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GRASS will DOUBLE in price within the next weeks. Grass has built a strong foundation during the past months. Price is very corrective and contracting every since. Locally it looked like a rejection off the upper pmPOC (previous month point of control) which is bearish. Well yes, it rejected but just short term. Market structure remains bullish. The price is building value above the pmProfile (previous month profile). Locally it is just leaving liquidity behind. In my opinion GRASS is really setting up for a meaningful really and 2.15 ish will be one of the very last buying opportuinites. 4.67 is my main target and once it breaks the upper key level, it will just keep going. The current FTR draw target (failure to rotate - because it can not bearishly rotate the pmProfile below) is slightly below the key level. The stars align pretty well. Honestly, this is one of the best charts I have seen lately.
Long
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
2
JTO will pump 20%JTO is building value above the pmProfile. That´s bullish and not bearish, because people are accepting the price above the profile. This "building value" tells us that the price is preparing for another leg to the upside -> We have to find out main targets above the current range. There are some untapped levels like the pwPOC and pwVAH above 2.300. They are in confluence with the bullish sequence target zone. That´s why I am planning to sell off at the upper pwPOC. What´s the invalidation? When do we need to exit the trade? Only if JTO starts to build a lot of value below the pmVAH and even pmPOC. That´s something we would need to observe during many 4 hr candles. It isn´t likely to happen. Especially because we can see long-liquidations (b-pattern) based on the pwProfile. The market is too short to substantially go lower. This information combined with the value that is building above the pmProfile, will lead to higher prices. We have bought JTO multiple times in the past days and sold off at pwVAHs. It made sense because price likes to came back to the good entry zone multiple times, for example because market makers are forcing long liquidations first. (b-pattern).
Long
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
15-minute chart, there exists another Fair Value Gap!Gold Price Technical Analysis. At present, gold is exhibiting signs of continued bearish momentum as it trades below the 50% retracement level of the 30-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG). The fact that this critical level has been broken suggests a weakening of bullish strength in the short-term timeframe, and reinforces the likelihood of further downward pressure on the price. Moreover, on the 15-minute chart, there exists another Fair Value Gap just below the current market level, which is offering minor support for the time being. This area has been acting as a temporary cushion, slowing the pace of decline; however, its sustainability remains uncertain under the current market sentiment. Should gold decisively break below the 15-minute FVG as well, it would indicate a deeper structural weakness and open the possibility for an extended bearish move. In such a scenario, the next potential support level lies around the 3293 mark, which could act as a short-term target for sellers and a critical level for buyers to watch for possible reversal signals. Traders and investors are advised to monitor price action closely around these key levels, as further developments could define the next major move in gold's short- to medium-term trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Peter_Wade
ETHUSD Futures: Breakout + Momentum Buy SetupEthereum has broken above the local trendline and flipped structure bullish. CCI confirms upward momentum with a breakout from consolidation. 📌 Entry: Market buy (current price ~2583) 🎯 Targets: TP1: 2628 — prior high and minor resistance TP2: 2678 — strong liquidity zone 🛡️ Stop-loss: Below 2520 support block Bullish momentum supported by EMA cross, structure break (CHoCH), and CCI triangle breakout. Potential to extend toward 2729 if volume follows.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by InvestWorld_777
TAO is ready for another leg upI just bought TAO with the average entry price of 441. It still looks very bullish to me and should see some continuation. Those untested pwVAHs above will be next. 619 (pmVAH) is the main target. Compared to last week, it is clearly building value higher. Even above the monthly liquidity level, so this dip below is likely just a trap. Also no acceptance into the pwProfile below which will cause this bullish FTR. All signs on green honestly. It only becomes bearish if price would somehow find acceptance in the lower pwProfile and builds a lot of value there. This scenario isn´t the likely one tho.
