Marketpatterns
Gold (XAU/USD) MArket Pattern for Buy setup!!I will do a video explain why previous pattern are now repeating , we could see price of gold retrace to 1906 level as previous all time higher patter.
We first need to see price form some sort of support and we shall have a nice risk to reward. and we need price to break the 38,2% fib level to head towards 1906 level
Follow me for The video breakdown!!
XAU/USD GOLD Sell - 10/14/19Gold these past weeks, on the 4hr time frame we seen a head & shoulders form giving us confirmation as reversal. As gold gives us some movement towards the upside as a retrace also forming a " M " shape pattern on 1hr time frame also seen in light blue in the chart. could see gold potentially drop once more, using proper risk management My entry are in orange, stop loss in red.
Follow me on instagram to see more !! @gonzalez.99
USDJPY retracing up a bit then down to 111.600 areaOn the higher timeframes, uj is sitting on the 38.2 prz level in a downtrend. On the 4 hour we see a head and shoulders pattern as well as a break of a trend line , and on the one hour we see a minor break of support. all we are waiting for is the retest and entry for the bearish push all the way to the 111.600 area
Backtesting WSA on H1 TimeframePair Analysed is H1
Used following:
Market structure and BOS
Montlhly, weekly, daily and H4 timeframe S+R
Supply and Demand Zones
Fib retracement and ADX
Also used Cross of EMA and SMA
Month analysed was 30/06/2018 to 01/07/20180 (End June to 1st July 2018)
Also note 20 pips tp. Would have collected 360 pips on that pair alone!
AION/USD - This Is Why We Need Market Autonomy!Whats up fellow trader's and Crypto Heads!
Our CIO Mike has been a bit under the weather lately and we had a follower request to take a look at AION so, I'll be stepping in for him today!
Anywho, this will be a quick one, but it's a beautiful example of one of the reasons we need more banking licensed exchanges with higher volumes of crypto to fiat pairs!
But Fiat Is Evil!!!
I mean...you're not wrong, but its a necessary one for now. I've overlayed the BTC/USDT 13 bar EMA on top of our AION/USD chart to show why. Notice some similarities here? This is one of the major problems plaguing strong crypto projects these days, the lack of a low volatility trading pairs (fiat/crypto). The unfortunate reality is that until the space has more fiat pairs, we'll keep seeing this reliance on bitcoin price. And one of the most troubling things about this is not just the fact the price moves when BTC does, its the fact that this is not representative of sentiment, but rather just an inevitable binary result of only having btc pairs.
Anywho, I'll hop off my soapbox now; just thought this was a particularly clear example of how restrictive bitcoin pairs are affecting price more than actual sentiment. Anywho, AION has some interesting things going on right now, I'm short term bearish, but the long term trend is definitely slowing its rate of decrease and shifting momentum.
The Good
Our prior trend's long term overhead resistance was tested successfully as a new support
Medium-High Strength support in $1.82 to &1.77 range
Neutral
Volume has been sliding for over a month and still is, but the ROC is slowing down significantly
Stochastic of the OBV is trying for a rally, but I believe a breakout is unlikely
The Bad
BTC/USDT double topped and is swinging down, lower volume markets likely to follow
Normalized MACD & RSI below zero, and decreasing - Extremely bearish sign
Possibly approaching neckline of Minor H&S, if we dont bounce a slide is imminent
Breakou above Andrew's Pitchfork 50 line was unsuccesful
Final Thoughts
AION in my opinion is a strong project but like much of the market its being pulled along in the wake of whales fighting it out in the BTC markets. I wont be bullish unless we see a breakout and two bars close in the $2.25 to $2.32 range.
$1.75 will be another important price point to watch, if we have a double close below there I wouldnt be surprised in the slightest to see an impulsive move to the downside, possibly as low as $1.50
***TV doesn't seem to like my layered OBV stochastic and it disappeared but the linreg shows the range and trend direction well enough for these purposes.
DISCLOSURE:
This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. You trade at your own risk!
Austin Doyle
CTO
BATBTC (BAT Attention Token) Potential Triangle Breakout!BAT @3:47 a.m. EST 04/22/18
Hi trader friends, I'll be BATman today and suggest you join our cause as we demand fairness regarding information and access to our favorite markets because there are "leaders" out there trying to suppress this entire space.
Meanwhile, BATBCH has a potential triangle/pennant breakout trade opportunity pending.
