of 2,2% increase on a yearly basis, which was modestly lower from market forecast of 2,3%. At the same time, posted final GDP Growth data showed no change and that the US economy grew 3% for the second quarter. Further decrease in inflation and its level close to the 2% Feds target, supported market optimism that the Fed might easily further cut interest rates in the coming period. Also, the environment of decreased interest rates will be supportive for the economy, which is expected to further expand. The Bank of China was in the focus of the markets during the previous week. Namely, as for some time the Government is struggling to boost China's economy, the newest set of measures increased confidence among investors that the China's economy is going to be well supported in the coming period. The Peoples Bank of China announced a set of measures, among which are cuts of reserve requirements for Chinese banks. Attracting stimulus measures increased investors' confidence to move funds into China related exchange traded funds, which gained significantly during the previous week. News is reporting that the social platform X might soon continue to work in Brazil. As per news, there is only one fine which should be paid by this platform, after which, its ban in this country will be lifted. The fine in the amount of $2M is related to the days of non-compliance with the Brazilian court orders. MicroStrategy launched a new ETF on a 2X leveraged long position on the performance of the MicroStrategy. Only a week after the launch, the T-REX 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU) attracted over $72 million in inflows, making it the most successful ETF within the crypto area. Crypto market cap Further inflation drop in the US and its nearing toward Fed's target of 2%, increased the investors sentiment for riskier assets. The crypto market was in the spotlight, where increased demand came from both individual investors and through exchange traded funds. Total crypto market capitalization increased by 5% during the week, where $112B has been added to the value of the market. Daily trading volumes were also modestly increased to the level of 121B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $620B, which represents a 38% surge from the beginning of this year. The majority of crypto coins gained during the previous week, with only a few which finished the week in red. Bitcoin was leading the crypto market increase in nominal terms, adding almost $60B to its value, increasing it by 4.8% on a weekly basis. Ether followed the sentiment, adding $12B to the market cap, and increasing its value by 3.8%. Among higher gainers was DOGE, with a surge in value of $3.3B or 21.3%. BNB was traded higher by 3.2%, adding $2.8B to its market cap. The market favorite Solana also managed to significantly gain during the week, with an increase in cap of $5.5B or 8.14%. Gainers above $ 1B in value were also LINK, with an increase of 14.8% and ADA with a surge of 10.8% in value. Higher gainers in a relative terms were Uniswap, who was traded higher by 14%, Polkadot surged by 10.2%, while Filecoin increased its value by 11.4% w/w. Interestingly, this week Monero ended in a negative territory of 10.4% drop in value, while ZCash was traded lower by 2%. This week there has been higher activity when coins in circulation are in question. In this sense, Filecoin added 0.4% new coins to the market, while Polkadot, Tether and XRP added 0.2% of new coins. At the same time, ADA decreased its circulating coins by -2.8% w/w, while Polygon pulled out 3.9% of coins and Maker`s number of coins dropped by 0.3%. Crypto futures market In line with an increased sentiment from the spot market, the crypto futures market was also traded higher on a weekly basis. BTC short term futures were last traded higher by around 4.5%, while the longer term ones were traded higher by around 3.5%. BTC futures maturing in December this year ended the week at price of $67.200, while those maturing a year later were last traded at $73.475. Futures maturing in March 2026 were introduced to the market, reaching closing price at $75.075. This represents a positive market sentiment over the future value of BTC. ETH futures were traded above 6% for all maturities. In this sense, December 2024 ended the week at level $2.763 and December 2025 was last traded at $2.971. ETH futures maturing in March 2026 closed the first trading week at level of $3.019.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: September 16 – 22Last week in the news The ECB cut interest rates by 25 bps at their September meeting, which had some modest influence on European markets. The more important macro news came from the US, where August inflation showed a further relaxation, opening a case for the Fed to cut interest rates. Markets reacted positively to posted figures, where S&P 500 gained 4% on a weekly level, and is currently standing just 1% below its all time highest level. The US 10Y benchmark reached the levels below 3,7%, ending the week at the level of 3,65%. The demand for gold continues, pushing its price to a fresh new all time highest level at $2.577. Investors' optimism increased the demand for riskier assets, where BTC managed to reach the levels of $60K, as of the end of the week. The ECB cut interest rates by 25 bps during the previous week. Such a move was expected by markets, considering the weakening Euro Zone economy. In an after the meeting speech, ECB President Lagarde did not provide any guidance over the further monetary policy moves, in terms of further cut of interest rates, except one comment that the direction of interest rates is “pretty obvious”. Analysts are generally in agreement that the ECB would have to further cut interest rates in order to support the weakened EU economy, with some voting for more aggressive cuts. The ECB inflation projections remained unchanged from June, however, growth forecasts were changed to the downside. At this moment, the ECB expects a yearly growth rate of 0,8% for 2024, and 1,3% in 2025. The modest growth is expected to be supported by a strong global economy and private consumption. The US inflation in August reached 0,2% for the month and 2,6% on a yearly basis, showing that it is on a clear down path. This also leaves open space for the Fed to cut interest rates in the coming period. The majority of market participants are now perceiving a high probability that the Fed will make its first move at September's FOMC meeting, which is scheduled for September 19th. The only question which now remains open is how aggressively the Fed will cut? Based on the CME Group FedWatch tool there is an equal number of market participants who are expecting 25 bps and 50 bps. OpenAI, a creator of Chat GPT application, is starting a new round of funding in order to collect $6,5 billion through issuance of convertible notes. The funds will be used for further development of their artificial general intelligence (AGI) and also for company restructuring in order to remove a profit cap for investors. MicroStrategy, a company known for its strong devotion and holding of BTC, used the latest dip in the price of BTC to purchase more coins. As company CEO, Michel Saylor posted on the X platform, the company now holds a total 244.800 BTC. Crypto market cap The pivotal point for the previous week was the release of the US inflation data for August. Figures were in line with market expectations, in which sense, market participants sustained the previous odds that the Fed will cut for the first time in this economic cycle at their September FOMC meeting. Rate cut is perceived positively by markets, as they expect that the environment of decreased interest rates would help companies to increase their businesses and earnings in the future period. This week the crypto market was also in the spotlight of investors. Although the first half of the week was a bit bumpy, still, Friday's trading session brought back confidence in the crypto market. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 8% within a week, adding total $152B to its value. Daily trading volumes were also increased to the level of $117B on a daily basis, from $79B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $412B, which represents a 25% surge from the beginning of this year. Almost all coins gained during the previous week. The market was led by BTC, which managed to gain a little bit less from 10% on a weekly basis, increasing its market cap by $105B. ETH performed in a little bit shy manner, adding to its market cap $12.6B and increasing it by 4.5%. XRP also gained strongly in a week, increasing its value by 11.3% or $3.4B. BNB also performed solidly, with a surge in market cap of 9.6% adding SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:7B to it. The market favorite Solana was also among solid gainers, with an increase in value of 5.2% or $3.2B. The majority of other altcoins gained between 5% and 10%. There were only a few coins which did not manage to catch up with the general market, like Tron, which was down by 2.8% or Monero, which dropped by 2.2% on a weekly basis. When it comes to the number of coins in circulation, the activity on the market was relatively lower from the week before. Algorand managed to increase the number of its circulating coins by 0.3%, same as Maker. This week, Filecoin was not leading the market, as it increased its coins in circulation by 0.2%, the same as Polkadot and Stellar. Tether increased its coins on the market by 0.3% same as its market capitalization. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market reacted strongly to developments from the spot market. BTC short term futures were traded higher by more than 13% from the week before, while the long term ones were up by around 11.5%. BTC futures maturing in December 2024 closed the week at the level of $61.220, which was 12.15% higher from the close of the previous week. At the same time, futures maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $67.825 or 11.4% higher. ETH short term futures closed the week by 11.8% higher from the week before. December 2024 reached the last market price at $2.477, which was by 10% higher on a weekly basis. December 2025 was last traded at $2.668, which was an increase of 8.7% compared to the previous week.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: September 9 – 15Last week in the news The previous week started with a negative market sentiment after leaked information regarding Nvidia's subpoena received from the U.S. Department of Justice, while the same sentiment continued till the end of the week, after releasing weaker than expected jobs data. Such sentiment increased US Dollar volatility, while the price of gold managed to sustain relatively higher levels, ending the week at $2.497. In expectation of a Feds higher rate cut, the US 10Y Treasury benchmark ended the week at 3,71%. The US equity markets had one of the worst weeks in this year, while the crypto market followed the negative sentiment for the second week in a row, with BTC closing at levels modestly below the $55K levels. The week started with a negative sentiment, after the news was published that the US Justice Department pressed charges against market favorite Nvidia. As Bloomberg is reporting, the company Xockets Inc. pressed charges against both Nvidia and Microsoft Corp for illegally using seven patents from the company in relation to semiconductor technology used for the production of data processing units in chips used for the AI technology. The lawsuit is based on the violence of antitrust law in the US. The week continued with high expectations with respect to US jobs data, which came out on Friday. Market volatility was significantly increased after the release of weaker than expected nonfarm payrolls for August. August's figure reached the level of 142K new jobs, while the market was expecting to see at least 160K. On a positive side is that the unemployment rate dropped a bit to the level of 4,2%, from 4,3% posted for the previous month. Other figures for the US economy, in terms of ISM indicators, are showing a positive development for the services sector in the US, while the manufacturing industry is still struggling to sustain a positive sentiment. After relatively weak jobs data for August, the market is rethinking a potential for Feds higher rate cut at their September FOMC meeting. There is currently an almost equal number of investors who are expecting 25 bps and 50 bps rate cuts. In an interview with CNBC, a Nobel prize winning economist, Joseph Stiglitz noted that the Fed raised interest rates too high too swiftly and that he would now vote for a higher rate cut, which was in line with expectations of economists from JPMorgan. The previous week was not only bad for tech companies, but was also for the companies in the crypto industry. Both crypto exchangers and crypto miners experienced a selloff of shares. In line with a drop in the price of BTC and ETH, shares of the crypto exchanger Coinbase dropped down to the level of $147. Crypto market cap As the September FOMC meeting is nearing, the market nervousness is increasing. Last week`s weaker than expected US jobs figures, increased fears among market participants that the US economy is slowing down and that the Fed might cut interest rates higher from anticipated 25 bps in order to support the jobs market. In addition, negative news regarding Nvidia`s subpoena triggered general sell off of tech stocks, including also the crypto coins. Total crypto market capitalization decreased significantly during the last two weeks, while previous week only, total crypto market capitalization dropped by additional 7%, whipping out $134B from the market value. Again, the vast majority of crypto coins ended another week in red. Daily trading volumes were further decreased to the level of $79B on a daily basis, from $103B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $260B, which represents a 16% surge from the beginning of this year. Another losing week on the crypto market is behind. For another week BTC was dragging total crypto market capitalization to the downside. BTC lost 7.3% in value, decreasing its market cap by $87.6B. ETH followed the path, with a loss of 8.2% in value, or $25B. Among higher losers were BNB, with a droop in value of 5.6% or $4.3B, while market favorite Solana was traded down by 3.7%, decreasing its market value by $2.3B. XRP also lost almost $ 2B in value, dropping by 6.2% on a weekly basis. There have been only a few coins which managed to end the week in green, like Monero, with an increase in value of modest 1.9%, Uniswap was traded higher by 8.1%, while Algorand managed to gain 1.9% in value. Another week with increased developments over the coins in circulation. Filecoin managed to add 0.4% of new coins to the market, while Solana, EOS and Polkadot added 0.2%. The winner of the week was Miota, with 0.6% more coins on the market within the single week. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market reacted quite strongly to negative developments from the spot market. Both BTC and ETH futures ended the week lower for all maturities. BTC short term futures were traded lower by more than 10%, while the longer term ones were last traded down by 9%. BTC futures maturing in December this year closed the week at the level of $54.590, while those maturing a year later were last traded at $60.860. ETH short term futures closed the week by 14% lower from the end of the week before, with December 2024 closing price of $2.250. Longer term futures were traded some 11.5% lower on a weekly basis, where December 2025 reached the last price at $2.455.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: September 1 – 7Last week in the news The PCE data were the ones to shape investors confidence during the previous week. Data on inflation, personal income and personal spending showed some potential for both rate cuts, and also continuation of high corporate earnings. The US equity markets benefited the most from such market expectations, with S&P 500 surging by 1%, ending the week at 5.648 points. The US Dollar gained in strength during the week, however, the price of gold was not in a mood to follow the negative correlation, ending the month at the level of $2.503. Treasury yields are correcting in line with investors expectation, closing the week on a higher grounds of 3.9%. The crypto market was left aside during the week, with BTC dropping below the $60K. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index is one of the favorite Fed's inflation gauges, which is why the indicator is closely watched by market participants. Posted data are showing further drop of index in July to the level of 2.5%, y/y which was lower from forecasted 2.6%. The same was with core PCE data, where the indicator reached 2.6%, while the market was expecting to see a figure of 2.7% y/y. For the same period, personal spending was increased by 0.5% for the month, while personal income was higher by 0.3% on a monthly basis. Increased spending was something that caught the eye of both investors and analysts, who are now correcting their GDP growth expectations for the US for this year, but also expecting for corporate earnings to continue their uptrend also during the third quarter. Last week, the news covered the topic of a potential further rate hike by the Bank of Japan. Although the majority of analysts are of the opinion that BoJ will not hike interest rates in October, there is some consensus that the year 2025 might certainly bring another increase of interest rates as inflation is picking up in Japan. This question represents a relevant topic considering that there is still a significant outstanding amount of carry trades, which ended up in the US equity and crypto markets. Since recently there has been a huge discussion among market participants over the sale of Apple stocks held by Berkshire Hathaway, while the recent filings are showing that Warren Buffet is also selling shares of Bank of America. BoFA was the third largest stock in Berkshire's portfolio, but was gradually decreased. There is no further explanation from the company on such a move. Analysts are noting that Berkshire continues to stock cash, which currently is at a record high of $227 billion. Since last week, Elon Musk's platform X has been officially suspended in Brazil. The Brazilian Court brought up such a decision after X failed to appoint the official court representative. The court case is investigating the involvement of the platform in spreading misinformation during the government of the former Brazilian President Bolsonaro. As Cointelegraph is reporting, the selling pressure on BTC might continue through another settlement tranche of failed crypto exchanger Mt. Gox, which is due in September. As noted, Mt. Gox will distribute another 46.000 BTCs with current market value of $2.7B. Crypto market cap The optimism on the crypto markets was put on hold during the previous week. Markets were more focused on inflation data, through posted PCE, a Fed's favorite gauge. On the other hand were analysts and investors who perceived increased consumer spending in the US as a positive sign that Q3 corporate earnings might follow the path of previous quarters. Another information should not be overlooked, which is the expectation that another tranche of distribution of BTCs by failed crypto exchanger Mt. Gox might put additional pressure on BTC in September. This combination led to the week in red for the crypto market. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 9% on a weekly basis, erasing $195B from the market value. Almost all coins finished the week in red. Interestingly, daily trading volumes decreased compared to the week before, from $160B to $103B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $ 394B, which represents a 24% surge from the beginning of this year. Almost all coins were traded lower during the previous week. In nominal terms, BTC lost the most from all other coins, losing $105.5B in value or 8.3%. ETH took the second place with a drop in value of $34.3B or 10.2%. BNB was another coin with a significant drop in market cap of $8.2B or 9.5%. Market favorite Solana was among significant weekly losers of $12B, which represents 16% for this coin. Drop of more than $ 1B includes coins like Polygon, which was down by 27.3%, Polkadot dropped by 16.4%, ADA was traded lower by 13.6%, DOGE dropped by 11.2%. Among higher weekly losers in relative terms were ZCash with a drop of 25.3%, Maker was down by almost 20%, OMG Network dropped by 21.6%. The majority of other coins lost somewhere between 10% and 20%. In line with a drop in value, there have been movements when coins in circulation are in question. Filecoin added 0.3% of new coins to the market. Polkadot and Polygon increased the number of circulating coins by 0.2% w/w, while this week EOS added 0.4% more coins. Tether increased the number of circulating coins by 0.3% and also increased its market cap by this percentage. Crypto futures market In line with the spot market, the crypto futures were also traded lower. BTC futures ended the week lower by around 7.9% for all maturities. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at the level of $60.890, while those maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $66.905. The futures dropped below $70K for one more time during the month. Similar situation is also with ETH futures. Short term ones were traded lower by more than 9%, while the long term ones dropped by 8.9%. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at the level of $2.577, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $2.773, for one more time below the $3K level.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: August 26 – 31Last week in the news “The time has come for policy to adjust” were the words of Fed Chair Powell which marked the previous week impacting strongly market sentiment. Almost all markets reacted positively to a potential Feds pivoting point, with S&P 500 gaining 1,45% for the week and nearing its all time highest level from July this year. The US Dollar continued to lose strength, supporting the price of gold, which gained 1% during the week, ending it with a new ATH at the level of $2.530. In a quest for riskier assets, the crypto market also gained, with BTC reaching levels modestly below the $ 65K resistance line. The 10Y US Treasuries dropped to the level of 3,79% as of the end of the week. The main event during the previous week was a Wyoming Jackson Hole Symposium, where Fed Chair Powell held a speech. Each year this event is closely watched by markets in order to get a glimpse of potential future policy moves. This year's symposium was especially important, as Fed Chair Powell for the first time used the wording “the time has come for policy to adjust”, as inflation of 2,5% is on a track of Feds targeted 2%. This was a confirmation of market expectations that the potential first rate cut might occur at September's FOMC meeting. It should be noted that Fed Chair Powell did not comment on the exact timing of the policy adjustment, nor for how many basis points. The market is currently occupied with a question whether it will be 25 or 50 basis points. Guests at the Jackson Hole Symposium were also representatives of the European Central Bank. its Chief economist, Philip Lane noted that the ECB is doing a good job in bringing inflation down to targeted 2%, however, the return to this target is still not assured. On the other side are analysts who are betting that the ECB would have to cut in September and again in December, considering that the environment of high interest rates is already significantly hurting growth of the EuroZone. The CrowdStrike outage occurred this year, affecting millions of computers using Microsoft operating systems, and left a major question over the security and stability of operating programs like MS. In order to discuss challenges like this, Microsoft is organizing a cybersecurity event with CrowdStriek and other security companies in order to discuss potential solutions so that such events never again happen in the future. The conference will be held in September at MS campus in Redmond. In a run for presidency, Donald Trump is certainly counting on the crypto community. As news are reporting, he first proclaimed himself as pro-crypto candidate, and now he is promoting a family-run DeFi project “The DeFiant ones” on his social platform. Although the platform is still pending official launch, there are already 40.000 followers subscribed. Crypto market cap The Fed Chair Powell mimicking potential rate cut in the coming period, at Jackson Hole Symposium was also positive for the crypto market. As investors are expecting that the environment of decreasing interest rates would impact funds currently placed at money market funds at rates around 5% would soon start to seek asset classes where they can make higher profits. One of such asset classes is certainly the crypto coins, especially BTC and ETH which entered into the mainstream through exchange traded funds. Although the crypto market spends the first half of the week at side trading, still at the end of the week the crypto market is finishing mostly within green territory. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 9%, mostly as of the end of the week, adding $177B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes were also significantly increased to the level of $160B on a daily basis, compared to $ 95B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $589B, which represents a 36% surge from the beginning of this year. Almost all coins finished the week in green. The market was led by BTC, which increased its market cap by $97B or 8.3% on a weekly basis. BTC was followed by ETH, which managed to add $22.4B to its total market cap, increasing it by 7.1%. XRP should be mentioned as the coin added almost $ 3B to its value within a single week, increasing it by 9.3%. This week Tether managed to add a figure above $ 1B to its cap, which was a weekly increase of 0.9%. Cardano performed very well during the week, with an increase of $2.3B in the value or 19.3%. Binance Coin was also one of the significant weekly winners, with a surge in value of $7.3B or 9.3%. Market bellowed Solana was also in the spotlight, as the coin added almost $ 10B to its market cap, which was an increase of almost 15% w/w. Polygon had an incredible week, with a surge of almost 42% in value. There are a significant number of other altcoins which managed to gain more than 20% on a weekly basis. Interestingly, there were also only a few weekly losers, like Bitcoin Gold, which was down by 9% w/w, or ZCash, dropping by 1.4%. There has also been some increased activity when coins in circulation are in question. The highest weekly gainer is certainly Tether, with a surge of 0.9% of circulating coins on a weekly basis. IOTA is also posting some increased activity lately, with a weekly increase of 0.6% of circulating coins. This week Polygon and Filecoin added 0.3% more coins to the market, while Polkadot added 0.2% more coins. Crypto futures market This week the crypto futures market managed to align with the spot market and follow the investors sentiment. Both BTC and ETH futures posted an increase in futures value from the previous week. BTC both short and long term futures were traded by around 7% higher from the week before. Futures maturing in December this year posted an increase of almost 10% on a weekly basis, ending the week at the level of $65.735. Futures maturing a year later were last traded at price $72.692. Similar situation was with ETH futures. The short term ones were traded higher by more than 5% on a weekly basis, while the longer term ones were traded higher by some 4.6%. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at the level of $2.855, while those maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $3.044.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: August 18 – 24Last week in the news The lower than expected US inflation figures were the main driver of financial markets during the previous week. The US equities gained the most, with S&P 500 ending the week at the level of 5.554, and only 2% lower from it's all time highest level in July this year. The price of gold gained on a USD weakens, reaching a fresh new all time highest level of $2.506, reached on Friday. The US Treasury yields dropped to the level of 3.8% during the week, on inflation and PPI figures. The only market that was left behind during the week was the crypto market. BTC was traded within a relatively short range, struggling to hold the $60K level. The inflation in the US is evidently slowing down. The posted figures for July are showing that the inflation reached 2.9% on a yearly basis, which was below market estimate of 3.0%. Core inflation was standing at 3.2% y/y. At the same time the Producer Price Index was increased by 0.1% in July, and was also below forecasted 0.2%, while core PPI was standing at 0% for the month. On the opposite side, posted Retail Sales figures for July were significantly higher from the market estimate, reaching 1.0% for the month, above forecasted 0.3%. This was a clear signal to investors that the inflation is slowing down, increasing the potential for the Fed's rate cut in September. At the same time, there is no indication that the US economy is nearing recession, but quite opposite, it is holding relatively solid, despite the environment of increased interest rates. The Jackson Hole Symposium is scheduled for the end of the week ahead, where Fed Chair Powell will hold a speech. The markets will closely watch this event, in expectation of any new information which will confirm their expectation of a forthcoming rate cut. The British fintech company Revoult passed through a secondary share sale during the previous week, where the company was valued at $45 billion. The Revoult recently gained a banking licence with restrictions from the U.K. authorities, while the investors valuation of $45B represents a significant shift from the $ 33B valuation the company posted in July 2021. The Governor of the People's Bank of China, Pan Gongsheng, noted in an interview with Chinese media that the financial risks in China's economy have decreased, and that he expects cooperation with the Ministry of Finance in order to reach defined economic growth for this year. The initial risks were related to the high amount of debt in China's housing market, impacting the local government. JPMorgan published a research report, in which it is noted that the profitability of the crypto miners fell in August to an all time lowest levels, considering a 26% increase in a hashrate, which is at a record high. This is the main reason for a drop of 18% in the value of the total market cap of the fourteen U.S. listed miners. Crypto market cap The crypto market was left behind investors' focus during the previous week. Current concern regarding the course of interest rates till the year end, turned the market interest back to equity markets, leaving the crypto market to trade in a mixed manner during the week. There were almost equal numbers of both buying and selling orders, leaving the crypto market to trade sort of the side. Total crypto market capitalization dropped by another 1% during the week, losing another $27B in its total cap. Daily trading volumes continue to decrease, reaching levels around $ 95B on a daily basis, which is a modest drop from $107B traded two weeks ago. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $412B, which represents a 25% surge from the beginning of this year. This was one of the rare weeks when major coins did not play a crucial role in driving the market cap. Instead, this week investors were more focused on major altcoins. BTC performed in a mixed manner, losing more than 2% in value during the week, or around $25B. ETH is finishing the week relatively flat, with a modest drop on a weekly level of $ 1B in value or 0.3%. At the same time, Bitcoin Gold gained significantly, supported by ATH of gold, reached during the week, with an weekly gain of 15.5%, adding $ 62M to its market cap. Among gainers, DASH should be noted, as this coin managed to add 8.3% to its value during the week. Litecoin also performed well, with an increase in the market cap of 10.5% w/w. ZCash also closed the week higher by 9%. On the other hand, market bellowed Solana lost even 9.3%, while Polkadot was down by 8.9%. XRP dropped in value by around 5%, losing $1.6B in its market cap. When it comes to coins in circulation, Tether managed to add 1.0% more coins to the market, increasing by this percentage its market capitalization, adding $1.17B to it. Polkadot added 0.2% of new coins, while Filecoin, traditionally, increased its circulating coins by 0.3%. During the week, Solana not only lost in value, but also decreased the number of coins on the market by 0.1% w/w. Crypto futures market Some interesting developments occurred in the crypto futures market during the previous week. Namely, as BTC finished the week in red and ETH ended flat, still, these movements were not exactly reflected in the respective short term futures. BTC short term futures were last traded down by around 2.5%, while the long term ones were traded lower by 1.7%. At the same time, futures maturing in December this year dropped by 5% w/w, ending the week at the level of $59.770. December 2025 was closed at $68.290. Opposite to the BTC futures, ETH futures closed the week in green. Short term futures were last traded around 0.8% higher from the week before, while the longer term ones, ended the week more than 1% higher. December 2025 ended the week at the level of $2.718, while December 2025 closed at $2.909.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: August 12 – 18Last week in the news Previous week markets used to digest US economic data, and realized that there is still no need for fear of recession. Markets were traded with a positive sentiment covering some losses which were brought two weeks ago and on Monday, after posted US jobs data which were weaker than expected. The US Dollar continued to weaken, supporting the price of gold to finish the week for one more time above the $2.4K currently strong support line. The S&P 500 managed to gain above 4% on a weekly level, however, it should be considered that previously, the index lost some 10% from its recent peak level. The US Treasury yields were traded higher, returning to the 4.0% level. The crypto market also gained during the week, with BTC reaching again the $60K resistance line. Start of the week brought sort of a relief on financial markets after the US ISM Services PMI was posted. The indicator was standing at the level of 51.4 in July, higher from market estimate of 51 and Jun`s figure of 49.6. The ISM Services Business Activity was 54.5 and ISM Services Employment was standing at 51.1. The indicator shows that the US services sector is in relatively good shape, in which sense, there is still no recession developing in the US. In addition, weekly jobless figures were posted for the first week of August, where initial jobless claims reached 233K, only a bit down from 240K forecast. It did not take long for the markets to enter into the correction mode and switch sentiment from negative to positive. The panic from Friday`s jobless figures was over. Regardless of these developments, the market still anticipates with high probability that the Fed`s pivoting moment will occur in September. JPMorgan has officially launched the LLM Suite project, a generative AI assistant program, which helps employees in writing emails and reports. The program was developed in cooperation with OpenAI, a maker of ChatGPT. For more than a year JPMorgan banned ChatGPT to be used by their employees, providing them now an alternative, which would be more secure for data protection of the Bank. Elly Lilly was the company which occupied a lot of news space during the previous week, as its shares rose more than 11% for the week. The surge occurred after the company posted Q2 results and expectations that the full year revenues will be higher by $3 billion from initially estimated, due to a boost in sales of its two drugs for weight loss and diabetes. The US Internal Revenue Service has released a new tax form for crypto brokers, which will be in effect from the year 2025. The form 1099-D will be distributed to clients of crypto brokerage firms, and it is expected to introduce more clarity and transparency when it comes to tax filings on crypto transactions. Crypto market cap It was indeed a stressful week on the crypto market, as well as on almost all financial markets. The fear over potential US recession and Fed`s forced cut of interest rates was so strong that almost all markets had a strong push to the downside. Still, the posted ISM data showed that the state of the US economy is not in a bad shape, which turned back investors optimism and a rebound of the value of financial assets. However, it should not be overseen that something did change. Analysts are pointing that the significant drop in the Yen carry trade is still not over and that currently some significant amount of positions is still open. A further increase of interest rates by the Bank of Japan might trigger similar developments in the future period. Still, despite a highly volatile week, total crypto market capitalization managed to stay relatively flat compared to the end of the week before. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 1% on a weekly basis, losing around $ 29B in value. At the same time daily trading volumes modestly decreased during the week to the level of $107B on a daily basis, as of the weekend, from $170B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $439B, which represents a 27% surge from the beginning of this year. The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. There were altcoins with significant gains on a weekly level, however, there were the ones which finished the week with a loss. Regardless of significant fluctuations in price during the week, BTC gained 0.9% on a weekly level, adding $10.6B to its market cap. On the other side, ETH made a significant drop of 9.2% w/w, losing almost $ 32B in value. XRP had a very good week, where the coin managed to increase its value by $8.9% adding $2.7B to its market cap. ZCash was traded on a positive side and increased its value by 27% w/w. Solana continues to be currently one of markets favorite coins, which increased its cap by 10% w/w or by $6.6B. Interestingly, one of the highest weekly losers was Maker, who decreased its value by almost 15% on a weekly level. There is still no official information what was the cause of such a significant drop for this coin. There has been increased activity with coins in circulation. Tether increased the number of coins on the market by 1.0% w/w, increasing by this percentage its total market cap. XRP, Solana, Polkadot, Polygon and Filecoin increased their number of coins by 0.2% each. Thai week Miota was active and increased its circulating coins by 0.6% w/w. Crypto futures market Considering extremely high volatility, the crypto futures market was trying to catch up with the spot market, however, finishing the week at the lower levels from the spot market. BTC short term futures ended the week around 3% lower from the week before. December 2024 was last traded at the price of $62.975. Longer term futures were traded by 3.2% lower for all maturities, where December 2025 ended the week at the level of $69.485. ETH futures made a higher move to the downside. Short term futures ended the week by around 14% lower from the week before, same as the longer term ones. Futures maturing in December 2024 were last traded at price $2.686, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $2.877.