Long
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
No bearmarket yet? Can BTC go to 120k next?Damn was I wrong with my last bearish idea, calling a potential top for BTC. Well, it was an idea and we had good reasons for it. At that time price did not build value above the pmPOC, so a FTR (failure to rotate) could have happened. I was able to cut my short a break even and swing with the bullish momentum on a few altcoins for example like ADA or JTO. Ideas are given in my profile. So what now? Did the bearish chances vanish? Not yet. BTC is currently facing resistance at another pmPOC, which is critical once again. In the same way the lower pmPOC has been. Bulls really need to push through and build value higher. If that happens, I will become less bearish and open minded for new all time highs. If bulls won´t be able to build value above the pmPOC, the bearish doomsday scenario will be in the cards. There are some levels below that normally require reinspection. For example the 95400 pwPOC. I would be very surprised if we don´t see some bigger shorts at least for a while. The FTR draw target at 74k will only be the main target, if bulls will fail against the 104900 pmPOC. Trying to not be too biased here again. We will follow value. The bearish scenario is still an option, but it will become less likely once bulls start to build value above the pmPOC at 104900 ish.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
Fartcoin update for previous bearish ideaQuick update for you: Fartcoin took out the initial high at 1.46 several times but we are only seeing swing failures. We do not see the price closing several candles above the pmVAH and pwPOC for an attempt to build value, to then swing up for higher prices. As long as we spend the majority of time below these levels, I am still looking towards the pwPOC below, maybe even 0.96 ish to fully take all the liquidity. The price is ranging here (blue). If it breaks down, we will keep observing the potentially big range (white) for future price movements. So nothing has really changed here. We know what to look out for.
Short
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
Fartcoin should retrace, which would be healthyI am in a short on Fartcoin. Price is above the fresh pwPOC -> highest risk for new longs, biggest opportunity for shorts. Also the last pwProfiles are overlapping which is a sign of a potentially aged trend. The bearish sequence is not active yet, but the foundation that is currently forming would be an amazing confluence for the trade. Also, price did not find acceptance above the pmVAH yet (so far) and this is also a rejection off the pwPOC for a potential FTR, which would lead to lower prices aswell. So this is really no trade or a short. If the current high gets broken, it would destroy a potentially bearish foundation for the sequence and potential for further downside. Then price could start to find acceptance above for bullish continuation. So the current high is the invalidation for this idea. If price would manage to bust through the pwPOC, then we have targets below but it becomes more tricky there. The fresh pwPOC would be the easiest TP and I would take most profits there. Also: Since the beginning of last week value mostly built lower. Yes, we had aggressive shorts down there but they got squeezed. If this would be a lot more bullish, then value needs to shift to the current upper place. It didn´t so far, which could be an additional confluence.
Short
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
BTC bullmarket is over. Friday was the last high for a while.In my previous idea I was talking about the end of the bull market, that BTC won´t go for new ATHs. I am still sharing this opinion as long as BTC won´t claim the pmPOC above, as long as it doesn´t build value above. All we have seen was a "look above and fail" which indicates weakness. This could result in a huge FTR (failure to rotate), bring the price back down to the origin of the move, 74k ish and potentially lower. I was describing how such a short could get confirmed for example with: ".. if the pmPOC (previous month point of control) will be approached on high volume but claimed on lower volume, we will likely see a FTR. I have marked the approach of the pmPOC with the yellow arow in the volume delta chart at the bottom. We had damn high volume and started closing above on lower volume (likely no acceptance). So I already started taking shorts at 96800 ish. Bulls need to do something and claim the pmPOC asap + build value above. If not, then my bearish targets will be in focus. For now, I am convinced that it is setting up for a huge dip to 72k.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
last chance for the ADA bullsI have been very bullish on ADA in the previous idea. We bought at 0.61 ish for good reasons and dragged it all the way up to the pmPOC at 0.73. It was a major TP level for good reasons. Price did not show any acceptance above, which is bearish. This could result in a complete FTR (failure to rotate). In this case, we will target the origin of the move. All the way back down to where we came from (check the FTR draw target below in orange). On Saturday we had a strong volume backed breakout to the upside of the bracket. Normally price could have went for a lot higher prices. It didn´t even tap the pmPOC tho, fell back into the bracket (acceptance), so that was extreme weakness, bringing the price back to the low of the bracket quite fast. If bulls won´t reclaim the bracket, then the pmPOC below will be next. Potentially this will last a lot longer until the FTR draw will be hit. If bulls will reclaim the bracket, then we will simply see the top of it. Then we would need to assess if price is doing a good job to go higher or not. So for now: short, with potentially a lot lower target., pmPOC (previous month point of control) below will be the next target. Bullish only if: .. the bracket will be reclaimed.
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
EOS will go for a liquidity hunt!EOS is leaving a huge liquidity trail behind. Just look at the 4 hr higher low wicks. All these wicks are just representing stop losses. The pwProfile (previous week profile) is showing us short-covering. Aggressive short-term buyers are competing against long-term sellers who will target all the lower liquidity at some point. I took a small short already here above the pwVAH (previous week value area high). I might add at the FTR draw (if it will get hit) and I am even open minded for a surprising run to the upper pwVAH. Hard to tell if it will break down from here or if it will go higher first to generate some more liquidty. Overall I am prepared for downside and I want to see the lower pmPOC (previous month point of control). This level is my main target.