I'll keep it short. Consider the following:
Buy the support at Wave "E" with a stop below the solid red line, or
Buy a breakout above Wave "D" with a stop below Wave "E"
Sell below the solid red support line below Wave "E"
with a stop above the current most recent swing high that is labelled Wave "D."
Use the colored arrows as general guidelines for what I expect for the various trade scenarios.
SUMMARY OF BAT via REDDIT
(See link for authorship and other BAT details after you check out some of our other charts. ;-)
What is Basic Attention Token (BAT)?
Basic Attention Token is a decentralized digital advertising platform based on the Ethereum blockchain by the inventor of the Javascript programming language and co-founder of Mozilla and Firefox. The platform is comprised of several components, including a digital ad exchange (which allows advertisers to purchase ad space and user attention), analytics dashboards (for ad campaigns), ad matching algorithms, attention measurement systems, reward programs and more.
The BAT token ($BAT) is an Ethereum-based ERC20 utility token, utilized as the unit of account for attention within the wider BAT platform:
Advertisers will transact in $BAT to purchase advertising space and user attention;
Publishers and content creators will receive ad revenue and user contributions in $BAT;
Users will earn and be rewarded in $BAT for their attention (“ad revenue sharing”). For example, when users choose to view ads from the BAT ecosystem, they will be compensated in $BAT for their attention.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
DISCLOSURE:
This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. You trade at your own risk!
Michael Mansfield CIO
IOTAUSD (IOTA) Cycles, Tigers & No Bears, Oh My! IOTAUSD 2018-0419 12:49 a.m. EST. Mansfield
Hola trader friends! Looking around cryptoland, it's easy to see that many of the main cryptos were kicked off “Down Channel Road” or thrust out of “Falling Wedge-ville. Ah, but they moved up to greener pastures!
If you missed the many easy breakout around cryptoland, I have a pending buy setup, so take a look at IOTA. It’s a favorite of mine because:
• It’s completely decentralized and is not mined in a traditional sense. Instead, IOTA utilizes the individual computing power of its user's base phones or computers, not dedicated mining farms, to hash and record transactions. You validate your own transaction once you have validated two other transactions within the network/tangle.
• It is virtually infinitely scalable.
• It can currently supposedly handle 1000+ transactions per second (TPS). Some say it will eventually provide many more TPS. Ripple can supposedly do 1500/tps but it’s a more or less a centralized technology that is your banker’s potential best friend, not the typical crypto crowd’s favorite structure, even it if can make them greener. Meanwhile, Bitcoin can only do 7/tps, with Ethereum at 300/tps.
• ITOA is feeless! Why? Because it relies on a new machine to machine transaction protocol via the IOTA Tangle (think blockchain without traditional blocks) that uses a form of Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG=tangle) technology, that looks like an AI neural net schematic.
• Offers offline transaction.
So what is the catch? What do you think? We would love to hear your opinions.
SITUATION: IOTA exploded upwards from it’s falling wedge-AKA diagonal triangle-and granted cryptoland a captivating 75% move off the low! IOTA looks like it is currently just hours-perhaps 1-2 days before the top of its first wave up (labeled 1, medium blue line). After this quick sideways (now?) to lower correction, there will be an opportunity to reenter the likely new uptrend (even if it is a large retracement of the crash) near the upcoming minor Wave 2 low. This buying opportunity will likely be 3-8 days after the Wave 1 high. If this 1st leg ends up with 5 waves, which seems to be the case, then we will very likely be in a new trend phase up, not just a reactionary bounce. (Also see my EOS charts for the pre-breakout trade and cycle and wave projections.)
TRADE IDEA: Consider buying ITOA into the pending Wave 2 pullback. After the W2 low, we should see at least one more wave up, even if this is just a correction of the crash.
The up move looks impulsive so far, so we should see two more up waves to around 3.10 (w3 area) and 3.65 (w5 area, a 62% retracement). We could possibly see 4.40 (a 78% retracement). So consider being a tiger on this one.
Note, that this 5 wave up sequence will likely be a just a larger Wave 1, meaning more to come if this wave count is correct.
CYCLES: Note that the longest cycle (blue) is the dominant cycle, as such, it will typically override the other cycles. The best situations arise when two or more of the cycles are heading in the same direction. Choppy markets occur when cycles are out of phase with each other. I have deleted a longer and medium-term cycle for clarity. And, there are other cycles as well, but I think these are the ones to watch for now.