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: August 5 – 10Last week in the news Previous week was marked with a lot of news, unfortunately with a negative sentiment for investors in financial markets. The FOMC meeting brought “nearing” a rate cut, which was generally positive, however, surprisingly weak jobs data made investors to re-think their positions, fearing a potential recession in the US. The Bank of Japan also surprised markets with a rate increase of 25 bps, pushing parity of the Yen 8% higher against US Dollar. The US equity markets continued with a correction, with S&P 500 ending the week at the level of 5.346. The US Dollar and the US Treasury yields reacted strongly on weak jobs data on Friday, bringing the USD lower and 10Y Treasury benchmark at the level of 3.78%. Aside from weakening of USD, the price of gold reacted to increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, still ending the week at the level of $2.443, after a profit taking. The crypto market was the worst weekly performer, where BTC reached a support level at $60K. The Federal Reserve held a regular meeting on Wednesday, and held the rates unchanged for the ninth consecutive meeting. Still, the only significant change in Fed Chair Powell`s rhetoric is that the first rate cut is “nearing”. The markets are now strongly perceiving that the first rate cut will occur in September. At this moment, there are some 58% odds that the rate cut will be 50 bps, instead of previously anticipated 25 bps, considering weak July`s jobs data. There is also discussion among investors that July`s jobs data showed the potential that the US is slowly entering into the recession. However, there are also few analysts who are noting that there might be a seasonal effect in July`s weak jobs data. The Bank of Japan lifted interest rates to the levels around 0.25%, from the previous range of 0.0%-0.1% and is halving its bond-buying purchase program. The BoJ Governor Ueda did not rule out another hike of rates during this year. At the same time, Yen strengthened against the US Dollar by around 8%. A move from the BoJ is significant for the US markets due to heavy carry trade which investors are traditionally using. Namely, investors are using interest rate differentials, and through leveraged funds in Yen with low interest rates to finance investments in the US markets. Increased interest rates and strengthening of Yen will impact investors to close some positions, which might bring additional negative impact to the US financial markets. Another news that hit the US stock markets during the previous week, was that Warren Buffet`s Berkshire Hathaway cut holdings of AAPL by almost 50%. At the same time, their cash holdings reached $276 billion from $189 billion posted for the first quarter. These figures were obtained from the company's quarterly filings, but the company itself did not make any comments. The analysts are referring to Warren Buffet`s comment to shareholders made in may, where he noted that the current stocks are too expensive in order to make a solid profit for the company. Crypto market cap The previous week was a tight one for the crypto market. The week started with unconfirmed news that the US Government has transferred around $2 billion worth of BTC to the unknown address. Based on a name provided, it seems that this transfer is related to the Silk Road DoJ. A lot of investors were concerned that this might be related to a potential sale of BTC, and started closing positions, in a fear of a potential BTC price drop. The week continued with news that BoJ increased interest rates, in which sense, some decrease in a carry trade might be expected. Friday`s weak jobs data increased fears among investors over a potential for a recession in the US. All these factors had an impact for investors' re-positioning, in which sense, the crypto market suffered another losing week. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 11% on a weekly basis, whipping out around $263B from the crypto market. Daily trading volumes reached levels around $170B on a daily basis, which is significantly higher from $101B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year dropped to $ 468B, which represents a 29% surge from the beginning of this year. Almost all coins lost value during the previous week. Certainly, BTC was the one to lose the most in nominal terms. BTC decreased its market capitalization by almost $171B, which represents a 12.5% drop on a weekly basis. ETH was following the general market trend, and decreased its cap by almost 12% or $46B. Previous week Solana was the one of the coins with a significant drop in the market cap of $19.2B or 22.6% on a weekly basis. Another coin which should be mentioned in this group is Binance Coin, which decreased its cap by $8.5B or 10%. In relative terms altcoins lost a significant portion of their value, which ranges from 10% - 20%. Among higher losers in relative terms were Filecoin, with a drop of 20.5%, DOGE was down by almost 20%, Theta lost 21.2% in value. One of the rare coins which managed to actually increase its market cap on a weekly level is Zcash, which managed to add almost 2% to its market cap. There has been some increased activity when coins in circulation are in question. Polkadot was the coin which strongly increased the number of its coins on the market by 2.7%. Filecoin traditionally increased its circulating coins by 0.3% this week, while Stellar and Tether had an increase of the number of coins by 0.2% w/w. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market closed on Friday, so developments on the spot market have not been fully captured in the closing prices for the week. Nevertheless, both BTC and ETH futures closed the week more than 8% lower from the week before. BTC futures maturing in December this year were last traded at price $64.775, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $71.780. On a positive side is that the futures maturing in December 2025 are still holding above the $70K level, which is a positive sign that the market is perceiving current drop in prices as only a temporary. ETH December 2024 futures closed the week at $3.125, while those maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $3.346.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: July 29 – August 03Last week in the news The released June PCE Index was the major driver of the sentiment on financial markets during the previous week. The US Dollar strengthened during the week, however, PCE data pushed the currency into correction. Following the correlation with the USD, the price of gold ended the week a bit higher from previous weekly levels, at $2.385. The 10Y Treasury yields were optimistic about the potential rate cut in September, pushing yields lower from 4.20% level. In light of potential rate cuts, investors are switching attention to small cap stocks, in which sense, the S&P 500 continued with a correction to the downside during the week, ending it at the level of 5.459. In a quest for riskier assets, investors pushed the price of BTC toward the levels above the $68K. The FOMC meeting is scheduled for the week ahead, hence, market nervousness might continue. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge was published on Friday, posting an increase of 0.1% for a month, bringing it to the level of 2.5% on a yearly basis in June. At the same time, core PCE, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% for the month and 2.6% y/y. The posted results were in line with the market estimate. Current market sentiment regarding potential Fed's rate cut in September is best described by Rober Frick, economists working with Navy Federal Credit Union, who note in an interview with CNBC: “Spending is good enough to maintain the expansion, and income is good enough to maintain spending, and the level of PCE inflation is good enough to make the decision to cut rates easy for the Fed”. Apple is no longer a top smartphone seller in China, as per analysis conducted by the Canalys. The domestic Huawei took the advantage on China's market from Apple. Since the beginning of the year, Apple's sales in China are in decline by 25% on a yearly basis. In light of the US equity market correction during the previous two weeks, analysts from UBS continue to be positive on the future developments on this market. In their positive view, they are noting positive economic growth in the US. The further development within the IT industry and increased AI use, they see as a positive factor for the future development of stock prices of tech companies. The first spot ETH exchange traded fund started trading in the US, after SEC`s approval. The interest of investors was significant, reaching $1 billion during the first trading day. Black Rock`s ETH ETF saw around $800 million in inflows during the first two days. Still, the staking in the ETH would not be possible for the moment, as this product might violate several SEC`s rules and the US Law on securities. Howard Lutnick, CEO of the financial services firm Cantor Fitzerald noted at the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville that the company is planning to launch a $2 billion in bitcoin financing business. The plan of the company is to provide leverage to bitcoin holders. Crypto market cap The crypto market was traded in a relatively mixed manner during the previous week. There have generally been two major events that shaped the market sentiment. The first one is related the first to ETH ETF which was released for trading, after SEC`s approval, and the other one is related to macro data in the US, where the release of June PCE data showed slowdown in inflation, supporting market expectations that the first rate cut might occur in September this year. Namely, as expectation in an environment of decreasing interest rates is surging, the investors are of the opinion that it would be positive for the crypto market, as investors would seek riskier assets for higher returns on their investments. Certainly, the majority of crypto investors were looking at developments with ETH, as the first ETH ETF managed to collect over $ 1B in funds during the first trading day. In this sense, some re-adjustments of positions in altcoins occurred. Regardless of a surge in the price of BTC, total crypto market capitalization decreased by 1% on a weekly basis, where the market lost some $36B in value. At the same time, daily trading volumes were also modestly decreased to the level of $101B on a daily basis, from $136B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $731B, which represents a 45% surge from the beginning of this year. The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. BTC managed to end the week in a positive manner, adding $ 26B to its market cap, increasing it by 1.9% on a weekly basis. Still, due to the start of trading of the first ETH ETF, there has been a drop in the market cap of ETH by 7.5% w/w, where the coin lost some $ 32B in value. Among other altcoins, there has been almost an equal number of losers and gainers. On a gaining side were coins like ZCash, which added 8.5% to its market cap, Solana is still in the spotlight of investors, with a weekly gain of 5%, while Tron managed to add 2.4% value to its market cap. Among altcoins who lost in value during the week were Theta, with a drop of 7.3%, OMG Network was down by 7.5%, while Algroand dropped by almost 11%. Among coins who finished the week in red were Polkadot, with a drop of 8.1% w/w, Maker was down by 6.9%, while the majority of other altcoins lost up to 5% in value. There has been several developments when coins in circulation are in question. During the week, Tether added 0.4% new coins to the market, increasing its market capitalization by this percentage. IOTA added 0.6% of new coins, which is not so frequently seen with this coin. Filecoin, traditionally, has increased its number of coins by 0.3% on a weekly level. Interestingly, Binance Coin pulled 1.1% of its coins from the market. There are no further details publicly available at this moment, what was behind such a pull back. Crypto futures market Movements from the spot market were reflected in the spot market, in which sense, BTC and ETH futures were traded in opposite directions. BTC futures were traded higher from the week before for all maturities. However, it should be noted that the movements on the futures market were lower from the spot market. BTC short term futures were traded around 0.5% on average, higher from the week before, while the longer term ones were higher by around 1% on a weekly level. BTC futures maturing in December 2024 ended the week at the level of $70.645, and those maturing a year later, at the price of $78.155. The first trading day of the ETH ETF pushed the price of ETH to the lower grounds, as well as ETH futures which were traded around 7.3% lower from the week before. ETH futures maturing in December this year closed the market at level of $3.406, and those maturing in December 2025 were last traded at price $3.646.