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Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 16-Sep-24 to 20-Sep-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 16-Sep-24 to 20-Sep-24 Nifty closed at 25356 ( Last week 24855 ) and touched low & high of 24471-25429 ( all time high) Market touched new high last week , and nearing the Short term Resistance at 25545. RSI and stochastics levels moved up last week (63% and 87% respectively). MACD level and signal are at same level. Nifty 25356 Short term (Short term neutral, need to cross key resistance 25545) Nifty short term resistance 25545 as shown in chart. Support at 24480 (Fib Support) & 24650 (Trend line support and recent low). Medium Term next target is 25800 ( Fib Resistance)- If it crosses 25800, Medium Term is UP. if it moves above decisively next target is 26250. Medium term Support - 24000 Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25540 decisively. Support at 22800 Post Indian Elections, reduction of interest rate by RBI is expected on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ) in line with US fed rate reduction expected in Sep 2024. US President Election result scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Caution to be emphasized on Nifty as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high. Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart. Nifty bank 51938 (Last week 50582) - Index have target of 54000 in medium term and support at 49900 Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks. Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank. Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as CAMS, UTI AMC , HDFC AMC, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis. Nifty IT 43394 (Last week 42234) indices dipped to 37848 in Jun month, bounced back and all time high last week. Recovery of US stock market and awaiting FED rate cute decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by karthikss
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 02-Sep-24 to 06-Sep-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 02-Sep-24 to 06-Sep-24 Nifty closed at 25235 ( Last week 24823 ) and touched low & high of 24899-25263 ( all time high) As suggested for past two weeks, market bounced back and moved up and achieved the first Medium term target 25224. Caution to be emphasized on Nifty as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. This is the best period to start SIP MF when the valuation is high. Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart. RSI and stochastics levels moved up last week (69% and 97% respectively). MACD level crossed cross the signal two weeks before and sustaining. Expecting market to move up further in short term. Nifty 25235 Short term (Short term up) Nifty short term resistance 25540 as shown in chart. Support around 25000(last month high) & 24676 ( trend line support and recent low). Medium Term 25235, next target is 25800 ( Fib Resistance). if it moves above decisively next target is 26250. Medium term Support - 24000 Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25540 decisively. Support at 22800 Post Indian Elections, reduction of interest rate by RBI is expected on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ) in line with US fed rate reduction expected in Sep 2024. US President Election scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty bank 51368 (Last week 50933 ) - Index have target of 54000 in medium term and support at 49900 Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks. Newly added stocks to buy are PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank. Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Tanla & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis. Nifty IT 42760 (Last week 41089 ) indices dipped to 37848 in Jun month, bounced back and all time high last week. Recovery of US stock market and awaiting FED rate cute decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by karthikss
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 26-Aug-24 to 30-Aug-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 26-Aug-24 to 30-Aug-24 Nifty closed at 24823 ( Last week 24413 ) and touched low & high of 24524-24866 As suggested last week, market bounced back and moved up and near to the initial line target of 24900 as shown in the chart. Post Indian Elections, reduction of interest rate by RBI is expected on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ) in line with US fed rate reduction expected in Sep 2024. US President Election scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. RSI and stochastics levels moved up last week (60% and 90% respectively). MACD level crossed cross the signal last week. Expecting market to move up in short term. Market have high potential to touch psychological 25000 Mark/ 25200 ( Fib Resistance) Nifty 24823 Short term (Short term up) Nifty short term resistance 25075 ( New Peak) and 25224. Support around 23850 ( trend line support and recent low). Medium Term 25224( Fib Resistance) as mentioned above, if it crosses then next target is 25542 ( Fib Resistance) which is % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line. Caution to be emphasized once market reached medium term target. Medium term Support - 22700 to 22800 Caution was emphasized on Nifty for the past 2 month as nifty PE is in record high level with high valuation and very less potential to grow further. Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% ( i.e Nifty 22800 level) which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart. Long Term (1-3 years) Nifty have a target of 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25580 decisively. Support at 21750 ( Trend line support)/ 20800 ( Fib & Trend Line Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 Nifty bank 50933 (Last week 50494) - Index have target of 54000 in medium term and support at 49900 Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks. Newly added stocks to buy are PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank. Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Tanla & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis. Nifty IT 41089 (40878) indices dipped 37848 in last month, bounced back and reached 41830 last week. Recovery of US stock market and awaiting FED rate cute decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by karthikss
1
