Marketprofile
$NFLX may not ready for big up move yetI bought $NFLX put at 290.50 after rejection 291 and out about 287 area, when tested morning low. price now is balancing at below 288 area. if trade below 287, may be go lower to 283-280 area. I have low confident to trade above 288 now. I can be wrong. I may just wait to see if NFLX want to make better clear direction. if today 287 hold as support, I just expect for closing middle for today. price too slow at 288-287 area for now.
I expected price to meet 300 yesterday, but since today it turn lower then yesterday value area, I must wait for more aggressiveness to the upside.
$GOLD loosing momentum at below 1510$GOLD was expected to trade higher and break the upper balance 1520. yesterday , US session, GOLD didn't go back to above 1510. Gold may still maintain the range between 1515 - 1480. i will change my bias to up side when GOLD trade back above 1510. Below 1505 will trigger more liquidation.
NFLX is expected to meet $300$NFLX made nice re-accumulation on last Thursday and Friday. 285-286 is my support zone. Trade above this level will squeeze all sellers and help the price back to $300 level. Today NFLX may gap higher, and I plan to play long side on the pull back.
Unless NFLX trade lower then 285 level, I will stay aside or trade in smaller size to join the bears.
Will $GBPUSD make balance at this area?Since BREXIT being delayed again, and I expect DYX bounce at 97 levels, I like to see $GBPUSD , minimum, to make balance below 1.3 area before any further decision for the direction. I also expecting any taking profit action here. So, this week I don’t have plan to trade above 1.3 yet.
Let see USDJPY - head or tail?As I mentioned on DYX , USDJPY also at an important key level now. If 108 hold, then I expect to see 110 - 111 area as 109 become a poor high. But trade below 108 we may see 105 area. Couple things in my mind, DXY may back to 99 area before make any decision. And JPY is the weakest pair among others. So I will try to build position on Bulls side at USDJPY. I will change my bias to Bears side when I see more liquidation and more new seller below 108 price level.
Beside that, accumulation at daily chart will looks good if the we see aggressive buyers on USDJPY at 108 level.
USDCAD accumulation setup After nice rotation around 1.308 - 1.309 followed by strong buying activity i expect that market will be continue in uptrend.
For that reason i will be waiting for pullback to this area for long trade.
I think that those buyers will become active again and they will start pushing the price upwards again from 1.3089.
Happy trading
Dale
$USDJPY ‘s value is lower$USDJPY made excess high on 30th Oct, which indicate a liquidation. I am little bit late on this but to turn this pair to much deeper, we need to see new seller while USDollar Index is weakening. Otherwise the Pair will loose momentum for bearish move.
$JPY is the weakest currency among the major forex pair, let see if there is more buying on JPY , which is sellers on USDJPY.
Many retail traders jump on selling USDJPY without seeing the strength of the currency and don’t monitor the follow through. We can’t just trade base on the pattern only. We need to check any related instrument. If buyers of USDollar index come back aggressively, this pair turn very quickly.
$Gold try to make a change to upmove$GOLD. Here is can be a trap for many traders who are aggressively buying or selling at 1495 price Zone. I need price to get acceptance between 1495 to 1500 price area.
This is important “if Gold can’t make a change at mentioned zone” the Seller may came back and take control. I don’t want to be the first here. I will see who will take the control from here : “Buyer or Seller”.
$GOLD will likely go lower$XAUUSD didn't make a good change on last Friday. Yesterday , Monday, was another liquidation day. No Aggressive buying. and I think today, will not much different. If Strong buyers don’t appear immediately , I think we will see 1465 , which is a the bottom of bigger balance as mentioned on previous post.
$DAX is the most bullish index Europe $DAX break 12800 level. This key level is very important. SInce EUROSTOXX and FTSE are still within the range, I need to see acceptance above this key level. then 13000 - 13200 will be next destination. The serious failure above this key level will make DAX index just looks too high and too expensive. The profit taking , liquidation and new money selling will make this bullish pattern become ugly. but for now, I will trade with the bulls.
$GOLD need to make a change$Gold has been in balance range for 8 days, 1475 bottom - 1495 top is my small balance, and 1515 top for wider range. The value is in lower half of wide balance, but the buyer still aggressive from every low. i need to see a change above 1495 ; either an acceptance or rejection. This uncertainty kills the hope of medium time frame traders. But note that 1 October was a good excess low. This spring need to bring the price to move above 1515, otherwise that spring will be penetrated. all we can do right now is ping pong trading. News catalyst is need here.. let's wait.
EURUSD long levelHere is my Bonus level from my mebres section for intraday trading.
After nice move up is in the move significant Volume cluster, where is accumulated lot of orders.
I hope, that when the market will make pullback to this area, strong buyers will be defend their long position and push the marked up.
Daily uptrend
H4 uptrend
H1 uptrend
M30 uptrend
This is why i prefere better long trade :-)
$XAUUSD keep falling at 4 dqys High Value area- Weakening sign$Gold keep Falling at 4 days high value area, today, Gold need to take and break those high, if not, likely we will see Gold down to below 1460 as i mentioned before. Today is Wednesday, I like to see serious tail either bullish or bearish between today or tomorrow - Thursday.
$EURUSD for breakout 3 days balanceI expect $EURUSD to break the high of 3 days balance, which is 1.100. We have weekly spring (excess low), and if this scenario work together, we may see 1.110 area.
Above are my benchmark for bullish scenario. If those are not achieved, I expect the monthly bar will still be bearish.
$XAUUSD at important decision line$XAUUSD is held at 1489-1490 area since late US Session. Yesterday daily bar broke 2 days balance, and I was expecting the price will reach extreme low @ 1470-60 area or even more deeper @ 1440-00. But if 1490 is held , and trade above it , I will consider the daily formation is re-accumulation, and we may see the break of 1550s.
DXY ready for Changing behaviour$DXY made an excess high (circled), and this indicate the chart is about to turning down. Ideally DXY will turn down to 98.50 area. if it's so the formation will be a changing its behaviour (COB). But I don't see and an aggressive selling on the following day (today), will it surprise us to the upside ? Excess high or Upthrust shall initiate a down move, if not it shows that the demand is still high ..
For now, I like to find low risk for selling the USD, then will work on the following chart.