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: July 22 – 28Last week in the news There are two major events which impact the markets during the previous week. The first one was assassination attempt on the US presidential candidate Donald Trump, which occurred on Sunday, and the second one was the largest IT outrage that occurred during an update of the Microsoft systems. The ECB left interest rates unchanged, but it was somehow left behind market interest, due to previous two events. BTC rallied during the week, ending above the $ 67K during weekend trading. The US Treasury yields are weighing potential rate cuts in September, reverting a bit back toward 4.24%. Gold tested higher grounds, however, ending the week for one more time at $2.4K due to strengthening of the USDollar. Major IT outage made investors question whether tech companies reached their maximum within this economic cycle, which pushed the S&P 500 1.9% lower as of the weekend. The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged at their meeting held on Thursday. This was in line with market expectations. In an after-the-meeting speech, ECB President Lagarde noted that the potential rate cut in September is open, considering weakening in the economy of the EuroZone, while the inflation is expected to stay at lower levels. Some policy makers are still of the opinion that the June rate cut was premature. A software update from the company CrowdStrike impacted a huge IT outrage in the western countries and Australia. Computers with Microsoft operating systems were affected, some 8.5 million as per Microsoft estimate, impacting that governments, hospitals, airports, banks, payment systems and many other important functions stop working and providing services. At the same time, Mac and Linux operating systems were not affected. Engineers from both CrowdStrike and Microsoft managed to fix the issue within a few hours, but the damage had already been done, through a significant drop in the share prices of some 10% of both companies. There is an emerging number of analysts who are warning their clients over a potential reversal in the US stock market. The latest warning came from strategists from Societe Generale Bank. They noted a recent surge in small cap companies, where investors are slowly moving their assets from the tech industry to companies which could benefit the most from upcoming rate cuts. They noted “with the US Tech sector now accounting for some 35% of the S&P 500 market cap, investors need to be on high alert for a potential bursting of the bubble”. Italy made its first digital bond issuance through the Polygon network. A state owned development bank Cassa Depositi e Prestiti SpA and Italy's largest lender, Intesa Sanpaolo, completed a bond issuance in the amount of 25 million euros with four month maturity. Crypto market cap There are generally two major events which occurred during the previous week, which impacted a strong shift in the crypto market capitalization to the upside. The first event occurred on Sunday, which was related to assassination attempt of the US Presidential candidate Donald Trump. As this unfortunate event significantly increased his odds to win the presidential elections, the investors changed the sentiment for the crypto market from neutral to positive, considering that Trump supports the crypto industry. The second event occurred on Friday, with the highest IT outage occurring due to an unfortunate Microsoft operating system update. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 14% on a weekly basis, adding $296B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes were also increased to the level of around $136B on a daily basis, from $124B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $767B, which represents a 47% surge from the beginning of this year. This was a second green week on the crypto market, however, with a stronger impact. Major coins were leading the crypto market cap increase in nominal terms. BTC surged by more than 15% on a weekly basis, adding total $175B to its market cap. ETH took the second place with a surge of almost 12% w/w, increasing its value for $44.5B. Solana had an excellent week, with an increase in market cap of $15.8B or 24.4% on a weekly basis. BNB should be also mentioned, as the coin surged by almost 13%, adding $ 10B to its cap. DOGE surged by almost 21%, increasing its cap by additional $3.3B. This week XRP also had good performance with a surge of 10.6% or $3.2B. The majority of other altcoins also had a surge of around 10% w/w. Interestingly, there has been only a few coins on a losing side, few of which are ADA, which was down by 0.6%, Tron dropped by 4.5% while Uniswap was down by 1.2%. Changes in the number of circulating coins slowed down a bit during the week. Tether generally had a good week, with a surge in coins of 1.3%, which is the percentage of increase in its market cap. Stellar added 0.3% of new coins to the market, while Filecoin increased its number by 0.2%, same as XRP. Crypto futures market Movements from the spot market were reflected also in the crypto futures market. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded on higher grounds from the week before. BTC short term futures were traded higher by more than 16%, for all maturities, while ETH futures closed the week around 13% higher from the week before. BTC futures maturing in December this year closed the week at price $69.500, while those maturing a year later were last traded at $77.440. This represents one of the highest prices of BTC futures for maturity December 2025, and expresses current strong market optimism regarding BTC`s levels in the future. ETH futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $3.674, while those maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $3.932.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: July 15 – 21Last week in the news The US CPI data for June were the major market mover during the previous week. A better than expected CPI data pushed the value of USD to the lower grounds, supporting the price of gold to test again levels modestly above $2.4K. US Treasury yields also adjusted to these results, where 10Y Treasuries dropped to the level of 4.18%. At the same time, the S & P 500 reached a fresh new all time highest level at 5.658. The only market that was not quite sure which side to trade was the crypto market. BTC was testing $58K resistance levels, but it also tested a $55K support line. Crypto market bulls and bears were not able to agree which side to trade. Fed Chair Powell had a testimony in front of the US Congress, where he provided information to the Congress members on the state of the US economy and further changes in the US banking regulations in terms of potential implementation of the Basel standards. Still, the markets were most interested to hear any news regarding potential timing of the first rate cut. Although he avoided openly discussing any timing of such a move, still he noted that inflation is not the only indicator when FOMC is deciding on the rate cuts, but they are also closely watching developments on the job market, in terms of its potential further weakening. His testimony did have some modest influence on financial markets in terms of higher volatility, however, analysts were interpreting his notes in a different manner, in which sense, consensus on the month of Fed`s pivoting is still not unified among market participants. Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, continues to hold to his previous anticipation that the inflationary pressure could continue to hold, and in this sense, potential Fed's rate cuts should be taken with precaution. He is supporting his views with “large fiscal deficits, infrastructure needs, restructuring of trade and remilitarization of the world” which all constitute a potential threat which could set the road for another round of inflation in the US. Potential Fed's rate cuts have also been a topic for discussion within the crypto community. The question was imposed on expectations of the crypto investors and traders of how Fed`s pivoting will impact the price of BTC. The majority agree that it should be positive for BTC and other major crypto coins, as there is a general expectation that lower interest rates will boost the liquidity and in this sense support the price of BTC. Still, it should be noted that there are some investors with the opinion that the market had already priced in Fed's rate cut when BTC`s price reached $ 73K and that this time they do not expect any significant market reaction. JPMorgan, DBS and Standard Chartered banks joined forces to raise additional $60 million of funds, through series B funding, in order to support their joint project called Partior. The aim of this project is to establish an interbank payment network based on a blockchain technology for instant clearing services. Several employees of Open AI made complaints with the Securities and Exchange Commission over company`s too restrictive non-disclosure agreements made with employees, through which, they are not able to openly discuss any irregularities related to deployment of AI. This news was published by Reuters during the previous week, in which employees seek an SEC investigation over the “irresponsible deployment of AI” and its “full compliance with SEC rules”. Crypto market cap After a strong sell off on the crypto market two weeks ago, it managed to modestly recover during the previous week. However, it was evident that the recovery was relatively weak during the week, as the market was still not sure which side to trade, and whether the sell off was finally over. Just as a reminder, there has been an announcement from crypto exchange Mt Gox that the bankrupt exchanger will return to its creditors some $9 billion through Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash. During the month, the German Government sold its BTC holding worth around $2.8 billion. At the same time, BTC ETF`s became net sellers, instead of net buyers of BTC, while a combination of factors led to significant pressure on BTC and other crypto coins. During the previous week, the total crypto market managed to add 1% to its capitalization, increasing it by $28B. Daily trading volumes remained under pressure, moving around $ 90B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $471B, which represents a 29% surge from the beginning of this year. Previous week was a green week on the crypto market. Almost all coins gained in value on a weekly basis, with only a few marking a modestly red week. BTC managed to increase its market cap by 1.3%, adding $14.6B to its cap. ETH added $13.7, increasing its value by 3.75% w/w. This week XRP was the coin with a notable gain of $5.2B in value, surging by 20.8% w/w. Cardano also had a good week with a surge in cap of $2.5B or 19.3%. Some other coins with relatively good performance in relative terms were ZCash, with a 33.1% surge in value, DASH was higher by 11.1% w/w, Maker ended the week higher by 15.2%, while Filecoin was up almost 12%. Only a few coins ended the week lower from the week before, among which were Solana, who decreased its market cap by 1.5%, OMG Network was down by 2.5% and DOGE dropped by 1% w/w. There have been some developments when coins in circulation are in question. Cardano increased the number of coins on the market by 0.3%, Tether`s number of coins was up by 0.2%. This week Miota increased its circulating coins by a significant 0.6%, while Filcoin traditionally surging by 0.5%. Crypto futures market In line with reverted optimism on the spot market, the crypto futures market ended the week in green. BTC short term futures ended the week higher by some 2% on average. Still, December 2024 closed the week at the price of $60.185, which was almost 6% higher from the end of the previous week. BTC longer term futures were traded 1.8% higher from the week before, while December 2025 closed the week at level of $66.405. ETH futures had an increase in the futures prices above 4% for all maturities. ETH futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $3.251 or 4.30% higher from the end of the previous week. December 2025 closed the week at $3.478 or 4.16% higher on a weekly basis.