EShort
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
BTC IS NOT setting up for another bull run! In my previous btc idea I was looking for lower prices, more into the 72k region or even lower. We got a lower low, some nice shorts and gains but that was it. No touch of 72k or lower prices. The bigger pullback to the upside was expected, but came a bit earlier tho. That´s fine tho. Is it bullish now? Are the bears exhausted and will bring the price to new ATHs? Forget it. It won´t happen. Now is a good time to get rid of your btc holdings and start accumulating short positions (if you want to short the market). Why is that? I strongly believe that we are in wave "B" of an A-B-C correction. The way up to the ATH was the 5th wave. The downtrend was wave A. The current wave is wave B which will inject hope once again. The people who won´t realize that this is a fake and the last opportunity to get out, they will get hurt very bad. The next wave, the C-wave, will be impulsive and brutal. So I am mentally prepared for a big short, but I didn´t take a short yet. I am interested in the pmPOC above. Let´s say it will get approached (and touched with the same candle) on high volume and then claimed by low volume, then it could be a good opportunity to get into a short for a potential FTR (failure to rotate scenario). This scenario would target at least the liquidity at the origin of the move, but price could fall even lower. Eventually the POC will get approached on high volume, not even claimed and we see retests on lower volume. Then I would be also interested in a short. We need wait and see how things will develop. If the price claims the pmPOC on strong volume and builds value above it, then it will keep going higher. In this case the pmVAH at nearly 100k would be the next target. I am remaining cautious with aggressive btc longs. I am open minded for continuation but once I will get the confirmation for a short, then I will be aggressive and prepared for a big swing short. If you would ask me today: We will definitely see prices below 70k, once this wave to the upside is over. Stay safe, have a clear mind. P.S. Please extend the pwProfile from last week until now (28th of April, 4 p.m). You will see that the POC did not shift higher. BTC´s price is moving a lot higher, but it isn´t building any value up here. Price is advertising an opportunity right now. It will likely get pulled back to value. It is very similar to my previous SUI idea. SUI also moved a lot higher without building any value. I am expecting the same outcome (drop) for SUI sooner or later.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
2
The long liquidations depleted the market of selling potentialJTO looked terrible for a looong time. Now the market is way too short on it, which is visible in all the b-shaped profiles. That means we had very aggressive sellers that forced the price to the downside to liquidate the longs. Once that is completed, it leaves the market without underlying selling potential. So the aggressive sellers will become the victim, as they are acting against the long-term buyers which are currently accumulating. As the pmProfiles (previous month profiles) give us our main targets, the upper b-shaped pmProfile needs to get re-inspected. The pmPOC becomes target number 1. "Long liquidation depletes the market of selling potential, which will often set the stage for a meaningful rally that carries price substantially beyond the levels that triggered the liquidation in the first place." That´s why I think bulls have a very good chance to even run for the pmVAH above 2.5$. I bought some JTO here, might buy a bit lower if the price goes a bit lower once again. Looking for the pmPOC as TP1 and pmVAH as TP2.
Long
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
SUI rising without building value +short-covering, ready to fallSUI had a significant rise in the past week. By extending last weeks pwProfile, we can see that the POC didn´t move at all. Value is far more important than price. Price is simply advertising opportunity. That´s why I strongly believe that it will retrace a lot. We also had some short-covering in the past days. Those profiles need to get re-inspected, making their POC an important target. There is pretty nice confluence with the pmPOC at 3.28 ish. Selling here at the highs of the current pwProfile or even above is a very good idea imo. Biggest risk for bulls, biggest opportunity for bears. I wanna see the pmPOC (previous month point of control) and pdPOC (previous day point of control) below. If price would break below, I would focus on the pwVAL next.
Short
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
Fartcoin update: more bullish than expectedNow it looks a lot like acceptance above the pmPOC. Volume is building here and it doesn´t look like possible excess anymore regarding the previous bracket. By extending the pwProfile (previous week profile) we can see (white range) that value is building higher (the POC - point of control) is higher than in the pwProfile from last week. If bulls keep up the acceptance, then Fartcoin will go for a full rotation to the pmVAH (previous month value area high). I have taken profit off the short from above 1.10 and just bought some at 1.05 ish, looking for 1.42. Tapping the high of the previous bracket at 0.96 probably would be my invalidation.
Long
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
7
Fartcoin will lose a lot of valueFartcoin offered a very nice long opportunity below the bracket, because price broke to the downside on decreasing volume. That´s not what strong bears wanted to see. So over there one could have accumulated a lot, wait for the bearish auction process to come to an end and then trade it to the upside. The minimum target was, of course the top of the bracket. After reaching the top of the bracket, we need to judge the volume. Price broke to the upside on very weak buying volume. That´s not what strong bulls want to see. Price also broke through the pmPOC with low volume. Only afterwards price pumped higher on a lot of buying volume in comparison. I really believe that all these buyers here above 1$ will be trapped. They are the foundation for a lot of downside, that we will see in the next days. My minimum target is once again the low of the bracket at 0.78 ish - a decrease of roughly 30%. Then we will judge the volume and a potential breakout attempt once again. So right now I am just accumulating shorts, waiting for the bullish auction process to come to an end and then it will fall back down relatively quick. If we will see the breakdown, price will naturally lose the pmPOC which will cause a FTR (failure to rotate), because obviously then price was unable to fully rotate the pmProfile. We will then target the origin of the move, which is minimum all the liquidity below the bracket. Another important fact to mention: The freshest pwProfile (previous week profile) below is pretty balanced. Above, the highest risk for new longs is given but the biggest opportunity for sellers. Of course the current move is very extended for good reasons, but it is still an important factor that requires some good risk-management and understanding of the profiles and auction process. I´ll see you at the low of the bracket.
Short
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
Gold at the $3394-3392 level citing the presence of an engulfingGold Buying Opportunity Analysis Considering buying gold at the $3394-3392 level, citing the presence of an engulfing buy filter zone that indicates pending buying orders. This technical setup suggests potential support at this level, which could lead to a price bounce. Potential Upside: - Conservative estimate: 40-70 pips - Optimistic scenario: up to 100 pips or more, depending on market conditions and momentum Key Factors to Consider: 1. Engulfing buy filter zone: This technical indicator suggests buying interest at this level. 2. Pending buying orders: These orders could contribute to a price increase if executed. 3. Market sentiment: Overall market conditions, news, and trends will influence gold's price movement. Important Reminder: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It's essential to conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor if needed. Trading carries risks, and it's crucial to manage your positions responsibly. Next Steps: You'll be waiting for the market to reach the specified level. If it does, carefully evaluate the market conditions and make an informed decision based on your trading strategy and risk tolerance. How do you plan to manage your trade, and what are your risk management strategies?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
Even if you don´t like ADA, it looks very bullish! The March price action was based on aggressive short-term sellers. Who are they fighting? Short-term traders are always competing the long-term ones. So in this case the opposition is formed by long-term buyers. They are only accumulating while the aggressive sellers enjoy the gains, shooting for more until they end up being under water. The pwProfile (previous week profile) and the prior week profile are also b-shaped. We are having the very same picture there. I have already drawn the developing profile because in a few hours it (as we head into Monday) it will be the fresh pwProfile. Again: b-shaped = aggressive sellers. So to me, ADA is a really really good buy. Have a good risk management, don´t overleverage and ride it to the upside soon, together with the long-term buyers which are already known as the winners. The minimum target is the top of the old bracket (range, white) at 0.77 ish. But honestly, ADA should fully rotate the pmProfile up to the VAH at 0.91 ish, which is what I am aiming for. I don´t see it stopping before. Stopping for example at the top of the bracket won´t be any pain for the aggressive sellers that started to build within the bracket. We really need to deviate them. A full pmProfile (previous monthy profile) rotation only makes sense. See you at 0.91 ish.