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 19-Aug-24 to 23-Aug-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 19-Aug-24 to 23-Aug-24 Nifty closed at 24413 (2 weeks before 24716) and touched low & high of 23897-24560 in a span of 2 weeks. Shorting was suggested two weeks before when nifty was at 24714, market was down near to 800 points. After US market bounce back, Indian market too bounced back especially on last day and closed above crucial resistance of 24263 ( Fibonnaci resistance). US market Volatility to continue till fed rate reduction (expected in Sep 24), US Presidential election till Oct / Nov 24. RSI and stochastics levels was marginally up last week (54% ). MACD level yet to cross the signal to have clear breakout. Expecting market will be sideways with a rangebound resistance and support. Caution was emphasized on Nifty for the past 2 month as nifty PE is in record high level with high valuation and very less potential to grow further. Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% ( i.e Nifty 22800 level) which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart. Market have high potential to touch psychological 25000 Mark/ 25200 ( Fib Resistance) Nifty 24413- Short term (Short term up) Nifty short term resistance 25075 ( New Peak) and 25224. Support around 23850 ( trend line support and recent low). Medium Term 25224( Fib Resistance) as mentioned above, if it crosses then next target is 25542 ( Fib Resistance) which is % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line Medium term Support - 2270 to 22800 Long Term (1-3 years) Nifty have a target of 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25580 decisively. Support at 21750 ( Trend line support)/ 20800 ( Fib & Trend Line Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 Nifty bank 52189 (2 weeks before 51350) - Index went upto 53400 ( Resistance) and came down as proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 10%. Caution was emphasised as nifty bank reached critical resistance. Advised to consider to book partial profits in Nifty Bank on every rise. Nifty bounced back from trendline support 49640 and bounced back. Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank. Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Tanla & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis. Comments : Post Elections, if Market need to grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ). US fed rate reduction also expected from Aug/ Sep 2024. US President Election scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT 40878 ( 2 weeks before 39370), indices dipped 37848 and bounced back. Recovery of US stock market and awaiting FED rate cute decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 05-Aug-24 to 9-Aug-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 05-Aug-24 to 9-Aug-24 Nifty closed at 24717 ( 2 weeks before 24509) and touched low & high of 24094-25082 ( all time High) in a span of 2 weeks. World Market Outlook, sudden drop in US market especially in Tech Stocks, Europe and Asian market lead to impact Nifty. Volatility to continue till fed rate reduction (expected in Sep 24), US Presidential election till Oct end/ Nov 24. RSI and stochastics levels was marginally down last week (61 % & 66% Respectively). Stochastic dropped to 66% from 90%. Caution was emphasized on Nifty for the past 1-1.5 month as nifty PE is in record high level with high valuation and very less potential to grow further. Strong tax imposition on speculative STCG, increase in tax for LTCG and removal of Indexation benefits for Properties and Gold will have impact on such investments, Loans and the demand. Which may affect the Bank Loans. Also With scrap in Indexation benefit illegal cash handling will raise. Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% ( i.e Nifty 22800 level) which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart. Market have high potential to touch Psychological 25000 Mark/ 25200 ( Fib Resistance)/ 25500 ( Fib Resistance). Nifty 24717- Short term (Neutral to Down) Nifty short term resistance 25075 ( New Peak) and 25224. Support around 23740. Medium Term 25224( Fib Resistance), 25542 ( Fib Resistance) which is % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line Medium term Support - 22800 /22300 Long Term (1-3 years) Nifty have strong resistance at 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25580 decisively. Support at 20800 ( Fib Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Nifty bank 51350 (2 weeks before 52296 )- Index went upto 53400 ( Resistance) and came down as proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 10%. Caution was emphasised as nifty bank reached critical resistance. It need to cross and move up decisively this current zone. Advised to consider to book partial profits in Nifty Bank on every rise. Investment decision in Nifty bank, bank stocks helped in portfolio. Stock Picking is needed at this crucial nifty, Nifty Bank, Nifty auto, Nifty Pharma stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank. Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Tanla & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis. Comments : Post Elections, if Market need to grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ). US fed rate reduction also expected from Aug/ Sep 2024. US President Election scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT 39730 ( 2 weeks before 39251), indices broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32420. Currently Nifty up and crossed resistance 41300. Muted results with meeting the market expectaion driven the index to bounce back. However Caution to be empahsised as US Economy still in bad condition and awaiting for rate cut.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by karthikss
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 15-Jul-24 to 19-Jul-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 15-Jul-24 to 19-Jul-24 Nifty closed at 24509 and touched low & high of 24230-24591 Market sustained above 24280 and closed at 24509 last week. RSI and stochastics levels was marginally down last week (72 % & 92% Respectively). Stochastic level for past 1 month is flat and sustained above 90. last such time happened in Nov 23-jan-24. Caution to be emphasized as nifty PE in record high level. Awaiting Budget by month end and Q1 results in the following days. Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% ( Nifty 22800 level) which is crucial. Market have high potential to touch Psychological 25000 Mark/ 25200 ( Fib Resistance)/ 25500 ( Fib Resistance). Nifty 24509- Short term (Neutral to Up) Nifty short term target 25000. Support around 23600. Nifty at PE 23.3 crossed 5 year historical average 23.1 hence to be cautious. Medium Term ( up) Resistance 25224( Fib Resistance), 25542 ( Fib Resistance) which is % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line Medium term Support - 22800 /22300 Long Term (1-3 years) Nifty have strong resistance at 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25580 decisively. Support at 20800 ( Fib Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Nifty bank 52296 - Index went upto 53400 ( Resistance) and came down as proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 10%. Caution to be emphasised as nifty bank reached critical resistance. It need to cross and move up decisively this current zone. Slowly Can consider to book partial profits in Nifty Bank on every rise. Investment decision in Nifty bank, bank stocks helped in portfolio. Stock Picking is needed at this crucial nifty, Nifty Bank, Nifty auto, Nifty Pharma stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank ,ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI ( Buy on dip) and Indus Ind Bank ( Buy on dip). Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis. Comments : Post Elections, if Market need to grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ). US fed rate reduction also expected from Aug/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT 39251, indices broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32420. Currently Nifty up anc crossed resistance 38569 decisively. Tech stocks revived in last one month session. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Awaited results in the following week.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 1Jul-24 to Jul-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 1Jul-24 to Jul-24 Nifty closed at 23010 (23501) and touched low & high of 23351-24170 Post Election and govt formation market sustained above k5ey resistance at for two weeks after a dip to 21286. RSI and stochastics levels was marginally down last week (68.5 % & 90% Respectively). Stochastic still in overbought levels. Retain the statement for almost a month, Market need to cross 24150 as two trend line resistance ( Shown in the Chart), one with low risk can book partial profit and can wait for market to correct to reinvest. Market depends on the new budget and Q1 results expected in Jul 24. Market have high potential to touch Psychological 25000 Mark. Nifty 24010- Short term (Neutral ) Nifty have resistance at 24280/ support around 22600. Nifty at PE 22.9 crossed 3 year historical average 22.5 hence to be cautious. Short term support 22600( trendline), 22200 ( Trend Line) and 21700 Trend line Support as shown in the chart. Medium term resistance 24280 ( Trendline and % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line) medium term Support - 22000 Long Term Nifty have strong resistance at 25000 ( Trend Line). If market close above 24150 decisively. Support at 20800 ( Fib Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). All Companies so far posted average results other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results thats why it is evident Nifty Bank have grown better than Nifty, Nifty IT and Nifty Auto in last 2 months. Nifty bank 52342 (51661)- As proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 10%. Caution to be emphasised as nifty bank reached critical resistance. It need to cross and move up decisively this current zone. Slowly Can consider to book partial profits in Nifty Bank on every rise. Investment decision in Nifty bank, bank stocks helped in portfolio. Stock Picking is needed at this crucial nifty, Nifty Bank, Nifty auto, Nifty Pharma stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank ,ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI ( Buy on dip) and Indus Ind Bank ( Buy on dip). Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis. Comments : Post Elections, if Market need to grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ). US fed rate reduction also expected from Aug/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT 36157 (35086), indices broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32420. Tech stocks revived in last two trading session. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 35786 ( Fib) to reach 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 24-Jun-24 to 28-Jun-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 24-Jun-24 to 28-Jun-24 Nifty closed at 23501 (23465) and touched low & high of 23417 & 23660 Post Election and govt formation market sustained above key resistance at 23250-23300 for two weeks after a dip to 21286. RSI and stochastics levels was marginally down last week (60 % & 91% Respectively). Stochastic still in overbought levels. Retain the statement for third week, Market need to cross 23900-24100 as two trend line resistance ( Shown in the Chart between 23900 and 24100), if not can book partial profit and can wait for market to correct as there is a strong resistance in that zone. Nifty 23501- Short term (Neutral ) Nifty might move up and It may touch 23900. Nifty still have resistance / support around 22600. Nifty at PE 22.3 near to 3 year historical average 22.5 hence to be cautious. Short term support 22600( trendline), 22200 ( Trend Line) and 21700 Trend line Support as shown in the chart. Medium term resistance 24000/24100 ( Trendline) medium term Support - 21300 Long Term Market expected range bound between 24000 ( Trend Line Resistance till Jun 2024) & Support at 20800 ( Fib Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Nifty also have resistance at 25000 ( Trend Line). If market close above 24000 decisively. All Companies so far posted average results other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results thats why it is evident Nifty Bank have grown better than Nifty, Nifty IT and Nifty Auto in last 2 months. Nifty bank 51955 (50000)- As proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped near to 10%. Caution to be emphasised as nifty bank reached critical resistance. It need to cross and move up decisively this current zone. Slowly Can consider to book partial profits in Nifty Bank on every rise. Investment decision in Nifty bank, bank stocks helped in portfolio. Stock Picking is needed at this crucial nifty, Nifty Bank, Nifty auto, Nifty Pharma stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank ,ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI ( Buy on dip) and Indus Ind Bank ( Buy on dip). Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis. Comments : Post Elections, if Market need to grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ). US fed rate reduction also expected from Aug/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT 35200 (34598), indices broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32420. Tech stocks revived in last two trading session. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 35786 ( Fib) to reach 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 28-May-24 to 31-May-24Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 28-May-24 to 31-May-24 Nifty closed at 22932 (22466) and touched low & high of 22409 & 23022 RSI and stochastics levels was up from last week (66 % & 86% Respectively). Stochastic in over bought levels (>90%) on 26-May-24 and started reducing on 27-May-24 Anticipation in Political results lifted the market as exit poll started coming. As mentioned in the past 1.5 month, Post govt budget, current govt proposed 100 days plan will lead the market in coming days. Investment decision is mixed as market will be highly volatile due to the above factors. Hence those people have high risk can sell partial stocks and book profit, those have more money to invest can wait for small dips to invest. As far as my opinion, if market touching 24000 can book partial profit and can wait for market to correct as there is a strong resistance in that zone. Nifty 22932- Short & medium term (Neutral ) nifty reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance target) again and crossed resistance decisively. Nifty at PE 21.5 below the Historical Average of 22.5 Short term support 22300-22400 Short Term Resistance : 23150 ( Trend Line as shown in chart) Medium term Support - 22160 ( Trend Line) and 20830 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 24000 ( Trend Line Resistance till Jun 2024) & Support at 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). All Companies so far posted results are average other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance, Ultratech posted good growth. Other manufacturing, capital goods companies results are awaited in coming weeks. Nifty bank 49456 (48199) - As proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 7%. Investment decision in Nifty bank, bank stocks helped in portfolio. Still can continue to invest whenever dip in bank and other nbfc stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bank of Maharasthra ( Buy on Dips) ,Canara bank( Buy on Dips) can be accumulated slowly as well. Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Apollo tyres, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quantities till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32919. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend.ifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 13-May-24 to 17-May-24 every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)As mentioned in the past 1.5 month, nifty reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance target) again and crossed the resistance decisively and touched 23000. Nifty at PE 21.8 below the 3 year Historical Average of 22.5.. Short term support 22312 (MA 50)- Nifty last week had a pause between 2220-22300/ 22050 ( Trend Line Support as shown) /21800 Medium term Support - 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 24000 ( Trend Line Resistance till Jun 2024) & Support at 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). All Companies so far posted results are average other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance, Ultratech posted good growth. Other manufacturing, capital goods companies results are awaited in coming weeks. Nifty bank 48199(47421) - Nifty bank tested trend line support 47000 last week and later part of the week. Many bank & Finance stocks are buyable zone. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bank of Maharasthra ( Buy on Dips) ,Canara bank( Buy on Dips) can be accumulated slowly as well. Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Apollo tyres, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quantities till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32919. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend.ifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 13-May-24 to 17-May-24 every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 20-May-24 to 24-May-24Nifty Short, Medium, Long Term 20-May-24 to 24-May-24 Nifty closed at 22502 (22055) and touched low & high of 21836 & 22514 Nifty was up from the support level. RSI and stochastics levels was up from last week (56 % & 69% Respectively). Both are moving up towards oversold zone. Nifty 22502- Short & medium term (Neutral till it cross 22820 decisively) As mentioned in the past 1.5 month, nifty reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance target) again, formed a 'W' pattern. ( 22819 Target- which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak/23000 which need be crossed decisively. Nifty at PE 21.5 below the Historical Average of 22.5, only Political results is awaited which will give a clear direction. Short term support 22312 (MA 50)- Nifty last week had a pause between 2220-22300/ 22050 ( Trend Line Support as shown) /21800 Medium term Support - 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 24000 ( Trend Line Resistance till Jun 2024) & Support at 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). All Companies so far posted results are average other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results, IT posted muted growth, Maruti posted good results, Reliance, Ultratech posted good growth. Other manufacturing, capital goods companies results are awaited in coming weeks. Nifty bank 48199(47421) - Nifty bank tested trend line support 47000 last week and later part of the week. Many bank & Finance stocks are buyable zone. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank , Indusind bank ,ICICI Bank definitely can be added as portfolio stock. Kotak Bank ( after the fall due to RBI regulation can be added slowly whenever there is a dip), Bank of Maharasthra ( Buy on Dips) ,Canara bank( Buy on Dips) can be accumulated slowly as well. Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Fin Serv, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Apollo tyres, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. Please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence whenever there is a dip in the market, continue to buy on small quantities till post election survey results are revealed on Jun1- Jun 3rd and Jun 4th Election results. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Nifty IT broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32919. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks. Especially Indian IT stocks is in a non decisive path and downtrend.ifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 13-May-24 to 17-May-24 every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 15-Apr-24 to 19-Apr-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 15-Apr-24 to 19-Apr-24 Nifty closed at 22519 (22513) and touched low & high of 22435 & 22782 Nifty touched new high last week and reduced 1 % due to global cues on last day. Global tension caused mild drop in last working day of market. Depends the situation market will react next week. Expecting a mild fall till 22000 and may raise afterwards. RSI and stochastics levels was marginally down last week(57% & 71% Respectively). Refer to detailed comments in the bottom on market and election outcome. Nifty IT 35018(35250) - Nifty IT marginally decreased last three weeks. To continue hold and buy on dips. Nifty IT touched 20 days before new high (38550) and started falling. Major support at 34918 /34000. Can add more at 33288 with Target 40000. Nifty bank 48565 (48535) - As expected Nifty Bank increased in the last month gaining near to 6.5%. Nifty touched the near time target provided at 48618 & touched new high of 49063. Medium term support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). To continue buy on dips. Nifty 22519- Short & medium term (Neutral) Nifty moved up in the last week touched new high 22782. As mentioned in the past month, nifty almost reached the near term target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance ( target) iwhich is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak/23000. Short term support 22000/21900 Medium term Support - 21721 (Mar Low),21554 (Fib Support),21300, 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 23300 ( Trend Line Resistance till May 2024) to 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Market Awaiting for the Q4 results to take a cue. Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. Nifty IT touched new high on 16-Feb-24 (38477). Target 40000. Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank in nearing the target provided (48600). Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. Continue to buy on dips. As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 08-Apr-24 to 12-Apr-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term View- 08-Apr-24 to 12-Apr-24 Nifty closed at 22513 (22335 ) and touched low & high of 22335 & 22606 Nifty Still undecisive need to cross all time high firmly. RSI and stochastics levels was up and retaining same position like prev week(61% & 86% Respectively). Refer to detailed comments in the bottom on market and election outcome. Nifty IT 35250(35042) - Nifty IT marginally decreased last two weeks. To continue hold and buy on dips. Nifty IT touched 20 days before new high (38550) and started falling. Major support at 34918 /34000. Can add more at 33288 with Target 40000. Nifty bank 48535 (47118) - As expected Nifty Bank increased in the last 3 weeks gaining near to 5% . It is nearing the initial Target 48618 (All time high). support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). To continue buy on dips. Nifty 22513- Short & medium term (Neutral) Nifty moved up in the last week touched new high 22618. As mentioned for the past three weeks, nifty next target 22819 (Fibonacci extended resistance ( target) is near to 22819 which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak/23000. Short term support 22000/21900 Medium term Support - 21721 (Mar Low),21554 (Fib Support),21300, 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Long Term Market expected range bound between 23300 ( Trend Line Resistance till May 2024) to 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Market Awaiting for the Q4 results to take a cue. Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend helped sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue govt post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. Nifty IT touched new high on 16-Feb-24 (38477). Target 40000. Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank in nearing the target provided (48600). Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. Continue to buy on dips. As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View- 26-Mar-24 to 29-Mar-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View- 26-Mar-24 to 29-Mar-24 Nifty closed at 22096 (22023) and touched low & high of 21710 & 22175 RSI and stochastics levels have improved last week (51% & 47% Respectively). Market closed almost flat last week Refer to detailed comments in the bottom on market and election outcome. Nifty IT 35188 (37517) -To continue hold and buy on dips. Nifty IT touched 20 days before new high (38550) and started falling. Major support at 34918 /34000. Can add more at 33288 with Target 40000. Nifty bank 46863 (46591) -To continue buy on dips. Nifty Bank last week dipped. initial Target 48618 ( all time high). if it cross this resistance decisively. support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips. Nifty 22096- Short & medium term (Neutral) Nifty still in undecisive state at present and will be rangebound. As mentioned for the past three weeks, Fibonacci extended resistance ( target) is near to 22819 which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak. nifty next target 22819 (Fib Resistance)/23000. Short term Support - 21900, 21554 (Fib Support),21300, 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Medium term Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance) Long Term Market expected range bound between 23000 to 18800 expected in 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Comments : Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend sustaining the market above 22000. Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down as market is confident that current govt will win more than halfway mark, continue post election without any additional support of other parties so that govt can be confident enough to take decisions. Election outcome analysis i have prepared is available in website in my profile and my X account karthik_ss Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support. Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Nifty IT touched new high on 16-Feb-24 (38477). Target 40000. Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. Nifty Bank ( 46554) tried to move above key resistances. Continue to buy on dips. As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short , Medium& Long Term View-26-Feb-24 to 01-Mar-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-26-Feb-24 to 01-Mar-24 Nifty closed at 22212 (22040) and touched low & high of 21824 & 22297 RSI and stochastics levels reduced this week (90% & 90% Respectively). Both Rsi & Stochastics is in overbought zone. Volatality was seen on Thursday with more than 400 points. Market crossed 22150 last week. Need to decisively close above all time high 22294/22314 (Fib Resistance). Earlier 30-35% profit booking was suggested (except Bank & IT stocks). Partial Booking can be considered for further 5-10% wherever valuation are high. There is no worry on Good Valued Stocks which can be kept for Long Term. This cash will be useful to buy when during the fall. Nifty IT 38045 (38477 ) -To continue hold. Nifty IT touched new high of 38477 last week. Major support at 34918 /34000. Target can be 40000. Nifty bank 46554 ( Prev Week 45634 ) -To continue buy on dips. Nifty Bank touched 47350 high last week. Target 48618 ( all time high) support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips. Refer to detailed comments in the bottom. Nifty 22212- Short Term ( Neutral ) All time high 22294/ 22314 (Fib Resistance) will be a key resistance. Support - 21554 (Fib Support ), 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart. Nifty Medium Term & long Term - Can buy at 20800 -21000 level in case of dip for a short run up. Target Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22819 which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak. nifty will move to next target 22819 (Fib Resistance)/22500. Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance) Long Term Market expected range bound between 22800 to 18800 expected till mid of 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Comments : Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Nifty IT touched new high on 16-Feb-24 (38477). Target 40000. Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. Nifty Bank ( 46554) tried to move above key resistances. Continue to buy on dips. As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-19-Feb-24 to 23-Feb-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-19-Feb-24 to 23-Feb-24 Nifty closed at 22040 (Last week 21540) and touched low & high of 21629 & 22068 RSI and stochastics levels reduced this week(58% & 87% Respectively). Stochastics is in overbought zone. Huge volatility was seen last week within the topmost resistance and bottom most support last week. Market was exactly trading within this trend line resistance and trendline support provided. Market need to decisively close above all time high 22117 and 22157 (Fib Resistance). Earlier 30% profit booking was suggested (except Bank & IT stocks). Partial Booking can be considered for further 5-10% in Mid & Small Cap (Stocks/ Mutual Funds) wherever valuation are high. There is no worry on Good Valued Stocks which can be kept for Long Term. This cash will be useful to buy when during the fall. Nifty IT 38477 (Prev Week 37699) -To continue hold. Nifty IT touched new high of 38477 in this week. Major support at 34918 /34000. Target can be 40000. Nifty bank 46554 ( Prev Week 45634 ) -To continue hold. Nifty Bank touched 46695 high last week. Purchase on dips was suggested. Nifty Bank moved from 44673 to 46695. support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips. Refer to detailed comments in the bottom. Nifty 22040- Short Term ( Neutral ) All time high 22136 will be a key resistance. Market could not surpass it decisively. Hence bearish sideways movement expected for some more weeks. Resistances are at 22000, 22117, 22136 ( All time high),22150 Support - 21430 (Fib Support & MA 50 Support), 20877 Fib Support and trend line support as shown in the chart. Nifty Medium Term & long Term - Can buy at 20800 -21000 level in case of dip for a short run up. Target Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22500 as shown in chart. nifty will move to next target 22308 (Fib Resistance)/22521. Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance) Long Term Market expected range bound between 22500 to 18800 expected till mid of 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Comments (19-Feb-24) : Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Nifty IT touched new high on 16-Feb-24 (38477). Target 40000. Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. Nifty Bank ( 46554) tried to move above key resistances. Continue to buy on dips. As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-12-Feb-24 to 16-Feb-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-12-Feb-24 to 16-Feb-24 Nifty closed at 21782.5 ( Prev Close 21853 ) and touched low & high of 21629 & 22053 RSI and stochastics levels reduced this week( 54.5% & 65% Respectively). Market is in indecisive state, could not take any direction as it could not surpass the previous all time high 22117 decisively. Earlier 30% profit booking was suggested (except Bank & IT stocks). Mid & Small cap Index fell buy 2.5-3% on 09-Feb-24. Partial Booking can be considered for further 5-10% in Mid & Small Cap (Stocks/ Mutual Funds) wherever valuation are high. There is no worry on Good Valued Stocks which can be kept for Long Term. Interim budget announced was a status quo budget, no relief for income tax payers, no change in corporate tax, as expected Capex for infra (Railways & Road) increased. Infra Stocks, undervalued bluechip stocks can be considered based on the valuation. Nifty IT 37699 (Last week 37323 ) -To continue hold. Nifty IT touched new high of 38368 in this week and then came below to 37699. Major support at 34918 /34000. Nifty bank 45634 (Prev Close 45970) -To continue hold. Nifty Bank touched 44908 and then moved and settled 45634 Low last week. support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips. Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last 1.5 months, Cash is useful to pick the right stocks currently to pick the right stock. Purchased Nifty Bank at Jan 1st & 2nd week when it was low using that cash. Refer to detailed comments in the bottom. Nifty 21782- Short Term ( Neutral - Bearish Continued)- All time high 22136 will be a key resistance. Market could not surpass it decisively. Hence bearish sideways movement expected for some more weeks. Resistances are at 22000, 22117, 22136 ( All time high),22150 Support - 21430 (Fib Support & MA 50 Support), 20877 Fib Support and trend line support as shown in the chart. Nifty Medium Term & long Term (Neutral)- Can buy at 20800 -21000 level in case of dip. Target Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22500 as shown in chart. nifty will move to next target 22308 (Fib Resistance)/22521. Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance) Long Term Market expected range bound between 22500 to 18800 expected till mid of 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Comments (11-Feb-24) : Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Last two weeks IT was little down but comparatively lesser than Nifty Index and nifty Bank. Nifty IT touched new high on 08-Feb-24. Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-05-Feb-24 to 09-Feb-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-05-Feb-24 to 09-Feb-24 Nifty closed at 21853 ( Prev Close 21353 ) and touched low & high of 21429 & 22126 RSI and stochastics levels ( 58% & 74 % Respectively). Stochastics is near overbought zone. Market closed all time high and moved higher comparative to last week but is in indecisive state, could not take any direction as it could not surpass the previous all time high 22117 decisively. Interim budget announced was a status quo budget, no relief for income tax payers, no change in corporate tax, as expected Capex for infra (Railways & Road) increased. Infra Stocks, undervalued bluechip stocks can be considered. Nifty IT 37323 (Last week 36496) -To continue hold. On the last day (Fri) of last week it was traded upto 1100 points and moved up. major support at 34918 /34000. Nifty bank 45970( 44866) Moved 1000 points up compared to last week. support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips. Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last 1.5 months, Cash is useful to pick the right stocks currently to pick the right stock. Purchased Nifty Bank at Jan 1st & 2nd week when it was low using that cash. Refer to detailed comments in the bottom. Nifty- Short Term ( Neutral - Bearish Continued)- 21300 ( trend Line support Provided was major support last week. Resistances are at 21439 ( Fib Resistance), 21639 ( MA 21 days) , 22000, 22117, 22155 Further below to 21300, 20800-21000 have strong Fib Support and trend line support as shown in the chart. Nifty Medium Term & long Term ( Neutral)- Can buy at 20800 -21000 level in case of dip. Target Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22500 as shown in chart. nifty will move to next target 22308 (Fib Resistance)/22521. Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance) Long Term Market expected range bound between 22500 to 18800 expected till mid of 2024. Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance). Comments (04-Feb-24) : Earlier last 2-3 months , purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Last two weeks IT was little down but comparatively lesser than Nifty Index and nifty Bank. Simillarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last two weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy last week. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Bitcoin Futures: A Quantitative Approach to Analyzing BTCIntroduction to Bitcoin Futures Bitcoin, the pioneering digital asset, has carved a niche in the financial markets with its futures contracts. Bitcoin Futures provide traders and investors a regulated avenue to speculate on the price of Bitcoin without holding the actual cryptocurrency. This article delves into a quantitative analysis to analyze the next week's potential value of Bitcoin Futures, employing a sophisticated Neural Network model. Current Market Landscape The Bitcoin market is known for its rapid price movements. Recently, regulatory news, technological advancements, and shifts in investor sentiment have contributed to market fluctuations. Understanding these trends is crucial for traders looking to navigate this dynamic landscape. Quantitative Analysis of BTC Futures' Potential Price Movements Neural Networks & Machine Learning: At the heart of our quantitative approach is a Neural Network model. This model has been trained on historical weekly data of Bitcoin Futures, including key price points and other relevant market indicators. Data Preprocessing: To ensure accuracy, the data underwent rigorous preprocessing, including normalization to make it suitable for the Neural Network. This step is essential in highlighting the true patterns and trends in the data without noise or scale issues distorting the model's view. Model Training: Our model was trained over 500 iterations, adjusting its internal parameters to minimize prediction error. This training process involved feeding the model historical data and letting it learn from the actual price movements. Evaluation and Prediction: After training, the model's performance was evaluated. The actual prices were compared against the model's predictions to assess robustness. This evaluation is crucial in understanding the model's reliability. Impact of External Factors Bitcoin Futures are affected by a range of external factors, including regulatory changes, market sentiment, and technological developments. These factors can cause sudden and unpredictable market movements, making the analysis of future potential prices challenging. Our model takes into account the historical impact of these factors, but it's important to remember that unforeseen future events can lead to deviations from predicted values. Forward-Looking Market Views Based on our Neural Network's learning and the recent market data, the model predicts that the value of Bitcoin Futures for the next week will be around "$44,026.60". This prediction is visualized in our graph comparing actual prices against predicted values over time, providing a clear view of the model's accuracy. Given the fact that the current value of BTC is slightly under 43,000, a trader could plan a long trade targeting 44,026.60 as their exit price. Entries could be taken in many ways such as utilizing key technical supports or waiting for breakouts above key resistance price levels. In all cases, a professional approach to taking risk in the marketplace always require managing such risk using stop-loss orders and making sure the trade size has been pre-calculated. There are many more options on how to have a contingency plan in place in case BTC moved in the opposite direction our AI expected it to. More on this in future articles. The model's learning curve, depicted in the accuracy graph, shows how the prediction accuracy improved over training iterations, reflecting the model's increasing proficiency at understanding the market. Conclusion Our quantitative analysis, utilizing a sophisticated Neural Network model, provides a prediction for the next week's value of Bitcoin Futures. While this prediction is grounded in historical data and advanced algorithms, it's important for traders to consider the inherent volatility and unpredictability of the Bitcoin market. The predictive model is a powerful tool, but it should be used as part of a broader strategy that considers market news, economic reports, and other indicators. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes, forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Editors' picks
CME:BTC1!
by traddictiv
2
Our 2023 Outlook - S&P500 🔮Happy New Year traders from the team at AlgoBuddy! 🎇 2022 was a big and exciting year for us. We recently released the latest version of AlgoBuddy's flagship indicators; AlgoBuddy Premium 2.0 & AlgoBuddy Momentum, along with an ETH 30m strategy bot. 🔥 Our goal here is to always deliver helpful & actionable tools for traders to add to their trading tool belts. We'll also continue to release more tutorials and trade ideas every single week. Enough about us, let’s dive right in… 2022 was a year to remember for US equities. Bears clearly took control, as we had a strong down trend bear alert early in the year from AlgoBuddy. We had a few bear market rallies that every trader had to navigate through carefully. Managing capital, and not jumping too quick on to the bull train would have allowed you to survive. By end of year 2022, bears couldn't take us below 2021's low as the bulls defended it nicely (~3860). This is a major level that if we test again will likely fail. As of right now and moving forward, it feels that since inflation is still high, and the fed hasn't taken its foot off the breaks on the economy (interest rates), any rally is still a bear market one for me. We will continue to lean into the bear trend as seen on our weekly chart until we receive a bull alert. Even when the bull alert prints I fully expect price to capitulate and test our thick ribbon at least 2x before finding a base to rally. We recently got a divergence bullish signal on our momentum indicator so we will watch closely. I must see the fed step in and assist economic growth before I jump onto the bull train, even if I'm late to the party I can live with that. Until then, Algobuddy's S&P 2023 outlook is bearish on the weekly for at least end of Q1 2023. We will trade small on short term longs keeping stops tight, and we will jump easier on our shorter time-frame bear alerts for now until the trend changes. Good luck all, as always reach out to us for any questions/help/support. Happy trading, AlgoBuddy Team
SP:SPX
by QuantVue
4
BTC - Three peak cycleHello Traders, I have made many charts before in regards to the current cycle. I have always tried to look at the perspective of the market away from bias opinion. I have explored many different data points and perspective from technical and a fundamental level. But most importantly, I am of the opinion of lengthening cycles and diminishing returns. Here are some of my previous charts and description that can add context and depth to this analysis. This model was constructed from a fractal in the 2017 cycle. So far it has been very accurate in reclaiming all time high's (ATH) then the current pullback towards the mid 50k region. This was an idea from a fundamental perspective as I explored the correlation of media attention and affect on market cycles. I concluded at a time when people were calling the bounce from 30k to 40 was dead cat bounce, was actually not. The more I look at the data and this cycle matures, I realise that the cycle has it similarities but has its unique characteristics. Perhaps I'll be wrong and Bitcoin will fail to put in another ATH and the bears will win this point. However, I would like to put my theory forward. I think that Bitcoin will fail to breakout past 100k upon reaching it. I also expect the RSI values to be higher then 90 on the weekly suggesting the commodity is over brought and will lead to another pullback like scenario we saw in April. 2013 first peak 101 2013 second peak 96 2018 peak 90 2021 first peak 96 2021 current level 54.74 This will leave the market to bleed for some months but I think it will find support on the middle of the logarithmic growth band. Thereafter, there will be another rally that will be parabolic and conclude the third leg of this cycle. I'm expecting to come close to valuations at the top of the logarithmic growth band as we have seen with all previous market tops, I don't think this cycle will be different. A summer top would give us a market top around 180k. Also expecting very high RSI levels and on the BTC risk metric. Finally, the bear market. Massive pullback, dead cat bounce and failure to hold any of the significant moving averages, bull market support band etc. I think dipping below the middle of the logarithmic band and failure to break past it is also confirmation that the price will be headed towards the bottom band. I also think that with each cycle the volatility will decrease and therefore bitcoin will never see another 85% pullback like we have seen with previous cycles. Bear market period 2014 (420d) 87.11% Bear market period 2018 (350d) 84.10% Bear market period 2022 (420d) 57.5% I think this cycle is more similar to 2013 as we have multiple peaks and therefore expect a bear market period to recover similar too. Of course this is much speculation never be too deterministic, always do your own research and be prepared for any scenario in the crypto markets.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by m44kka
1
GOLD price movement predictionBased on CMP (current market price), the gold price has tendency to go down again to a very significant zone 1754.87-1751.17. If we can see to the left of CMP, this zone is significant due to its strong resistance. The price tested several times at this zone before and failed, thus pullback to its support zone and once its breakout from this zone, the price significantly rally in bullish trend. TRADING PLAN: 1: Scalper: Buy at yellow zone, Sell after breakout 2: Swinger: Sell position due to Daily timeframe trend To see the big movement in Daily timeframe, the price is in downtrend, thus to be safe, we are most probably looking for sell if we are a swinger trader. But as me as a scalper, at the yellow zone, most probably we can find buy position in a short time and its safe that we can get 20-40 pips from the entry zone. And after the price breakout from the zone, we will find entry point for sell. Bear in mind the zone made is at H4 timeframe, and the best to monitor is the H4 candle because there might be false breakout in the smaller timeframe But be extra careful because the zone is vey significant, and with gold volatility, most of its movement is unpredictable. Once again, manage your trading plan wisely. If you like my idea, please share it with your fellow trader and do comment if you have any opinion regarding my idea. We can help built a better trader community for the future. Good luck and all the best everyone. -EraBiru, HXF Academy- You can find us on facebook : HXF FX Thanks for your continuous support. I happy due to many of you has view my idea.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ridzwanfahmie1
2