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: July 8 – 14Last week in the news The non-farm payrolls and unemployment data shaped investors sentiment on financial markets during the previous week. Friday was the day of significant volatility, which brought US Treasury yields down to the level of 4.28%. Weakening of the US Dollar pushed the price of gold to higher grounds, ending the week at level of $2.391. The US equity markets were also supported by the market sentiment on a Fed`s potential rate cut in September, where S&P 500 reached a new all time highest level. The crypto market was the only one which was traded on a negative side. The BTC was testing levels around the $ 54K, however, ending the week around $58K. The most important macro figures for the week were posted on Friday. The non-farm payrolls for June surged to 206K, significantly above market estimated 190K. At the same time, the unemployment rate was increased to 4.1% in June from 4.0% posted in May. These figures increased market optimism that the Fed still might cut rates in September, as they suggest that job openings have improved, but the employment trend is still modestly weakening. Increased unemployment rate also indicates that the inflator pressures coming from the job market should continue cooling down, which implies a potential for a rate cut during the course of this year. September still holds as the current estimate of the majority of market participants. During the week Tesla reported its Q2 vehicle deliveries figures which were significantly higher from the market estimate. This made an impact on the price of Tesla`s shares which gained 27% during the week. However, with this significant increase, Tesla managed to cover losses for this year. The share price reached $251.55, while they ended the year 2023 at level of $248.48. The crypto market was shaken during the week, after the news was released that the bankrupt crypto exchanger Mt. Gox will pay out around $9 billion to its affected users. The payouts already started in Bitcoin and Bitcoin cash to some creditors through a number of crypto exchangers. The rest of funds will be distributed when “conditions are met” in terms of validity of registered accounts. As analysts are noting, this significantly increased number of coins on the market will put selling pressure on BTC. As Reuters is reporting, the government of Peru announced that it will receive around $300 million credit over a period of 15 years in order to support the digital transformation of the country. Peru`s creditor is German KfW Development Bank. Further details on digital transformation have not been disclosed. At the same time, Peru is the third country in the world by the production of copper, while its economy grew between 4.5% and 5.0% on a yearly basis in May. Crypto market cap The final breakthrough of pressures on the crypto market occurred during the previous week. The crypto market has been slowing down for the last three weeks, while there are several reasons behind it which collide together within the short time frame. The latest news from the previous week is that bankrupt crypto exchanger Mt. Gox announced that it will return to creditors some $9 billion through Bitcoin and Bitcoin cash. Market participants knew that this amount would put a huge selling pressure on BTC and the crypto market, so the final selloff was triggered. The selling pressure from crypto miners is another aspect to consider. Traditionally, this sale reaches its maximum during the summer time, where it has been estimated that this year only, crypto miners sold around 40.000 BTC worth around $2.5 billion. A continuous drop in BTC price pushed the funds from crypto based ETF`s where they for the first time became net sellers instead of net buyers. In addition to that, it should be considered the announcement from the German government that it will sell its BTC holding worth around $2.8 billion. And, on top of it, it should be taken into account that a strong drop in the value of BTC and other altcoins triggered margin calls for leveraged positions. The combination of all these effects, pushed the total crypto market cap down by 6% as of the end of this week, wiping out some $124B in value. It should be noted that during the week, the crypto market cap dropped by $170B in one moment. Daily trading volumes were also increased to the level of $124B on a daily basis, from $94B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $443B, which represents a 27% surge from the beginning of this year. The coin which dragged the crypto market to the downside during the previous week was BTC. It lost around 5% in the value, erasing $57.8B from its market cap. ETH naturally took the second place, with a drop in value of 9.7%, decreasing its cap by $39.5B. Binance Coin was also among significant weekly losers, by decreasing its cap by more than 8%, wiping $6.8B from its cap. XRP was down by 6.2%, where it lost $1.6B from its market cap. Significant losers in relative terms were, among others, Litecoin with a drop of 13.7% w/w, NEO was down by 12.7%, OMG Network lost almost 11% , same as Filecoin. Interestingly, there have been only a few coins which managed to end the week at a higher level on a weekly basis. Polkadot managed to increase its cap by 2.5% on a weekly basis, while Tron was higher by 3.4% for the week. It should also be mentioned Solana, which ended the week relatively flat, same as Algorand. Tether was a coin which lost 0.5% of its circulating coins, decreasing by this percentage its total market capitalization. On the other side were Algorand and Filecoin, which both increased the number of their coins on the market by 0.3%. Maker added 0.2% of new coins to the market. Crypto futures market Crypto futures also reacted to developments from the spot market. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded significantly lower from the week before. BTC short term futures ended the week by some 8% on average. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at $56.800 or 8.85% lower from the week before. December 2025 closed the week at $65.215 or 6% lower on a weekly basis. Similar situation was with ETH futures, but with higher weekly drop in future levels. Short term ones were traded around 10% lower, while those with longer maturities were down by more than 11%. ETH futures maturing in December 2024 ended the week at the level of $3.117, while those maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $3.339.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
1
MARKETS week ahead: July 1 – July 7Last week in the news Inflation data were in focus of markets during the previous week. The US PCE data published on Friday, impacted some repositioning among asset classes. The US equities reacted to the inflation data by ending Friday`s trading session in red. The S&P 500 ended the week at the level of 5.460. The US Dollar modestly weakened during the week, allowing gold to recover some of the weekly losses, ending the week at level of $2.340. The strongest reaction to posted data had 10Y Treasury yields, which were increased to the level of 4.4%. The crypto market continues to be under pressure, where BTC was testing the lower grounds during the week, still, ending it above $60K support level. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge, the PCE Price Index for May was published on Friday. The index was standing at the level of 2.6% y/y, and at the same level as core PCE. Figures for May represent its lowest level within the last three years. Despite the evident decrease in inflation pressures, the markets are still not sure regarding the Fed`s pivoting point in time. The majority of market participants are still perceiving that the first rate cut might occur in September this year. As CNBC is reporting, a new wave of M&A activities started within the crypto mining industry, noting as a catalyst artificial intelligence. Namely, as crypto miners have the necessary equipment for “compute-intensive AI operations' ', initially installed for the mining of crypto coins, they became a target of larger companies within the field of AI. In this sense, a Nvidia backend start-up, CoreWeave announced a deal with Core Scientific company. It is noted that the deal is expected to generate additional $1.2 billion in revenues within the next 12 years. In line with the development of AI technology and the demand for data centers, the European Union has finalized their study on a potential for launching data centers in Earth's orbit. As the demand for electricity is significantly increasing due to the developments in the digital sectors, the ASCEND is trying to solve the issue through using solar energy within the Earth's orbit. After BTC and ETH, Solana is the next one to be eligible for an exchange traded fund. As per news reports, VanEck asset management company in the US filed with the SEC for a registration of selling shares through a Solana ETF. VanEck`s researchers believe that the Solana is acting like a commodity and not a security, and that it acts like a competitor to Ethereum blockchain. Solana rose 8% on this news. China is slowly gearing up to be the leader of the global market within the field of electric vehicles. As per study conducted by the consulting firm AlixPartners, the Chinese automakers will achieve a 33% global market share of EV by 2030. However, the firm is noting far slower expansion in Japan and North America, considering the 100% tariff on imported Chinese EV`s that these countries are imposing on imports from China. Crypto market cap For the second week in a row the crypto market is slowing down. Investors' interest continues to be focused on inflation data, in which sense, recent posted PCE and consumer confidence data had also some impact on the crypto market. Anticipation of the next Fed move when it comes to interest rates continues to be a major concern of market participants, in which sense, some repositioning is occurring. During the previous week, total crypto market capitalization decreased by additional 4%, wiping out some $86B from the market value. Daily trading volumes continue to move around $94B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $567B, which represents a 35% surge from the beginning of this year. Previous week`s drop in total crypto market capitalization was led by its major coins, BTC and ETH, while other altcoins were traded in a mixed manner. BTC lost 5.2% of its value on a weekly basis, losing more than $ 66B in market cap. ETH took the second place with outflow of $20.8B from its market cap, which is a decrease of 4.9% within a single week. Binance Coin was also traded to a downside, losing $2.5B in market cap, or 2.9%. One of the highest losers within the week in relative terms was Uniswap, with a drop in value of 10.1%. However, there were coins which managed to increase their value on a weekly basis. Solana should be specially mentioned, with a weekly gain of 5.4%, adding $3.3B to its market cap. This increase came after news hit the market that asset manager VanEck filed with the SEC for a registration of selling shares through a Solana ETF. Tron and Polkadot had a good week, with an increase in market cap of more than 5%. When it comes to coins in circulation, ETH was the greatest weekly surprise. Namely, around 1.7% of its coins were pulled off from the market. There is currently no public information what`s the cause of such a move. This week IOTA had one of the highest increases of coins on the market, with a surge of 0.6% on a weekly basis. Filecoin increased its circulating coins by 0.3%. Crypto futures market Two weeks ago the spot crypto market turned to a short correction, still, there has not been some significant response from the crypto futures market. However, during the previous week, there has been some significant correction, when it comes to the crypto futures. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded lower from the week before. BTC short term futures ended the week around 5% lower from the week before. December 2024 was traded by 7.7% lower from the end of the previous week, ending it at $62.315. Futures maturing in December 2025 were traded lower by 6.7%, with a closing price of $69.385. Similar situation was also with ETH futures. Short term ones were traded around 7% lower from the week before, while December 2024 ended the week by a round 4% drop in value, with the last traded price at $3.505. December 2025 had a slower drop of 3.45% on a weekly basis, closing the week at $3.774.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: June 24 – 30Last week in the news Markets used the week after the FOMC meeting for some repositioning and profit-takings in expectation of new data which will provide a clue when the Fed will start its pivoting cycle. The S&P 500 finished the week lower, after reaching a new all time highest level, where Nvidia for one more time was in the center of market interest. The US Dollar gained in strengths, pushing the price of gold toward the level of $2.321. The US 10Y Treasury yields remained relatively calm modestly above the 4.20% level, while the crypto market was eyeing lower grounds, and BTC testing the $ 65K support line during the whole week. China was in the center of the news during the previous week, as the both US and EU are imposing further restrictions for products made in China. The negotiations were held between EU and China officials related to tariffs that the EU will impose on China's electric vehicles, in an attempt to protect its own auto industry. On the other hand, the US issued a set of rules which would put a halt to specific investments in the products related to artificial intelligence and other technological developments in China, under the reasoning that they might impose a threat to the US national security. Apple has announced that their three new features named Apple Intelligence, which is based on AI, iPhone Mirroring and enhancements to SharePlay screen shall not be launched in the European Union upon its official release. The company notes that “the interoperability requirements of the DMA could force us to compromise the integrity of our products in ways that risk user privacy and data security”. Although such a move from a company might disappoint consumers in the EU, and in this sense, potentially decrease the sale of Apple devices in EU countries, still, the market for Apple shares remained flat on the news. The US banking regulators publicly disclosed the weaknesses in the resolution plans in four from eight US largest banks, including Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America. Deficiencies in plans were related to derivative portfolios and the way the banks are planning to handle any potentially negative situation. The regulators noted that plans of these companies have “material limitations”. Standard Chartered bank announced that it will establish a trading desk where their clients will be able to trade bitcoin and ether coins. The desk will be based in London as a part of the bank`s FX trading unit. Standard Chartered will be the first bank to allow its clients to trade BTC and ETH directly from their trading platform. Crypto