Long
by GoldsteinTheProfiletrader
BTCUSDBitcoin is currently trading near 84,949 after a strong rally, now approaching a critical order block resistance near86,000. While the overall structure remains bullish, the chart signals a potential shift in market behavior—creating a clear discrepation between price structure and projected move. Discrepation Breakdown: 1. Rising Trend vs. Order Block Reaction - Expected: Uptrend to continue, breaking through the resistance zone. - Actual: Price is hesitating and forming a double-top structure inside the order block, hinting at buyer exhaustion. - Discrepation: A bullish structure failing to maintain momen… - Recent candles show weak buying volume near the top despite higher prices. - Discrepation: Price is rising, but volume is not supporting it—bearish divergence, weakening the bullish outlook. 4. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Overlap - FVG zone around 82.2k aligns with the bearish target, giving confidence to downside movement. - Market may seek to fill that gap, creating a conflict with the bullish price structure currently visible. Discrepation Summary Table: | Technical Element | Market Expectation | Observed Conflict | Uptrend + Higher Highs | Continuation toward 86,000+ | Double-top … Although Bitcoin remains in a short-term uptrend, this chart shows clear bearish discrepation. The failure to break the order block, combined with volume divergence and trendline pressure, suggests a potential drop toward $82,232, especially if price confirms the double-top and breaks the ascending trendline. Would you like a short version of this for social media captions too?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EXPERT117Ai
GBP/JPY SELL SETUP 250 PIPS1️⃣ Macro Fundamental Analysis (GBP vs. JPY) 🔹 Interest Rate Differentials (Carry Trade Impact) Bank of England (GBP) The BoE has kept rates high to fight inflation. Higher GBP rates → capital inflows into GBP assets. Bullish for GBP/JPY. Bank of Japan (JPY) BoJ is still ultra-dovish, keeping negative/low interest rates. Japan’s government wants a weak yen to support exports. Bearish for JPY, Bullish for GBP/JPY (carry trade flows into GBP). 📊 Institutional View: Hedge funds & large investors prefer long GBP/JPY due to high interest rate spreads. GBP/JPY remains fundamentally bullish due to carry trade inflows. 🔹 Global Risk Sentiment (Risk-On vs. Risk-Off) GBP/JPY is a "risk-on" pair → it rises when markets are bullish and falls when investors seek safety. If stock markets are bullish, GBP/JPY tends to rise. If there’s a global crisis, investors move into JPY (safe-haven), causing GBP/JPY to fall. Current Market Sentiment: Stock markets are uncertain, but no full risk-off move yet. Watch equity markets & US bond yields for risk sentiment confirmation. 📊 Institutional View: Mild risk-on bias → GBP/JPY has support, but volatility remains high. 🔹 Institutional Positioning (COT Data & Hedge Fund Flows) Hedge funds have been buying GBP against JPY due to the rate differential. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report: Shows institutional investors are still net long GBP/JPY but reducing positions. Some profit-taking could lead to short-term downside. 📊 Institutional View: Long-term institutional bias is bullish, but hedge funds may reduce positions if risk-off sentiment increases. 2️⃣ Technical Analysis (ITPM Style) – Multi-Timeframe Breakdown 🔹 GBP/JPY (Daily Timeframe) 📈 Trend: Still in an uptrend, but approaching resistance. 📌 Key Resistance: 195.00 - 196.00 📌 Key Support: 191.00 - 190.00 🔹 Price is struggling at resistance near 194.00. 🔹 Possible pullback to 191.50 - 192.00 before resuming higher. 🔹 GBP/JPY (H4 Timeframe) 📉 Short-Term Weakness, but Still in an Uptrend Channel 📌 Key Level to Watch: 192.50 - 193.00 🔹 Bearish Rejection at 194.00, but still inside an uptrend structure. 🔹 If price breaks below 192.50, a deeper correction to 191.00 is likely. 🔹 GBP/JPY (H1 Timeframe) 📉 Intraday Weakness, Watch 192.50 for Breakdown 📌 Key Levels: Resistance: 193.50 - 194.00 Support: 192.50 (short-term support), 191.50 (stronger support) 📊 Institutional View: Intraday traders may take short positions below 192.50, targeting 191.50 - 191.00. 3️⃣ Institutional Trade Setup (ITPM Style) 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Short-Term Correction) Entry: Sell below 192.50 (Break of key support). Target: 191.50 → 190.00 (support zone). Stop-Loss: Above 193.50. Rationale: Short-term hedge funds taking profits → minor pullback in bullish trend.
Short
by ShinForex1
Why eurgbp will sell this newyork session!!In my analysis, we are observing signs of weakness in the Euro, as indicated by recent candlestick formations that reflect a notable lack of buying pressure. This behavior appears to be aligning with key Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a potential transition towards lower price levels. I anticipate that in the pre-New York session, we may witness a temporary fake-out before a subsequent downward movement. Traders should exercise caution and consider these factors in their decision-making process Follow me for more breakdown!!
by ShinForex1
GBP/USD LONGHi ! Based on the current price action and I have prepared 2 trades for next week. First is a long position from 1.287 where is VAL , price has respected this area, making it a good level for initiating a smaller long position with limited risk. Forward I am looking at 1.3 area and looking to scaling in after confirmation above 1.302 ensures that I participate in the trend continuation without overexposing prematurely. Step 1: Small Entry at 1.287 Entry: Long position at 1.287. Stop Loss: Below 1.2800. Take Profit: Partial profit near resistance at 1.3000, or hold until breakout confirmation. Step 2: Scale In After Breakout Entry Trigger: Wait for price action to break and hold above 1.302 (confirmed by strong candlestick close or volume spike). Entry Price: Enter larger position at 1.302. Stop Loss: Below recent breakout level (~1.295). Take Profit Levels: First Target: 1.3200. Second Target: 1.3400. FX:GBPUSD
Long
by Andrei_C