The market popped up right on schedule with the longer-term cycle low! The short-term cycle (pink), medium cycle (green) and the longer-term cycle (blue), are currently moving up together with the two shorter-term cycles topping soon. The current medium-term cycle (green) is topping within 24 hours, while the short-term pink cycle tops 3-5 days later, so be ready. However, because the long-term cycle recently turned up, the Wave 2 correction could be brief or sideways as it has traded recently.
DISCLOSURE:
This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. You trade at your own risk!
Michael Mansfield CIO
VergeBTC Surfing a W4 Pullback Buy SetupVerge/Bitcoin, 240 minute bars, 041118, 10:11 p.m., EST.
Fast post:
Hello traders, it appears that Verge is on the verge of completing a Wave (4) of lower degree pullback. This is not a particularly high confidence wave count, it is a decent pattern trace If true, there would then be two more rallies remaining. We would see a Wave (5) of bigger Wave 3, then a retracement to within the current W3 to W4 area, then one possibly one more high, if this analysis are correct.
Note that this apparent correction down could still become a zigzag pattern that pushes below the lower triangle threshold line I have drawn, and still be a W4 pullback, thus still bullish
Situation:
1. A valid breakout up out of this
triangle would likely occur at
0.00001270.
2. First target at 0.00001497 area,
3. Second target at 0.00001594.
4. After this up move, a larger degree
Wave (4) pullback into the current W4
area is likely. This shoud be followed
by one more wave up to complete the
5 wave sequence and a larger degree
top, labeled 1, in black font.
This analysis is meant for purely educational purposes, and whether you choose to trade on it or not is entirely on you, for your risk and your liability alone.
PAST TRADE OR ANALYSIS PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
TRADING CAN BE VERY RISKY, WITH THE POTENTIAL OF LARGE GAINS AS WELL AS LARGE LOSSES.
Be safe and enjoy yourself. Make it a great day!
Michael Mansfield CIO,
EOSUSD (EOS Token) PYRAMID PATTERN BREAKOUT PENDING.EOSUSD (EOS Token) LOG Scaling, 041118, 3:32 a.m., EST.
Michael Mansfield CIO, CryptoPlayhouse.
Today was an interesting day, one where my former ability to see more
market patterns in 3D, came back to me after a very long hiatus.
So I built a playful (definitely not precise) pyramid on one or my
favorite up and coming Distributed Ledger Technologies (DLT) tokens, EOS.
During the past week I have completed EOS chart analysis on several time-frames, and included a detailed Elliott Wave analysis of EOS,
as well as the dominant daily cycle, which, is trending up now (see provided link).
In another post I showed what appears to be a bullish cup and handle pattern underway.
For this and my other recent EOS scenarios to become fulfilled, we need a VOLUME spike on a ATR X 1.618 up day soon,
else it's likely down the tubes for EOS. The last 5 bars hand very low relative volume but those were also narrow range days.
CURRENT SITUATION:
EOSUSD is tagging the upper resistance line of a smaller Schiff pitchfork (black). A breakout up of this resistance line would portend a move to around 10.01, possibly higher.
Conversely, failure to breakout above this black pitchfork withing 48 hours, and on relatively high volume, will likely lead to a drop to the lower and larger green pitchfork resistance line at 4.56-4.60 level (sloping up). If that level is broken, then 1.70-1.30 would be in the cards! Thus far, that appears less likely, but its running out of time to do this pattern justice.
The left and center red lines of this, ahem, pyramid, are formed by a Schiff Pitchfork (derivative of Dr Allen Andrews' Median Line Pitchfork). The lower right red line simply contained the recent market lows, and I attached it to the far right red line which I drew from a Fibonacci Speed Resistance Fan line angle. Fibo Fans and Gann Fans can offer traders both time and price analysis of where a market might go, and when.
Whatever type of analysis you do, you want it to work, so at least to some degree, it must fit and capture the actual market path, and give you a decent idea of that path continuing,
and/or knowledge of where the path is likely to reverse direction, else you may lose your shirt. Andrews and Schiff median lines and pitchforks will often do just that.
Another software I have draws these lines autonomously. Did you hear that, TradingView management?
PAST TRADE OR ANALYSIS PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. TRADING CAN BE VERY RISKY, WITH POTENTIAL OF LARGE GAINS AS WELL AS LARGE LOSSES.
This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. Any trades you happen to take based on our analysis is at your risk of loss or gain. We have NO liability for your decisions to follow us here, or at another other time, due to what we write or what we do. Trade at your own risk or not at all. Our analysis is the current opinion of the
individual author and not necessarily of our group, or any other individual on our team, and can change at anytime without notice. This analysis is neither investment advice, nor an offer to buy or sell a security, but rather an informed attempt at predicting future movement based on historical data and emerging patterns!
We welcome your comments and open discussion.
Thanks and great trading to you!
Michael Mansfield CIO
BITCOIN (BTCUSD) Bounce 3-10 days w/ ST bullish divergence ABCDEBTCUSD (BTC) Daily bars, 040718, 5:43 am, EST.
Michael Mansfield, CryptoPlayhouse
1. BTC is ready for a bounce, for maybe 3-10 days, unless it breaks out to the upside of what could be a wedge.
2. If a wedge or irregular triangle, then we could see the ABCDE pattern I posted. ABDCE's only applicable for actual triangles.
3. Risk is that many MAVs have rolled over and a major LT cycles is down since the top. There is a short-term but high AMP trading cycle
heading up until May 9th, but soon after two other longer cycles roll over and head down into 2019, if i have that right.
There are two longer cycles I am working out that may still be heading up until August 2018 and November 2018,
but I have yet to make a final determination on those cycles vs the ones I have been using that you will soon see in a detailed
Bitcoin cycle analysis.
NOTE: This shor-term bullish outlook is negated if BTC breaks the low from the past two days. If that happens by just 1 ATR, then its
likely far south for BTC until at least April 2019.
PAST TRADE PERFORMANCE OR ANALYSIS PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
TRADING CAN BE VERY RISKY, WITH POTENTIAL OF LARGE GAINS AS WELL AS LARGE LOSSES.
This analysis is meant for purely educational purposes. Any trade you happen to take based on our analysis is
for your risk of loss or gain. We have NO liability for your decisions to follow us, here or at another other time,
due to what we write or do. Trade at your own risk or not at all. Our analysis is the current opinion of the individual author
and can change at anytime without notice to those who may have read this. This analysis is neither investment advice nor a guaranteed science, but rather an informed attempt at predicting future movement based on historical data AND emerging patterns!
We genuinely hope that you pick up some techniques and learn to profit along the way.
If you find this post interesting and helpful, please click like and share widely. Thank you and good luck!
HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND!
EOSUSD BULLISH CUP & HANDLE, WEDGE IT EITHER WAY!EOSUSD (EOS TOKEN) 120 minute bars, 040718, 5:00 am, EST.
Michael Mansfield, CryptoPlayhouse
EOSUSD BULLISH CUP & HANDLE, WEDGE IT EITHER WAY!
This is an update an idea we published yesterday and its looking like:
1. MAVs are starting to round up.
2. It gave a tag above the resistance trend-line, yes it held it, but it didn't tank yet either.
3. Very nice CUP & HANDLE pattern that tend to be very bullish.
4. We have a b e a u t i f u l wedge pattern, that you can trade a breakout either way from.
I love trades where if by chance you are wrong, you can stop and reverse and almost ___________to get even from one side or the other.
and maybe the width of the pattern. STILL TAKES A SKILLFUL TRADER TO PULL OFF.
5. And, looks like another small 5 wave up of this first push. See breakout post or prior post for detailed trade plan, waves, pitchforks, and market cycle.
=======================================================
PAST TRADE PERFORMANCE OR ANALYSIS PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
TRADING CAN BE VERY RISKY, WITH POTENTIAL OF LARGE GAINS AS WELL AS LARGE LOSSES.
This analysis is meant for purely educational purposes. Any trade you happen to take based on our analysis is
for your risk of loss or gain. We have NO liability for your decisions to follow us, here or at another other time,
due to what we write or do. Trade at your own risk or not at all. Our analysis is the current opinion of the individual author
and can change at anytime without notice to those who may have read this. This analysis is neither investment advice nor a guaranteed science, but rather an informed attempt at predicting future movement based on historical data AND emerging patterns!
We genuinely hope that you pick up some techniques and learn to profit along the way.
If you find this post interesting and helpful, please click like and share widely. Thank you and good luck!