market cap Crypto market continued to slow down also during the previous week. Fed`s pivoting point is still in the center of market interests, in which sense, some repositioning is occurring, considering latest available data on the state of the US economy and potential next Fed`s moves. Currently decreased interest for BTC is evident not only on the spot market, but also in the futures and among ETF`s. As per news reports, BTC ETF`s faced some $900 millions in outflows during the previous week. As the market is searching for new equilibrium levels, the crypto market lost additional 3% in value on a weekly level, losing around $ 69B from its market cap. Daily trading volumes were again decreased to the level of $93B on a daily basis, from $120B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $653B, which represents a 40% surge from the beginning of this year. The majority of coins were on a losing track during the previous week, except only a few ones which ended the week in a positive territory. In a nominal sense, BTC lost the most of all coins, around $38B on a weekly basis, or 2.9%. ETH managed to end the week relatively flat compared to the week before. Among higher weekly losers were Binance Coin, with a drop in value of $2.8B or 3.1%, there was also Solana, which dropped its market cap by $4.9B or 7.3% w/w. In a relative terms, the highest weekly losers were coins like OMG Network, with a drop in value of 16.3%, Zcash was down by 11.4% same as NEO, Filecoin and Uniswap both lost around 15% on a weekly basis, while Algorand was down by 12.7%. The majority of other altcoins dropped up to 10% w/w. Among few gainers were EOS, who managed to increase its cap by 14.8% w/w, while Maker ended the week higher by 7%. There has been some increased activity when coins in circulation are in question. In this sense ETH`s circulating coins increased by 1.8% on a weekly level, Tether increased its number of coins by 0.3%, same as the total value of its market cap. This week LINK had an increase of its circulating coins by 3.6%, while Filecoin, traditionally increased the number of its coins in circulation by 0.6% w/w. Crypto futures market Decreased activity on the crypto futures market continues. In line with the spot market BTC futures were traded lower compared to the week before, while ETH futures ended the week higher. BTC short term futures were traded lower by more than 2%. Futures maturing in December 2024, closed the week at price $67.560 or 2.5% lower from the week before, while those maturing a year later were last traded at $74.355 relatively flat on a weekly level. ETH short term futures closed the week around 3% higher. Futures maturing in December 2023 ended the week at $3.651 or 3.3% higher w/w, while December 2025 was closed 3.7% higher at level of $3.909.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
Dell (DELL): Analyzing Recent Trends and Future ExpectationsDell Technologies has experienced a remarkable rise of approximately 440% within a span of about one and a half years. However, this impressive ascent has been marked by a bearish divergence at the current top. The RSI has been forming lower tops while the price chart has been forming higher tops, indicating weakening momentum. Current Situation: Trend Channel: Dell shot above the trend channel, but quickly corrected downwards with a significant gap down, losing around 12% in a single day. Support Level: The price found support within the trend channel, likely marking Wave A. Expectations: Wave B and C : We anticipate the formation of Wave B followed by Wave C, potentially moving into the open gap area. Although part of the gap between $94.44 and $104 has already been tagged, there is still some remaining that could be fully closed. Critical Levels: It is crucial for the $80 level to hold. A break below this level could lead to further declines towards the $68 or even $60 range. Key Points to Monitor: Bearish Divergence: The bearish divergence on the RSI suggests potential further downside. Gap Fill: Watch for a potential move to fill the remaining gap. Support at $80: Maintaining support at $80 is critical to prevent deeper declines.
NYSE:DELLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
MARKETS week ahead: June 10 – 17Last week in the news Macro fundamentals were the ones that significantly moved markets during the previous week. The US jobs data were the ones that strongly pushed market expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates during the course of this year. The US Dollar gained during the week, while the price of gold sharply dropped to the level of $2.293. US Treasuries also reacted on jobs data, pushing the yield toward 4.43% for one more time. The only market that was relatively calm was the crypto market, where BTC was trying for one more time to clearly break the $70K, but for one more time the attempt was without success. The major news during the previous week is that the ECB started pivoting. In their regular meeting, held during the previous week, the ECB members decided to cut interest rates by 25%. In her after the meeting comments, ECB President Lagarde noted that the inflation has decreased enough within the Euro Area, which supported ECB`s decision. She also noted that the ECB members are “not committing to any particular rate path” suggesting that it is not clear whether there will be more rate cuts in the coming months. It should be noted that the inflation in May reached 2.6%, which is a bit higher from the ECB target of 2%. On the other hand, the FOMC meeting is scheduled for the week ahead. It is currently expected that the Fed will not make any changes to its current interest rates. However, as per current market expectations, there is a 68% chance that the Fed will make its first pivoting move in September this year. At the same time, the latest posted jobs figures show mixed results. On one hand, the US unemployment rate reached 4.0% in May, a bit higher from previous 3.9%, while the non-farm payrolls figure increased by 272K in May, significantly surpassing market estimate of 185K. The price of gold significantly dropped on Friday, on the news that the Bank of China halted its further purchases of gold to its reserves in May, after 18 months of consecutive purchases. The data showed that the PBoC was holding 72.8 million ounces of gold in May, which was the same as in April. The value of China's gold reserves amounts to $170.96 billion. Analysts involved in the matter are commenting that the PBoC is not nearing the actual halt of gold purchases. They are noting that currently elevated prices of gold are not attractive for PBoC purchases, but they will hold until the price of gold consolidates in the near future period. News are reporting that the largest Norwegian sovereign wealth fund, the Norges Bank Investment management (NBIM) will vote against ratification of the $56 billion pay package for Tesla`s CEO Elon Musk. The fund is noting that that the amount is too high and that it is unfair for the shareholders. The fund holds 0.98% stake in Tesla, worth around $7.7 billion. Crypto market cap The US macro data were in the spotlight of investors sentiment during the previous week, where the crypto market was left a bit aside. The markets full focus is now on the forthcoming FOMC meeting, scheduled for Wednesday, June 12th, when investors will be provided with a Fed's latest overview of the macro developments, and potentially information on their future course of action. Of course, the markets are most interested when the Fed will start pivoting. Until the first pivot occurs, the market nervousness around FOMC meetings will remain high. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 1% on a weekly basis, where BTC was driving the market to the upside. At the same time, daily trading volumes were significantly decreased, moving around $85B on a daily basis, which is a significant drop from the week before, when the market was trading around $113B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $843B, which represents a 51% surge from the beginning of this year. Despite the weekly increase in total market capitalization, still, the crypto market was traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. There were almost the equal number of coins which ended the week in green and those with a weekly result in red. Regardless of a higher weekly volatility, BTC gained around 2.7% on a weekly level, increasing its capitalization by $36B. Ether ended the week in red, losing around 2.7% w/w or $12B. Solana also lost $2.5B in the market cap, decreasing it by 3.2%. Among higher losing coins were DASH with a drop in value of 12.6%, EOS lost 11.1%, Zcash dropped by 12%, while OMG Network lost 35.7% on a weekly basis. Among coins which gained during the week were Monero, with an increase in value of 13.6%, Binance Coin was among significant gainers with an increase of the market cap by $12B or 14.1%. Filecoin should also be mentioned, as it increased its market cap by 7%. Increased developments with coins in circulation continues. Filecoin added 0.5% more coins to the market during the previous week. Solana increased its coins in circulation by 0.2%, same as Stellar. Tether`s market cap and circulating coins surged by 0.3% on a weekly basis. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market was generally following developments on the spot market, however, it should be noted that the general interest for the crypto futures decreased during the previous week, which coincided with significantly decreased daily trading volumes on the crypto spot market. BTC both short and long term futures were traded around 2% higher from the week before for all maturities. Futures maturing in December 2024 ended the week at level of $73.750, while those maturing a year later ended the week at the level of $77.025. ETH short term futures were traded around 2.8% lower from the week before, while those with longer maturities were traded relatively flat compared to the week before.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: June 2 – 8Last week in the news The potential timing of the approval of the first ETH ETF and the US inflation data continues to be the major focus of investors on financial markets. The crypto market went into relatively quiet mode during the previous week., while the major developments were on the side of traditional markets. The S&P 500 managed to finish May 4.8% higher from the month before, however, some weakening in investors optimism is evident. The nervousness regarding the PCE data pushed the 10Y US yields toward the level of 4.6%, still, the yields relaxed a bit, after the posted data were in line with market expectations. The price of gold was traded in a relatively short range in line with the US Dollar moves. The market started the week in expectation of the PCE data for May, as this indicator represents one of the Fed's favourite gauges for the inflation. Released data showed that the PCE Price Index was standing at 2.7% in April, exactly in line with market expectations. Core PCE was 2.8%, without a change from the previous month. Core PCE was increased by 0.2% on a monthly basis, while PCE index was up by 0.3% for the month. Although analysts welcomed PCE data in line with their expectations, still, they are arguing that there is no improvement in data which will clearly show that the inflation is on a down path toward 2%. In their latest FOMC meeting, Fed officials asked for more time, in which sense, the markets will have to stay patient, as new readings on inflation are coming. Analysts and crypto professionals are generally reacting positively on SEC`s approval of holdings in the ETH, however, concern stays over the timing when the first ETH ETF will be approved. Jan van Eck, a CEO of VanEck investment company, noted in an interview with CNBC a positive move from the SEC, as they were on the road to “lose any kind of jurisdiction over digital assets'' and that with their latest move “there is a bigger narrative going on”. Several other investors also commented in a positive note to the SEC's decision, but when regulation is in question, currently the bigger impact will come from the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act, or FIT21, which has passed in the House during May this year, but it's adoption by the Senate, remains unclear until the election in the US this year. A company behind stablecoin Tether is expanding further its business. As per news report, Tether agreed to buy a Singapore-based bitcoin miner Bitdeer (BTDR) for the total price of $150 million. As noted, Bitdeer will use the funds to expand its data centre as well as ASIC-based mining development. Crypto market cap The crypto market slowed down during the previous week. News regarding SEC`s approval of exchange traded funds to hold Etherum`s native token is still digested by the market. The timing of the first approved ETH ETF is still unknown, in which sense, the market pulled a bit in order to reconsider in which direction SEC is actually pulling its decision – whether it was a political one or imposed by the several prior court decisions. Total market capitalization decreased by 1% during the previous week, with an outflow of $35B from this market. Daily trading volumes decreased to the level of $113B on a daily basis, from $120B traded during the previous week. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $ 826B, which represents a 50% surge from the beginning of this year. Although two weeks ago Ether was the star of the crypto market, still, during the previous week the majority of coins slowed down. Bitcoin lost some 2% in value, losing $28B in the market cap. Ether modestly gained 1.3% on a weekly basis, adding $6.2B to its cap. The majority of altcoins ended the week in red. Some of the highest losers on a weekly basis were Uniswap, with a drop in value of 10.4%, Theta was down by 11.4%, while Bitcoin Cash dropped by 6.5% and Bitcoin Gold dropped by 8.8% w/w. The majority of other altcoins dropped somewhere between 6% and 2%. On the opposite side was only a small number of coins which managed to gain during the week, like Monero, which was up by 4.2%, LINK was traded higher by 6.6% and Solana, which managed to gain 2.3% on a weekly basis. As for circulating coins, for another week Tether increased the number of its coins on the market by 0.2%, however, several other coins had an significant increase. In this sense, OMG Network had a surge in circulating coins by 2.3%, Miota increased the number of coins by 0.6%, Filecoin traditionally increased the number of its coins, which were higher by 0.5% on a weekly basis. Solana was the winner of the week, where the number of its coins was increased by 2.3% w/w. Crypto futures market There has not been too much activity when the crypto futures market is in question during the previous week. While short term futures were following the spot market, the long term ones for ETH were traded with a modest negative sentiment, and closed the week around 0.25% lower from the week before. Futures maturing in December closed the week at $3.939, while those maturing a year later reached the price of $4.136. BTC short term futures were last traded down by 2.5%, while long term ones remained relatively flat on a weekly basis, gaining modest 0.5%. Futures maturing in December 2024 were last traded at $72.065, and those maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $76.050.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: May 27 – June 2Last week in the news The most important weekly news comes from the crypto market, as the SEC approved ETH exchange traded funds. The price of both ETH and BTC experienced high volatility during the week, with BTC ending the week above the $69K. The pricing of the first Fed rate cut modestly impacted the 10Y Treasury yields, however the price of gold reacted with a stronger price reversal, closing the week at $2.333. There has also been some volatility in the S & P 500 index, which is ending the week flat, supported by tech companies. The US Secretary and Exchange Commission confirmed that it has approved exchange-traded funds which are holding Ethereum`s native token, ETH. This came as a surprise for markets, as there has been a lot of discussions regarding SEC`s potential decision on spot ETH ETF`s. Now the majority of analysts are questioning whether such a decision was influenced by politics or by several court rules, where SEC lost the case regarding its opinion on coins as securities. Whatever is the real reason, certainly ETH and the crypto market benefited from such a decision. Analysts from UBS have been actively researching and forecasting the price of gold lately. In their latest report, the largest Swiss bank reassessed its forecast for the price of this metal, raising it from $2.500 to $2.600 per ounce. Their reassessment came after the latest market pricing of Fed`s cuts in interest rates during the course of this year. Namely, they took into consideration that the market is currently pricing 40 bps cut in 2024, which was increased from 28 bps previously. As announced by the Russell 1000 Index, there is expectation for reassessment of the companies included in this index, where 38 new names will be included. Among names which are mentioned are Super Micro Computer, MicroStrategy and Carvana. Among all companies, the tech ones are dominant, including MicroStrategy which is investing specifically into BTC. Analysts from Goldman Sachs` prime brokerage noted in their report that hedge funds are selling US equities at rates which were prevalent in January this year. This represents a significant shift in the sentiment, considering that for the last five weeks net buying was dominant. As noted, this shift in sentiment is coming after indication that the Fed's rate might stay elevated for an extended period of time. Crypto market cap There has been another significant milestone reached for the crypto market during the previous week. Although the market was doubting the decision, still the US SEC finally approved exchange traded funds which hold Etherem`s native token, ETH. There should not be specifically noted how the market reacted to this news. As it came as a sort of surprise, the price of ETH went up shortly by more than 20%, and is still holding. Futures also reacted to this news, pushing the price of ETH to the level of more than $4K for the period till the end of the next year. Total market capitalization significantly gained during the week, with an inflow of $137B in funds, which increased its total market cap by 6% on a weekly basis. Daily trading volumes were increased to $126B on a daily basis, from $110B traded during the previous week. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $861B, which represents a 53% surge from the beginning of this year. It should not be specifically mentioned that previous week was ETH`s week. The coin gained significant 20% during the week, on news of the approval of ETH ETF`s. Total funds inflow into this coin was more than $75B. Although BTC had a volatile week, still, the coin managed to gain around 3.4% on a weekly basis, adding GETTEX:44B to its market cap. There are few other coins with relatively good weekly performance. Binance coin added $3.5B to its cap, increasing it by 4.1%. DOGE was also traded on a positive side, with a gain of $2.6B or 11.7% w/w. This week Uniswap should be especially mentioned, as this coin managed to gain even 38% in value from the previous week. ZCash had also a good week with a surge in value of 14%. Algorand was up by more than 5%, OMG Network surged by 7.5%, while LINK was traded higher by 6.3%. Only a few coins ended the week with the losing track, like Tron, which lost 8% in value, while Cardano was down by 5%. There have been relatively minor changes with circulating coins. Tether continues to increase the number of its coins on the market, adding new 0.5% during the previous week. XRP also increased its coins by 0.3%. Traditionally, Filecoin is posting strong increases in coins week by week, adding 0.6% during the previous week. Maker added 0.2% of new coins. Majority of other coins added around 0.1% of new coins on the market. Crypto futures market Crypto futures market reacted positively to the news regarding the approval of the ETH exchange traded funds. The price of this coin was increased by 20% on a weekly basis and the futures market was following developments. Short term futures gained above 20%, while the longer term ones gained more than 28% within the week. ETH futures maturing in December this year reached the price of $3.962, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $4.146. BTC futures also followed positive market sentiment. Futures gained above 2.7% on a weekly basis for all maturities. In this sense, futures maturing in December 2024 closed the week at price $70.795, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $75.605.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: May 19 – 25Last week in the news A new week with new all time highs for S&P 500. Posted inflation figures in the US supported market optimism on Fed's rate cut in September, where the index was pushed to the higher grounds. S&P 500 reached the level of 5.325 on Thursday, still, ending the week at 5.303. The price of Gold was also supported by the expectations on the Fed's rate cut but also on expectations on China's significant stimulus for the boost of its economy. The price of gold reached the level of $2.420 on Fridays trading session, however, its ATH currently stands at $2.430. The USD lost some of its value during the week, while Treasury yields were traded in a mixed manner, with the 10Y benchmark ending the week at 4.42%. It was also a good week for the crypto market. Bitcoin managed to move away from $60K support, and in a swift move reached a level of $67.5K. The latest economic data in the US might provide some glimpse that the inflation is slowing down. The posted inflation rate was standing at 3.4% in April on a yearly basis, while core inflation eased to 3.6% in April from 3.8% in March y/y. However, markets are still digesting the latest inflation data with other economic data related to the US economy, especially data on jobs and consumer sentiment. The retail sales were at 0% on a monthly basis in April, which was significantly lower from 0.4% expected by the market. These data are showing that the economy is slightly losing ground as a consequence of high interest rates, and that the Fed will be forced to finally cut the rates during the course of this year. Current expectations, with odds of some 54% are that the first cut will be in September. Analysts from Morgan Stanley analyzed the potential number of Fed's rate cuts during this year. They are noting that current expectations and market pricing are favoring two rate cuts this year. However, in their opinion, this might be underestimated, as they are expecting three rate cuts. This opinion is supported by their estimation of disinflation which has started with April CPI data. The first rate cut, by their analysis, should occur in September, as June might be premature. While their US colleagues are focused on potential rate cuts, Swiss UBS is more focused on the price of gold. Analysts from the Swiss UBS bank warned their clients of a potential pull-back in the price of gold. This came in a note to investors. They are stating that the current macro uncertainty could bring some higher volatility to the price of gold, in which sense, they recommend hedging of investors positions. On the other hand, they have stated that they remain bullish on the long-run, with a current price target of $2.500 as of the end of this year. Crypto market cap The minute when some traders started with public complaints that the BTC market became “boring”, BTC decided to show that they are not right. During the previous week the crypto market returned to its old mood characterized with sudden and swift moves toward the one side. Although the majority of coins gained during the week, still, it was Bitcoin which moved the total crypto market capitalization to the upside. It has been increased by 8% on a weekly level, where a total $178B has been added to the value. Daily trading volumes were modestly decreased from the week before to the level of $115B on a daily basis, from $122B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $724B, which represents a 44% surge from the beginning of this year. BTC was the coin which led the crypto market to the upside during the previous week. The coin gained more than 10% on a weekly basis, adding $120B to its total market value. ETH also performed relatively well, through an increase in its market cap of 7.1% w/w, increasing it by $25B. Significant weekly gainer was also Solana, which managed to add more than $12B to its value, increasing it by more than 19% w/w. Bitcoin Cash gained on the surge of BTC, whose market cap was increased by 11.5%. LINK should be also mentioned as a significant gainer, as this coin increased its value by 20.8% within a single week. Majority of other altcoins gained somewhere between 3% and 8% during the week. There have been only several weekly losers, like Tron, which dropped in value by 3%, Binance Coin lost $1.8B in value or 2%, while interestingly, Bitcoin Gold was down by 8%. There have been some developments when circulating coins are in question during the week. Tether managed to add 0.4% more coins to the market, increasing its total market value by this percentage. Miota increased its coins in circulation by 0.6% on a weekly level, while traditionally, Filecoin added 0.4% more coins to the market. One of the rare coins which decreased its number of coins on the market was XRP, whose number dropped by 0.1% w/w. Crypto futures market There have been some interesting developments on the crypto futures market during the previous week when it comes to ETH futures. Although short term futures were traded higher by 7.4% on a weekly basis, which was in line with the spot market, still, the long term ones were traded lower by more than 2% on a weekly basis. This was quite an interesting movement, considering that it implies that investors are currently not quite sure about the future price of ETH. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at price $3.091, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $3.230. BTC futures were fully following investors' optimism from the spot market. Short term futures were traded above 10% higher, while those with longer maturities were last traded above 4% higher from the week before. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $71.705, while those maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $73.580.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX